>>> ShopperTrak: During the 2013 holiday shopping season (Nov/Dec) national reta


ShopperTrak: During the 2013 holiday shopping season (Nov/Dec) national retail sales increased 2.7% y/y, foot traffic decreased 14.6% y/y
- ShopperTraks initial data indicates shoppers spent $265.9 billion during this period. The 2.7% increase is slightly better than ShopperTraks early-season forecast of a 2.4% increase in sales. The 2013 holiday season marked the fourth consecutive year with positive GAFO retail sales, reflecting a growing economy.

- ShopperTrak's Martin: "As we anticipated, retailers saw a gain in sales compared to last year as the economy continues to recover. However, consumers took a break from shopping after Thanksgiving weekend, so retailers were pressured to offer deep discounts and promotions in the final week before Christmas to finish the holiday on a positive note. In the future, retailers who promote throughout the season will be more successful than those who take a hiatus in the week or two after Thanksgiving. Promotions in early December offer retailers an opportunity to capture sales earlier without having to offer more extensive markdowns at the end of the season."

(BN) Carmignac Hires SAC Equity Team to Oversee 1.6 Billion Euros


Carmignac Hires SAC Equity Team to Oversee 1.6 Billion Euros
2014-01-08 12:09:52.520 GMT


By Jesse Westbrook
     Jan. 8 (Bloomberg) -- Carmignac Gestion SA, a Paris-based
asset manager, hired a four-person equity team from SAC Capital
Advisors LP in London to oversee 1.6 billion euros ($2.2
billion) invested in European stocks.
     Muhammed Yesilhark will run Carmignac’s Grande Europe fund
and its long-short Euro-Patrimoine fund, the company said in a
statement today. Yesilhark will co-manage the firm’s small and
mid-capitalization Euro-Entrepreneurs equity fund with Malte
Heininger, who also joined from SAC, according to the statement.
     SAC, the Stamford, Connecticut-based hedge-fund firm
founded by Steven A. Cohen, announced in October that it would
close its London office to scale back in the face of an insider-
trading investigation by U.S. prosecutors. Former SAC London
traders have already been offered jobs by hedge-fund firms
including Moore Capital Management LP, BlueCrest Capital
Management LLP and Balyasny Asset Management LP.
     Carmignac said it also hired Huseyin Yasar and Saiyid Hamid
from SAC, where they worked as analysts under Yesilhark,
according to the statement. Carmignac oversees 55 billion euros,
its website shows.

For Related News and Information:
Top Stories:TOP<GO>

--Editors: Keith Campbell, Jon Menon

To contact the reporter on this story:
Jesse Westbrook in London at +44-20-3525-0426 or
jwestbrook1@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Simone Meier at +44-20-3525-7738 or
smeier@bloomberg.net

>>> JC Penney Company Inc (Holding Co) Reaffirms Q4 outlook, "pleased" with 2013

JC Penney Company Inc (Holding Co) Reaffirms Q4 outlook, "pleased" with 2013 holiday performance
- JCPenney reported today that the Company is pleased with its performance for the holiday period, showing continued progress in its turnaround efforts. Customers responded well to the Company's offerings this holiday shopping season, both in store and online. JCPenney also reaffirmed its outlook for the fourth quarter of 2013, as previously set out in the Company's third quarter earnings release dated Nov. 20, 2013.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down

In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: SPRT -13.5%, TCS -9.6%, SEED -4.9%, AZZ -0.6%, MSM -0.4%.

A few Euro drug names showing weakness: SNY -1%, GSK -0.6% .

Select oil/gas related names showing early weakness: TOT -0.9%, WLT -0.8%, CAM -0.6% (Cameron downgraded to Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt raised to $68), RDS.A -0.5%, COP -0.2% (lowers Q4 production guidance to ~1475 MBOED; no long-term impact to production due to weather related downtime).

Other news: RBCN -6% (announces sale of $28.2 mln of common stock), VRS -5.3% (modestly pulling back), BLDP -4.9% (modestly pulling back), JKS -3% (still checking), LAND -2.9% (announced monthly dividend lower than prior month), OXBT -2.7% (still checking), SI -1.3% (still checking), NOK -0.9% (still checking), NKE -0.9% (still checking), MSFT -0.8% (Mulally said he will not leave for Microsoft), RSE -0.7% ( prices 7 mln shares of common stock of $19.50 per share), PGR -0.5% (still checking), FB -0.4% ( has acquired India startup Little Eye Labs, according to reports), PM -0.3% (following late weakness on potential China smoking ban).

