(BFW) Numericable 2013 Sales Match; Says SFR Offer is Best Option

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Numericable 2013 Sales Match; Says SFR Offer is Best Option 2014-03-12 06:41:51.436 GMT

By Blanche Gatt March 12 (Bloomberg) -- Numericable full-year sales up 0.9% to EU1.31b; est. EU1.32b (10 ests); says performance fully in line with targets set for the yr. * Net income EU65m vs EU86m y/y * Customer base rises 5% to reach 1.7m. * ARPU rises 2.7% to EU41.9 at end 4Q * Capex rose 12% to EU320m; more than 5.2m fiber homes passed * 2013 adj. Ebitda EU616m * Says SFR bid to Vivendi represents highest, most credible takeover bid in French telecoms industry; safeguards jobs, investment in both cos * Statement

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO> First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story: Blanche Gatt in London at +44-20-7392-0351 or bgatt@bloomberg.net To contact the editors responsible for this story: James Ludden at +44-20-7673-2645 or jludden@bloomberg.net Tim Barwell

>>> Asian Update

Asian Market Update: Nikkei slumps as markets question more BOJ easing; Shanghai Copper opens limit down

***Economic Data*** - (JP) JAPAN FEB DOMESTIC CGPI M/M: -0.2% (first decline in 4 months) V +0.2%E; Y/Y: 1.8% (8-month low) V 2.1%E - (JP) JAPAN Q1 BSI LARGE ALL INDUSTRY Q/Q: 12.7 V 8.3 PRIOR; BSI LARGE MANUFACTURING Q/Q: 12.5 V 9.7 PRIOR (4th quarter of increase) - (JP) Japan Jan Conference Board Leading Economic Index: 100.4; m/m: -0.7% v -0.2% prior - (JP) JAPAN JAN TERTIARY INDUSTRY INDEX: 0.9% V 0.6%E (8-month high) - (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR WESTPAC CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX: 99.5 V 100.2 PRIOR; M/M: -0.7% V -3.0% PRIOR (4th consecutive decline) - (AU) AUSTRALIA JAN HOME LOANS M/M: 0.0% V 0.5%E; INVESTMENT LENDING: -3.3% V 2.9% PRIOR; OWNER-OCCUPIER LOAN VALUE: 1.5% V -1.5% PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA FEB UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 3.9% V 3.2%E (3-year high) - (KR) SOUTH KOREA FEB EXPORT PRICE INDEX M/M: 0.7% V 0.1% PRIOR; Y/Y: -3.6% V -1.9% PRIOR; IMPORT PRICE INDEX M/M: 0.8% V -0.3% PRIOR; Y/Y: -4.8% V -3.0% PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA FEB BANK LENDING TO HOUSEHOLD (KRW): 479.7T V 477.8T PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JAN MONEY SUPPLY L M/M: 1.3% V 0.2% PRIOR; M2 M/M: 0.4% V 0.4% PRIOR

Market Snapshot (as of 03:30 GMT): - Nikkei225 -2.2%, S&P/ASX -0.9%, Kospi -1.3%, Shanghai Composite -0.3%, Hang Seng -1.5%, Mar S&P500 -0.1% at 1,863, Apr gold +0.8% at $1,357, Apr crude oil -0.5% at $99.55/brl

***Highlights/Observations/Insights*** Japan - Nikkei225 is leading regional indices lower, weighed down by firmer JPY. Analysts see neutral comments from BOJ Gov Kuroda suggesting the central bank may be on hold for longer than expected in terms of adding to monetary stimulus. Before the decision, opinion was split that BOJ might wait until the semiannual release of its projections in April to announce new measures, however that opinion now appears to be shifting to July to allow the central bank some time to assess the impact of higher sales tax. Abe's influential econ adviser Hamada expressed some further concern, noting the downward Q4 GDP revision should serve as a "warning signal." USD/JPY fell as low as 102.80 before regaining the 103 handle. - Over 60% of Japan's nuclear reactors reported to have no plans to request a restart, suggesting Japan risks continued trade/current account deficits. Separately, Kyushu Electric was reported to be the first utility to be granted permission for "final checks" ahead of resuming nuclear power generation, but that may still require approval from local bodies. Under the best scenario, Kyushu will still be unable to restart a nuclear plant by the time summer starts.

China - Bearish sentiment became more pronounced once Shanghai copper opened limit down over 5%. Renewed chatter about corporate defaults in China and the intricate link between overextended loans and (according to an IG analyst) 60-80% of copper imports of the past 3 years used as collateral permeate China-focused market fears. Note that Comex copper fell below $3/lb in the US session after initial rumors that Baoding Tianwei Baobian Electric Co may be the next in line to default after halting trade overnight. - Separately, former PBoC adviser Li Daokui speculated China may raise deposit-rate cap in 2014.

Australia - After disappointing NAB business confidence overnight, today's release of Westpac consumer confidence painted a similarly gloomy picture, falling for the 4th consecutive month while also piercing the 100 level on the index. Westpac economist said the initial Dec-Jan decline was "mainly the unwinding of the election-related sentiment boost (but) recent falls have had a very clear theme centering on a sharp loss of confidence in the economic outlook and escalating job-loss fears". AUD/USD hit 1-week lows below $0.8950 in the wake of the data. - Australia's seemingly resilient property sector was also soft with the release of flat home loans growth in Jan, even though NAB economists said the strong upward trend over the past year given low interest rate environment will lead to a bounce in the coming months. Fiscally, former Australia Treasurer Henry warned the nation "faces a day of reckoning amid looming budget crisis... Abbott government urgently needs a tax and welfare reform package."

