WSJ : ‘Spoofing’ on U.K. Regulator’s Radar for Past Six Year

‘Spoofing’ on U.K. Regulator’s Radar for Past Six Years Traders say practice is still rife despite warnings

Spoofing, which is illegal in the U.K. and the U.S., involves placing numerous trades to create an impression of demand and then quickly canceling them to trick markets. The practice hit the U.K. headlines last month when a British trader, Navinder Singh Sarao, was arrested after U.S. authorities alleged he manipulated the S&P futures market for years and contributed to the so-called flash-crash of 2010. U.S. authorities allege that Mr. Sarao made $40 million through "numerous aggressive spoofing tactics" to manipulate the U.S. futures markets using a souped-up version of commercially available software operating out of a semidetached house in Hounslow, a London suburb close to Heathrow Airport.

Mr. Sarao is currently being held in prison in the U.K. awaiting an extradition hearing to the U.S. scheduled for September. Mr. Sarao couldn't be reached for comment. His lawyer didn't respond to requests for comment. Mr. Sarao is seeking to block the extradition request.

The trading strategies he is accused of using were raising concerns at U.K. regulators for years. In 2009, the U.K.’s Financial Services Authority, which was subsequently replaced by the Financial Conduct Authority, warned brokers in an industry newsletter about trading strategies aimed at gaming markets, saying it had "concerns about order book conduct and the intentional pattern of behavior called layering or spoofing."

In 2012, the regulator reiterated its concerns in a letter sent to U.K. regulated brokers warning that it could "consider supervisory or enforcement action" if abusive trading had taken place or if controls for stopping it were inadequate.

At the Futures Options Association Compliance Forum, also in 2012, the FSA’s head of market monitoring said that firms with insufficient monitoring systems and controls to prevent spoofing could potentially be subject to criminal or civil enforcement actions.

Despite the warnings though, some U.K. traders said such strategies are rife.

Firms can put in thousands of orders to buy or sell securities and then cancel them milliseconds later, even if they are not always attempting to manipulate markets, said Paolo Rossi, co-founder of Futex Global, the brokerage where Mr. Sarao learned to trade.

Exchanges should introduce measures to stop fast trade cancellations and slow down price movements, Mr. Rossi said.

"You go to shake my hand and I pull my hand away," he said. "I don’t see there is any integrity behind it,"

Paul Rotter, a former trader who now runs Rotter Invest Asset Management, an asset management company, said that the regulators may have encouraged misbehavior by failing to take tougher action.

"Hundreds of market participants are using this market placing and withdrawing order strategy," said Mr. Rotter, who was nicknamed "the flipper" because he frequently switched the direction of his trading. Some traders think "if you can watch it for years, it must be legal, because the regulators don’t stop it," he added.

The FCA has brought three public, noncriminal enforcement cases against firms or individuals accused of using trading strategies to manipulate markets, including "spoofing". In all cases, traders were fined and their assets were frozen.

Exchanges, which are obliged to pass on alerts about suspicious activity to regulators, say they have introduced measures to try to prevent spoofing.

"We continually police and prosecute disruptive trading activity, including spoofing," said a spokesperson for the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, of which Mr. Sarao was a member.

The CME has been developing technology to help detect a wide range of complex abusive trading techniques, according to a 2013 patent filed by the CME. The new technology is also designed to automatically comb through data from dozens of social media sites, including Twitter and Facebook, to determine whether a trader’s activity could be explained by something posted on one of them.

Deutsche Börse introduced a new surveillance software in 2011 called Cinnober Surveillance, which is meant to catch unusual trading patterns. "We are committed to ensure orderly trading above all. To do so, there are several layers of market supervision," a spokesman for the Boerse said.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission filed civil charges against Mr. Sarao, while the Justice Department has filed criminal charges. They allege his strategies contributed to the flash crash of May 6, 2010 when a dramatic swing in prices knocked a trillion dollars of value from the markets before a sharp rebound.

