(GS) HeidelbergCement to buy 45% of Italcementi for €1.67 bn --> Buzzi

HeidelbergCement to buy 45% of Italcementi for €1.67 bn --> +ve for Buzzi see attached note on Europe cement & Buzzi

* HeidelbergCement to buy 45% stake in Italcementi at 61% premium
HeidelbergCement has announced that it has entered into a purchase
agreement with Italmobiliare SpA to acquire its c.45% stake in Italcementi
at €10.60 per share, a 61% premium to the last close price (July 28). On our
2015 forecasts, this would imply an EV/EBITDA multiple of 9.8x (excluding
synergies). The proposed deal, which would subsequently trigger a
mandatory public offer for the rest of Italcementi, is expected to close in
2016.

* Complementary fit, cyclical potential and synergies drive deal
HeidelbergCement management cited its key rationales for the proposed
deal as being (1) a complementary geographical fit with Italcementi, (2) the
right point in the cycle to benefit from cyclical recovery in some of
Italcementi’s markets such as Spain and Italy, (3) potential synergies.
Management is targeting a minimum run-rate of €175 mn synergies by
2018 and believes that it can achieve c.30% of synergies in 2016, mainly
from operational and SG&A savings. It will also be targeting capex savings
of €1.3 bn pa over five years and working capital savings of €100 mn
through 2016.

* Minimal impact to industry structure, in our view
The combined group would have cement capacity of c.190mta, making it the
global number two. While we do not take a view on the outcome of the deal,
the proposed acquisition would be largely complementary in terms of
geographical overlap (see Exhibit 1) and as such, we believe impact to
industry structure would be limited. There is no geographical overlap in
Europe, overlap in just two US states and limited regional overlap in India
and Canada (see Exhibits 3-4). We therefore do not see an obvious impact to
what is a very local business. While there is also an overlap in Kazakhstan,
we note this has no implication for other companies within our coverage.

* Positive read-across for assets exposed to recovery, such as Buzzi
Given the agreed deal with Italmobiliare, we view rival bids as unlikely;
however, we note the announced offer premium vs. the current share price
for Italcementi. Also, as market recovery potential was cited as one of the key
drivers of the proposed deal, we think this announcement provides positive
read-across for similar assets – we highlight Buzzi (CL-Buy, €14.58).

(BFW) France Authorizes ADP to Raise Its Tariffs, La Tribune Says


BN 07/29 06:08 *FRANCE AUTHORIZES ADP TO RAISE ITS TARIFFS, LA TRIBUNE SAYS

France Authorizes ADP to Raise Its Tariffs, La Tribune Says
2015-07-29 06:18:31.918 GMT


By David Whitehouse
(Bloomberg) -- The French govt. has validated a plan for
2016-2020 under which Aeroports de Paris will see its tariffs
frozen ex. inflation in the first year and then be allowed to
raise rates ex. inflation by 1% in the four following years, La
Tribune reports.

* Airlines had been seeking a cut: La Tribune
* Newspaper does’t say where it got the information
* Link to story: {http://bit.ly/1SMcm7B}

Link to Company News:{2292074Z FP <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{ADP FP <Equity> CN <GO>}
Link to Company News:{AF FP <Equity> CN <GO>}

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: {FIRST<GO>}
First Word newswire: {NH BFW<GO>}

To contact the editor responsible for this story:
David Whitehouse at +33-1-5365-5059 or
dwhitehouse1@bloomberg.net

(BFW) Tullow Oil Loss Narrows; FY Guidance Remains at 66-70Kbopd


Tullow Oil Loss Narrows; FY Guidance Remains at 66-70Kbopd
2015-07-29 06:02:59.767 GMT


By James Cone
(Bloomberg) -- 1H op. profit $97m vs $36m y/y, says mainly
due to lower exploration write-off of $88m

* Loss after tax $68m vs $95m loss y/y
* 1H capex $783m; FY forecast remains $1.9b
* Net debt at end 1H $3.6b, with facility headroom, free cash
of $2.3b
* Says restructuring incl. job cuts and other cost savings
will save $500m over 3 years starting from 2H
* 1H West Africa oil production avg. 66.5kbopd with Jubilee
avg. 105kbopd
* Maintains FY guidance for 66-70kbopd, although gross Jubilee
avg. production now seen reverting to previous guidance of
100kbopd after S/T production constraints
* Avg. realized oil price after hedging for 1H $70.6/bbl vs
$106.7/bbl y/y
* Says TEN project on target, on budget for first oil in
mid-2016; ~65% complete
* 2H exploration campaign focused on Suriname (Spari), Norway
(Salander), Kenya (Cheptuket)
* Statement: NSN NS8JG03HHEDC<GO>

