>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • NEOG -19.1%, MAXN -13.9%, TLRY -12.7%, PNW -0.5% (guidance)
Other news:
  • VINC -62.6% (presents phase 1 data for VIP236)
  • HLIT -8.4% (CEO to retire; names new CEO; concludes strategic review of Video business; guides Q1 revs in-line)
  • CADL -4% (received FDA orphan designation for treatment of pancreatic cancer)
  • PAG -1.9% (to expand its retail automotive operations into Australia)
  • IPSC -1.6% (presents new preclinical data highlighting iPSC-derived cell therapy platform technology)
  • LMT -1.5% (awarded a $272 mln modification to previously awarded MDA contract)
  • TRVI -1.3% (Abstract Presentation at the American Thoracic Society 2024 International Conference)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • CGNT +3.3%, ASX +2.3% (March revs), SAND +1.7%, STLA +1.7% (Q1 update)
Other news:
  • ACRV +62.8% (announces $130 million private placement financing)
  • OPFI +7% (announces $0.12 per share special dividend, $20 million share repurchase program)
  • ALKS +6.1% (Topline Results From Phase 1b Study of ALKS 2680 Demonstrating Improved Wakefulness in Patients With Narcolepsy Type 2 and Idiopathic Hypersomnia)
  • OMGA +5.8% (Presents New Preclinical Data at AACR 2024 Supporting the Potential of Precision Epigenomic Control)
  • SYRS +5.8% (receives fast track designation from the FDA for tamibarotene for the treatment of newly diagnosed unfit AML with RARA gene overexpression)
  • CDE +5.1% (provides update on mine)
  • NUVL +5% (presents new preclinical data)
  • HL +2.8% (reports Q1 production)
  • RKLB +2.1% (U.S. Space Force awards Rocket Lab launch contract for Space Test Program-S30)
  • BE +1.8% (to receive up to $75 mln in federal tax credits for Fremont plant)
  • GOGO +1.8% (granted regulatory approval for the Gogo Galileo HDX and FDX antenna terminals for business aircraft by the Federal Communications Commission)
  • BKD +1.2% (reports March occupancy)
  • AL +1.1% (announced an update on aircraft investments, sales, and significant financing activities occurring in the first quarter of 2024)
  • AMPY +1% (files for $250 mln mixed securities shelf offering)
  • REPX +1% (10% holder,bought 75000 shares worth ~$2.025 mln)

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls
  • Upgrades:
    • Alamos (AGI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities
    • Ally Financial (ALLY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $46
    • American Eagle (AEO) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $31
    • BASF AG (BASFY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Redburn Atlantic
    • Chemours (CC) upgraded to Outperform from Underperform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt raised to $34
    • Digital Realty Trust (DLR) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt raised to $155
    • First Horizon (FHN) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt raised to $18
    • Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $59
    • GE Aerospace (GE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at TD Cowen; tgt raised to $180
    • Hudbay Minerals (HBM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $9
    • Infosys (INFY) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities
  • Downgrades:
    • American Express (AXP) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays; tgt raised to $221
    • Broadstone Net Lease (BNL) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $199
    • ChargePoint (CHPT) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman; tgt lowered to $1.50
    • Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research; tgt $18
    • Comcast (CMCSA) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas; tgt $45
    • Cushman & Wakefield (CWK) downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research
    • Danimer Scientific (DNMR) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt lowered to $1.25
  • Others:
    • Alpine Immune Sciences (ALPN) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $55
    • Amphenol (APH) initiated with a Hold at Jefferies; tgt $125
    • AvidXchange (AVDX) initiated with a Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt $13.50
    • Baytex Energy Trust (BTE) resumed with a Market Perform at BMO Capital Markets
    • Bitdeer Technologies (BTDR) initiated with a Buy at Rosenblatt; tgt $10.50
    • Cisco (CSCO) resumed with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $58
    • Coeur Mining (CDE) initiated with a Buy at ROTH MKM; tgt $5.40
    • Enliven Therapeutics (ELVN) initiated with a Buy at Mizuho; tgt $34
    • Frontier Communications Parent (FYBR) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $30
    • GE Aerospace (GE) resumed with a Buy at Goldman; tgt $190
    • GitLab (GTLB) initiated with an Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt $70
    • Structure Therapeutics (GPCR) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald; tgt $65

