Asian Market Update: RBA, RBNZ officials talk down respective exchange rates; ADB cuts SE Asia GDP targets
***Economic Data*** - (JP) JAPAN AUG PPI SERVICES Y/Y: 3.5% V 3.7%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA JUN-AUG JOB VACANCIES Q/Q: -0.7% V +2.5% PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA AUG DISCOUNT STORE SALES Y/Y: +3.2% V -4.6% PRIOR; DEPARTMENT STORE SALES Y/Y: +10.5% V +2.0% PRIOR - (PH) PHILIPPINES JUL TRADE BALANCE: -$33M V $181ME
***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 +1.2%, S&P/ASX +0.2%, Kospi +0.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.6%, Hang Seng +0.4%, Dec S&P500 -0.1% at 1,990
***Commodities/Fixed Income/Currencies*** - Dec gold -0.5% at $1,214/oz, Nov crude oil -0.1% at $92.76/brl, Dec copper -0.4% at $3.04/lb - SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings rise to 10,738 tonnes from 10,663 tonnes prior (multi-year high) - (CN) PBoC to drain CNY18B in 14-day repos (18th consecutive drain); Drains net CNY11B this week (largest drain in 7 weeks) v injected CNY8B in prior week; Offer yield at 3.5%, unchanged from prior. - USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1497 v 6.1462 prior setting (weakest yuan setting since Sept 8th)
***Market Focal Points/Key Themes*** - Asian bourses are tracking a strong rebound in the US indices, where a 6-year high in new home sales reversed a 3-day slide. Nikkei225 is outperforming with a gain of over 1%, helped by renewed selling in Japanese Yen. - Volatility in foreign-exchange trading continued to pick up, with EUR/USD piercing below $1.2770 for a new 14-month low and NZD/USD falling below the $0.80 to mark a fresh 1-year low. NZD/USD sell-off was particularly pronounced at 70pips, driven by a statement from RBNZ calling Kiwi exchange rate level unjustified and unsustainable. Gov Wheeler added RBNZ would welcome a move to more sustainable exchange rate, and that the real rate has not adjusted materially to the recent downward movement in commodity prices given the 45% drop in dairy off its peak in February. AUD/USD fell to 7-month lows below $0.8820 following RBA board member Edwards also forecasting AUD downtrend likely to continue. - Asian Development Bank (ADB) released an update to its regional outlook for 2014, cutting Southeast Asia 2014 GDP forecast to 4.6% from 5.0% prior. ADB also affirmed China 2014 and 2015 GDP at 7.5% and 7.4% respectively, slightly more bullish than some of the recent growth downgrade projections from major banks. Separately, the head of China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) said Chinese banking asset quality is within a stable range and risks are controllable.
***Equities*** US markets: - JBL: Reports Q4 $0.05 v $0.00e, R$4.06B v $3.81Be; +4.6% afterhours - EVTC: Announces $75M stock repurchase program (approx 4.3% of market cap); +0.5% afterhours - YHOO: Agrees to one-year lockup for Alibaba shares (Yahoo holds 15% stake post IPO) - filing; +0.3% afterhours - FUL: Reports Q3 $0.42 v $0.76e, R$526.8M v $539Me; -13.8% afterhours
Notable movers by sector: - Consumer staples: Daiei Inc 8263.JP -10.6%, Aeon 8267.JP +1.9% (Aeon's offer values Daiei at around ¥125/shr) - Financials: China South City Holdings 1668.HK +3.0% (Tencent to acquire additional stake); Monex Group 8698.JP -3.5% (analyst action) - Industrials: China Railway Tielong Container Logistics 600125.CN +1.5%, Shenzhen Feima International Supply Chain 002210.CN +2.7%, China Shipping Development 600026.CN +3.0%, China Cosco Holdings 601919.CN +6.4% (China to support logistics services); Minebea 6479.JP +5.0% (press speculation on FY14/15); Hyundai Heavy 009540.KR -2.1% (workers may go on strike) - Technology: Tsinghua Unisplendour 000938.CN +10.0%, Unisplendour Guhan Group 000590.CN +2.9% (Intel to acquire stake in Tsinghua Unigroup) - Utilities: Dongfang Electric 600875.CN +6.9%, Sufa Technology Industry 000777.CN +10.0%, Shenzhen Woer Heat-Shrinkable Material 002130.CN +6.6% (China to start building nuclear power projects)
After Hours Summary: RLGT +11.5%, JBL +3.4%, FUL -9.2% following earnings/guidance
After Hours Gainers: Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: RLGT +11.5%, JBL +3.4%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: RNN +10.5% (receives FDA orphan drug designation for RX-3117 in treatment of pancreatic cancer), XGTI +7.8% (announced purchase agreements for up to $16 mln with Lincoln Park Capital Fund)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: FUL -9.2%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: ARCW -1.9% (co rescheduled earnings release date and conference call to October 8, 2014), BSX -0.4% (co discloses that a court determined co breached its license agreement with Mirowski Family Ventures and awarded damages of $308 mln)
Closing Market Summary: S&P 500 Rallies After Nearing 50-Day Average
The stock market ended the midweek session on an upbeat note despite enduring a shaky start to the day. The S&P 500 rose 0.8% with nine sectors posting gains, while the Nasdaq Composite (+1.0%) outperformed.
