>>> Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen gives speech in Chiina; says " worried about

Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen gives speech in Chiina; says " worried about how China’s enduring macroeconomic imbalances—namely its weak household consumption and business overinvestment, aggravated by large-scale government support in specific industrial sectors—will lead to significant risk to workers and businesses in the United States and the rest of the world" (24.19)
  • "During conversations this week, I underscored again that the United States does not seek to decouple from China. Our two economies are deeply integrated, and a wholesale separation would be disastrous for both of our economies. Even as we take actions to diversify our supply chains, we seek to preserve the broader trade and investment relationship that can benefit American workers and firms. China is a key market for American products and services. And competition between our firms can spur greater dynamism and innovation in American industries. The American businesses that I spoke to in Guangzhou underscored the significant benefits of a healthy economic relationship.
  • At the same time, I expressed concern to senior Chinese officials that there are features of the Chinese economy that have growing negative spillovers on the U.S. and the globe. I am particularly worried about how China's enduring macroeconomic imbalances—namely its weak household consumption and business overinvestment, aggravated by large-scale government support in specific industrial sectors—will lead to significant risk to workers and businesses in the United States and the rest of the world. China has long had excess savings, but investment in the real estate sector and government-funded infrastructure had absorbed much of it. Now, we are seeing an increase in business investment in a number of "new" industries targeted by the PRC's industrial policy. That includes electric vehicles, lithium-ion batteries, and solar.
  • China is now simply too large for the rest of the world to absorb this enormous capacity. Actions taken by the PRC today can shift world prices. And when the global market is flooded by artificially cheap Chinese products, the viability of American and other foreign firms is put into question.
  • Alongside these specific steps, I also exchanged views with Chinese officials on the macroeconomy and national security. I shared my assessment that the American economy remains strong, with President Biden's historic economic agenda driving both our current resilience and long-term growth. We also discussed risks to the resilient global outlook. I was able to learn more about how the Chinese government views their current economic and financial situation and the steps that they have and are contemplating taking. These exchanges help inform our government's own economic decision-making.
  • Let me end with this. The work of diplomacy is not easy. But in the few months since the Woodside Summit—and certainly since I visited Beijing last summer—we have taken major steps to stabilize the U.S.-China bilateral relationship. And during this trip, we have been able to build on that foundation to move the ball forward on specific issues that matter to Americans. That does not mean we have resolved all our differences. There is much more work to do. And it remains unclear what this relationship will endure in the months and years ahead."

WSJ : Tesla Trial to Size Up Cause of Fatal Autopilot Crash: Driver or Tech

Tesla Trial to Size Up Cause of Fatal Autopilot Crash: Driver or Tech
Automaker says driver in 2018 accident wasn’t properly engaged; family says company oversold the software’s capabilities

Tesla TSLA -3.63%decrease; red down pointing triangle is preparing for one of the biggest tests of its driver-assistant Autopilot: defending the company’s position that drivers, not the automaker, are ultimately responsible for crashes that involve the technology.

In a wrongful-death suit set for trial this week, a jury will determine who is at fault in the 2018 fatal crash involving 38-year-old Apple engineer Walter Huang. The driver died on Highway 101 in California after his Model X sport-utility vehicle crashed into a highway barrier while he was using Tesla’s driver-assistance technology.

Huang’s family is going after Tesla in a distinctive fashion by questioning whether the automaker oversold Autopilot’s capabilities and didn’t take sufficient actions to prevent customers from misusing the technology.

Tesla says Huang is responsible because he was playing a videogame while the vehicle was engaged in Autopilot. Government investigators and the Huangs agree that he was distracted in the moments leading up to the crash, but the family says Tesla is at fault because of its marketing of Autopilot.

If the Huangs prevail, the suit could represent a major financial liability for Tesla, potentially spurring additional cases that seek notable awards. The automaker is facing other disputes involving Autopilot.

“Every plaintiff’s lawyer that has one of these cases will be watching this,” said Matthew Wansley, associate professor at Yeshiva University’s Cardozo School of Law, who has researched automated-driving systems and criticized Tesla’s marketing of the technology.

“The damage award could be significant here,” he said, adding that juries in these cases typically award damages based on the victim’s lost income.

Tesla didn’t respond to requests for comment from The Wall Street Journal. Jury selection for the case starts Monday in San Jose, Calif., with opening arguments to follow as early as Thursday. The trial is expected to last several weeks.

A history of scrutiny
Several agencies have been investigating Autopilot, including the Justice Department and Securities and Exchange Commission, which have launched separate probes examining whether Tesla misled customers and investors about how Autopilot performs.

