FT : UK’s nuclear research body consults on plans to cut about 200 jobs

UK’s nuclear research body consults on plans to cut about 200 jobs
Move by UKNNL leads union to question government claims about ‘golden age’ for sector

Britain’s national nuclear research body is consulting on plans to cut its staffing by up to a fifth because of financial pressures, leading union officials to question the government’s claims to be building a “golden age” for the industry.

The United Kingdom National Nuclear Laboratory (UKNNL) is looking at cutting about 200 jobs from a workforce of about 1,100 via a mixture of voluntary and compulsory redundancies.

Described by ministers as “the custodian of some of the UK’s most critical nuclear skills and capabilities”, the public corporation’s research supports the development of cutting-edge technologies in nuclear generation, defence and other areas such as medicine.

The union Prospect, which represents staff at UKNNL, said the proposed cuts appeared to be driven by funding problems that had left the organisation unable to pursue its goals — and even, the union claimed, to honour its own contractual redundancy terms — rather than by any change of strategy. 

“This would be a huge loss of skilled nuclear capability at exactly the time we are trying to scale up,” said Sue Ferns, Prospect’s senior deputy general secretary. 

The proposed cuts at UKNNL are taking place as the government presses ahead with controversial plans to speed up the construction of nuclear power stations by weakening protections for nature, while also creating a fast-track system for “defence nuclear” projects. 

Chancellor Rachel Reeves has hailed these reforms — recommended by a task force led by John Fingleton, former head of the Office of Fair Trading — as a triumph of deregulation that will boost economic growth and energy security and usher in a “golden age of nuclear”. 

Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer was on a visit to the laboratory’s Lancashire site when he pledged last year to “build, baby, build” by changing planning rules. 

But UKNNL — which receives some grant funding but relies chiefly on commercial revenues — has run into mounting cost pressures and financial difficulties.

A strategic review of the laboratory, published at the end of 2024, led to the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero taking a tighter grip and installing new management, although without any significant new injection of core grant funding at last year’s spending review. 

The government argues that UKNNL’s operating costs have risen significantly in recent years and that the job cuts are part of a reset that is essential to make it sustainable. 

The staff at risk of redundancy were “highly specialised” and unlikely to find similar roles near the UKNNL’s main sites, making the government’s recent announcement of a £65mn expansion of doctoral training places in nuclear science look “completely incoherent”, Ferns said. Prospect has also been campaigning against job cuts at the UK’s Nuclear Decommissioning Authority.

The UKNNL said the laboratory was consulting with recognised trade unions “on proposals that may involve changes to our organisation and a reduction in roles”, although no final decisions had been taken. 

Given a “challenging” fiscal environment, the proposals were “about making sure we have the right structure and skills” to lead research in nuclear fission for decades to come, it added.

It declined to comment on the claim that UKNNL was unable to honour its own contractual redundancy terms.

FT : Banks prepare to offload $18bn in debt tied to EA take-private deal

Banks prepare to offload $18bn in debt tied to EA take-private deal
Blockbuster junk bond and loan offering will test investor appetite at a time of heightened nerves over AI disruptions

Wall Street banks have started offloading $18bn of debt tied to the $55bn leveraged buyout of video game maker Electronic Arts, a test of investor appetite as the war in Iran and AI advances shake the credit market.

The marquee transaction, which will help finance the biggest-ever leveraged buyout, is being closely watched for signs of investor uptake as banks ready a handful of large deals they are keen to move off their balance sheets.

The deal comes as riskier bonds and loans have come under pressure in recent weeks following a sell-off of software debt, pushing up borrowing costs of junk-rated companies. It comes after EA agreed in September to be taken private by a Saudi-backed consortium assembled by Jared Kushner and Silver Lake.

“Banks want to de-risk,” said Joseph Lynch, global head of non-investment-grade credit at Neuberger Berman. “Now we have this backlog of macro concerns, banks are saying ‘let’s not sit on this for another month, let’s just get this off our books right now’.”

More than a dozen banks, led by JPMorgan, launched a $5.75bn dual-currency leveraged loan sale on Monday, followed by another $9bn of high-yield bond issuance scheduled for the next few days, according to people familiar with the matter. The financing package also includes a $3.25bn term loan held by banks, which was launched in late January.

In a bid to secure big cheques, JPMorgan has been privately asking its largest asset management clients to commit at least $500mn each, according to people familiar with the efforts.

The bank also organised one-on-one investor meetings with Andrew Wilson, the chief executive of EA, during its annual leveraged finance conference in Miami earlier this month, the people added. 

JPMorgan declined to comment.