Equity indices spent the initial 90 minutes of action near their flat lines with the S&P 500 briefly pressured to its 50-day moving average (1976.58) by the early weakness in the energy sector (+0.04%). The growth-sensitive group was down in excess of 1.0% in the early going, but charged into positive territory during afternoon action. Crude oil went along for the afternoon ride, climbing 1.6% to $93.03/bbl.
The test of the 50-day moving average invited dip buyers into the fold, while the relative strength of high-beta areas like biotechnology and chipmakers emboldened their efforts. Furthermore, a well-timed report from the Wall Street Journal indicating China may replace the People's Bank of China Governor Zhou with someone more dovish provided an added measure of support.
The health care sector (+1.7%) seized the lead at the start and held its ground throughout the day to pad its September advance to 2.4%. Biotechnology fueled the rally with the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 279.29, +7.67) climbing 2.8% to a fresh record high.
Conversely, the surge in biotech gave a boost to the Nasdaq, which ended ahead of the broader market even as the top-weighted index component—Apple (AAPL 101.73, -0.91)—spent the day in the red. Chipmakers picked up some of the slack with the PHLX Semiconductor Index climbing 1.2%. Micron (MU 32.22, +1.02) was a notable outperformer amid reports the company has discussed a potential joint venture with Advanced Semiconductor (ASX 6.02, 0.00).
Elsewhere, the consumer discretionary sector (+1.0%) finished among the leaders despite underperforming early. However, homebuilders were unable to participate following a disappointing quarterly report from KB Home (KBH 16.07, -0.90). The stock lost 5.3% and pressured its peers in the early going, but the group was able to trim its losses after a better than expected New Home Sales report crossed the wires (504K; Briefing.com consensus 435K). The iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction ETF (ITB 23.15, -0.05) settled lower by 0.2%.
Treasuries attempted to turn positive just ahead of the housing data, but were rebuffed. The 10-yr note spent the entire day in the red, ending near the lows with its yield up four basis points at 2.56%.
Today's session was met with above-average participation with more than 730 million shares changing hands at the NYSE.
Economic data included New Home Sales and the MBA Mortgage Index:
* New home sales jumped 18.0% in August to 504,000 from an upwardly revised 427,000 (from 412,000), while the consensus expected an increase to 435,000
* That was the first time that new home sales surpassed 500,000 since May 2008, and the increase was in-line with the spike in the September NAHB home builder index, which reached its highest point since November 2005 * With the exception of the Midwest region, which was flat, sales growth was extremely strong across the U.S. That included a 50.0% increase in sales in the West and a 29.2% increase in the Northeast.
* The weekly MBA Mortgage Index fell 4.1% to follow last week's 7.9% spike
Tomorrow, weekly Initial Claims ( consensus 300K) and Durable Orders for August (consensus -16.3%) will be released at 8:30 ET.
* Nasdaq Composite +9.1% YTD * S&P 500 +8.1% YTD * Dow Jones Industrial Average +3.8% YTD * Russell 2000 -3.2% YTD