Russia/Ukraine - With Crimea heading for referendum on whether to join Russia this Sunday and Ukrainian PM Yatsenyuk set to defiantly testify at the UN Security Council in New York on Thursday, Ukraine's acting Pres Turchynov appeared to be more accepting of being unable to prevent a secession. With the majority (as high as 70%+ according to Russian press) expected to vote in favor of joining Russia, Turchynov said Ukraine will not bring in troops to contest the legitimacy of new authorities, worried that it would escalate tensions and detract from defense of the eastern part of Ukraine against the possibility of Russian aggression. Separately, US House of Reps voted in overwhelming favor of a non-binding resolution seeking sanctions against Russia.

***Fixed Income/Commodities/Currencies*** - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$7B (largest amount on record) in 4.25% Bonds due 2026; Avg yield: 4.375% - USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1343 v 6.1327 prior setting (weakest Yuan setting since Dec 3rd) - (US) API PETROLEUM INVENTORIES: CRUDE: +2.63M (3rd straight build and largest build since Jan 28th) v +2Me; GASOLINE: -2.15M v -1.5Me - (CN) Shanghai Copper opens at limit down by 5.0%, at CNY43.8K/t; Iron-ore futures down 2.2% in China's Dalian Commodity Exchange

***Equities*** US markets: - PAY: Reports Q1 $0.31 v $0.27e, R$436M v $430Me; +12.1% afterhours - MSFT: Board expands to include Mason Morfit; Declares quarterly dividend of $0.28/shr (unchanged), implies yield of 2.9%; -0.2% afterhours - MW: Reports Q4 -$0.38 v -$0.11e, R$560.6M v $620Me; -1.2% afterhours - CZR: Reports Q4 -$12.83 (incl charges) v -$1.45e, R$2.08B v $2.15Be; -2.3% afterhours

Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: ChinaVision Media Group 1060.HK +235.9% (Alibaba subscribes shares); Belle International Holdings 1880.HK -9.5% (Q1 sales results); Qantas Airways QAN.AU -0.9% (to delay mass redundancies) - Financials: China CITIC Bank 998.HK +2.7% (launches online credit card with Tencent); Greentown China 3900.HK -0.2% (Feb sales results); Evergrande Real Estate Group 3333.HK +0.3% (positive profit alert) - Materials: Hengyi Petrochemical 000703.CN -7.3% (FY13 results) - Industrials: Fuji Heavy Industries 7270.JP -1.3% (speculation on Capex) - Technology: Sunny Optical Technology Group 2382.HK +3.5% (FY13 results); GoerTek Inc 002241.CN +5.0% (FY13 results) - Healthcare: China Resources Double Crane Pharmaceutical 600062.CN +4.2% (FY13 results) - Utilities: Kyushu Electric Power 9508.JP -0.5% (planned utility inspections)

NY POST : Steve Cohen renames fund Point72 Asset Management

Steve Cohen’s SAC Capital Advisors has renamed itself Point72 Asset Management.
The new name, a reference to the Stamford, Conn., firm’s address at 72 Cummings Point Road, was revealed Tuesday in a memo to employees. The change takes effect next month.
The name change and transfer of employees comes as SAC’s settlement and guilty plea to criminal insider-trading charges goes before a federal judge on April 10, when it may or may not be approved.
“Our two new long/short trading divisions will do business as Point72 Asset Management and EverPoint Asset Management,” SAC President Tom Conheeney wrote in the memo, a copy of which was obtained by The Post.
A third SAC operation, its multi-quant business, will be called Cubist Systematic Strategies, a nod to Cohen’s status as a major modern art investor.
Conheeney said Cohen and senior management decided the firm’s “path forward” as a family office would be easier under “new legal entities and new names.”
Teams from the soon-to-be-renamed CR Intrinsic, Sigma and SAC — all divisions where insider trading took place — will move to Point72 in Stamford and EverPoint in New York City. Employee transfers are scheduled for April 7. Cohen’s private investments will be managed by Cohen Private Ventures.
As part of the deal SAC struck with US Attorney Preet Bharara, the firm agreed to return all outside investor money, accepted a probationary period of five years and has to pay for an independent compliance consultant.
“We have been through a great deal during the past few years,” the memo concluded. “Our new names, combined with the other changes we have announced, are intended to help us move forward.”

>>> US Close Dow-0,41% S&P-0,51% Nasdaq-0,63%

Closing Summary: Stocks Slide While Dr. Copper Extends Recent Fall

The major averages finished the Tuesday session near their lows with the Russell 2000 (-1.0%) leading the slide. The S&P 500 lost 0.5% with nine sectors ending in the red.

Equities indices started the day with modest gains and spent the first two hours of action in the neighborhood of their flat lines. Although the early trade lacked clear sector leadership, that could have been overlooked due to the strength among heavily-weighted sectors like health care (-0.3%), technology (-0.2%), and consumer staples (unch). The relative strength of the three groups kept the market afloat in the early going considering they account for nearly 42.0% of the entire S&P 500.

