WSJ : Heather Capital Manager Behind Advalorem’s Alleged Deceit, Regulator Concl

Heather Capital Manager Behind Advalorem’s Alleged Deceit, Regulator Concludes

Gibraltar’s financial regulator says Advalorem, which bought land from Scottish lawyer Gregory King, was run to the detriment of investors

Secretive offshore companies helped Gregory King, manager of a failed hedge fund, quietly return to investing four years ago.

Mr. King was a lawyer and a Glasgow car dealer before becoming a hedge- fund manager in Gibraltar, a British territory on the southern tip of Spain. But his $600 million property-lending fund, Heather Capital, crashed in 2010. Mr. King and three other men were investigated by Scottish police for suspected fraud, the police have said. Scotland’s prosecutor says it is now considering action, and Heather Capital is being liquidated in the Isle of Man.

So investigators at Gibraltar’s financial regulator were surprised when they found Mr. King, living nearby in Spain, at the heart of a second alleged investment fraud in 2013. Advalorem Value Asset Fund used money from investors to buy land Mr. King owned anonymously through several Gibraltar companies at inflated prices, according to the Gibraltar Financial Services Commission.

Mr. King, through a lawyer, said he strongly denies any wrongdoing in relation to Advalorem or Heather. Advalorem is now being liquidated. A lawyer for Mr. King previously said Mr. King “acted fully in good faith” during his involvement with Heather.

The issue of companies’ beneficial ownership has jumped to the forefront of government agendas this month after a trove of documents were allegedly leaked from Panamanian law firm Mossack Fonseca & Co. There is no indication that Mr. King was a client of the law firm.

An outpost of the former British Empire, Gibraltar is a popular place to incorporate offshore companies and trusts because of its 300-year ties to the U.K., low taxes and European Union membership. The listed owner of such companies, in Gibraltar and other places, is often a hired professional or an overseas company.

Last week, Gibraltar said it would start automatically sharing information on the real owners of companies with other national authorities, as part of a European effort to curb money laundering, tax evasion and other illicit activities. The moves were taken in the wake of the Panama Papers leak.

In the summer of 2012—two years after Heather Capital’s collapse—Advalorem was set up in Gibraltar to invest in land and housing development. A marketing brochure reviewed by The Wall Street Journal listed a British Virgin Islands company as Advalorem’s investment manager and projected 10% annual returns.

Two people with business and social ties to Mr. King were signed on to select land purchases and to raise money from investors, according to a confidential report by the Gibraltar Financial Services Commission, also known as the FSC. One person previously worked with Mr. King. The other had dealings with Advalorem and knew Mr. King, according to the FSC.

Within months, Advalorem had raised £7.8 million toward the ultimate goal of collecting £300 million, according to the report, which was reviewed by The Journal.

As investor money poured in, Advalorem started buying Mr. King’s land, the FSC said. In December 2012, the fund paid £6 million to a Gibraltar company called Thistle Holdings Ltd. for two companies that owned 37 acres of farmland near Glasgow. The land, on a river flood plain and protected from development, was worth about £190,000, according to a valuation commissioned by the FSC while it probed the fund.

Before Advalorem bought it, the Scottish land passed through a string of companies in Gibraltar and the British Virgin Islands, another offshore center, according to the FSC’s report. Those companies all belonged to Mr. King, the FSC found. The £6 million paid to Thistle for the land ended up in one of Mr. King’s bank accounts, according to the FSC report. Its investigation found that Mr. King had originally paid £305,000 to buy the 37 acres in 2008.

Advalorem was preparing to spend £21 million to buy more of Mr. King’s land in Scotland when the FSC received an alert from the U.K. pensions regulator, according to the FSC report.

The U.K. regulator had monitored British savers transferring their entire retirement pots into Advalorem after being offered cash incentives by financial advisers, according to the FSC. Britain has sought to clamp down on “pensions liberation” schemes, in which investors are told they can tap their retirement savings by moving them outside the U.K.

Overpaying for land is legal. But the FSC alleges that Advalorem was being run to the detriment of its investors in an apparent fraud. It said last week in a statement that it took “swift regulatory action,” suspending Advalorem and censuring the fund’s directors.

