FT : Engie to speed disposals with incoming chief eyeing up to €20bn

Engie to speed disposals with incoming chief eyeing up to €20bn


French utility Engie is considering a widespread restructuring with between €10bn to €20bn worth of disposals under Isabelle Kocher, the incoming chief executive.
People close to the group told the FT that Ms Kocher will try to accelerate the company’s move away from thermal energy and mature markets in Europe, instead putting greater emphasis on renewables and emerging markets.

This could involve the French group selling much of its exploration and production assets, thermal power generation plants in United States and coal-fired power plants, all of which should yield about €10bn, added these people.
Alongside those plans there is a likely initial public offering of Engie’s Belgian unit Electrabel, as well as the sale of other non-core assets, which could yield another €5bn to €10bn over the next three years.
All of the group’s mature market “merchant” business — areas where prices are unregulated and move with the markets — will come under scrutiny. This includes thermal power generation and gas storage.
The plan by Ms Kocher, who starts formally in May, comes as the utilities sector endures chronic low power prices in developed markets, while the shift to renewable energy squeezes margins at traditional plants burning coal and gas.
The strategy of shifting into renewables and high-growth markets is not new for Engie. Gérard Mestrallet, the long-time chief executive of the group, has had the same approach in recent years.
However, Ms Kocher will be looking to go faster than her predecessor, said people close to the group, in part to stamp her authority on the company.
Mr Mestrallet was appointed chief executive of French utility Suez in 1995, In 2008 the group merged with GDF to form GDF Suez, which Mr Mestrallet then ran. Last year GDF Suez was renamed Engie.
Ms Kocher spent three years as the company’s chief finance officer from 2011 before being appointed deputy chief executive officer in October 2014. There she prepared for succession and helped with the rebranding.
Her appointment as chief executive of a company in Paris’s CAC 40 index is a first for a French woman. She is the only second woman to take up such a role, the first being Pat Russo, the American chief of Alcatel-Lucent between 2006-2008.
However, Ms Kocher will not be alone at the top. While Mr Mestrallet had said that he would step down completely, last week the French government announced that he would in fact stay on as non-executive president.
This would help provide a steady hand for the group in a difficult period, said one person close to the group, but others have expressed concerns that this could Ms Kocher from making bolder restructuring efforts.
Ms Kocher and Mr Mestrallet last year changed hundreds of top-level positions in a reorganisation of the group’s management.
Engie is reporting its full-year results February 25, where the company is likely to give clarity on restructuring and also further cost-cutting measures. This will be followed by an investor day in May.
French weekly La Lettre de l’Expansion reported this week that the disposals at Engie could be as much as €20bn, with people close to the group telling the FT that this would be at the top end of the scale.

(Il Sole 24) Unipol open to a possible merger with UnipolSai

Friday Unipol and Unipol Sai published their results
Both were good as Unipol is a proxy to Unipol Sai moslty

Only thing I see to explain Unipol Sai outperformance of Unipol is very higher dividend yield of Unipol Sai announced and also liquidity

BUT,
I now have 40% discount to NAv with 0.7x P/B for non listed assets of Unipol and
21% discount to NAV putting 0 to non listed portfolio

Also this morning: UNI IM – Unipol Gruppo Finanziario considering merger with UnipolSai (Sole24Ore)


{http://bit.ly/1Qgvlv8} Google translation {http://bit.ly/1Vg0Q6G} Original in Italian

The shortening of the Unipol group control chain is no longer a taboo. The sign came yesterday during the presentation of the 2015 results conference call during which the CEO of Unipol Group and UnipolSai, Carlo Cimbri, has not ruled out the possibility that it is a task on which to reason in the future. "Until Unipol Group will control a bank it is an issue that can not be dealt with", however if the institution were to get out of the perimeter "is a dossier to assess."