However, another influential sector—financials (-0.7%)—was a bit more reluctant and never pulled away from its flat line. Fittingly, the group was among the first to show weakness when the broader market slipped into the red.

Interestingly, the first wave of selling among financials coincided with a notable drop in copper futures, which have been pressured recently amid worries regarding the health of China's corporate sector. Today, the red metal fell 2.8% to $2.947/lb, a level last seen in mid-2010. Furthermore, the base metal extended its March decline to 7.5%. Considering copper's importance to global industry, significant weakness in the price of the metal can be seen as a cautious signal regarding the overall health of the global economy. Similarly, the financial sector is also viewed as a vital factor in global growth.

Although financials lagged, today's retreat came after the sector led last week's advance. Despite today's loss, the sector remains higher by 1.4% so far this year versus a 1.0% gain for the S&P 500. Top sector components with global exposure, however, have not seen comparable gains. Goldman Sachs (GS 169.89, -3.62) lost 2.1% today, widening its year-to-date decline to 3.4% while JPMorgan Chase (JPM 58.19, -1.01) slumped 1.7%, ending the session with a 0.5% loss so far in 2014.

Commodity-linked energy (-1.2%) and materials (-1.0%) also contributed to the slide while crude oil lost 1.1%, ending at $99.99/bbl.

Also of note, the huge intraday reversal in the fuel cell stocks today was another focal point that may have encouraged investors to take some money off the table. Plug Power (PLUG 6.92, -3.39), Fuel Cell (FCEL 3.28, -0.65), and Ballard Power (BLDP 5.10, -1.78), for instance, ended down 48.6%, 30.8%, and 39.1%, respectively, from today's high. A caustic report on Plug Power out of Citron Research contributed to the sharp reversal.

Treasuries held modest intraday losses, but jumped to highs as the market slid into the red. The benchmark 10-yr yield ended lower by two basis points at 2.76%.

Today's selling pressure contributed to demand for volatility protection, sending the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX 14.81, +0.61) higher by 4.3%.

Participation was below average with 630 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.

Today's economic data was limited to the Wholesale Inventories report:
Wholesale inventories increased 0.6% in January after increasing an upwardly revised 0.4% (from 0.3%) in December. The consensus pegged inventory growth at 0.4%. Inventory growth in the durables sector slowed, increasing 0.4% in January after a 1.2% gain in December. Nondurable inventories rose 0.8% in January after falling 0.9% in December. Unfortunately, the strong gain in inventories was likely not planned. Sales, which edged up a slight 0.1% in December, crashed in January and fell 1.9%.
Tomorrow, the weekly MBA Mortgage Index will be released at 7:00 ET while the Treasury Budget for February will be reported at 14:00 ET.

Nasdaq Composite +3.1% YTD
Russell 2000 +2.3% YTD
S&P 500 +1.0% YTD
Dow Jones Industrial Average -1.4% YTD

(Les Echos) Patrick Drahi "Numericable will not change its offer SFR"

Patrick Drahi "Numericable will not change its offer SFR"

Original article : {http://bit.ly/N4xHxM}
Translation :{http://bit.ly/1fSsWUT}

Numéricâble boss defends his proposed takeover of SFR while the government, through Arnaud Montebourg, the Minister of Productive Recovery, said he was in favor of Bouygues who promised to sell its network of mobile antennas Free to if selected as the buyer of SFR.

Tuesday, you have given three days to Vivendi to choose or reject your bid SFR. Why this very short time?
The AMF has requested that we communicate. We have made a firm offer which expires Friday, and she did not move. I worked there for 7 years. The future of telecommunications is the convergence of fixed and mobile, not the merger of mobile operators in decline, does not know how to make ultra-fast broadband.

On what is your industrial project with SFR?
Our project is very clear, it is the result of a long reflection, not just two weeks. It is based on technology and simplicity. The technology is complementary fixed and mobile networks. This is a real trend underway in the telecom industry, the sense of history and not just a Franco-French vision of the sector. With the explosion of data and usage, mobile networks need to densify. Convergent offers will become indispensable. By combining our network with the commercial power of a brand as SFR, we will be able to recruit nearly five million customers in four years. The development of fiber for business is another strong point of our project, because we will become the number two market firms with 20% market share.

What is your plan to develop yourself in the mobile in a difficult market where one remains four operators?
SFR is a great company but it suffers from a terrible commercial complexity. There are too many deals and customers are lost. This requires fundamental changes. To achieve this, we must be courageous. My project is an industrial long-term project, and my ambition is to provide a quality service to clients, at constant prices. This simplification of the offer will save a lot of money, especially at the computer. Currently, SFR spends nearly € 400 million in IT each year. For comparison, this is 20 million in Numericable. Our project is also fully compatible with a increase from 4 to 3 mobile operators.

Numericable has lost 20% of its market value in a week. That does not worry you to see that the market seems convinced by the offer of SFR Bouygues as yours? Will you raise your offer?
Our offer is not dependent on short-term market fluctuations. True belief will be built when the market will have a full and accurate information, and not just rumors . My offer is made up of € 10.9 billion in cash, plus 32% of the combined entity. It is valid from March 5, I have no reason to change and I have only one word.