A lawyer for several directors on the fund and its BVI investment manager declined to comment. One director couldn’t be reached for comment.
People familiar with the case say Advalorem wouldn’t have been able to function under Gibraltar fund rules if the ties between Mr. King, the land and the alleged middlemen had all been fully disclosed.

The FSC referred the case to the Gibraltar police. A police spokesman said last week there wasn’t enough evidence to support a criminal prosecution.

To try to recoup investor money, the liquidator for Advalorem put a freeze on Mr. King’s assets in September, a Gibraltar court filing shows. The liquidator said he is pursuing a civil fraud case against Mr. King.

Mr. King’s exact wealth isn’t known, but he received nearly $52 million in fees from Heather Capital between 2005 and 2008, according to Heather’s financial reports. The money was paid to a BVI company controlled by Mr. King.

At his home in a gated mountainside complex near Marbella, Spain, Mr. King tried to avoid being served with legal papers, people familiar with the matter said. Without looking at the papers, he ripped them up and handed them back to the person who delivered them.

WSJ : Comcast in Talks to Buy DreamWorks Animation for More Than $3 Billion

Comcast in Talks to Buy DreamWorks Animation for More Than $3 Billion

Deal would join DreamWorks Animation with Comcast’s Universal Pictures

Comcast Corp. is in talks to buy DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. for more than $3 billion, according to people familiar with the matter, in a deal that could make the cable giant a rival to Walt Disney Co. in the lucrative family-entertainment business.

Comcast’s Universal Pictures studio has enjoyed success in recent years with its animated “Despicable Me” and “Minions” movies but is still a relatively small player.

But its parent company has been moving aggressively to mimic Disney by using its animation properties to build out its consumer products and theme parks businesses, a strategy that could be accelerated by the addition of DreamWorks, which makes the “Shrek,” “Kung Fu Panda,” and “Madagascar” movies, among others.

As with all such talks, a deal may not be reached. The tentative purchase price represents a healthy premium over DreamWorks’ current $2.3 billion market value.

Comcast is set to report its financial results on Wednesday.

It wasn’t immediately clear what the deal would mean for DreamWorks’ chief executive, the veteran Hollywood mogul Jeffrey Katzenberg. One person with knowledge of the talks said that DreamWorks and Illumination Entertainment, Universal’s animation studio, would remain separate brands.

Mr. Katzenberg would receive a total payout of about $21.9 million if the company is sold and he leaves DreamWorks, according to the company’s most recent proxy statement. Additionally, he controls about 60% of the company’s common voting stock, according to the proxy.

He has been seeking a buyer for his studio, one of the last in Hollywood not part of a larger conglomerate, for several years.

In 2014, DreamWorks held talks with Japan’s SoftBank Corp. and toy maker Hasbro Inc. More recently it has held discussions with potential buyers in China, said people close to the company.

At the same time, Mr. Katzenberg has told investors in recent years he is working to diversify his company into new businesses such as television, online video, and consumer products, in hopes of stabilizing the inconsistent returns from movie releases.

Several box-office flops between 2012 and 2014 forced the company in early 2015 to lay off 500 employees, close a Northern California operation and cut its feature-film output to two movies a year, from three.

DreamWorks is in the midst of a multiyear deal to produce hundreds of hours of television for Netflix Inc. and has recently enjoyed success with digital video company AwesomenessTV, which it acquired in 2013.

Verizon Communications Inc. this month bought a 24.5% stake in AwesomenessTV that valued the online video studio at $650 million.

Some of DreamWorks Animation’s challenges have come from nimbler new competitors such as Illumination, which rather than building a large studio infrastructure such as DreamWorks’, produces its movies with foreign animators at significantly lower cost.

That has led investors to pressure DreamWorks to lower its costs of production, which typically range between $130 million and $145 million, compared with about $80 million for Illumination.

As brand-name franchises have become the most important markers of success in the movie business, family entertainment has become arguably the industry’s most valuable asset—capable of crossing cultural boundaries at the box office and driving spending on everything from DVDs to toys to vacation destinations.

Since it acquired the NBCUniversal media conglomerate in 2011, Comcast has invested billions in its theme-parks business and built up consumer-products licensing, both of which should allow it to better profit from DreamWorks’ brands and characters than that studio has been able to do independently.

