Reuters - White House to make decision on 9/11 report by June: Bob Graham

White House to make decision on 9/11 report by June: Bob Graham

The White House will likely make a decision by June on whether it will release some classified material withheld from the public 9/11 Commission Report, a former U.S. senator who co-chaired the congressional inquiry into the attacks said on Sunday.

The withheld section of the official report on the 2001 attacks is central to a dispute over whether Americans should be able to sue the Saudi Arabian government for damages. The Office of the U.S. Director of National Intelligence is reviewing the material to see whether it can be declassified.

Former Sen. Bob Graham, a Florida Democrat, has been pressing for the release of the information and said that it may shed light on the financial backers for 19 hijackers who killed nearly 3,000 people on Sept 11, 2001.

Graham told NBC's Meet the Press that he believed that some of the withheld classified material could soon be released.

"The president’s staff at least has said that they will make a decision by June, and I hope that decision is to honor the American people and make it available," Graham said.

Representative Adam Schiff, the top Democrat on the House of Representatives Intelligence Committee, said last week that he also supported releasing the material.

"The release of these pages will not end debate over the issue, but it will quiet rumors over their contents," Representative Adam Schiff said in a statement. "As is often the case, the reality is less damaging than the uncertainty."

WSJ : The Rise and Deadly Fall of Islamic State’sOil Tycoon


The Rise and Deadly Fall of Islamic State’s Oil Tycoon

A document trove tells how Abu Sayyaf ran the terror group’s operations; approving expenses for slaves, dodging U.S. airstrikes

Makeshift refineries sprang up in Syria’s Deir Ezzour province, where rebels seized state-run oil facilities early in the five-year civil war. Islamic State fighters later took control of the energy trade there.
Makeshift refineries sprang up in Syria’s Deir Ezzour province, where rebels seized state-run oil facilities early in the five-year civil war. Islamic State fighters later took control of the energy trade there. PHOTO: ANDREE KAISER/TNS/ZUMA PRESS

Islamic State oil man Abu Sayyaf was riding high a year ago. With little industry experience, he had built a network of traders and wholesalers of Syrian oil that at one point helped triple energy revenues for his terrorist bosses.

His days carried challenges familiar to all oil executives—increasing production, improving client relations and dodging directives from headquarters. He also had duties unique to the extremist group, including approving expenses to cover the upkeep of slaves, rebuilding oil facilities damaged by U.S. airstrikes and counting towers of cash.

Last May, U.S. Special Forces killed Abu Sayyaf, a nom de guerre, at his compound in Syria’s Deir Ezzour province. The raid also captured a trove of proprietary data that explains how Islamic State became the world’s wealthiest terror group.

Documents reviewed by The Wall Street Journal describe the terror group’s construction of a multinational oil operation with help from officious terror-group executives obsessed with maximizing profits. They show how the organization deals with the Syrian regime, handles corruption allegations among top officials, and, most critically, how international coalition strikes have dented but not destroyed Islamic State’s income.

Defense Secretary Ash Carter called the May 16, 2015, raid a “significant blow” against Islamic State and heralded the death of Abu Sayyaf, the terror group’s No. 2 oil executive.

In the 11 months since, U.S. and allied forces have launched hundreds more strikes against terrorist-controlled oil facilities and killed dozens of militants working in Islamic State’s oil and finance business. U.S. officials estimate that at least 30% of the group’s oil infrastructure has been destroyed, and taxes have replaced oil as the group’s largest profit center.

Daily oil sales in Syria and Iraq, though fallen, still total nearly $1 million. Two former Islamic State oil managers said the corporate structures created by Abu Sayyaf remained intact, including deals with businessmen linked to the Syrian regime.

Spreadsheets and Excel files show that Abu Sayyaf’s division contributed 72% of the $289.5 million in total Islamic State natural-resource revenues over the six months that ended in late February 2015.

The documents reviewed by the Journal represent only a portion of the files recovered in last year’s raid, which U.S. officials said has been useful for intelligence and military operations. This account of how Abu Sayyaf built and operated his division of Islamic State’s oil business is based on the documents and interviews with five people familiar with him and his Syrian operation.

