>>> Key Points from Fed Minutes

Key Points from Fed Minutes
  • "In discussing the policy outlook, participants judged that the policy rate was likely at its peak for this tightening cycle, and almost all participants judged that it would be appropriate to move policy to a less restrictive stance at some point this year if the economy evolved broadly as they expected. In support of this view, they noted that the disinflation process was continuing along a path that was generally expected to be somewhat uneven. They also pointed to the Committee's policy actions together with the ongoing improvements in supply conditions as factors working to move supply and demand into better balance. Participants noted indicators pointing to strong economic momentum and disappointing readings on inflation in recent months and commented that they did not expect it would be appropriate to reduce the target range for the federal funds rate until they had gained greater confidence that inflation was moving sustainably toward 2 percent. Participants remarked that in considering any adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate at future meetings, they would carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. Participants noted the importance of continuing to communicate clearly the Committee's data-dependent approach in formulating monetary policy and the strong commitment to achieve its dual-mandate objectives of maximum employment and price stability.
  • Participants discussed the uncertainties around the economic outlook. Participants generally noted their uncertainty about the persistence of high inflation and expressed the view that recent data had not increased their confidence that inflation was moving sustainably down to 2 percent. Some participants pointed to geopolitical risks that might result in more severe supply bottlenecks or higher shipping costs that could put upward pressure on prices, and observed that those developments could also weigh on economic growth. The possibility that geopolitical events or surges in domestic demand could generate increased energy prices was also seen as an upside risk to inflation. Some participants noted the uncertainties regarding the restrictiveness of financial conditions and the associated risk that conditions were or could become less restrictive than desired, which could add momentum to aggregate demand and put upward pressure on inflation. Several participants commented that increased efficiencies and technological innovations had the potential to raise productivity growth, which might allow the economy to grow faster without raising inflation. Participants also noted downside risks to economic activity, including slowing economic growth in China, a deterioration in conditions in domestic CRE markets, a potential reemergence of stresses in the banking sector, or the possibility that a pickup in layoffs could result in a relatively rapid rise in unemployment. Many participants pointed to the difficulty in assessing how recent immigration trends would influence the evolution of labor supply, aggregate demand, and overall economic activity."

WSJ : Three Paramount Directors to Step Down as Company Discusses Skydance Merge

Three Paramount Directors to Step Down as Company Discusses Skydance Merger
Dawn Ostroff and Nicole Seligman were on the independent special committee tasked with finding the best deal for all shareholders

Three Paramount Global PARA -6.87%decrease; red down pointing triangle directors are expected to leave the board soon, as the Shari Redstone-controlled entertainment company discusses a merger with Skydance Media.

Dawn Ostroff, a former Spotify executive, Nicole Seligman, an attorney and former president of Sony Entertainment, and Rob Klieger, Redstone’s longtime attorney, are expected to step down from the board in coming weeks, according to people familiar with the situation.

The directors’ expected departures come at a sensitive time for Paramount Global, as the company is in exclusive talks to merge with Skydance. Seligman and Ostroff are on a special committee of independent board directors that is tasked with pursuing the best possible deal for the company, whether that is with Skydance or another suitor.

The planned departures could be disclosed in a Paramount securities filing as soon as this week.

Skydance Media, the production company that has partnered with Paramount on such movies as Tom Cruise’s “Top Gun: Maverick” and “Mission: Impossible—Dead Reckoning Part One,” has agreed in principle to acquire Redstone’s National Amusements, the privately held company that owns almost 80% of the voting shares of Paramount Global, for around $2 billion in cash, The Wall Street Journal reported last week.

In a second step of that proposed deal, Paramount Global—owner of broadcaster CBS, cable brands like Nickelodeon and MTV, and the Paramount film studio—would acquire Skydance in an all-stock deal valued at around $5 billion.

The structure of that proposed deal has faced criticism from some investors, who have voiced concerns in letters to the board that the deal would be good for Redstone but would dilute Paramount’s nonvoting shareholders, people familiar with the situation said.

Skydance Media is a production company run by David Ellison and backed by his father, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, as well as investors such as Red Bird Capital Partners, KKR and Chinese tech-investment giant Tencent.

