>>> Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades

>>> Up
*AIR FRANCE-KLM RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT UBS
*ASELSAN RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT BOFAML
*AZIMUT RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT DEUTSCHE BANK
*BP RAISED TO EQUALWEIGHT VS UNDERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*DEUTSCHE BANK RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*EIFFAGE RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*ENI RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT DEUTSCHE BANK
*GERRY WEBER RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT BERENBERG
*RENTOKIL RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*SARAS RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT SOCGEN
*SHELL RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT DEUTSCHE BANK
*THALES RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN

>>> Down
*AUTOLIV CUT TO HOLD FROM BUY AT NORDEA; PT SEK785
*BNP PARIBAS CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*BP CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT DEUTSCHE BANK
*CONNECT GROUP CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*HEIDELBERGCEMENT CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT GOLDMAN
*NOVATEK CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT RENAISSANCE
*NOVATEK CUT TO HOLD FROM BUY AT RENCAP, PT $140/GDR
*PROVIDENT FINANCIAL CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT BERENBERG
*STRABAG CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*TOTAL CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT SOCGEN
*UNILEVER CUT TO REDUCE VS NEUTRAL AT NOMURA

>>> PT Change
*Jeronimo Martins PT Cut to EU14.8 vs EU16 at Raymond James
*SNAM PT RAISED 11% TO EU4.9 AT BARCLAYS; KEPT AT OVERWEIGHT

>>> Initiation
*OCADO REINSTATED AT BUY AT BOFAML; PT 540P
*OPHIR ENERGY RATED NEW BUY AT CITI; PT 280P
*PEUGEOT RESUMED AT EQUALWEIGHT AT MORGAN STANLEY; PT EU9.5

>>> Call
>> Stock
*ERICSSON REMOVED FROM EUROPEAN ANALYST FOCUS LIST AT JPMORGAN
*MONITISE REMOVED FROM CONVICTION BUY AT GOLDMAN; STILL BUY

(BFW) Seadrill Limited Cancels $1b Conv Bond Issuance


ONE 07/08 22:26 Seadrill Limited: SDRL - Seadrill cancels contemplated convertible bond issuance and voluntary incentive payment offer
 BN 07/08 22:26 *SEADRILL LIMITED CANCELS $1B CONV BOND ISSUANCE
 BN 07/08 22:26 *SEADRILL WILL REFUSE TO ACCEPT ANY ACCEPTANCE FORMS
 BN 07/08 22:26 *SEADRILL CANCELS  VOLUNTARY INCENTIVE PAYMENT OFFER
 BN 07/08 22:26 *SEADRILL CANCELS CONTEMPLATED CONV BOND ISSUANCE & VOLUNTARY
 BN 07/08 22:26 *SEADRILL LIMITED: SDRL - SEADRILL CANCELS CONTEMPLATED CONV

Seadrill Limited Cancels $1b Conv Bond Issuance
2014-07-08 22:29:53.137 GMT


By Andrea Snyder
     July 8 (Bloomberg) --  “Although the order book was
covered, the adverse price movement led to an unattractive
conversion price for the issue,” co. says.
  * Seadrill to refuse to accept acceptance forms delivered in
    connection w/ voluntary incentive payment offer to convert
    existing 3.375% $650m Seadrill bonds due 2017 
  * Seadrill to have cash balance of ~$1.5b by end of July
  * NOTE: Earlier, Seadrill to Issue $1b 2019 Convertible Bond
{NSN N8DQTX6TTDS8 <go>}
Link to Statement:{NSN N8EZNZ3PWT1C <GO>}
Link to Company News:{SDRL NO <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>}
First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Andrea Snyder at +1-202-624-1831 or
asnyder5@bloomberg.net

WSJ : Gotham City Research Unmasks Gowex but Stays in Shadows

Gotham City Research Unmasks Gowex but Stays in Shadows
Short Seller's Founder Says It Spent Eight Months Researching Spanish Tech Firm

Like the superhero that serves as its inspiration, Gotham City Research LLC cultivates an air of mystery.

But the self-styled fraud fighter, whose research brought down a Spanish technology company this month, is part of a growing cadre of such shadowy crusaders.

Gotham is among a handful of short-selling firms that has sprung up in recent years, using the Internet to amplify their criticisms of targeted companies.

When their campaigns are successful, they can force companies to play defense and cause stock prices to fall. The short-selling firms typically profit from the drop in share prices.