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up:
CDE +7%, NUVL +5%, NVMI +4.5%, OPFI +3.9%, PAG +3.7%, HL +3.3%, CRDF +2.9%, RKLB +2.4%, IQV +1.6%, PBR +1.3%, SAND +1.3%, BKD +1.2%, BE +1.1%, AMPY +1%, REPX +1%, NNBR +0.9%, ANGI +0.9%
Gapping down:
VINC -52.1%, MAXN -15.8%, HLIT -8.4%, LMT -2.5%, IPSC -1.6%, CADL -1.2%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 9th of April 2024 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Banca IFIS Raised to Buy at Equita; PT 24 euros (++)
* BASF Raised to Buy at Redburn; PT 72 euros
* ElringKlinger Raised to Hold at Hauck & Aufhaeuser (+)
* Endomines Finland Raised to Reduce at Inderes; PT 6.60 euros
* Freeport Raised to Buy at BofA; PT $59 (++)
* Fresnillo Raised to Neutral at BofA (++)
* GE Raised to Buy at Cowen (++)
* Halma Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 2,650 pence
* hVIVO plc Raised to Buy at N+1 Singer; PT 37 pence (++)
* Julius Baer PT Raised to 68 Swiss francs at Deutsche Bank (+)
* KGHM Raised to Buy at BofA (++)
* Meta Platforms PT Raised to $590 from $500 at Cowen (+)
* Molson Coors Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT $75
* Nasdaq Inc. Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $80
* Renault Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 60 euros
* Roche Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (++)
* Sagax Raised to Hold at Handelsbanken
* SOL PT Raised to 38 euros from 30.80 euros at Berenberg
* U.S. Steel Raised to Outperform at Wolfe

>>> Down
* Accrol Group Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 38 pence (++)
* B3 Consulting Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 95 kronor
* Balder Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Castellum Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Colruyt Cut to Hold at Bank Degroof Petercam; PT 46 euros (++)
* EssilorLuxottica Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 205 euros
* Fabege Cut to Sell at Nordea; PT 85 kronor
* Fabege Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken (++)
* Imerys Cut to Underperform at BofA (++)
* Industrivarden Cut to Sell at Nordea; PT 330 kronor
* Klarabo Sverige Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken (++)
* Lundin Mining Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 115 kronor (+)
* Nordnet Cut to Sell at UBS; PT 160 kronor (++)
* NP3 Fastigheter Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken (++)
* Pandox Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken (++)
* Scout24 SE Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 76 euros
* Wallenstam Cut to Sell at Nordea; PT 44 kronor
* Wihlborgs Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken (++)
* Yara Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 375 kroner

>>> Initiation
* Axalta Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT $37.10 (+)
* FedEx Rated New Buy at Fubon; PT $333
* Fiera Milano Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 4.30 euros (++)
* Hornbach Holding Rated New Hold at Quirin Privatbank AG
* Hugo Boss Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 86 euros (+)
* Leonteq Rated New Buy at AlphaValue/Baader (++)
* Mips Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 485 kronor
* NP3 Fastigheter Rated New Buy at Carnegie; PT 250 kronor (++)
* Stratec Reinstated Hold at DZ Bank; PT 40 euros (+)

>>> Call
* Barclays Strategists See Better Days Ahead for Europe Small Caps (++)
* EssilorLuxottica Cut at HSBC on Limited Short-Term Visibility (+)
* Fiera Milano Shares Slip After Equita Cuts to Hold, Raises PT (++)
* JPMorgan’s Kolanovic Urges Buying Utilities, Real Estate
* Nasdaq Now Top Pick in Brokers and Exchanges at Morgan Stanley
* Roche Gains as Kepler Upgrades to Buy, Sees Share Upside (++)
* Tesla Pivot From Cheaper Car to Be a ‘Clear Negative’: Barclays
* Wendel Offers ‘Unique Opportunity’ as Berenberg Lifts Target
* Yara Falls as SpareBank Cuts to Neutral on Soft Market Outlook (++)

WSJ : Artificial Intelligence’s ‘Insatiable’ Energy Needs Not Sustainable, Arm C

Artificial Intelligence’s ‘Insatiable’ Energy Needs Not Sustainable, Arm CEO Says
AI models such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT “are just insatiable in terms of their thirst” for electricity, Haas said

TOKYO—Chip-design company Arm ARM 3.55%increase; green up pointing triangle made its name by devising ways to minimize smartphones’ power consumption and extend battery life. Now, the company’s head says the same push for energy efficiency is needed in artificial-intelligence applications.