Private-equity firm Apollo Global Management submitted a competing offer to buy Paramount for $26 billion just before the company’s exclusive talks with Skydance began. Paramount directors decided not to engage with the offer because it wasn’t clear that Apollo had financing lined up and the company had not yet done due diligence, the people said.

Any deal is subject to approval by the independent committee of directors at Paramount.

Ostroff, who most recently ran content and advertising at Spotify, is leaving Paramount’s board after a year.

Seligman, who last month joined the board of artificial-intelligence company OpenAI, is departing the board after eight years. She joined the board of Viacom in 2016 before it was merged with CBS, the other wing of the Redstone empire, to form what is now Paramount Global.

Klieger joined the CBS board in 2017 and stayed on following the merger with Viacom.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of April 2024 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Amadeus Raised to Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 68.30 euros (+)
* AO World Raised to Buy at Shore Capital (+)
* Atea Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 150 kroner
* Atrium Ljungberg Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (++)
* Aurubis Raised to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 86 euros (+)
* Bossard Raised to Buy at Research Partners; PT 250 Swiss francs
* CD Projekt Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader (++)
* Cellavision Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 245 kronor
* Citycon Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 4.50 euros (++)
* Dometic Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken (++)
* Electrolux Raised to Hold at Handelsbanken (++)
* Elisa Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 48 euros
* Fodelia Raised to Buy at OP Corporate Bank; PT 6 euros
* Frequentis Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 33 euros (++)
* Heba Fastighets Raised to Market Perform at Handelsbanken
* HEXAOM SA Raised to Buy at IDMidcaps; PT 35 euros (+)
* Impax Asset Raised to Buy at Investec; PT 491 pence
* Juventus Raised to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 2.25 euros (++)
* Merlin Properties Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
* Mips Raised to Market Perform at Handelsbanken (++)
* Shell Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 3,250 pence (+)

>>> Down
* Aixtron Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 21 euros
* BASF Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank (+)
* Boeing PT Cut to $180 from $235 at Morgan Stanley
* Catena Cut to Market Perform at Handelsbanken
* Dios Cut to Market Perform at Handelsbanken
* Gjensidige Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 195 kroner (+)
* HgCapital Cut to Hold at Stifel (+)
* Huhtamaki Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 40 euros
* Instalco AB Cut to Sell at SEB Equities; PT 37 kronor
* John Mattson Cut to Underperform at Handelsbanken
* Klarabo Sverige Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (++)
* Mycronic Cut to Underperform at Handelsbanken (++)
* Nel Cut to Sell at Pareto Securities; PT 4 kroner (+)
* NP3 Fastigheter Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 225 kronor (++)
* Sandvik Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken (++)

>>> Initiation
* Beijer REF Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT 190 kronor
* Brunello Cucinelli Rated New Outperform at Oddo BHF
* Edenred Rated New Underperform at Jefferies; PT 40 euros
* Futura Medical Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 125 pence (+)
* Troax Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 300 kronor
* Orcadian Energy Rated New Corporate at Zeus Capital (+)

>>> Call
* Barclays’ Cau Sees Multiple Tailwinds Aligning to Lift UK Stocks (+)
* Edenred Faces Multiple Headwinds, New Underperform at Jefferies
* Goldman Sachs Strategists See Earnings Driving US Stock Rally (+)
* Huhtamaki Downgraded at Berenberg on Uncertain Growth Outlook
* THG’s Better Trading Performance Should Support Shares: Citi (+)
* Troax Rated Buy at Berenberg on Market-Leading Position (++)

FT : Fitch cuts China credit outlook to negative on ‘uncertain economic prospect

Fitch cuts China credit outlook to negative on ‘uncertain economic prospects’
Rating agency voices concern as Beijing transitions from property-led growth model

Fitch Ratings cut its outlook on China’s long-term credit rating to negative on Wednesday, citing uncertain prospects for the economy as the country transitions from its property-led growth model.

The move by the rating agency, which maintained the country’s A plus credit rating, follows a similar outlook downgrade from rival Moody’s Ratings in December.

