WSJ : Valeant, Ackman Propose Allergan Deal

Valeant, Ackman Propose Allergan Deal
Offer From Drug Company, Activist Values the Botox Maker at About $46 Billion

William Ackman, CEO of Pershing Square, is joining forces with Valeant to pursue Botox maker Allergan. Bloomberg
Activist investor William Ackman and Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. VRX.T +5.74% on Tuesday revealed their offer to acquire Allergan Inc., AGN +15.82% valuing the maker of the wrinkle fighter Botox at about $46 billion.

The proposal for Allergan represents an unorthodox alliance between an activist investor and a serial acquirer of specialty drugs. Investors typically don't approach a potential acquirer before investing in a target. They generally take stakes in companies and then push for financial or operational change in a bid to boost the company's performance and its share price.

Quebec-based Valeant, which owns brands such as Bausch & Lomb, had been trying woo Allergan for some time, people familiar with the matter said, when Mr. Ackman approached it about working together on a deal.

Further Coverage
Allergan Shares Soar Following Offer
Analysts React to Valeant's Offer
Big Pharma's Deal Frenzy
Allergan Is Valeant's Biggest Target So Far
Activist Aims to Combine Health Giants
Heard on the Street: Deal-Making on Target
The deal, if successful, would create a behemoth in the global eye-care and skin-care drug industries. Valeant and Allergan each have a stock-market capitalization of more than $40 billion.

Valeant on Tuesday said it offered to swap each Allergan share for $48.30 in cash and 0.83 Valeant shares. Based on Valeant's closing price Monday, the deal values Allergan at about $152.89 a share.

Following the offer, Allergan shares jumped 15% to $162.99, suggesting that investors expect a higher offer down the road. Valeant, for its part, said the offer represents a substantial premium to Allergan's price of $116.63 on April 10, the day before Mr. Ackman's Pershing Square Capital Management L.P. crossed the 5% ownership level and began its rapid accumulation program.


Pershing owns a 9.7% stake in Allergan. Valued at about $4 billion, the stake represents his biggest investment ever, people familiar with the matter said. The firm has agreed to elect only stock consideration in the transaction and intends to remain a significant long-term shareholder of the combined company.

Allergan in a statement late Monday said its board would evaluate any offer or proposal received by Valeant and Pershing Square. At that point, the company said it "has had no discussions with either Valeant or Pershing Square with respect to this matter."

Valeant on Tuesday said it sees the deal producing at least $2.7 billion in cost savings, with 80% of that coming in the first six months. The combined company also would benefit from a high single-digit tax rate, Valeant said.

In addition, Valeant updated its guidance, saying it now expects its first-quarter per-share cash earnings to meet or beat analyst expectations. The company also raised its 2014 revenue range by $100 million.

An activist who wants to see a company get sold generally presses management to embark on a sale process. By teaming with Valeant, Mr. Ackman—a noted and often controversial activist investor—essentially eliminated a step, finding a willing buyer for a target.

The strange bedfellows came together after Mr. Ackman was introduced to Valeant by a Pershing Square employee who knows Valeant Chief Executive Michael Pearson. Mr. Ackman suggested he could help the Canadian company do a deal at some point.

Valeant and Mr. Ackman later signed an agreement in February to work together; Valeant told him it was interested in Allergan, of Irvine, Calif. Valeant was interested in Allergan in part because it saw more than $2.5 billion of cost savings if the companies were to pair up, said people close to Valeant.

Aligning with Mr. Ackman gives Valeant a nearly 10% head start in getting Allergan shareholders on its side. Plus, Mr. Ackman has experience running hostile corporate campaigns.

Still, the alliance represents an unusual crack in a typically sturdy wall between activists and companies. While companies have been showing greater receptiveness to activist approaches in recent years, in general, corporate America views activist investors as adversaries, not allies.

Valeant has lined up investment banks Barclays PLC and Royal Bank of Canada for financing.

A former McKinsey & Co. consultant, Mr. Pearson buys companies and eliminates much of the research-and-development costs while selling products through Valeant's existing sales force. He also has taken advantage of relatively cheap debt and the lower tax rates accorded companies based in certain countries overseas.