The deal would also give Universal a stronger presence in China, where Mr. Katzenberg has focused much of his energy for the past few years. The CEO travels there at least once a month and opened a joint venture in Shanghai, Oriental DreamWorks, that co-produced the January release “Kung Fu Panda 3.”

DreamWorks Animation movies are marketed and distributed by 21st Century Fox’s Twentieth Century Fox, though that deal will expire in 2017. 21st Century Fox and News Corp, owner of The Wall Street Journal, were until mid-2013 part of the same company.

DreamWorks Animation spun off in 2004 from DreamWorks SKG, an entertainment company founded in 1994 by Mr. Katzenberg and fellow moguls Steven Spielberg and David Geffen.

DreamWorks SKG’s ambitions to become a seventh major Hollywood studio never came to fruition, but its animation division had some early success with hits like “The Prince of Egypt” and “Shrek” before it separated with a public stock offering.

The live-action movie business, run by Mr. Spielberg, has relaunched twice after near-death experiences and recently signed a distribution deal with Universal, meaning an acquisition of the animation company by Comcast would, in a way, bring the two units back together.

DreamWorks Animation shares closed Tuesday at $27.12, down three cents. Comcast stock closed at $61.05, up 5 cents.

>>> Apple Numbers & Conf Call - Stock -7.5% in After Hours...in big volumes

Apple in after Hours 15.3mil shares traded (~$1.5bil) at an average price of $97.67

Apple misses by $0.10, misses on revs; guides Q3 revs, gross margin below consensus; raises dividend 10%; raises buyback 25% to $175 bln
  • Reports Q2 (Mar) earnings of $1.90 per share, $0.10 worse than the Capital IQ Consensus of $2.00; revenues fell 12.8% year/year to $50.56 bln vs the $51.98 bln Capital IQ Consensus; gross margins of 39.4% vs 39.6% ests vs 40.8% last year (guidance 39-40%).
  • iPhones 51.2 mln vs 51.5 mln ests vs 61.2 mln last year.
    • iPads 10.2 mln vs 9.9 mln ests vs 12.6 mln last year.
    • Macs 4.0 mln vs 4.6 mln ests vs 4.5 mln last year.
  • Co issues downside guidance for Q3, sees Q3 revs of $41-43 bln vs. $47.35 bln Capital IQ Consensus; gross margin 37.5-38.0% vs 39.2% ests vs 39.7% last year
  • The Board has increased its share repurchase authorization to $175 billion from the $140 billion level announced last year. The Company also expects to continue to net-share-settle vesting restricted stock units.
  • The Board has approved an increase of 10% to the Company's quarterly dividend, and has declared a dividend of $0.57 per share, payable on May 12, 2016 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on May 9, 2016.
    • 2.3% dividend yield at after hours price of $99/share.

Conf Call
  • iPhone unit sales were within the company's internal guidance range.
  • India iPhone sales were up 56% YoY
  • March quarter service revenue was highest ever, up 20%; Apple Music continues to grow with over 13 mln subs.
  • Apple Watch unit sales met expectations (co does not disclose specific figures).
  • In the upcoming, June quarter, the company expects that it will be the best iPad compare in years.
  • The company plans to lower its channel inventory target next quarter in light of the macro-economic environment.
  • Company believes it gained market share in Mac.
  • Co exited quarter within 5-7 week target change for channel inventory.
  • Co sees iPhone, Ipad seasonal QoQ declines in Q3; sees Mac sales rising QoQ
  • Co sees iPhone ASP's declining QoQ impacted by introduction of iPhone SE.
Prepared Remarks:
  • iPhone unit sales were within the company's internal guidance range.
  • India iPhone sales were up 56% YoY
  • March quarter service revenue was highest ever, up 20%; Apple Music continues to grow with over 13 mln subs.
  • Apple Watch unit sales met expectations (co does not disclose specific figures).
  • In the upcoming, June quarter, the company expects that it will be the best iPad compare in years.
  • The company plans to lower its channel inventory target next quarter in light of the macro-economic environment.
  • Company believes it gained market share in Mac.
  • Co exited quarter within 5-7 week target change for channel inventory.
  • Co sees iPhone, ipad seasonal QoQ declines in Q3; sees Mac sales rising QoQ
  • Co sees iPhone ASP's declining QoQ impacted by introduction of iPhone SE.
Q&A Session:
  • In the first half of this year, the company set a record for consumers switching from other platforms.
  • Largest growing service business is the App Store.
  • Co believes that Apple Music business has bottomed and it should continue growing from here.
  • Company continues to expect improvements in the commodity price environment.
Apple shares lowerby 7.6% following earnings. Suppliers are also seeing weakness: SWKS -5.3%, QRVO -4.9%. CRUS -4.1% (also reported its own earnings), AVGO -3.7%, INVN -2.1%, NXPI -2.0%, QCOM -1.3%, TXN -0.9%