But some of the firms also deliberately operate in the shadows, raising questions about their motives and tactics.

Some of the firms borrow heavily from the playbook popularized by Carson Block's Muddy Waters LLC. Mr. Block, an American who previously worked as a lawyer in Shanghai, first came to wide notice in 2011 when he took on Chinese timber company Sino-Forest Corp., against which Canadian authorities subsequently filed fraud allegations. Sino-Forest has gone through a court-ordered restructuring and now is a private entity.

Mr. Block declined to comment through a spokesman.

"These guys have established quite a lot of credibility," said Alexander Ljungqvist, a professor of finance and entrepreneurship at New York University's Stern School of Business who has written about short sellers. "Investors clearly are taking them seriously," he said.

Still, outside the short-seller community and investment websites, few had heard of Gotham before this month. Last Tuesday, the firm released a 93-page report calling for Let's Gowex SA GOW.MC -26.05% shares stock to go to zero, alleging that more than 90% of its revenues were "suspect."

Within days, Gowex Chairman and Chief Executive Genaro Garcia had resigned and acknowledged falsifying accounts. Gowex, which provides Internet hot spots in cities around the world, has said it might file for bankruptcy protection. The company had a market capitalization of €1.4 billion ($1.9 billion) as recently as a week ago.

Gotham largely declined to step into the limelight this week. The company was founded by Daniel Yu, a Massachusetts Institute of Technology graduate and former hedge-fund analyst, according to people who know him.

In an email, Mr. Yu declined to disclose the firm's size, how it makes money or provide details about himself. One of the few areas on which he was willing to elaborate was Gotham's history, saying the firm got its start when he and some others lost money investing in companies that were deceitful or committed fraud.

"We were victims of these corporate fraudsters. We believed this isn't right, and that the world needs someone to expose these crooks," Mr. Yu wrote. "And so, just as Batman catches criminals (and then submits them to authorities) using little more than his wit and some nice gadgets, Gotham City Research was born."

Mr. Yu wrote that Gotham had spent eight months working on Gowex. He wouldn't say how much Gotham had made off its call, saying it was "dwarfed" by Mr. Garcia's "cumulative profits earned by defrauding [Gowex's] investors."

"Daniel's achievement here wasn't just identifying fraud, it was the meticulous documentation to the point where Gowex had no chance" of recovering, said hedge-fund manager John Hempton, of Australian firm Bronte Capital, who is friendly with Mr. Yu. "That's no small achievement."

Mr. Ljungqvist and some short sellers say the number of such firms seems to have increased in the past few years, but that it is hard to track their numbers.

Other firms active in this area include Prescience Point LLC, Glaucus Research Group California LLC and Gravity Research. Prescience and Gravity didn't reply to requests for comment.

Glaucus, founded in 2011, prides itself on its transparency, said Soren Aandahl, the firm's director of research. He said Glaucus's research reports disclose how the firm is positioned. "You don't want people to discuss whether you're flip-flopping behind the scenes or to question your motives," he said.

Still, Mr. Aandahl declined to elaborate on other arrangements Newport Beach, Calif.-based Glaucus might have for profiting from its research, saying the focus should rest on the merits of that research.

He also said short-sellers shouldn't be held to higher disclosure standards than other investors.

Companies are under increasing pressure from short sellers, though the exact contribution of firms like Gotham—as opposed to hedge funds that bet against companies, for example—is unclear. This year through July 8, there have been 83 campaigns against 70 companies, according to Activist Shorts Research, a subscription database expected to launch later this month. That compares with 60 campaigns against 49 companies a year ago.

Activist Shorts Research includes as short sellers individuals it has determined reliably influence stock prices, but it doesn't break out campaigns by type of short seller.

The firms are controversial. Supporters say they democratize research, providing a needed counterweight to the bullishness of Wall Street analysts and ferreting out malfeasance. Critics say the firms aren't always accurate, operate with little transparency, making it difficult to engage with them, and cost companies money that could otherwise be returned to shareholders or invested.

There is also the concern that some of these shops share their research with a favored few before publication.

One winner from Gowex's collapse: Valiant Capital Management LP, a San Francisco-based hedge fund founded by Christopher Hansen. Per European Union rules requiring investors to reveal short positions above a certain threshold, Valiant disclosed on Feb. 3 it was short Gowex shares.