Turning to terror

Abu Sayyaf was born in a working-class neighborhood of the Tunisian capital Tunis in the early 1980s and named Fathi Ben Awn al-Murad al Tunisi. How he became an extremist is unclear. He left for Iraq after dictator Saddam Hussein was toppled in 2003 by U.S. forces and joined the jihadist group then known as al Qaeda in Iraq. Its goal was to repel U.S. troops and fight the Shiite-led government that took over Iraq.

Islamic State oil man Abu Sayyaf, shown in an undated photograph seized in a U.S. military raid in Syria, counts cash. He was the terror group's No. 2 oil executive in Syria, where he built a profitable network of traders and wholesalers who bought stolen crude. A receipt, right, for a trader buying oil at the al-Milh oilfield in the country's east.

In 2010, Abu Sayyaf married an Iraqi woman from a family also involved in the anti-American jihad. He took the name Abu Sayyaf al-Iraqi—literally, father of the sword bearer—reflecting his close ties with the jihad movement in Iraq and the nucleus of Iraq’s Sunni militants that included Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, founder of Islamic State.

Islamic State had seized many of Syria’s best-producing oil fields and created its oil ministry known as the Diwan of Natural Resources by the time Mr. Baghdadi declared his so-called caliphate in June 2014. Their lightning advance overwhelmed other rebel groups that shared control of Syrian oil territory. The terror group had crushed the Iraqi army to take oil fields and territory around Mosul, Iraq’s second-largest city.

The head of the oil ministry, an Iraqi known as Haji Hamid, put Abu Sayyaf in charge of Syria’s best oil-producing provinces, Deir Ezzour and al Hakasah. Abu Sayyaf’s 152 employees included managers from oil-producing Arab-speaking countries who had joined the extremist group: a Saudi, who managed the top-producing fields; an Iraqi, who ran oil-field maintenance; an Algerian responsible for refinery development; and a Tunisian, who was in charge of refinery operations.

Abu Sayyaf set up his headquarters at the giant al-Omar field in Deir Ezzour, which was previously run by Anglo-Dutch major Royal Dutch Shell PLC.

Islamic State moved swiftly to expand sales to friendly Iraqi and Syrian traders. It began accepting dollars instead of the Syrian pound, making it easier for the terror group to transfer funds abroad and pay for imported goods through its international network of money changers.

Syria’s state-controlled system of marketing oil to international buyers through pipelines and oil tankers was replaced by a cottage industry of small smugglers who bought oil at the fields and ferried it away by truck.

Islamic State's Syrian Oil Operations

Abu Sayyaf was in charge of Syria’s best oil-producing provinces, Deir Ezzour and al Hakasah, where the terrorist oil man built a profitable network of oil traders and wholesalers.

Active conflicts

Islamic State control

Islamic State operates freely

Major oil fields

TURKEY

al Hakasah

IRAN

Raqqa

SYRIA

Deir Ezzour

al Omar

al Tanak

IRAQ

Homs

Palmyra

LEB.

Damascus

50 miles

50 km

Source: Institute for the Study of War (areas of control)

Islamic State retained many Syrian oil-industry veterans, in part by paying high salaries. Two workers at Abu Sayyaf’s operations said in interviews that experienced people were paid handsomely—from $160 a month for an accountant to $400 for a drilling technician, compared with Syria’s average monthly wage of $50. Islamic State’s treasury, known as Beit al-Mal, based pay on the number of dependents and slaves a worker had.

Everyone was afraid of Islamic State, said Ibrahim, a 36-year-old former oil worker. “Local tribes used to fight over the fields,” he said, but now all submit to the terror group.

Islamic State oil managers demanded cash payments from traders buying their crude, with security supervisors deciding who was trustworthy enough to count the money. They were warned against transferring funds via banks for fear Western intelligence agents would intercept the financial information.

Abu Sayyaf created a regimented, compartmentalized work environment unusual for the region. Syrian workers had long relied on social and family contacts to retain plum positions. Under Islamic State rule, foreigners supervised their work. Such tasks as accounting were assigned to two Islamic State operatives from outside the region to discourage embezzlement.

The responsibilities of Abu Sayyaf extended beyond oil. In September 2014, he was given custody of Kayla Mueller, a kidnapped American aid worker. Ms. Mueller, who had been sexually abused by Mr. Baghdadi after being taken hostage in 2013, was killed about five months later, U.S. officials said.

Abu Sayyaf was a strict and unpopular manager, said Ibrahim, who had worked in oil fields under his supervision. Employees were threatened with transfers to Iraq, he said, where they feared oil bosses who were even more extreme.