You live in Geneva, your company is based in Luxembourg and listed on Amsterdam and personal holdings are in Jersey and Guernsey. Is not it a bit normal that your profile concerned government?
You should make a balance between the insinuations and truth. I lived in Switzerland since 1999, one third of my life since I just celebrated my 50th birthday. I worked for an American cable operator UPC. My boss asked me to open European headquarters in Geneva. I stayed with my wife and 4 children. Then in 2001-2002, I left UPC to create my company Altice. For the first time in my life, I managed to find French capital to develop the cable in this country, with Société Générale and Pechel Industries. They asked me to install the seat of my business in Luxembourg. Incidentally, Société Générale is 30 times his bet in 2005 with us. My holding staff in Guernsey, I created it in 2002 and I had already left France since 1999. All this information is public ever since. I remember that 60% of Bouygues is listed on the stock exchange. Investors are capital are largely pension funds Anglo-Saxon.
Altice is listed in Amsterdam, like many French florets are domiciled or listed: Airbus, Air France, STMicro, Gemalto, Unibail or future Publicis, Omnicom. The government expectations, I answer. My project is an industrial project patriot, a true made ​​in France. Our suppliers - Alcatel, Sagemcom, Technicolor - are not French and Asian. This is a reality for years, not an election promise. Numericable and SFR are French companies, the new entity will have its headquarters, its management, its French quotation and pay taxes in France. I am the president of this new group.

Where do you get the 12 billion euros of synergies promised in your project?
I myself have never officially mentioned this figure because of the confidentiality of discussions. The reconciliation between Numericable and SFR generate more than a billion of synergies cash flow per year. We have more, and most importantly, the ability to create a growth company. In addition, we have the ability to improve service in the fixed, bringing a real added value . Our project is also the guarantee for the government not having to endure further redundancies in this time of crisis. We will maintain all jobs and we create new ones. We will put these commitments into licenses SFR.

Bouygues promises to spend 400 million euros per year in the optical fiber to the home (FTTH) after the merger ...
With € 400 million, you install the maximum taken by 700,000 a year, and yet, if they have had permissions for roads, building, etc.. This means that in three years, they have taken 2 million, it will miss 10 million to implement the plan high speed! In 2006-2007, when all telecom operators have promised to invest in fiber optics, I bet that one company could succeed by 2012: Numericable. Facts have proved me right. I started to pull the fiber in 2005, and today Numericable has more than 5 million eligible households. Free promised 4 million taken in 2007 maturing in 2012. We are in 2014 and Free has only a few thousand. Telcos can not do as much as us. We have taken the lead by investing approximately EUR 2.5 billion in the fiber at Numericable, and before me which companies I bought the network, France Telecom, Caisse des Dépôts, EDF, Générale des Eaux etc., had already put € 6.5 billion since 1978.

Will you deploy the true fiber to the home or the cable highly skewed and limited flow?
My project is very high speed, as desired by the government. We of course respect the commitments already made by SFR. SFR, we will deploy 12 million taken by 2017 and 15 million by 2020. We connect nearly 1 million new homes per year, and SFR will help us to draw two million missing. While so far we only modernize the existing cable network, which covers just under 40% of the population, we can expand beyond our historical footprint. About the capacity of our network, know that we can do 100 Mbps symmetrical with Numericable. There are four years, we have experienced the 1 gigabit per second. We are entrepreneurs, telecom specialists. Our project is the only one capable of fiberize France. Our project is a chance for the French.

It criticizes your offer to sit on a high debt will weaken the new set. What do you say?
Altice is partly financed by debt, like all societies, but its debt level is quite moderate and lower than most cable operators. I hold Altice 75% with my management, because I invested consistently with it. And I never paid any dividends since my philosophy is to reinvest all my profits in the company. I deleveraging my group 0.7 times per year. You realize what this means: I produce 600 million euros in cash flow per year. Bouygues is carrying debt to all Bouygues Telecom, SFR he wants to build, so it takes no risks. I can make a capital increase of € 3 billion, and I 100% guaranteed. In an industrial project, it takes courage and responsibility.

It is said that you have a guaranteed option to use Vivendi half of its stake in the future together with € 1.4 billion, which risks further increasing your debt.
This is false.

There is obviously a matter for consideration in the competition authority on pay-TV, since you are a content provider and Vivendi also via CanalSat ...
Governance of the new entity will be organized so that Vivendi will have shareholder rights consistent with this requirement of the competition authority.

What do you do if your offer is not accepted?
I will continue to develop high-speed broadband in France with Numericable. Growth potential remains any significant way. After that, we should not delude ourselves. A wedding-SFR Bouygues, if it materializes, will not fulfill all the promises that are being made. There will be particularly the case at the social level. I, for my part, I have time and I build and develop my group today 2nd European cable operator.

Arnaud Montebourg sided with the offer of Bouygues. Rumours are rife about your account. Do you have the feeling of being rejected by your compatriots?
Do not expect me to comment on the media and political unrest of recent days. I'm too respectful of the Supervisory Board of Vivendi and the Competition Authority decision that will only end. We managed to build a group that is ten times larger than Numericable in France. I was rolled out the red carpet in all the countries where I have invested, Portugal, Israel, Belgium ... because everywhere, what mattered was the investment, investment and investment I recently ... been very well received in the Dominican Republic, where I bought the Orange subsidiary. Today important in France as elsewhere, is that we have the best industrial project, thoughtful seven years matured, built for years, and not tied in a few days. Our project is clear, simple, reassuring for employees and consumers. At Numericable, there is only passion, this is our business operator and investment in very high speed.