A banker familiar with the transaction sought to distance EA — maker of EA Sports FC, Madden NFL and The Sims series — from the enterprise software companies that face the biggest threat of disruption from AI.

“It’s not a software-as-a-service business,” the banker said. “What EA sells is the experience, and they differentiate themselves with licences and contracts with major sports franchises.”

EA management, who pitched potential investors on a call on Tuesday, said they believed AI would provide a boon to the gaming industry, allowing companies in the sector to eventually reduce their engineering workforces.

They told investors generative AI could not replicate the physics simulations that the company’s gaming engines process, and instead offered a view that the two could coexist, like Oscar-winning film director Steven Spielberg and YouTube content creator MrBeast, according to a person on the call.

Despite that optimism, video game stocks have come under pressure as new AI models have been unveiled, including from Google’s debut of Project Genie. The search giant’s AI “world model”, while still only a prototype, showed that video game-like virtual worlds could be created instantly using only a short text prompt.

Investors see robust initial demand for the EA leverage loans — sold in dollars and euros — which are expected to yield 3.5 to 3.75 percentage points above benchmark at 98.5 cents on the dollar, or just below 7.5 per cent all-in yield, according to people briefed on the debt sales. The loans are expected to receive a split of BB and Ba3 credit ratings.

The secured bonds are being marketed at similar yields, while the unsecured high-yield bonds were expected to yield about 8.5 per cent, the people said.

The banks selling the debt are offering investors higher compensation for risk than is typically on offer for similarly rated deals, in part because the transaction is so large.

Initial pricing on the deal resembles that of a B-rated issuer, which on average sold loans at about 3.8 percentage points above the benchmark rate in the past 30 days, according to PitchBook LCD data. BB-rated companies, on the other hand, traded about 2.4 percentage points above the benchmark during the same period. 

“The initial price talk looks pretty attractive to us,” said a large institutional investor who committed to the loans across both currencies. “We think they’re pricing it at the right level for the risk that the business carries.”

Stable recurring revenue from game subscriptions, combined with the potential to increase sales from advertising, bolstered the creditworthiness of EA, the investor added. 

Investors also took comfort in the $36bn equity commitment from the consortium formed by Silver Lake, Affinity Partners and Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, said Marina Lukatsky, global head of research, credit and US private equity at PitchBook LCD.

“When you have a larger equity component, there’s a bigger cushion to soften the blow if something happens to the company’s performance in the future,” Lukatsky said.

However, some investors remain defensive, particularly considering the narrower yields in final pricing owing to strong demand. 

“Anything that has AI disruption risk is an absolute non-starter for us,” said another institutional investor who shunned EA’s loans.

FT : Iran conflict turns shipping market into ‘wild west’

Iran conflict turns shipping market into ‘wild west’
Containers are being dropped off at far-flung ports while freight rates have soared

The conflict in the Middle East has turned the container shipping sector into a “wild west”, with carriers adding thousands of dollars in extra charges and dumping containers at far-flung ports, according to shipping customers and removal companies.

The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz following Iranian strikes and fears that Houthi rebels will resume their attacks in the Red Sea have prompted shipping lines to suspend bookings and reroute goods. Fire as a result of debris from aerial strikes on Sunday over the main hub port in Dubai, Jebel Ali, has triggered further cancellations and congestion at safer ports.

The largest shipping groups, including MSC, Maersk, CMA CGM and Hapag-Lloyd have told customers they reserve the right to invoke a 19th-century rule to allow them to leave containers at the nearest available port at their client’s expense.

Charges for shipping containers, meanwhile, have risen as much as fourfold on certain routes thanks to war-risk insurance costs and fuel surcharges.

David Ozard, general manager at the removal group John Mason International, said that containers due to go to the Middle East had been dropped at the port of Nhava Sheva in India, while others destined for Saudi Arabia had instead been left at the port of Khor Fakkan in the UAE, leaving the company to pick up additional storage costs and import charges.

“At the moment it’s a complete wild west,” Ozard said, adding that shipping customers were forced to pay the additional charges. “If we don’t, shipping lines put our accounts on hold and hold us to ransom.”


Hakan Bulgurlu, outgoing chief executive of the appliance manufacturer Beko, claimed that shipping lines were “pretty much an oligarchy” and “very opportunistic”.

Beko had been insulated from the immediate charges thanks to its long-term contracts with shipping lines. However, the disruption to international supply chains had created a “whack-a-mole situation” with effects in the Middle East rippling throughout fragile trade networks.

Philippe Binard, general delegate of Freshfel, the European fresh produce industry group, said that his sector had been hit particularly hard as March is one of the peak months for export from Europe to the Middle East.

