>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of May 2025 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Endomines Finland Raised to Accumulate at Inderes
* Hiscox Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 1,400 pence
* SLREFS SW Raised to Market Perform at ZKB (+)
* Weir Group Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)

>>> Down
* Atresmedia Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 6.50 euros
* British Land Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* hVIVO plc Cut to Hold at Panmure Liberum (+)
* IG Group Cut to Hold at Canaccord; PT 1,099 pence (+)
* Jardine Matheson Cut to Neutral at Macquarie; PT $46.20
* Opap Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 20.50 euros
* Soitec Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 51 euros
* Systemair Cut to Hold at Nordea

>>> Initiation
* AB InBev ADRs Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $72
* Banijay Group Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 14 euros
* Beazley Reinstated Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,150 pence
* Carlsberg ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $27
* Emeis Re-Initiated Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 9 euros (+)
* Heineken ADRs Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $49
* Hiscox Reinstated Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,450 pence
* Lancashire Reinstated Hold at Berenberg; PT 670 pence
* L'Oreal ADRs Rated New Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT $68
* Nestle ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $111
* Pernod Ricard ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $21.20
* SSE ADRs Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $31.70

>>> Call
* Lindt Price Target Increased to Street-High at Morgan Stanley

Challenges : Patrick Drahi s’invente une nouvelle vie après SFR

Patrick Drahi s’invente une nouvelle vie après SFR
Décidé à sortir des télécoms, le fondateur d’Altice se construit une nouvelle vie entre Israël, les Émirats et l’Arabie saoudite. À 61 ans, le milliardaire franco-israélien, toujours dans le Top-20 des grandes fortunes françaises, se projette entre médias, philanthropie, et diplomatie économique.

La nouvelle vie du fondateur d’Altice est ailleurs depuis qu’il a décidé de se retirer des télécoms. La cession de l’opérateur SFR est enclenchée, après que l’homme d’affaires est parvenu à renégocier sa dette colossale, en février dernier. Les négociations vont certainement prendre plusieurs mois, mais déjà, Patrick Drahi se projette sur de nouveaux terrains. A ses proches, il se plaît à répéter que les grandes décisions stratégiques dans une vie doivent se prendre entre 50 et 70 ans. A 61 ans, devenu grand-père, cet éternel globe-trotter a déplacé son propre centre de gravité. « Vous avez plus de chances de croiser Patrick à Tel-Aviv ou Abu Dhabi qu’à Paris ou Londres », résume une connaissance.

Toujours dans le Top-20 des grandes fortunes
L’homme d’affaires a quitté les hauteurs de Zermatt, en Suisse, où le fisc, avec lequel il ferraille depuis 2019, lui réclamerait la somme record de 7,5 milliards d’euros. Il est aussi moins présent aux Etats-Unis où il tente, depuis l’an dernier, de céder Altice USA. Patrick Drahi passe désormais l’essentiel de son temps en Israël, dont il est ressortissant, et où il se partage entre les affaires, avec l’opérateur Hot, l’univers des médias avec la chaîne 24News et ses activités philanthropiques.

Dans le dernier classement de Challenges des grandes fortunes françaises, l’homme d’affaires franco-israélien pointe toujours dans le Top-20 avec environ 7 milliards d’euros.

Très présent aussi dans les pays du Golfe
Patrick Drahi se rend aussi fréquemment dans les pays du Golfe, où il se montre très engagé dans l’application des accords d’Abraham entre Israël et les Emirats. L’émir Mohammed ben Zayed al-Nahyane, président des Emirats arabes unis, est un ami. Preuve de cette bonne entente, le fonds d’investissement Abu Dhabi Developmental Holding Company (ADQ) a investi 1 milliard d’euros dans Sotheby’s, propriété du milliardaire, pour aider la prestigieuse maison à se désendetter. La célèbre société de vente aux enchères new-yorkaise, qu’il a rachetée en 2019, reste l’un de ses dadas.

L’homme d’affaires possède aussi ses entrées en Arabie saoudite, auprès du prince héritier Mohammed ben Salmane. « Il est persuadé que l’économie peut aider à construire la paix au Proche et au Moyen-Orient », confie un proche. Entre Tel Aviv, Riyad et Abu Dhabi, Patrick Drahi dessine patiemment les plans de ses nouveaux business.

