RTR - Eni looks to loosen ties to Saipem through breakup

Link to article {http://reut.rs/PIMxfE}

* Eni board discussed breakup plan in January -sources

* Plan on hold due to board renewal in May -sources

* Plan envisaged sale of drilling business -sources

* Drilling segment valued at around 4.5 bln euros -analyst


MILAN/LONDON, March 14 (Reuters) - For Italy's Eni and its Saipem unit, breaking up is proving hard to do.

The oil major has looked at spinning off and selling the oil drilling business of its troubled subsidiary to put it on a standalone footing and attract a new investor, three sources with direct knowledge of the matter told Reuters.

Plans to sell the asset, given an enterprise value by Banca Akros analysts of around 4.5 billion euros ($6.27 billion), have been brewing since last summer and were discussed by the board in January.

But they are now on hold because of the scheduled renewal of Eni's board at a shareholder meeting in late May that could spell the end of a nine-year term at the head of Italy's oil major for CEO Paolo Scaroni, the sources said.

"Breakup plans through the sale of drilling assets were in place in January but were blocked by the Eni board because it's not clear what will happen to the CEO," one of the sources said.

Saipem, 43-percent-owned by Eni, became a liability for the oil group last year when half its market value was wiped out by two profit warnings and a probe into alleged corruption in Algeria which also engulfed Scaroni.

Scaroni and Saipem have repeatedly denied any wrongdoing.

Saipem, some of whose former managers are under investigation in the corruption probe, was forced to slash its outlook because of lower-than-expected margins on some major existing contracts.

These managers have also denied any wrongdoing.

Eni, Italy's biggest listed company, carries all Saipem's debt though it is not involved in its day-to-day running. A failure to get a deal would mean Eni will find it harder to cut Saipem's debt and get the group onto a standalone footing.

An industry ministry source and sector insiders say the new centre-left government of Prime Minister Matteo Renzi might opt for change when Scaroni's office comes up for renewal in May. The executive has said he is prepared to do a fourth term.

The onshore and offshore drilling business, less exposed to Saipem's recent troubles, accounts for 15 percent of revenue. The company, with a market value of 7.6 billion euros, also operates in oil and gas engineering and construction projects.

A breakup would allow Saipem to cut its 4.7 billion euro debt pile, putting it in better stead with ratings agencies.

Meanwhile Eni, which now gets lower dividends from its subsidiary, would be able to distance itself from a weakened asset, solving what some analysts see as a long-standing conflict of interest as Eni accounts for about 10 percent of Saipem's overall order book.

"The drilling business is a steady cash generator which means it can be loaded with debt leaving a slim low-debt E&C business that could be ideal for a partner," the source said.

A current oversupply of ships means that drillers who rent out their fleets on a short-term basis with prices linked to spot fees are being punished.

"Saipem is less affected since its (drilling) contracts are 4-5 years which means the business is more stable," oil analyst Andrea Scauri at Mediobanca said.

Press reports in January said Norway's Seadrill was interested in buying Saipem's offshore drilling business while Subsea 7 was interested in a stake in Saipem.

Eni and Saipem declined to comment on the breakup plan.

OWN RATING

Saipem has the luxury of being able to hide behind a well funded Eni, whose A credit rating is above Italy's own rating.

People close to the matter said state-controlled Eni wants Saipem out from under its wing with a rating of its own but it needs to see its stock bolstered by new orders or asset sales.

Scaroni, who has been streamlining Eni by selling non-core businesses and focusing on oil exploration, has said the major might be prepared to sell down its stake in Saipem.

A second source familiar with the matter said Eni had been actively reviewing options, including a breakup, last summer with the help of Goldman Sachs.

"But it all went quiet because they didn't manage to find the right structure at the time," the source said.

Oil contractors have seen slimmer pickings in recent years as delays and overspending at mega projects such as Kashagan and the Australian liquefied natural gas schemes crimp sector funds.

Last year was peppered with profit warnings in the sector, with France's Technip and Norway's Aker Solutions and Subsea 7 joining Saipem.

A third banking source with knowledge of the matter said Saipem needed capital to be a standalone, adding a cash call was discussed last year but had been stopped after the group issued its second profit warning.

(BFW) Eni May Be Considering Spinning Off Saipem Unit: Reuters Link

Saipem higher on that, article to come

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Eni May Be Considering Spinning Off Saipem Unit: Reuters Link 2014-03-17 16:08:42.572 GMT

By Karen Goldfarb March 17 (Bloomberg) -- http://reut.rs/NnQQL3

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To contact the editor responsible for this story: Karen Goldfarb at +1-212-617-5732 or kgoldfarb1@bloomberg.net

(UBS) French Telecom : M&A - What's Next ?

