>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • RAPP +165.5%, SATS +35.5%, PLCE +12.5%, IDYA +10.8%, APP +7.7%, HOOD +7.6%, ALKS +6.9%, PLBY +6.9%, USAS +6.2%, HSAI +6%, DBVT +4.8%, HIVE +2.8%, NUVB +2.6%, EME +2.5%, NRGV +2.4%, PAAS +1.8%, IREN +1.6%, ACGL +1.1%, CTRI +1%, NGD +1%, EC +1%, CRNC +0.9%
  • Gapping down:
    • SMMT -23.2%, NFE -15.1%, TONX -12%, KGS -1.2%, ONDS -1.1%, AZN -0.7%, NUVL -0.7%, ALC -0.6%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of September 2025 V3(++)

>>> Up
* D'Ieteren Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 214 euros
* Canada Goose Raised to Buy at TD Cowen; PT C$25 (++)
* Genus PT Raised to 3,500 pence at Panmure Liberum (++)
* Grand City Properties Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 14 euros
* Henkel Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 86 euros
* Henkel ADRs Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $25.20
* J. Martins Raised to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 25.10 euros (++)
* JetBlue PT Raised to $5 from $4 at TD Cowen (++)
* JOST Werke Raised to Outperform at Oddo BHF; PT 57 euros (++)
* Lazard PT Raised to $61 from $47 at Morgan Stanley (++)
* Moelis & Co PT Raised to $90 from $74 at Morgan Stanley (++)
* Ralph Lauren price target raised to $345 from $320 at Wells Fargo (++)
* Sandisk PT Raised to $85 from $70 at Benchmark (++)
* Sanofi Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 100 euros
* Sanofi ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $58
* Storebrand Raised to Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 191 kroner (++)
* Tower Semiconductor PT Raised to $73 from $66 at Benchmark (++)
* Vonovia Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 31.50 euros
* Yara Raised to Buy at Danske Bank Markets; PT 415 kroner (++)
* Zegna Group PT Raised to $10 from $8.80 at TD Cowen (++)

>>> Down
* Alphabet Cut to Accumulate at Phillip Secs; PT $265
* Deutsche Bank Cut to Sell at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 26.80 euros (++)
* JDE Peet's Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 31.85 euros
* Nvidia PT Cut to $200 from $210 at Citi (++)
* Oeneo Cut to Reduce at IDMidcaps; PT 8.70 euros (+)
* Ryanair Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 27.50 euros
* Sanofi Cut to Hold at Intron Health; PT 78 euros (+)
* Volvo Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 298 kronor

>>> Initiation
* America Movil ADRs Rated New Neutral at Safra; PT $22
* Balder Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 72 kronor
* Comcast Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT $38
* Fastighets AB Trianon Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 26 kronor
* Goodyear Reinstated Neutral at Citi; PT $10
* Kojamo Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 12.50 euros
* Oracle Rated New Outperform at GuoSen
* Rothschild Real Estate Sicav Resumed Market Perform at ZKB (+)

>>> Call
* Equity Positioning Slips, But Inflows Are Strong: Deutsche Bank (+)
* Goldman’s Kostin Sees S&P 500 Rising 6% on Fed Cuts By Mid-2026 (+)
* M&S Shares Rise, Citi Upgrades to Buy on Attractive Entry Point (++)
* RBC’s Calvasina Sees Jobs-Driven Uncertainty for US Equities (+)
* Sanofi Overweight at Morgan Stanley After Amlitelimab Slump (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees Russell 3000 Earnings Coming Back (+)
* JPMorgan Strategists See Lower Bond Yields Challenging Cyclicals (+)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of September 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* D'Ieteren Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 214 euros
* Grand City Properties Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 14 euros
* Henkel Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 86 euros
* Henkel ADRs Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $25.20
* Sanofi Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 100 euros
* Sanofi ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $58
* Vonovia Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 31.50 euros

>>> Down
* Alphabet Cut to Accumulate at Phillip Secs; PT $265
* JDE Peet's Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 31.85 euros
* Oeneo Cut to Reduce at IDMidcaps; PT 8.70 euros (+)
* Ryanair Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 27.50 euros
* Sanofi Cut to Hold at Intron Health; PT 78 euros (+)
* Volvo Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 298 kronor