“The outlook revision reflects increasing risks to China’s public finance outlook as the country contends with more uncertain economic prospects amid a transition away from property-reliant growth to what the government views as a more sustainable growth model,” the agency said.

“Wide fiscal deficits and rising government debt in recent years have eroded fiscal buffers from a ratings perspective,” it added.

China’s finance ministry hit back at the downgrade. Fitch’s rating system “failed to effectively anticipate the positive role of fiscal policies in promoting economic growth”, the ministry said.

Beijing has been struggling to boost growth in the post-pandemic era. It is still dealing with multiple economic challenges such as a prolonged property crisis, high local government debt and falling direct foreign investment.

In recent months, Beijing has redirected resources to the manufacturing and high-tech sectors. It has also sought to curb the spending of indebted local governments traditionally reliant on land sales for revenues.

China has set an economic growth target of 5 per cent, the same as last year’s figure and the lowest in decades, but analysts believe it will be difficult to achieve without an increase in domestic consumption and revival of confidence.

Fitch forecast that China’s gross domestic product growth would slow to 4.5 per cent in 2024, citing persistent property sector weakness and subdued household consumption.

A growth target of 5 per cent is “in line with expectations, reality and the need for developments”, the ministry said. The economy’s “long-term positive fundamentals have not changed, and China’s ability and determination to maintain good sovereign credit have also not changed”.

Fitch also forecast that general government debt — which covers local and central government borrowing — would rise to 61.3 per cent of GDP in 2024, up from 56.1 per cent in 2023, primarily due to fiscal support to counter economic pressures.

The finance ministry said China’s debt was under control, while hidden debt — local government’s off-balance sheet liabilities — was also declining.

President Xi Jinping has launched a charm offensive to revive investor confidence in China, engaging in high-level meetings with foreign executives.

The outlook downgrade follows a week-long trip to China by US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen, who voiced concern about the potential impact of excess Chinese capacity on global trade.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of April 2024 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Amadeus Raised to Buy at Alantra Equities; PT 68.30 euros (+)
* AO World Raised to Buy at Shore Capital (+)
* Atea Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 150 kroner
* Aurubis Raised to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 86 euros (+)
* Bossard Raised to Buy at Research Partners; PT 250 Swiss francs
* Cellavision Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 245 kronor
* Elisa Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 48 euros
* Fodelia Raised to Buy at OP Corporate Bank; PT 6 euros
* Heba Fastighets Raised to Market Perform at Handelsbanken
* HEXAOM SA Raised to Buy at IDMidcaps; PT 35 euros (+)
* Impax Asset Raised to Buy at Investec; PT 491 pence
* Merlin Properties Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
* Shell Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 3,250 pence (+)

>>> Down
* Aixtron Cut to Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT 21 euros
* BASF Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank (+)
* Boeing PT Cut to $180 from $235 at Morgan Stanley
* Catena Cut to Market Perform at Handelsbanken
* Dios Cut to Market Perform at Handelsbanken
* Gjensidige Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 195 kroner (+)
* HgCapital Cut to Hold at Stifel (+)
* Huhtamaki Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 40 euros
* Instalco AB Cut to Sell at SEB Equities; PT 37 kronor
* John Mattson Cut to Underperform at Handelsbanken
* Nel Cut to Sell at Pareto Securities; PT 4 kroner (+)

>>> Initiation
* Beijer REF Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT 190 kronor
* Brunello Cucinelli Rated New Outperform at Oddo BHF
* Edenred Rated New Underperform at Jefferies; PT 40 euros
* Futura Medical Rated New Buy at Stifel; PT 125 pence (+)
* Troax Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 300 kronor
* Orcadian Energy Rated New Corporate at Zeus Capital (+)

>>> Call
* Barclays’ Cau Sees Multiple Tailwinds Aligning to Lift UK Stocks (+)
* Edenred Faces Multiple Headwinds, New Underperform at Jefferies
* Goldman Sachs Strategists See Earnings Driving US Stock Rally (+)
* Huhtamaki Downgraded at Berenberg on Uncertain Growth Outlook
* THG’s Better Trading Performance Should Support Shares: Citi (+)