It is no secret that Unipol Banca is deemed by the top a non-strategic assets and over Cimbri has suggested an involvement of the subsidiary in the near bank risiko. Eliminated the obstacle (the institute still holds 3.9 billion of non-performing loans, covered for 44.5%), therefore, the integration could be one practical step to give final shape to the Galaxy after the maxi reorganization weblog FondiariaSai. A passage, however, that it would also be acceptable to the market. All the more, they note some operators, given what is happening upstream of the control chain, with the creation of Coop Alliance 3.0 and the next Finsoe dissolution. The project, said that, "it is still not the time to study." It will take time for it to eventually take shape.

Meanwhile, UnipolSai is on the eve of a new business plan after that, as he recalled the Cimbri, the 2013-2015 project came to fruition in respect of the key target. The next business plan, which "will open a new phase," will be presented to the market in May, potentially between 10 and May 12, and it's up to the new management put the seal on the project.

As is known, for want of supervision, Cimbri will have to leave by June one of the charges that now holds and, in fact, the assembly approving the budget which will be held in late April will mark the passing of the baton with the rise of Matthew Laterza the UnipolSai guide. At that point, once the new board took office, the board will approve the plan on which the veil will be lifted at the latest by mid-May. At that appointment, stressed Cimbri, UnipolSai will come after you filed successfully aggregate softly, "With the coupon in 2015 we distributed to more or less 1.5 billion euro members, a figure in fact equal to the value of the increase required capital, 1.7 billion, to give life to the project: it's as if the management had self-financed the acquisition. " Thanks a total profit in the three-year plan of 2.21 billion, generated from a profitability which proved higher in both the Life and Non-Life (5% and 4.5% against the 3.9% target and the 3, 3%). To this it was added a combined ratio in fact in line with forecasts, to 94.6% in 2015 to UnipolSai and a solvency margin close to the target (177% versus 180%). Although this has been taken a particularly prudent reservation policy (1.5 billion of reserves in more from 2012 to present) and some business dynamics have proved less favorable than expected. Unipol Banca, for example, it costs 750 million Unipol Group in terms of allocations, and the galaxy has still had to deal with 1 billion euro of write-downs in real estate.

For all these reasons, for putting the coupon on the plate, that the eve of prices guaranteed a 10% return on the title UnipolSai, and thanks to the wave of purchases that is poured on the Milan stock exchange, yesterday the shares of the two companies have filed the session strongly increasing: the holding company has closed with an increase of 3.09% while the subsidiary has jumped 11.03% to 1.72 euro. The market, in particular, has looked closely at dividend for UnipolSai shareholders will be EUR 0.15, while for those of Unipol to 0.18 EUR (compared with a consolidated net profit of 579 million, an increase of 14.6 %). All in accordance with the pay out policy envisaged by plan: 63% average UnipolSai and 67% for Unipol.

In 2015, the subsidiary recorded a statutory income of 550 million, compared to a consolidated net profit of 738 million euro (783 million in 2014) who served an extraordinary negative tax effect of 84 million. The direct insurance premium income totaled 13.982 billion euro (-8.8% 2, net of the sale of the company to Allianz), of which 7.334 million from non-life insurance (-5.3% 2, net the sale of the company to Allianz) and 6.648 million from life (-12.3%). The combined ratio stood at 93.9% (94.6% net of reinsurance), as better than expected by the market that more than 95% esteemed. The solvency margin was 177%, in March we will be given the data on Solvency II which should be in line with Solvency I. Finally, the direct insurance premiums Unipol has instead amounted to 16.476 million (-4.2%) in the case of shopping abroad Europe "is not the first environment where I would look," said Cimbri, as it is "mature markets with few prospects."

FT : Yves Guillemot, Ubisoft: assassin’s siege (Vivendi)

Yves Guillemot, Ubisoft: assassin’s siege

The boss of the French video game maker will this week start a fightback against Vincent Bolloré


On an October afternoon last year, as the flat autumn light was starting to fade over eastern Paris, Yves Guillemot’s phone rang. It was Vincent Bolloré, the French industrialist, billionaire and chairman of media and entertainment group Vivendi, and he had a simple message.
“He said that we should talk about potential synergies,” recalls Mr Guillemot, who heads Ubisoft, the French video game maker behind such hits as the Assassin’s Creed series, Tom Clancy’s Ghost Recon, Just Dance, Prince of Persia and, for those with longer memories, Rayman.

