>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 8th of September 2016

>>> Up
*AMADEUS ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN
*BABCOCK ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN
*ELI LILLY RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT JPMORGAN
*EXPERIAN RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*GERDAU RAISED TO BUY AT SANTANDER
*KINEPOLIS RAISED TO BUY FROM HOLD AT ING
*NESTLE RAISED TO TOP PICK AT RBC CAPITAL
*RIO TINTO RAISED TO OUTPERFORM AT RBC CAPITAL
*RSA INSURANCE RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT HSBC
*SANOFI RAISED TO BUY VS HOLD AT BERENBERG
*SES RAISED TO BUY VS NEUTRAL AT CITI
*USIMINAS RAISED TO HOLD AT SANTANDER

>>> Down
*ABBVIE CUT TO NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN
*APPLE CUT TO MARKET PERFORM AT WELLS FARGO
*ARCAM CUT TO ’HOLD’ AT CANACCORD GENUITY
*COMMERZBANK CUT TO HOLD AT SANTANDER
*GALP ENERGIA SGPS CUT TO MARKET PERFORM AT BERNSTEIN
*HASTINGS GROUP CUT TO REDUCE VS HOLD AT HSBC
*POSTE ITALIANE CUT TO NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*PROSEGUR CUT TO NEUTRAL AT GOLDMAN
*REPSOL SA CUT TO UNDERPERFORM AT BERNSTEIN
*SOFTWARE AG CUT TO HOLD AT HSBC
*TOTAL CUT TO MARKET PERFORM AT BERNSTEIN
*TF1 CUT TO NEUTRAL AT JPMORGAN

>>> PT Change

>>> Initiation
*GROUPE FNAC RATED NEW BUY AT UBS; PT EU85
*HANNON ARMSTRONG RATED NEW OVERWEIGHT AT BARCLAYS
*HENKEL RESUMED AT UNDERPERFORM AT CREDIT SUISSE; PT EU105

>>> Call
>> Stock
*AMADEUS ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN
*BABCOCK ADDED TO CONVICTION BUY LIST AT GOLDMAN
>> Country
*BRAZIL STOCKS CUT TO NEUTRAL VS OVERWEIGHT AT HSBC
*SOUTH AFRICA STOCKS RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT VS NEUTRAL AT HSBC

>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: China trade surplus narrows as imports rise for the first time in nearly 2 years; Japan final GDP revised higher on less weak CapEx

***Economic Data***
- (CN) CHINA AUG TRADE BALANCE CNY TERMS: CNY346B v CNY372BE (7-month high); USD TERMS: $52.1B V $58.4BE
- (CN) CHINA AUG FOREIGN RESERVES: $3.185T V $3.190TE (lowest level since Dec 2011)
- (JP) JAPAN Q2 FINAL GDP Q/Q: 0.2% V 0.0%E (2nd straight expansion); ANNUALIZED GDP: 0.7% V 0.2%E (2nd straight expansion)
- (JP) JAPAN JULY CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE: ¥1.94T V ¥2.07TE; ADJUSTED CURRENT ACCOUNT: ¥1.45T V ¥1.57TE; TRADE BALANCE: ¥613.9B V ¥571BE
- (JP) JAPAN AUG BANK LENDING (INC TRUSTS) Y/Y: 2.0% v 2.1% PRIOR; BANK LENDING (EX- TRUSTS) Y/Y: 2.0% V 2.0%E
- (JP) JAPAN AUG TOKYO AVG OFFICE VACANCIES: 3.9% v 3.9% PRIOR
- (JP) Japan investors sold net ¥1.3T in foreign bonds v bought ¥108B in prior week; Foreign investors bought net ¥1.9B in Japan stocks v sold ¥6.8B in Japan stocks in prior week
- (AU) AUSTRALIA JULY TRADE BALANCE (A$): -2.4B V -2.7BE; 27th consecutive deficit
- (NZ) New Zealand ANZ Aug non-tradable inflation m/m: +0.1% v -0.3% prior
- (UK) AUG RICS HOUSE PRICE BALANCE: 12% V 2%E

***Index Snapshot (as of 04:00 GMT)***
- Nikkei225 -0.5%, S&P/ASX -0.9%, Kospi -0.1%, Shanghai Composite flat, Hang Seng +0.4%, Sep S&P500 +0.1% at 2,185

