Asian Market Update: Softer China lending and Yuan fix renew selloff
***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA DEC NEW YUAN LOANS (CNY): 598B V 700BE
- (CN) CHINA DEC M2 MONEY SUPPLY Y/Y: 13.3% (3-month low) V 13.6%E; M1 MONEY SUPPLY Y/Y: 15.2% V 15.5%E
- (CN) CHINA DEC AGGREGATE FINANCING (CNY): 1.82T V 1.15TE
- (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV HOME LOANS M/M: +1.8% V -0.5%E
- (NZ) New Zealand Dec Food Prices M/M: +0.8% v -0.2% prior
- (ID) INDONESIA DECEMBER TRADE BALANCE: -$0.2B v +$0.1Be
- (JP) Japan investors buy net ¥323B in foreign bonds v net bought ¥86B in prior week; Foreign investors sell net ¥747B in Japan stocks v bought ¥136B in Japan stocks in prior week
- (PE) PERU CENTRAL BANK (BCRP) RAISED REFERENCE RATE BY 25BPS TO 4.00%. AS EXPECTED
- (CL) CHILE CENTRAL BANK (BCCH) LEAVES OVERNIGHT RATE TARGET UNCHANGED AT 3.50%, AS EXPECTED
***Index Snapshot (as of 05:00 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.3%, S&P/ASX -0.5%, Kospi -1.1%, Shanghai Composite -1.5%, Hang Seng -0.8%, Mar S&P500 -0.9% at 1,898
***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Feb gold +0.7% at $1,081/oz, Feb crude oil -2.0% at $30.59/brl, Mar copper -0.6% at $1.97/lb
- (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.5637 V 6.5616 PRIOR; 6th straight firmer setting relative to Close; - Prior close 6.5890
- (HK) Hong Kong Financial Sec Tsang: To closely monitor HKD market - financial press
- (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$900M in 5.75% 2022 Bonds; avg yield: 2.35%; bid-to-cover: 2.09x
- (US) Weekly Fed Balance Sheet Total Assets for week ending Jan 13th: $4.50T v $4.49T prior; M1: +$139.3B (multi-year high) v -$7.2B prior; M2: -$16.7B v -$11.4B prior
***Market Focal Points/FX***
- Asian equities used to follow the tone set on Wall St but have been transformed into the pace-setter in the early part of the year. Today's rally in US indices has indeed produced no carryover to Asian trading, and the turmoil in the far east is signalling a softer open. US equity futures are down nearly 1% while Shanghai Composite has erased most of yesterday's rally. Risk-off sentiment is boosting JPY, with USD/JPY falling 70pips from the highs to 117.60. Oil is down 2% and gold is rallying. AUD/USD - the proxy for China slowdown in the G10 fx space - was also down about 60pips from the highs below 0.6950.
- China's FX policy and economic data were seen as the catalysts for the selling. In the case of the former, the daily Yuan fix was set slightly softer relative to the prior setting, albeit still firmer than the prior close. The latter saw disappointing New Yuan lending - one of the components of the famed Li Keqiang index - and slower money supply growth. Commentary from PBoC sought to soothe the impact, noting money supply growth has been rapid since Q4 and liquidity is ample. Likewise, a state researcher said the economy will maintain stable and continued GDP growth. Earlier, a Chinese press report indicated the govt would accelerate project construction in several provinces in 2016 to help stabilize growth.
- In Japan, the yen currency printed the high for the day when BOJ Gov Kuroda suggested there was no plan to add to policy easing. Kuroda reiterated domestic price trend is improving steadily and there was no plan to change the inflation target as he continued to point to low energy prices in capping inflation. BOJ Gov did acknowledge that the pace of wage growth is slow considering the job market and record high corporate profits. Slow rate of pass through in wage growth was symbolized by Toyota amid reports that this year's base wage hike request would be half of last year's.
***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- ADI: Cuts Q1 $0.51-0.55 v $0.69e, R$745-765M v $830Me (prior $0.65-0.73, $805-855M); -2.3% afterhours
- INTC: Reports Q4 $0.74 v $0.63e, R$14.9B v $14.8Be; Gross margins 64.3% v 65.4% y/y; -4.9% afterhours
After Extended Session:
- GE: Haier said to be nearing deal to purchase GE Appliances unit, paying about $4B - financial press
Key movers in Asia:
- Sharp 6753.JP +16.5%; Hon Hai reportedly may increase offer for Sharp to ¥700B from ¥500B - Japan press
- Guangzhou Automobile 2238.HK +3.0% (profit alert)
- BHP: +1.3%; To recognize post-tax impairment charge on US assets of $4.9B for H1 (Dec-end)
- Shanghai Electric Group 601727.CN +0.6% (approval for restructuring plan).
- Lifan Industry (Group) 601777.CN -2.9% (Dec result)
- BBMG Corp 2009.HK -3.9% (profit warning)
- Kawasaki Heavy
7012.jp -7.1% (Brazil impairment)