Les échos numericable

Patrick Drahi : « Mon projet industriel est un projet patriote, un vrai made in France »

Le patron de Numéricable défend son projet de reprise de SFR alors que le gouvernement, par l’intermédiaire d’Arnaud Montebourg, le ministre du Redressement productif s’est déclaré en faveur de Bouygues qui a promis de céder son réseau d’antennes mobiles à Free s’il était choisi comme repreneur de SFR.

Patrick Drahi, fondateur de Numericable. - Aude de CAZENOVE/REA Mardi, vous avez donné trois jours à Vivendi pour choisir ou rejeter votre offre de rachat de SFR. Pourquoi ce délai très court ? L’AMF a souhaité que nous communiquions. Nous avons fait une offre ferme qui expire vendredi, et elle n’a pas bougé. j’y travaille depuis 7 ans. l’avenir des télécoms, c’est le convergence du fixe et du mobile, et non la fusion des opérateurs mobiles en déclin, qui ne savent pas faire du très haut débit fixe. Sur quoi repose votre projet industriel avec SFR ? Notre projet est très clair, c’est le résultat d’une longue réflexion, et pas de seulement deux semaines. Il se base sur la technologie et la simplicité. La technologie, c’est la complémentarité des réseaux fixe et mobile. C’est une vraie tendance en cours dans l’industrie des télécoms, c’est le sens de l’histoire et pas seulement une vision franco-française du secteur. Avec l’explosion des usages et des données, les réseaux mobiles ont besoin de se densifier. les offres convergentes vont devenir indispensables. En mariant notre réseau avec la puissance commerciale d’une marque comme SFR, nous serons capables de recruter près de cinq millions de clients en quatre ans. Le développement de la fibre pour les entreprises est une autre point fort de notre projet, car nous deviendrons le numéro 2 du marché entreprises avec 20% de part de marché. Quel est votre plan pour vous développer dans le mobile sur un marché difficile où l’on reste à quatre opérateurs ? SFR est une superbe entreprise mais souffre d’une terrible complexité commerciale. Il y a beaucoup trop d’offres et les clients sont perdus. Cela nécessite donc des changements en profondeur. Pour y parvenir, il faut faire preuve de courage. Mon projet est un projet industriel de long terme, et mon ambition est de fournir un service de qualité aux clients, à prix constant. Ce travail de simplification de l’offre permettra d’économiser beaucoup d’argent, notamment au niveau de l’informatique. Actuellement, SFR dépense près de 400 millions d’euros dans l’informatique chaque année. A titre de comparaison, c’est 20 millions chez Numericable. Notre projet est par ailleurs parfaitement compatible avec un passage de 4 à 3 opérateurs mobiles. « Notre offre n’est pas dépendante des fluctuations boursières à court terme » Numericable a perdu 20% de sa valeur boursière en une semaine. Cela ne vous inquiète pas de voir que le marché semble plus convaincu par l’offre de Bouygues sur SFR que par la vôtre ? Allez-vous relever votre offre ? Notre offre n’est pas dépendante des fluctuations boursières à court terme. La vraie conviction du marché se construira lorsqu’il disposera d’une information complète et précise, et pas simplement de rumeurs. Mon offre est formulée à hauteur de 10.9 milliards d’euros en cash, plus 32% de l’entité combinée. Elle est valide depuis le 5 mars, ne n’ai pas de raison de la modifier et je n’ai qu’une parole. Vous habitez à Genève, votre société est basée au Luxembourg et cotée à Amsterdam et vos holdings personnels sont à Jersey et Guernesey. N’est-ce pas un peu normal que votre profil inquiète les pouvoirs publics ? Il faut faire la part des choses entre les insinuations et la vérité. J’habite en Suisse depuis 1999, soit un tiers de ma vie puisque je viens de fêter mes 50 ans. J’ai travaillé pour un câblo-opérateur américain UPC, Mon patron m’a proposé d’ouvrir le siège européen à Genève. J’y suis resté, avec ma femme et mes 4 enfants. Puis en 2001-2002, j’ai quitté UPC pour créer ma société, Altice. Pour la première fois de ma vie, j’ai réussi à trouver des capitaux français pour développer le câble dans ce pays, avec la Société Générale, et Pechel Industries. Ils m’ont demandé d’installer le siège de mon entreprise au Luxembourg. Au passage, la Société Générale a fait 30 fois sa mise en 2005 grâce à nous. Mon holding personnel est à Guernesey, je l’ai créé en 2002 et j’avais déjà quitté la France depuis 1999. Toutes ces informations sont publiques depuis toujours. Je rappelle que 60% de Bouygues est coté en Bourse. Les investisseurs qui sont à son capital sont en grande partie des fonds de pension anglo-saxons. « Je serai le président de ce nouvel ensemble » Altice est cotée à Amsterdam, comme bon nombre de fleurons français y sont domiciliés ou cotés : Airbus, Air France, STMicro, Gemalto, Unibail ou encore le futur Publicis-Omnicom. Le Gouvernement a des attentes, j’y réponds. Mon projet industriel est un projet patriote, un vrai made in France. Nos fournisseurs – Alcatel, Sagemcom, Technicolor – sont français et pas asiatiques. C’est une réalité depuis des années, pas une promesse électorale. Numericable et SFR sont des entreprises françaises, le nouvel ensemble aura son siège, son management, sa cotation française et paiera ses impôts en France. Je serai le président de ce nouvel ensemble. Où allez-vous chercher les 12 milliards d’euros de synergies promises dans votre projet ? Je n’ai moi-même jamais évoqué ce chiffre officiellement en raison de la confidentialité des discussions. Le rapprochement entre Numericable et SFR générera plus d’un milliard de synergies de cash flow par an. Nous avons en plus et surtout la capacité à créer une entreprise de croissance. Par ailleurs, nous avons la capacité d’améliorer le service dans le fixe, en apportant une vraie valeur ajoutée. Notre projet, c’est également la garantie