T-Mobile a Strategic Asset; Buy on Sprint-Related Weakness: JPM

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T-Mobile a Strategic Asset; Buy on Sprint-Related Weakness: JPM 2014-08-06 02:24:55.231 GMT

By Sarah Gill Aug. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Sprint dropping pursuit of T-Mobile would be positive for Dish, wireless towers, bad for other wireless carriers AT&T, Verizon: JPMorgan analyst Philip Cusick in a note. * T-Mobile is strategic asset many would like to own; $33/shr unlikely enough to acquire co.; Deutsche Telekom may reduce its stake for somewhere in high $30s if approval looks quick * Somewhat surprised of reports after S’s pursuit of TMUS despite regulatory pushback * If reports are true, may open door for Deutsche Telekom to sell part of its 67% stake to another strategic buyer, including Iliad * Leaves S few strategic options; recommends staying on sidelines with S until business starts to turn * Rates T-Mobile overweight, S neutral * Post-mkt S fell 15%, TMUS -8.9%, DISH +1.4%; SoftBank falls as much as 4.8% in Tokyo * Related stories: * Sprint Said to End T-Mobile Discussions, to Name New CEO * T-Mobile Said to Plan to Turn Down Iliad’s $15 Billion Offer * Iliad With Lower Risk Could Nab T-Mobile Underbidding Sprint

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WSJ : Sprint Abandons Pursuit of T-Mobile

-- > Sprint's shares fell 16% to $6.11 in after hours trading. T-Mobile's were down 8.6%.

Sprint Abandons Pursuit of T-Mobile, Replaces CEO Carrier Quits Chase Amid Regulators' Opposition; Entrepreneur Marcelo Claure to Replace Dan Hesse

Dan Hesse, longtime CEO of Sprint, is expected to be replaced, according to people familiar with the situation. Reuters After months of arguing that it couldn't compete effectively without a merger partner, Sprint Corp. S -1.22% is preparing to go it alone.

The company decided Tuesday to end its pursuit of T-Mobile TMUS +0.65% US Inc. in the face of stiff opposition from regulators and replace Chief Executive Dan Hesse with Marcelo Claure, a billionaire entrepreneur who is untested as a wireless operator.

The decisions, made at a Sprint board meeting Tuesday, put an end to a deal that would have valued T-Mobile at $32 billion and created a more muscular rival to market leaders Verizon Communications Inc. VZ -1.10% and AT&T Inc. T -0.99% Instead, Sprint will have to try to bulk up the hard way—by launching a fierce fight to rebuild its subscriber rolls after shedding customers for years.

An extensive network overhaul has hurt service quality and made it difficult for the country's third largest wireless carrier to recruit customers aggressively. But much of that work is now done, and Sprint said last week it is testing new price plans in preparation for a strong push later this year.

Whether it can succeed is an open question. The company has lost money every year back to 2007, the fallout of a disastrous merger with Nextel that left it saddled with disparate network technologies and poor customer service. The company was taken over more than a year ago by SoftBank Corp. 9984.TO -3.50% , but the Japanese company's chief executive, Masayoshi Son, has struggled to change Sprint's culture. Mr. Hesse declined to comment.

Meanwhile, it will face an invigorated competitor in T-Mobile. Sprint's erstwhile merger partner has added more than 4 million of the industry's lucrative postpaid customers over the past five quarters and may attract new suitors. Iliad SA, which disrupted the French market with ultra cheap wireless plans, has offered to pay $15 billion for control of the company, and satellite television operator Dish Network Corp.'s DISH -0.45% chairman, Charlie Ergen has said he would be interested in T-Mobile if Sprint's deal fell through.

The decision to abandon the deal at least will spare Sprint what was shaping up to be a long, distracting and potentially fruitless antitrust battle. The carriers had been working on a deal for months. But regulators had been working hard as well to head off further consolidation of the already highly concentrated U.S. wireless industry.

Their concern: A deal to combine the country's third- and fourth-largest wireless carriers would have left consumers with fewer choices for service, particularly at the low end of the market.

