FT : Kraft Heinz: The right ingredients for a deal

The merger of Kraft Foods and HJ Heinz orchestrated by 3G Capital, the private equity vehicle of three Brazilian billionaires, will transform the global consumer industry to create the world’s fifth-largest food and beverage company.
Set up in 2004, 3G’s three founding investors Jorge Paulo Lemann, Marcel Telles and Carlos Sicupira have been on a multibillion-dollar buying spree of some of the world’s best-known consumer brands.
3G buys big
In 2013, Warren Buffett teamed up with 3G when his Berkshire Hathaway investment vehicle backed its $28bn deal to take US ketchup maker Heinz private.
Seven years ago, Mr Lemann helped engineer InBev’s $52bn takeover of Anheuser-Busch to create the world’s largest brewer. In 2010, 3G gobbled up Burger King in a $3.3bn deal, and last year — again with Mr Buffett’s help — bolted on the $11bn acquisition of coffee chain Tim Hortons to create Restaurant Brands, in which 3G owns a 51 per cent stake.
Synergies with Heinz . . .
The newly formed Kraft Heinz group will have combined revenues of $28bn as well as eight brands with a total value of more than $1bn each and five brands worth between $500m and $1bn each — providing 3G with “significant synergy opportunities”.
. . . and a desire to re-internationalise Kraft
“Although the 2012 demerger refocused Kraft on the US market, a critique of Heinz was that it was too US-centric,” says Martin Deboo, consumer analyst at Jefferies, noting that the international expansion could happen “organically, or acquisitively through further M&A”.
This could open up the possibility of Kraft Heinz acquiring international brands in the future, such as Unilever’s spreads business, which has been the subject of sale speculation.
“A deal like that would get them into Europe, and turn Kraft into a global leader in the spreads and margarine business,” Mr Deboo adds.
A trusted partner in Warren Buffett
Following the Heinz and Tim Hortons deals, Mr Buffett is highly supportive of 3G capital, describing them as “marvellous partners” in his annual letter to investors in February, adding that he would welcome the chance to work with the three men again.
The potential to squeeze Kraft’s costs
3G has forged a reputation as a ruthless cost-cutter. Kraft’s operating margin is around 18 per cent based on current industry consensus figures, which analysts say is “pretty decent” for a food company — but there is every expectation that 3G will go further.
“Zero base budgeting” is the term one analyst uses to describe the cost cutting strategy of the three dealmakers, who are all board directors at AB InBev.
“There are lots of stories — some probably apocryphal — about their relentless drive on admin costs at AB InBev,” says one analyst, noting its company-wide policy for staff to fly economy and buy their own stationery. When in New York, directors are said to stay in New Jersey hotels rather than expensive ones in Manhattan. Not that they seem to mind — the same analyst notes that performance is heavily incentivised with equity.
The Heinz acquisition further highlighted 3G’s cost-cutting prowess. “They’ve taken out more costs than people thought possible,” another analyst notes. “This has had an effect on the way investors see other quoted consumer companies in the US. They think ‘If Heinz can do it, why can’t you?’”

(BFW) Energy Sector Alpha Can Be Found; Lists 12 Buys: MKM’s Krinsky


Energy Sector Alpha Can Be Found; Lists 12 Buys: MKM’s Krinsky
2015-03-25 11:50:29.985 GMT


By Andrew Cinko
(Bloomberg) -- Looked at absolute and relative trends in
Energy sector so investors “can attempt to add alpha amidst a
choppy range-bound market,” writes MKM Partners technical
analyst Jonathan Krinsky in note.
* Among MLPs, buys: ALDW, BPL, CPLP, ENB, ETE, KMI, PAGP, SEMG
* Sells: CNP, NRP, SDLP, TOO
* Says Alerian MLP index has “no clear trend"; notes 410
holding as support, however needs to rally above 460
before ‘‘durable bottom’’ formed
* Says Alerian MLP index has “no clear trend"; notes 410
holding as support, however needs to rally above 460
before ‘‘durable bottom’’ formed</li></ul>
* Refiners are ‘‘best group’’ in the sector, doesn’t see that
ending in S-T; buy VLO, sell HFC
* Integrated cos 2nd best group, says buy BP, sell XOM
* Oil Services remain in ‘‘clear downtrend’’ on both absolute
and relative basis; buy BHI, sell SDRL
* E&Ps ‘‘vulnerable’’, may have new leg lower; buy XEC, sell
OAS


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To contact the reporter on this story:
Andrew Cinko in New York at +1-609-279-4533 or
cinko@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
Larry DiTore at +1-212-617-1603 or
lditore@bloomberg.net