The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration has also been examining Autopilot and the automaker’s more expansive tech called “Full Self-Driving Capability” for years, raising concerns that not enough guardrails are built-in to ensure drivers use the systems appropriately. The regulator has launched more than 40 investigations into accidents suspected to be tied to Tesla’s Autopilot that resulted in 23 deaths.

Autopilot is available on all new Teslas and is designed to help with driving tasks such as steering and lane changes typically on highways. The Full Self-Driving upgrade features navigation on city streets.

Tesla sells subscriptions to enhanced versions of Autopilot as well as to Full Self-Driving. Tesla Chief Executive Elon Musk has said such sales could be significant profit drivers for the company.

The automaker says the Autopilot software isn’t designed for fully autonomous driving and allows for drivers to take control when the technology is engaged. Tesla says its website and user manuals make clear that the software requires active driver supervision.

The system deploys a series of warnings to alert drivers if they aren’t paying attention to the road. In December, Tesla issued a safety recall that updated the software underpinning Autopilot, adding more warnings for drivers to ensure they “adhere to their continuous driving responsibility,” the company wrote in a regulatory filing.

Tesla said it made the changes to resolve an investigation by regulators.

The automaker has prevailed in the last two trials, with jurors in the most recent one finding the company wasn’t responsible for the crash because they found no manufacturing defect with Autopilot.

In the Huang case, the family alleges Tesla drivers were sold on the idea that Autopilot was safer than a human-operated car, but the automaker knew the technology had serious flaws that customers wouldn’t expect to encounter based on how Autopilot was marketed.

On the morning of the March 2018 crash, Huang was making his commute to work after dropping his son off at preschool. With Autopilot engaged while on the highway, Huang’s Model X approached a dividing area that sits between travel lanes of the highway and an exit ramp.

The Autopilot system moved the vehicle off the highway and into the dividing area, and then struck a barrier at about 70 miles an hour. Huang died as a result of blunt force trauma injuries sustained in the crash.

His family’s attorneys say Tesla is to blame for the incident because reasonable drivers believe Autopilot is safe and can navigate highway roads, according to court filings, citing statements and advertising by Musk and the carmaker.

Among the family’s evidence is an email from former Tesla President Jon McNeill. Two years before Huang’s crash, McNeill emailed the company’s head of Autopilot and Musk, saying he had driven several hundred miles in a Model X with the technology activated.

“I got so comfortable under Autopilot, that I ended up blowing by exits because I was immersed in emails or calls (I know, I know, not a recommended use),” McNeill wrote in a March 25 email that year.

One of the Huang family’s attorneys read the email during a deposition, according to a transcript reviewed by the Journal. The Journal couldn’t obtain the full text of his message.

Prove your case
The Huangs will have to demonstrate that Tesla could have improved its warning system for drivers who used Autopilot, which by then had been in use for a little more than two years, said Richard Cupp, law professor at Pepperdine’s Caruso School of Law.

Tesla has said Huang’s hands weren’t detected on the wheel for six seconds before the crash, and that he knew his vehicle had trouble using Autopilot at this particular spot on the highway before, citing testimony from Huang’s wife and text messages. The company also says Huang was playing a videogame on his phone at the moment of impact.

“The sole cause of this crash was his highly extraordinary misuse of his vehicle and its Autopilot features so that he could play a videogame,” Tesla said in a recent court brief.

Tesla has strong support for its argument that Huang was misusing Autopilot in the seconds before the crash, Wansley said, a point his family’s attorneys concede in court filings.

But the case highlights the issue of drivers becoming too complacent with partially automated technology, Wansley said.

“These crashes are happening because misuse happens all the time,” said Wansley, adding that a significant verdict could force the company to do more to ensure drivers are responsible.

FT : TSMC boosts Biden’s AI chip ambitions with US production deal

TSMC boosts Biden’s AI chip ambitions with US production deal
World’s biggest chipmaker will build cutting-edge facilities in Arizona in exchange for billions in subsidies

The world’s biggest chipmaker, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, has agreed to make its most advanced products in Arizona from 2028, in a boost to the Biden administration’s efforts to bring the semiconductor supply chain on to home soil.

TSMC will make the latest cutting-edge 2-nanometre chips in a second fabrication plant, or fab, it is building in Phoenix, marking an upgrade from its previous plans.

It will also increase its investment in the US from $40bn to $65bn to build a third fab, with 2nm or even more advanced technology, that will be operational by 2030.

The Taiwanese company and the US commerce department said on Monday that Washington would provide it with $6.6bn in grants and up to $5bn in loans.

The subsidies fall under the Chips Act, which was passed in 2022 to boost the US industry. Last month the Biden administration unveiled a deal for $8.5bn in grants and up to $11bn in loans for Silicon Valley’s Intel, which has pledged $100bn in new investment.