When Messrs. Son and Hesse met officials at the Justice Department and Federal Communications Commission over the winter, they were given the signal that a deal would face high hurdles. Last week, the FCC punctuated its opposition by saying it would propose rules that would prevent Sprint and T-Mobile from bidding together in a crucial coming spectrum auction.

Mr. Son, who had been driving the effort, worked hard to press his case. He appeared on Charlie Rose and at conferences promising an alternative to what he considers America's backward wireless networks and saying he needed scale to mount a real fight with Verizon and AT&T.

He also amassed a deep bench of advisers in Washington, including lobbyist David Carmen, former senator Bob Kerrey, and Tony Podesta, a lobbyist whose brother John is a senior counselor to President Obama.

Yet Mr. Son came to the decision over the past few weeks that moving forward with the bid was too risky, people familiar said. A deal would need to clear not only an antitrust review at the Justice Department, but also a public interest vetting by the FCC. Three years ago, it was opposition from the FCC that put the nail in the coffin of AT&T's $39 billion deal to buy T-Mobile.

Jonathan Chaplin, an analyst at New Street Research, said Sprint's decision was "a step in the right direction," and the companies could revisit a tie-up when the regulatory environment was less hostile. Dropping the bid now would allow Sprint to finish turning itself around and avoid nearly two years of uncertainty.

The decision to bow to government pressure is the latest development in what has been a wild year for media and telecom, including Comcast Corp.'s planned $45 billion acquisition of Time Warner Cable and AT&T's $49 billion deal for DirecTV. It comes on a day when 21st Century Fox abandoned its effort to buy Time Warner Inc. for about $80 billion and will surely disappoint the scores of bankers and lawyers representing the multiple parties with stakes in the deal.

Sprint plans to make an announcement early Wednesday, one of the people familiar with the matter said.

Mr. Son, who closely oversees Sprint, is turning to Mr. Claure to reinvigorate a carrier that he has said grew too complacent with third place.

The Bolivian soccer fan built mobile phone distributor Brightstar Corp. into a company with more than $10 billion in revenue and a presence in more than 50 countries. SoftBank bought control of Brightstar in January to give it more clout with makers of mobile phones and put Mr. Claure on Sprint's board. He will have his work cut out for him.

Since buying control of Sprint, Mr. Son has found it more difficult than he anticipated to change the stodgy culture of a telecom company based in Overland Park, Kansas, that he said had a "loser" mentality. Mr. Son opened an office in San Carlos, Calif. and brought SoftBank engineers from Japan to help guide the turnaround.

His brash personality rubbed some Sprint executives the wrong way, however, and there has been a series of departures in the sales, marketing and network departments.

"Masa and I are very different and we don't always agree," wrote Mr. Hesse in an email to the Journal earlier this year, using Mr. Son's nickname. "But we respect each other a great deal and we communicate that respect to one another regularly."

Meanwhile, T-Mobile continues to consider alternatives for its future. T-Mobile on Tuesday denied Iliad's request for access to its books after determining that the proposed $15 billion bid wasn't strong enough, people familiar with the matter said.

>>> Asian Notable Movers

Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Skymark Airlines 9204.JP -4.2% (to withdraw flight services from Narita Airport); Suntory Beverage & Food 2587.JP +5.7% (H1 results); Namco Bandai Holdings 7832.JP +14.5% (Q1 results); Ourgame 6899.HK +3.8% (H1 guidance); MGM China 2282.HK -0.2% (H1 results) - Financials: Guotai Junan International 1788.HK +1.0% (H1 results) - Energy: Showa Shell 5002.JP -6.5% (H1 results) - Industrials: Daikin Industries 6367.JP -4.7% (Q1 results); Kubota Corp 6326.JP +10.0% (Q1 results) - Technology: Dainippon Screen Manufacturing 7735.JP +10.3% (Q1 results) - Healthcare: Santen Pharmaceutical 4536.JP -6.0% (Q1 results); Techno Medica 6678.JP -7.7% (Q1 results)

>>> Asia Update

Asian Market Update: Sprint ends T-Mobile takeover process; NZD hits 2-month lows after another price decline in dairy auction and soft wage growth

