FT : Burberry considers creating new senior management role

Burberry considers creating new senior management role

Burberry is considering the appointment of a senior manager to support its chief executive, Christopher Bailey, following investor concerns over disappointing trading and a sharp fall in the luxury group’s share price.
Mr Bailey, who turns 45 next week, is due to unveil the results of a business review alongside Burberry’s preliminary results later this month, and people familiar with the group’s plans said news of a senior executive appointment could follow.

It is not yet clear whether the position would be at boardroom level but such a move is likely to be welcomed by investors, some of whom have been pressing for stronger leadership at Burberry after a weaker-than-expected profit forecast this year.
Since Mr Bailey took over as chief executive in May 2014, Burberry’s shares have fallen 21 per cent. Over the past 12 months, they are down 32 per cent and have underperformed the FTSE 100 by 23 per cent.
Some investors have also been critical of Sir John Peace, chairman of the group for the past 14 years, for appointing Mr Bailey to the dual role of chief creative and chief executive officer, after the departure of Angela Ahrendts to run retail and online stores at Apple.
“Bailey needs back-up,” said one shareholder, who has sold down Burberry shares in the past year: “He needs someone to help him on the marketing and retail side, who has a good understanding of the business and knows exactly where they want to take the company.”
Burberry declined to comment.
One top-20 shareholder said the company would benefit from trying to replicate the symbiosis that had existed between Ms Ahrendts and Mr Bailey when she was chief executive and he focused solely on the creative side.
“It worked with Christopher Bailey as head of design and Angela Ahrendts as chief executive, but there have been problems since he took up both roles after she left,” the investor said. “It is time for Sir John to move — it was his decision to give Bailey the twin role, so doubts over Bailey mean there are doubts over Sir John, too.”
Echoing some of these concerns, Mario Ortelli, analyst at Bernstein Research, said: “Burberry should reinforce its top management. Bailey is an experienced creative director with very good people management skills and a busy agenda. Probably, he needs around him someone like a chief commercial officer to work entirely on global marketing and sales.”
Most western luxury groups have struggled to boost sales amid weaker demand from Chinese consumers and a decline in tourism globally. But Burberry has suffered more than most, reigniting concerns among some of its largest shareholders about Mr Bailey’s broad remit.
Last year, Burberry created a new position of chief people and corporate affairs officer, reporting to Mr Bailey. It also appointed a chief information officer, reporting to John Smith, the group’s chief operating officer.
At the time, Mr Bailey said these two new appointees would “play key roles in Burberry’s leadership team.”

Mr Bailey has also instigated a £25m cost-cutting drive and embarked on a bold but controversial move to simplify Burberry’s three main ranges — Prorsum, London and Brit — into a single Burberry brand.
This one-label strategy takes effect this month. Burberry said it had already been “positively received by our wholesale customers” but some analysts questioned whether department stores might order fewer Burberry products as a result of a single label.
Last month, the company — famed for its classic trenchcoat and signature check scarves — said adjusted pre-tax profits this year would be at the bottom end of analysts’ expectations at £405m, even including a £60m foreign exchange uplift.
This followed a 5 per cent fall in like-for-like revenues in its fourth quarter, which was worse than analysts’ consensus expectations of a 1.4 per cent decline.
Gucci-owner Kering also reported weaker than expected sales growth last month and Hugo Boss, the German retailer, said this week it would cut costs as it warned of a “difficult global market environment”, particularly in the US and China.
Burberry relies on Chinese consumers for 40 per cent of its sales and has been hit hard by the sharp fall in Chinese visitors to Hong Kong. Sales in Hong Kong have fallen by more than 20 per cent for three consecutive quarters, as Chinese tourists have headed elsewhere, principally Japan.
Unfortunately for Burberry, as Carol Fairweather, its finance director, pointed out last month, “Japan is a much smaller business for us than many of our peers.”
Melanie Flouquet, analyst at JPMorgan, said the group’s geographical focus had not worked in its favour.
“Burberry is more exposed to the US, which has taken a turn for the worse,” she explained. “And, in Asia, it has far less exposure to Japan, which is really the only area that is doing pretty well for the industry.”
Ms Flouquet suggested the company would benefit from a wholesale re-evaluation of its network of stores, given that these account for the bulk of fixed costs.
“We think the store network needs an extensive review,” she said. “The company has regional heads but it does not have a global head of retail.”
Luca Solca, analyst at Exane BNP Paribas, agreed that Burberry needed to act. “The market is very difficult for everyone but, on the other hand, Burberry seems to be running out of steam,” he noted. “Other companies have got into similar difficulties but have addressed them through faster and stronger innovation because consumers are very fickle and not brand-loyal.”