>>> Initiation
* America Movil ADRs Rated New Neutral at Safra; PT $22
* Balder Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 72 kronor
* Comcast Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT $38
* Fastighets AB Trianon Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 26 kronor
* Goodyear Reinstated Neutral at Citi; PT $10
* Kojamo Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 12.50 euros
* Oracle Rated New Outperform at GuoSen
* Rothschild Real Estate Sicav Resumed Market Perform at ZKB (+)

>>> Call
* Equity Positioning Slips, But Inflows Are Strong: Deutsche Bank (+)
* Goldman’s Kostin Sees S&P 500 Rising 6% on Fed Cuts By Mid-2026 (+)
* RBC’s Calvasina Sees Jobs-Driven Uncertainty for US Equities (+)
* Sanofi Overweight at Morgan Stanley After Amlitelimab Slump (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees Russell 3000 Earnings Coming Back (+)
* JPMorgan Strategists See Lower Bond Yields Challenging Cyclicals (+)

>>> What to look at today - 8th of September 2025

The yen fell and Japanese stocks advanced after Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said he intends to step down. Asian stocks rose as traders boosted bets on Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.  Japan’s currency slid 0.5% against the dollar on concern the political instability will reduce the prospect of the Bank of Japan raising rates. Japanese stocks rallied thanks to the positive tailwind from the weaker yen and a potential increase in government stimulus.  Ishiba’s plan to resign —  announced on the weekend — followed election setbacks in which his Liberal Democratic Party lost its majorities in both houses of parliament. His exit heightens investor uncertainty in the weeks ahead until a new leader emerges. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average gained 1.2%, while the broader Topix advanced 0.9%. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of regional equities rose 0.3%. Investor sentiment across Asia was bolstered after Friday’s US jobs report boosted expectations that the Fed will cut rates at each of its remaining three meetings this year. US equity futures ticked higher after the S&P 500 Index had dropped 0.3% on Friday. Tech shares were among the best performers in Asia, with Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd. and Tencent Holdings Ltd. the biggest contributors to the regional index. Pop Mart International Group slumped as some investors took profit following a more than 200% rally this year after the stock was included into key Hong Kong indexes.  Bonds from Australia to Indonesia rose after Friday’s rally in Treasuries. Still, US debt retraced some of Friday’s gains in Asian trading, with the yield on two-year notes climbing two basis points to 3.53%. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.1%. The dollar may retest its year-to-date lows, Commonwealth Bank of Australia strategists including Joseph Capurso wrote in a note to clients. “Given the focus on the labor market in FOMC chair Powell’s recent speech, market participants may increase pricing of a 50 basis-point cut to the Funds rate next week.” Meantime, European stock futures edged higher, while French government bond futures were little changed ahead of Monday’s confidence vote in Parliament, when François Bayrou is likely to lose his premiership. In commodities, oil gained after OPEC+ agreed on Sunday to raise production at a modest rate next month. Crude futures had slumped last week on signs the output boost was coming. Gold traded near Friday’s record high.

Nikkei +1.45% Hang Seng +0.44% CSI +0.01% Shanghai +0.15% Shenzen +0.50%

Eur$ 1.1717 CNH 7.1308 CNY 7.1346 JPY 148.14 GBP 1.3500 CHF 0.7973 RUB 91.7876 TRY 41.2631 WTI$ 62.59 +1.16% Gold 3,583,60 -0.08% BTC 110,942 -0.32% ETH 4,299.6 -0.09%

S&P +0.07% Nasdaq +0.21% EuroStoxx +0.34% FTSE +0.21% Dax +0.36% SMI +0.28%

Macro :
- Trump Threatens Trade Actions After EU Fines Google Over Ads
- Japan’s PM Ishiba to Step Down, Paving Way For New Leader
- OPEC+ Speeds Up Return of Next Tier of Halted Oil Production
- S&P Warns of Reinsurer Protections as Catastrophe Risks Escalate
- Macro Hedge Funds Play Index Versus Index Trades: Options Watch
- CEOs Eyeing Tech Deals Record Flock to Key Goldman Confab
- Munich Car Show, Industrial Production Data
- Global LNG Market Faces Looming Glut After Years of Scarcity

