>>> US Research Calls II

Research Calls II
  • Upgrades:
    • BioMarin Pharmaceutical (BMRN) upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer; tgt $98
    • First Financial (THFF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Janney; tgt $58
    • Uniti Group (UNIT) upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James; tgt raised to $8
  • Others:
    • AirJoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ) initiated with a Buy at Alliance Global Partners; tgt $11
    • Compass Therapeutics (CMPX) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $12
    • Consensus Cloud Solution (CCSI) started with a Buy at Freedom Capital Markets
    • Kennedy Wilson (KW) resumed with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $9
    • MSC Income Fund (MSIF) initiated with a Market Perform at Raymond James
    • MSC Income Fund (MSIF) initiated with a Market Perform at Citizens JMP
    • MSC Income Fund (MSIF) initiated with a Buy at Truist
    • Smithfield Foods (SFD) initiated with a Neutral at Exane BNP Paribas; tgt $23
    • Smithfield Foods (SFD) initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt $28
    • Smithfield Foods (SFD) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $28
    • Smithfield Foods (SFD) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $27
    • Smithfield Foods (SFD) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $28
    • Smithfield Foods (SFD) initiated with a Buy at Goldman; tgt $32
    • Tourmaline Bio (TRML) initiated with an Outperform at LifeSci Capital
    • VSee Lab (VSEE) initiated with a Buy at Maxim Group; tgt $5

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Alibaba (BABA) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $180
    • Amneal Pharmaceuticals (AMRX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt raised to $12
    • Bath & Body Works (BBWI) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays; tgt raised to $43
    • Block (XYZ) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt lowered to $89
    • Bluebirdbio (BLUE) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JP Morgan
    • Carrier Global (CARR) upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research; tgt $80
    • Century Aluminum (CENX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital Markets; tgt $22
    • CF Industries (CF) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt $84
    • ESAB Corp. (ESAB) upgraded to In-line from Underperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $120
    • Floor & Decor (FND) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel; tgt raised to $110
    • Freshpet (FRPT) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt lowered to $150
    • Janus Henderson Group (JHG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS; tgt raised to $50
    • NIKE (NKE) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies; tgt raised to $115
    • NMI Hldgs (NMIH) upgraded to Outperform from Mkt Perform at Keefe Bruyette; tgt $43
    • Old Dominion (ODFL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel; tgt raised to $200
    • RTX (RTX) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS; tgt $147
    • Saia (SAIA) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel; tgt $524
    • Select Medical (SEM) upgraded to Buy from Hold at The Benchmark Company; tgt $23
    • Transdigm Group (TDG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS; tgt $1595
    • Twilio (TWLO) upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $160
    • Wingstop (WING) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim; tgt $280
    • XPeng (XPEV) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS; tgt raised to $18
    • XPO, Inc. (XPO) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel; tgt $147
  • Downgrades:
    • Arbor Realty Trust (ABR) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
    • Conagra (CAG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman; tgt lowered to $26
    • Exelixis (EXEL) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt $36
    • Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Seaport Research Partners
    • GDS Holdings (GDS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies; tgt raised to $45
    • Intra-Cellular Therapies (ITCI) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Mizuho; tgt lowered to $132
    • Lucid Group (LCID) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Redburn Atlantic; tgt lowered to $1.13
    • Nordson (NDSN) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas; tgt $219
    • Rivian Automotive (RIVN) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt lowered to $10
  • Others:
    • Agios Pharma (AGIO) initiated with a Buy at H.C. Wainwright; tgt $58
    • Aramark (ARMK) resumed with a Buy at Citigroup; tgt $48
    • Beta Bionics (BBNX) initiated with an Outperform at Leerink Partners; tgt $28
    • Beta Bionics (BBNX) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $26
    • Beta Bionics (BBNX) initiated with a Buy at Stifel; tgt $25
    • Blue Owl Capital (OWL) initiated with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $29
    • Boyd Gaming (BYD) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $81
    • Cintas (CTAS) resumed with a Sell at Citigroup; tgt $161
    • Compass Therapeutics (CMPX) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $12
    • Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) resumed with a Sell at Citigroup
    • Kimbell Royalty Partners (KRP) initiated with a Buy at Texas Capital