The areas around the fields became scenes of occasional horror, said the drilling technician who fled Syria last year: “You go to work and you find someone beheaded.”

Under fire

At a Sept. 19, 2014, meeting, the United Nations Security Council called for a crackdown on Islamic State’s oil business. Five days later, U.S. jets started bombing the group’s makeshift refineries in Syria.

By mid-October, the U.S.-led coalition reported hundreds of strikes a day against Islamic State, which was increasing its grip on Iraq’s Anbar Province and battling for the Syria-Turkey border city of Kobani.

Some allied strikes targeted Abu Sayyaf’s wells. On Oct. 13, the Pentagon reported hitting oil collection points in Deir Ezzour. He ordered repair crews into action. Memos dated on Oct. 17 from his Saudi deputy provided details of an estimated $500,000 in damage at several oil facilities.

His Saudi subordinate, Abu Sarah al-Zahrani, promised that teams would have the wells up and running within four to 14 days. Workers had to fortify derricks and fix broken valves and pipes. In follow-up memos, Mr. Zahrani provided photos of the repairs, including jury-rigged pumps and hoses.

ENLARGE

The allied bombardments forced attention on security. Islamic State bureaucrats in the Syrian city of Raqqa, its administrative headquarters, ordered militants to stop using communication devices equipped with GPS trackers.

Abu Sayyaf’s work brought tangible results. For the Islamic State monthly budget running from Oct. 25 to Nov. 23, 2014, his division reported $40.7 million in revenue, a 59% increase over the previous month. Monthly totals topped $40 million for each of the next two reporting months.

Internal affairs

By the end of 2014, Abu Sayyaf was facing pressure from inside Islamic State, which was struggling to build a promised religious utopia. People in Islamic State-controlled territory complained about high fuel prices, and Abu Sayyaf was ordered to keep a lid on prices and boost margins on oil sales, the terror group’s largest income source at the time.

In one memo, Islamic State’s General Governance Committee demanded a 10% cap on profits by fuel traders. Another memo from central command demanded that Islamic State’s oil ministry work with the local governor to set oil prices in al Hasakah, a district under Abu Sayyaf’s control.

Oil sellers, in turn, launched their own revolt. Angry over moves to slice profit margins, they alleged that Islamic State officials, including Abu Sayyaf, overcharged them and embezzled the money.

Abu Sayyaf set different prices for crude from different fields, depending on quality. For example, the average price a barrel in November 2014 at the al-Tanak field in Deir Ezzour ranged from $32 to $41, according to a spreadsheet seized by U.S. forces. Prices at the al-Omar and al-Milh fields, meanwhile, ranged from $50 to $70 a barrel around that time.

Oil buyers believed Islamic State gave some traders preferential treatment. The complaints reached Abu Sayyaf’s boss. A memo dated Dec. 22, 2014, from Islamic State’s oil ministry admonished employees in the field to maintain fair trade rules, including not allowing favored traders to cut in line at the oil fields.

Video recordings recovered from the raid appear to be part of an investigation of Abu Sayyaf at the time. Videos show interviews with oil tanker drivers at the al-Omar and al-Milh fields, and Islamic State officials talking about procedures for pricing and purchasing oil.

One of the videos, recorded in January 2015, shows two lines of approximately 500 trucks waiting to purchase crude at the al-Omar field. A second video shows a high-ranking Islamic State official, identified as Abu Ubaydah, talking with truck drivers, traders and Islamic State officials there.

Drivers in the video complained that local Islamic State managers ran a two-tier pricing system: Drivers willing to pay higher prices—between $60 to $70 a barrel—moved to a priority loading lane, with little or no waiting. The $50-a-barrel line had a long wait.

Islamic State at the time was undercutting international oil prices, which were still about $80 a barrel. The loaded trucks left oil fields bound for either local makeshift refineries, buyers in Syrian government-held territory or the extremist-held city of Mosul in Iraq, according to Islamic State workers in the area. Discounted prices at Islamic State fields left room for sizable profits.