TSMC’s commitment helps the White House move towards its goal of bringing 20 per cent of the world’s advanced semiconductor manufacturing onshore by 2030. Ninety per cent of cutting-edge chips are currently made in Taiwan, with the US initiative partly driven by fears of a Chinese invasion of the island.

“TSMC is expanding its manufacturing capabilities in Arizona such that for the first time ever we will be making, at scale, the most advanced semiconductor chips on the planet here in the United States of America,” said US commerce secretary Gina Raimondo. “[We are] massively strengthening our national security position.”

The deal means that some of the most advanced chips used in AI could be made in the US by the end of the decade, instead of chipmakers such as Nvidia and AMD having to rely on Asian production.

“Our US operations allow us to better support our US customers, which include several of the world’s leading technology companies,” said Mark Liu, chair of the leading contract chipmaker.

TSMC previously planned to run its US fabs on manufacturing technology that was a generation older than the most advanced used in mass production in Taiwan. Its first Arizona plant is due to start 4nm production next year, and its second one would have offered 3nm two or three years later.

But most AI chips will run on 3nm from next year or 2026. “So these chips will have to be built in Taiwan,” said Randy Abrams, head of Taiwan research at UBS.

By the time TSMC’s second Arizona fab opens, Nvidia and other AI chip vendors are likely to have migrated to 2nm, said an engineer familiar with the process. Therefore, TSMC’s original plan to have that plant run on 3nm “didn’t make sense”, a company executive said.

“The chips that TSMC makes . . . underpin all AI. Tens of thousands of leading-edge chips are required to train a single frontier AI model,” Raimondo said. “And now, because of this announcement, these chips will be made in the United States of America.”

Giving clients the right to choose which plant at least some of their made-to-order chips are made at would depart from TSMC’s established practice. It would reduce the flexibility in allocating capacity which has helped it generate gross profit margins of more than 50 per cent.

Industry executives and analysts said US tech companies would still source some of their production abroad. “Having 2nm in the second fab doesn’t mean Nvidia will not be buying chips made in Taiwan any more,” said a person familiar with TSMC’s plans, “it just means that they will have an option to issue a special requirement that a certain amount of their chips come from that [Arizona] fab.”

TSMC’s leading-edge fab investment at home continues to far outpace that in the US. It will start 2nm mass production next year and plans to build “multiple” more fabs operating on that technology in three locations in Taiwan, Liu told investors in January.

FT : Beauty group Puig looks to raise €2.5bn in IPO

Beauty group Puig looks to raise €2.5bn in IPO
Family business behind Charlotte Tilbury and Paco Rabanne plans to list in Madrid and other Spanish stock exchanges

Puig, a family-owned Spanish beauty group, is preparing an initial public offering through which it aims to raise more than €2.5bn, in the biggest flotation in the sector in years.

The Barcelona-based company, which owns perfume and make-up brands ranging from Paco Rabanne to Charlotte Tilbury, announced its plans to list in Madrid and on other Spanish stock exchanges in a regulatory filing on Monday.

Bankers have valued the 110-year-old business at between €8bn and €10bn. The company said it wanted to raise about €1.25bn through a primary offering, followed by a “larger” secondary share sale that would take the total sum raised to more than €2.5bn.

The filing did not specify the portion of shares that the founding family wants to sell to investors.

The flotation of Puig, which bills itself as a “premium beauty” group, is likely to be the biggest in luxury since Ermenegildo Zegna in 2021.

It comes as Europe’s market for initial public offerings has enjoyed the strongest start to a year since the pandemic, following a prolonged slowdown. Rising stock indices and the prospect of interest rate cuts have encouraged more companies to seek listings, including dermatology group Galderma, controlled by Swedish buyout group EQT, which raised SFr2.3bn ($2.5bn) in March.

However, not every deal has gone smoothly. Shares in German beauty retailer Douglas fell as much as 9 per cent in their Frankfurt debut last month.

Puig’s move comes as the luxury sector grapples with the end of a post-pandemic spending boom. But the group insists that it is resilient in the face of retrenching consumers because the unit price of its fragrances and make-up is lower than for watches, handbags and other luxury products.

Marc Puig, chair, chief executive and the third generation of his family to lead the business, said it was “important for any family business to have the right checks and balances in place, particularly during generational transitions”.

“We believe that the balance of being a family-owned company that is also subject to market accountability will allow us to better compete in the international beauty market during the next phase of the company’s development,” he added.

Puig has led the company since 2004 and said he would be the last generation of the family to head the business, even though he has no plans to step down. He signalled that the family’s involvement in the business would remain strong.

“We strongly believe that building premium brands requires long-term thinking and having a family behind a company fosters this long-term approach, because they tend to care in equal measure about the time horizon of the next generation and the next quarter,” he said.

Puig is small compared with sector-leading peers L’Oréal and Estée Lauder but has grown rapidly through acquisitions in the past decade, striking 11 deals in the past 12 years.