>>> What to look at today - 30th of May 2025

Asian shares and US stock futures fell on concern President Donald Trump’s tariffs are here to stay after his administration reiterated its resolve to keep the levies amid a legal tussle. A gauge of Asian shares dipped 0.5%, trimming its biggest monthly gain since November 2023. Sentiment towards equity markets also worsened after the Wall Street Journal reported the administration is considering a stopgap effort to impose levies on swaths of the global economy. Hong Kong shares dropped 1.5% after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said trade talks with China were “a bit stalled.” European equity-index futures also retreated. Tariff headlines, and uncertainty about the legal status of Trump’s new levies, are once again dominating financial markets, prompting investors to re-assess their appetite for riskier assets. Adding to the concerns, a report on Thursday showed the US economy shrank at the start of the year due to weaker consumer spending and an even bigger impact from trade than initially reported. On Thursday, a federal appeals court offered Trump a temporary reprieve from a ruling threatening to throw out the bulk of his tariff agenda. That came after the US Court of International Trade ruled that the vast majority of Trump’s global tariffs were illegal. White House officials said they planned to continue defending the legality of their efforts on trade to the US Supreme Court, and said that if they were stymied, Trump would simply pursue the same levies through other authorities. The dollar edged higher, paring a fifth month of losses, which would match a similar losing streak in 2020. The Wall Street Journal said the administration is contemplating a plan to place tariffs on swaths of the global economy under a never-before-used provision of the Trade Act of 1974. That includes language allowing for tariffs of up to 15% for 150 days to address trade imbalances with other countries. Meanwhile, Bessent said that a call between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping may be needed for the world’s two largest economies to reach a trade deal. Bessent, who traveled to Switzerland earlier this month for talks with Chinese officials that saw both sides retreat from tariffs over 100% on each other’s goods, said he believes more talks will happen with Chinese officials “in the next few weeks.” An index of Chinese stocks in Hong Kong retreated 1.7% while a gauge of technology shares in the city slumped 2.5%. Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. fell 4.3%. Chinese long-end bond futures rise the most in a month as risk-off sentiment takes hold following signs of stalled trade talks Prices in Tokyo jumped in a worrisome sign for Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba ahead of a summer election. The yen strengthened. High inflation and strong wage growth means the Bank of Japan is likely to hike in July and December, Kristina Clifton, a senior economist and strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, wrote in a note “However, for the BOJ, the risks are skewed toward less hikes because of the uncertain global backdrop and negative impacts of US tariffs on the Japanese economy.” Separately, the sale of two-year government notes Friday got a higher cut-off price. That came after auction of 40-year bonds earlier this week drew the weakest demand since July. US After Hours PATH +9.3%, ULTA +8.1%, ZS +4.5%, DELL +1.6% higher on earnings; GAP -14.6%, ESTC -12%, AEO -7.6%, NTAP -5% lower on earnings.

Nikkei -0.88% Hang Seng -1.40% CSI -0.18% Shanghai -0.22% Shenzen -0.77%

Eur$ 1.1345 CNH 7.1911 CNY 7.1890 JPY 143.88 GBP 1.3475 CHF 0.8233 RUB 77.1576 TRY 39.2289 WTI$ 60.74 -0.33% Gold 3,296 -0.65% BTC 106,212 +0.02% ETH 2,638 -0.22%

S&P -0.04% Nasdaq -0.04% EuroStoxx +0.04% FTSE +0.34% Dax +0.07% SMI +0.07%

Macro :
- David Einhorn Says US Should Prep for ‘Punch in the Face’
- AMEX CEO: SPENDING HAS BEEN CONSISTENT, Q2 LIKELY SIMILAR TO Q1
- Trump to Hold Press Conference With Musk as He Departs DOGE
- US Rejects Request to Publish Solar Tariff Ruling by June 2
- SEC Dropping Enforcement Case Against Binance Crypto Exchange
- Rolex Lovers Splash Out on Used Watches Before Trump Tariffs
- Cocoa May Stay Elevated, Volatile for Longer

