>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up: KING +15.8%, AEO +5.8%, ZNGA +5.4%, PERI +3.7%, TSU +2.9%, FEYE +2.8%, MBLY +2.8%, PLUG +2.8%, VRX +1.1%, ISSI +1.0%, SDRL +1.0%

Gapping down: AQXP -20.5%, ASC -10.4%, FIT -7.1%, NBG -6.4%, UNXL -5.9%, TGT -5.3%, SUI -4.4%, HON -4.0%, ATVI -4.0%, TASR-3.7%, ODP -2.8%, AIG -2.4%, SHPG -2.4%, EGO -2.1%, RIO -2.1%, BCS -2.1%, SUNE -1.8%, X -1.3%, LYG -1.1%

>>> Tullow Oil soars, traders cite Ghana project, M&A talk - RTRS

Tullow Oil soars, traders cite Ghana project, M&A talk - RTRS


03-NOV-2015 12:28:12

LONDON, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Shares of Tullow Oil TLW.L soared over 14 percent on Tuesday after a positive update from its partner in Ghana, Kosmos Energy KOS.N, which said a new project was on track to be completed next year.

The TEN oil project was expected to deliver first oil in the third quarter of 2016, Kosmos said late on Monday.

Production at the joint Jubilee field had also returned close to normal levels since the end of a temporary technical outage, Kosmos said. Analysts at FirstEnergy Capital told clients the update signalled "good production".

One trader also cited merger talk surrounding Tullow Oil as another factor lifting the shares.

Tullow declined to comment.

(ZH) Key Apple Supplier Halts Hiring Due To Poor iPhone Sales

Two months ago, Tim Cook reportedly wrote Jim Cramer that everything was awesome with iPhone sales in China. Days later, channel checks appeared to call Cook's statement into question. Several day ago, one of Apple's component makers - Dialog Semi - issued cautious guidance strongly suggesting iPhone sales momentum was weakening. Apple's earnings produced disappointment as China sales rather notably fell (but was quickly dismissed by analysts as US sales rose) and now, perhaps most worrying of all, Taiwan’s Pegatron Corp - maker of Apple's next-gen iPhone 6S and iPad - has halted hiring in its Shanghai factory as workers note "sales of iPhone 6S have been disappointing."
In May 2013, Pegatron became "the new FoxConn" as then new Chief Executive Tim Cook, Apple divided its weight more equally with a relatively unknown supplier, giving the technology giant a greater supply-chain balance.


Pegatron Corp., named after the flying horse Pegasus, will be the primary assembler of a low-cost iPhoneexpected to be offered later this year. Foxconn's smaller rival across town became a minor producer of iPhones in 2011 and began making iPad Mini tablet computers last year.


Two companies that assemble Apple’s iPhones and iPads are on a hiring spree, a signal that orders from the Cupertino-based group are ramping up ahead of the launch of a new device.
not so much

Taiwan’s Pegatron Corp, which employs 100,000 people, said on Monday that it is expanding its workforce in mainland China by 30 per cent to keep up with the production of smartphones.
But now, in October 2015, the huge facility at Pegatron Technology's factory in Shanghai sports a deserted look, as China Daily reported moments ago.


Gone are crowds waiting for job interviews or others who come to enquire about possible job openings.

The facility, which at its peak employed around 100,000 people, has temporarily suspended hiring as demand for Apple products has waned considerably.

The winding passage that leads to an interview room is all but deserted. Rather than excited faces, one can see young employees trudging out of the facility with fatigue and despair written large on their face.

Zhang Libing, a 23-year-old from Anhui province, told China Daily that he had just resigned from his job at Pegatron as he was exhausted and fatigued with the long working hours. Next to him was a huge electronic screen that kept flashing the message that the company has put on hold all fresh hiring for the time being.

"We are not surprised at that," Zhang said. "The sales of iPhone 6S have been disappointing. I am afraid that if we do not leave now, we will be laid off soon."

...