Describing the conversation as “brief but smooth”, Mr Guillemot hung up, assuming that the idea was to explore how the two might eventually collaborate; two hours later, he discovered — via the country’s stock market authority — that Vivendi had bought 6.6 per cent of his company.
Today, he feels under siege. Since the phone call, Vivendi’s stake in Ubisoft has crept up to almost 15 per cent.
“I told them that I had nothing to say to them,” says Mr Guillemot. “How can you talk about synergies with someone who is trying to break your door down?”
Piling on the pressure, Vivendi has also taken a 26.7 per cent stake in Gameloft, Ubisoft’s sister video game company, which is headed by one of Mr Guillemot’s four brothers — all big hitters in the global video game industry.
Vivendi, which owns the Canal Plus TV business, Universal Music Group and has just become Telecom Italia’s largest shareholder with a 20 per cent stake, has since issued a warning: if Gameloft is not open to “fruitful co-operation”, it will not exclude taking control. Mr Guillemot fears Vivendi is planning a similar strategy at Ubisoft.

In some ways, Ubisoft would seem a logical step for Vivendi, which wants to become a European entertainment powerhouse. Convergence between gaming and cinema is increasing rapidly; as Mr Guillemot acknowledges, “The video game industry is very good at creating worlds and Hollywood is very good at creating stories.”
Vivendi is also sitting on billions of euros in cash after selling off assets for the past two years. It even has experience in the industry via its majority holding, until 2013, in Activision Blizzard, the California-based video games producer. Finally, Mr Bolloré has a reputation as an astute, if ruthless, businessman who creates shareholder value.
But sipping coffee in an office decked with fantasy figures from his video games — some of them life-size — Mr Guillemot insists that such an outcome would be “a disaster”.
For one thing, he argues that Vivendi, established as a utility during the reign of Napoleon III, is inward-looking — more than half Canal Plus’s revenues come from France, for instance — while his company generates more than 90 per cent of its sales abroad.
“If we want to make a big international movie, we talk to Fox, Warner or Sony Pictures about it. They are specialists in that industry. We are not going to talk to Canal Plus.”
Moreover, he says that Mr Bolloré’s hallmark strategy of creeping control belongs to a bygone, and less transparent, era.
This approach was deployed in Mr Bolloré’s accumulation of influence at advertising agency Havas, in gaining a tight grip on Vivendi, where he is the largest shareholder with about 14.4 per cent, and even with Telecom Italia .

“It’s a very different way of doing business, and one that you don’t see in the UK, the US and even all the Asian countries,” he says. “If you want a company, you negotiate with that company and you buy it. You don’t come and take advantage of the system.”
Mr Guillemot and his brothers founded Ubisoft 30 years ago in Brittany, the northwestern coastal region of France from which the Bolloré dynasty also hails. Ubisoft grew rapidly by distributing games made by the likes of Electronic Arts. Within a few years, it had expanded to the UK, Germany and even the US. Then it began developing its own games, beginning with a title called Zombi for the Amstrad CPC.
Now with studios in almost 20 countries, Ubisoft reported €1.5bn of sales in its last fiscal year, and had almost 10,000 employees. In the four years to October 2015, before a spike caused by Vivendi’s interest, Ubisoft shares had more than quadrupled in value.
However, it cut full-year sales and profit guidance last week, a move that hit its share price. It also announced it would break from its tradition of releasing a new Assassin’s Creed each year, to refresh the franchise after a disappointing debut for the last instalment.
Mr Guillemot’s biggest concerns about Vivendi’s advances have to do with his determination to protect Ubisoft’s way of working.
“Many companies impose big external bosses who demand blind execution but we are in a creative industry, and creativity relies on letting people take risks so that they come up with something exceptional,” he says. “Having a group come in that does not understand the industry and just wants to control us will very quickly kill that creativity.”
The company is headquartered in an eight-storey modern building outside Paris that, at first glance, could be mistaken for a social housing project. Staff work in an open-plan environment, where large round wooden-topped tables for discussing ideas abound. Predictably, dress code is ultra laid-back.

