>> Allergan beats by $0.30, beats on revs; does not guide due to friendly discus

--> AGN +1.2% pre open

Allergan beats by $0.30, beats on revs; does not guide due to friendly discussions with Pfizer (PFE)
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $3.48 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.30 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $3.18; revenues rose 90.1% year/year (Allergan and Actavis recently merged) to $4.09 bln vs the $4.03 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Total global branded product revenues were $3.5 billion versus $1.7 billion in the prior year quarter. Top key branded product highlights in the quarter included:
    • Botox revenues in the third quarter of 2015 were $605 million, driven by continued strong performance in both aesthetic and therapeutic indications.
    • Restasis revenues in the third quarter of 2015 were $328 million, driven by continuing strong promotional efforts.
    • Namenda XR revenues in the third quarter of 2015 were $215 million, as prescriptions and formulary coverage remained stable following the loss of exclusivity of Namenda IR.
  • At this time, as a result of the press release Allergan issued on October 29, 2015, confirming the co has been approached by Pfizer (PFE) and is in preliminary friendly discussions regarding a potential business combination transaction, the Company will not be issuing any financial forecasts that could require additional reporting under Rule 28 of the Irish Takeover Rules.
  • Sale of generics biz to Teva (TEVA) expected to close in 1Q16.

>>> Goldman Picks 10 Stocks for Next Bet on High-Yield Credit Rally

Next leg of HY credit gains could be the equity of HY cos., where there’s “substantial relief rally potential” in biggest underperformers, Goldman derivatives strategists Katherine Fogertey, John Marshall write in note.
  • 10 stocks that have underperformed their credit spreads: ALLY CIT FTR HCA LVLT NAVI POL RDN TMUS UHS
    • Long GSCBHY25 <Index> DES <GO> is attractive relative-value trade vs long protection on CDX HY 5Y S25 in a 3x hedge ratio
  • Buy BID Nov. $35 straddles for earnings, Nov. auction season
  • Buy F Nov. $15 straddles before analyst event Nov. 19
  • Buy TSN Dec. $46 calls for earnings upside
  • Buy ALLY Jan. $21 calls for potential refinance of Series G by yr-end
  • Buy VMC Dec. $97.50 calls; Calif. highway spending bill by yr-end
  • Buy POL March $35 calls as cross-asset signals suggest upside in equity
  • Buy HCA March $70 calls for potential equity converges w/ credit
  • Buy LVLT March $55 calls as equity could close gap to credit
  • Closing previous recommendations in OCRL and V at gains, in EMR at loss; previously closed LNKD, NOC, VLO trades at gains and CRI and VAR at losses; TWTR trade expired last wk at loss

>>> EXCLUSIVE-Renault-Nissan boardroom fight masks French merger push - RTRS

EXCLUSIVE-Renault-Nissan boardroom fight masks French merger push - RTRS


04-NOV-2015 13:22:38

CEO Ghosn ignoring demands for French-led deal - sources
France's Macron wants tie-up before 2017 elections-sources
Renault board to discuss riposte to France
By Laurence Frost and Gilles Guillaume

PARIS, Nov 4 (Reuters) - French Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron is pressuring Renault RENA.PA boss Carlos Ghosn to undertake a full merger with alliance partner Nissan 7201.T on the government's terms, people with knowledge of the matter told Reuters.

Macron's push sheds more light on a power struggle that burst into public view when the government, the French carmaker's biggest shareholder, raised its Renault stake in April to secure double voting rights. (Full Story)

It also represents a change of stance by the government, which has previously been wary of an outright Renault-Nissan combination that would weaken its grip on the partnership.

Macron has been urging the Renault-Nissan CEO for months to set up a joint working group with his officials to explore merger scenarios that would tie Renault to its more profitable partner and safeguard French plants and jobs, government and company sources said.

Ghosn, who heads both carmakers, has ignored the demands and may instead be forced to "reactivate" his own consolidation options, according to alliance insiders. These include ideas for a full merger - with less government influence - that were drawn up in 2013 with input from Goldman Sachs and set aside.

"This is causing him to go faster than he had planned to," a company source said. "I would never count Ghosn out."

The boardroom tussle has exposed rival visions for the future of Renault-Nissan, a 16-year-old industrial pairing held together by crossed shareholdings. Renault owns a 43.4 percent controlling stake in Nissan, which holds a non-voting 15 percent of its French parent.

In a riposte to Macron, Nissan has proposed ending French control by acquiring a bigger Renault stake to establish "better balanced" reciprocal holdings of 25-35 percent, sources have told Reuters. Ghosn already has board support to cut Renault's Nissan stake, they have said. (Full Story)

Renault has called an emergency board meeting later this week, government and company sources said on Tuesday, amid signs the carmakers may begin adjusting the shareholdings within days or weeks, in defiance of Paris. (Full Story)

In his first public comments on the issue, Hiroto Saikawa, Ghosn's second-in-command at Nissan, said this week the French government's increased clout at Renault was a concern for the Japanese carmaker. (Full Story)

Spokespersons for Renault-Nissan and the French government declined to comment on the companies' plans or the discussions between Ghosn and Macron.


2017 DEADLINE

Past governments have resisted a full tie-up because Nissan's superior scale and profitability would likely shift the combined centre of gravity away from France and dilute the voting weight of the state's shareholding in Renault.