***Commodities/Fixed Income***
- Dec gold +0.1% at $1,350/oz, Oct crude oil +1.7% at $46.28/brl, Dec copper +0.3% at $2.10/lb
- (US) Weekly API Oil Inventories: Crude: -12.1M v +0.9M prior (multi-year high draw)
- (IR) Iran State Oil Co (NIOC)'s Ghamsari: Too early to discuss freeze at Algiers OPEC meeting; Iran has possibility to top pre-sanction level of output in 2017; Oil price in $40-50/brl range is "somewhat reasonable" - financial press
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 0.3 tonnes to 951.8 tonnes
- SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings rise to 11,281 tonnes from 11,246 tonnes prior; multi-year high
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.6620 V 6.6555 PRIOR
- (CN) CICC economists Yu Xiangrong: It is a misperception that China will devalue yuan after SDR inclusion
- (CN) PBOC to inject CNY60B in 7-day reverse repos and CNY20B in 14-day reverse repos
- JGB: (JP) Japan MoF sells ¥2.18T in 5-year bonds; avg yield -0.175% v -0.165% prior; bid-to-cover 3.03x (lowest in 11 months) v 3.57x prior
- (NZ) New Zealand sells NZ$100M in 2.5% 2035 inflation-indexed bonds

***Market Focal Points/FX***
- Asian equity markets are trading mixed, with Australia index underperforming on weakness in Materials and Hang Seng trading moderately higher on strength in financials / property developers. Volatility is still compressed however, tracking subdued sentiment in US hours, where stronger than expected JOLTS jobs data and more upbeat Beige Book produced little market impact. Oil prices were a notable exception, with Oct WTI crude oil contract up nearly 2% in electronic trade on a multi-year high draw in API inventories, though the demand may have been skewed by tropical storm Hermine. Economic data in Asia were also reasonably positive, with Japan Q2 final GDP revised higher and China trade components featuring a rebound in imports. In FX majors, AUD/USD rose about 15pips on China trade release to 0.7685 and NZD/USD was up 25pips off the lows above 0.7470. USD/JPY pair initially rose 25pips above 101.90 following GDP data and then tested below 101.50 in afternoon trade on comments by BOJ Gov Nakaso.

- China August trade surplus missed consensus, but still registered a 7-month high in Yuan terms. Trade components were better than expected in both CNY and USD, with imports particularly impressive - in Yuan terms imports rose +10.8% v +0.7%e, and in USD imports rose for the first time since Oct 2014 at +1.5% v -5.0%e. Economists with BNP remarked that this set of trade numbers is likely to reduce expectations of further PBoC easing.

- Japan's Q2 final GDP marked the 2nd straight expansion on sequential and annualized basis. Most notable component was the corporate CAPEX decline of -0.1%, better than -0.4%e and -0.4% prelim, while the private consumption component growth was in line and unchanged from prelim at +0.2%. Japan chief cabinet secretary Suga said the figures show the economy continued its moderate recovery. Later in the session, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Nakaso straddled both sides of the fence in terms of market uncertainty related to this month's policy review ahead of the upcoming BOJ meeting. Initially, USD/JPY hit session lows as Nakaso said the economy is no longer in deflation and reiterated Gov Kuroda's increased focused on the impact of NIRP on financials. Nakaso then remarked however that ruling out further cuts to negative rates would not be the right approach, sending USD/JPY back above 101.50.

- Australia's July trade deficit was more narrow than expected but still marked the 27th straight month of negative print. Exports improved to +3% from -1% prior, while imports came in flat after last month's +2%. Gold shipments were especially impressive with a record high in value, but exports of Iron Ore and Coal hit 5-month and 3-month lows respectively.