Mr Guillemot, 55, says video games over the next five years will be transformed beyond recognition thanks to the increasing power of computer processors. Virtual reality machines, such as the increasingly popular and sophisticated head-mounted displays are another factor.
“Games will become much closer to what you experience in everyday life,” he says. “You will really be able to travel in different worlds, and believe that those worlds really exist. Except that in our world, you are limited by what you can do; games will enable you to live the lives of others — and all without suffering the consequences.”
He says that parents do not have to be overly concerned. “Video games are good for kids, as long as they use it as an entertainment device and don’t exaggerate,” he says.
He even argues that video games can teach children leadership skills. “If you are 12 years old, you can lead people of any age. When you are gaming, nobody knows how old you are. They just look at how you perform.”
So how does he intend to defend his company in the event that Vivendi goes for control?
A first step will come on Thursday, when he presents shareholders with a medium-term growth plan. Its biggest institutional investors are Fidelity and BlackRock, with about 10 per cent and 5 per cent respectively, while Mr Guillemot and his brothers own 9 per cent.
There will also be a message with the plan. “The companies that are performing well in the video gaming industry are those that can take quick decisions, and we don’t see companies performing that are part of big groups,” he says.
“If we don’t remain independent, we know that it will slow down our capacity to create beautiful entertainment experiences.”

>>> Bouygues & Orange - Week End Press Digest

BOUYGUES & ORANGE : BOUYGUES announces that its coverage of global 4G users base now reaches 75% (ECHOS)
- FIGARO reported Saturday that
· the 4 parties -ORANGES ,BOUYGUES ,FREE & SFR- have reached a deal valuing BOUYGUES TEL
at €10Bn
. €2Bn for Spectrum & Network
. €4Bn for premium customers business
. €4bn for budget & corporate businesses
· BOUYGUES would accept to receive an initial 10% stake
· the parties keep struggling to agree on the sharing of social & fiscal liabilities and of antitrust risk
- JDD reported yesterday that the parties may announce a deal by tomorrow ,in which
· FREE would acquire Spectrum & Network for €2Bn + 550 stores and part of budget business for
€1.5Bn
· SFR would take over the majority of the Economy business for €2.5bn
- ECHOS adds
· ORANGE would not spend any cash
· decision on the possible stake of BOUYGUES -10% or 12% ?- would be ultimately made by president
HOLLANDE
- according to LE MONDE ,Government seeks to cap this sake to 9%

>>> Vallourec close to agreement for sale of Saint-Saulve steel mill to Ascometa

Vallourec close to agreement for sale of Saint-Saulve steel mill to Ascometal 

Vallourec, the listed French premium tubular solutions producer, is understood to have reached a “rep-agreement” for the sale of its Saint-Saulve steel mill to French industrial group Ascometal, French daily Les Echos reported. The report claimed that the company could announce the sale of a 60% stake in the business as soon as this week. The report cited a labour union representative as saying that he was confident and reassured about the industrial plan, which the employees’ representatives and the regional authorities are favouring.

According to the report, a meeting has been scheduled tomorrow Tuesday 16 February between the parties. While a spokesperson for Vallourec claimed that the negotiations were progressing well, the report cited Frank Supplisson, head of Ascometal, as claiming that there was still an issue about the EUR 20m financing need that needed to be cleared. The report noted that the financial means of Ascometal are “limited” and that the regional authorities could take part in the deal to help with the financing.

According to the report, the Saint-Saulve steel mill has 350 employees and is a modern and very performing production site that attracted the interest of other potential buyers, including a financial investor and two corporate would-be buyers, pf which one European steel group.

The report noted that Vallourec is expected to publicly releases its annual results on 18 February.

The original article appeared in print page 19.