>>> Apollo Group beats by $0.06, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs below consensus;

--> -10% pre -market
watch Pearson (PSON LN), Tribal group (TRB LN), SCHL US, REL LN

Apollo Group beats by $0.06, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs below consensus; lowers FY15 guidance (27.99)
Reports Q2 (Feb) loss of $0.10 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.06 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.16); revenues rose -14% year/year to $578.6 mln vs the $585.07 mln consensus.
  • Second quarter 2015 University of Phoenix New Degreed Enrollment was 28,300 and Degreed Enrollment was 213,800.
Co issues downside guidance for Q3, sees Q3 revs of $690-705 mln vs. $741.27 mln Capital IQ Consensus; adj. operating income $85-95 mln.

Co issues downside guidance for FY15, lowers FY15 revs to $2.63-2.68 bln from $2.74-2.80 bln vs. $2.73 bln Capital IQ Consensus; adj. operating income to $200-230 mln from $250-290 mln.

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up: KFX +45.5%, ONCY +14.1%, WSCI +9.2%, LXK +7.9%, STMP +7.2%, CYCC +6.3%, TRQ +5.5%, AMSC +4.1%, WWAV +3.3%, YGE +3%, CLDN +2.7%, AMPH +2.4%, JKS +2.3%, MRK +1.7%, ORMP +1.6%, RIG +1.6%, AIXG +1.5%, NOK +1.4%, SHPG +1.3%, TWTR +1.2%, HSBC +1.1%, RIO +1.1%, BUD +1%, ALU +1%, SONC +0.7%, GIS +0.6%

Gapping down: LPTN -25.1%, CBK -12.3%, NVAX -8.1%, ENLK -7.8%, NSM -5.6%, NSM -5.6%, MHG -5%, DXLG -4.8%, ACHN -2%, DBVT -1.6%, BIDU -1.2%, HTZ -0.9%, SCS -0.9%

(Pimco) Can ECB Policy Heal Europe’s Ills?


  • Over the next 12 months, the eurozone will likely see real growth of around 1.5% and inflation around 1.0% as improving growth and a weakness in the euro should be sufficient to halt the decline in core inflation.
  • Looking at the UK, we see growth to be in a range of 2.5% to 3% and inflation near the official target of 2% in a range of 1% to 2% over the cyclical horizon.
  • Give the size of European Central Bank's (ECB) quantitative easing (QE) programme, technical flows will likely dominate investment strategies over the next few months. We expect to favour positions on the curve that benefit from duration extensions, an overweight to peripheral spreads and select corporate issuers, as well as an underweight to the euro versus the U.S. dollar.
  • The excess reserves generated by the ECB's (QE) programme are remunerated at the ECB's -0.20% deposit rate, which may raise the velocity of money as investors seek to reallocate their investments away from negative yields. This could have important implications for global capital markets.

>>> Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz Company have entered into a definitive merger agr

Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz Company have entered into a definitive merger agreement to create The Kraft Heinz Company; Kraft shareholders to receive a special cash dividend of $16.50 per share upon closing

Under the terms of the agreement, which has been unanimously approved by both Heinz and Kraft's Boards of Directors, Kraft shareholders will own a 49% stake in the combined company, and current Heinz shareholders will own 51% on a fully diluted basis. Kraft shareholders will receive stock in the combined company and a special cash dividend of $16.50 per share. The aggregate special dividend payment of ~$10 bln is being fully funded by an equity contribution by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) and 3G Capital.
  • Together the new company will have eight $1+ billion brands and five brands between $500 million and $1 billion. The complementary nature of the two brand portfolios presents substantial opportunity for synergies, which will result in increased investments in marketing and innovation.
  • When the transaction closes, Alex Behring, Chairman of Heinz and the Managing Partner at 3G Capital, will become the Chairman of The Kraft Heinz Company. John Cahill, Kraft Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, will become Vice Chairman and chair of a newly formed operations and strategy committee of the Board of Directors.
  • Bernardo Hees, Chief Executive Officer of Heinz, will be appointed Chief Executive Officer of The Kraft Heinz Company. The new executive team for the combined global company will be announced during the transition period, but no later than transaction closing.
  • The synergy potential includes an estimated $1.5 billion in annual cost savings implemented by the end of 2017. Synergies will come from the increased scale of the new organization, the sharing of best practices and cost reductions.
  • The transaction is expected to be EPS accretive by 2017. Once the transaction is complete, The Kraft Heinz Company plans to maintain Kraft's current dividend per share, which is expected to increase over time. Kraft has no plans to change its dividend prior to closing.