Keep an eye on :
- ABVX FP : Abivax Extends Huge YTD Gain on Betaville ‘Uncooked Alert’, numbers today
- AIR FP : Ex-Airbus CEO Enders in Talks to Join Tankmaker KNDS as Chairman
- ALO FP : Alstom Gets €538M Contract in Wellington, New Zealand
- APP US : Robinhood, AppLovin, Emcor to Join S&P 500 in Rebalancing
- AAPL US : Apple’s Chairman of the Board Sold More Than $20 Million in Stock - Barron's
- AAPL US : Inside Spotify’s Plot to Take Down Apple, The music service’s rebellion against an App Store ‘tax’ over the past decade has significantly weakened Apple’s grip on the mobile world - WSJ
- ASML NA : ASML to Become Top Mistral Holder in €1.3 Billion Deal: Reuters
- AZN LN : Astra’s Lung Cancer Combination Boosted Survival in Key Study
- BBVA SM : BBVA-Sabadell Acceptance Period to Run Sept. 8-Oct. 7, CNMV Says
- BATS LN : US FDA Plans to Fast-Track Nicotine Pouch Reviews, Reuters Says
- BYD 1211 HK : BMW, Mercedes Vie With BYD, Other Chinese Rivals at Munich Show
- EVD GY : CTS Eventim CFO Holger Hohrein to Leave Exec Board at Year End
- DBV FP : DBV Tech Files for $150 Million Shares ATM Offering
- EDF FP : EDF Expects France Sept. 10 Strike Action to Impact Facilities
- EDN IM : Edison CEO Says Ready to Relist If Parent EDF Decides in Favor
- EKTAB SS : Elekta Says Klara Eiritz to Replace Tobias Hagglov as CFO
- ETOR US : EToro Co-Founder Says It Has Cash to Target More Ambitious M&A
- GALD SW : Sonova Leaves Swiss SMI, SPI20 Indices as Galderma Added to SLI
- GET FP : Getlink Aug. Passenger Shuttle Traffic Y/y +5%
- GM US : Detroit’s Carmakers to Save Billions in Trump Emissions Rollback
- HFG US : HelloFresh CEO Thomas Griesel to Step Down in 2026
- HSAI US : Lidar Maker Hesai Seeks $497 Million in Hong Kong Listing
- HIMS US : Hims & Hers Signs 15-Year Lease for Ohio Manufacturing Site
- HOOD US : Robinhood, AppLovin, Emcor to Join S&P 500 in Rebalancing (1)
- KVUE US : Kenvue Down as RKF Jr to Link Autism to Tylenol Use in Pregnancy
- LCID US : Lucid’s $300M Uber Investment a ‘Material Catalyst,’ Cantor Says
- MOVE SW : Medacta 1H Adjusted Ebitda EU98.8M Vs. EU77.5M Y/y
- MB IM : Mediobanca Investors Tendered 45.8% Stake in Paschi Bid: Filing
- MBG GY : Mercedes Electrifies Top-Selling SUV to Bolster Luxury Push
- META US : Meta’s Backstop Is Linchpin for $26 Billion AI Data-Center Deal
- MSTR US : *STRATEGY SHARES FALL 2% AFTER NEW S&P 500 ADDITIONS REPORTED
- NFE US : New Fortress Energy 2Q Loss per Share $2.02 Vs. Loss/Shr 44C Y/y
- NDX1 GY : Nordex Gets 71 MW Order in Portugal
- NOVOB DC : Lilly, Novo Sink on FDA List of Foreign GLP-1 Ingredient Makers
- OCUL US : Ocular Hits Session High on M&A Speculation from Betaville
- Open AI : OpenAI Says Spending to Rise to $115B Through 2029: Information
- ORCL US :Larry Ellison Is Spending Billions to Reshape Oxford and His Own Legacy - WSJ
- PRW NA : PayU Plans to Raise Up to $300M via Stake Sale: Moneycontrol
- RIO LN : Chile Signs Lithium Operating Contract With Enami-Rio Project
- RWE GY : Apollo Commits €3.2b of Equity to Joint Venture With RWE
- SAV LN : Europe’s Fledgling Lithium Dreams Face Pivotal Test in Portugal
- GLE FP : SocGen Names Huete as Country Head for Singapore, Southeast Asia
- MCRB US : Nestlé Offered $760 Million for Seres Therapeutics, IP Reports
- SOON SW : Sonova Leaves Swiss SMI, SPI20 Indices as Galderma Added to SLI
- STLA IM : Stellantis CEO Calls for EU Action to Save Fading Auto Industry
- 4XO GY : Steyr Motors in Joint Venture With Shangyan Power in Singapore
- SUNP IN : Now Sun Pharma, Lupin work on anti-obesity pill to cut costs, address jab aversion
- SWEDA SS : Swedbank Says SEC Closes Investigation Without Enforcement
- Tottenham Hotspur : Tottenham Hotspur Owners Turned Down Two Suitors for Club (1)
- UBER US : Uber to Join S&P 100
- UBER US : TechCrunch: Uber and Momenta to test autonomous vehicles in Germany in 2026