***Economic Data*** - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 5.6% V 5.8%E; EMPLOYMENT CHANGE Q/Q: 0.4% V 0.7%E; Y/Y: 3.7% V 4.0%E - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS Q/Q: 0.5% V 0.6%E; PRIVATE WAGES EX-OVERTIME Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E; PRIVATE WAGES INCL OVERTIME Q/Q: 0.6% V 0.5%E - (UK) UK JULY BRC SHOP PRICE INDEX Y/Y: -1.9% V -1.6%E

***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 -0.9%, S&P/ASX -0.3%, Kospi -0.2%, Shanghai Composite -1.2%, Hang Seng -1.0%, Sept S&P500 flat at 1,913

***Commodities/Fixed Income/Currencies*** - Dec gold +0.4% at $1,291, Sept crude oil +0.3% at $97.65/brl, Sept Copper flat at $3.20/lb - (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥400B in 5-10yr JGB, ¥100B in 10-25yr JGB and ¥30B in JGB with maturity over 25-yr - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$700M in 2026 bonds; avg yield 3.6292%; bid-to-cover: 2.71x - USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1681 v 6.1655 prior setting (1st weaker setting in three sessions, matches weakest Yuan setting since Jun 5th) - (US) API PETROLEUM INVENTORIES: CRUDE: -5.5M (6th consecutive draw; largest draw since June 17th) v -1.5Me, GASOLINE: -3.6M v 0e, DISTILLATE: -0.5M v +0.5Me - (NZ) Fonterra Global Dairy Trade auction: Dairy Trade price index: -8.4% from prior auction

***Market Focal Points/Key Themes*** - T-Mobile and Sprint are down 9% and 15% respectively in the extended session after a press report that the latter is suspending its takeover process due to anticipated regulatory obstacles. CNBC's Faber also tweeted he can confirm the formal announcement of ended negotiations will arrive tomorrow, along with the appointment of a new Sprint CEO. Recall the recent press reports have been skeptical of the deal, suggesting it could take 1-2 years for DOJ/FCC to decide on approving the merger. There is little indication on whether the end of talks will trigger the payment of break-up fees.

- UN Security Council held an emergency session on continued deterioration in east Ukraine after earlier reports from a Polish official suggested as many as 40K Russian troops amassed at the border. The conflict appears to be coming to a head with more shelling of the rebel stronghold of Donetsk, and observers suggest Russia may be very close to intervening under the guise of managing the humanitarian toll inflicted by war within a densely populated area. Russia's ambassador to UN Churkin reiterated Moscow is willing to work with all humanitarian groups, and that he hopes today's UN discussion will lead to greater international cooperation.

- Kiwi dollar is back in focus among the majors, falling to 2-month lows against the greenback in the wake of dairy auction and Q2 employment figures. Fonterra Global Dairy Trade results saw prices fall another 8.4% from prior event to the lowest levels since Oct of 2012. New Zealand unemployment rate fell and participation rate rose, however NZD sold off further as growth of employed was below expectations. NZD/USD is down 40pips below $0.8430, NZD/JPY down 45pips at ¥86.40, and AUD/NZD cross is at a 1-week high above NZ$1.1030.

***Equities*** US markets: - DRYS: Reports Q2 -$0.01 v -$0.05e, R$527.7M v $434Me; +7.0% afterhours - ZEN: Reports Q2 -$0.16 v -$0.26e, R$29.5M v $16.4M y/y; +7.0% afterhours - ATVI: Reports Q2 $0.06 v $0.02e, R$658M v $607Me; Raises outlook; +4.2% afterhours - CERN: Cerner to Acquire Siemens Health Services for $1.3B in cash; more than $0.15 accretive to Cerner's 2015 adj EPS; +3.1% afterhours - JAZZ: Reports Q2 $2.05 v $1.93e, R$291.2M v $275Me; +3.1% afterhours - ADP: Announces 30M share buyback plan (6% of shares outstanding); +1.1% afterhours - DIS: Reports Q3 $1.28 v $1.17e, R$12.47B v $12.2Be; +0.6% afterhours