(BFW) Kraft/3G Deal Implications Mixed for U.S. Food, RBC Says


Kraft/3G Deal Implications Mixed for U.S. Food, RBC Says
2015-03-25 09:23:24.71 GMT


By Gaurav Panchal
(Bloomberg) -- With exception of PF, BGS, MDLZ,
implications of a Kraft Foods acquisition, if confirmed, would
be mixed for US food, RBC Capital says.
* On negative side, other food companies speculated to be 3G
targets (CPB, GIS, K) would have that long-term possibility
diminished, likely off the table for at least several years:
RBC
* On positive side, if US food company executive teams, boards
and shareholders will increasingly view 3G’s food company as
a relevant benchmark for productivity: RBC
* Says deal potentially positive for Mondelez, Pinnacle Foods,
B&G due to disposals of non-core/regional business by
Kraft/3G
* Earlier views:
* 3G Bid for Kraft a Reason Why AB InBev Won’t Buy
SABMiller: RBC Link
* Kraft Not A Key Company 3G Would Consider As a Target:
Bernstein Bernstein Link
* 3G/Heinz Acquiring Kraft Wouldn’t Be a Complete
Surprise: BofAML Link
* 3G/Heinz Acquiring Kraft Wouldn’t Be a Complete
Surprise: BofAML Link</li></ul>
* 3G Said to Plan to Merge Kraft With Heinz Link


Link to Company News:{PF US <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{BGS US <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{MDLZ US <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{KRFT US <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{4071428Z US <Equity> CN <GO>}

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jcone@bloomberg.net

WSJ : Improbable Dream: London Startup Gets $20 Million From Andreessen Horowitz

Herman Narula shows just how much connections matter in Silicon Valley.

Narula, 26 years old, just raised $20 million from Menlo Park, Calif., firm Andreessen Horowitz for his London-based startup, Improbable.

The company is working on software that allows simulated worlds, such as those in videogames played by thousands or millions of people across the world at the same time, to stay up and running without interruptions that can occur if systems are overloaded.

A few weeks ago, Narula and his team flew to Silicon Valley, where they had meetings set up by some of their early investors, including Jaan Tallinn, a co-founder of Skype.

They quickly had had three investment offers. “One of the firms actually said, ‘You know, this is a good offer, but we’d understand if Marc Andreessen showed up and offered you $20 million or something,’” Narula said, referring to a general partner in the investment firm. “And a few days later, that’s exactly what happened.”

The deal was the latest example of American money pouring into London, amid a global rise in venture-capital investment. It is also at least the second Andreessen Horowitz investment in London this year. In January, the firm said it would invest in TransferWise, a currency transfer company.

One other connection of note: A TransferWise co-founder, Taavet Hinrikus, a former Skype employee, is also an angel investor in Improbable.

Narula met his co-founder Rob Whitehead during their last few weeks at the University of Cambridge. They spent several years building their product and hiring engineers away from places like Google, fueled by their own money and £1.5 million ($2.2 million) in so-called angel investment.

The problem they were trying to solve was highly technical: how to create a way for virtual entities—characters in a game, or cars in a simulation—to coexist and interact in a single virtual world without overloading the networks and servers. He described Improbable as being like an operating system on the cloud, where games run like apps.

The effect is that the virtual worlds running off of Improbable are always “on,” even when a player or user isn’t actively in an area. Narula said there have been times when game developers testing out the platform have forgotten that.

The technology could be used to simulate experiments, said investor Chris Dixon, an Andreessen Horowitz partner and new member of the Improbable board.

“Improbable is useful in any field that models complex systems—biology, economics, defense, urban planning, transportation, disease prevention, etc.,” Dixon wrote in a blog post on Tuesday.

Narula said the company went with Andreessen Horowitz over other offers in part because of the wealth of in-house services the firm offers startups, such as plans for marketing.