Rene Haas, chief executive of Arm, spoke ahead of an announcement Tuesday by the U.S. and Japan about a $110 million program to fund AI research at universities in the two countries. U.K.-based Arm and its parent, Tokyo-based SoftBank Group, are together offering $25 million in funding for the program.

AI models such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT “are just insatiable in terms of their thirst” for electricity, Haas said in an interview. “The more information they gather, the smarter they are, but the more information they gather to get smarter, the more power it takes.”

Without greater efficiency, “by the end of the decade, AI data centers could consume as much as 20% to 25% of U.S. power requirements. Today that’s probably 4% or less,” he said. “That’s hardly very sustainable, to be honest with you.”

The power issue has drawn growing attention from technology executives in recent months and helped drive up the stock prices of companies that own and operate electric-power plants.

In a January report, the International Energy Agency said a request to ChatGPT requires 2.9 watt-hours of electricity on average—equivalent to turning on a 60-watt lightbulb for just under three minutes. That is nearly 10 times as much as the average Google search. The agency said power demand by the AI industry is expected to grow by at least 10 times between 2023 and 2026.

“It’s going to be difficult to accelerate the breakthroughs that we need if the power requirements for these large data centers for people to do research on keeps going up and up and up,” Haas said.

He expressed hope that the U.S.-Japan research partnership would work on solutions to the power issue. Arm’s funding is going to a collaboration between Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and Keio University in Japan.

The partnership is a project of the U.S. ambassador to Japan, Rahm Emanuel, who last year organized a $150 million U.S.-Japan research program in quantum computing backed by IBM and Google. Elsewhere in the AI partnership, Amazon.com and Nvidia are set to spend $25 million each to support AI research at the University of Washington and Japan’s University of Tsukuba.

Emanuel said it was important for the two allies to work together in the face of competing AI and quantum-computing research in China. He said the U.S. and Japan would harness the efforts of industry and academia together, contrasting that with Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s moves in recent years to rein in the country’s tech giants.

“One of the downsides of what Xi has done is squash entrepreneurship,” Emanuel said. “Our model is going to be more successful.”

WSJ : China Vehicle Sales Rebound

China Vehicle Sales Rebound
Retail sales of passenger cars in China rose 6.0% from a year earlier

China vehicle sales rose in March, bouncing back from a weaker showing the prior month and registering a gradual pace of growth for the first quarter of the year, signaling that demand may be turning a corner.

Retail sales of passenger cars in China rose 6.0% from a year earlier to 1.687 million units, the China Passenger Car Association said Tuesday. Sales surged 53% compared with last month, as consumer demand recovered after the Lunar New Year in February, the association said.

BYD kept its title as the top seller of electric vehicles in March, selling 301,631 units, with Tesla in second place. The Chinese EV giant overtook the U.S. company as the world’s top seller of EVs in the final quarter of 2023.

Tuesday’s data showed that Tesla delivered 89,064 cars made at its Shanghai plant in March, recovering from February when it posted its lowest monthly figure since late 2022.

Countrywide, retail sales of new-energy cars, which include EVs and plug-in hybrids, rose 29.5% to 709,000 units.

Chinese exports of passenger cars hit a record high, jumping 39% to 406,000 units in March. Exports of new-energy vehicles rose 71% during the month, with Tesla exporting 26,666 cars made in China.

Consumers have been holding back from buying cars as they look at how the price war among automakers unfolds, and await more details on the government’s trade-in program for big-ticket items and how it applies to cars, the CPCA said.

Consumer sentiment toward cars is set to brighten moving forward, the association said.

It sees drivers in the recent launch of smartphone maker Xiaomi’s first EV, and the Beijing International Automotive Exhibition set for later this month. Expected launches from more automakers in April and Beijing’s measures to boost consumption could also help buoy demand, it said.

FT : Hotel chain Motel One valued at €4.1bn as hospitality dealmaking heats up

Hotel chain Motel One valued at €4.1bn as hospitality dealmaking heats up
Private equity group sells stake for €1.25bn in latest transaction following travel rebound

The majority owner of Motel One Group has taken full control of the budget hotel chain in a transaction that values it at €4.1bn, the latest sign of a return to dealmaking in the hospitality sector following the end of the pandemic.

Proprium Capital Partners, a real estate private equity group, has sold back its 35 per cent stake in Motel One to the company’s majority shareholder, One Hotels & Resorts, according to a statement on Tuesday.