Analyst comments: SHOO -3.7% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray), TWTR -3.2% (downgraded to Sell from Hold at Cantor Fitzgerald), NBIX -2.8% (downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $16), DF -1.9% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank), AMBA -1.7% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham), THC -1.3% (Tenet downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Raymond James), GNRC -0.9% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel), ZTS -0.8% (downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley), KEY -0.7% (KeyCorp downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer), MCD -0.6% (McDonald's downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo), LLY -0.6% ( Lilly downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital), USB -0.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse)

>>> Monsanto beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides FY14 EPS below consensus (11

Monsanto beats by $0.03, beats on revs; guides FY14 EPS below consensus (113.24)
Reports Q1 (Nov) earnings of $0.67 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.03 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.64; revenues rose 6.9% year/year to $3.14 bln vs the $3.07 bln consensus.

Co confirmed downside guidance for FY14, sees EPS of $5.00-5.20, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $5.25 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.

In fiscal year 2014, Monsanto continues to expect strong operational growth from its core business, reflected in mid-to-high teens growth in EBITDA. The co also reaffirmed free cash flow in the range of $600-800 mln for FY14, after ~$917 mln (net of cash acquired) in cash for The Climate Corp acquisition and investment to support the recently announced alliance on microbials with Novozymes.

The co expects net cash provided by operating activities to be $2.9-3.3 bln, and net cash required by investing activities to be ~$2.3-2.5 bln for FY14, including capital expenditures and acquisition-related costs.

Sales for Monsanto's Seeds and Genomics segment in the first quarter were $1.7 bln as the co achieved growth in its soybean business and strong corn portfolio upgrades, including expected trait upgrades across its Latin American portfolio.

Those results are balanced against the expected decrease in corn acres in Latin America, some acre and timing effects related to cotton in Australia, and a more normalized U.S. sales contribution pattern after the step up from last year's accelerated season. Tracking the upcoming U.S. season, the company noted the pace of its U.S. order book and strong pre-pays are tracking well with 2014 targets, reflecting a strong end to the U.S. harvest for the company's products.

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up

In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: MU +10.9%, APOL +9.7%, STZ +7.1%, GBX +2.4%.

M&A news: PATH +31.6% (NuPathe disclosed letter from TEVA that enclosed a proposed draft of a merger agreement), FRX +13% (Forest Labs to Acquire Aptalis for $2.9 bln in Cash; Acquisition is Immediately Accretive; Accretive to FY2015 Non-GAAP EPS by ~ $0.78), CEC +9.4% (reports indicate co is exploring sale).

Select financial related names showing strength: RBS +2.1%, DB +1.7%, NBG +1.6%, ING +1.5%, IRE +1.3%, BAC +1.2% ( initiated with a Buy at Jefferies), JPM +0.5% (initiated with a Buy at Jefferies) .

Other news: CPRX +19.8% (reports 'positive' cardiac safety results of its phase 3 Product, Firdapse Tablets; The study met the pre-specified primary endpoint), ARTC +10.9% (announces entry into a deferred prosecution agreement; to pay $30 mln fine to the DOJ), MSTX +8.9% (provides enrollment update on Phase 3 'EPIC' Study Of MST-188; Enrollment on-track at 6 months with 40 U.S. sites open in 2013), MFRI +7.8% (still checking), SKUL +6.8% (announces Strategic Relationship With Toshiba (TOSBF) to Bring Leading Performance and Lifestyle Audio to Consumer Laptops), QIHU +5.7% (Marbridge suggesting Alibaba considering Qihoo investment), PSTI +4.6% (receives key placental patent in Australia), ENZY +4.3% (announces 'New Food Raw Material' certification for K-REAL krill oil in China), RNN +4.6% (initiates Phase Ib Clinical Trial of RX-3117 for Treatment of Solid Tumors; RX-3117 has Shown Efficacy Against Gemcitabine-Resistant Human Cancer Cell Lines and a Broad-Spectrum of Anti-Cancer Activity), PLUG +3.9% (continued strength), ALKS +3.8% (announces advances with its late-stage CNS Pipeline; Unveils New Aripiprazole Lauroxil Two-Month Product Candidate for Treatment of Schizophrenia; Clinical Testing to Begin in 2014), IAG +3.7% (still checking), ICEL +3.6% ( announced signing a long-term supply agreement with the Nestle Institute of Health Sciences SA. Terms of the agreement were not disclosed), RYAAY +2.7% (still checking), BBRY +2.4% (still checking), LRN +2.2% (announce intent to create new company led by Ron Packard ; appoints new CEO), F +1.4% (CEO Alan Mulally says he will not leave for Microsoft (MSFT), to stay at Ford at least through 2014, according to Associated Press tweet), SAP +1.1% (SAP AG cloud executive leaving, according to reports out), SNDK +0.9% (following MU results), C +0.1% (Citigroup considering sale of stakes in funds, according to reports).