>>> What to look at today - 27th of April 2016

Dow+0.07% S&P+0.19% Nasdaq-0.15% Russell+1.11%
US Market closed slightly positive, very close from their flat line. Heavily-weighted technology (-0.4%) and health care (-0.4%) finished with the largest losses while energy (+1.4%), materials (+1.1%), industrials (+0.9%), and financials (+0.7%) topped the leaderboard. MSFT & GOOG Traded lower ahead of Apple Earnings. IBB-1.6%. Volume were in line with average at 897mil shares. US After Hours FTNT +9.7%, CUDA +9.1% higher on earnings/guidance, AYI +1.5% following S&P 500 addition news....TWTR -13.6%, AAPL -8.3%, CMG -4.2%, CRUS -4.2%, T -1.3% on earnings/guidance, chip/AAPL suppliers lower. Asian equity markets are trading mixed though volumes are still on the light side on the eve of the critical BOJ policy decision and the anticipated ramp-up in hawkish rhetoric from the FOMC statement. Tech-heavy Korea and Taiwan are underperforming however, tracking 1.1% drop in Nasdaq futures in the wake of extremely disappointing results from Apple as it missed on the top and bottom line. In China, March industrial profits continued to recover, growing 11.1% y/y. YTD growth was up 7.4%, also a marked improvement from 4.8% rise last month. China Stats Bureau noted faster profit rise on both sales growth and prices, but also warned that slowing demand, high inventories and financing difficulties are still impacting the industrial sector.

Nikkei -0.22% Hang Seng -0.40% Shanghai +0.09%

Eur$1.1297 CNH 6.5016 CNY 6.4901 JPY 111.16 GBP 1.4562 CHF 0.9738 RUB$65.5140 WTI$ 44.52(+1.09%)

S&P-0.26% EuroStoxx-0.20% Dax-0.22% SMI -0.35%

Macro :
ECB’s Coeure Says Greek Banks in Solid Capital Position: Il Sole
Brevan Howard Investors Said to Seek $1.4 Billion of Cash Back
Weidmann: A Monetary Union Is a Political Decision
Apple Can Add China Trouble to Its Growing List of Woes: Gadfly