China, its biggest market outside the United States, accounted for nearly one-fourth of its total revenues in the fourth fiscal quarter because of its robust handset sales in the country. But fresh concerns have arisen over whether the company would be able to sustain the sales momentum.

Fading enthusiasm for iPhones in China has dragged down the device prices in the parallel market and hit new orders to the supply chain partners.

Pegatron was planning to hire roughly 40,000 workers for its Shanghai plants in the summer when Apple entrusted it with the iPhone 6S and iPad manufacturing. The current employee strength of the company remained unclear.
It appears things have changed dramatically in a very short period of time...


Cai Xiaoshuai left his hometown in Luoyang of Henan province and landed a job at the assembly line in Pegatron four months ago. But the 22-year-old man said he had had enough. His basic wage was 2,020 yuan ($320) per month and he had to work overtime for 2.5 hours every day to make sure that his salary would get close to 4,000 yuan.

"Some of my friends went to Kunshan in Jiangsu province to try their luck there. But it seems that the electronics industry there is in an even worse shape. So I am thinking of staying on and checking out other opportunities in Shanghai. But I will definitely not work in any electronics company. I have had enough," said Cai.


So is AAPL the next AOL, and is Tim Cook the next Thorsten Heins?

It all depends on China: if the world's most populous nation can get its stock market, its economy and its currency under control, then this too shall pass. The problem is that if, as many increasingly suggest, China has lost control of all three. At that point anyone who thought they got a great deal when buying AAPL at $92 will have far better opportunities to dollar-cost average far, far lower.
Oh, and to anyone still holding their breath for AAPL to file a public statement which may well contain an outright lie, you may exhale now.

>>> United Spirits subsidiary signs agreement to sell entire interest in Bouvet

United Spirits subsidiary signs agreement to sell entire interest in Bouvet Ladubay

United Spirits’ [BOM:532432] wholly-owned subsidiary Asian Opportunities & Investments has signed an agreement to sell its entire interest in the France-based winemaker Bouvet Ladubay, and its wholly-owned subsidiary Chapin Landais.

This information is contained in the notes to United Spirits’ results fact sheet for the quarter ended 30 September 2015, conveyed to the BSE on 02 November 2015.

The Bouvet Ladubay sale is expected to complete in early November after certain conditions are satisfied, United Spirits stated.

As reported earlier, McDowell, a subsidiary of United Spirits, had acquired Bouvet Ladubay in July 2006 for EUR 14.75m.

WSJ : Vice Media Rides Lofty Expectations

Vice Media Rides Lofty Expectations

Company known for edgy reporting is poised to get its own TV channel in a deal with A+E

In the current crop of new-media companies touting their ability to attract young audiences, perhaps none has generated as much buzz—or as much interest from traditional media firms—as Vice Media.

The company, known for its edgy reporting on everything from war zones to hallucinogens, has drawn investments from or forged partnerships with media giants including 21st Century Fox, Time Warner Inc. and A+E Networks, a joint venture of Walt Disney Co. and Hearst Corp. It is on the verge of getting its own TV channel in a deal with A+E that could be announced as early as Tuesday, according to people familiar with the matter.

Last month, Vice Media Chief Executive Shane Smith told CNBC that the company’s revenue was on track to hit nearly $1 billion this year, and that it was in acquisition talks with “everybody” at a valuation of $5 billion.

But people familiar with the financial information Vice has been sharing with potential investors say that the company’s revenue this year is on track to be less than $500 million under generally accepted accounting principles, or GAAP, up from about half of that in 2014.

A Vice spokesman said the company’s projection of $1 billion in revenue could include business booked this year but which will produce revenue at a later date.

“We don’t view any discrepancies,” said a Vice spokesman. “We’re on pace to book a billion dollars. That level of activity includes bookings and revenue that get delivered this year, and it would also include activity this year that results in near-term commitments going forward.”

He added that by traditional accounting methods, the delay of the planned TV channel, which had been in the works for some time but hit roadblocks, resulted in less revenue than the company would have otherwise generated.