Mr. Pearson said earlier this year that he wants Valeant to be among the top five pharmaceutical companies in the world by the end of 2016.

With Valeant's growth fueled by acquisitions, some investors and deal makers say the company's complexity makes its stock hard to value.

Valeant and Allergan compete against each other in the global eye-care and cosmetic-treatment markets. Allergan is best known for products such as the anti-wrinkle treatment Botox, breast implants and a product that increases the length of eyelashes.

It also sells prescription drugs treating eye conditions like glaucoma and conjunctivitis. It has been facing the threat of competition for key products such as its Restasis dry-eye drug, one of its top-selling products.

Last year, Allergan reported $6.3 billion in revenue. Valeant notched $5.8 billion in 2013 revenue.

Mr. Pearson has said he likes the eye-treatment market because it is global and because governments and private health insurers are willing to pay for the treatments.

He also has said he likes the market for cosmetic-treatment products, because patients are willing to pay out of pocket.

Valeant also sells a variety of eye-care and aesthetic products, many acquired as part of its purchases of Bausch & Lomb and Medicis Pharmaceutical Corp. in recent years.

In competition with Allergan, Valeant sells its own version of a botulinum toxin wrinkle treatment, called Dysport. And Valeant, through its Bausch & Lomb acquisition, has been developing competitors for Allergan's dry-eye and other treatments.

Valeant would be prepared to sell some assets to allay any antitrust concerns, said a person familiar with the deal.

Mr. Pearson took the helm of Valeant in 2008 after a 23-year career at McKinsey where he worked alongside CEOs on turnarounds, acquisitions and strategy.

"We spend less than 5% of our revenues on research and development," Mr. Pearson said in a 2012 interview with the Journal. "Instead, our innovation comes from acquiring companies and products that are already approved and in the market, so we avoid the risk associated with R&D."

>>> Halliburton playing M&A 'small ball' while watching for bigger deals

Halliburton playing M&A 'small ball' while watching for bigger deals
Halliburton (NYSE:HAL), the Houston, Texas-based energy company, is looking for larger targets as part of its ongoing M&A efforts, management said Monday.

During the Q&A session of the 1Q14 earnings call, CEO David Lesar was asked by Credit Suisse analyst Jim Wicklund about the expected level of acquisition activity for the next couple of years.

"While we would always love to do some big bites, it takes two to tango, right?" Lesar replied. "You've got to have those opportunities in front of you."

The CEO added that in the absence of those larger opportunities, the M&A strategy was to play "small ball" by keeping the pipeline full of prospects that addressed strategic technologies and niches. He also elaborated on the issue of size.

"We would love to have some bigger deals," Lesar said. "We have the balance sheet. We think we have the management team [and] the ability to integrate in a way that can make that very successful, but those have been few and far between."

This news service reported on 6 March, citing the president of Halliburton's Western Hemisphere division, that the company was considering moving beyond water recycling technology used in hydraulic fracturing and into logistics. Beyond water, expansion opportunities in oilfield services would probably be on older oil basins on public land, which could be developed with three-dimensional seismic and other relatively new technology, the executive said for that report in March.

Halliburton has a market capitalization of USD 53bn.

Fwd:>>> Buy Remy Cointreau / Sell LVMH - Weak Q1 was expected, good opp. to step in

Follow-Up

Still believe in this trade, RCO weak on -ve article in FT, stock is down on the day, LVMH better.

I will wait to add some more

----- Original Message -----
From: LAURENT CHEKROUN ()
To: LAURENT CHEKROUN ()
At: Apr 17 2014 10:57:05

{RCO FP Equity MC FP Equity GRT D}

* Remy Cointreau (RCO FP) - Buy
- Q4 Sales a 3% miss, Cognac still weak, we could see some more dwg to consensus EPS, but pfr story is not there anymore.
- Valuation still not cheap regarding the Cognac business but not too far from historical premium the stock is trading with the sector
- RCO is highly correlated to Luxury trend in China and most of dwg has been done
- Few weeks ago M&A rumors re-surface with a blog mentionning Brown& Forman was looking to the company, this blog was mentioning a €85/share minimum price on any deal to get the family to table.
- 55/56 appears to be a strong support.