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
Gapping up: SYNC +151.8%, LGCY +26.5%, CNAT +16.2%, ZNGA +14.8%, EPE +10.9%, WTW +10.3%, ZPIN +9.2%, LHCG +9.2%, AVID +8.9%, AVID +8.9%,ARRS +8.6%, QRVO +7.4%, HDSN +6.9%, BNFT +6.7%, NRG +6.6%, NEWT +6%, SZYM +5.9%, KHC +5.6%, CHK +5.3%, AUY +5%, TPUB +4.4%, CECO +4.4%,TPUB +4.4%, AXGN +4.3%, TSLA +3.9%, ora +3.9%, MTW +3.9%, DRD +3.8%, WBMD +3.8%, BT +3.6%, CSOD +3.5%, KND +3.4%, MBLY +3.4%, ETE +3.3%,DOOR +3.2%, BABA +3.2%, GM +2.8%, CF +2.8%, NICE +2.8%, GIL +2.7%, MRO +2.7%, MRO +2.7%, GIL +2.7%, TASR +2.6%, TASR +2.6%, CBMX +2.5%, TDC+2.5%, FIG +2.5%, GORO +2.4%, SBGL +2.3%, HL +2.3%, BMI +2.2%, TWO +2.2%, PAGP +2.1%, CB +1.9%, CATO +1.9%, FCX +1.7%, RIG +1.7%, RIG +1.7%,IGLD +1.6%, ALDW +1.6%, BRKR +1.3%, WFM +1.2%, MCK +1.2%, SBUX +1.1%, OREX +1.1%, RLYP +1%, CLR +0.9%, EQIX +0.9%, CBPO +0.8%, JONE +0.7%

Gapping down: RRTS -22.1%, FIT -12%, SQNM -11.1%, WTI -9.9%, ALIM -9.5%, KTOS -6.9%, PSXP -6.2%, ABC -5.1%, CTL -4.7%, EXEL -4.6%, HRTG -4.2%,NWPX -4.2%, HRTG -4.2%, ERII -4.2%, OSUR -4.1%, TRIP -3.8%, LNC -3.8%, CRUS -3.2%, WFT -3.1%, ADC -2.9%, SNN -2.8%, CTLT -2.6%, WMB -2.5%, DB-2.3%, AVP -2.3%, DPM -2.2%, PRU -2.1%, MET -2.1%, MT -2%, AU -1.8%, ALJ -1.7%, STI -1.6%, CAT -1.5%, CAT -1.5%, NVAX -1.5%, HUBS -1.5%, LUK-1.5%, OME -1.4%, ING -0.9%, MUR -0.9%, FOXA -0.7%

>>> Chesapeake Energy beats by $0.01, beats on revs

Chesapeake Energy beats by $0.01, beats on revs
  • Reports Q1 (Mar) adjusted loss of $0.10 per share, $0.01 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.11); revenues fell 39.3% year/year to $1.95 bln vs the $1.02 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
  • Average production expenses during 1Q16 were $3.36 per boe, a decrease of 31% from 1Q15.
  • Average operated rig count for 1Q16 was 8 compared to 54 in year ago period.
  • Average realized oil price per bbl was $37.74 vs. $65.73 in 1Q15.
  • Average realized natural gas price per mcf was $2.29 vs. $3.67 in 1Q15.
  • Asset Divestiture Update: In 2016, CHK has closed or has under signed sales agreements approximately $1.2 bln in gross proceeds from asset divestitures, or approximately $950 mln in net proceeds after certain related repurchases of Volumetric Production Payment obligations are met. Transactions signed since Feb 2016 include the sale of a portion of the company's acreage and producing properties in its STACK play in northern Oklahoma for approximately $470 mln to Newfield Exploration (NFX). Included in the sale are approximately 42,000 net acres and 400 producing wells which are currently producing 3,800 boe per day (approximately 55% liquids), net to CH. Substantially all of the company's announced asset divestitures are expected to close by the end of Q3. For the expected $950 mln in net proceeds currently closed or signed in 2016, the net impact to the company's production is projected to be a reduction of approximately 35,000 boe per day (approximately 60% natural gas)