For Related News and Information:
First Word scrolling panel: FIRST<GO>
First Word newswire: NH BFW<GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
James Cone in London at +44-20-3525-2572 or
jcone@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story:
James Ludden at +44-20-3525-2645 or
jludden@bloomberg.net

>>> What to look at today - 29th of July 2015

Close Dow+1.09% S&P+1.24% Nasdaq+0.98% Russell+0.82% VIX 13.44 (-13.85%)
US Market closed higher after 5day losing streak. Chinese mkt rebound fueled european & US indexes. energy sector surged 2.9% after sliding 4.3% over the past five days helped by BP better numbers, Crude oil rose 1.3% to $47.98/bbl. Materials bounced back also. Volume were ahead of average today @ 900mil shres. US After Hours STLY +19.8%, NGD +17%, PNRA +8.2%, GILD +3.4%, APC +0.9% YELP -16.7%, TWTR -11.2%, AKAM -10.4%, X-4.1% following earnings/guidance...Asian indices are trading mixed but with more upbeat overtones following US mkt.Shanghai Composite oscillated between gains and losses in the opening morning session, rising over 1.5% in the opening minutes, falling by as much as 1.1%, and finally entering its break down 0.2%. Outsized leverage fanning that volatility continued to subside, with total margin debt falling for the 3rd straight day to CNY1.38T v CNY1.43T yesterday - also the lowest level in over 4 months.PBoC also remained active in supporting sentiment, with reports the central bank has encouraged foreign investors - including global central banks, sovereign wealth funds and foreign financial institutions - to invest in interbank market. Asian Movers Fanuc LTD 6954.JP -11.9% (Q1 result), Hitachi Metals 5486.JP +4.6% (Q1 result), Murata 6981.JP -3.4% (Q1 result speculation), Xinyi Glass Holding 868.HK +2.9% (H1 result, spin-off); China Aviation Opt. 002179.CN +5.6% (H1 result), Tokyo Electron 8035.JP -11.3% (Q1 result), Toshiba Corp. 6502.JP -2.2% (speculation that more executives to resign), Mincor Res. MCR.AU -8.3% (Q3 result), Kobe Steel 5406.JP -2.2% (Q1 result), Huaxin Cement 600801.CN +5.2% (H1 guidance); Yueyang Forest & Paper Co 600963.CN -3.4% (H1 result), Xinyi Solar 968.HK +3.6% (H1 result)


Nikkei-0.21% Hang Seng-0.10% Shanghai-0.60%

Eur$1.1049 JPY 123.41 GBP 1.5605 EURCHF 1.0640 RUB $60.2668 WTI $47.78 (-0.42%)

S&P -0.12% EuroStoxx+0.22% Dax+0.27% SMI+0.43%

Macro :
- MSCI May Potentially Consult on Greece Index Reclassification
- VDA Says China Turmoil Affects German Car Industry: Tagesspiegel