pour le gouvernement de ne pas avoir à supporter de nouveaux licenciements dans cette période de crise. Nous maintiendrons tous les emplois et nous en créerons des nouveaux. Nous inscrirons ces engagements dans les licences de SFR. Bouygues promet de dépenser 400 millions d’euros par an dans la fibre optique jusqu’au domicile (FTTH) après la fusion… Avec 400 millions d’euros, vous installez au maximum 700.000 prises par an, et encore à condition d’avoir eu les autorisations pour la voirie, l’immeuble, etc. Cela veut dire qu’en trois ans ils auront 2 millions de prises, il en manquera 10 millions pour réaliser le plan très haut débit ! En 2006-2007, quand tous les opérateurs télécoms ont promis d’investir dans la fibre optique, j’avais parié qu’une seule entreprise y parviendrait d’ici à 2012, Numericable. Les faits m’ont donné raison. J’ai commencé à tirer de la fibre en 2005, et aujourd’hui Numericable dispose de plus de 5 millions de foyers éligibles. Free avait promis 4 millions de prises en 2007 à échéance 2012. Nous sommes en 2014 et Free n’en a que quelques milliers Les opérateurs télécoms ne peuvent pas faire autant que nous. Nous avons pris de l’avance en investissant environ 2,5 milliards d’euros dans la fibre chez Numericable, et avant moi les sociétés dont j’ai racheté le réseau, France Télécom, la Caisse des Dépôts, EDF, la Générale des Eaux, etc. avaient déjà mis 6,5 milliards d’euros depuis 1978. « Notre projet est le seul capable de fibrer la France » Allez-vous déployer de la vraie fibre optique jusqu’au domicile, ou bien du câble, très asymétrique et aux débits limités ? Mon projet, c’est le très haut débit, comme le souhaite le gouvernement. Nous respecterons évidemment les engagements déjà pris par SFR. Avec SFR, nous allons déployer 12 millions de prises d’ici à 2017 et 15 millions d’ici 2020. nous raccordons à peu près 1 million de nouveaux foyers par an, et SFR va nous aider à tirer les 2 millions qui manquent. Alors que jusqu’à présent nous ne faisions que moderniser le réseau câble existant, qui couvre un peu moins de 40% de la population, nous allons pouvoir l’étendre au-delà de notre empreinte historique. Quant aux capacités de notre réseau, sachez que nous pouvons faire du 100 mégabits par seconde symétrique avec Numericable. Il y a quatre ans, nous avons expérimenté le 1 gigabit par seconde. Nous sommes des entrepreneurs, des spécialistes des télécoms.Notre projet est le seul capable de fibrer la France. Notre projet est une chance pour les Français. On reproche à votre offre d’être assise sur un fort endettement qui fragilisera le nouvel ensemble. Que répondez-vous ? Altice se finance en partie par de la dette, comme toute les sociétés, mais son niveau d’endettement est tout à fait modéré et plus faible que la plupart des câblo-opérateurs. Je détiens Altice à 75 % avec mon management, car j’investis systématiquement avec ce dernier. Et je me suis jamais versé aucun dividende car ma philosophie est de réinvestir tous mes bénéfices dans la société. Je désendette mon groupe de 0,7 fois par an. Vous vous rendez-compte de ce que cela veut dire : je produis 600 millions d’euros de cash flow par an. Le groupe Bouygues fait porter la dette à l’ensemble Bouygues Telecom-SFR qu’il souhaite construire, il ne prend donc aucun risque. Moi je fais une augmentation de capital de 3 milliards d’euros, et je la garantis à 100%. Dans un projet industriel, il faut du courage et de la responsabilité. On dit que vous avez garanti à Vivendi une option pour reprendre la moitié de sa participation dans le futur ensemble à hauteur de 1,4 milliard, ce qui risque d’alourdir encore votre dette ? C’est faux Il y a visiblement un sujet à examiner pour l’Autorité de la concurrence sur la télévision payante, puisque vous êtes fournisseur de contenu et Vivendi aussi via CanalSat… La gouvernance du nouvel ensemble sera organisée de telle sorte que Vivendi aura des droits d’actionnaire compatibles avec cette exigence de l’autorité de la concurrence. « Un mariage Bouygues-SFR, s’il se concrétise, ne pourra pas remplir toutes les promesses faites actuellement» Que comptez-vous faire si votre offre n’est pas retenue ? Je continuerai à développer le très haut débit en France avec Numericable. Le potentiel de croissance reste de toute façon important. Après, il ne faut pas se faire d’illusions. Un mariage Bouygues-SFR, s’il se concrétise, ne pourra pas remplir toutes les promesses qui sont faites actuellement. Il y aura notamment de la casse au niveau social. Moi de mon côté, j’ai le temps et je construis et développe mon groupe, aujourd’hui 2ème câblo-opérateur européen. Arnaud Montebourg a pris parti pour l’offre de Bouygues. Les rumeurs vont bon train sur votre compte. Avez-vous le sentiment d’être rejeté par vos compatriotes ? Ne comptez pas sur moi pour commenter l’agitation médiatique et politique de ces derniers jours. Je suis trop respectueux du conseil de surveillance de Vivendi et de l’Autorité de la concurrence qui seront seuls décisionnaires finaux. Nous avons réussi à bâtir un groupe qui est dix fois plus important que Numericable en France. On m’a déroulé le tapis rouge dans tous les pays où j’ai investi, au Portugal, en Israël, en Belgique ...parce que partout, ce qui comptait c’était l’investissement, l’investissement et l’investissement.. J’ai récemment été très bien reçu en République dominicaine, où j’ai racheté la filiale d’Orange. Aujourd’hui l’important, en France comme en ailleurs, c’est que nous avons le meilleur projet industriel, réfléchi depuis sept ans mûri, construit depuis des années, et non ficelé en quelques jours. Notre projet est clair, simple, rassurant pour les salariés et pour les consommateurs. Chez Numericable, on n’a qu’une seule passion, c’est notre métier d’opérateur et l’investissement dans le très haut débit. ■