>>> US Gapping down



From: Laurent Chekroun (MAKOR CAPITAL MARKET) At: 02/24/25 14:53:14 UTC+1:00
Subject: >>> US Gapping down
Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • DPZ -3.8%, FDP -3.8%, WLK -2.9%, BCRX -2.3%
Other news:
  • TH -37.8% (received notice that the U.S. government intends to terminate the existing Pecos Children's Center services agreement with Target's nonprofit partner, effective immediately, or on or about February 21, 2025)
  • IVVD -37.6% (FDA declined Invivyd's request to expand existing emergency use authorization of PEMGARDA)
  • U -7.1% (announces its intent to offer, subject to market conditions and other factors, $500.0 mln aggregate principal amount of Convertible Senior Notes due 2030 in a private placement)
  • CCRN -2.5% (Cross Country and Aya each received a request for additional information from the FTC in connection with the FTC's review of the transactions contemplated by the merger agreement)
  • RUM -2.4% (issues statement on Dan Bongino being named Deputy Director of the FBI)
  • BCRX -2.3% (announces positive results from APeX-P trial for ORLADEYO in pediatric patients with hereditary angioedema aged 2 to <12 years)
Analyst comments:
  • GDS -6.5% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies)
  • RIVN -3.2% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities)
  • EXEL -1.3% (downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Wells Fargo)
  • CAG -0.8% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • AZUL +7.7%, SSL +5.4%, VLRS +4.1%, KOS +3.5%, SMMT +2.8%, OC +2.1%, BRK.B +1%
Other news:
  • IOBT +15.5% (Announces New Preclinical Data for Additional Pipeline Candidate Presented at the AACR-IO Conference)
  • TRDA +7.4% (FDA has lifted the clinical hold on ENTR-601-44 and provided authorization to initiate ELEVATE-44-102)
  • AB +5% (Equitable Holding (EQH) commenced a cash tender offer to purchase up to 46,000,000 units representing assignments of beneficial ownership of limited partnership interests in AllianceBernstein at a price of $38.50 per Unit)
  • NOTE +5% (announces definitive agreement to divest additional non-core assets to fuel policy-focused growth, boost profitability, and strengthen balance sheet) SOPH +4.2% (leading healthcare institutions adopt MSK-ACCESS for Liquid Biopsy Testing)
  • MTAL +2.4% (announces 2024 resource and reserve statement and production guidance)
  • TLX +2.1% (receives approval for Illuccix PSMA-PET Imaging Agent in Norway)
  • CLLS +2% (Presents ‘Smart CAR T' Strategy to Enhance Efficacy Against Solid Tumors at AACR-IO 2025)
  • TXG +1.8% (Unveils Innovation Roadmap at AGBT General Meeting, Advancing Leadership in Large-Scale Single Cell and Spatial Analysis)
  • EQH +1.8% (RGA Announces Reinsurance Transaction with Equitable Holdings)
  • NGG +1.5% (announces that it has agreed to sell its National Grid Renewables US onshore renewables business to Brookfield Asset Management)
  • MAG +1.3% (provides exploration update and outlook for larder and deer trail projects)
  • AXSM +0.9% (Announces SYMBRAVO (meloxicam and rizatriptan) Achieves Primary Endpoint in the EMERGE Phase 3 Trial in Migraine Patients Experiencing Inadequate Response to Oral CGRP Inhibitors)
  • GSK +0.8% (commences stock buyback program)
Analyst comments:
  • TWLO +3.2% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • NKE +2.3% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies)
  • WING +1.7% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim)
  • CARR +1.6% (upgraded to Outperform from Peer Perform at Wolfe Research)
  • RTX +1% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS)

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Just Eat Takeaway (T5W TH) +56%
    • Prosus to Buy Just Eat Takeaway in $4.3 Billion Cash Deal (1)
  • BAE (BSP TH) +4.5%
  • Saipem (SPEA TH) +4.3%
  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +3.9%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +3.9%
    • Watch Deliveroo and Delivery Hero Amid Prosus-Just Eat Deal
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.8%
    • Germany’s Crunch Election Grips Market Wanting Higher Spending
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +2.5%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +2.3%
  • Saab (SDV1 TH) +2.1%
  • Kion (KGX TH) +2%
  • Maersk (DP4B TH) -1%
    • Watch European Shipping Stocks as Trump Proposes New Fees
  • ASM Intl (AVS TH) -1%
  • Argenx (1AE TH) -1.1%
  • Bavarian Nordic (BV3 TH) -1.4%
  • Ferrari (2FE TH) -1.5%
  • Syensqo (2NF TH) -1.8%
  • Ericsson (ERCB TH) -2%
  • Standard Chartered (STD TH) -2%
  • Carnival Plc (POH1 TH) -3.9%
  • Prosus (1TY TH) -5.4%
    • Prosus to Buy Just Eat Takeaway in $4.3 Billion Cash Deal (1)