Since Renault rescued Nissan from near-bankruptcy, the Japanese carmaker has outgrown its parent to account for two-thirds of combined vehicle sales and a bigger share of profit.

But a new French law that doubles voting rights for longer-term investors, including the state, has emboldened Macron, a former investment banker, to seek an outright Renault-Nissan deal in which French interests would remain on top.

"It's been a while now that Macron has been putting this to Carlos Ghosn," said a source close to the government, adding the minister was determined to force a deal through before 2017, a national election year.

In April, Macron raised the government's Renault holding to 19.7 percent from 15 percent in order to block Ghosn's proposed opt-out from the double voting rules at the company's shareholder meeting.

Around the same time, Macron began pressing Ghosn to discuss a merger that would "preserve strategic French interests" including industrial jobs at a combined company ideally based in France, the source said. "But the group was never set up."

Another French condition is that the government remains the main shareholder of the new group, officials have said.

But Renault-Nissan merger plans previously explored by Ghosn would look quite different, according to people with knowledge of those discussions.

An alliance task force considered a new combined company headquartered in a third country and listed in Paris and Tokyo, they said, and Goldman Sachs was later consulted on some aspects. A bank spokesman had no immediate comment.

Ghosn decided a merger was too complex and time-consuming to be pursued immediately, and more operational convergence was needed first. Four alliance-wide executive roles were announced in early 2014.

In the wake of Macron's intervention, however, investment bankers have been dusting off their pitches for a Renault-Nissan deal most observers believe will come eventually.

Besides protecting Nissan, the planned stake changes may help Ghosn prepare for a merger on his companies' terms, alliance sources say. A deal based on today's holdings would hand greater power to Renault shareholders including France.

"This is not about giving Nissan more influence or board clout at Renault," said a senior alliance executive. "It's really in view of a tie-up, so that the combination will be better balanced."

Ghosn, who heads both carmakers, has ignored the demands and may instead be forced to "reactivate" his own consolidation options, according to alliance insiders. These include ideas for a full merger - with less government influence - that were drawn up in 2013 with input from Goldman Sachs and set aside.

>>> Time Warner beats by $0.16, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY15 EPS guidanc

--> TWC no pre-market for now

Time Warner beats by $0.16, reports revs in-line; reaffirms FY15 EPS guidance

  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $1.25 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.16 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.09; revenues rose 5.1% year/year to $6.56 bln vs the $6.5 bln Capital IQ Consensus, due to growth at Warner Bros. and Home Box Office, partially offset by higher intercompany eliminations and a decline at Turner. Adjusted Operating Income grew 85% to $1.8 billion due to growth across all operating divisions.
  • Co reaffirms guidance for FY15, sees EPS of $4.60-4.70, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $4.65 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
  • TURNER
    • Revenues decreased 2% ($48 million) to $2.4 billion, due to declines of 15% ($18 million) in Content and other revenues, 1% ($17 million) in Subscription revenues and 1% ($13 million) in Advertising revenues. Content and other revenues decreased due to lower subscription video-on-demand revenues. The decline in Subscription revenues was due to the impact of foreign exchange rates and a decline in domestic subscribers, partially offset by higher domestic rates and local currency growth at Turner's international networks. Advertising revenues decreased due to the impact of foreign exchange rates and the absence of NASCAR programming, partially offset by local currency growth at Turner's international networks. Domestic advertising was flat in the quarter.
    • Adj. operating income +218% to 1.1 bln
  • HBO rev +5%; adj. operting income +37% to 519 mln
  • Warner Bro rev +15% to 3.2 bln, adj. OI +61% to $388 mln

>>> Chesapeake Energy beats by $0.08, beats on revs (7.61)

--> CHK +4.7% very low volume

Chesapeake Energy beats by $0.08, beats on revs
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) loss of $0.05 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.08 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.13); revenues fell 49.3% year/year to $2.89 bln vs the $2.79 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $560 mln in the 2015 third quarter, compared to $1.236 bln in the 2014 third quarter.
  • Chesapeake's daily production for the 2015 third quarter averaged ~667,000 barrels of oil equivalent, a YoY increase of 3% adjusted for asset sales.
  • Co's 2015 third quarter drilling and completion capital expenditures decreased 41% sequentially to approximately $467 mln.

>>> Criteo misses by EUR 0.02, beats on revs and EBITDA; guides Q4 revs below co

CRTO --> no pre market

Criteo misses by EUR 0.02, beats on revs and EBITDA; guides Q4 revs below consensus
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of €0.16 per share, excluding non-recurring items, €0.02 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of €0.18; revenues rose 55.0% year/year to €120.3 mln vs the €117.02 mln Capital IQ Consensus.
    • This year-over-year performance was primarily driven by the continued roll-out of our technology improvements across all devices, the addition of a significant number of new clients and the further development of our direct relationships with publishers.
    • Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter 2015 was €31 mln vs. $21-23 mln guidance, an increase of 58% (or 55% at constant currency), compared with €20 million in the third quarter 2014.
  • Co issues downside guidance for Q4, sees Q4 revs of €134-139 mln vs. €140.60 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate. Adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter 2015 to be between €39 million and €46 million.