FT : Mystery buyers snap up 100-year debt in Europe

Mystery bond buyers are raising eyebrows in European markets by lending millions of euros to governments for the next 100 years.
First to bite was Ireland, a country hard hit by the eurozone debt crisis and forced into an international bailout just six years ago. At the end of March, the Irish debt management agency announced it had privately raised €100m through a 100-year bond at a yield of 2.35 per cent, a rate lower than US 30-year debt. It was, said the agency, “a big vote of confidence in Ireland as a sovereign issuer”. One month later Belgium followed suit with a €100m sale.

Centennial bonds are a rarity in debt markets, where 10-year bonds are the norm and 30-year debt is considered the standard long-term issue.
Only a handful of countries have ever entered the market, including Mexico and the Philippines. The sale of two bonds in quick succession has been hailed as proof that investors expect global inflation to stay in the doldrums for decades to come.
The sudden flourishing of century bonds appears to be led by investors, with both Belgium and Ireland’s €100m, 100-year bonds arranged by Goldman Sachs and Nomura at the request of investors, with some suspecting the buyer is a single European insurer.
Although investing in 50- or 100-year debt entails taking a risk on what the economy of a country will look like decades in the future, investors with particular payment commitments can use longer maturities to better match their own liabilities.
Investors such as pension funds and insurers have a need to find positive returns in a sea of negative rates and have two options right now, says Fraser Lundie, co-head credit at Hermes Asset Management. “You add risk by going for either longer dated debt or poorer credit. Some investors are penalised by regulators for buying poorer credit so they are going for longer-term debt.”
On the surface, 100-year bonds sound a better bet for borrowers than investors. When rates are low, governments want to cut the cost of funding a country’s debt for the longest possible timeframe, extending the average life of outstanding debt and staggering redemptions in the process.
“We are in a low-rate environment so taking advantage by issuing long-dated debt makes sense,” says Patrick Jacq, senior strategist at BNP Paribas.
“Note that it’s not just 100-year debt, there have also been a number of other popular long maturity bond sales recently. France and Belgium issuing 50-year bonds, Italy issued a 30-year one.”
These sales of ultra-long debt have attracted fierce demand, with Italy’s 2047 bond breaking records with an order book in excess of €25bn, as economic data indicate that inflation and global growth are on track to remain low.
One risk for buyers of long-term debt is “duration” risk, a technical term to describe a bond’s sensitivity to changes in interest rates. Bonds with high duration experience the largest changes in prices when underlying interest rates alter. That means holders of such paper can outperform the broad bond market when interest rates fall, but also suffer the most in a climate of rising rates.
Longer-dated bonds offer an extended period of time in which interest rates can increase, eroding the value of the bond, but high coupon payments and yields can ameliorate the effects.
While century bonds issued by Brazilian company Petrobras in 2015 are exposed to years of possible interest rate moves in addition to the credit risk, the 8.45 per cent yield puts the duration risk at a level similar to that of UK gilts, says Alan Higgins at Coutts Private Bank.
“People see 100 years and shudder. Sometimes they don’t do the maths. The terminal redemption value in 100 years is almost irrelevant. That creates opportunities,” he adds.
The century bonds recently sold by Belgium and Ireland and issued at 2.3 per cent, are not only less liquid, they also present a greater duration risk.
Not only are 100-year bonds more sensitive to interest rate movements but this sensitivity can itself vary. Known as convexity, this can add an extra kick to the long dated bond if market rates fall. However, this also works against a buyer should interest rates rise over time.
“I can only think there is an investor out there with a specific need for them,” says Mike Riddell, a fund manager at Allianz Global. “Either that or this is a really gloomy forecast about where Europe is going to be 100 years from now.”

>>> Crude : Front month WTI crude contract tests $45 as US production slides, fi

Front month WTI crude contract tests $45 as US production slides, fires cut Canadian output 
- US oil production fell to the lowest level since September 2014
- Wildfires may affect Alberta's Spring Oil Sands production by more than 1M bpd
- Iran Dep Oil Min Javadi confirmed May oil production to climb 0.1M bpd to 3.8M bpd in a few days 
Reiterated would cooperate with OPEC once they achieve pre-sanction levels)