Those included the purchases of British make-up business Charlotte Tilbury, French brand Jean Paul Gaultier and Belgian fashion house Dries Van Noten.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of April 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Amazon PT Raised to $215 from $200 at Morgan Stanley
* Clariant Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 16 Swiss francs
* Evonik Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 22 euros
* Wacker Chemie Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 130 euros
* Wizz Air Raised to Neutral at BNPP Exane (+)
* Zalando Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 32 euros

>>> Down
* Ahold Delhaize Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane
* Anora Group Oyj Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 5.50 euros
* Kardex Cut to Hold at Mirabaud Securities (+)
* Kroger Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane
* Rentokil Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 480 pence

>>> Initiation
* American Tower Rated New Neutral at Mizuho Securities; PT $205
* Broadcom Reinstated Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT $1,500 (+)
* Essity Reinstated Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 280 kronor
* Nordic Semiconductor Rated New Overweight at JPMorgan
* Onward Medical Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 12 euros
* Pirelli Reinstated Buy at Jefferies; PT 6.90 euros
* Syensqo Rated New Neutral at Citi; PT 91 euros

>>> Call
* Berenberg Says Don’t Chase Equities Rally as Rate-Cut Views Ease (+)
* Citi’s Manthey Says Broader Rally to Boost Economy-Linked Stocks (+)
* Clariant, Evonik, Wacker Raised at Citi, Arkema Downgraded
* Goldman Strategists Expect Europe to Beat US Over Next 12 Months (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Says Stock Rally Reflects Economic Boost (+)
* Nordic Semiconductor Overweight at JPMorgan, Can Outgrow Sector
* Pirelli Top Europe Tire Pick at Jefferies, Michelin Underperform
* Rentokil Cut at HSBC on Slow Route Toward Improving Returns (+)
* Zalando Gets Upgrade to Buy at Citi on Inflection in Growth

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +3.2%
    • Zalando Gets Upgrade to Buy at Citi on Inflection in Growth
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) +2.4%
    • Clariant, Evonik, Wacker Raised at Citi, Arkema Downgraded
  • Evonik (EVK TH) +1.7%
    • Clariant, Evonik, Wacker Raised at Citi, Arkema Downgraded
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +1.3%
    • Bayer’s $1.5 Billion Roundup Verdict Slashed to $600 Million (1)
  • Anglo American (NGLB TH) +1.1%
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.1%
  • Orsted (D2G TH) +1%
  • GSK (GS71 TH) -1%
    • *BARCLAYS RAISES TARGET FOR GSK TO 1725 (1575) PENCE - ‘EQUAL WEIGHT’= APA
  • Allianz (ALV TH) -1%
    • *UBS LOWERS ALLIANZ TO ‘NEUTRAL’ (BUY) - TARGET 285 (270) EUR — APA
  • Glencore (8GC TH) -1%
    • The Very Real Threat of the LSE Losing Its Giants: Javier Blas
  • Axa (AXA TH) -1.1%
  • SSE (SCT TH) -1.2%
  • Michelin (MCHA TH) -1.5%
    • Pirelli Top Europe Tire Pick at Jefferies, Michelin Underperform
  • Ahold Delhaize (AHOG TH) -1.6%
    • Ahold Delhaize Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane
  • Vinci (SQU TH) -1.6%
  • Naturgy (GAN TH) -1.7%
    • Naturgy Said to Shelve $2.6 Billion Sale of Australia Assets (1)

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +3.8%
    • Zalando Gets Upgrade to Buy at Citi on Inflection in Growth
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) +1.6%
  • Continental (CON TH) +1.2%
    • Pirelli Top Europe Tire Pick at Jefferies, Michelin Underperform
  • Allianz (ALV TH) -0.9%
    • UBS LOWERS ALLIANZ TO ‘NEUTRAL’ (BUY) - TARGET 285 (270) EUR — APA
MDAX:
  • Wacker Chemie (WCH TH) +2.6%
    • Clariant, Evonik, Wacker Raised at Citi, Arkema Downgraded
  • Evonik (EVK TH) +2.3%
    • Clariant, Evonik, Wacker Raised at Citi, Arkema Downgraded
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +2%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +1.5%
    • Delivery Hero’s Untapped Markets May Help Sales, Bolster Cash
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.2%
SDAX:
  • CompuGroup (COP TH) +1.6%
  • Hamborner REIT (HABA TH) +1.5%
  • Thyssenkrupp Nucera AG & Co KGaa (NCH2 TH) +1.3%
  • Kontron (KTN TH) +1.3%
  • Dermapharm (DMP TH) +1.2%
  • Metro AG (B4B TH) -1.2%
  • Borussia Dortmund (BVB TH) -3.6%