The U.S. and its allies in the fall of 2014 began airstrikes on Islamic State-controlled oil facilities in eastern Syria, including this oil refinery and gas station in the province of Raqqa.
The U.S. and its allies in the fall of 2014 began airstrikes on Islamic State-controlled oil facilities in eastern Syria, including this oil refinery and gas station in the province of Raqqa. PHOTO: REUTERS

In the recording, Mr. Ubaydah told the drivers there was no corruption scheme and that Islamic State wasn’t driving up prices. He blamed the secondary fuel market in Syria where traders resold their loads. “We provided very low prices, but you all increased your prices at the auction, [so] we increased our prices, too,” he told the drivers on the video.

“We are the people,” one trucker said, “but you are ISIL.”

“It’s true that we are ISIL, but you are the one who are raising your prices against all Muslims,” Mr. Ubaydah said.

A report from Islamic State’s General Governance Committee dated Feb. 24, 2015, concluded there was no corruption and cleared Abu Sayyaf.

He didn’t have time to savor the victory. Global oil prices were falling. For the month ending on Feb. 20, 2015, his oil division revenues fell 24% from the previous month to $33 million.

Abu Sayyaf and his team focused on a new mission: finding investment capital to open operations at wells left inactive because of a labor shortage.

Memo No. 156 dated Feb. 11, 2015, from Islamic State’s treasury to Abu Sayyaf’s boss requested guidance on establishing investment relationships with businessmen linked to the regime of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. The document said the terror group already had agreements allowing trucks and pipeline transit from regime-controlled fields through Islamic State-controlled territory.

In the early hours of May 16, U.S. Special Forces flew from a military base in Iraq to al-Omar. U.S. forces killed several armed Islamic State guards outside his compound, U.S. officials said, and then fatally shot the Tunisian.

“The operation represents another significant blow to ISIL, and it is a reminder that the United States will never waver in denying safe haven to terrorists who threaten our citizens, and those of our friends and allies,” Defense Secretary Carter said that day.

In September 2015, the U.S. Treasury placed Abu Sayyaf’s boss, Haji Hamid, on a terror-sanctions list, and, four months later, Abu Sayyaf’s Saudi deputy.

This spring, Islamic State oil wells pump at reduced capacity. In March, a baby-faced French jihadist called Abu Mohammad al-Fransi took over some of Abu Sayyaf’s duties as a senior accountant of Syrian oil fields.

>>> What to look at this Week End - 23rd & 24th of April 2016

Weekly Update
Dow +0.59% S&P+0.52% Nasdaq-0.65% Russell+1.39% Nikkei+4.30% Hang Seng+0.71% Shanghai-3.86% EuroStoxx+2.84% CAC+1.66% Dax+3.20% Ibex+4.31% MIB+2.35% SMI+1.18% FTSE-0.53%
The S&P500 pushed out to four-month highs intraday on Wednesday, putting them within points of all-time highs. Crude prices did not plummet after the OPEC/non-OPEC production freeze talks disappointed in Doha, helping to hold up broader indices. Interest rates in Europe and the US have quietly backed up to their highest levels in almost a month suggesting money is finding its way out of sovereign bond markets and buoying equity valuations as well. Friday saw a soft April US Markit PMI manufacturing reading weigh on sentiment, and along with renewed skittishness about global central bank policies and a round of particularly weak US earnings reports took things lower. For the week, the DJIA gained 0.6%, the S&P500 added 0.5%, while the Nasdaq fell 0.6%.

Macro :
- Schaeuble Sees No Greece Debt Relief as Long as Debt Sustainable
- Germany Warns TTIP Talks With U.S. ‘Difficult’: Handelsblatt
- China's Ministry of Environmental Protection looks to release details of stricter vehicle emissions standards by year end - Nikkei 
- KKR to Invest in Publicly Traded Japanese Companies: Nikkei