Keep an eye on :
- BARN SW : Cocoa May Stay Elevated, Volatile for Longer
- CAN LN : Pirated football streams amount to ‘industrial scale theft’, report finds, Sky executive calls for action from tech groups and government - FT
- CDI FP : Dior Confirms Maria Grazia Chiuri Is Stepping Down
- BN FP : Danone Says Deputy CEO Grant to Leave for ‘New Opportunity’
- DHER GY : Morocco Antitrust Body Charges Delivery Hero Local Unit: Matin
- ENGI FP : Two Engie Electricity Traders Based in Singapore Depart Company
- GLXY US : Galaxy Digital Share Sale Is Said to Be Well Oversubscribed
- GAP US : Gap beats by $0.06, beats on revs, comps +2%; guides Q2 revs in-line; reaffirms FY26 revs guidance
- IG IM : Snam Sells Some Italgas Optiuon Rights For EU32.5m
- LI US : Li Auto Poised for Strong Comeback on 2H Volume Outlook: MS
- MSFT US : Microsoft Touts AI Sales at Town Hall, Reveals Barclays Contract
- MNG LN : Dai-ichi Life Seen Investing Over 150b Yen in M&G: Nikkei
- NWG LN : UK Expected to Sell Last Remaining Shares in NatWest Group: Sky
- NPWR US : NET Power Shares Soar Most on Record Amid Five-Day Rally
- NVDA US : Chinese tech groups prepare for AI future without Nvidia
- REP SM : *VENEZUELA PDVSA TAKES OVER OPERATIONS IN CHEVRON, REPSOL JV'S
- SAN FP : Sanofi’s Itepekimab Met Primary Endpoint in One of Two Studies
- Saks Global : Saks Global Secures $350 Million in New Financing Commitments
- SRG IM : Snam Sells Some Italgas Optiuon Rights For EU32.5m
- STLA IM : Alfa Romeo Could Postpone Launch of New Stelvio SUV: Reuters
- STLA IM : Ex-Stellantis Boss Says New CEO Is Logical Choice After Own Exit
- X US : Trump to Deliver Remarks on US Steel Deal Friday, 5pm ET
- VPK NA : Vopak Begins Talks with Suppliers, Offtakers for LNG Import Terminal Project in Australia
- VOW GY : VW in Direct Talks With US Government on Tariffs, CEO Tells SZ

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of May 2025

>>> Up
* Endomines Finland Raised to Accumulate at Inderes
* Hiscox Raised to Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT 1,400 pence

>>> Down
* Atresmedia Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 6.50 euros
* Jardine Matheson Cut to Neutral at Macquarie; PT $46.20
* Opap Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 20.50 euros
* Soitec Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT 51 euros
* Systemair Cut to Hold at Nordea

>>> Initiation
* AB InBev ADRs Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $72
* Banijay Group Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 14 euros
* Beazley Reinstated Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,150 pence
* Carlsberg ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $27
* Heineken ADRs Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $49
* Hiscox Reinstated Buy at Berenberg; PT 1,450 pence
* Lancashire Reinstated Hold at Berenberg; PT 670 pence
* L'Oreal ADRs Rated New Underperform at BNPP Exane; PT $68
* Nestle ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $111
* Pernod Ricard ADRs Rated New Neutral at BNPP Exane; PT $21.20
* SSE ADRs Rated New Outperform at BNPP Exane; PT $31.70

>>> Call

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • BAE (BSP TH) +1.7%
  • Saab (SDV1 TH) +1%
    • Saab’s Growth Hinges on Its Dynamics, Surveillance Units
  • OMV (OMV TH) +1%
  • Yara (IU2 TH) -1%
  • Sanofi (SNW TH) -1%
    • Sanofi’s Itepekimab Met Primary Endpoint in One of Two Studies
  • Equinor (DNQ TH) -1.1%

Makor Weekly EU Risk Arb Monitor (28-5-25)


Makor Weekly EU Risk Arb Monitor

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Laurent Chekroun
Equity Sales
Makor Securities London Ltd. | Makor Group
E: LCHEKROUN@makor-cm.com
M: +41 79 350 71 09
O: +33 1 42 33 02 05
W: www.makor-group.com
6th Floor, 30 Panton Street, London, SW1Y 4AJ
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