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of September 2025

>>> Up
* D'Ieteren Raised to Buy at Van Lanschot Kempen; PT 214 euros
* Grand City Properties Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 14 euros
* Henkel Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 86 euros
* Henkel ADRs Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $25.20
* Sanofi Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 100 euros
* Sanofi ADRs Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $58
* Vonovia Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 31.50 euros

>>> Down
* Alphabet Cut to Accumulate at Phillip Secs; PT $265
* JDE Peet's Cut to Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT 31.85 euros
* Ryanair Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 27.50 euros
* Volvo Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 298 kronor

>>> Initiation
* America Movil ADRs Rated New Neutral at Safra; PT $22
* Balder Rated New Hold at Jefferies; PT 72 kronor
* Comcast Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT $38
* Fastighets AB Trianon Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 26 kronor
* Goodyear Reinstated Neutral at Citi; PT $10
* Kojamo Rated New Buy at Jefferies; PT 12.50 euros
* Oracle Rated New Outperform at GuoSen

>>> Call

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • 3i (IGQ5 TH) +2.7%
  • Bollore (BOP TH) +2.3%
  • Bunzl (BUZ1 TH) +2.1%
  • Fresnillo (FNL TH) +2.1%
  • Legal & General (LGI TH) +2%
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +1.5%
  • HSBC (HBC1 TH) +1.5%
    • NOTE: HSBC’s Biggest Shakeup in Decade Raises Stakes for CEO Elhedery
  • Atlas Copco (ACO4 TH) +1.4%
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.3%
  • Lotus Bakeries (7LB TH) +1.3%
  • Ryanair (RY4C TH) -1.2%
    • Ryanair Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 27.50 euros
  • Standard Chartered (STD TH) -1.5%
  • NIBE Industrier (NJB TH) -1.7%

WSJ : BMW and Mercedes Take On Tesla With New Luxury SUVs

BMW and Mercedes Take On Tesla With New Luxury SUVs
Electric versions of the luxury brands’ bestsellers represent Europe’s boldest efforts yet to catch up with U.S. and Chinese technology

BMW and Mercedes-Benz are launching new electric SUVs to compete with Tesla’s Model Y, incorporating advanced technology.
These German SUVs feature longer ranges, faster charging and smartphone-inspired tech through partnerships with Silicon Valley firms.
Despite being more expensive, the new EVs aim to attract affluent, tech-forward consumers, especially those leaving Tesla.

Tesla’s TSLA 3.64%increase; green up pointing triangle Model Y was a game-changer in the auto industry, blowing away fusty old manufacturers to become the bestselling vehicle globally. Now the world’s top luxury car brands are fighting back.

In recent days, BMW BMW -0.18%decrease; red down pointing triangle and Mercedes-Benz have revealed new electric sport-utility vehicles—a category dominated by the Model Y—that will test car buyers’ appetite for expensive European brands at a time when technology from the U.S. and China increasingly sets the auto industry’s agenda.

The fruits of billions of dollars of investment, the SUVs will travel farther and charge faster than most of today’s electric vehicles. They will also put smartphone-inspired technology at the heart of the vehicle, allowing drivers to connect to cutting-edge artificial intelligence on the go and manufacturers to send more software updates remotely.

Mercedes took the wraps off its electric GLC in Munich’s former royal palace on Sunday, ahead of IAA Mobility, Europe’s most important car show. Two days earlier, BMW Chief Executive Oliver Zipse had showed off the company’s new iX3 at an event he called a “once-in-a-lifetime moment” for his team.

“When else do you get to reimagine a brand like BMW from the ground up?” Zipse asked the crowd.

Whereas Tesla developed much of its technology in-house, the German companies are relying on partnerships with Silicon Valley to turn their vehicles into giant smartphones on wheels.

