Closing Market Summary: S&P 500 Settles Below 100-Day Moving Average
The major averages ended Thursday with modest losses after climbing off their opening lows. The S&P 500 shed 0.2% and settled below its 100-day moving average (2,057) while the Nasdaq Composite (-0.3%) underperformed.
Equity indices could not avoid registering their fourth consecutive decline, but they were able to avoid settling on their lows. Still, the benchmark index will enter the Friday session down 2.5% for the week.
The market began the day under pressure after overnight reports revealed that coalition forces from ten countries, led by Saudi Arabia, carried out air strikes against rebel forces in Yemen. This followed yesterday's reports indicating Yemen's President Hadi fled his country by sea.
The news gave a boost to the dollar, but the yen also rallied against its peers, which signaled caution among participants in the foreign exchange market. The Dollar Index (97.36, +0.38) gained 0.4% as the greenback spiked 0.8% against the euro, sending the single currency from a morning high near 1.1050 to 1.0880. For its part, the dollar/yen pair slipped 0.3% to 119.20 after testing the 118.50 level in the morning.
In addition, the latest developments in the Middle East led to concerns about potential disruptions to the energy market. As a result, crude oil surged 4.6% to $51.43/bbl. However, the energy sector (-0.2%) could not make it out of the red.
Meanwhile, the remaining cyclical sectors ended in mixed fashion. Consumer discretionary (-0.6%) and industrials (-0.3%) underperformed while materials (+0.2%) and technology (+0.1%) registered slim gains.
In the technology sector, large cap names like Apple (AAPL 124.24, +0.86), IBM (IBM 160.59, +1.39), and Oracle (ORCL 42.99, +0.06) gained between 0.1% and 0.9% while Accenture (ACN 94.17, +5.69) and Red Hat (RHT 75.36, +6.91) posted respective gains of 6.8% and 10.1% after beating estimates.
The tech sector managed to turn positive despite notable weakness among chipmakers that sent the PHLX Semiconductor Index lower by 1.4%. The industry group struggled after SanDisk (SNDK 66.20, -14.97) lowered its Q1 revenue guidance below analyst estimates.Elsewhere, another high-beta group—biotechnology—pressured the market in the early going, but was able to return near its flat line by the end of the session. TheiShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 340.81, -0.49) will enter tomorrow's affair down 6.8% for the week.
Treasuries spent the day in a steady retreat from their early morning highs. The benchmark 10-yr yield spiked eight basis points to 2.01%.
Today's participation was above average with more than 808 million shares changing hands at the NYSE floor.
Economic data was limited to weekly initial claims, which declined to 282,000 from last week's unrevised 291,000 while the consensus expected a reading of 290,000.
After three weeks above 300,000, the 4-week moving average for initial claims has dropped below that threshold, suggesting the claims level is reestablishing a trend below 300,000.
Tomorrow, the third estimate of Q4 GDP will be released at 8:30 ET (consensus 2.4%) while the final reading of the Michigan Sentiment Index for March (consensus 92.0) will cross the wires at 10:00 ET.
- Nasdaq Composite +2.7% YTD
- Russell 2000 +2.3% YTD
- S&P 500 -0.1% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.8% YTD
Special Situations: Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NV (BIT: FCA/NTSE: FCAU)
FCA was issued in the beginning of FY14 following the completion of the merger between Fiat and Chrysler, as the parent company of the group. In October shares commenced trading on the NYSE (NYSE: FCAU) and on the MTA (BIT: FCA).
Investments strategy & catalysts
We consider FCA as one of the most interesting short term and long term stories within the Auto manufactures universe, given a number of potential catalysts we identify and would recommend investors to follow: (1) Implementation of the 5 year business plan that was announced following the merger with Chrysler; (2) Ferrari IPO and spin-off in Q315; (3) further euro/US dollar weakness.
FY14-FY18 business plan – Following the merger with Chrysler, FCA management laid out a detailed 5 year Business Plan with clear strategic and financial targets that should deliver significant earnings growth over FY14-FY18. Management targets a 50% increase in volume units and a significant improvement in margins by FY18, mainly through brand globalization and cost synergies. These goals clearly look aggressive and the street is not expecting FCA to fully meet them, indicating that a better than expected implement will lead to a material upside to the stock.
Ferrari IPO - the expected IPO and spin-off of Ferrari will be in the spotlight of investors as it should unlock hidden value by moving the focus to the sum of FCA’s other brands and geographical segments. We assign to Ferrari a valuation of €7 billion which reflects 28% of total equity value, based on 2.5 EV/Sales multiple which we believe is appropriate given Ferrari’s margins and growth prospect vs. the luxury universe. However, Ferrari IPO could be a positive catalyst if investors are prepared to assign Ferrari a full luxury multiple value.
Euro/US dollar weakness – FCA generates more than half of its revenues and earnings in US Dollar while its functional currency is Euro. Further euro/US dollar weakness should have a positive impact on earnings and balance sheet, and on FCA stock.
Valuation
We value FCA at €16.5 per share using a sum of the parts analysis based on 2015E EV/Sales multiple through the company’s seven reportable segments. Our price target includes pension and OPEB obligations, and full conversion of convertible bonds resulting in approx. 10% upside from current levels. We see additional 10%-15% upside if we assign to Ferrari a higher valuation of €9-€10 billion.