- FEYE: Reports Q2 -$0.55 v -$0.60e, R$94.5M v $89.3Me; -2.1% afterhours - Z: Reports Q2 -$0.05 v -$0.05e, R$78.7M v $76.4Me; -2.2% afterhours - PZZA: Reports Q2 $0.40 v $0.41e, R$380.9M v $389Me; -3.1% afterhours - CHUY: Reports Q2 $0.21 v $0.22e, R$63.3M v $64.2Me; -3.9% afterhours - TTWO: Reports Q1 -$0.14 v -$0.26e, R$151.6M v $136Me; -4.5% afterhours - FSLR: Reports Q2 $0.04 (GAAP) v $0.33e, R$544.3M v $789Me; -4.8% afterhours - TMUS: Sprint said to abandon pursuit of T-Mobile acquisition - financial press; -8.9% afterhours (**S: -15.1% afterhours) - TWX: 21st Century Fox Withdraws Its Proposal to Acquire Time Warner Inc; Board authorized a $6B share repurchase program (13.5% of market cap); -10.6% afterhours - GRPN: Reports Q2 $0.01 v $0.01e, R$751.6M v $761Me, Guides Q3 $0.00-0.02 v $0.03e, R$720-770MM v $755Me, lowers FY14 adj EBITDA; -16.8% afterhours - CYTX: ATHENA and ATHENA II trials placed on clinical hold; -22.4% afterhours

Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Skymark Airlines 9204.JP -4.2% (to withdraw flight services from Narita Airport); Suntory Beverage & Food 2587.JP +5.7% (H1 results); Namco Bandai Holdings 7832.JP +14.5% (Q1 results); Ourgame 6899.HK +3.8% (H1 guidance); MGM China 2282.HK -0.2% (H1 results) - Financials: Guotai Junan International 1788.HK +1.0% (H1 results) - Energy: Showa Shell 5002.JP -6.5% (H1 results) - Industrials: Daikin Industries 6367.JP -4.7% (Q1 results); Kubota Corp 6326.JP +10.0% (Q1 results) - Technology: Dainippon Screen Manufacturing 7735.JP +10.3% (Q1 results) - Healthcare: Santen Pharmaceutical 4536.JP -6.0% (Q1 results); Techno Medica 6678.JP -7.7% (Q1 results)

(Merger Market) Telecom Italia minorities to support potential G

Telecom Italia minorities to support potential GVT counter-bid 

Telecom Italia’s (TI) [BIT:TIT] minority shareholders association, ASATI, is supporting the Italian incumbent’s potential counter-bid for Global Village Telecom (GVT), its president, Franco Lombardi, told Dealreporter.

ASATI is counting on TI activist shareholder Marco Fossati, who owns a 5% stake in the company, to support the counter-bid. The association controlled around 1% of the ordinary shares in TI as of 31 December 2013.

According to Lombardi, ASATI proposed TI’s board mandate CEO Marco Patuano to evaluate a potential merger with GVT. A TI board meeting was held this afternoon to approve the 1H14 results.

ASATI spoke against a possible sale of TIM Brasil [BVMF:TIMP3] in the past.

On 4 August, Vivendi [EPA:VIV] said it received a binding offer from Telefonica [BME:TEF] and its subsidiary Telefonica Brasil to acquire its Brazilian subsidiary, GVT, for a total enterprise value of BRL 20.1bn (approximately EUR 6.7bn). Approximately 60% of the deal would be payable in cash while the remaining amount would be funded with Vivo shares (12% of the future combined entity).

A person close to Vivendi described Telefonica’s offer as “unsolicited,” adding that the two parties did not hold talks prior to today’s announcement.

Acquiring GVT would be a defensive move on TI’s part to guard its presence in the Brazilian market, where TIM Brasil could be subject to takeover attempts as a standalone entity, a sector banker following the situation said.

Lombardi estimated that TI would need to raise around EUR 3bn to finance the cash component of a potential GVT bid. “A rights issue would be very welcomed [by TI shareholders],” he added.

Shareholders of TI would be more willing to support an increase in capital if it were aimed at financing M&A activities, the first sector banker and a second sector banker following the situation said.