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Rheinmetall (RHM TH) +2.8%
    • German Conservatives Face Narrow Path to Power After Victory
    • NOTE: Asset Managers Churn Out Defense Funds Once Viewed as Toxic
  • Heidelberg Materials (HEI TH) +2.1%
  • Siemens Energy (ENR TH) +2%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.3%
  • BMW (BMW TH) +1.2%
MDAX:
  • Hensoldt (HAG TH) +4.3%
    • German Conservatives Face Narrow Path to Power After Victory
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) +4.1%
    • Watch Deliveroo and Delivery Hero Amid Prosus-Just Eat Deal
  • HelloFresh (HFG TH) +3.6%
  • Kion (KGX TH) +2.8%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +2.3%
SDAX:
  • RENK Group AG (R3NK TH) +5.4%
    • German Conservatives Face Narrow Path to Power After Victory
  • Befesa (BFSA TH) +2.8%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +2.3%
  • SGL (SGL TH) +2.1%
  • Salzgitter (SZG TH) +1.9%
  • About You (YOU TH) -1%
  • Dermapharm (DMP TH) -1.9%
  • Formycon (FYB TH) -4%
  • Patrizia (PAT TH) -5.4%
    • Patrizia Sees Negative Ebitda Impact From Accounting Treatment

>>> What to look at today - 24th of February 2025

Stocks in Asia drifted at the start of the week as traders refrained from making riskier bets after lackluster economic data spurred a selloff on Wall Street. The dollar declined against its peers, notably the euro.  Benchmarks in Hong Kong and mainland China, which got a lift from technology stocks this year, traded in tight range. A gauge of Asian equities edged lower after hitting a four-month high Friday. US equity index futures advanced, as did contracts on Germany’s benchmark stock index after the conservative party came in first in the country’s federal election. The prospects for artificial intelligence has fueled a rally in Chinese technology stocks, offsetting the risks from US tariffs and shifting wagers on Federal Reserve policy easing. Data late last week showed US inflation expectations rising to the highest level in almost three decades.  Chinese tech shares have staged a bull run this year, driven by optimism over DeepSeek and Xi’s meeting with major business leaders, including Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. co-founder Jack Ma. The euro area’s leading blue-chip index gained nearly 12% during that time span, outperforming the S&P 500. One of the highlights of the week will be Nvidia Corp.’s earnings on Wednesday. Investors have started to boost bets that volatility will come back, with the tech firm’s results the first in a series of events with the potential to send the market into a tailspin.  Treasury futures slipped on Monday. There was no cash Treasuries trading in Asia, as Japan’s markets were closed for a holiday on Monday.  A gauge of the dollar weakened during early Asian trading. The euro outperformed among Group of 10 currencies, up 0.5% against the dollar after Germany’s conservative leader Friedrich Merz said he’ll move quickly to form a new government following Sunday’s federal election victory. In Asia, diagnostic kits and vaccine maker shares climbed as researchers in China said they discovered a new coronavirus in bats that enters cells using the same gateway as the virus that causes Covid-19. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng expressed “serious concern” over President Donald Trump’s 10% tariff hike on Chinese goods in a call with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, China Central Television reported Friday. For his part, Bessent also signaled concerns on a host of issues with China, including “economic imbalances,” the US Treasury said. The Trump administration told Mexican officials that they should put their own duties on Chinese imports as part of their efforts to avoid tariffs threatened by the US president, according to people familiar with the matter. Separately, Trump is directing the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States to restrict Chinese spending on technology, energy and other strategic US sectors, his administration’s latest salvo against the world’s second-largest economy. In corporate news, Berkshire Hathaway Inc. is looking to increase ownership in Japan’s five largest trading houses “over time,” Warren Buffett said in an annual letter to shareholders.  In commodities, oil held a decline as the prospect of increased supply from Iraq weighed on prices. Gold traded just shy of last week’s all-time high as unexpectedly weak economic data and rising expectations for inflation helped boost haven demand. 

Nikkei Closed Hang Seng -0.35% CSI -0.22% Shanghai -0.19% Shenzen +0.13%

Eur$ 1.0515 CNH 7.2371 CNY 7.2379 JPY 149.39 GBP 1.2676 CHF 0.8961 RUB 88.8203 TRY 36.4317 WTI$ 70.20 -0.30% Gold 2938 +0.6% BTC 95,735 ETH 2,728

S&P +0.50% Nasdaq +0.49% EuroStoxx +0.38% FTSE -0.07% Dax +0.96% SMI +0.43%

Macro :
- Trump Orders New Restrictions on Chinese Investment in Strategic US Sectors
- Ukraine Opposes Size of Minerals Fund to Pay Back US War Aid
- EU Seeks Ways to Seize Part of Russia’s Frozen $280 Billion
- China Urges US to Stop Weaponizing Economic and Trade Affairs
- Potential US Curbs on China Investments May Hurt AI Shares: UBS
- Germany’s likely next chancellor warns Nato could soon be dead
- JPMorgan Strategists Say Earnings Keep US Equities Attractive
- Watch European Shipping Stocks as Trump Proposes New Fees
- Watch Gulf Keystone, Genel, DNO as Iraq Ready to Restart Exports