--> Three main scenarios over the coming 12 months
1) Status quo: consolidation does not materialise as operators struggle to agree on the Bouygues T. valuation; 
2) Iliad to buy Bouygues T.: Iliad appears the most likely buyer as Num will be busy integrating SFR operations and be affected by high leverage (ND/EBITDA ~3x). The main driver for Iliad would be to obtain full mobile coverage; 
3) Num-SFR to buy Bouygues T.: although less likely this scenario appears possible too. Num is indeed more open to acquisitions than Iliad, whose strategy has always been mainly based on organic growth and safe balance sheet structure.

--> UBS scenario analysis indicates Iliad is the best play
Iliad: our PT is derived on a standalone basis. Assuming French mobile consolidation (whichever scenario), we see >15% potential upside to our PT. Bouygues: our PT and the current share price already factor in a large M&A premium. Orange: assuming M&A triggers market repair (only if Iliad buys Bouygues T.) we estimate potential upside to our PT of <15% at ~€9.

--> Iliad is our only BUY – SELL on Orange and Bouygues, Neutral on Vivendi
We reiterate our Buy rating on Iliad, PT €208 (DCF). Orange, Sell – PT €7.9 (DCF), Bouygues, Sell – PT €24 (SOTP), Vivendi, Neutral – PT €18.5 (SOTP).

(Pimco) Investment Look - The Second Coming

See full document attached...

Treasury's Bills & overnight Repo...are in the centre of "Pimco's Concentric Circles"...Change the price of Credit at the center and you change the price of assets at the outer extremities...If the center holds, if global central bankerscan caonvice investors that their abnormal policies can ecreate a semblance of the old economy, then risk assets at the outer edges of our cricle will have higher future returns than otherwise... As long as artificially low policy rates persist, then artificially high-priced risk assets are not necessarily mispriced. Low returning, yes, but mispriced? Not necessarily...

WSJ : Oil Drillers Heading Into Deep Water

Swimming in the open water can feel liberating, but it is scary when you realize there is nothing solid beneath you.

It is starting to feel that way for deep-water drillers, companies providing rigs to oil companies when the latter want to punch holes in the abyssal seabed. In the past six months, the broad oil-field-services sector has remained pretty flat. Within it, though, deep-water-weighted stocks like those of Transocean RIG +0.31% and SeaDrill SDRL -0.12% have been slipping.

They are indirect casualties of the battle being waged, and largely won, by shareholders of major oil companies to force cutbacks in swollen exploration and production budgets. In recent strategy and fourth-quarter-results presentations, the likes of Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron and Exxon Mobil XOM +0.83% have signaled flat or lower capital spending after running high for several years.

Deep-water projects are expensive. On average, renting a deep-water rig costs roughly half a million dollars a day, about five times the rate for a simple rig used in the shallow areas of the Gulf of Mexico. So, despite being a key growth area for large oil companies, deep-water spending also makes for a big target when it comes to saving cash.

While announcing Shell's 2013 results, its finance chief identified deep-water projects as one of the company's "growth priorities" and then said spending in that area would drop by $1.5 billion this year. Speaking to analysts last week, Chevron said high rates on deep-water equipment are "impacting some of the projects," suggesting a desire to rein in costs there.

In part, such comments are part of the wider negotiation process between the big oil companies and the drillers they contract with. But pricing is slipping. Having peaked near $600,000 at about the end of 2012, average daily rates for deep-water rigs have slipped back to about $500,000, according to Morgan Stanley. MS +1.35%

ISI Group's Jud Bailey expects rates on even the most modern ultradeep-water rigs to slip to $440,000 within a year, down from north of $500,000, as weakening demand meets increasing supply.

With their biggest customers appeasing cash-conscious shareholders, drillers' stocks look set to sink further or tread water at best this year.

—Liam Denning

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: JASO +15.1%, YONG +5%, KIOR +2.6%, PTX +2.3%, .

M&A news: DRAD +5.3% (acquires Telerhythmics for ~$3.6 mln), TGA +4.5% (Co and and Caracal Energy announce proposed business combination), VOD +1.1% (to acquire Grupo Corporativo Ono for EUR7.2 bln), WWE +0.4% (may be a takeover target by Comcast (CMCSA) or Madison Square Garden (MSG), according to Bloomberg).