* LVMH (MC FP) - Sell
- Numbers were published on the 9th of April, the analysis fo numbers show us that we continue to see a down trend in volume that has been so far compensated by price increase, main point of the strategy remained of potential of price increase and maintain margin.
- Stock is trading not far from historical highs (3.5%) and even if we can test this level I don't expect a major break up


Buy Remy Cointreau Sell LVMH - expecting MC to not really move and RCO to go back to the 70's levels

Laurent

Fwd:>>> Buy Marks& Spencer Sell Ahold - Follow Up on trade idea

The spread is +4% since we set up on thursday....continue to think that there is some decent potential on this one.

we initiated @ 30.90 (Ratio), trading now @ 32.15 (4% higher), will start to unwind @ 34 (+10%)

Laurent

----- Original Message -----
From: LAURENT CHEKROUN ()
At: Apr 17 2014 12:22:05

{MKS LN Equity AH NA Equity GRT D <GO>}

* Marks & Spencer
- Company pulished on the 10/04 and was weak because of misunderstanding on Q4 Gross Margin Weakness, Company is expected to publish FY on the 20th of May...but numbers have been adjusted now
- M&S generak merchamfise should continue to head in the good direction, food is quite isolated from a branded food price war
- Strong execution from management and potential cash return could help the stock to rebound
- Historically MKS is trading with a 20% to UK Market P/E, trading only with 5% now

* Ahold
- Since Last publication on 27th of Feb stock outperformed the SXRP by 7%, publication can justify that move but there is no clear reason on fumdamentals
- weak LFL sales growth in the US (-2.1%) and in the Netherlands (-1.0%),
- Risk of stiffer competition and margin rebasing in the Dutch market (more powerful competitors, with in particular Jumbo)
- Still no real signs of pick-up in volumes or food inflation in the US
- It looks fully valued to us – trading at a 2014e P/E ratio of 13.7x vs 12.8x for peers

* The spread is trading on bery low historical levels - we can see a quick reversal, historical lows (-3.3% / 29.86 )
MKS 410 levels appear to be a strong support, stock can trade quickly to 460/470 levles
AH : 14 levels are a strong resistance, could see stock trading back on support 200d MA on 13 levels

BUY MKS SELL AHOLD

WSJ : Glaxo, Novartis in Pharma Deal Frenzy

Glaxo, Novartis in Pharma Deal Frenzy
Drug Companies Announce Flurry of Mergers and Acquisitions Worth at Least $65 Billion

In less than 24 hours, executives at some of the world's biggest pharmaceutical firms have launched or announced a flurry of complex, multi-company deals worth, conservatively, $65 billion, as they seek to either bulk up or retool. And that isn't counting reports over the weekend of a $101 billion approach by Pfizer PFE +0.19% for Britain's AstraZeneca. AZN.LN +6.44%

Drug makers globally have plowed into mergers and acquisitions. Equity-capital markets activity in the health-care sector are up 40% globally in the first quarter, according to Dealogic data.

Why?

Many drugs companies have paid down debt from big acquisitions in the early 2000s and are generating a lot of cash. Generic drug makers are seeking to gain scale as their competitors and customers bulk up. For prescription-drug makers, pressure on pricing in the U.S. and Europe has forced many to cut costs, scale back research and development activities, and think about joining with rivals.

Both Pfizer and AstraZeneca declined to comment on any talks, with one person familiar with the matter telling The Wall Street Journal there were no discussions currently taking place. That didn't deter investors in New York on Monday and Tuesday morning in London bidding up AstraZeneca shares by as much as 8%.

Activist investor William Ackman has teamed up with serial pharma acquirer Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc., VRX.T 0.00% seeking to buy Allergan AGN +14.87% Inc. according to a filing late Monday with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The deal, if successful, would create a behemoth in the global eye-care and skin-care drug industries. Each company has a stock-market capitalization of more than $40 billion. It would be Montreal-based Valeant's biggest deal ever, capping a string of smaller acquisitions over the years.