Source Les Echos

>>> Realia shareholder Carlos Slim will increase stake to 33.2% ahead of public

Realia shareholder Carlos Slim will increase stake to 33.2% ahead of public tender after capitalising Sareb loan – reports

Realia Business [BME: RLIA] shareholder Carlos Slim (via his vehicle Inversiones Carso) will increase his stake in the Spanish real estate company to 33.2% prior to the launch of a 100% takeover bid in the form of a public tender for shares he does not already own, Cinco Dias reported.

A similar report also appeared in Expansion.

According to the unsourced Spanish-language reports, Slim will convert into equity a portion of a EUR 50m loan Realia had with Spanish bad bank Sareb that he (Slim) acquired last December.

Slim will swap EUR 29m of the loan for 14.07m shares of Realia, equivalent to 2.96% of the company’s equity, the report said. The operation is due to be closed today (15 February), the Expansion report noted.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of February 2016

>>> Up
*AKZO NOBEL RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT UBS
*AKZO NOBEL RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT BERENBERG (Note Attached)
*BOLIDEN RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*ENDESA RAISED TO HOLD VS REDUCE AT HSBC
*HAYS RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT HSBC
*REC SILICON RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT HSBC
*SAMPO RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT BERENBERG
*SSAB RAISED TO BUY VS ADD AT ALPHAVALUE
*SYNGENTA RAISED TO HOLD VS SELL AT BERENBERG
*TOTAL RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS MARKETPERFORM AT BERNSTEIN
*TOTAL REITERATED TO BUY & CONV. BUY LIST PT €48.5 (Note Attached)
*VALEO RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT HSBC
*VONTOBEL RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS UNDERPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE

>>> Down
*ARKEMA CUT TO HOLD VS BUY AT BERENBERG (Note Attahced)
*ENGIE REINSTATED OUTPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE; WAS RESTRICTED
*MELEXIS CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT UBS

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation
*ABERDEEN ASSET RATED NEW HOLD AT CANTOR, PT 219P
*DNO RATED NEW NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE, PT NOK7.5
*ENGIE REINSTATED OUTPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE; WAS RESTRICTED
*HENDERSON RATED NEW HOLD AT CANTOR, PT 224P
*JUPITER RATED NEW HOLD AT CANTOR, PT 396P
*LIONTRUST RATED NEW BUY AT CANTOR, PT 348P
*POLAR CAPITAL RATED NEW SELL AT CANTOR, PT 299P
*SCHRODERS RATED NEW HOLD AT CANTOR, PT 2575P

>>> Call

>>> What to look at today - 15th of February 2016

US Market Closed today for President Day.
Asian equity markets are generally higher, tracking a sharp rally on Wall st on Friday. Nikkei225 is soaring with about a 7% gain, boosted by weaker Yen, as disappointing Q4 GDP(biggest contraction in a year - both q/q and annualized - at -0.4% and -1.4%) lifted the outlook for more policy easing from the central bank. USD/JPY was up some 80pips heading into Tokyo close, testing ¥114 handle. Shanghai Composite has returned from a week-long break, and after opening down by nearly 3% has since cut that decline in half. Japan PM Abe spoke throughout the session - initially noting the impact of further sales tax hikes on consumers will have to be considered and then adding that the govt is prepared to take appropriate action on forex to address excessive volatility
Stateside, the death of US Supreme Court justice Scalia - one of the most conservative voices in the court - has sparked off a contested exchange between the two parties. Democrat leaders and the White House expect a nomination to take place before the end of Obama's term this year, while Republican leadership calls for the vacancy to be filled when a new President is elected.

Nikkei +7.16% Hang Seng +3.06% Shanghai -0.23%

Eur$1.1226 CNH 6.4940 CNY 6.4968 JPY 113.87 GBP 1.4526 CHF 0.9798 RUB$77.6744 WTI$29.23(-0.70%)

S&P +0.97% EuroStoxx+2.55% Dax+2.41% SMI +2.18%

Macro :
- S&P Target Cut by 200 Points to 2,000 on ‘Greater Risk’: BofAML
- ECB’s Nouy Says Banks Should Review Their Business Models: Agora
- Third Point Says Total Equity Short Exposure Nearly $4.5b
- U.K. Drops Plans for Sugar Tax, Will Pressure Companies: FT
- China Concerned About EU’s Dumping Probe on Its Steel Products
- Germany to Spend EU300m on Electric-Car Charging Stations: Bild