Keep an eye on :
- BABA US : Alibaba to Spend $53 Billion on AI Infrastructure
- ALM SSM : Almirall Sees 2025 Ebitda EU220M to EU240M, Est. EU221.8M
- AMD US : AMD Is Said to Discuss Server Plant Sale for Up to $4 Billion
- AAPL US : Trump Says Apple Will Build Plants in US, Not Mexico
- BARN SW : Hershey, Mondelez Shares Outperform as Cocoa Declines
- BMW GY : BMW pauses £600mn investment plan to produce electric Minis in Oxford - FT
- BA US : BOC Aviation to Buy, Lease Five Boeing 737-8 Aircraft
- GENL LN : Iraq Ready to Restart Exports
- GKP LN : Iraq Ready to Restart Exports
- TKWY NA : Prosus to Buy Just Eat Takeaway for €20.3/Share: M&A Snapshot
- TKWY NA : Just Eat Takeaway FY Adjusted Ebitda Beats Estimates
- CineWolrd : Cineworld to Tap JPMorgan, Barclays For IPO or Potential Merger
- NCOD NO : Norcod Hires DNB for Contemplated Placement of Minimum NOK150m
- NOVOB DC : Novo’s Ozempic Shortage Is Declared Over, Hitting Copycat Makers
- NVDA US : Traders Line Up Hedges Before Key Nvidia Earnings: Options Watch
- PAT GY : Patrizia Sees Negative Ebitda Impact From Accounting Treatment
- PNL NA : PostNL Sees 2025 Normalized Ebit About EU53M, Est. EU92.1M
- P911 GY : How Porsche, Volvo and Rivian Are Injecting Unique Driving Styles Into Self-Driving Cars -- WSJ
- PRX NA : Prosus to Buy Just Eat Takeaway for €20.3/Share: M&A Snapshot
- SPM IM : Italy’s Saipem Near Deal With Norway’s Subsea 7, Repubblica Says
- 9984 JP : SoftBank’s Son Says He Hasn’t Given Saudi Prince Enough Return
- SAN FP : Teva, Sanofi Say New Data Support Duvakitug Efficacy and Safety
- STM GY : Stabilus CFO Stefan Bauerreis to Depart for Personal Reasons
- SUBC NO : Italy’s Saipem Near Deal With Norway’s Subsea 7, Repubblica Says
- TTE FP : TotalEnergies Sees Positive Signs from Trump Admin on Mozambique
- UBSG SW : UBS Shouldn’t Leave Switzerland, Cevian’s Foerberg Tells NZZ

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 24th of February 2025

>>> Up
* Alibaba ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $180
* Also Raised to Buy at Baader Helvea; PT 320 Swiss francs
* Elekta Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 74 kronor
* Legrand Raised to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 113 euros
* Modulight Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 1.30 euros
* Nike Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $115
* Santander Raised to Outperform at KBW; PT 6.77 euros
* Schneider Electric Raised to Reduce at AlphaValue/Baader
* XPO Inc Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT $147

>>> Down
* CaixaBank Cut to Market Perform at KBW; PT 7.28 euros
* Eutelsat Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 1 euro
* FLSmidth Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 405 kroner
* Lucid Cut to Sell at Redburn; PT $1.13
* Tesla Cut to Accumulate at Mirae Asset Securities; PT $390

>>> Initiation
* Itab Shop Concept Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities
* Storebrand Reinstated Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 115 kroner

>>> Call
* Goldman Strategists See German Earnings Boost From Tax Reforms
* JPMorgan Strategists Say Earnings Keep US Equities Attractive
* Potential US Curbs on China Investments May Hurt AI Shares: UBS

FT : Prosus to acquire Just Eat Takeaway.com in €4bn deal

Prosus to acquire Just Eat Takeaway.com in €4bn deal
Deal marks end to tumultuous few years for European food delivery group

Just Eat Takeaway.com is set to be acquired by investment group Prosus in a more than €4bn deal that will lead to the European food delivery company’s delisting from public markets.

Prosus made an all-cash offer valuing Just Eat shares at €20.30, a 22 per cent premium over its three-month high.

The move marks an end to a tumultuous few years for the Amsterdam-based group, whose shares surged during the Covid-19 pandemic but fell sharply as lockdowns ended.


Just Eat acquired US-based food ordering platform Grubhub for $7.3bn in 2021 at the height of the pandemic-fuelled delivery boom before selling it last November for just $650mn.

The deal for Just Eat marks Prosus’s most significant transaction under its new chief executive Fabricio Bloisi, who has targeted ambitious growth plans for the investment group.

In a statement, Bloisi said the Just Eat deal was an “opportunity to create a European tech champion”.

Bloisi is the former head of iFood, the Prosus-owned food delivery app that dominates his native Brazil.

He became chief executive of South Africa’s Naspers group, aiming to double the market value of its investment arm Prosus, which is also the biggest shareholder in Chinese internet giant Tencent.