Refrigerated containers were being taken as close as possible to the region before being transported into Gulf countries by land.

“If you go to Jeddah [in Saudi Arabia], you then need to find land transportation [and] it’s not easy, there is big competition. You then have to cross border control, which is not easy in a period of instability,” Binard said, adding that fruit often needed specific documents that had to be changed.

“It’s a huge extra cost,” he said. Companies need to negotiate how much of the cost they will pass on to the buyer, but margins in fresh produce are extremely thin, say executives.

Halal meat consumption also means that shipping companies are having to find new routes to transport live animals into the Gulf. Four livestock carriers are heading for Jeddah port, according to S&P Global. Several ships have already been routed through the Saudi port.

About 90 per cent of the world’s goods are transported by sea, with approximately 5 per cent going through the Strait of Hormuz. Around 3,200 vessels are stuck in the Gulf as a result of the strikes.

Global freight rate increases have been modest compared to the pandemic. Rates between Shanghai and northern Europe, for example, rose 11 per cent to $1,618 per 20-foot equivalent unit container (TEU) last week, “well down” from peaks of almost $8,000 per TEU during the Covid era, according to Clarksons Research, a maritime analytics firm.

However, rates for freight headed to the Gulf have soared. Craig Reilly, chief executive of Dubai Arabian Shipping Agency, said that a typical TEU moving household goods from the UK to Jebel Ali had previously cost about $1,500 but is now at almost $6,000.

On top of this, additional land transport, storage costs, port charges and import fees meant that “unplanned additional cost can readily reach the low four-figure range per container above the original quotation”.

In some cases, shipping customers have said the disruption is worse than Covid because the Gulf region is in effect shut.

Emergency fuel surcharges resulting from rocketing bunker fuel prices, driven by the squeeze on oil supplies, have also pushed up costs.

Shipping lines including Maersk, CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd and MSC have all added surcharges of between $160 and $400 per TEU for long-haul voyages starting later this month to compensate for higher fuel prices.

Charter rates for container ships were also at their highest level since Covid as the need to reroute vessels had boosted demand, according to Clarksons.

Lars Jensen, chief executive at the consultancy Vespucci Maritime, said that fuel surcharges are usually set on a route-by-route basis, depending on distance and vessel size, but in this case shipping lines had added blanket surcharges across all routes.

Hapag-Lloyd said that it was in “continuous exchange” with its customers to explain the charges and that they covered war risk, fuel prices and an additional “contingency surcharge” for cargoes to and from the Red Sea to cover “unexpected increase in operational costs”.

Maersk said that it was in touch with customers to “find the best possible solutions”, including temporary storage or land transport.

“The reshuffling in our fuel supply chain, rerouting of vessels and equipment shortage are contributing to additional short-term and potentially also longer-term costs,” it said.

MSC did not respond to a request for comment.

France’s CMA CGM said it had applied surcharges on rates to make up for rising insurance, fuel and security costs. The group has reopened bookings for Gulf deliveries and is managing some of the logistics itself by truck from Jeddah, for instance, or from Oman, including for pharmaceutical goods and other necessities.

“It’s not as fast obviously,” a person at the group said, adding that the length of the journey and bottlenecks at ports around the region were adding to costs and difficulties.