Keep an eye on :
- ABB SM : Aker Solutions, ABB Agree on Subsea, Power, Automation Pact
- ADS GY : Adidas Raises 2016 Net Income, FX-Neutral Sales Forecast
- AF FP : Air France-KLM CEO Candidates Include Faury, Auque: La Tribune
- SAN SM : Santander 1Q Net EU1.63b, Beats Est.; CET1 Fully-Loaded 10.27%
- SAN SM : Santander to Give Strategy Update Sept. 30 in London
- BAS GY : BASF Open to Large Acquisitions, Handelsblatt Reports
- BB FP : Bic Confirms 2016 Outlook, Says 1Q Sales Slightly Above Target
- BMW GY : Germany to Provide EU4,000 in E-Car Incentives: Deutschlandfunk
- CAP FP : Cap Gemini 1Q Rev. Rises 12%, Confirms 2016 Outlook
- CSGN VX : Credit Suisse Hires 30 Wealth Managers From UBS in Mexico: FT
- DHR US : Third Point Added to Danaher Position After Talks With Co.
- DELB BB : Delhaize Intends to Increase 2016 Revenue, Market Shares
- DWA US : Comcast in Discussions to Buy DreamWorks Animation, WSJ Says
- DSMA NA : DSM considers stake sale in chemicals and pharma JVs, could net EUR 1.5bn-EUR 2.5bn - De Telegraaf
- ENAV IM : Italy Treasury, Advisers Discussed Enav SpA Stake Sale: Official
- EOAN GY : EON’s Uniper Unit Seeks Disposals of at Least EU2b by 2017
- IBE IM : Iberdrola Cancels 157.2m Shares
- ING FP : Ingenico 1Q Rev. Rises 11%; Raises FY Organic Rev. Growth Target
- KGX GY : Kion Confirms 2016 Outlook, 1Q Rev. Up 4.8%
- MC FP : COH Rises to Highest in Year as Turnaround Progresses; Peers Up
- LSE LN : Deutsche Boerse, LSE Deal Rejected by Most Frankfurt Firms: FAZ
- NESN VX : Nestle, R&R to Set Up Ice Cream JV Froneri
- NHY NO : Norsk Hydro 1Q Net Income Beats Estimates
- NOVN VX : Novartis: Three FDA Breakthrough Therapy Designations for Ilaris
- NYR BB : Nyrstar 1Q Adj. Ebitda Drops 46% to EU37m; Cash at Hand EU240m
- ORA FP : Fernandez Says European Telco Consolidation Remains Necessary
- OSR GY : Osram 2Q Net Rises 3%, EPS Up 7%; Reiterates 2016 Outlook
- UG FP : PSA Confident of Hitting Targets Despite Volatile Environment
- RLIA SM : Realia Drops Most in 13 Months After 45% YTD Rally
- STL NO : Statoil Sees 2016 Production ‘Somewhat Lower’ vs 2015
- STM FP : STMicro Posts 1Q Loss; Sees 2Q Rev., Gross Margin Improving
- TKTT FP : KKR Selling 3.7m Shares in Tarkett SA
- TEL NO : Telenor 1Q Revenue in Line w/ Ests, Keeps Financial Guidance
- FP FP : Total 1Q Adj. Net Beats Ests.; Div. Matches Forecast
- RCF FP : Teleperformance 1Q Rev. EU844m Vs EU831m; Confirms FY Guidance
- TFI FP : TF1 Posts 1Q Loss, Rev. EU482m Vs. Est. EU483m
- FR FP : Valeo 1Q Revenue Rises 9.4% to EU3.92B
- VOD LN : TPG Telecom could buy Vodafone's entire Australia and New Zealand business
- WDI GY : Wirecard 1Q Sales Rise 32%; Ebitda Up 35%, Confirms 2016 Outlook

>>> DSM considers stake sale in chemicals and pharma JVs, could net EUR 1.5bn-EU

DSM considers stake sale in chemicals and pharma JVs, could net EUR 1.5bn-EUR 2.5bn

DSM (AMS:DSM), the Dutch biotech and chemicals company, could sell its stake in three chemicals and pharma JVs signed last year.

Dutch-language De Telegraaf reported this information in an article about the company's quarterly results, citing CEO Feike Sijbesma. The stake sale could fetch the company between EUR 1.5bn and EUR 2.5bn, it added.

Sijbesma reiterated DSM intends to sell its remaining stake in these JVs, the item noted.

The company does not expect further changes in its portfolio until 2018, Sijbesma said.

DSM's EBITDA of EUR 296m for 1Q16 beat market expectations, the item noted.

de Telegraaf

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 27th of April 2016

>>> Up
*BIM RAISED TO NEUTRAL VS SELL AT GOLDMAN
*INFORMA RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*MAERSK RAISED TO BUY VS ACCUMULATE AT FEARNLEY
*PORSCHE RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*SWEDBANK RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS NEUTRAL AT CREDIT SUISSE
*WORLDPAY RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT UBS
*VOLKSWAGEN RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS EQUALWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS

>>> Down
*AIR LIQUIDE SA CUT TO UNDERPERFORM AT BERNSTEIN
*BAYER CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OUTPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE
*EFES CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*MILLICOM CUT TO NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*TECHNIP CUT TO EQUALWEIGHT VS OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*TEKFEN CUT TO NEUTRAL FROM BUY AT GOLDMAN
*TURKIYE VAKIFLAR BANKASI CUT TO SELL VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN

>>> PT Change


>>> Initiation


>>> Call
>> Stock
*EMLAK ADDED TO CEEMEA FOCUS LIST AT GOLDMAN

>>> Apple’s European Suppliers May Move on Waning Smartphone Sales

AMS SW , ARM LN, DLG GY, IFX GY, IMG LN, STM FP,...