Then, Tuesday morning, Novartis, NOVN.VX +2.41% GlaxoSmithKline GSK.LN +5.52% and Eli Lilly, three of the world's biggest drug giants, announced a complicated set of deals, trades and joint ventures—all worth at least $25 billion, that is likely to significantly alter the global pharma landscape.

Here are highlights of that deal:

Swiss giant Novartis, in the middle of a strategic rethink after an acquisition binge by its previous chairman, Daniel Vasella, agreed to buy GlaxoSmithKline's high-margin oncology unit for $14.5 billion. That deal value would rise to $16 billion if certain development milestones are met.
Novartis will sell its lower-margin vaccines division to GSK for $5.25 billion. The business, which relies on scale, is a better fit for GSK, and slims down the world's ranks of big vaccine makers from five to four.
Novartis will also sell its animal-health division to Eli Lilly for $5.4 billion.
Finally, GSK and Novartis will create a joint venture, majority owned by GSK, for its consumer business—essentially those drugs that can be bought over the counter, creating a new giant in that business. The combined companies will have revenue of about $11 billion, and include household names like Excedrin and Panadol.

>>> Nike Inc Apple and Nike are said to be collaborating on a new smartband wear

Nike Inc Apple and Nike are said to be collaborating on a new smartband wearable device - tech blogs

- However, Apple and Nike aren't working on the long-rumored iWatch, the sources say, but a smartband that would come with a number of sensors capable of tracking movement and operating other devices, like a smartphone, with just gestures. 

>>> United Tech beats by $0.05, reports revs in-line; reaffirms/raises lower end

United Tech beats by $0.05, reports revs in-line; reaffirms/raises lower end of FY14 EPS guidance

Reports Q1 (Mar) earnings of $1.32 per share, $0.05 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $1.27; revenues rose 2.4% year/year to $14.74 bln vs the $14.72 bln consensus. Co raises/reaffirms guidance for FY14, sees EPS of $6.65-6.85 vs. $6.83 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate, up from prior guidance of $6.55-6.85.
  • Sales of $14.75 billion increased 2%, reflecting the benefit of organic growth (5 points) partially offset by net divestitures (2 points) and adverse foreign exchange (1 point).
  • New equipment orders at Otis increased 9% over the year ago first quarter, led by 27% growth in China.
  • Foreign currency had an unfavorable impact of 2 points overall and a favorable impact of 2 points in China.
  • Equipment orders at UTC Climate, Controls & Security increased 1% organically, with growth in HVAC and fire and security products partially offset by a decline at Transicold.
  • Large commercial engine spares orders were up 11% at Pratt & Whitney and commercial spares orders increased 9% at UTC Aerospace Systems.
--> Seeing solid demand in China housing and infrastructure markets - conf call comments- Trend in Europe is positive but slow.

>>> Valeant submits merger proposal to Allergan under which each Allergan share

Valeant submits merger proposal to Allergan under which each Allergan share would be exchanged for USD 48.30 in cash, .83 shares of Valeant stock

Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. ("Valeant") (NYSE: VRX) (TSX: VRX) announced today that it has submitted a merger proposal to the Board of Directors of Allergan, Inc. (NYSE: AGN) under which each Allergan share would be exchanged for USD 48.30 in cash and 0.83 shares of Valeant common stock, based on the fully diluted number of Allergan shares outstanding. Shareholders will be able to elect a mix of cash and shares, subject to proration. The proposal represents a substantial premium based on Allergan's unaffected price of USD 116.63 on 10 April 2014, the day before Pershing Square Capital Management L.P. ("Pershing Square") crossed the 5% Schedule 13D ownership level and commenced its rapid accumulation program. Allergan shareholders will own 43% of the combined company and thereby continue to participate in the expected value creation of the combined company. Pershing Square, Allergan's largest shareholder with a 9.7% stake in Allergan, has agreed to elect only stock consideration in the transaction and intends to remain a significant long-term shareholder of the combined company.