>>> What to look at today - 18th of March 2026

A rally in global stocks extended into a third day, as investors looked past near-term geopolitical tensions and sought signs of stability even as the war in Iran continued to roil energy markets and fuel inflation concerns. Oil dropped. The MSCI All Country World Index — the broadest measure of global equities — rose 0.3%, in its longest winning streak in more than a month. Asian shares rose 1.6%, led by memory-chip stocks such as Samsung Electronics Co., which are seen as less exposed to the war in the Middle East.  Equity-index futures for the US and Europe rose, signaling the gains may extend to other regions. The moves reflect cautious optimism even as the conflict in the Middle East shows no signs of easing. Treasuries rose. Supporting sentiment was a 2.3% drop in Brent crude, which traded around $101 a barrel. Oil dipped as Iraq signed a deal to resume exports via Turkey that avoids the Strait of Hormuz, and as the US stepped up efforts to force the reopening of the key waterway. The war in Iran and the near shutdown of the vital Strait of Hormuz have rattled energy markets, with the shock reverberating across stocks and bonds amid concern that surging oil prices will stoke inflation. How policymakers respond to that is now top of mind for investors, with the Federal Reserve set to deliver its interest-rate decision later Wednesday. In geopolitical news, US President Donald Trump abandoned his effort to recruit partners for the war with Iran and scolded allies who openly rejected his appeals, even as he repeated claims the conflict would end soon. The US and Israel nonetheless kept up their attacks with little clarity on when operations would end, with Israel saying it had killed Iran’s security chief, Ali Larijani, in an overnight operation. Trump threatened to expand strikes on Kharg Island, Iran’s main export hub, while Gulf countries continued to face attacks from Iran-sent drones. In other corners of the market, a gauge of the dollar edged 0.1% lower as investors awaited the Fed’s decision. Treasuries rose, with the yield on the benchmark 10-year dropping two basis points to 4.18%. In commodities, gold fell 0.4% to trade under $5,000 an ounce. Silver fell about 1%. Focus later Wednesday will turn to the Fed, which is widely expected to hold rates steady, with attention shifting to how it may respond if the fallout from the war pulls its policy goals in opposite directions. Bond traders are scaling back some of the aggressive bets that had largely driven markets to price out Fed rate cuts this year. While no change is expected Wednesday, policymakers will set projections on the rates path in coming months. Traders will also scrutinize Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for the central bank’s views on rising energy prices against signs of a softening labor market. US After Hours DOCU +1.4% higher on earnings; BOBS -4.4%, TTAM -1.2%, LULU -0.8% lower on earnings.

Nikkei +2.72% Hang Seng +0.21% CSI -0.23% Shanghai -0.31% Shenzen +0.16%

Eur$ 1.1546 CNH 6.8761 CNY 6.8766 JPY 158.72 GBP 1.3370 CHF 0.7851 RUB 82.6535 TRY 44.2147 WTI$ 92.94 -3.40% Gold 5,000 -0.04% BTC 73,400 -0.73% ETH 2,323 -0.45%

S&P +0.51% Nasdaq +0.65% EuroStoxx +1.06% FTSE +0.15% Dax +0.83% SMI +0.32%

Macro :
- Spain Weighs Buying More Algerian Gas as War Tightens Supplies
- Dollar Strength May Be More Limited Than in Past Shocks: Goldman
- Hedge Funds Bet BOJ to Lift Yen, JGB Yields With Hawkish Hints
- Ruling overturns Senegal's Africa Cup title and declares Morocco the champion. Senegal to appeal