(Challenges) Niel's fortune, Bouygues and Bolloré boosted by the sale of SFR

Niel's fortune, Bouygues and Bolloré boosted by the sale of SFR
Translation : {http://bit.ly/1dMO2le} Original : {http://bit.ly/1gnp1u1}

The majority shareholders of Bouygues Telecom and Iliad (Free) taking full advantage of market euphoria generated by this assignment. Bolloré but always ahead.

We do not know yet what will be the outcome of the game trying to play around the sale of SFR Vivendi but these maneuvers in the telecom business are large French fortunes of the sector: Xavier Niel, Martin Bouygues and Vincent Bolloré.
Soaring Iliad traded since last Tuesday (24.25%) is due to the excellent results of the operator published on March 10, but also by his unexpected alliance with his enemy, Bouygues Telecom. It also displays a nice weekly increase (+12.7%), showing that the markets believe in the success of the giga-merger between Bouygues and SFR .
With this recent increase, the three owner-shareholders have seen their fortunes grow fabulously in a few days: € 260 million for Martin Bouygues and ... 1.2 billion euros for Xavier Niel.The increase is even more impressive since our ranking of large fortunes appeared last summer:Martin Bouygues and increased by more than 40%, from 1.65 billion to 2.55 billion when Xavier Niel goes "that "24% of 5.9 to 7.3 billion.
Bolloré weighs nearly 11.5 billion euros
Leaving the telecom sector, Vivendi is paradoxically one who benefit the least from the reshuffling (-2.2% this week), while many analysts have been asking for months to refocus its Vivendi heart of business, the media, and the sale of business less profitable branches, as had become the telecoms since the arrival of Free Mobile. But Vincent Bolloré has not depleted since our last ranking: 9 months, the price of Vivendi which he owns 5% took more than 35%.
And other investments, the Italian bank Mediobanca and family holding company listed respectively took 50% and 42%. In the end, Vincent Bolloré today weighs about 11.4 billion euros (against 8 billion in our last ranking).Therefore remain well ahead of Xavier Niel and Martin Bouygues in our ranking next summer ... unless the spring more surprises!

FT : Pimco’s Gross set to soften style after investor criticism

Bill Gross, the embattled head of Pimco, has promised to give his portfolio managers more freedom to express dissent, as he faces mounting questions and criticism from investors, analysts and even a member of his own board of trustees.
Morningstar, the powerful mutual fund research firm whose recommendations are widely followed by retail investors, expressed concern over management turmoil at the $1.9tn bond firm, despite meeting what it called a “contemplative” Mr Gross this week.