“It is hard to convince shareholders to take part in a rights issue when all you are aiming for is deleveraging and boosting investments”, the first banker said. But by linking it to a counter-bid for GVT the scenario changes drastically, he noted.

In this context, the proceeds of a cash call could be used to partially finance the offer for Vivendi’s subsidiary, while the rest could be used for deleveraging and investments, said the first sector banker.

Telefonica management has proven its ability to integrate broadband and mobile assets, said the second banker. Should it win GVT, the deal would give Telefonica an opportunity to use these skills, he noted. But on the other hand, TIM Brasil would be left as a mobile operator with little opportunities to expand, he said, noting the Brazilian enterprise could find itself in a difficult position.

If the merger between GVT and Telefonica Brasil completes successfully, Vivendi would have the opportunity to acquire 8.3% of Telecom Italia from Telefonica.

Vivendi said it would evaluate Telefonica’s offer at its next supervisory board meeting. Vivendi has until 3 September to reply to Telefonica’s proposal.

>>> Horizon Oil may receive takeover interest following collapse of Roc Oil merg

Horizon Oil may receive takeover interest following collapse of Roc Oil merger 

Horizon Oil, the ASX-listed oil and gas business, could receive takeover interest following the collapse of its merger with Roc Oil, the Australian Financial Review reported.

According to the unsourced report in the paper’s Street Talk column, Horizon’s proposed merger with Roc Oil was meant to save the companies from takeover approaches, but it was scuppered when Roc recommended a rival offer from Fosun.

Horizon’s cash reserves are relatively low and it has desires to build a mid-scale LNG facility costing nearly USD 2bn, the article said, while noting the outcome of the Roc deal raised questions about its future as an independent company.

Possible buyers include Oil Search, Santos, and InterOil, the article said, with both Oil Search and Santos controlling acreage close to Horizon’s major assets in Papua New Guinea's Western Highlands.

Canada’s Talisman Energy is seeking to divest noncore assets, some of which are located in Papua New Guinea. The possibility of buying Talisman’s assets could lift the price for Horizon, which has preemptive rights over certain assets. Talisman has not yet confirmed its intentions.

Horizon’s partners Mitsubishi and Osaka Gas may also be interested, but they are unlikely to move until the Canadian firm reveals its plans.


Source Australian Financial Review

RTR - Belgium's UCB explores sale of generics unit Kremers Urban

(Reuters) - Belgian pharmaceutical company UCB (UCB.BR) is exploring a sale of its Kremers Urban Pharmaceuticals Inc division, a U.S. specialty generics business that could fetch as much as $2 billion, according to people familiar with the matter.

UCB is just the latest drug company looking to shed non-core businesses. Other companies that are exploring similar sales include GlaxoSmithKline Plc (GSK.L), Sanofi SA (SASY.PA) and Merck & Co Inc (MRK.N).

UCB is working with investment bank Lazard Ltd (LAZ.N) on the sale of the business, which is expected to be valued between $1.5 billion and $2 billion and attract both other companies and private equity firms, the people said on Tuesday.

Kremers Urban is projected to have earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization of around $170 million in 2014, the people added.

UCB and Lazard representatives did not respond to a request for comment.

Based in Princeton, New Jersey, Kremers Urban is a maker of generic drugs with high barriers to market entry. Its product for the treatment of attention deficit disorder was approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration last year.

Kremers was acquired by Schwarz Pharma Manufacturing in the mid 1990s, before Schwarz was acquired by UCB in 2006.

Based in Brussels, UCB focuses on drugs for the treatment of conditions in the immune system and the central nervous system. It generated revenue of 3.4 billion euros ($4.5 billion) in 2013.