***Equities***
US equities / ADRs:
- TLRD: Reports Q2 $0.99 v $0.92e, R$909M v $893Me; +11.4% afterhours
- HPE: Reports Q3 $0.49 v $0.45e, R$12.2B v $12.6Be; -0.5% afterhours
- GWRE: Reports Q4 $0.39 v $0.32e, R$141.2M v $137Me; -5.8% afterhours
- TSCO: Guides Q3 $0.65-0.67 v $0.72e, $1.54-1.55B v $1.60Be, SSS -1% to flat v +2.9% y/y; -9.3% afterhours
- PIR: Reports prelim Q2 -$0.06 to -$0.05 v -$0.03e, Rev -6.7% y/y (implies R$401M v $426Me); -9.4% afterhours

Notable movers by sector:
- Consumer discretionary: Skyworth Digital 751.HK -2.6% (Aug result); DeNA Co. 2432.JP +10.3% (Super Mario iPhone game); APN Outdoor APO.AU +1.8% (UBS raised to buy)
- Financials: Yuexiu Property 123.HK +1.7% (Aug result); Gemdale Properties and Investment Corp 535.HK -1.9% (Aug result); Longfor Properties 960.HK -5.7% (Aug result)
- Technology: Nintendo Co. 7974.JP +11.6% (Super Mario game on new iPhone); Japan Display Inc 6740.JP +2.7% (expects positives free cash flow for the first time); MediaTek Inc 2454.TW -0.8% (Aug result)
- Energy: Algae.Tec AEB.AU +9.4% (guides initial sales to Gencore)
- Healthcare: Sigma Pharmaceuticals SIP.AU +11.9% (H1 result)
- Materials: Whitehaven Coal WHC.AU -5.2% (NDRC to discuss curbing coal prices)

>>> US Close Dow-0.06% S&P-0.02% Nasdaq+0.15% Russell+0.61%

Closing Market Summary: Averages Flat Ahead of ECB Policy Decision

The stock market ended a quiet midweek session on a flat note as participants employed some caution ahead of tomorrow's policy statement from the European Central Bank. The tech-heavy Nasdaq (+0.2%) settled slightly ahead of the S&P 500 (UNCH) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (-0.1%).

The major averages rose at the start of the session, responding to a positive bias in European markets. Regional bourses ended in the green as investors examined a mixed set of economic data ahead of tomorrow's policy decision from the ECB. The central bank is scheduled to release its September rate decision at 7:45 ET while ECB President Draghi is scheduled to offer remarks at 8:30 ET.

Equity indices pulled back after the first hour as some strengthening in the U.S. Dollar Index (94.97, +0.15, +0.16%) weighed on dollar-denominated oil and the broader market. The greenback benefited from some softening in sterling, following accommodative remarks from Bank of England Governor Mark Carney. Mr. Carney addressed parliament today, indicating that post-Brexit recession risks have receded. However, the BoE governor went on to note that the central bank has further room to maneuver monetary policy, if needed.

The benchmark index found support near its 20-day simple moving average (2180.21), climbing off that level for the remainder of the session. Six sectors ended in the green with technology (+0.2%), telecom services (+0.2%), and energy (+0.3%) outperforming. Conversely, materials (-0.1%), health care (-0.1%), and consumer staples (-0.9%) led to the downside.

The influential technology sector (+0.2%) finished ahead of the broader market as top-weighted Apple (AAPL 108.38, +0.68) outperformed. The Dow component jumped 0.6% after unveiling the iPhone 7 and a new iteration of the Apple Watch. Meanwhile, fellow heavyweight Facebook (FB 131.05, +1.32) rose 1.0% after Morgan Stanley issued some bullish commentary on the name. Conversely, the high-beta chipmakers underperformed, evidenced by the 0.7% decline in the PHLX Semiconductor Index.

In the energy sector (+0.3%), refining names outperformed ahead of this evening's inventory report from the American Petroleum Institute. Phillips 66 (PSX 79.59, +0.48) and Valero Energy (VLO 56.09, +0.82) ended higher by 0.6% and 1.5%, respectively. The Department of Energy's more influential inventory report will be released tomorrow morning at 11:00 a.m. ET. For its part, WTI crude ended its pit session higher by 1.4% ($45.48/bbl; +$0.63).

Biotechnology led in the health care space (-0.1%) as the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 286.10, +2.01) ended higher by 0.7%. In the ETF, Gilead Sciences (GILD 78.22, +0.34) outperformed after noting that it continues to examine potential M&A options, but would prefer to partner with a more mature company with a revenue stream. Meanwhile, Valeant Pharmaceuticals (VRX 30.27, +0.80) and Progenics Pharmaceuticals (PGNX 6.34, +0.18) gained after the two unveiled the first FDA approved Relistor tablets for commercial sale in the United States.