Ruby Sekhon, Valiant's general counsel, said Tuesday that Valiant wasn't a client of Gotham's and that Valiant long ago placed a short bet against Gowex. Based off its last public position, Valiant has a roughly $24 million profit on its Gowex short.

Write to Juliet Chung at juliet.chung@wsj.com

(BFW) Why UBS Says Brazil’s 7-1 Trouncing Is Bearish for Stock Market


 BN 07/09 02:17 Why UBS Says Brazil’s 7-1 Trouncing Is Bearish for Stock Market

Why UBS Says Brazil’s 7-1 Trouncing Is Bearish for Stock Market
2014-07-09 02:32:25.511 GMT


By Ye Xie and Jenna M. Dagenhart
     July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Conventional wisdom was that a Brazil
loss at home in World Cup would be positive for its financial
markets by souring the national mood and prompting voters to
oust Dilma Rousseff.
  * Yesterday’s 7-1 loss to Germany was so crushing that it
    upends that theory, according to Geoffrey Dennis, the head
    of emerging-market strategy at UBS, who’s been covering
    Brazil since the early 1990s
  * The defeat will hurt Rousseff’s chances at re-election in
    October, but the lopsided outcome could deal a blow to
    investor and consumer confidence in a country that obsesses
    about its national pastime, he said in interview
  * “It is such a humiliating defeat that you wonder whether it
    will have a negative impact on Brazilians’ psyche,” Dennis
    said. “It’s going to confirm to the people that ‘Look, our
    economy is struggling, we cannot get any growth, now we
    don’t even have a decent football team either.’”
  * Rousseff wrote on her Twitter account that she was saddened
    by the defeat, also using lyrics of a popular Brazilian song
    to urge the nation to overcome the loss
  * The game may ultimately cost Rousseff the election, which
    will in turn spur a 25% rally in Brazilian stks, said
    Alberto Bernal, head of research at Bulltick Capital Markets
  * “This is going to be catastrophic for the national mood,”
    Bernal said. “If the market sees the potential that Dilma
    will not be re-elected, then it will rally in a big way.”
  * “I do not think this result leads to a knee-jerk rally in
    markets. Brazil has to get over this massive loss:” Dennis

Story Link:NSN N8FACO6K50Y8<GO>

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Grant Clark in Singapore at +65-6212-1101 or
gclark@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Grant Clark at +65-6212-1101 or
gclark@bloomberg.net

(BFW) Big Question for Brazil Mkts Post-Cup Concerns Protests: SocGen


Big Question for Brazil Mkts Post-Cup Concerns Protests: SocGen
2014-07-09 03:19:55.621 GMT


By Grant Clark
     July 9 (Bloomberg) -- In very short term, SocGen sees
smaller impact of “humiliating” World Cup defeat on Brazilian
asset prices than some anticipate, strategist Eamon Aghdasi
writes in e-mailed note.
  * Bad news is investors will shift back to reality of economic
    woes; good news is there could be “more buzz” regarding
    Rousseff’s political vulnerability, possibility for new
    economic stewardship next year
  * Bigger question is whether protests akin to a year ago
    return in weeks ahead after tournament provided respite from
    smoldering civil frustrations
  * An adverse scenario is turbulent protests and Rousseff’s
    popularity staying intact, “an unfortunate combination of
    structural worries and diminished hope for new policies”
  * Political trends in terms of demonstrations, electoral polls
    take on somewhat greater significance
  * SocGen remains cautious in general; recommends Pre-DI 16s17s
    steepeners and holding a bias to sell BRLMXN
  * Recommendations in part motivated by concern that any
    disturbance in current low volatility, relatively stable
    U.S. rates market environment could shake investors’
    appetite for yield, willingness to overlook Brazilian
    economic realities
  * Related story: Why UBS Says Brazil’s 7-1 Trouncing Is
    Bearish for Stock Market


For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Grant Clark in Singapore at +65-6212-1101 or
gclark@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Jan Dahinten at +65-6212-1164 or
jdahinten@bloomberg.net

(BFW) Liberum Says Funds Managers See Pickup in M&A, Lists Targets


Liberum Says Funds Managers See Pickup in M&A, Lists Targets
2014-07-09 05:38:59.225 GMT