Proprium is selling its stake for €1.25bn, having acquired it for €65mn in 2007, providing the company with a more than 20-times return on invested equity when dividends are taken into account. The deal values Motel One at €4.1bn including debt, said Proprium.

The transaction follows a rebound in travel after the end of the coronavirus crisis that led to airlines recording record profits in 2023 and has triggered dealmaking among hospitality businesses.

The owners of boutique chain CitizenM are currently exploring options including a potential sale, as the group seeks to expand and capitalise on rising demand from travellers. It could be worth roughly €4bn in a deal, the Financial Times has previously reported, having been valued at half of that five years ago.

Meanwhile Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund bought a 49 per cent stake in Sir Rocco Forte’s luxury hotel group in December, with plans to double the chain’s size over the next five years.

Munich-based Motel One has expanded from Germany since Proprium’s original investment, with 94 hotels and 26,470 rooms in countries including the UK, France, US and Spain at the end of last year.

“Together with Proprium, we have built Motel One into an international platform and brand and expect continued strong and profitable growth in the future,” said Motel One founder and supervisory board chair Dieter Müller in a statement.

The group said on Tuesday it planned to expand to 117 locations and more than 32,00 rooms across 56 cities. Third-quarter sales increased 15 per cent to roughly €231mn, according to its latest financial report.

“While the sale of our stake in Motel One will generate very attractive returns for our investors, we leave Motel One very well positioned,” said Proprium head of Europe Philipp Westermann.

Proprium was spun out of Morgan Stanley’s real estate special situations investing team, and has more than $4bn of net assets under management. Its other assets span hospitality, residential and logistics sectors such as Admiral Taverns and the student housing provider Collegiate.

The real estate market has experienced a slowdown over the past two years, triggered by higher borrowing costs, but stabilising inflation and market expectations that central banks will soon begin reducing interest rates is expected to lead to a pick-up in activity.

Last week Gucci owner Kering said it had bought a retail block on Milan’s top shopping street from Blackstone for €1.3bn, the largest property deal in Europe over the past couple years.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 9th of April 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* BASF Raised to Buy at Redburn; PT 72 euros
* ElringKlinger Raised to Hold at Hauck & Aufhaeuser (+)
* Endomines Finland Raised to Reduce at Inderes; PT 6.60 euros
* Halma Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 2,650 pence
* Julius Baer PT Raised to 68 Swiss francs at Deutsche Bank (+)
* Meta Platforms PT Raised to $590 from $500 at Cowen (+)
* Molson Coors Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT $75
* Nasdaq Inc. Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $80
* Renault Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 60 euros
* SOL PT Raised to 38 euros from 30.80 euros at Berenberg

>>> Down
* B3 Consulting Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 95 kronor
* Balder Cut to Hold at Nordea
* Castellum Cut to Hold at Nordea
* EssilorLuxottica Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 205 euros
* Fabege Cut to Sell at Nordea; PT 85 kronor
* Industrivarden Cut to Sell at Nordea; PT 330 kronor
* Lundin Mining Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 115 kronor (+)
* Scout24 SE Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 76 euros
* Wallenstam Cut to Sell at Nordea; PT 44 kronor
* Yara Cut to Neutral at SpareBank; PT 375 kroner

>>> Initiation
* Axalta Rated New Hold at Baptista Research; PT $37.10 (+)
* FedEx Rated New Buy at Fubon; PT $333
* Hornbach Holding Rated New Hold at Quirin Privatbank AG
* Hugo Boss Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 86 euros (+)
* Mips Rated New Buy at SEB Equities; PT 485 kronor
* Stratec Reinstated Hold at DZ Bank; PT 40 euros (+)

>>> Call
* EssilorLuxottica Cut at HSBC on Limited Short-Term Visibility (+)
* JPMorgan’s Kolanovic Urges Buying Utilities, Real Estate
* Nasdaq Now Top Pick in Brokers and Exchanges at Morgan Stanley
* Tesla Pivot From Cheaper Car to Be a ‘Clear Negative’: Barclays
* Wendel Offers ‘Unique Opportunity’ as Berenberg Lifts Target

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Saab (SDV TH) +1.4%
  • Hugo Boss (BOSS TH) +1.3%
    • Hugo Boss Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 86 euros
  • Renault (RNL TH) +1.3%
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +1%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) +1%
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1%
    • China to miss lofty economic growth target without major stimulus
  • NIBE Industrier (NJB TH) -1.1%
  • Mowi (PND TH) -1.1%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) -1.2%