European suppliers of Apple may move today after co.’s streak of 51 consecutive quarters of sales growth ends, 3Q rev. forecast trails lowest est.
  • European suppliers include Dialog Semi, AMS, ARM, Imagination Tech, Infineon, STMicro
    • Dialog most exposed with ~71% of rev. coming from Apple: Bloomberg data
  • Aviate Global says “the end of the Apple super cycle is upon us”
    • Risk to suppliers from negative iPhone growth and shipments, Apple passing through their gross margin pressure on to pricing of suppliers, Apple’s inventory reduction
    • Poor 3Q guidance signals that iPhone 5 SE can’t mask “extremely poor” iPhone 6S demand dynamics
    • Greater China “has gone from hyper growth to falling off a cliff”
    • Remains seller of Apple, Skyworks, Dialog, STMicro, Sony, Murata

>>> Asian Update

Asian Market Update: Australia inflation plummets, drastically increasing outlook for more RBA rate cuts

***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA MAR INDUSTRIAL PROFITS Y/Y: 11.1% V -4.7% PRIOR
- (CN) China Apr Westpac Consumer Confidence index: 117.8 v 118.1 prior
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q1 CONSUMER PRICES (CPI) Q/Q: -0.2% (7-year low) V +0.2%E; Y/Y: 1.3% (1-year low) V 1.7%E; TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.2% (multi-year low) V 0.5%E ; Y/Y: 1.7% V 2.0%E
- (AU) Australia ANZ Roy Morgan Weekly Consumer Confidence Index: 111.7 v 115.8 prior
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAR TRADE BALANCE (NZD): 117M V 401ME; 3rd straight month of trade surplus; Annualized: -3.84B v -3.69Be (widest deficit in 7 years)
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA APR CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 101 V 100 PRIOR

***Index Snapshot (as of 04:00 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.6%, S&P/ASX +0.7%, Kospi -0.2%, Shanghai Composite flat, Hang Seng -0.3%, Jun S&P500 -0.3% at 2,083

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- June gold +0.1% at $1,245/oz, June crude oil +1.1% at $44.51/brl, Jul copper -0.5% at $2.23/lb
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: -1.1M v +3.1M prior; First draw in 3 weeks
- World Bank raises 2016 oil price forecast to $41/brl from $37/brl; Sees some easing in oversupply
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.4837 V 6.4880 PRIOR; strongest setting since Apr 21st; 2nd straight firmer setting
- (CN) PBOC to inject CNY120B in 7-day reverse repos
- (CN) China MoF sells 3-yr bonds at 2.55%
- JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥2.11T in 0.1% 2-year JGBs; Avg yield: -0.254% (record low) v -0.183% prior; bid-to-cover 4.20x (multi-month low) v 4.34 prior

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- Asian equity markets are trading mixed though volumes are still on the light side on the eve of the critical BOJ policy decision and the anticipated ramp-up in hawkish rhetoric from the FOMC statement. Australia is outperforming, with the latest set of inflation data significantly raising the likelihood of renewed RBA policy easing. Tech-heavy Korea and Taiwan are underperforming however, tracking 1.1% drop in Nasdaq futures in the wake of extremely disappointing results from Apple as it missed on the top and bottom line while registering its first iPhone shipment decline on record. In FX, AUD/USD fell about 140pips to $0.7620 after a much lower CPI print than expected and NZD/USD was down over 30pips below 0.6870 in sympathy. USD/JPY is consolidating last week's gains for the 3rd straight session, even as expectations build for some sort of combination of additional BOJ easing, whether it be through lower negative rates, expanded asset purchases, or both.

- Australia's Q1 headline CPI hit a 7-year low q/q and 1-year low y/y, with a shockingly negative sequential print that raised fears of deflationary trends in the economy's adjustment away from mining. Gasoline price declines were most pronounces at -10%, though tourism sector was also fairly soft. Going into the decision, fixed income market probability of renewed easing next week was just above 10% - after the release, markers are now pricing in a near 50% chance. JPMorgan has shifted its neutral stance to anticipate 2 rate cuts this year, while RBA watcher Alan Mitchell suggested the latest figures give RBA "the perfect excuse to cut rates further" if it had been hesitant to do so in the past, pointing to the likely retreat from the recent price surge in iron ore and coal. Also of note down under, New Zealand trade remained in a surplus for the 3rd straight month but lower than expected. Shipments to China saw a decline of 4% y/y v prior month's rise of 1.8%, and exports to the US were down nearly 20%. Overall shipments of dairy fell 29% y/y - much worse than the 9% y/y rise in the prior month. RBNZ also holds a policy meeting tomorrow, though expectations are firmly in favor of a rate hold after last month's surprise cut.