By Gaurav Panchal
     July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Liberum says 85% of fund managers it
surveyed in July expect material pickup in small and mid cap.
companies being taken over in next 12 months.
  * Says 95% of CFOs are expecting M&A levels to increase over
    next 6 months, cites Deloitte, DataStream
  * Says confidence is rising, interest rates are low, organic
    growth remains scarce
  * M&A in U.K. indices has remained stubbornly subdued, just 1%
    of FTSE 250 market cap was taken out in 2013 vs. a mid cycle
    average of 4%: Liberum
  * Lists most likely targets: Asos, AstraZeneca, Balfour
    Beatty, Bovis Homes, Costain, CSR, HaloSource, Hyder, ITV,
    Johnson Matthey, Jupiter Fund Management, Mothercare, New
    Britain Palm Oil, Spectris, Syngenta, Tarsus, UBM

Link to Company News:{ASC LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{AZN LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{BBY LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{BVS LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{COST LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{CSR LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{HAL LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{HYC LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{ITV LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{JMAT LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{JUP LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{MTC LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{NBPO LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{SXS LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{TRS LN <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{UBM LN <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>}
First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Gaurav Panchal at +44-20-7392-0511 or
gpanchal2@bloomberg.net

>>> BAT rumoured to be closing in on Reynolds American buyout at USD 75 per shar

BAT rumoured to be closing in on Reynolds American buyout at USD 75 per share or more 

British American Tobacco (BAT) is increasingly rumoured to be poised to buy out its NYSE-listed competitor Reynolds American, The Daily Mail reported. The market report said BAT's London-quoted stock has dropped to 3555.5p, down 19.5p, in anticipation of a multi-billion-pound spend to acquire the 58% Reynolds American stake it does not yet have.

Rumours yesterday suggested BAT might be prepared to pay more than USD 75 per share to take its current 42% stake to full ownership, the item reported. It noted that Reynolds American shares were trading at USD 61.40 early yesterday, 8 July.

A standstill arrangement prevents BATS from bidding at the moment but will expire in three weeks, leaving BATS free to move, the report said. It added that a BAT acquisition of Reynolds American would scupper any hopes the Winston Salem, North Carolina-based tobacco group might have of buying its rival Lorillard - a transaction which rumours have suggested might be worth more than USD 20bn.


Source Daily Mail

>>> Asian Update

Asian Market Update: Asian stocks down on US markets; China Jun inflation eased; Alcoa beats forecasts to kickoff start of earnings Wed, 09 Jul 2014 0:06 AM EST

***Notable Economic Data*** - (CN) CHINA JUN CPI Y/Y: 2.3% V 2.4%E - (CN) CHINA JUN PPI Y/Y: -1.1% V -1.0%E (28th month of decline; smallest decline in 8 months) - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUL WESTPAC CONSUMER CONFERENCE INDEX: 94.9 V 93.2 PRIOR; M/M: 1.9% V 0.2% PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA MAY MONEY SUPPLY L M/M: 1.2% V 0.5% PRIOR; M2 M/M: 0.5% V 0.4% PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA JUN BANK LENDING TO HOUSEHOLD (KRW): 488.9T V 485.3T PRIOR (record high) - (JP) JAPAN JUN MONEY STOCK M2 Y/Y: 3.0% V 3.0%E; M3 Y/Y: 2.4% V 2.5%E - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND JUN RETAIL CARD SPENDING M/M: 0.0% V 0.2%E; TOTAL CARD SPENDING M/M: 0.5% V +1.8% PRIOR - (UK) UK JUN BRC SHOP PRICE INDEX Y/Y: -1.8% V -1.4% PRIOR (14th month of decline) - (US) API PETROLEUM INVENTORIES: CRUDE: -1.7M v -2Me, GASOLINE: +0.1M v -0.5Me, DISTILLATE:-0.5M v +1.5Me

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 -0.4%, S&P/ASX -1.0%, Kospi -0.5%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%, Hang Seng -1.3%, Sept S&P500 flat at 1,961

***Commodities/Fixed Income/Currencies*** Aug gold +0.3% at $1,320, Aug crude oil flat at $103.39/brl, Sept copper -0.1% at $3.25/lb - (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid-point at 6.1565 v 6.1626 prior (strongest yuan setting since Jul 1st) - (CN) PBoC gauges demand for 14-day reverse repos, 14-day and 28-day repos as well as 91-day bill sales - (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥110B in JGB with maturity lower than 1-yr, ¥400B in 5-10yr JGB - (CN) China Ministry of Finance (MOF) sells 1-yr bonds, avg yield 3.54% v 4.04% in Jan - US financial press - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$700M in 2.75% bonds due 2024; Avg yield: 3.5370%; Bid-to-cover: 3.1x

***Market Focal Points/Key Themes*** - The Asian bourses fell once again as Wall Street continued to selloff on concerns of overvaluation while Chinese inflation eased to 2.3% down from the prior month's reading of 2.5%. The June inflation data was less than the expected 2.4% and well short of the 3.5% percent annual target set by the government.