>>> US Notable After Hours

Notable after hours earnings movers: CRTO +14.7%, ZAGG +9.1%, DRYS +6.3%, FUEL -20.8%, GRPN -16.5%, GMED -15.8%

Companies trading higher after hours following earnings/guidance:

CRTO +14.7%, ZAGG +9.1%, DRYS +6.3%, BAXS +5.9%, ORIG +3.1%, SMCI +2.3%, ATVI +2.3%, FEYE +1.7%, PNNT +0.5%, OXGN +0.4%

Companies trading lower after hours following earnings/guidance:

FUEL -20.8%, GRPN -16.5%, GMED -15.8%, FSLR -5.4%, Z -4.3%, TTWO -4.4%, FTR -2.4%, AVNR -0.6%, RSYS -0.3%, DIS -0.2% 

>>> US Close Dow-0,84% S&P-0,97% Nasdaq -0,71%

Closing Market Summary: Stocks Succumb to Broad-based Profit Taking

The stock market ended the Tuesday session on a broadly lower note. The S&P 500 lost 1.0% with all ten sectors ending in the red. The Russell 2000 outperformed, but still shed 0.3%.

Equity indices were on the defensive from the get-go with the early weakness attributed to disappointing data from overseas. China got the ball rolling overnight with a disappointing HSBC Services PMI report (50.0 from 53.1), which fell to its lowest level on record. Things looked a little bit better in Europe, where Services PMI readings from Germany, Great Britain, and Spain improved, but the overall eurozone reading unexpectedly slipped to 54.2 from 54.4.

Another item that kept dip-buyers on the sidelines was disappointing guidance provided by Target (TGT 58.03, -2.67). The retailer lost 4.4% after priming the market for below-consensus results that will include a $148 million expense stemming from the data breach that occurred last year.

Staying on the earning theme, apparel retailer Coach (COH 35.80, +1.49) rallied 4.3% after reporting better than expected earnings and revenue. For its part, the overall consumer discretionary sector (-0.7%) ended a bit ahead of the broader market.

Outside of the discretionary space, the industrial sector (-0.6%) was the only other cyclical group that was able to finish ahead of the broader market. Dow component Boeing (BA 121.27, +1.34) added 1.1%, which contributed to the relative strength. Transport stocks were not as fortunate with the Dow Jones Transportation Average falling 1.1%.

Other heavily-weighted sectors were not as fortunate with financials (-1.0%) and technology (-0.9%) ending in line with the S&P 500, while energy (-2.1%) lagged throughout the session. Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD 209.98, -12.43) pressured the sector, falling 5.6%, in reaction to below-consensus revenue. Marathon Oil (MRO 38.46, -0.76) also slumped, losing 1.9%, despite its better than expected earnings. Crude oil, meanwhile, fell 1.0% to $97.33/bbl.

Afternoon action saw equities extend their losses with the slide attributed to comments from Polish Foreign Minister Radoslaw Sikorski, who said Russia is poised to pressure or invade Ukraine. However, it is worth noting that the comments did not introduce anything new as Russian troop movements along the border with Ukraine have been watched for months. In all likelihood, the headline was a convenient excuse to take some money off the table after the market could not erase its early loss.

Also of note, the afternoon remarks helped Treasuries recover their intraday losses. The 10-yr note ended flat with its yield at 2.48% after the benchmark yield notched a session high just north of 2.52%.

Participation was a bit below average with less than 690 million shares changing hands at the NYSE.

Economic data was limited to Factory Orders and the ISM Services Index:
  • Factory orders increased 1.1% in June following a downwardly revised 0.6% decline (from -0.5%) in May 
    • The consensus expected factory orders to increase 0.5% 
    • Durable goods orders increased 1.7% in June after declining 0.9% in May, representing a significant upward revision from the advance release (+0.7%) 
    • Excluding transportation, durable goods orders rose 1.9% in June, up from an originally reported 0.8% increase in the advance release 
  • The ISM Non-manufacturing Index increased to 58.7 in July from 56.0, while the consensus expected an increase to 56.5 
    • That was the highest reading since the ISM reformulated the index in January 2008 
      • Including the old survey methods, the index reached its highest level since late 2005 
Tomorrow, the weekly MBA Mortgage Index will be reported at 7:00 ET, while the June Trade Balance (consensus -$45.20 billion) will be released at 8:30 ET.
  • S&P 500 +3.9% YTD 
  • Nasdaq Composite +4.2% YTD 
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.9% YTD 
  • Russell 2000 -3.5% YTD