>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 22nd of March 2024

>>> Up
* Bureau Veritas Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 33 euros
* Enagas Raised to Buy at JB Capital Markets; PT 18.20 euros
* ING Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 17.50 euros
* Kid ASA Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 151 kroner
* Wienerberger Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 38.50 euros

>>> Down
* ABN Amro GDRs Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 17.50 euros
* Aker BP Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 330 kroner
* Ascential Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 320 pence
* Bastide le Confort Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 25.50 euros
* Couche-Tard Cut to Sector Perform at National Bank; PT C$83
* Nike Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT $100
* Puuilo Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 9 euros
* Redrow Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 688 pence
* Seco Cut to Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 4.20 euros
* St James's Place Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 500 pence

>>> Initiation
* Jungheinrich Rated New Buy at SocGen; PT 46 euros
* Lyko Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 165 kronor
* New Wave Reinstated Hold at SEB Equities; PT 130 kronor
* THG PLC Rated New Buy at Peel Hunt; PT 141 pence

>>> Call

>>> What to look at today - 22nd of March 2024

Equities in Asia backtracked Friday, while the dollar advanced as investors parsed economic data for signals on interest-rate trajectories around the world. China’s CSI 300 Index fell as much as 1.6%, on pace for its largest daily drop since January, and the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped more than 4%. Australian and Korean shares also declined. Japanese stocks rose. A gauge of the region’s shares had touched the highest level in almost two years in the prior session. The dollar was on track for its best week in two months. It rose against almost all Group-of-10 peers and emerging-Asian currencies, as an unexpected rate reduction by the Swiss National Bank spurred concerns that other major central banks will cut policy rates faster than the Fed. The onshore yuan fell to its weakest in four months Friday, breaching a closely watched technical level after a months-long effort by Chinese authorities to keep the managed currency in a narrow range. The People’s Bank of China lowered the daily reference rate by the most since early February, a sign to some that Beijing is greenlighting more depreciation amid a bumpy economic recovery. Contracts for US stocks were little changed in Asian trading after the S&P 500 index advanced 0.3% to a fresh high Thursday — its 20th of the year — led by gains in industrials and banks.  US economic data supported the argument the Fed may be forced to backtrack on its rate-reduction forecasts a day after the central bank indicated three 25-basis-point cuts in 2024. Housing, manufacturing and labor-market data released Thursday in the US pointed to a resilient economy that could prompt the Fed to reduce interest rates slower than the market expects. The yen was little changed, trading near 152 per dollar as Japan’s inflation accelerated to the quickest pace in four months. Markets will stay focused on whether the Bank of Japan might follow its first interest rate hike since 2007 with further increases later this year. Societe Generale SA increased its S&P 500 year-end forecast to 5,500 from 4,750 — the highest among strategists tracked by Bloomberg. “US exceptionalism is going from strength to strength,” wrote Manish Kabra, head of US equity strategy for the French bank. “Despite widespread market optimism, we view this as rational rather than excessive.” Some US tech stocks faltered, with Apple Inc. and Alphabet Inc. falling against the backdrop of heightened regulatory pressure. The US Justice Department and 16 attorneys general are suing the iPhone maker for violating antitrust laws.  The Reserve Bank of Australia released a financial stability review on Friday, saying that banks are strong and households resilient to higher rates. Ahead in Asia, Taiwan will publish February jobs data. In commodities, oil held a two-day drop, with traders assessing the outlook for global interest rates and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Elsewhere, Bitcoin traded below $66,000, while gold fell after surging above $2,200 an ounce for the first time. US After Hours FDX +12.5% higher on earnings, UPS +3.9% higher in sympathy; LULU -10.8%, NKE -3.5% lower on earnings.

Nikkei +0.18% Hang Seng -2.25% CSI -1.08% Shanghai -0.97% Shenzen -1.17%

Eur$ 1.0835 CNH 7.2635 CNY 7.2256 JPY 151.58 GBP 1.2643 CHF 0.8989 RUB 91.85 TRY 31.1521 WTI$ 80.48 -0.74% Gold 2,174 -0.34% BTC 66,200 +1.15% ETH 3,516 +0.92%

S&P +0.05% Nasdaq +0.04% EuroStoxx -0.32% FTSE -0.05% Dax -0.11% SMI -0.16%

Macro :
- Bank of England’s Quick Pivot Puts June in Focus for Rate Cut
- Deaths Surging to 270,000 Thrust Fentanyl Into Heart of US Vote