Keep an eye on :
- ACE IM : Acea Holder Suez International Offers About 8.5m Shares: Terms
- BABA US : Alibaba Hikes AI Computing Prices Up to 34% After Demand Soars
- AMZN US : Amazon Plans Drastic Cut in Packages It Sends Through the Post Office -- WSJ
- AMZN US : Microsoft weighs legal action over $50bn Amazon-OpenAI cloud deal
- AAL US : American Air Considers Liquidity Options, Prepares New Jet Order
- AAPL US : Apple overshoots iPhone production target under PLI scheme by 80%
- AMV0 GY : Aumovio Sees 2026 Adjusted Ebit Margin 3.5% to 5%
- BOL SS : Boliden’s Garpenberg Mine Output to Resume Gradually After Halt
- BOL FP : Bollore FY Net Income Beats Estimate, Bollore FY Ebitda EU360M Vs. EU48M Y/y
- ATD CN : Couche-Tard 3Q Adjusted EPS Misses Estimates
- DNR IM : De Nora Maintains 2026 Adjusted Ebitda Margin Forecast
- DOCU US : Docusign Gains on Results and Full-Year Revenue Forecast
- DWS GY : DWS Hires Daoud as Alternatives Specialist for Abu Dhabi Office
- EA US : Banks prepare to offload $18bn in debt tied to EA take-private deal
- ENI IM : Eni Takes Final Investment Decisions on Indonesia Gas Hubs
- ENT LN : Kalshi Taps CME’s Jha For Quant Role in Prediction Markets Push
- EQNR NO : Equinor, Partners Make Oil Find at Polynya Tubaen Prospect
- ENX FP : Euronext: Implied Prices Dissemination Disabled on MIC XEUC
- YACHT IM : KKCG Maritime Says Ferretti Bid Is Fair, Questions Altus Report
- FLTR LN : Kalshi Is Charged by Arizona With Accepting Illegal Wagers
- GALE SW : Galenica: Blackrock détient une part de 5,008%
- GENL LN : Genel FY Revenue Beats Estimates
- GTT FP : GTT Gets Order for Tank Design of Four New LNG Carriers
- HFG GY : HelloFresh Issues Disappointing Outlook on Ready-to-Eat Weakness
- INPST NA : InPost 4Q Revenue Meets Estimates
- JNJ US : J&J Judge Overturns $950 Mln Award in Baby Powder Cancer Case
- LULU US : Lululemon 4Q EPS Beats Estimates
- MSFT US : Microsoft weighs legal action over $50bn Amazon-OpenAI cloud deal
- 7201 JP : Nissan Exodus Gathers Pace as Ghosn Whistleblower Exits (1)
- NOBI SS : Nobia’s SEK1.5b Rights Issue Fully Subscribed
- NDA SS : Nordea Hires Carnegie to Search for Danish Pension M&A: Finans
- NVDA US : China Approves Nvidia H200 AI Chips Sale to Some Firms: Reuters
- OKLO US : Oklo 2025 EPS Loss 72c, Est. Loss 62c
- OKLO US : Oklo Receives DOE Approval For Nuclear Safety Design Agreement
- OPEN AI IPO : OpenAI preps for IPO by end of year, tells employees ChatGPT must be 'productivity tool'
- ORA US : Ormat Said to Offer Up to 2% Coupon on $600 Million Convertible
- ORSTED DC : Danish Wind Developer Orsted Nominates Aker BP CEO to Board
- PRU LN : Prudential FY New Business Profit Meets Estimates
- NFLX US : Netflix Raised to Buy at Citi; PT $115
- NVDA US : Nvidia Preparing Groq AI Chip Version to Sell in China: Rtrs
- PUIG SM : Puig Names New CEO and CFO, Marc Puig to be Executive Chairman
- REL LN : RELX Holder Offer 24m Shares via Goldman Sachs: Terms, RELX Offering by Holder Prices at £25.65/Share, Terms Show
- RKLB US : Rocket Lab Files for $1 billion Shares ATM Offering
- 005930 KS : Samsung Weighs Multi-Year Deals to Ease Memory Chip Crunch Fears
- SAN FP : Sanofi's Venglustat Receives FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designation For Neurological Manifestations Of Type 3 Gaucher Disease
- SEM AV : Semperit FY Revenue Meets Estimates
- SOFI US : Muddy Waters Says It Is Short SoFi Technologies
- SOFI US : SoFi Says Muddy Waters Report is Inaccurate, Misleading
- SAZ GY (Private) : Stada Hunts for Major Consumer Health Deal After Record Profit
- SRAIL SW : Stadler Rail Sees 2026 Ebit Margin Above 5%, Est. 6.85%
- STRZ US : Starz Will Face Minority Creditors' Lawsuit Over Studio Spinoff -- WSJ
- UHR SW : Swatch Group 2025 Net Sales CHF6.28B
- TLX GY : Talanx FY Dividend per Share Beats Estimates
- TEG GY : TAG Immobilien FY FFO II Beats Estimates
- TE FP : Technip Energies Launches €150 Million Share Buyback Program
- TME US : Tencent Music Shares Slump on Sales, AI Cost Concerns: Analysts
- TSLA US : Tesla Is Sued by Survivor of Deadly California Cybertruck Crash
- oui
- TTAM US : Titan America 4Q EPS 24C Vs. 21C Y/y
- UBSG SW : UBS Faced Technology Outage That Impacted Trading Business
- ULVR LN : Unilever Is Said to Consider Potential Separation of Food Assets
- VK FP : Vallourec Wins Carbon Storage Deal With BP Berau in Indonesia
- VLA FP : Valneva FY Operating Loss EU82.1M, Est. Loss EU65.3M
- VIRP FP : Virbac FY Adjusted Current Operating Income Meets Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 18th of March 2026

>>> Up
* Bilibili ADRs Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT $35
* Demant Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 245 kroner
* Eurotech Raised to Buy at Alantra Capital Markets; PT 1.25 euros
* Georg Fischer Raised to Neutral at UBS; PT 44 Swiss francs
* Heidelberg Materials Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* James Fisher PT Raised to 790 pence from 615 pence at Berenberg
* JCDecaux Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 29 euros
* ManpowerGroup Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT $30
* Naturgy Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 30 euros
* Puuilo Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 14 euros
* Sandvik Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 400 kronor
* TotalEnergies Raised to Buy at TD Cowen; PT 66 euros

>>> Down
* Amplifon Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 8 euros
* Amplifon Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 10 euros
* Beiersdorf Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 90 euros
* GN Store Nord Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 111 kroner
* Logitech Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 80 Swiss francs
* National Grid Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 1,410 pence
* Starbucks Cut to Sector Perform at RBC on Labor Investments
* Tencent Music ADRs Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $12

>>> Initiation
* Accelleron Rated New Buy at William O'Neil
* Constellation Energy Rated New Outperform at BNP Paribas
* NRG Energy Rated New Outperform at BNP Paribas; PT $232
* Pony AI ADRs Rated New Buy at Industrial Securities
* Weatherford Rated New Outperform at RBC; PT $105