Chip designers Nvidia and Qualcomm are helping Mercedes and BMW, respectively, to achieve a higher level of autonomous driving. The so-called virtual assistant in the new Mercedes GLC can do everything from find nearby restaurants to open the windows, thanks to AI from Alphabet’s Google and OpenAI’s ChatGPT.

The Model Y upended the auto industry when deliveries started in 2020, taking the slick EV technology introduced in Tesla’s Model 3 sedan to the increasingly popular crossover category. As Tesla increased output at new factories in Texas and Germany, the product raced past the Toyota Corolla to become the world’s top-selling nameplate in 2023.

To compete, legacy automakers rushed out rivals such as Ford’s Mustang Mach-E and Volkswagen’s ID.4. But early imitators typically failed to match the Model Y on range, cost or software smarts, leading to slow sales, particularly as EV mania faded in 2024.

Set to reach U.S. showrooms next year, the new iX3 and electric GLC are among the most comprehensive efforts yet by old-school automakers to redesign vehicles around software, rather than the mechanical engineering that made them household names.

The luxury SUV charge from Germany comes at a moment of weakness for Tesla, particularly in Europe. This year, the U.S. company’s sales have fallen by roughly one-third in the region, following CEO Elon Musk’s embrace of right-wing political activism and the retooling of its Berlin factory for an upgraded Model Y. The facelift hasn’t yet shown signs of reigniting growth.

At the equivalent of roughly $80,000 in Germany for the BMW iX3 in Europe, the German SUVs will be more expensive than the Model Y, which starts at roughly $60,000 for a long-range version. While Tesla initially recruited drivers from luxury brands, Musk has lowered prices toward mainstream levels in recent years to hit aggressive sales targets. (Mercedes hasn’t yet announced the price of its electric GLC.)

But the companies still compete for more affluent, tech-forward consumers. In the U.S., BMW is already attracting the most “Tesla defectors,” the company told investors in July.

The new iX3 and electric GLC will run for 497 and 457 miles on a single charge, respectively, based on European testing. That compares to 387 miles for the long-range Model Y, which was upgraded earlier this year. The German models also feature higher-voltage powertrains that, given the right infrastructure, should allow faster charging than the Tesla SUV.

The digital technology that makes them “smart” will gradually be rolled out to the rest of the companies’ products—including those with internal-combustion engines.

Europe’s prestigious car brands have a lot of catching up to do, according to a recent “digital automaker index” by consulting firm Gartner that put Mercedes and BMW in 13th and 14th places, respectively. That was slightly lower than last year, after two new Chinese brands, Xiaomi and Li Auto, entered the league table with high scores. Tesla was at the top of the list.

The latest EVs should improve the rankings of BMW and Mercedes, said Pedro Pacheco, the report’s author. The index tracks the digital capabilities of cars on the road, not those in development.

The iX3 debuts an entire family of vehicles that BMW calls its Neue Klasse, or new class, echoing a previous Neue Klasse that saved BMW from near-bankruptcy in the 1960s. Zipse has described the project, which cost well over €10 billion, equivalent to more than $11.7 billion, as the single biggest investment in the company’s history.

A similar project has been underway at Mercedes. Together with a small sedan launched in May, the GLC SUV marks a fresh start for Mercedes EVs after a series of flops under the “EQ” badge. For the GLC and successor models, the company is moving back to classic Mercedes designs and vehicle names.

Volkswagen Group, which owns Porsche and Audi, is lagging behind Mercedes and BMW in upgrading its digital technology. Last year it tried to accelerate by forming a joint venture with U.S. EV maker Rivian, following a similar deal with XPeng in China.

In China, the world’s largest car market and a crucial source of profit for German automakers, the new iX3 and GLC will feature digital assistants powered by local tech champions Alibaba and ByteDance, respectively. German brands have lost market share to technologically sophisticated Chinese EV makers in recent years, prompting them to adapt to local consumer tastes.

“They grew up faster than everyone thought,” BMW’s Zipse said in an interview.

Increasingly, Chinese automakers are bringing their high-tech approaches and low prices to Europe, too. This month, XPeng started shipping a new version of its long-range G6 EV, a small SUV packed with the latest digital technology, for €47,600, equivalent to roughly $55,800, in Germany.