Valeant and Pershing Square believe that the combination of the two companies is extremely compelling for both Allergan and Valeant shareholders and will create an unrivaled platform for growth and value creation in healthcare. The benefits of the combination include:

Unrivaled portfolio in Ophthalmology, Dermatology, and Aesthetics
Provides significant benefits to patients and physicians around the world
High single-digit organic growth rate for foreseeable future
More than USD 2.7 bn in annual operating cost synergies, not including significant revenue synergies
80% achieved in first six months with the remaining 20% in the following 12 months
High single-digit tax rate for combined company in addition to cost synergies
25-30% pro forma 2014 Cash EPS accretion assuming the transaction closed and full synergies realized on January 1, 2014; year 2 and beyond Cash EPS expected to grow 15-20%+ depending on deployment of free cash flow
At least USD 300m in annual R&D spend to complete future high-probability and late-stage projects
Strong balance sheet, approximately 3 times net debt / adjusted EBITDA, and significant operating cash flow to accelerate business development
No antitrust uncertainty
Financing commitments for USD 15.5bn from Barclays and RBC Capital Markets
Expect to initiate USD 0.20 per share annual dividend at close, in line with current Allergan dividend
Flexible with any and all social issues

"This proposal represents an undeniable opportunity to create extraordinary value for both Allergan and Valeant shareholders by establishing an unrivaled platform with leading positions in ophthalmology, dermatology, aesthetics, dental and the emerging markets" said J. Michael Pearson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Valeant. "Together, we can capitalize on the inherent strengths and complementary portfolios of our two companies, while achieving significant synergies by applying Valeant's unique operating model to a combined set of assets. While the Allergan CEO and Board of Directors made it clear, both privately and publicly, that they were unwilling to enter discussions with us about creating a value-enhancing combination, we are hopeful that our proposal for this extremely compelling combination will enable us to engage in productive discussions."

William A. Ackman, Chief Executive Officer of Pershing Square, added, "The combination of Valeant and Allergan represents the most strategic and value-creating transaction I have ever analyzed. I strongly urge the Allergan Board of Directors to carefully examine the proposed transaction and enter into negotiations with Valeant so that a merger can be consummated promptly. We will be electing all-stock consideration in the transaction so that we can remain a long-term holder of the combined company."

The proposed merger agreement that Valeant delivered to Allergan will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Barclays and RBC Capital Markets are acting as financial advisors to Valeant and Sullivan & Cromwell LLP, Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP, and Osler, Hoskin & Harcourt LLP are providing legal advice to Valeant. Kirkland & Ellis LLP and Davies Ward Phillips & Vineberg LLP are providing legal advice to Pershing Square.

2014 Guidance

In addition, as mentioned in Valeant's fourth quarter 2013 press release, Valeant is now updating its previous Cash EPS guidance for 2014 based on performance to date, expectations for the rest of the year, and the close of the PreCision Dermatology, Inc. acquisition. Valeant's first quarter 2014 is expected to meet or beat First Call analyst consensus Cash EPS expectations. The outlook for the rest of 2014 remains strong and Valeant is raising 2014 revenue guidance to USD 8.3 - USD 8.7 billion from USD 8.2 - USD 8.6 billion, Cash EPS guidance to USD 8.55 - USD 8.80 from USD 8.25 - USD 8.75, and adjusted cash flow from operations to USD 2.7 - USD 2.8 billion from USD 2.4 - USD 2.6 billion, despite foreign exchange headwinds of approximately USD 0.15 of Cash EPS. Valeant expects to announce its first quarter 2014 earnings on May 8, 2014.

Investor Meeting and Webcast Information

Valeant and Pershing Square will host an in-person meeting for Allergan and Valeant shareholders today at 11:00 a.m. ET (8:00 a.m. PT) at the AXA Equitable Auditorium, 787 Seventh Avenue (between 51st and 52nd Streets), New York, New York, to discuss the proposed acquisition of Allergan by Valeant. Attendees should pre-register to assure seating for the meeting by visiting http://www.vpsevent.com  For those who cannot pre-register, space permitting, seating may be available for attendees who present valid government identification and a business card. The meeting will also be accessible via a live Internet webcast along with a slide presentation. The live webcast of the presentation may be accessed through the investor relations section of Valeant's corporate website at www.valeant.com  While media are permitted to attend the investor meeting, there will be a separate Q&A session for media only immediately following the conclusion of the investor event.


Source Company Press Release