Keep an eye on :
- AENA SM : Aena 1H Net EU275.6m vs EU153.1m
- ATC NA : Altice Sees France Improving, Restructuring on Track in Portugal
- AREVA FP : Areva, EDF Reach Compromise on Reactor Unit Sale: Figaro
- STS IM : Ansaldo STS Sees ’15 Orders EU1.3b-EU1.7b; Saw EU1.6b-EU2b
- ATO FP : Atos 1H Rev. In Line; Raises 2015 Cash Flow Forecast
- BAYN GY : Bayer 2Q Ebitda Ex-Items, Core EPS Beat; Adjusts Outlook for FX, Says 2Q HealthCare Rev. +28%; Updates Units Outlook
- CON GY : Continental AG Plans Significant Investment in Virginia Plant
- FGR FP : Eiffage 1H Total Sales Advance 1.4% to EU6.6b; Order Book Rises
- EDL FP : Euro Disney Probed by EU Over Pricing at Disneyland Paris: FT
- ETL FP : Eurotunnel Site Overrun By About 2,200 Migrants, Figaro Reports
- ELE FP : Euler Hermes 1H Net EU172.4m vs EU173.2m Y/y
- FCA IM : Fiat Chrysler Directors to Review Tie-Ups: Detroit News (Yday)
- FNC IM : Finmeccanica, Hitachi Take Steps to Accelerate Ansaldo STS Deal
- GEA GY : GEA 2Q Sales Rise 3%, Op. Ebitda Up 9%; Confirms 2015 Outlook
- HEI GY : HeidelbergCement to Fall on Italcementi Deal, Berenberg Says
- HOLN VX : Holcim Sees Overall Flat Development for Europe, Sales Miss Est.
- IT IM : HeidelbergCement 2Q Ebitda EU752m vs Est. EU752.3m
- SDF GY : K+S Seeking German Government Aid to Rebuff Potash: Handelsblatt
- KPN NA : KPN 2Q Strengthens Outlook, Sees Adj. Ebitda In Line w/ 2014
- LG FP : Lafarge Would Have Missed FY Ebitda Target on Standalone Basis
- LIN GY : Linde Cuts 2015 Sales Forecast
- MC FP : LVMH 1H Organic Sales Growth Beats Ests.
- MC FP : LVMH Says Vuitton 2Q Sales Fell in Hong Kong, Macau, China
- MELE BB : Melexis 2Q Net EU24.9m; Est EU25.3m; Maintains FY Forecasts
- MMT FP : M6-Metropole Television 1H Net EU58.3m vs EU64.6m Y/y
- NUM FP : Numericable-SFR 2Q Sales Match Ests., Adj. Ebitda Margin Climbs
- NOK1V FH : Baidu still keen on acquiring Nokia’s Here - Kauppalehti Online
- OSR GY : Osram 3Q Sales, Adj. Ebita Rises; Confirms Full-Year Outlook
- 1913 HK : Prada -5.2% in HK
- UG FP : Peugeot 1H Revenue In Line; FY Profit Forecast Reiterated
- QED LN : Quintain Said to be Nearing GBP650m Deal With Lone Star: Sky
- RXL FP : Rexel Confirms FY Targets at Low End of Guidance
- RSA LN : Zurich Says Any Offer For RSA Will Be Solely in Cash
- RWE GY : RWE, Eon Nuclear Provisions at Risk, Study Finds: Sueddeutsche
- SKG ID : Smurfit Kappa 2Q Revenue, Ebitda In Line With Estimates
- SRG IM : *SNAM 1H REV. EU1.84B; EST. EU1.83B
- SPM IM : Saipem 2Q Net Loss EU997m; Sees Full-Yr Loss, Job Cuts
- SU FP : Schneider Cuts Full-Year Sales, Adj. Ebita Target on Oil & Gas
- SEV FP : Suez Environnement 1H Ebitda in Line With Est., Confirms Targets
- SOLVB BB : Solvay 2Q Adj. Ebitda EU500m vs est. EU494m; Forecast Affirmed
- O2D GY : Telefonica Deutschland 2Q Adj. Oibda Rises 13.5%; Confirms Goals
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia to Name Labriola as COO at Brazil Unit: Reuters
- FP FP : Total 2Q Adj. Net $3.09b vs Est. $2.67b; Div. EU0.61/Share
- UCG IM : UniCredit’s Decio May Exit as Part of Reshuffle Plan: Repubblica
- ZEL SM : Zeltia 1H Net EU3.34M Vs EU16.8M a Yr Earlier

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & DOwngrades - 29th of July 2015

>>> Up
*BANKINTER RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT CITI
*CIRCASSIA RATED OVERWEIGHT VS NOT RATED AT JPMORGAN
*GERRESHEIMER RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*HIKMA RAISED TO BUY AT JEFFERIES
*PGS RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT CITI

>>> Down
*LEONTEQ CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT BERENBERG
*MOBISTAR CUT TO NEUTRAL VS BUY AT CITI
*NEXTRADIOTV CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT HSBC
*PFEIFFER VACUUM CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT HSBC

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*CAMBIAN RATED NEW EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS, PT 305P
*GALENICA ASSUMED NEUTRAL AT UBS; WAS SELL
*GREENE KING REINSTATED BUY AT GOLDMAN

>>> Call

>>> Baidu still keen on acquiring Nokia’s Here - report (translated)

Baidu still keen on acquiring Nokia’s Here 

Baidu [NASDAQ: BIDU], the Chinese search engine company, is still keen on acquiring Nokia’s [HEL:NOK1V] Here mapping service company, Kauppalehti Online reported.

The Finnish language piece cited an article that had appeared in a publication called Re/code for this information. Chief Executive of Baidu, Robin Li had confirmed that the company is still keen on acquiring Here because it needs mapping services in the future, the article noted.

Bloomberg reported last week that Nokia is in the final stages regarding the sale of Here to a group of German car makers.