“Have I seen anything in the Neue Klasse or the new Mercedes models that will make the Chinese scared? No,” said Steve Fowler, an industry consultant and car reviewer.

The German players remain more cautious in their approach to vehicle autonomy than Tesla or their tech-forward Chinese competitors. While driverless so-called robotaxis are at the top of Musk’s agenda at Tesla, Zipse said BMW would “rather have the impression that we’re lagging something and not one casualty.”

When it starts shipping to the U.S., the new iX3 will drive itself under supervision on highways, but automated urban driving will only be rolled out gradually.

“I have my doubts about whether German brands can regain the advantage they had in the diesel and gasoline era,” said veteran analyst Jürgen Pieper. “It was a phenomenal position they had, and I don’t see it coming back.”

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Henkel (HEN3 TH) +1.4%
    • Henkel Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 86 euros
  • Vonovia (VNA TH) +1.3%
    • Vonovia Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 31.50 euros
  • Merck KGaA (MRK TH) +1.3%
  • Infineon (IFX TH) +1.1%
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) +1%
MDAX:
  • Evotec (EVT TH) +1.6%
  • Puma (PUM TH) +1.3%
  • GEA Group (G1A TH) +1.3%
  • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) +1.2%
  • Stroeer (SAX TH) +1%
SDAX:
  • Patrizia (PAT TH) +2.6%
  • Salzgitter (SZG TH) +1.9%
  • SGL (SGL TH) +1.7%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) +1.7%
  • SUSS MicroTec (SMHN TH) +1.6%
  • Formycon (FYB TH) -1.1%

FT : Goldman Sachs on Gold.


Gold prices could climb to almost $5,000 an ounce if Donald Trump’s attacks on the Federal Reserve damage the US central bank’s independence, Goldman Sachs has predicted.

Gold has rallied 35 per cent this year to more than $3,500 per troy ounce, making it one of the world’s best performing major assets, writes Emily Herbert.

Investors and central banks have piled into the precious metal as they seek protection from political uncertainty and debt worries that have sent traditional havens such as the dollar and government bonds tumbling.

Fears that the US administration could erode the independence of the world’s most important central bank have fuelled the latest flows into the metal, which is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation.

Investors are concerned that a politicised Fed would be more inclined to cut interest rates than would otherwise be the case, sending long-term inflation expectations higher and undermining Treasury prices. 

“A scenario where Fed independence is damaged would likely lead to higher inflation, lower stock and long-dated bond prices and an erosion of the dollar’s reserve currency status,” said Daan Struyven, co-head of global commodities research at Goldman Sachs. 

On the other hand, “gold is a store of value that doesn’t rely on institutional trust”, Struyven said.

FT : Tax fears prompt pension withdrawals

Tax fears prompt pension withdrawals

The UK’s Autumn Budget is almost three months away, but there is already much speculation over how chancellor Rachel Reeves will plug the country’s gaping fiscal hole.

Wealth managers are worried that pensions will be targeted. The amount withdrawn in tax-free lump sums over the past financial year has surged by more than 60 per cent following an announcement that pensions would be subject to inheritance tax from April 2027, write Mary McDougall and Emma Dunkley.

But now there are fears that the government could reduce the size of the tax-free lump sum that retirees can withdraw from their pension after the age of 55. The allowance is currently set at 25 per cent up to a cap of £268,275.

A response to a freedom of information request submitted by wealth manager Evelyn Partners to the Financial Conduct Authority revealed that individuals withdrew £18.1bn in the year to end of March, up from £11.25bn the previous year. Most of the money taken out was in the second half of the year.  

The FCA’s FOI response also revealed that more than 211,000 individuals withdrew a tax-free lump sum from their pension savings, up from about 163,500 the previous year. 

“These are quite startling figures showing that the country’s pension savers have been in an unprecedented rush to take their tax-free lump sums,” said Emma Sterland, chief financial planning officer at Evelyn Partners. “You can’t help feeling that much of this increase is a slightly panicked dive into pensions sparked by uncertainty over policy change.” 

Pensions minister Torsten Bell, who has been handed a key role in preparing the Budget for chancellor Rachel Reeves, described the tax-free lump sum as “very generous, very regressive, and a strange incentive not to stagger your retirement income” in a 2019 report when he was chief executive of the Resolution Foundation think-tank.