>>> Call

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) +4.6%
    • CORRECT: TAG Immobilien FY FFO II Beats Estimates
  • Heidelberg Materials (HEI TH) +3.9%
    • Heidelberg Materials Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
  • Demant (WDH1 TH) +2.9%
    • Demant Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 245 kroner
  • Aumovio (AMV0 TH) +2%
    • Aumovio Sees 2026 Adjusted Ebit Margin 3.5% to 5%
  • Naturgy (GAN TH) +1.8%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.8%
    • War-Driven Energy Shock Splits Global Industrial Earnings View
  • Hermes (HMI TH) +1.7%
  • Sabadell (BDSB TH) +1.7%
  • ASML (ASME TH) +1.7%
    • Adyen, ASML, Enel, Iberdrola, Sanofi, Santander: Vol Dispersion
  • BNP Paribas (BNP TH) +1.6%
  • Shell (R6C0 TH) -0.9%
  • Repsol (REP TH) -1.6%
  • M&G (7MP TH) -1.6%
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) -1.7%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Heidelberg Materials (HEI TH) +4%
    • Heidelberg Materials Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +1.9%
  • VW (VOW3 TH) +1.6%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +1.5%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +1.3%
MDAX:
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) +6%
    • CORRECT: TAG Immobilien FY FFO II Beats Estimates
  • Fielmann (FIE TH) +2.5%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +2%
  • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1.9%
  • Schaeffler (SHA0 TH) +1.8%
SDAX:
  • Deutsche Euroshop (DEQ TH) +2%
  • Energiekontor (EKT TH) +1.8%
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) -0.2%
    • HelloFresh Issues Disappointing Outlook on Ready-to-Eat Weakness
  • Suedzucker (SZU TH) -0.4%

>>> VALNEVA (VLA FP / VALN) — FY2025 Results & 2026 Guidance: Below Consensus, B

VALNEVA (VLA FP / VALN) — FY2025 Results & 2026 Guidance: Below Consensus, But the Story is Binary

Numbers vs. Expectations
The top-line scorecard is a modest disappointment on guidance, but clean at the actuals level:
Metric FY2025 Actual FY2026 Guidance Consensus
Total Revenues €174.7m ✅ €155–170m €175.6m ❌
Product Sales €157.9m €145–160m
Adj. EBITDA –€59.4m
Net Loss –€115.2m
Cash €109.7m
FY2025 revenues of €174.7m came in exactly in line with the company's own guidance and slightly above FY2024's €169.6m, including a variable consideration recognition from the Lyme disease collaboration with Pfizer.
The miss is entirely in the forward look: 2026 total revenue guidance of €155–170m falls short of FactSet consensus of €175.6m — a midpoint shortfall of roughly €13m or ~7.5%. This is not a collapse; it is a deliberate mix shift management has signalled for several quarters.

The Third-Party Sales Wind-Down — Known, Not New
The single biggest driver of the guidance gap is the accelerating exit from low-margin third-party distribution. Third-party product sales fell to €19.2m in 2025 from €33.2m in 2024, a 42% decline — a planned reduction — while proprietary product sales grew 9% at constant exchange rates excluding third-party items.
This is the correct read: the underlying commercial engine (IXIARO, DUKORAL, IXCHIQ) is actually accelerating. The revenue haircut in 2026 guidance is a quality-of-earnings improvement, not demand deterioration. Consensus had arguably not fully adjusted for the pace of third-party wind-down.

IXCHIQ — The Overhang That Lingers
IXCHIQ sales in 9M 2025 were €7.6m vs. €1.8m in 9M 2024, boosted by supply to La Réunion during a chikungunya outbreak, but a U.S. license suspension significantly constrained the travelers' segment. The FDA situation remains an open item — no resolution has been announced as of today's results. This is the key near-term commercial risk that the market will interrogate on the webcast.

The Only Thing That Matters: VALOR Phase 3 Data
Everything else is noise. Management is flagging 2026 as potentially transformational, with Phase 3 VALOR data for VLA15 expected in H1 2026, followed by Pfizer targeting BLA submission to the FDA and MAA to the EMA in 2026 subject to positive results.
Context on VALOR:
  • The VALOR trial enrolled 9,437 participants aged 5 and older across the US, Europe, and Canada in Lyme-endemic areas.
  • Phase 2 data has been consistently clean: seroconversion rates above 90% for all six OspA serotypes across pediatric, adolescent, and adult groups.
  • The one historical red flag: in February 2023, Pfizer discontinued approximately half of US participants due to GCP violations at third-party clinical trial sites — unrelated to safety. This forced re-enrollment and delayed timelines but did not impair the scientific thesis.
Lyme disease vaccine market potential is substantial: ~476,000 annual US diagnoses and ~130,000 in Europe, with zero approved human vaccines globally. First-mover advantage with Pfizer's commercial infrastructure behind it is a genuinely differentiated asset.

