Asian Market Update: Japan industrial output recovers; Facebook follows Twitter with steep post-earnings drop
***Economic Data*** - (JP) JAPAN SEPT PRELIMINARY INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: 2.7% V 2.2%E (8-month high); Y/Y: +0.6% V -0.1%E - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND OCT ANZ ACTIVITY OUTLOOK: 37.8 V 37.0 PRIOR; ANZ BUSINESS CONFIDENCE: 26.5 (first increase in 8 months) V 13.4 PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA SEPT CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE: $7.6B V $7.2B PRIOR (31st month of surplus)
***Index Snapshot (as of 02:30 GMT)*** - Nikkei225 +1.4%, S&P/ASX flat, Kospi +1.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.4%, Hang Seng +0.9%, Dec S&P500 -0.2% at 1,975
***Commodities/Fixed Income*** - Dec gold flat at $1,229, Dec crude oil +0.3% at $81.69/brl - GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 1.8 tonnes to 743.6 tonnes; Lowest level since Oct 2008 - (US) API PETROLEUM INVENTORIES: CRUDE: +3.2M (4th consecutive build) v +3Me, GASOLINE: -3.7M v -1Me, DISTILLATE: -3.0M v -1.5Me - (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥350B in 1-3yr JGB, ¥300B in 3-5yr JGB, ¥400B in 5-10yr JGB - (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$600M in 2029 Bonds; Avg yield: 3.6260%; Bid-to-cover: 4.85x - (CN) China MoF sells 5-yr govt bonds at average yield of 3.53% - USD/CNY: (CN) PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1405 v 6.1421 prior setting (strongest since Oct 15th)
***Market Focal Points/Key Themes/FX*** - Much like Twitter, Facebook beat consensus expectations but saw its shares sink afterhours with a near 10% loss. On the conference call, FB disclosed that Q4 sales would rise +40-47% y/y (implies $3.63-3.81B v $3.74Be), while expenses would rise 50-70%. Investors are skeptical that rich acquisitions such as WhatsApp, financials for which showed little revenue and rising costs, are less prudent if organic growth is to slow.
- Japan Cabinet Office raises its assessment of Industrial Production for the first time after Sept sequential growth rose at the highest rate since January. METI noted production is "see-sawing", also forecasting a marginal 0.1% decline in October followed by a 1% increase in November. Recall earlier this month, the BOJ cut its assessment for Industrial production to "showing some weakness, due in part to inventory adjustment". Separately in Japan, S&P warned the plan to raise its sales tax next year may not be positive for the nation's credit rating if it snuffs out any chance of economic recovery. This could potentially disarm the argument that global investors' trust would be hurt if consumption tax is not lifted again as expressed by Fin Min Aso last week.
- World Bank warned that China growth slowdown could be structural rather than cyclical, but that there is room for stimulus if growth slows sharply. World Bank estimated reform to increase growth by as much as 3.5% over a five year period.
- South Korea Pres Park said the economy remains in crisis even though growth is picking up. A local press reported also noted Q3 credit card spending growth at its highest rate in nearly 2 years at 6.3%.
***Equities*** US markets: - X: Reports Q3 $2.16 adj v $1.17e, R$4.59B v $4.54Be; +10.4% afterhours - TQNT: Reports Q3 $0.28 v $0.24e, R$272M v $261Me; +4.7% afterhours - SWI: Reports Q3 $0.50 v $0.44e, R$112.9M v $111Me; +3.5% afterhours - DLR: Reports FFO Q3 $1.22 v $1.21e, R$412.2M v $407Me; +3.3% afterhours - WES: Reports Q3 $0.60 v $0.56e, R$326.5M v $347Me; to acquire Nuevo Midstream for $1.5B; +1.7% afterhours - AFL: Reports Q3 $1.51 v $1.43e, R$5.74B v $5.72Be; increases dividend, approves increased buyback targets; +1.2% afterhours - WYNN: Reports Q3 $1.95 (adj) v $1.82e, R$1.37B v $1.36Be; +0.9% afterhours - MAR: Reports Q3 $0.65 v $0.62e, R$3.46B v $3.45Be; +0.4% afterhours
- MCK: Reports Q2 $2.79 v $2.74e, R$44.8B v $42.9Be, Technology solutions rev -6% y/y; -0.7% afterhours - EA: Reports Q2 $0.73 v $0.53e, R$1.22B v $1.16Be; -1.2% afterhours - WDC: Reports Q1 $2.10 v $2.04e, R$3.94B v $3.88Be, Guides Q2 $2.00-2.10 v $2.22e, R$3.75-3.85B v $3.91Be - conf call; -1.3% afterhours - OI: Reports Q3 $0.75 adj v $0.73e, R$1.75B v $1.77Be, lowers FY14 adj EPS $2.62-2.72 v $2.70e (prior $2.85-3.05); -1.8% afterhours - PNRA: Reports Q3 $1.46 v $1.42e, R$620M v $621Me, sales growth was offset by higher costs; -2.6% afterhours - GILD: Reports Q3 $1.84 v $1.80e, R$6.04B v $5.88Be, Q3 Sovaldi sales $2.8B v $3.48B q/q; -4.3% afterhours - FB: Reports Q3 $0.43 v $0.40e, R$3.20B v $3.11Be; Guides Q4 Revenue +40-47% y/y (implies $3.63-3.81B v $3.74Be) - conf call; -8.2% afterhours - ORB: The Antares (unmanned) rocket explodes on launch from VA - financial press; -15.5% afterhours
Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Shimano 7309.JP +4.9% (9M results; raises FY14 guidance); Nichirei Corp 2871.JP +3.6% (H1 results; raises FY14/15 guidance); Guangzhou Automobile 2238.HK -3.3% (Q3 results) - Financials: Nomura Holdings 8604.JP +4.4% (H1 results); Ping An Insurance 2318.HK +2.3% (Q3 results) - Materials: Sirius Resources SIR.AU +5.5% (quarterly update); Maanshan Iron & Steel 323.HK +4.2% (Q3 results) - Industrials: Samsung Heavy 010140.KR +7.3% (share repurchase); Okuma Corp 6103.JP -2.5% (H1 results); Minebea 6479.JP +2.5% (raises FY14/15 guidance); Hitachi Construction Machinery 6305.JP +2.6% (H1 results); Honda Motor 7267.JP +0.4% (H1 results); Gem-Year Industrial 601002.CN +10.0%, China Railway Group 601390.CN +8.4% (CSR, CNR merger) - Technology: Omron Corp 6645.JP +7.6% (H1 results) - Utilities: Osaki Electric 6644.JP +3.4% (raises FY14/15 guidance)
After Hours Summary: X +10.4%, MAR +4.1%, INVN -24.5%, FB -9.3%, GILD -3.6%, PNRA -2.8% following earnings/guidance
After Hours Gainers: Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings: ICAD +10.5%, X +10.4%, ZLTQ +9.4%, EXTR +9.1%, IPHI +5.1%, EGL +4.2%, MAR +4.1%, TQNT +4%, AMC +3.5%, SWI +3.5%, DLR +3.3%, ULTI +3%, MRCY +2.9%, XCO +2.5%, GPRE +2.5%, WES +1.7%, CAP +1.3%, AFL +1.2%, EXP +1.2%, USNA +0.7%, APC +0.6%, KFRC +0.6%, CNL +0.4%, NFX +0.2%, EIX +0.2%, KONA +0.1%, AZPN +0.1%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: AKS +4.5% (announced it will increase current spot market base prices for all carbon flat-rolled steel products by a minimum of $20 per ton, effective immediately with new orders), EGL +4.2% (entered into an agreement to acquire TASC for ~$1.1 bln, including the assumption of debt; expected to be significantly accretive to 2016 adjusted EPS; EGL stockholders to receive a special dividend of ~$11.40 per share in cash), ARNA +2.9% (announced positive top-line results of a pilot study to assess the safety of lorcaserin HCl and phentermine HCl), SPF +2.7% (announced a share repurchase program of up to $100 mln of common stock), IDT +2.6% (declared a special dividend of $0.68 per share), SANM +1.9% (announced the start of production for Raytheon missile systems electronic assemblies), LECO +1.7% (Board approved a 26% quarterly dividend increase to $0.29 per share and raised its 2014 share repurchase target 20% to $300 mln), QGEN +1.2% (announced an agreement with Astellas Pharma to develop companion diagnostics)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings: INVN -24.5%, KEYW -17.6%, MTSC -14.4%, XOOM -12.6%, FB -9.3%, AMCC -9.2%, SM -8%, GILD -3.6%, PNRA -2.8%, EA -2.8%, VRTX -2.3%, TRUE -2.1%, OI -1.8%, HTS -1.6%, TRN -1.5%, WDC -1.5%, GAIN -1.2%, ESRX -1.2%, FISV -1%, MCK -0.8%, CHMT -0.3%, AJG -0.1%, CRAY -0.1%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: ORB -12.7% (co's Cygnus spacecraft exploded on launch), SGYP -6.8% (announced a private offering to sell up to $150 mln principal amount of its convertible senior notes due 2019), TRUE -2.1% (filed for a 1 mln share offering of common stock by selling shareholders; co also provided Q3 guidance), PRU -1.5% (entered into an MoU with Inversiones La Construccion S.A. to acquire ownership stake in Administradora de Fondos de Pensiones Habitat S.A. in Chile between 34-40% for a purchase price of $530-620 mln)
2014-10-28 20:56:14.380 GMT
By Catherine Larkin
Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Gilead says on 3Q conf. call that
global rev. base and operations in Ireland will give co. options
for potential “structuring alternatives.,” if needed, after
Irish tax law changes.