Institutional clients and investment consultants have added Pimco to their “watch lists” of potentially troubled managers since the sudden resignation of Mr Gross’s co-chief investment officer and heir apparent, Mohamed El-Erian, in January.
Mr El-Erian’s departure was followed by headlines about infighting between the two men and about the work culture under Mr Gross, leaving Pimco fighting to defend itself in meetings with worried clients.
Eric Jacobson, Morningstar analyst, said Mr El-Erian’s departure followed those of other Pimco “senior statesmen”, including former managing director Paul McCulley, who left in 2010, and Chris Dialynas, a portfolio manager who is taking a sabbatical, and expressed concern that a slate of six newly appointed deputy chief investment officers may not be a sufficient counterweight to Mr Gross.
“Mr Gross seems very contemplative about mistakes he may have made in shaping that atmosphere in the past,” Mr Jacobson said after meetings at Pimco.
“He has speculated there may have been a lot more silence in the room when he and Mohamed were dominating the [investment] committee, because members of the group were anxious about taking positions that might upset one of them or the other.”
The disagreements with Mr El-Erian came at the same time as the performance of Mr Gross’s flagship Total Return Fund fell behind rivals last summer. With bond prices threatening to fall, investors have withdrawn money for each of the last 10 months, reducing assets by more than $46bn to $236bn.
Adding to Mr Gross’s woes, a member of the Total Return Fund’s board of trustees, William Popejoy, used an interview with the LA Times to criticise his $200m salary, his handling of the executive turmoil and reported management style. “You just can’t treat people that way and expect things to be OK,” Mr Lovejoy said.
Mr El-Erian’s departure prompted the Florida State Board of Administration (SBA), one of the largest pension funds in the US, to put Pimco on a watch list of managers about which it had concerns. Several smaller pension funds have done the same, and investment consultants have urged trustees to monitor their relationship with the firm.
“It is quite prudent any time there is senior management change that there be heightened observation,” said Ash Williams, chief investment officer of the SBA, which has $1.7bn with Pimco. “Being on a watch list does not mean imminent severance.”
Calpers, the California state retirement fund, stopped short of adding the manager to a watch list but said: “We have tremendous respect for the staff at Pimco. That being said, we are monitoring the issue and will keep our board aware of any changes.”
Pimco did not immediately respond to a request for comment, but has said in the past that it has been in regular contact with clients since the management changes. It has also taken out large newspaper ads introducing its deputy CIOs, which it calls “a constellation of stars”.
Mr Gross, who turns 70 next month, built Pimco into one of the largest fund managers in the world and earned the nickname “the bond king” through a three-decade bull run in fixed income markets.

(Jefferies) Telecom Services : French Telcos - Government Taking Sides;

Key Takeaway
As the Government and ILD (NC) both side with BYG against NUM, we show
how NUM has some limited scope to sweeten its offer for SFR. Failure to do
so risks a bleak outlook but adding more cash rapidly erodes value upside for
NUM holders. With BYG in pole position and consolidation more probable we
argue ORA offers clearest upside potential. Sensitivity analysis suggests feasible
upside at both VIV and BYG much less now (c.10%).

* BYG-ILD agreement "addresses competitive issues". Exclusive negotiations for the
sale to Free of BYG's mobile n/w and a package of spectrum could raise "up to €1.8bn",
conditional on SFR-BYG Tel completing. ILD said this morning it is "backing BYG". BYG enters
discussions with the Competition Authority in a much stronger position, able to argue that
its offer would preserve strong infrastructure-based investment.

* Government taking sides. Last week, mobile market concentration was a potentially fatal
flaw in BYG's offer for SFR. In our 5th March report we argued there could be a public interest
in not allowing a stranded BYG Tel to wither away. It was unclear whether BYG could count
on political backing to sidestep/solve competition issues. Now it seems it can with Industry
Minister Arnaud Montebourg asserting over the weekend that "competition by destruction
will not stop unless we return to three mobile operators".

* NUM must sweeten its SFR offer to remain competitive. Last week NUM described
its offer as final and said it expires at the end of this week. But with a standalone NUM ex-
SFR facing a challenging outlook, those tactics need to shift. NUM’s best chance is to make
its offer so much more amenable to VIV than the (still complicated) BYG alternative that it
is difficult for the authorities to stand in the way of the seller’s preference. To outflank BYG,
we argue NUM would need to raise the cash component of its offer from €11bn to c.€13bn,
while still offering VIV a 32% equity stake in the merged SFR-NUM. But room for manoeuvre
is tight. €13bn cash still with a €3bn NUM rights issue takes value upside for NUM s/holders
down from c.60% to 20% while post-merger leverage climbs from 3.4x to 4.4x. Increase
right issue to €4.5bn to keep leverage as before, and value upside falls close to zero.

* SFR-BYG Tel merger maths/sensitivities. BYG values SFR at a headline €19bn with
€15/ upside for BYG s/holders. With 45% of consideration in equity, the actual amount
VIV crystallises could vary materially. We illustrate sensitivity to key variables (IPO size,
divestments, remedies). With €4bn remedies, VIV consideration drops to €17.2bn (still with
the merged entity trading on a sector-average 6.0x 2014 EV/EBITDA). On the same scenario,
upside for BYG holders drops back to a (still attractive) €8 per share.

* Winners and losers. ORA can look forward to 4-to-3 in mobile and 5-to-4 in fixed. ILD has
said this morning that 2014 roaming income should not be affected by its prospective BYG
deal. Pricing outlook favourable with SFR-BYG Tel will be 2.5x geared and under pressure
to pay a dividend. ILD will be under Government scrutiny to invest. At our €12 PT, ORA
trades on 5.1x 2014 EV/EBITDA (based bottom-of-range €12.1bn EBITDA forecast). Every
0.2x increase, equates to an extra €1 FV. VIV offers modest upside albeit with some risk
around how cash proceeds get reinvested. Even assuming €17bn effective take-out value
for SFR, rump assets trade close to 6.5x 2015e EV/EBITDA. At 8.5x, VIV FV climbs to €24.
BYG faced the prospect of a chronically challenged Telecom assets without SFR. With SFR -
and even if remedies reach €4bn - our analysis suggests €8/share upside. Currently shares
trade c.€4 above 5 March close (before BYG announced its bid). NUM's growth outlook look
challenged as a standalone entity. It faces loss of c.0.4m BYG white label subs in due course.
ILD will likely experience smoother mobile deployment with site and spectrum bottlenecks
removed. Conflict with Government also potentially resolved.