Cash & Balance Sheet
Year-end cash of €109.7m following successful debt refinancing provides enhanced financial flexibility. With adj. EBITDA losses of €59.4m and management guiding for further reduction in operating cash burn in 2026, the company has runway through the VALOR readout without obvious dilution risk — a key concern that has historically weighed on the stock.

Read-Across for Your Fiche Biotech Universe
A few relevant signals for your broader coverage:
  • VALOR success scenario is a positive read-across for any infectious disease/vaccine name with binary Phase 3 catalysts — sets a constructive tone for biotech event risk appetite into H1 2026.
  • Pfizer BLA/MAA filing in 2026 (if data positive) would be one of the most significant vaccine regulatory events of the year — watch for co-commercialisation milestone payments flowing to Valneva (material to its P&L).
  • Negative VALOR scenario would likely be severe for VLA — the stock would re-rate entirely on the commercial franchise alone, which at guidance midpoint (~€162.5m revenues, still loss-making) is worth considerably less than current market cap.

Bottom Line
The guidance miss is real but largely mechanical (third-party wind-down, FX, IXCHIQ US headwind). The commercial franchise ex-third-party is growing. The binary is VALOR: positive data in H1 2026 is transformative; negative is devastating. The stock is a levered option on VLA15, dressed in a travel vaccine wrapper. The CFO's comment about "resilience" and "disciplined execution" is the right tone — management is not over-promising. Watch the webcast closely for any colour on VALOR data timing within H1 and any FDA IXCHIQ update.

WSJ : Two Yet-to-Be-Built Miami Penthouses Sell for Nearly $50 Million Each

Two Yet-to-Be-Built Miami Penthouses Sell for Nearly $50 Million Each
The 66th-floor units at the Residences at Mandarin Oriental, Miami, will each have private pools


THE DEAL: In another major deal for the Miami market, two duplex penthouses at a yet-to-be-built condominium on Brickell Key are in contract for $49.9 million each, according to developer Swire Properties. If either unit closes at that price, it will set a condo record for the city of Miami, Swire said.

THE ASK: The two condo units at the Residences at Mandarin Oriental, Miami, were offered as a single residence asking $100 million, or separate homes priced at $50 million apiece, when sales at the building launched in 2024.

THE BUYER: Two different buyers signed contracts on the units within weeks of each other, according to Swire President Dave Martin, who declined to identify the purchasers. One is from California, according to a person close to the deal. Ivan Chorney of Compass, who represented one of the buyers with colleague Michael Martirena, declined to identify his client, but said the individual is from the West Coast.

THE SPECS: Each unit is roughly 8,000 square feet with five bedrooms, two kitchens and a library. They are both on the 66th floor with ocean views, terraces and private outdoor lap pools.

THE BUILDING: The new hotel and condo project will be built on the site of the old Mandarin Oriental hotel. The developer is planning to demolish the circa-2000 hotel next month, and the structure is slated to be completed in 2030.

The project comprises two towers with around 300 condos combined and amenities including 11 pools. The 33-story north tower will have a new Mandarin Oriental hotel and residences.

Swire said since sales launched, more than 50% of the condos in the south tower have gone into contract, for more than $1.3 billion in total sales. Fortune Development Sales is handling sales.


THE MARKET: Covid supercharged demand for luxury housing in Miami, a trend that has accelerated as wealthy investors and business owners relocate to Florida from other states. “There is a lot of wealth migration and tax flight,” said Chorney.

The Miami area has seen a number of big-ticket sales recently. In February, the total number of Miami home sales rose 9.6% year over year, while condo sales were up 14.7% from February 2025, according to the Miami Association of Realtors. Howard Schultz, the billionaire former chairman and chief executive of Starbucks, recently paid about $44 million for a penthouse at the Surf Club, Four Seasons Private Residences in Surfside.

The most expensive condo sale to date in the Miami area was a penthouse in Surfside that closed for $86 million last year, according to Miller Samuel.