Many companies provide metrics about their businesses that don’t hew to GAAP style. They often use terms like “bookings,” “managed revenue,” or “gross sales” to refer to the money generated by their products or services in a given year, even if that includes payments that won’t actually be received until the following year, or cash they must share with partners.

Public companies are required to report metrics on a GAAP basis, but that rule doesn’t apply to closely held companies like Vice.

By any measure, Vice’s revenue is robust compared with other new-media companies like BuzzFeed and Huffington Post, which is part of Verizon Communications Inc.’s AOL unit. The company’s ability to double its revenue in a year and to reach the hard-to-get young male audiences that are fleeing traditional TV underscore why it is the object of fascination by media behemoths that own TV channels.

Interest in the company has been strong: In addition to past investments by the likes of 21st Century Fox and A+E, Vice is now in talks to receive an additional investment of roughly $200 million from Disney and transfer another roughly 7% of its equity to A+E, according to people familiar with the matter. Wall Street Journal publisher News Corp and 21st Century Fox were part of the same company until mid-2013.

In August 2014, A+E agreed to buy about 10% of the company for $250 million, valuing it at $2.5 billion. At the time, the plan was for Vice to take over a channel in A+E’s portfolio, say people familiar with the matter.

By the spring “upfront” season, when TV channels typically present their programing for the coming season to advertisers, five out of the top six pay-TV distributors—who have to sign off whenever a programmer wants to rebrand a channel—had given their approval. But DirecTV was a holdout, according to people familiar with the matter.

That made Vice feel confident enough to pull a bold stunt, even by the standards of a media company famous for sending Dennis Rodman to North Korea: it pitched a standing-room-only loft full of advertisers on a channel that had neither a launch date nor a place on the TV dial. The shows that were presented were said to be coming in the fall.

With fall now slipping toward winter, A+E and Vice are on the cusp of announcing the long-anticipated deal. A+E will turn its H2 channel into the Vice channel by next spring, the people familiar with the matter say. As part of the deal, Vice will get nearly half of H2 in exchange for giving A+E an additional Vice stake, bringing A+E’s total ownership to more than 15%, according to the people said.

The valuations of Vice and the new TV channel in the latest transaction weren’t clear. The average valuation of a stand-alone cable channel sold over the past two years was $446 million, according to research firm SNL Kagan. But industry executives say that H2, a profitable channel with a reach into 70 million households, is worth considerably more.

In addition to its many major media-company partnerships, Vice struck a deal with Verizon this summer to make video content for its coming mobile video service. Other partners include Snapchat, Live Nation, YouTube and Samsung. In the U.S., Web traffic to Vice’s various online properties hit 61 million unique visits in September, up from 39 million a year earlier, according to comScore; globally it was 96 million in August.

In addition to the new U.S. channel, Vice plans to launch between 10 and 15 international channels next year, according to one Vice executive. It already operates in more than 30 countries.

(BofA-ML) GlaxoSmithKline: Up to Neutral – value emerging but still some headwin

(BofA-ML) GlaxoSmithKline: Up to Neutral – value emerging but still some headwinds

* Upgrade to Neutral on valuation and EPS momentum
We upgrade GSK to Neutral from Underperform and maintain our 1450p price objective.
Key to our upgrade are: 1) Valuation: The stock is now trading c18% off its April highs
and c8% below our unchanged 1450p price objective (assumes 5.5% yield and 17x 17E
PE) offering c14% total return with the c6% dividend yield, albeit less than the 23-25%
we see for our Buys in the sector; 2) Excepting further Fx volatility, underlying EPS
momentum may be bottoming. Consensus EPS estimates for 2015/2016 are now
broadly in line with ours, having fallen c20% this year and having more than halved since
early 2012; 3) 17-20E EPS growth back in line with the sector at 9% as GSK exits the
earnings trough and Consumer/Vaccines synergies, ViiV (HIV), and Nucala (mepolizumab)
launch drive a return to growth; 4) Pipeline activity increasing to end-2016 with three
PIII and one PII readout of interest expected and a Nov 3rd 2015 R&D day expected.