In the consumer staples space (-0.9%), grocery store names weighed as the sub-group moved lower in sympathy with Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM 19.68, -3.13). The stock was under pressure after cutting its third-quarter and full-year guidance. Kroger (KR 31.32, -1.35) and Whole Foods (WFM 29.08, -1.62) fell in sympathy with the name, declining 4.1% and 5.3%, respectively. 

Treasuries ended on a flat note with yields little changed through the curve. The yield on the 2-yr note ended flat (0.73%) while the yield on the 10-yr note settled lower by one basis point (1.53%).

Today's participation was below the recent average as fewer than 803 million shares changed hands on the NYSE floor.

Today's economic data included the weekly MBA Mortgage Index and the July Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey: 

  • The MBA Mortgage Index showed that mortgage applications increased 0.9% in the week ending September 3. This followed a 2.8% gain in the prior week.
  • The July Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey showed that job openings came in at 5.871 million from a revised 5.643 million (from 5.624 million) in June.

Tomorrow's economic data will include weekly initial claims (consensus 265k) and Consumer Credit for July (consensus $16.0 billion), which will cross the wires at 8:30 ET and 15:00 ET, respectively. 

  • Russell 2000: +11.0% YTD
  • S&P 500: +7.0% YTD
  • Dow Jones: +6.3% YTD 
  • Nasdaq Composite: +5.5% YTD 

>>> Fed Beige Book Summary

Fed Beige Book Summary

  • Reports from the twelve Federal Reserve Districts suggest that national economic activity continued to expand at a modest pace on balance during the reporting period of July through late August.
  • Most Districts reported a "modest" or "moderate" pace of overall growth. However, Kansas City and New York reported no change in activity, and Philadelphia and Richmond noted that, while still expanding, activity slowed from the previous period.
  • Contacts across the twelve Districts generally expect moderate economic growth in coming months.
  • Overall consumer spending was little changed in most Districts, and auto sales declined somewhat but remained at high levels.
  • Tourism activity was flat from the previous report but above year-earlier levels. Sales of nonfinancial services gained further momentum.
  • Manufacturing activity rose slightly in most Districts.
  • Activity in residential real estate markets grew at a moderate pace, but the pace of sales was constrained in a few Districts by shortages of available homes.
  • Commercial real estate activity expanded further.
  • Demand for business and consumer credit varied across Districts but appeared to expand at a moderate pace overall, with stable credit quality.
  • Agricultural conditions were mixed, with price declines largely offsetting growing volumes.
  • Overall demand for energy-related products and services weakened.
  • Labor market conditions remained tight in most Districts, with moderate payroll growth noted in general. Upward wage pressures increased further and were moderate on balance, with more rapid gains reported for workers with selected specialized skill sets. Price increases remained slight overall.

>>> China to completely end use of incandescent bulbs - Cree & Light higher

China to completely end use of incandescent bulbs
Siu Han, Taipei; Adam Hwang, DIGITIMES [Wednesday 7 September 2016]
The China government will prohibit imports and sale of 15W to below 60W incandescent light bulb from October 1, 2016, leading to a complete end to use of such lighting product, according to industry sources.

The prohibition is beginning its third phase, with the China government prohibiting the import and sale of 100W and above incandescent light bulbs from October 1, 2012 as the first phase and did so for 60W to below 100W models from October 1, 2014 as the second phase, the sources said.

The prohibition is expected to boost demand for LED light bulbs, the sources noted. In particular, LED filament light bulbs will replace 15-30W incandescent bulbs, the sources said.