Keep an eye on :
- ABG SM : Waddell & Reed Takes Stake in Abengoa, Expansion Reports
- AGS BB : AGEAS has EUR 3bn available for acquisitions - De Tijd
- AAL LN : Anglo American Took Too Long to Sell Some Assets, CEO Tells FT
- SPR GY : Axel Springer Decides Against Transformation Into KGaA
- BDT GY : Bertrandt 1Q Sales, Operating Profit Rise
- EN FP : Orange-Bouygues Telecom Talks Still Stuck on Valuations: Figaro
- EN FP : Orange-Bouygues Telecom Preliminary Deal Seen on Feb. 16: JDD
- BG/ LN : Egypt Renegotiating Gas Contract With BG as Oil Prices Drop
- CA FP : Carrefour Says French Offices Raided Feb. 9 by Anti-Fraud Body
- CSGN VX : Qataris, Saudis Buying Credit Suisse’s CoCo Bonds, SZ Reports
- CSGN VX : Norwegian Sovereign Fund Bought Credit Suisse Shares This Week
- DELL US : NTT Data Said to Be in Lead to Buy Dell’s Perot Systems: Rtrs
- EDF FP : EDF Won’t Decide on Hinkley Point Investment Next Week: JDD
- EDF FP : EDF May Need EU5B Capital Increase, Le Figaro Says
- ELUXB SS : Electrolux CEO Wants to Grow Co. Organically, Through Deals: DI
- FCX US : S&P cuts rating to junk; cut two notches to BB from BBB-; outlook negative
- FCX US : Freeport to Sell 13% Stake in Morenci JV to Sumitomo for $1b
- GAM SM : Iberdrola Seeks Higher Price for Gamesa Stake: Expansion
- GILD US : FDA Approves Harvoni for Use for Hepatitis C Virus Genotype 1
- GLEN LN : Three Noble Group LNG Traders Said Leave for Glencore: Reuters
- GLEN LN : Glencore Had ‘Pressure’ to Sell Coal Mine to Local Company: FT
- IMG LN : Imagination Technologies the subject of bid chatter this week - FT (+5.24% on Friday)
- ITV LN : ITV Said About to Name Bazalgette as Next Chairman: Sky News
- LHN VX : JSW in Talks to Buy Lafarge, Jaypee Cement Assets: Hindu
- NESN VX : Mondelez Cheese, Grocery Unit Up for Sale Next Month: S. Times
- NOVN VX : Arrowhead Research Holder Novartis Reports 5.57% Stake
- PSX US : Berkshire Hathaway Buys 1.08m Shares of Phillips 66
- REP SM : Repsol to Meet With Standard & Poor’s, Confidencial Reports
- RR/ LN : Rolls-Royce May Change Targets for Executive Pay: Telegraph
- G24 GY : Scout24 4Q Sales Rise 14%; Op. Ebitda Up 15%
- VOD LN : Vodafone, Liberty May Agree on Dutch Tie-Up This Week: Telegraaf
- VOW3 GY : VW’s Winterkorn Notified of U.S. Probe in 2014: Bild am Sonntag
- WMH LN : William Hill Said to Join NYX Gaming for Openbet Bid: Telegraph