Kauppalehti Online

>>> Asian Update

Asian Mid-session Update: Asia volatility subsides ahead of FOMC as US markets finally rebound


***Economic Data***
- (JP) JAPAN JUN RETAIL SALES M/M: -0.8% V -0.9%%E; RETAIL TRADE Y/Y: 0.9% (3-month low) V 1.1%E
- (KR) South Korea Jun Department Store Sales y/y: -11.9% v +3.1% prrior; Discount store sales y/y: -10.2% v +0.5% prior

***Index Snapshot (as of 04:00 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.2%, S&P/ASX +1.0%, Kospi +0.6%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%, Hang Seng +0.1%, Sept S&P500 -0.1% at 2,085

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Aug gold flat at $1,096/oz, Sept crude oil -0.3% at $47.85/brl, Sept copper +0.9% at $2.42/lb
- (US) API Petroleum Inventories: Crude -1.9M v 0e
- (CN) China MOF sells 3-yr bonds, avg yield at 2.7941%
- USD/CNY: PBoC sets yuan mid point at 6.1150 v 6.1154 prior setting; Strongest yuan setting since July 13th
- (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥375B in 1-3yr JGBs, ¥425B in 3-5yr JGBs, ¥240B in 10-25 yr JGBs and ¥140B in JGBs with maturity over 25-yr
- (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$500M in 3.75% 2037 Bonds; avg yield: 3.4350%; bid-to-cover: 2.42x

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- Asian indices are trading mixed but with more upbeat overtones, as US markets finally broke a string of 5 straight losing sessions with resounding gains. Overall volatility is relatively subdued across asset classes, with the next 48 hours to reveal a policy update out of the FOMC as well as the initial US GDP print for Q2.

- Shanghai Composite oscillated between gains and losses in the opening morning session, rising over 1.5% in the opening minutes, falling by as much as 1.1%, and finally entering its break down 0.2%. Outsized leverage fanning that volatility continued to subside, with total margin debt falling for the 3rd straight day to CNY1.38T v CNY1.43T yesterday - also the lowest level in over 4 months. China MoF remarked H2 CPI growth will be moderate and 2015 would remain around 2%, well below 3.0% official target. PBoC also remained active in supporting sentiment, with reports the central bank has encouraged foreign investors - including global central banks, sovereign wealth funds and foreign financial institutions - to invest in interbank market.

- Among USD majors, NZD/USD was most active as it spiked over 60pips above $0.6730 on less dovish than anticipated comments from RBNZ Governor Wheeler. He said further policy easing is "likely" to be required - a less resolute position than anticipated by investors pricing in well over 50bps in cuts from the current 3.00% cash rate. Indeed, Westpac reaffirmed its view that New Zealand cash rates will be cut by another 100bps to 2.00%. In other USD majors, USD/JPY fell about 30pips toward 123.30, EUR/USD was up above 25pips above 1.1080, and AUD/USD was flat ahead of tomorrow's Australia housing data and comments from RBA's Stevens.

***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- BWLD: Reports Q2 $1.12 v $1.25e, R$426.4M v $430Me; +8.9% afterhours
- PNRA: Reports Q2 $1.61 v $1.63e, R$677M v $681Me; +8.0% afterhours
- CTXS: Reports Q2 $1.00 v $0.82e, R$796.8M v $792Me; Commences Strategic Alternatives for GoTo Family of Products; CEO resigns; +3.8% afterhours
- GILD: Reports Q2 $3.15 v $2.64e, R$8.24B v $7.36Be; +3.4% afterhours
- ESRX: Reports Q2 $1.44 v $1.41e, R$25.4B v $26.0Be; +1.6% afterhours
- APC: Reports Q2 +$0.01 adj v -$0.53e, R$2.64B v $2.57Be; +0.9% afterhours
- SPWR: Reports Q2 $0.18 v $0.14e, R$376.7M v $621.1M y/y; -0.2% afterhours
- AFL: Reports Q2 $1.50 v $1.52e, R$5.29B v $5.34Be; -2.1% afterhours
- X: Reports Q2 -$0.79 v -$0.68e, R$2.90B v $3.06Be; -4.1% afterhours
- AKAM: Reports Q2 $0.57 v $0.58e, R$541M v $541Me; -10.4% afterhours
- TWTR: Reports Q2 $0.07 v $0.05e, R$502M v $487Me; Raises FY 15 guidance; -11.3% afterhours
- YELP: Reports Q2 -$0.02 v $0.01e, R$139.9M v $134Me; -16.6% afterhours