>>> EU Mid-Market Update: UK April PMI Manufacturing slumps to 7-month lows

EU Mid-Market Update: UK April PMI Manufacturing slumps to 7-month lows

***Notes/Observations***
- China Apr Manufacturing PMI registers its 2nd straight month of growth (50.1 v 50.0e)
- Mixed Japanese data; Jobless rate matches lowest reading since Aug 1997 (3.4% v 3.5%e); National CPI improves MoM as core moves off zero percent level; Wage data comes in soft
- UK Manufacturing PMI misses expectation (51.9 v 54.6e) but remained in expansion territory for the 26th straight month

**Economic data***
- (TH) Thailand Apr CPI M/M: 0.0% v 0.3%e; Y/Y: -1.0% v -0.8%e; CPI Core Y/Y: 1.0% v 1.1%e
- (IE) Ireland Apr Manufacturing PMI: 55.8 v 56.8 prior (23rd month of expansion)
- (JP) Japan Apr Vehicle Sales Y/Y: +5.0% v -13.1% prior (1st rise in 10 months)
- (NL) Netherlands Apr Manufacturing PMI: 54.0 v 52.5 prior (22nd month of expansion)
- (UK) UK PMI Manufacturing (miss): 51.9 v 54.6e (26th month of expansion but lowest since Sept)
- (UK) Mar Mortgage Approvals (miss): 61.3K v 62.5Ke
- (UK) Mar Net Consumer Credit: £1.2B v £0.8B; Net Lending on Dwellings: £1.8B v £1.8Be
- (UK) Mar M4 Money Supply M/M: +0.3% v -0.2% prior; Y/Y: -0.6% v -3.2% prior; M4 Ex IOFCs 3M Annualized: 2.5% v 2.2%e

Fixed Income:
- None seen

*** SPEAKERS/FIXED INCOME/FX/COMMODITIES/ERRATUM ***
**Equities**
Indices [FTSE 100 -0.1% at 6,951, Continental European bourses closed for May Day holiday

- Market Focal Point/Key Themes: Markets subdued with indices closed on continental Europe for Labour Day holiday; pharmaceutical companies slip in London; Lloyds countered the trend after posting better than expected net profit

By Sector
- Industrials [Vedanta VED.UK +3.8% (talks to buy Cairn stake)]
- Financials [Lloyds LLOY.UK +4.1% (earnings beat)]

**Speakers**
- Canada ratings agency DBRS stated that it saw no sovereign rating change for UK post-election
- Sweden Fin Min Andersson: Govt to focus efforts on creating jobs
- BOJ Monetary Affairs Dept review of Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing (QQE) noted that the program had lowered real interest rates by slightly less than 1% and the actual improvement in economic activity and prices were in line with mechanism anticipated. Further rise in inflation expectations is needed to achieve the 2% inflation target in a stable manner (**Note: QQE implemented 2 years ago)
- India Fin Min Jaitley stated that ot could not afford to deplete the country's currency reserves (**Note: FX Reserves apprx $343.2B)

**Currencies***
- The EUR/USD continued to claw back some of its overall 2015 losses and registered fresh 2-month highs in a quiet holiday session. The pair saw its best monthly performance in 5 years in April (rose 1.7%) as investors scaled back the timing of the first potential Fed rate hike. YTD it still is off approx. 6.5% against the greenback despite the recent steepening in the in European yields over the past few sessions. The pair was on course for it 7th straight day of gains. Dealers watching the 100-day moving average of 1.1296 as resistance
- The GBP was softer after some UK economic data missed expectations. Manufacturing PMI missed expectations but remain in expansion territory for the 26th straight month while Mortgage Approvals also came in below consensus. GBP/USD gave back earlier gains to approach 1.5320 area after the data. PMI report pointed to a significant slowing in the manufacturing sector with Sterling strength being partly to blame for the drop. The 10-year Gilt yield initially fell below 1.79% (off 4.4bps) as a result