Les Echos : Le mariage entre Bouygues Telecom et Orange se précise malgré les ob

Le mariage entre Bouygues Telecom et Orange se précise malgré les obstacles

Après avoir failli capoter, les négociations entrent dans leur dernière ligne droite. La participation de Bouygues dans le futur ensemble fait encore débat.
Le mariage de l’année entre Orange et Bouygues Telecom avance, même s’il a bien failli échouer cette semaine. Selon nos informations, les bans ont presque été rompus à quelques jours de la Saint-Valentin. " Tout a failli voler en éclats, confirme une source proche des négociations. Il y avait de trop nombreux désaccords ". Les parties n'arrivaient pas à s'entendre sur le découpage des actifs de Bouygues Telecom : qui de SFR, Free et Orange récupérerait quoi et surtout à quel prix.
Une réunion au sommet entre Martin Bouygues et Stéphane Richard, le patron d'Orange, a même eu lieu mercredi soir pour trouver une issue aux différents obstacles. Depuis, les choses sont rentrées dans l'ordre. " La dynamique est à nouveau positive. On commence à se rapprocher des grands équilibres ", indique un protagoniste. Les négociations entrent donc dans la dernière ligne droite.
Aucun accord formel
Comme l'indiquait Le Figaro ce samedi, les différentes parties auraient en effet arrêté un schéma de partage des actifs de Bouygues Telecom, condition sine qua none pour que la transaction ne soit pas retoquée par l'Autorité de la concurrence. L'opérateur serait réparti en deux morceaux avec d'un côté le réseau et les fréquences - valorisées autour de 2 milliards d'euros -, qui intéressent Free, et de l'autre les clients - valorisés autour de 8 milliards -, que se partageraient Orange, Free et SFR.
Les discussions seraient encore compliquées pour savoir quelle valeur accorder à ce qui est considéré comme du passif dans la transaction (salariés, boutiques, impôts sur les plus-values de cessions...). " Aucun accord formel n'a été signé par l'un ou l'autre des acteurs ", affirme néanmoins un protagoniste.
Pour certains, le prix de 10 milliards d'euros, qui sert de base à la négociation depuis le début des discussions, reste néanmoins trop élevé. Et notamment pour le principal intéressé, Orange. " Dix milliards sont demandés qui ne correspondent pas à sa valeur ! ", a ainsi lâché, Stéphane Richard, selon nos informations, lors d’un comité d’entreprise mardi chez Orange.
Orange veut racheter Bouygues Telecom sans sortie de cash
Pour faire passer la pilule, celui-ci souhaite évidement signer pour moins cher, mais il prévoit aussi de financer l’opération sans sortie de cash. Orange payerait sa part du «deal» en offrant à Bouygues des actions dans son capital. Et l'autre partie par les chèques de Free, SFR ou d'autres (comme l'opérateur Coriolis, intéressé par la partie entreprises de Bouygues Telecom). " L’un des attraits de l’opération est qu’elle ne nécessite pas un euro de dettes tout en augmentant l’Ebitda ", a ainsi estimé le PDG d’Orange devant les représentants des salariés. «Je ne suis pas excité de voir Martin Bouygues arriver comme actionnaire d’Orange, a-t-il ajouté. Mais c’est quelqu’un de constant, et c’est un industriel fidèle à ses valeurs. Je le préfère à l’autre B». Comprendre : Vincent Bolloré, président du conseil de surveillance de Vivendi, à qui l’on prête des vues sur Orange. Stephane Richard a surtout à cœur de montrer qu'il ne défend pas un tel ou un autre, mais les intérêts d'Orange avant tout.
L’Etat a ses exigences
L'un des points de blocage dans l'affaire pourrait aussi être l'Etat. «Des doutes subsistent sur le sens industriel et le gain patrimonial que peut faire l’Etat dans cette affaires», relève un protagoniste. Premier actionnaire d'Orange (via Bpifrance et l'Agence des participations de l'Etat) avec 23 % du capital, l’Etat met un point d'honneur à ne pas descendre en-dessous de 21%.
Alors qu’Orange et Bouygues pensaient pouvoir trouver un «point d’atterrissage» à 12% pour la participation du groupe de BTP, pour certains représentants de l'Etat il ne serait pas question de monter au-dessus de 10 %. Sur ce dossier, c’est toutefois François Hollande qui le dernier mot. Et c’est surtout sur l’emploi et la préservation d’une forte capacité d’investissement des télécoms dans le futur, qu’il se focaliserait aujourd’hui.
Une chose est sûre : les choses doivent maintenant avancer, et vite. La situation devient difficile à supporter pour les salariés. Tous les protagonistes sont d'accord, si rien n'est signé dans les trois prochaines semaines, le mariage sera annulé.