Keep an eye on :
- ABBN SW : ABB Plans New Share Buyback of as Much as $1B
- ABBN SW : ABB Chairman Voser Says Open to Large Acquisition: FuW
- ADS GY : German Football Association Picks Nike as Supplier From 2027
- AIR FP : *INDIA'S INDIGO SAID NEARING DECISION ON WIDEBODY JET ORDER
- AKERBP NO : Aker BP Postpones Annual General Meeting Planned for April 10
- BAYN GY : Value: Cost of soybeans in Brazil could fall by 20% if Bayer stops charging royalties
- BKT IM : Bankinter Names Gloria Ortiz Portero as CEO, Executive Director
- IAG LN : IAG’s €400m Air Europa Deal Back on EU’s Timeline
- CWC GY : *CEWE STIFTUNG FY PRETAX PROFIT EU87.9M, EST. EU80.9M
- DARK LN : KKR Offers to Sell About 2.5% of Darktrace to Large Investors
- EUZ GY ; Eckert & Ziegler SE FY Revenue EU246.1M
- EDP PL : Ocean Winds to File Massachusetts Project Bid Next Week: EDP CEO
- ENEL IM : Enel Debt at €60 Billion as Asset Sales Plan Seen on Track
- ENEL IM : Enel FY Adjusted Net Income Meets Estimates
- EPR NO : Europris to Buy Remaining 80% of Runsvengruppen for ~NOK201m
- FDX US : FedEx Reports Higher Third Quarter Diluted EPS of $3.51 and Adjusted Diluted EPS of $3.86
- GRF SM : Grifols Publishes CNMV’s Conclusions on Gotham Report
- GRF SM : Grifols’ Financials Have No Big Errors, Spanish Regulator Says
- INTRUM SS : Bond Traders Raise the Alarm on Intrum's Mountain of Debt
- KPN NA : Koninklijke KPN N.V.: ACM Approves Youfone Acquisition
- LGEN LN : Legal & General Shelves China Business License Plan: Reuters
- LULU US : Lululemon 1Q Net Revenue Forecast Misses Estimates: Snapshot
- MC FP : LVMH Group Managing Director Toni Belloni to Step Down
- MSFT US : Microsoft to Pay Inflection AI $650 Million After Hiring Staff
- MOR GY : MorphoSys Gets Final Antitrust Approval for Takeover by Novartis
- ALCOX FP : Nicox Needs Further Financing to Meet Debt Reorg Requirements
- NKE US : Nike 3Q Revenue Meets Estimates
- NOVOB DC : Novo Nordisk owner joins the race for Healthium Medtech
- RKT LN : Abbott, Reckitt Likely Face Up to $3 Billion NEC Legal Exposure
- RDDT US :
- RNO FP : Renault, Volvo Group Get Approval for Electric Vans JV
- SAGA LN : Saga Sets April Deadline for Cruise Operation Proposals: Sky
- SAN SM : Allegro Pay Signs Deal With Banco Santander on Consumer Loans
- SAN SM : *SANTANDER CONFIRMS IT IS ON TRACK TO MEET '24 TARGETS
- SK FP : KKR’s $1.7 Billion Bike Crash Is a Cautionary Tale: Chris Bryant
- SGL GY : SGL 2024 Adjusted Ebitda Forecast Misses Estimates
- STMPA FP : STMicroelectronics Plans to Boost Quarterly Dividend to 9c/Share
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Falls as New Short Sellers Target the Carrier
- TOD IM : Italy’s Market Watchdog Approves L Catterton Offer for Tod’s
- UBI FP : Guillemot Brothers Extend Forward Pacts on Ubisoft Shares
- UCB BB : UCB’s Bimzelx Gets EU Nod for Hidradenitis Suppurativa Treatment
- DG FP : Gatwick Airport Plans to Pay First Dividend in Five Years: FT
- WBD IM : Webuild Holder UniCredit Offers 50.9m Shares: Terms
- XXL NO : XXL Offers NOK500 million Shares via Carnegie, DNB, Nordea
- XXL NO : XXL: Frasers Group Buys 133.2m Shares, Now Holds 21.8% Stake

WSJ : Samsonite Considering U.S. for Potential Second Listing

Samsonite Considering U.S. for Potential Second Listing
An additional listing would increase the liquidity of the company’s shares, expand its global reach and drive business growth

Luggage maker Samsonite 1910 -8.47%decrease; red down pointing triangle is looking at the U.S. as a potential venue for a second listing, tapping investor appetite in a market that has been hitting new highs, according to people with knowledge of the plan.

The potential fundraising could be less than $500 million, one of the people said, adding that these details are yet to be finalized.

“We are in the early stages of this process and have nothing to add beyond what is in the announcement published this morning,” a Samsonite spokesperson said in an email.