Select solar names trading higher in sympathy with JASO earnings: YGE 5.7%, JKS 4.9%, SOL 4.7%, TSL 4.5%, FSLR 1.6%

Other news: FPRX +19.2% (and Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY) Sign Collaboration Agreement to Discover Novel Immuno-Oncology Therapies for Two Immune Checkpoint Pathways), STAA +19.1% (FDA Advisory Panel votes in favor of STAAR Surgical's Visian Toric Implantable Collamer Lens), KIPS +13.7% (announces FDA approval for U.S. expansion of its eMESH I clincal feasibility study), SINA +8.9% (filed initial F-1 to IPO its Weibo micro-blogging service), FMCC +8.2% (prices third multifamily securities offering this year, K-037), HTZ +7.7% (planning spin off its construction equipment rental business valued at about $4.5 bln, according to FT reports), CANF +5.2% (announces Phase II study protocol to treat patients with advanced liver cancer with CF102 has been approved by the IRB in Israel), BLDP +4% (Anglo American Platinum Limited has converted its $4 million non-interest bearing promissory note into common shares), SUNE +3.9% (Hoplite Capital Management disclosed 5.99% passive stake in 13G filing), FCEL +3.6% (cont volatility, ie PLUG), YHOO +3.5% (Alibaba.com (ALBCF.PK) has chosen the US for IPO, according to reports), SHLD +3.2% (approves the separation of its Lands' End business), PLUG +3.1% (cont volatility), GMCR +2.7% (to join the S&P 500), DRYS +2.1% (announces Ocean Rig UDW's proposed offering of $500 mln senior notes due 2019), YRCW +1.7% (Solus Alternative Asset Management disclosed 8.91% passive stake in 13G filing), GWPH +1.6% (provides update on cannabinoid pipeline), TSLA +1.4% (still checking), RSH +1.3% (possibly cont momentum from Friday).

Analyst comments: WYY +5.6% (initiated with a Buy at B. Riley & Co), ALDW +3.6% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup), SI +3.1% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan and to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill), SAP +2.6% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup), LO +2.5% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman), REGN +2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup), KOG +1.4% (upgraded to Buy from Accumulate at KLR Group), POT +1.3% (upgraded to Mkt Perform from Underperform at Cowen), FTNT +0.9% (target raised to $28 at Oppenheimer), CVLT +0.8% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho)

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down

In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: HNR -10.1%, IIVI -6.4%, BTH -4.8%, BLRX -3.2%, ICPT -3.1%, CCE -1.1%, TA -0.8%.

Select metals/mining stocks trading lower: HMY -1.6%, AEM -1.2%, GFI -1.1%, ABX -0.9%, GDX -0.8%, SLW -0.8%, AUY -0.6%.

Other news: CALI -5.3% (reports services agreement with the Tianjin International Automall has not been renewed; cites competition with recently acquired Airport International Automall), ISBC -3.8% (to commence stock offering), SCMP -2% (announces update on Liquid Formulation Program for AMITIZA).

Analyst comments: VRSN -7.9% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Cowen), SBGI -1.4% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo), GNC -1.2% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse), GTN -1.1% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo), NOV -0.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman), KMR -0.4% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo).

Porsche Wins Dismissal of EU1.4b Hedge-Fund Suit Over VW Bid

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BN 03/17 12:25 Porsche Wins Dismissal of Hedge Funds’ Suit Over VW Bid (1) BN 03/17 12:04 *STUTTGART COURT ISSUES PORSCHE RULING BFW 03/17 12:03 *PORSCHE WINS DISMISSAL OF HEDGE FUND SUIT OVER VW BID BN 03/17 12:03 *STUTTGART COURT DISMISSES SUIT SEEKING EU1.4B FROM PORSCHE BN 03/17 12:03 *PORSCHE WINS DISMISSAL OF HEDGE FUND SUIT OVER VW BID

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Porsche Wins Dismissal of EU1.4b Hedge-Fund Suit Over VW Bid 2014-03-17 12:05:09.275 GMT

By Karin Matussek March 17 (Bloomberg) -- Lawsuit brought by 23 hedge funds alleging Porsche manipulated VW shares in 2008 as part of a takeover bid. * Stuttgart court issued ruling * NOTE: Suit is one of half a dozen Porsche is facing in courts in four German cities; combined damages sought totals more than EU5b * NOTE: Feb. 10: Porsche Hedge Funds Suit Has High Risk of Loss, Judge Says {NSN N0SIN56JIJWJ <GO>} * NOTE: Porsche, Piech Sued in Frankfurt by Hedge Funds Over VW Deal {NSN N0DPRD6JTSEC <GO>}

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To contact the reporter on this story: Karin Matussek in Berlin at +49-30-70010-6218 or kmatussek@bloomberg.net

To contact the editor responsible for this story: Anthony Aarons at +44-20-7673-2227 or aaarons@bloomberg.net