Key risks
Main risks include: (1) unexpected drop in global vehicle demand; (2) poor execution of FCA business plan along with significant capex investments that would result in high debt balance; (3) product recalls and warranty obligations which may result in direct costs; (4) strengthening of the euro/US dollar exchange rate.
For full report and additional data please refer to our new format
https://relayto.com/makor-capital/4ijdTYRv
Regards,
Dafna Yagur | Head of Research (Israel)
Makor Capital
Direct
+972 3 5453747
Mobile
+972 54 6655357
Fax
+972 3 7162680
2015-03-26 14:49:44.355 GMT
PSAM Resolutions To Be Published For Vivendi Shareholder Vote At Vivendi
Annual General Meeting
PSAM Launches Website for Vivendi Shareholders: www.valuecreationatviv.com
PR Newswire
NEW YORK, March 26, 2015
NEW YORK, March 26, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- P. Schoenfeld Asset Management LP
("PSAM") today announced that Vivendi (EPA: VIV) (the "Company") shareholders
will be able to vote for the two resolutions (the "PSAM Resolutions") that
PSAM submitted to the Vivendi Management Board at the Company's Annual General
Meeting, to take place on April 17. The Company announced they will publish
the PSAM Resolutions for shareholders to consider on March 27.
As outlined in the Vivendi company bylaws, all Vivendi shareholders who own
physical shares of the Company as of the record date, 11:59PM UTC (5:59PM ET)
on April 14, 2015, will be eligible to vote. PSAM also reminds all Vivendi
shareholders who own shares of the Company via derivatives that they need to
have their holdings in physical form on the Record Date in order to be
eligible to vote at the Annual General Meeting. Shareholders will not be
entitled to vote economic holdings held via derivatives. Shareholders who
have any questions or need assistance in voting should contact their bank or
broker custodian or PSAM's adviser, MacKenzie Partners, Inc. at 212-929-5500.
As PSAM announced on March 23, it believes that Vivendi is significantly
undervalued due to its excessive cash holdings, inadequate capital return
policy and the uncertainty over Vivendi's future use of its capital.
Accordingly, PSAM urges Vivendi shareholders to vote FOR its resolutions,
which propose that Vivendi distribute an aggregate amount of €9 billion (€
6.66 per share) in an effort to close the valuation discount. Specifically,
the PSAM Proposals stipulate that the payment to Vivendi shareholders would be
in the form of a special dividend as follows:
1. An amount equal to €2,857,546,032.35 from distributable profit for
the year ended 31 December 2014; and
2. An amount equal to €6,142,453,967.65 from share issue premium,
merger premium and contribution premium.
For more information, including the white paper that PSAM sent to the Vivendi
management board on March 23, please visit www.valuecreationatviv.com.
About PSAM
PSAM was founded by Peter M. Schoenfeld and has been providing investment
advisory services since 1997, with offices in New York and London. PSAM has
approximately $3.4 billion in assets under management and invests in both
equity and credit securities in global event driven opportunities.
Additional Information
This press release is for informational purposes only and is not intended to
constitute, and should not be construed as, an offer to sell, a solicitation
of any offer to buy, an offer to purchase or a solicitation of consents with
regard to any securities of Vivendi (the "Company", and such securities, the
"Securities").
This release may contain forward-looking statements. Such statements can be
identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "believes,"
"expects," "intends," "may," "estimates," "will," "should," "plans" or
"anticipates" or the negative thereof or other variations thereon or
comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy. These forward-looking
statements involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual
results to differ materially from the suggested by the forward-looking
statements. The information provided in this press release is derived from
PSAM's analysis and subjective views on the Company and its Securities. Other
persons, including the Company, may have different analysis and views on the
information provided herein.
No reliance is accepted on this press release and PSAM disclaims any liability
in relation to this press release. Investors shall only rely on their own
assessment prior to taking any decision in relation to the Company and/or the
Securities. PSAM do not undertake any obligation to publicly release any
revisions to these forward-looking statements to reflect events or
circumstances after the date hereof or to reflect the occurrence of
unanticipated events.
For Investor Inquiries:
MacKenzie Partners, Inc.
Dan Burch/Bob Marese
212-929-5500 / +44 20 3026 2807
dburch@mackenziepartners.com / bmarese@mackenziepartners.com
For Media Inquiries:
Image 7
Anne- France Malrieu
Ph : + 33 1 53 70 74 66
C : + 33 6 89 8 761 18
afmalrieu@image7.fr
Estelle Guillot-Tantay
Ph : + 33 1 53 70 74 93
C : + 33 6 87 60 49 58
egt@image7.fr
ASC Advisors
Steve Bruce/Taylor Ingraham
(203) 992-1230
sbruce@ascadvisors.com / tingraham@ascadvisors.com
To view the original version on PR Newswire,
visit:http://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/psam-resolutions-to-be-published-for-vivendi-shareholder-vote-at-vivendi-annual-general-meeting-300056515.html
SOURCE P. Schoenfeld Asset Management LP ("PSAM")
Website: http://www.valuecreationatviv.com
-0- Mar/26/2015 14:49 GMT