>>> What to look at today - 25th of March 2015

Dow -0.58% S&P -0.61% Nasdaq -0.32% Russell -0.10%
US Market closed lower, with USD trading lower testing the 1.10 level, Crude closed flat buty Energy sector was under pressure, financials (-0.9%) and health care (-0.9%) lagged while the remaining groups settled closer to their flat lines, Tech Outperformed, GOOGL +2.2% on news of new CFO...volume were below average @ 735mil shares...After partnering with Berkshire last year to acquire Heinz, Brazilian private equity firm 3G Capital has set reportedly set its sights on Kraft. The mega-deal is rumored to be valued as much as $40B or up to $50B when including debt. Shares of KRFT spiked up 16% in extended session. Recall overnight there was also some speculation that Yum Brands could be a potential target for 3G, though YUM was little changed afterhours. In Japan, Dep BOJ Gov Iwata went against the formal position driven by Gov Kuroda, questioning the likelihood of achieving 2% inflation target within the intended 2-year time frame. Iwata did acknowledge that real wages are rising as a trend and the end of deflation was in sight. Earlier, a Nikkei report noted the equity holdings by the BOJ have now topped ¥10T in market value and ¥5.7T in book value, making the central bank the biggest holder of Japan stocks next to GPIF's ¥27T. Report noted that while the BOJ does not publicly disclose the details of its share-buying operations, it frequently steps into the market and buys ¥30-40B in stocks when prices fall in the AM session. Australia top-3 iron ore producer Fortescue CEO stirred up controversy by calling on giants BHP and Rio Tinto to follow him and cut production to boost prices. The call resulted in a warning from competition regulator ACCC, and Treasurer Hockey also remarked that the govt is not supportive of "cartels".

Nikkei +0.17% Hang Seng +0.41% Shanghai -0.59%

RUB $57.74 WTI $47.36 (-0.34%) Brent $55.12 (flat) CHFEUR 0.9544 CHF 0.96

Eur$ 1.0912 S&P -0.05% EuroStoxx-0.49% Dax -0.46% SMI-0.32%

Macro :
- Soros Says Ukraine Needs Large Scale Investments: Handelsblatt


Keep an eye on :
- AC FP : Eurazeo & Colony would sell 10% stake (22.5m shares) in Accor, they will keep 11% stake
- ALCLS FP : Cellectis Prices Upsized 5.5m-ADR IPO at $41.50
- AOX GY : Alstria Sells 7.9m New Shrs for EU13/Shr in Capital Increase
- ARYN VX : Aryzta Selling Up to 49m Shrs in Origin Enterprises
- BAS GY : BASF Bid to Block Makita Power Tools to Be Investigated by ITC
- BO DC : HP to Replace Apple’s Beats With Bang & Olufsen: AppleInsider
- CWC GY : Cewe Sees 2015 Profit EU20m-EU24m vs EU21.4m Y/y
- CWI AV : Conwert Says Deutsche Wohnen Offer Doesn’t Reflect Value
- AM FP : Airbus to Sell About 1.38m Shares in Dassault Aviation
- DSY FP : Dassault Systemes Plans Div. of 43c/Shr; Misses BDVD Forecast
- FUR NA : Goldman adds 30% weight to Fugro Valuation for M&A
- GLPG NA : Galapagos Considers Plan to Raise $100m in U.S. Listing: Tijd
- GSK LN : FDA Approves Revisions to Glaxo’s Epivir and Ziagen Labels
- RMS FP : Hermes to Propose an EU5/Shr Exceptional Div.
- HOFI SS : Hoist Finance Sets Price at SEK58/Shr in Stockholm IPO
- KBC GY : Kontron 2014 Sales Rise 2.6%; Adj. Ebit Loss Narrows
- KU2 GY : Kuka Cuts Forecast for 2015 Ebit Margin to 3.5% From 5.5%
- LEG GY : LEG Immobilien Plans Div. of EU1.96/Shr; Matches BDVD Forecast
- MDG1 GY : Medigene 2014 Net Loss Narrows, Sees 2015 Ebitda Loss Widening
- MGN GY : Mologen 2014 Net Loss EU17.1m; R&D Spending Rises 68% to EU13.3m
- NDA SS : Nordea CEO Says Russia Credit Portfolio Likely to Decrease, Nordea Still Plans to Raise Dividend Payout Ratio Above 70%
- P1Z GY : Patrizia 2014 Operating Result Rises 32%, Plans Bonus Shares
- PC IM : Pirelli Not Planning Special Div Before Tender Offer: Il Sole
- RBI AV : Raiffeisen Says Could Have 2015 Net Loss on EU550m Revamp Costs
- RNO FP : Russia May Raise Carmakers Scrappage Fee by 20%-25%: Kommersant
- SAB LN : traded down yest. , should be under pressure today on Kraft/3g news...
- SAX GY : Stroeer Says 2014 Earnings a Record, Sees Further Growth in 2015
- GLE FP : SocGen Says Performance Is in Line With Its 2016 Targets
- TLSN SS : TeliaSonera Says Turkcell Shareholders Agreed on Div Proposal
- VIV FP : Vivendi Receives 3 Requests for Resolutions From Shareholders
- VONN SW : Vontobel in M&A Talks on Meriten; Plans 60% Stake in TwentyFour
- ZO1 GY : Zooplus Forecasts Revenue, Pretax to Rise in 2015