Keep an eye on :
- A2A IM : A2A bid to take over ACSM-AGAM runs into trouble - Il Sole 24 Ore
- ABBN VX : ABB CEO says Power Grids division evaluation proceeding to plan, no comment on potential buyers
- AC FP : Brussels Hotel Revenue Halved After Attacks, Le Soir Says
- AF FP : Emirates’ Antinori Says Declines Air France-KLM CEO Position
- BARC LN : Carlyle Backs Diamond’s Bid for Barclays’ Africa Business: Sky
- BPI PL : Angola Has Option of Removing BPI Voting Rights in BFA: Expresso
- BA US : FAA Orders ‘Urgent’ 787 Repair After Engine Fails at 20,000 Feet
- CP US : Pershing Square Sells 4.1m Canadian Pacific Shares at $148.25
- CU FP : Club Med Opens Sanya Resort as Fosun Expands Operations
- EDF FP : EDF to Sell $4.5 Billion of Shares to Bolster Balance Sheet
- EDF FP : Macron Says Hinkley Point May Be Confirmed in Sept.: JDD
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank Said to Bid for NAMA Properties: Irish Times
- EDN IM : Edison SpA Seeks Italian Partner, CEO Tells Corriere della Sera
- ERA FP : French Govt, Eramet in Talks to Bail Out SLN, JDD Says
- FOY FH : Finland Plans to Cut Stake in Finnair to Under 50%, HS Reports
- GPRO US : GoPro’s Woodman, Formerly Best Paid CEO, Got $805,217 in ’15
- HOF LN : Yuan Yafei May Sell House of Fraser, Sunday Times Reports
- NOVN VX : Novartis Wants to Sell Voting Stake in Roche: SonntagsZeitung
- NUM FP : Drahi to Sell Media Business, NextRadioTV Stake to SFR, JDD Says
- ROG VX : Novartis Wants to Sell Voting Stake in Roche: SonntagsZeitung
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia may swap 25% stake in Sparkle for CdP stake in Metroweb - La Repubblica
- VOW3 GY : VW's Diesel Crisis Is Now a Global Threat: Edward Niedermeyer
- VOW3 GY : VW Brand Head ‘Very Satisfied’ With Brand Efficiency Plan
- YHOO US : Received over 10 bids in first round this week and plans to narrow down the second round bidders as soon as next week - press - plans to review the bids for its core internet assets that ranged from $4-8B this weekend and invite a smaller group of second round bidders in the coming days.
- ZOE US : Pershing Won’t Seek Reappointment of Doyle to Zoetis Board

FT : Italy’s ‘good banks’ spark interest

Italy’s ‘good banks’ spark interest

The sale of Italy’s four near-insolvent “good banks” bailed out in a government rescue last year has received 26 expressions of interest from mostly foreign buyers in the latest sign of investor appetite for the country’s troubled banking sector.
The deal comes during heightened focus on the Italian financial system after the government of Matteo Renzi this month orchestrated the creation of a privately-backed €4bn to €6bn fund intended to support weak lenders and promote sales of a vast backlog of bad loans.

The sale includes the assets of four regional banks: Banca Marche, Carife, Banca Etruria and CariChieti, the rescue of which in November was one of the Renzi government’s first attempts to clean up a sector whose bad loans are weighing on Italy’s economic recovery.
Roberto Nicastro, the former UniCredit executive who is chairman of the newly created “good banks” company that holds the four banks, said in an interview that interest for the assets came from “mostly foreign, banks, private equity and insurance”.
Private equity made up the largest number of interested parties and Mr Nicastro said he had checked that the government was prepared to accept what would be the first private equity takeover of an Italian bank as a precondition to him taking on the job of selling the bailed-out lenders.
“It is an option to sell at book value but the best price will win. I am supposed to sell it. I have to maximise the price but there is no reserve price,” Mr Nicastro added.
Mr Nicastro hopes to close the sale by the end of the summer, after being given a tight timeline by EU regulators to sell banks that have combined total assets of €25bn, equal to Italy’s 10th largest bank.
An information memorandum will be sent to 26 prospective investors in the coming days.
Mr Nicastro said the banks’ number of total clients today was in line with levels before the €3.6bn rescue, a deal that forced shareholders and junior bondholders to incur losses.
While small in terms of assets, the bailout of the four banks has had serious ramifications for the valuations of other Italian banks, after the EU agreed a price of 18 cents a euro for their portfolio of bad loans in November.
The price was far lower than the 40 cents in the euro price at which most Italian lenders have bad loans written in their books, triggering a sell off across the banking sector.
This month the Renzi government announced the so-called Atlas fund which will buy junior notes in tranched securitisations of bad loans in an effort to raise their market value.
Italian banks have provided €200bn of loans to borrowers now deemed insolvent, of which €85bn has not been written down on balance sheets. A broader measure of non-performing debt, which includes loans unlikely to be repaid in full, stands at €360bn, according to the Bank of Italy.