**Political/In the Papers:
- (GR) Greece PM Spokesperson: PM Tsiprias said he was confident a deal with creditors was very close. Agreement will be in line with our mandate and not cross red lines

**Looking Ahead***
All times listed for economic events are denominated in Eastern Standard Time (Add 4 hours for GMT equivalent)
- 06:00 (UK) DMO to sell combined £4.5B in 1-month, 3-month and 6-month Bills
- 06:45 (US) Daily Libor Fixing
- 07:30 (IN) India Weekly Forex Reserves
- 08:15 (US) Baltic Dry Bulk Index
- 08:30 (US) Fed's Mester (Non-voter, hawk)
- 09:30 (CA) Apr Canada RBC Manufacturing PMI: No est v 48.9 prior
- 09:45 (US) Apr Final Markit Manufacturing PMI: 54.2e v 54.2 prelim
- 10:00 (US) Apr ISM Manufacturing: 52.0e v 51.5 prior; Prices Paid: 42.0e v 39.0 prior
- 10:00 (US) Apr Final University of Michigan Confidence: 96.0e v 95.9 prelim
- 10:00 (US) Mar Construction Spending M/M: +0.5%e v -0.1% prior
- 13:00 (US) Weekly Baker Hughes Rig Count data
- 15:45 (US) Fed's Williams (Voter, dove) speaks at Chapman University Conference
- (US) Apr Domestic Vehicle Sales: 13.45Me v 13.35M prior; Total Vehicle Sales: 16.90Me v 17.05M prior

(Makor)Tech View EuroStoxx 50, S&P 500, Russell 2000 & US 10 Year Yield - remain


Euro Stoxx 50 Index

 

·         There are two possible scenarios in my view:

 

1)      The Index is in a corrective wave 4 which should set the ground for a final wave 5 move higher (see 1st chart). In this scenario:

 

o   Wave 4 should find support between 3,486-3,615. 3,486 is the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of wave 3 and at 3,615 corrective wave A of wave 4 = corrective wave C of 4

o   If the Index does find support between 3,486-3,615 then a final wave higher should be in play.

o   Based on the height of wave 1 I would expect wave 5 to target 3,975 at minimum

 

 

2)      The Index has already completed a 5 wave move higher and is in a longer and deeper corrective pattern (see 2nd chart). In this scenario:

 

o   The close yesterday below the 55dma (3,644) was negative and while below it a move lower towards the 200dma at 3,290 could well be on the cards

 

Strategy: Long 2 units from 3,640, target 3,975 with a stop loss on a daily close below 3610 or at 3,570 (below this week's low)

 

 

Daily chart 1

 

Daily chart 2

 

 

S&P 500 Index

 

·         The Index failed to break out earlier this week and is now trading lower and testing the short term rising trend line connecting the lows from March 11th low at 2,039

·         A move below 2,072 would negate the path of higher highs and higher lows established on the chart since Early March and would turn the structure from bullish to bearish

·         Also, on a weekly scale, a daily close today below 2,084 would implement a weekly bearish reversal and will increase the odds for a move lower

·         All in one, while above 2,072 the odds for a move higher is still high but a move below this level and a daily close today below 2084 (which would also be a   weekly close)

 

Strategy: Long 2,112, target 2,180 with a stop at 2,070.

 

Daily chart

 

                Russell 2000 Index

 

·         The Index broke down yesterday from a bearish wedge pattern – the breakdown level is 1,250 and the pattern targets 1,185

·         The Index also broke below the 55dma which stands at 1,244

·         The above mentioned makes the 1,244-1,250 a good resistance level and while this level could still be tested while below it a move lower towards 1,185 should be on the cards

 

Strategy: Short from 1,242, target 1,185 with a stop on a close above 1,260

 

Daily chart

 

 

                US 10 Year Yield

 

·         On the daily chart, the yield broke out from a consolidation pattern which targets 2.1650%

·         On the weekly chart will need to see a move above 2.2850% which would signal a breakout and argue for higher yield levels ahead