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: Goodman Group GMG.AU +0.9% (divestment speculation); Air China Ltd 601111.CN -7.2% (H1 guidance, private placement); SK Networks 001740.KR +1.6% (Q2 result); Phoenix Satellite Television Holdings 2008.HK -5.3% (H1 guidance)
- Financials: Xinhu Zhongbao Co 600208.CN +0.5% (H1 result); Bank of Nanjing Co 601009.CN +1.2% (H1 result, private placement)
- Industrials: Fanuc LTD 6954.JP -11.9% (Q1 result); Hitachi Construction Machinery 6305.JP -1.0% (Q1 result); Hitachi Metals 5486.JP +4.6% (Q1 result); Murata MFG 6981.JP -3.4% (Q1 result speculation); Xinyi Glass Holding 868.HK +2.9% (H1 result, spin-off); China Aviation Optical-Electrical Technology 002179.CN +5.6% (H1 result)
- Technology: Tokyo Electron Ltd 8035.JP -11.3% (Q1 result); Toshiba Corporation 6502.JP -2.2% (speculation that more executives to resign); Beijing Orient National Communication Science & Technology Co 300166.CN +0.4% (private placement)
- Materials: Sandfire Resources SFR.AU -2.7% (Q4 result); Independence Group IGO.AU +0.5% (Q4 result); Mincor Resources MCR.AU -8.3% (Q3 result); Kobe Steel 5406.JP -2.2% (Q1 result); Daido Steel 5471.JP -6.4% (Q1 result); Huaxin Cement 600801.CN +5.2% (H1 guidance); Yueyang Forest & Paper Co 600963.CN -3.4% (H1 result); Chongqing Iron & Steel 601005.CN +1.2% (Chairman to resign)
-Energy: Tonengeneral Sekiyu 5012.JP +2.2% (raises H1 guidance); Xinyi Solar 968.HK +3.6% (H1 result)

(BN) Oaktree Sees Brew of China, Oil, Greece Cracking Global Markets



Oaktree Sees Brew of China, Oil, Greece Cracking Global Markets
2015-07-28 18:59:54.812 GMT


By Devin Banerjee
(Bloomberg) -- The past few years have been frustrating for
the world’s biggest distressed-debt investor, as soaring markets
kept companies clear of trouble. For Oaktree Capital Group LLC,
its time to shine is getting closer as China, commodities,
Greece and Puerto Rico threaten to crack markets.
“Relative tranquility belies the fact that there’s still
plenty to worry about,” Bruce Karsh, Oaktree’s co-chairman,
said Tuesday on a conference call with the firm’s investors.
“The U.S. economy recovery remains tepid, interest rates are
poised to rise sometime in the coming year and the global
economic environment is quite unsettled with the overhang of the
Greek debt crisis and the slowing Chinese economy.”
Oaktree executives Karsh, Howard Marks and John Frank have
lamented the high-priced environment in the U.S. since at least
2013, when the Standard & Poor’s 500 index was still only in the
middle of a four-year run that started in 2011. Buoyant debt
markets have enabled troubled companies to refinance, with 53
defaults globally last year, an 80 percent drop from the peak in
2009, according to Moody’s Investors Service.
Oaktree has distributed almost all of the money and profits
from a $14.5 billion distressed debt fund raised before the 2008
financial crisis. The Los Angeles-based firm on Tuesday said
second-quarter profit dropped 37 percent from a year ago, when
it was selling assets from the Opportunities Fund VII pool.
The firm has prepared for a coming crisis by gathering
almost $10 billion for a new distressed debt vehicle,
Opportunities Fund X. A further slump in commodities prices or
the Chinese stock market may set off enough opportunities for
Oaktree to seek more money, Karsh said.

Global ’Cracks’

“To the extent that we see further cracks in the general
environment -- either commodities markets, effect of China
slowing -- we may well decide to increase the amount that we
raise above $10 billion,” he said. “Perhaps well above.”
Karsh also cited Puerto Rico’s “deteriorating” debt as
one of the factors heightening market volatility and creating
new investment opportunities.
Oaktree continues to evaluate potential oil and gas deals,
as oil this week traded in a bear market amid surplus supplies
and concern that Chinese demand will wane. Karsh said the firm
has “a lot of dry powder” available for energy investments.
“As things get worse and worse, the opportunity set for us
opens more and more,” he said of oil and gas industries. “The
psychology is starting to turn negative, but it’s just
beginning. We haven’t dived in yet.”

For Related News and Information:
Oaktree Said to Plan New Europe Fund in Bet Bank Retreat to Last
Oaktree Busier in Europe Than Ever for Bargain Hunt, Marks Says
Oaktree Is Said to Raise $7 Billion for Distressed Debt Fund
Top stories: TOP <GO>
Credit market watch: CMW <GO>
M&A database: MA <GO>
Private equity market: PEM <GO>

To contact the reporter on this story:
Devin Banerjee in New York at +1-212-617-1534 or
dbanerjee2@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Christian Baumgaertel at +1-617-210-4624 or
cbaumgaertel@bloomberg.net
Pierre Paulden, Mary Romano