* GSK growth 17-20E back in line with sector
Rolling forward our sector valuation comps to 17E PE and 17-20E EPS CAGR reveals
GSK as having EPS growth in line with the sector over our valuation period. Importantly
we model US generic Advair launching in 2017 depressing 17E EPS growth to 2% but
thereafter we forecast 17-20E sales CAGR 5.2%, EBIT 8.6% and EPS 9.3% driven by: 1)
Consumer/Vaccines merger synergies and new products (Shingrix/Bexsero) driving
respective EBIT growth of 18% and 11% respectively; 2) ViiV (HIV) EBIT growth 8% due
to Tivicay/Triumeq growth (peak sales now $7bn or £4.7bn); 3) Nucala (mepolizumab,
antiIL5, severe asthma) launch in late 2015/early 2016 (2020 sales £1.3bn).

* But still cash concerns over balance sheet/cash/dividend
However, despite these potential positives we remain concerned about GSK’s balance
sheet which remains stretched, offering little strategic flexibility and presents risk to the
dividend beyond 2017. Including pension provisions and GSK’s Consumer and ViiV JV
partners’ options to put their shares to GSK, GSK’s 16E net debt to EBITDA ratio is 3.5x.
We forecast slow balance sheet recovery given GSK’s promised 80p dividend 15-17E
exceeds forecast FCPS of 53p in 2015 and 63p in 2016.

(BofA-ML) Danone : Frais thinking; Double-upgrade to Buy

* Risk profile is shifting; Upgrade to Buy with 16% upside
We upgrade Danone to Buy on: (1) higher conviction in a Dairy recovery; (2) forecasts of
prodigious growth in Nutrition into 2016; and (3) improving capital allocation with a
focus on ‘white space’ in Waters. We believe these factors imply risk is moving in
investors’ favour and leverage to a recovery is underestimated. Our EPS upgrades place
us +4-7% ahead of cons. in FY15-17E and imply a 3yr EPS CAGR of 11% (> Staples avg.
at 9%). BN currently trades at 10-20% discounts to the sector on 19.4x P/E and 11.1x
EV/EBITDA. Considered on a SOTP, this implies a 3.0x 16E EV/EBITDA multiple for Fresh
Dairy (vs. peers’ average of 11x). We expect a re-rating as confidence returns and raise
our PO to €73, implying 16% upside potential (with Fresh Dairy on 6.5x EV/EBITDA).

* Fresh Dairy: Structural headwinds to continue but stabilising
We are encouraged by signs of stability in the EU yoghurt market (post 3yrs of decline)
and a reacceleration in N America (as per Nielsen data). We expect Danone’s sales to
recover to growth of +3.25% by 18E in (from +0.4% in FY15E), driven by 5% growth in
key brands and EMs. We also forecast a margin recovery to 12% by 19E (from 9.7%
FY15E) on lower A&P spend (vs. ‘15), op. leverage and mix, more than offsetting 15%
assumed milk price inflation.

* Early Life Nutrition: China opportunity outweighs the risk
ELN has bucked the recent trend of weakness in China with a 400bp OSG beat in Q3’15.
We forecast +2% for Q4’15 (vs. +28% Q4’14), implying +8.5%/10.8% OSG in FY15E
/FY16E as BN continues to leverage its positioning in ecommerce to outperform peers.

* Waters: Likely to be a focal point of capital allocation
We are optimistic that Danone’s strategy of small deals and commitment to a 4-5%
capex/sales imply capital discipline. In our view, capital could be invested in sustaining
Waters’ growth (11% 5yr CAGR). We look for confirmation at the CMD on 16th Nov.

* Valuation: PO up to €73; 16th Nov. CMD a potential catalyst
Our DCF-based PO (7.5% WACC, 2.25% terminal growth) rises to €73 from €55 on
upgrades & lower risk, implying 22.5x P/E and 12.6x 16E EV/EBITDA (vs 22x for Staples).