 

Daily chart

 

Weekly chart

 

 

                IEF US - iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

 

·         The ETF broke lower from a bearish wedge pattern – the breakdown level is 108.50-108.60 and the pattern argues for a move to 106.20-106.30

·         This structure fits the bullish structure on the 10 year US yield  

 

Daily chart

 

 

 

2015 Tech Ideas

 

(BFW) Telecom Italia Not in Negotiations on Mediaset Premium: Radiocor


Telecom Italia Not in Negotiations on Mediaset Premium: Radiocor
2015-05-01 09:07:39.956 GMT


By Chiara Remondini
(Bloomberg) -- Telecom Italia CEO Marco Patuano says “at
the moment there are no negotiations” on possible purchase of
stake in Mediaset Premium, newswire Radiocor reports.
* Patuano speaks at Expo event in Milan: Radiocor
* Link to Radiocor

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Chiara Remondini in Milan at +39-02-8064-4241 or
cremondini@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
James Ludden at +44-20-3525-2645 or
jludden@bloomberg.net

(BFW) Syngenta, Monsanto Reviving Talks ‘Unsurprising’: Morgan Stanley


Syngenta, Monsanto Reviving Talks ‘Unsurprising’: Morgan Stanley
2015-05-01 08:43:26.568 GMT


By Chiara Remondini
(Bloomberg) -- Morgan Stanley says “unsurprising” that
M&A speculation has come up again as Syngenta is facing
operating pressure from adverse FX, weak vols., according to
note.
* Brokerage (equalweight on Syngenta) notes Syngenta shrs
underperformed EU chemicals, MON by ~30% since start of 2013
* N. America, LatAm herbicide mkt would be key area where
combined mkt shares would likely exceed ~50% in Crop
Protection; main overlap in Seeds would be in N. America
given Monsanto’s dominance in region
* N. America, LatAm herbicide mkt would be key area where
combined mkt shares would likely exceed ~50% in Crop
Protection; main overlap in Seeds would be in N. America
given Monsanto’s dominance in region</li></ul>
* Bloomberg Intelligence says Monsanto would need to issue
more equity vs 2014 to stay within stated net leverage limit
of 1.5x
* Monsanto’s debt capacity has declined due to $5.7b of
debt issuance in last yr to fund a $10b shr buyback
program
* Monsanto’s debt capacity has declined due to $5.7b of
debt issuance in last yr to fund a $10b shr buyback
program</li></ul>
* NOTE yday: Monsanto is said to approach Syngenta again about
a takeover, almost a year after a previous attempt fell
apart
* NOTE April 17: Syngenta 1Q sales missed ests., repeated 2015
outlook

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Chiara Remondini in Milan at +39-02-8064-4241 or
cremondini@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
James Ludden at +44-20-3525-2645 or
jludden@bloomberg.net
Gaurav Panchal

(Reuters) Exclusive: Pfizer is mystery bidder for rare disease drugmaker Sobi

(Reuters) - Pfizer Inc (PFE.N) is the mystery bidder for Swedish Orphan Biovitrum AB (SOBIV.ST), the rare disease specialist which disclosed this week that a potential buyer had made a preliminary offer, people with knowledge of the situation said.

The Swedish company, known as Sobi, has a market value of 35.8 billion Swedish crowns ($4.3 billion). Its medicines for rare or "orphan" conditions make it a target in a consolidating sector in which large, cash-rich drugmakers seek to bolster their portfolios with offerings from smaller biotech firms.

Sobi did not identify its potential acquirer when it revealed on Monday that it had received an approach, but Biogen (BIIB.O) and Pfizer (PFE.N) were viewed by analysts as the most likely bidders, as they already have partnership deals with Sobi.

The sources asked not to be identified because the negotiations are confidential. The price that Pfizer has offered could not be learned. Spokesmen for both Sobi and Pfizer declined to comment.

Pfizer Chief Executive Ian Read said on Tuesday during an earnings call that he was open to deals and was "agnostic" about the size of acquisitions.