FT : Rolls-Royce deal with German workers raises fears in UK

Rolls-Royce deal with German workers raises fears in UK

Rolls-Royce has struck a deal with German employees not to impose compulsory redundancies before 2020 in return for concessions on working hours in a deal that could raise concerns over the future of its UK workforce.
The four-year agreement with employees of the former Tognum power systems division — headquartered in Friedrichshafen, Germany — comes as the aero and diesel engine maker prepares to announce management job cuts in early June.
At least 200 jobs are expected to go globally in the final stage of a programme to cut roughly 20 per cent of the 2,000 most senior management roles. However, one person close to the situation suggested the final number could be significantly higher.
These moves follow almost two years of rationalisation and restructuring as the Rolls-Royce battles to recover from five profit warnings since 2014.
Warren East, the chief executive appointed last July, has said he wants to simplify the business and reduce bureaucracy. While acknowledging that Rolls-Royce has to shift some production of components to lower-cost countries, he has insisted the group will continue to invest in the UK.
However, the promise to German unions has surprised MPs, who last month met with Mr East to voice their concerns about the restructuring.
Pauline Latham, Labour MP for mid-Derbyshire, which is home to Rolls-Royce’s biggest factory, said: “I don’t want to see redundancies [in the UK] because it will have a big impact not just on Derby, but on the whole supply chain,” she said.
Tony Tinley, regional officer for Unite union, said UK workers’ concerns had not been alleviated by the lack of shop floor redundancies so far.
“It has not actually removed the threat and that has been the problem in the UK for a long time,” he said. “It is interesting that when there is a legislative framework around employment as in Germany the company is more prepared to engage. We are open to negotiations because one of the main concerns of our members is security of long-term employment.”

Rolls-Royce’s acquisition of Tognum for about £3bn has been regarded with suspicion by many analysts and investors. Difficulties in power systems and marine were blamed for the group’s second profit warning. Some investors have called on Rolls-Royce to leave the business and focus on aero-engines, which account for more than two-thirds of profits.
Under the terms of the deal, new flexible working conditions will help reduce costs — by as much as €10m a year according to the company. Rolls-Royce has also promised to reduce the proportion of contract workers at the German business from 8 per cent to 5 per cent by 2019. Up to 550 jobs are expected to go through voluntary redundancies.
Rolls-Royce rejected suggestions that German employees were getting favourable treatment as a result of stricter labour laws in Germany. “In exchange, [German] employees have agreed to changes in working practices and further steps including voluntary severance, increasing or reducing hours according to workload, and flexible working — including paid and unpaid leave,” a spokesman said.

FT : Clouds descend on cocos as banks air concern

Clouds descend on cocos as banks air concern

When bank equity and hybrid debt markets went into a tailspin in February, HSBC was contacted by one of its regulators and asked to issue so-called coco bonds to help restore investor confidence in the instruments.
Put off by the prohibitively high price of issuing the hybrid securities in such volatile conditions, HSBC politely declined. But the move underlines the alarm among regulators about events in the market earlier this year.

Since then, top executives at several of Europe’s biggest banks have complained to supervisors about the byzantine rules around contingent convertible bonds, popularly known as “cocos”, which are a key pillar of the regime introduced to strengthen bank balance sheets after the financial crisis.
Cocos, of which the latest version are called additional tier 1 (AT1) bonds, force losses on investors when a bank’s capital falls below a “trigger” level through conversion into equity or a writedown.
Designed to restore the capital of a bank in a crisis, they are part of a broader push to transfer the cost of rescuing a failing lender from taxpayers to investors.
Some academics say cocos are an uncomfortable halfway house, proving to be more volatile than bonds but lacking the full loss-absorbing qualities of equity.
“Banks are very resistant to having more common equity capital — so they are attracted by AT1s — but ultimately equity is the best way to reduce the risk profile of a bank,” says Harald Benink, professor of banking and finance at Tilburg University in the Netherlands.
The sell-off in coco markets in February was partly triggered by investor fears that Deutsche Bank could be blocked from paying coupons to investors in its cocos because it made a multibillion-euro loss last year.
This stems from a German legal requirement for companies to calculate how much they can distribute to investors by working out their “available distributable items” — a complex formula based on a company’s earnings.
Deutsche insisted the fears were unfounded and launched a buyback of its own senior debt to prove it had more than enough resources to keep paying the coupons.
But there remain a number of concerns about the instruments. Firstly, there is widespread uncertainty over the circumstances in which a bank could be forced to suspend coupon payments.