Analyst comments: HP +3.8% (ticking higher, upgraded to Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts), RAD +3.8% (Rite Aid upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan), MTW +2.4% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley), SODA +1.8% (initiated with a Buy at KeyBanc ), TCB +1.4% (TCF Financial upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer), RKUS +0.9% (initiated with a Outperform at Wedbush), ORMP +0.7% (initiated with a Buy at MLV ), SBUX +0.4% (initiated with a Outperform at Credit Suisse)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up: ARTC +10.9%, APOL +9.7%, MU +9.5%, CEC +9.4%, QIHU +5.7%, PSTI +4.6%, ENZY +4.3%, PLUG +3.9%, ALKS +3.8%, IAG +3.7%, ICEL +3.6%, RAD +3.6%, AZZ +3.3%, FRX +3%, SEED +2.9%, RYAAY +2.7%, LRN +2.2%, RBS +2.1%, NBG +1.6%, F +1.4%, IRE +1.3%, CSIQ +1.1%, YGE +1%, SNDK +0.9%, GBX +0.9%

Gapping down: TCS -7.8%, RBCN -6%, JKS -3%, LAND -2.9%, OXBT -2.7%, SLV -1.7%, SI -1.3%, NOK -0.9%, MSFT -0.8%

(BFW) *EU PLANS SEVERAL FINES AGAINST AUTO SUPPLIERS, STERN REPORTS

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

BN 01/08 09:14 *STERN CITES EU COMMISSIONER JOAQUIN ALMUNIA BN 01/08 09:13 *EU PLANS SEVERAL FINES AGAINST AUTO SUPPLIERS, STERN REPORTS

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

*EU PLANS SEVERAL FINES AGAINST AUTO SUPPLIERS, STERN REPORTS 2014-01-08 09:14:56.426 GMT

--CORMAC MULLEN

-0- Jan/08/2014 09:14 GMT

(KEP-CHEU) Auto & Parts : 2014 Still Bullish (Note Attached)

--> Top Picks : Renault, VW, DAimler, Michelin & Faurecia
--> Least-preferred : Fiat, Peugeot, Porsche, Nokian & Leoni

Solid global demand in 2014: stronger Europe, weaker LatAm
Auto companies are set to continue to operate in a supportive volume environment in 2014 with 4.1% growth in global light vehicle demand, after 3.2% in 2013. We expect European registrations to rise by 2.8% in
2014. China and North America are likely to remain key growth drivers (+9% and +3.3%), while we forecast LatAm volumes down 2%.

Still bullish on European Autos for 2014, short-term vulnerability
We remain bullish on Autos, a view aligned with our Economy & Strategy team’s stance on consumer discretionary stocks. Renault, VW, Daimler, Michelin and Faurecia are our top picks; our least preferred names are Fiat, Peugeot, Porsche, Nokian and Leoni. We downgrade Continental from Buy to Hold on valuation grounds. Short-term, the sector looks vulnerable after another strong outperformance in 2013.

Euro strength and forex volatility versus mid-cycle valuation
Euro strength, high volatility in emerging-market currencies (e.g. The Brazilian real) entering 2014 appear to be the main risk factors for the sector given high consensus earnings growth expectations built in for 2014-15. Sector valuation remains reasonable at about 10x earnings and 1.3x P/BV as we enter a positive European cycle.