Read added that current valuations in the biotech sector were "buoyant", meaning Pfizer's business development team would be very careful as it evaluated opportunities.

Sobi manufacturers a hemophilia treatment called ReFactor AF, which Pfizer sells. On Wednesday, Sobi postponed its annual shareholder meeting, which was scheduled for May 6, in the wake of the takeover proposal.

Pfizer has actively been looking at takeover targets after an attempt to buy AstraZeneca Plc (AZN.L) failed last year. The company agreed to acquire Hospira Inc for $15 billion in February.

Pfizer has established a Rare Disease Research Unit since it sees drugs for rare diseases, which can command very high prices, as an important opportunity in its mix of businesses.

Recent deals involving rare disease companies include Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Inc's (TEVA.TA) acquisition of Auspex Pharmaceuticals for $3.5 billion in March, Shire Plc's (SHP.L) acquisition of NPS Pharmaceuticals for $5.2 billion in January and BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc's (BMRN.O) acquisition of Prosensa Holding NV for $840 million last November.

>>> Royal Dutch Shell interested in acquiring deep water oil assets Petrobras ma

Royal Dutch Shell interested in acquiring deep water oil assets Petrobras may sell
Royal Dutch Shell would be interested in acquiring any deep-water oil fields Petrobras may sell, Shell's CEO said in a conference call on Wednesday, reporting the Dutch giant's quarterly results.

If Shell's purchase of UK oil company BG Group goes through, Shell would be the largest oil company in Brazil.

"If you look at the exposure that the combined company will have by the end of the decade to Brazil, it's going to be of course significantly higher than what we have today but in my mind it is going to be low enough for us to have appetite for more, especially considering again the tremendous attractiveness that sits in that resource base," said Chief Executive Officer Ben van Beurden in a transcript of the conference call.

"We have indeed things worth to be offered up in Brazil, in areas that [we] understand, we would only look at it with keen interest but of course it would have to be of the right value for us to consider it," said van Beurden.

NY Post : Intel kicking tires on buying chipmaker Altera

The possibility of Intel spending up to $15 billion to buy chipmaker Altera is far from remote.
Altera is expected to soon resume sale talks with Intel, led by CEO Brian Krzanich, a source close to the situation said Thursday.
“Yes, they will be engaging,” the source, who has direct knowledge of the situation, said, noting the talks may begin within a few weeks.
Last month, talks between chip leader Intel and Altera ended when Intel balked at the price of around $54 a share, sources said.
Altera’s shares this week were down 12 percent, to $39.56, from their April high of $44.85. They closed Thursday at $41.68, up 2.4 percent on a day the markets were down sharply.
Since the talks collapsed, however, Altera reported disappointing earnings that could influence a new deal price, Bernstein Research Senior Analyst Stacy Rasgon told The Post.
“I wonder what the price is they would pay now,” he said.
The growing part of Intel’s business is selling chips for data center servers for about $650 each. This represents 40 percent of Intel’s profits.
But about one-third of the time, data center customers buy customized programmable chips specifically for their use — made by Altera and Xilinx.
Altera, starting in 2013, paid Intel to make its chips.
Intel might make the acquisition to stop Altera from growing.
There has been pressure, meanwhile, from Altera shareholders to get the San Jose company back to the bargaining table.
Hedge fund TIG Advisors earlier this week publicly called on fellow Altera shareholders to vote against Altera’s lead independent director, T. Michael Nevens — who it believes opposed a deal — at the May 11 annual meeting.
The vote isn’t binding.
“It will send a strong signal to the board to immediately reengage with Intel regarding its mutually beneficial strategic acquisition offer without delay,” TIG said in a letter.
Altera’s bylaws do not give its directors much long-term protection.
Stockholders representing 20 percent of the shares can call for a special meeting four months after the May 11 annual meeting. Then a simple majority can remove the board.
Intel declined comment. Altera did not return calls.