>>> Amazon/USPS Divorce: Read-Throughs Across Logistics March 18 (Autostore)

Amazon/USPS Divorce: Read-Throughs Across Logistics March 18, 2026

The Setup
Amazon is cutting its USPS volume by at least two-thirds before its contract expires in October. USPS delivered more than a billion packages for Amazon last year, representing close to 15% of all packages delivered nationally. This is not a bilateral shock — it cascades across the entire logistics ecosystem.

UPS — Paradoxically Positive, but Execution Risk
The Amazon divorce is actually a continuation of deliberate UPS strategy, not new news. UPS reduced its Amazon volume by 1 million packages a day in 2025 — internally called the "Amazon Glide Down" — and plans to cut by the same amount again in 2026, targeting a more than 50% reduction by mid-year. The thesis: Amazon packages are margin-dilutive, and removing them frees capacity for higher-yield B2B and healthcare shipments. The risk is volume deleverage and fixed-cost absorption in the transition. Watch Q2 guidance carefully.
FedEx — Already Out, Now a Beneficiary on the Margin
FedEx walked away from Amazon ground delivery in 2019. FedEx only recently returned for a limited oversized-package deal. They are structurally best positioned: no Amazon dependency, and any volume reallocation by smaller shippers fleeing USPS/Amazon disruption lands on FedEx's network. Combined with a 5.9% GRI in effect for 2026, with real-world cost increases running 8–12% once surcharges and dimensional rule changes are factored in, FedEx pricing power is intact.
DHL — Watch International & B2C Overflow
DHL's primary exposure is cross-border and international. The structural shift accelerates Amazon's push to internalize domestic last-mile, potentially redirecting third-party merchant volumes toward DHL eCommerce for non-Amazon platforms (Shopify, TikTok Shop, etc.). Net directionally positive for DHL's eCommerce division — less so for express.
USPS — Existential Pressure Intensifying
The clearest loser. In fiscal 2025, USPS reported a net loss of $9 billion, and Postmaster General Steiner warned Congress the agency could run out of cash in approximately one year. Amazon's departure leaves expensive new parcel-sorting infrastructure underutilized. USPS currently handles 30–40% of Amazon deliveries in rural areas — the hardest to replace. Steiner is asking Congress to lift the $15bn debt ceiling and deregulate pricing. The political calculus in Washington is uncertain.

Logistics Infrastructure & Warehousing
The broader read-through here is strongly positive for automation capex:
  1. Amazon's internal network build-out is accelerating. Amazon has invested over $16 billion in its Delivery Service Partner program since 2018, plus $4+ billion in rural expansion. More internalization = more fulfillment centers, more automated sortation.
  2. Warehouse automation secular tailwind confirmed. The logistics automation market is projected to reach $90.78 billion by 2026, growing to $144.78 billion by 2031 at a 9.78% CAGR, driven by rising e-commerce volumes, labor shortages, and net-zero commitments.
  3. Micro-fulfillment is the structural winner. As last-mile costs rise and Amazon internalizes delivery, competing retailers must automate proximity fulfillment. E-commerce companies are expected to account for nearly 25% of new warehouse leasing in 2026, with power-ready, automation-capable logistics facilities becoming a top-three factor in location selection globally.

AutoStore (AUTO NO) — Specific Read-Through
The USPS/Amazon disruption is a medium-term positive for AutoStore:
  • The forced restructuring of last-mile networks pushes retailers and 3PLs to automate upstream fulfillment to absorb cost increases at the carrier level. Less cheap USPS volume = more pressure to optimize picks per hour.
  • AutoStore is specifically named as a key player in the micro-fulfillment market, which is forecast to grow at a 41.2% CAGR, driven by demand for high-density robotic storage in space-constrained urban fulfillment environments.
  • AutoStore's CarouselAI launched in 2025, offering retrofit-friendly robotic picking — directly targeting operators who cannot afford greenfield builds but need to upgrade throughput.
  • The Forrester-cited payback of 18 months and 79% ROI makes the investment case easier to justify as carrier costs structurally increase.
Risk: AutoStore's exposure to Amazon-direct is limited, but any slowdown in 3PL capex decisions (given macro uncertainty) could push out sales cycles.

Bottom Line
Entity Read-Through Magnitude
UPS Positive (if execution holds) Medium
FedEx Positive Medium
DHL eCommerce Modestly positive Small-Medium
USPS Negative, potentially severe Large
AutoStore / Warehouse Automation Positive, secular Medium-Large
3PLs / Logistics Real Estate (Prologis) Positive Medium
The Amazon/USPS divorce is less a one-off event than an acceleration of a trend that has been running for three years: the dis-intermediation of legacy carriers, the build-out of proprietary networks, and the automation of everything upstream. The biggest winners are those supplying the picks, not those driving the trucks.