- Also out of China, US Treasurer Lew and Sec Kerry attended the 6th round of US-China Strategic and Economic Dialogue where both nations addressed the importance for a bilateral relationship. The US continued to urge exchange rate reform. However, expectations are seen to be modest as there is little hope for progress on key areas such as territorial concerns and cyber issues.

- The consumer sentiment in Australia continued to recover, but remained weaker than average as the Westpac Confidence Index rose 1.9% to 94.9. Westpac's chief economist Bill Evans said, 'This is another disappointing result for the Index. We had expected a stronger bounce back in the Index following its 7% tumble in the aftermath of the Commonwealth Budget in May.'

***Equities*** US markets: - AA: Reports Q2 $0.18 v $0.13e, R$5.84B v $5.63Be; +1.1% afterhours - IP: Board approves $1.5B buyback program (7% of market cap); flat afterhours - SIMG: Lowers rev guidance; Q2 R$58.5-60.5M v $73.5Me (prior R$71-76M); -13.8% afterhours

Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Tian Ge Interactive 1980.HK +5.5% (IPO starts trading); Navitas NVT.AU -31.9% (extends partnership) - Financials: GF Securities 000776.CN +0.2% (H1 guidance) - Materials: Jiangxi Wannianqing Cement 000789.CN +2.1% (H1 guidance); Northern Star Resources NST.AU +8.3% (Jun gold production results) - Industrials: Qingdao TGOOD Electric 300001.CN +10.0% (H1 guidance); Hangzhou Xingyuan Filter Technology 300266.CN +3.5% (awarded order) - Technology: Tencent Holdings 700.HK -2.8% (tech companies listed in US traded lower earlier today); Netposa Technologies 300367.CN +6.8% (H1 guidance)

Samsung Severely Undervalued With Cash 35% of Mkt Cap: Bernstein

+------------------------------------------------------------------------------+

Samsung Severely Undervalued With Cash 35% of Mkt Cap: Bernstein 2014-07-08 22:16:57.961 GMT

By Sarah Gill July 9 (Bloomberg) -- Samsung best positioned for long term; common and pref shrs remain undervalued: Bernstein analyst Mark Newman in a note. * Memory business likely to account for increasing part of oper. profit going fwd * Most important stk driver is going to be what it does with cash, ongoing restructure of Samsung Group; both may give upside to shrs, timing unclear * Cash may be used for buybacks and/or divs. * Est. Samsung shipped 75m smartphone units in 2Q, down 20% q/q, flat y/y * Rates Samsung outperform * 2m won PT implies ~25% discount to sum of the parts value, is based on 9x 2015 est. P/E * Samsung 48 buys, 5 holds, 1 sell, avg. PT 1,663,659 won: Bloomberg data * Samsung shrs down 5.6% YTD vs KOSPI Index -0.2%, KOSPI Electrical and Electronic Equip Index +1.5%

For Related News and Information: First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO> First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story: Sarah Gill in sydney at +61-2-9777-8641 or sgill23@bloomberg.net To contact the editor responsible for this story: Jan Dahinten at +65-6212-1164 or jdahinten@bloomberg.net

>>> US After Hours

After Hours Summary: AVAV +5.5%, AA +1.1%, GIMO -28.8%, TCS -16.0%, SIMG -12.0%, BOBE -2.4% following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: AVAV
+5.5%, AA +1.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: LJPC +2.7% (announced planned initiation of Phase 3 registration program for LJPC-501 in resistant hypotension; application for orphan drug designation filed), C +0.9% (CNBC reporting that co is near a multi billion dollar settlement with the U.S. government over mortgages)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: GIMO -28.8%, TCS -16.0%, SIMG -12.0%, BOBE -2.4%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: SLXP -2.8% (to combine with Cosmo Technologies; upon completion of the merger, shareholders of Salix are expected to own slightly less than 80% of the ordinary shares of the new company), RTK -1.3% (filed for ~45.05 mln share common stock offering by selling shareholders), CLUB -0.8% (disclosed an amendment to property sale agreement to permit Purchaser additional time to complete its financing)