Samsonite said earlier Friday that it was planning another listing on a leading stock exchange besides Hong Kong.

An additional listing would increase the liquidity of the company’s shares, expand its global reach and drive business growth, Samsonite said.

Samsonite, the world’s largest luggage maker, was established in 1910 as a trunk manufacturer in Denver.

The company was listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2011 and raised $1.25 billion then. Its market capitalization was over $5.5 billion as of Thursday.

Samsonite’s improved business performance, fueled by a resurgence in travel demand following the pandemic, has led to optimism in considering another venue for a listing.

The company’s sales grew 28% to $3.68 billion in 2023, with net profit rising 33% to $417.0 million.

Expectations that the Federal Reserve would cut rates later this year have lifted investor demand for equities, driving U.S. stock indexes to new highs.

However, investors in Hong Kong were disappointed by Samsonite’s plan to pursue a dual listing. The stock was down 9.0% at 27.95 Hong Kong dollars (US$3.57) at midday on Friday.

“While this move may benefit its liquidity and expand investor base in the mid-to-long-term, we expect the share price to react negatively given potential share dilution,” Citi analyst Lydia Ling said in a note.

FT : Reddit cashes out in a stellar IPO — but can it grow up?

Reddit cashes out in a stellar IPO — but can it grow up?
Social media site now faces the challenge of adjusting its sometimes unruly business to please public shareholders

In an interview on the New York Stock Exchange trading floor ahead of Reddit’s market debut on Thursday, chief executive Steve Huffman acknowledged that the mischievous retail investors that congregate on the social media platform might deliberately drive down its share price. 

“It’s a free market!” he said.

For Reddit, as for Huffman, the bet on a public offering for a site he described as a “fun and special, but sometimes crazy place” has appeared to pay off. 

Shares of the social media company soared on its Big Board debut under the ticker RDDT, closing at $50.44, or 48 per cent above its IPO price. This brought its fully diluted market capitalisation to $9.5bn, close to where the company was last valued privately at $10bn in 2021.

Reddit’s journey to public markets marks a turning point for a fringe, free speech-oriented platform dominated by esoteric memes, sardonic humour and gamers, as it transforms itself into a more mainstream discussion hub that enforces stricter moderation rules in order to attract advertising dollars. 

The picture for its earlier investors was mixed. One big winner was the Newhouse family, who through Advance Magazine Publishers Inc own Condé Nast, which bought Reddit in 2006 for $10mn before spinning it out in 2011. Its shares are now worth about $2.1bn, a handsome windfall to their publishing empire, which also includes Vanity Fair, the New Yorker and Vogue. Entities affiliated with OpenAI chief executive Sam Altman now hold a stake worth $613mn.

But investors who put money in at the last financing round in 2010 at $61.79 a share, such as Fidelity, were looking at slightly less on that particular investment.

Founded in 2005, the self-proclaimed “front page of the internet” has battled through management upheaval and moderation scandals to grow to 73mn daily users across its 100,000 communities, or “subreddits”, per Reddit parlance. It is a social media minnow, however, relative to Meta or X, which have more than 2.1bn and 245mn daily active users, respectively. 

Still, its IPO attracted institutional interest. Demand was strong, and the top two dozen investors in the deal, who received the majority of its shares, were typically large asset managers who intend on owning the stock for the long term, one person familiar with the matter said.

Reddit’s surge on its first day of trading, a day after AI infrastructure group Astera Labs jumped 72 per cent in its Nasdaq debut, also signals a validation of public investor demand for listings — even a company that is unprofitable, such as Reddit.

“Overall, this is a very positive development for IPO markets [and] should bode well for many of the pre-IPO companies sitting in the queue,” said Christian Munafo, chief investment officer of Liberty Street Advisors. 

But, Munafo said, “while [Reddit] performed well out of the gate, the stock may come under pressure unless they are able to demonstrate better growth and monetisation”.

Either way, the deal is a boon for Huffman. The chief executive sold 500,000 of his shares in the IPO, cashing out a plump $17mn, and is due to receive additional equity awards as a result of listing the company above a $5bn valuation. He also received an estimated $193mn pay package last year, mostly made up of equity awards, according to filings. 

Historically, Huffman’s style as a leader has reflected that of Reddit’s unruly user base. The self-confessed “internet troll” initially squirmed at the idea of policing the more extreme communities hosted on the platform, relying on these groups to create their own rules and self-moderate. He has defended and cheered on Reddit’s WallStreetBets trading forum that shot to mainstream fame when members collectively shorted so-called meme stocks in a bid to squeeze hedge funds.