The European Commission recently drew up proposals to clarify the “maximum distributable amount” rules that also govern when a bank can pay coco coupons. It looks likely to switch to the UK model, giving regulators more flexibility.
Secondly, as the volatility in February showed, cocos can add to investor anxiety around banks rather than making them seem more solid.
“If a bank misses a coupon payment, of course all hell would break loose,” warns Sam Theodore, director of financial institutions at Scope Ratings.
Finally, there is scepticism in many quarters that cocos will actually do what they are supposed to in a crisis. Most cocos are meant to convert into equity or be written down if a bank’s capital falls below a certain level — between 5.125 per cent and 7 per cent.
In reality, most big banks are required to have capital ratios above 10 per cent, so regulators are likely to take action long before the trigger level for cocos is reached.
“The trigger, frankly, at this stage is kind of a joke,” says Mr Theodore. “Even at 7 per cent, banks are way, way above it.”
Some bankers say cocos’ role in boosting capital on a going concern basis has been superseded by new rules requiring banks to hold a new type of debt called “total loss-absorbing capacity” that can be bailed in on a “gone concern” basis when a failed institution is put into resolution.
During February’s sell-off, the market for selling new AT1 bonds shut down entirely. Since then, prices have stabilised and there have been a handful of new sales.
Under European rules, most large banks aim to raise a proportion of their total capital from AT1s by 2019 equivalent to 1.5 per cent of their risk-weighted assets.
Now that some bank executives, supervisors and investors are having second thoughts about cocos — and prices have dropped — it could make it harder for lenders to reach this target.
“Fundamentally, we think they should be giving near equity-like returns,” says Howard Cunningham, an investor at Newton Investment Management. “We will buy them with high single-digit yields but we don’t like them at mid single-digit yields.”
Some bankers say Europe could follow the US model, where no banks have issued cocos, partly because they do not have the same tax advantages.
As the debate intensifies, participants in the relatively young market are watching closely.
“It’s a very new market, people are having difficulties,” says Mr Theodore. “They say is it equity, is it debt, how do I price it? It’s not an easy market to understand.”

FT : ECB is having second thoughts on ‘coco’ bonds

ECB is having second thoughts on ‘coco’ bonds

The European Central Bank is having second thoughts about the hybrid securities known as ‘cocos’ that are designed to bolster the capital of banks but caused panic among investors this year.
The shift in sentiment at the eurozone’s main financial supervisor against the relatively nascent market for contingent convertible bonds, known as cocos, comes as some of Europe’s biggest lenders, such as Deutsche Bank, are also turning against them.

The ECB’s Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM) could find itself at odds with other supervisors, such as the Bank of England and Switzerland’s Finma, which continue to support banks issuing the instruments.
Recent discussions between the ECB and Deutsche resulted in the German bank scrapping its earlier plans to issue more cocos, said people familiar with the matter.
Cocos are a key pillar in the regulatory regime drawn up to strengthen banks’ capital levels and prevent taxpayer bailouts after the financial crisis. But while they are supposed to increase financial stability, concerns about them helped whip up market volatility in February.
Senior executives at several large banks have told officials at the SSM that the rules for cocos are too complicated and they could undermine a bank’s financial position rather than strengthen it in a crisis.
The European Commission has drawn up proposals to clarify the rules for cocos and Danièle Nouy, chair of the ECB’s supervisory board, last month called for a change in the law to resolve uncertainty around the instruments.
The latest form of cocos — known as additional tier 1 (AT1) bonds — force losses on investors when a bank’s capital falls below a certain trigger level through conversion into equity or a writedown.
Iain Mackay, finance director at HSBC, which rebuffed a regulator’s request to issue cocos during the turmoil of February, said the fact that the UK watchdog has banned banks from selling cocos to retail investors “tells you everything you need to know” about the complexity of the products.
The European AT1 market was first launched in 2013 and now stands at €93bn. It is projected to reach more than €200bn by the end of the decade, according to JPMorgan.