* NOTE: Oct. 13, Gilead May Have 3%-5% EPS Impact on Irish
Tax-Law Changes: RBC NSN NDEDO46TTDSO<GO>
Link to Company News:GILD US <Equity> CN <GO>
For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Catherine Larkin at +1-312-443-5968 or
clarkin4@bloomberg.net
The stock market rallied on Tuesday with the S&P 500 climbing 1.2%. Small cap names had an even better showing, sending the Russell 2000 higher by 2.9%.
Equity indices climbed steadily throughout the day with the S&P 500 turning positive for the month of October. The index ended the day with an October gain of 0.6% after being down as much as 5.6% for the month on October 15.
In large part, the sharp rebound off the mid-October low was predicated on the belief that the Federal Reserve will not rush to hike the fed funds rate after asset purchases under the Quantitative Easing program end. To that point, the Federal Open Market Committee is expected to announce its final $15 billion taper tomorrow while the accompanying policy statement will be scrutinized for clues concerning the expected rate path.
All ten sectors finished in the green with yesterday's laggard—energy (+2.3%)—ending in the lead. The sector enjoyed a relief rally with support from BP (BP 42.84, +0.89) after the industry giant reported a bottom-line beat. A modest 0.4% uptick in the price of crude ($81.37/bbl) also factored into the strength, while disappointing earnings from Consol Energy (CNX 35.59, +1.36) and Noble Energy (NBL 58.36, +1.98) did not prevent a sector-wide rally.
Similar to energy, the industrial sector (+1.7%) displayed relative strength throughout the session. Transports and defense stocks underpinned the sector as evidenced by the Dow Jones Transportation Average (+1.5%) and PHLX Defense Index (+1.8%).
Meanwhile, most of the remaining cyclical groups kept pace with the benchmark index while the materials sector (+0.9%) lagged. Elsewhere, the discretionary space (+1.1%) ended just behind the market with solid gains among restaurant stocks masking the weakness in apparel names after Kohl's (KSS 54.66, -3.89) lowered its guidance. The stock fell 6.6% while Coach (COH 34.00, -2.15) lost 6.0% after its bottom-line beat was not enough to signal a turnaround.
In other earnings of note, Twitter (TWTR 43.78, -4.78) slumped 9.8% after worse than expected monthly active user figures overshadowed in-line results. For its part, Twitter's peer, Facebook (FB 80.77, +0.49), ended flat ahead of its quarterly report.
Also of note, countercyclical sectors lagged across the board after showing relative strength yesterday. The telecom services sector (+1.0%) had the best showing while consumer staples (+0.4%), health care (+0.7%), and utilities (+0.7%) struggled to keep up.
Treasuries slumped in the morning and finished near their session lows. The 10-yr yield rose three basis points to 2.29%.
Participation was in-line with recent averages as 779 million shares changed hands at the NYSE floor.
Economic data included Durable Orders, Case-Shiller 20-City Index, and Consumer Confidence:Tomorrow, the weekly MBA Mortgage Index will be released at 7:00 ET while the FOMC policy directive will cross the wires at 14:00 ET.
- September durable goods orders fell 1.3%, which was worse than the 0.6% increase expected among economists polled
- The drop followed the prior month's revised decline of 18.3% (from -18.4%) and was accented with a 2.8% decline in machinery orders, a 2.5% decline in computer and electronic product orders, and a 3.7% drop in orders for transportation equipment
- Excluding transportation, durable orders decreased 0.2% (consensus 0.5%) to follow the prior month's revised increase of 0.7% (from 0.4%)
- The Case-Shiller 20-city Home Price Index for August rose 5.6%, while a 5.5% increase had been expected by the consensus
- This followed the previous month's increase of 6.7%
- The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index jumped to 94.5 in October from an upwardly revised 89.0 (from 86.0), while the consensus expected a reading of 87.2
- Consumer confidence is now at its strongest point since October 2007 and has finally recovered from the Great Recession
- Confidence generally trends in conjunction with the equity market, unemployment rate, gasoline prices, and media reports. Large swings in equity prices along with dire media reports about Ebola were expected to contain positive excitement from an improving labor market and lower gasoline costs
- Nasdaq Composite +9.3% YTD
- S&P 500 +7.4% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average +2.6% YTD
- Russell 2000 -1.1% YTD