- In China, March industrial profits continued to recover, growing 11.1% y/y. YTD growth was up 7.4%, also a marked improvement from 4.8% rise last month. China Stats Bureau noted faster profit rise on both sales growth and prices, but also warned that slowing demand, high inventories and financing difficulties are still impacting the industrial sector. Earlier, China Finance Ministry noted that combined profits of China non-financial SOEs in Q1 fell 13.8% y/y to CNY432B and Rev fell 3%.

- Stateside, Super Tuesday 2 featured primary contests in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island. Donald Trump swept all 5 on the Republican side, referring to himself as the "presumptive nominee" to represent the party in November. Hillary Clinton only whiffed on Rhode Island, taking the other 4 states fairly comfortably. Despite speculation to the contrary earlier in US hours, Bernie Sanders vowed to stay in the race.

***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- EBAY: Reports Q1 $0.47 v $0.45e, R$2.14B v $2.08Be; +1.1% afterhours
- AYI: To be added to S&P500 and VSAT to enter S&P MidCap 400 effective after close of trading on Monday; +1.0% afterhours
- RHI: Reports Q1 $0.64 v $0.64e, R$1.30B v $1.30Be; +0.7% afterhours
- T: Reports Q1 $0.72 v $0.69e, R$40.5B v $40.5Be; -0.7% afterhours
- AFL: Reports Q1 $1.74 v $1.62e, R$5.45B v $5.29Be; -0.7% afterhours
- COF: Reports Q1 $1.84 v $1.90e, R$6.2B v $6.10Be; -1.6% afterhours
- CMG: Reports Q1 -$0.88 v -$1.06e, R$834.5M v $857Me; -4.6% afterhours
- AAPL: Reports Q2 $1.90 v $1.97e, R$50.6B v $52.2Be; increased share repurchase authorization by $35B (6% of market cap) to $175B; Raises dividend 10% to $0.57 (implied yield 2.2%); -7.9% afterhours
- BWLD: Reports Q1 $1.73 v $1.76e, R$508.3M v $532Me; -12.2% afterhours
- TWTR: Reports Q1 $0.15 v $0.10e, R$595M v $607Me; -13.5% afterhours

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: 361 Degrees International 1361.HK +3.4% (Q1 result); Gome Electrical Appliances Holdings 493.HK -3.8% (Q1 guidance); Galaxy Entertainment Group 27.HK -0.5% (Q1 result); Murray Goulburn MGC.AU +7.1% (guidance)
- Financials: Bank of China 3988.HK +0.3% (Q1 result); Industrial Securities Co 601377.CN -1.0% (Q1 result); Ping An Insurance 2318.HK +1.0% (Q1 result)
- Industrials: Hyundai Mobis 012330.KR +0.6% (Q1 result); Kia Motors Corporation 000270.KR +0.3% (Q1 result); Daihatsu Motor Co 7262.JP -1.5% (FY15/16 result); Kawasaki Heavy Industries 7012.JP +2.7 % (FY15/16 result); JFE Holdings 5411.JP -3.8% (FY15/16 result)
- Technology: LG Display Co 034220.KR -2.3% (Q1 result); Toshiba Corporation 6502.JP -1.1% (revises guidance)
- Materials: Metallurgical Corporation of China 1618.HK -0.8% (Q1 result); Anhui Conch Cement 914.HK -1.0% (Q1 result); Beadell Resources BDR.AU +0.7% (Q1 result); Saracen Mineral Holdings SAR.AU +2.7% (Q3 result); Shin-Etsu Chemical Co 4063.JP +3.6% (FY15/16 result)
- Energy: Tohoku Electric 9506.JP +4.8% (FY15/16 result); Beach Energy BPT.AU +1.5% (raises guidance)