During February’s sell-off, the market for selling new cocos shut down entirely. Since then, there have been a handful of new sales, most recently from BBVA in Spain and Rabobank in the Netherlands this month.
Deutsche was at the centre of the market volatility in February when investors grew concerned about the potential for it to stop paying coupons on its AT1s because of a multibillion-euro loss in 2015.
Germany’s biggest bank has sold about €5bn of AT1s and said last year that it could issue another €3bn-€4bn. But John Cryan, its new co-chief executive, has scrapped that plan and said recently he dislikes the instruments, calling them a “bad product”.
To meet European rules, most large banks plan to raise a sizeable chunk of their total capital from AT1s by 2019. But Deutsche thinks it can hit its capital targets without AT1s and has told investors it plans to buy them back once it can in a few years time.

>>> China's Ministry of Environmental Protection looks to release details of str

China's Ministry of Environmental Protection looks to release details of stricter vehicle emissions standards by year end - Nikkei 
China's National VI emissions standard will cover major cities beginning next year and it is equivalent to the Euro 6 standard, the world's strictest emissions controls, introduced across Europe last year. The standard looks to cut vehicle emissions by an average of 50% a year and Chinese and foreign automakers will be required to introduce the latest clean-driving technologies to comply.

WSJ : French Government to Lead $4.49 Billion Capital Increase for Power Utility

French Government to Lead $4.49 Billion Capital Increase for Power Utility EDF

Cash injection to help state-controlled company finance projects deemed political priorities

PARIS—The French government will lead a €4 billion ($4.49 billion) capital increase for state-controlled power utility Electricité de France SA, injecting cash the debt-laden firm needs to embark expensive new projects deemed political priorities.

EDF’s board said late Friday that it had approved the capital increase through a “market operation” before the end of the year, adding that it would keep giving shareholders the option of taking their dividends in shares rather than cash as it did this year.

The French government, which owns 85% of the firm, said Friday that it would inject €3 billion as part of the share sale, slightly diluting its stake, following through on commitments made last month. In addition, EDF said it plans to sell some €10 billion in assets by 2020.

The cash injection and asset sales will help the French utility company address investor concerns that it can’t shoulder its €37.4 billion in net debt while grappling with slumping energy prices. Investors have worried that EDF won’t be able to plow capital into projects like the purchase of a majority stake in beleaguered state-owned nuclear reactor maker Areva NP.

In February, EDF had its credit rating put on review for a downgrade by Moody’s Investors Service.

Chief Financial Officer Thomas Piquemal quit last month over concerns that an £18 billion ($25.94 billion) plan to build the Hinkley Point nuclear plant in southern England would dangerously stretch the company’s finances.

In response, Chief Executive Jean-Bernard Levy said the government would have to inject cash before EDF could commit to moving forward with the Hinkley point plan.

The Hinkley Point project is the centerpiece of a series of business deals between the U.K. and China announced last year, with China General Nuclear Power Corp. agreeing to take a 33.5% stake in it.

Areva is meanwhile a core of the French nuclear industry, though it has lost billions over the past few years on risky investments and on cost overruns on the construction of two reactors in France and Finland.

WSJ : Big Pharma Gets Solace From Europe

Big Pharma Gets Solace From Europe

Novartis says a value-for-money heart-failure drug is getting a better reception there than in the U.S.

Are the transatlantic tables turning in pharma?

Switzerland’s Novartis said this past week that it was seeing faster uptake of heart-failure drug Entresto in Europe than in the U.S. The potential blockbuster has struggled: It sold just $17 million in the first quarter, with Novartis guiding to $200 million for the year, well below forecasts.

With heightened focus on the burden of high U.S. drug prices, Novartis said it got a better reception in Europe’s single-payer system than in the U.S. for its value-for-money pitch for Entresto, which helps to reduce hospitalizations. That would be a real turnaround. For years, pharma companies have benefited from high prices for innovative drugs in the U.S., while struggling in Europe.

The shift may be less dramatic than it seems. Novartis later conceded that Entresto is priced at €5.50 ($6.17) a pill in Europe, about half the list price in the U.S. Of course, no one pays the list price. But Novartis also suggested that its pricing of the drug, which got a nod of approval from the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review, meant more limited discounts on offer to payers than seen elsewhere.

Ultimately, it isn’t quite clear why Entresto has had such a slow start. One barrier has been requirements for doctors to seek prior authorization before prescribing the drug. But Novartis also said that it was seeing no “real sense of urgency” among prescribers, despite the drug’s seemingly impressive data.

As long as U.S. doctors are cautious, investors should be, too.