But Huffman has recently been forced to tidy up the darker underbelly of the platform for advertisers, present a more professional front to Wall Street and hunt harder for profitability. As a result, Reddit has shifted its ambitions slightly to pin its fortunes to wider tech trends. When Reddit first filed for an IPO in 2021, AI was mentioned once in its prospectus. In the 2024 version, AI appeared more than 60 times. 
dit’s IPO is a regrettable mis-step in corporate governance

Nevertheless, the approach has left Huffman and the company at odds with some Reddit communities, who have been resistant to any changes to the platform. Facing new pressures as it enters public markets, some analysts warn that Reddit’s character could be destroyed and users may seek out alternatives, in a drag to the company. 

“Reddit more so than many social media platforms, has been a very community-based, non-commercial space and people know and love it for [this],” said Samuel Woolley, a propaganda expert and assistant professor at the University of Texas at Austin. 

“I think the big question that should be on everyone’s mind for Reddit is to what extent the IPO will change the very nature and fabric of the platform.” 

>>> US After Hours Summary: FDX +12.5% higher on earnings, UPS +3.9% higher in s

After Hours Summary: FDX +12.5% higher on earnings, UPS +3.9% higher in sympathy; LULU -10.8%, NKE -3.5% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: FDX +12.5% (also authorizes new $5 bln share repurchase program), AIR +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: UPS +3.9% (in sympathy with strong FDX earnings), TXG +2.6% (announces commercial availability of its Xenium kit and launch of a new Xenium gene panel), YOU +1.9% (declares a $0.32/sh special dividend; also increases share repurchase program by $100 mln), S +0.1% (COO transitions to newly created role of Chief Business Officer)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: LULU -10.8%, NKE -3.5%, WS -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: BROS -4.2% (8 mln share offering commenced by selling shareholder), ADVM -2.7% (files $200 mln mixed shelf securities offering), DNTH -2% (stock offering by selling shareholders), AQN -0.2% (Starboard Value nominates 3 directors), FRD -0.1% (increases dividend)

>>> FedEx beats by $0.43, misses on revs; narrows FY24 EPS guidance, reaffirms

FedEx beats by $0.43, misses on revs; narrows FY24 EPS guidance, reaffirms FY24 revenue guidance (264.78 +4.77)
  • Reports Q3 (Feb) earnings of $3.86 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.43 better than the FactSet Consensus of $3.43; revenues fell 1.9% year/year to $21.74 bln vs the $21.95 bln FactSet Consensus.
    • FedEx Express segment revenue fell 2% yr/yr to $10.10 bln.
    • FedEx Ground segment revenue grew 1% yr/yr to $8.70 bln.
    • FedEx Freight segment revenue fell 3% yr/yr to $2.13 bln.
  • Co issues in-line guidance for FY24, sees EPS of $17.25-18.25, before the MTM retirement plans accounting adjustments after also excluding costs related to business optimization initiatives, vs. $17.35 FactSet Consensus, and vs $17.00-18.50 prior guidance.
  • Co reaffirms FY24 revenue outlook as a low single digit decline, this compares to the $88.21 bln FactSet Consensus, which is a -2% decline.
  • Co authorizes a new $5 bln share repurchase program, in addition to the existing $0.6 bln that remains. Co expects to repurchase an additional $500 mln of common stock during Q4 (May), which will bring the FY24 buyback total to $2.5 bln.
  • "FedEx delivered another quarter of improved profitability in what remains a difficult demand environment, reflecting outstanding service and continued benefits from DRIVE," said Raj Subramaniam, FedEx Corp. president and chief executive officer. "We are making meaningful progress on our transformation, while strengthening our value proposition and improving the customer experience."

>>> NIKE beats by $0.23, reports revs in-line, North America revenue up 3%, gros

NIKE beats by $0.23, reports revs in-line, North America revenue up 3%, gross margin increased 150 bps (100.82 +0.55)
  • Reports Q3 (Feb) earnings of $0.98 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.23 better than the FactSet Consensus of $0.75; revenues were unchanged year/year at $12.4 bln vs the $12.28 bln FactSet Consensus.
  • North America revenue up 3% to $5.07 bln.
  • Greater China revenue up 6% in constant currency to $2.08 bln.
  • Wholesale revenues were $6.6 billion, up 3 percent on a reported and currency-neutral basis.
  • Gross margin increased 150 basis points to 44.8 percent, including a detriment of 50 basis points due to restructuring charges.
  • Inventories for NIKE, Inc. were $7.7 billion, down 13 percent compared to the prior year, reflecting a decrease in units.