Currently in the China market, LED lighting products account for about 30% of all lighting products, the sources indicated.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:
  • SFM -13.2%, HDS -9.5%, CASY -7.4%, PLAY -6%, SIGM -5.3%
  • FAST -2.8%, (reports August sales +9.9% y/y to $364.87 mln, daily dales +0.3% to $15.86 mln)
  • GIS -1.3%, (presenting at conf; reaffirms 2017 fiscal targets)
Select EU financial related names showing weakness:
  • LYG -0.9%, RBS -0.8%, BCS -0.7%, HSBC -0.6%
Select metals/mining stocks trading lower:
  • HMY -2.7%, BBL -2.6%, BHP -2.4%, DRD -2.2%, RIO -2%, VALE -1.6%, X -1.5%, GOLD -0.6%, MT -0.5%
Other news:
  • CTLT -8% (announced the launch of 19 mln share common stock secondary public offering by selling stockholders)
  • SMLP -7.9% (commences an underwritten public offering of 5,500,000 common units)
  • EVH -3.1% (launches underwritten secondary public offering of 7 mln shares of its Class A common stock on behalf of selling shareholder)
  • AMD -3.1% (files mixed securities shelf offering for an undisclosed amount; to commence concurrent public offerings of ~$600 mln of its common stock and $450 mln aggregate principal amount of its convertible senior notes due 2026)
  • OLLI -2.2% ( files common stock shelf offering for an undisclosed amount; announced that affiliates of CCMP Capital Advisors intend to offer 13,725,798 shares of common stock in an underwritten public offering),
  • AVXS -2% (announces proposed public offering of 4,000,000 shares of common stock)
  • CPE -1.6% (to acquire certain undeveloped acreage & producing oil and gas properties for total consideration of $327 mln in cash, provides Howard County operational update; commences 23 mln common stock offering in connection w/ the previously announced Plymouth Acquisition),
  • GWW -1.4% (in sympathy with FAST)
  • NAV -1% (following 40% move higher on Volkswagen collaboration news)
Analyst comments:
  • OLN -3.4% (downgraded to Underperform at Longbow)
  • NGG -0.9% (downgraded to Mkt Perform at Bernstein )
  • WCC -0.9% (downgraded to Perform at Oppenheimer)
  • RCL -0.8% (downgraded to Hold at Argus)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:
  • AAOI +18.4%, ( raises Q3 guidance ), FRAN +13.7%, WDC +6.2%, MBUU +4.7%, HQY +4.1%,
  • BZH +2.9%, (announces preliminary results for the first two months of its fiscal Q4), AGX +2.3%, SCWX +1%
Other news:
  • RTRX +25.9% (announces positive top-line results from the Phase 2 DUET study of sparsentan)
  • CRIS +19.3% (announces its collaborator, Aurigene Discovery Technologies, will receive 10.2 million shares of its common stock at $2.40/share)
  • AGIO +13.3% (nnounced that its collaboration partner Celgene (CELG) expects to submit a new drug application for enasidenib)
  • XTLB +13.2% ( announces the European Patent Office has granted a patent for lupus drug candidate hCDR1)
  • GVP +11.7% (receives contracts to provide updates to nuclear site simulator platforms for customers in the UK and Japan; two projects add over $6 mln to its backlog and include options that could grow backlog significantly further)
  • CLCD +9.7% (after 100%+ move higher on Tuesday)
  • PGNX +7% (Valeant Pharma and Progenics announce the U.S. commercial launch Of FDA-approved Relistor Tablets; poster presentations to highlight RELISTOR tablets during PAINWeek in Las Vegas, on September 6-10)
  • BLRX +6.7% (enters a collaboration w/ Roche Group)
  • RPTP +6% (presents data from Meta-Analysis demonstrating efficacy of QUINSAIR)
  • CMG +5.7% ( Pershing Square discloses 9.9% active stake, intends to engage in discussions with management and the Board)
  • STX +3.4% (in sympathy with WDC)
  • VRX +2.3% (Valeant Pharma and Progenics announce the U.S. commercial launch Of FDA-approved Relistor Tablets; poster presentations to highlight RELISTOR tablets during PAINWeek in Las Vegas, on September 6-10)
  • CS +1.6% (announced that Tim O'Hara will be succeeded by Brian Chin, currently Co-Head of Credit, as CEO of Global Marketsg)
  • MYL +1.4% (modestly rebounding following yesterday's weakness)
Analyst comments:
  • AV +1.3% (upgraded to Buy at UBS)
  • SGEN +0.7% (initiated with a Overweight at Morgan Stanley)
  • COP +0.6% (upgraded to Hold at Jefferies)

WSJ : Goldman Sachs Has Started Giving Away Its Most Valuable Software

Goldman Sachs Has Started Giving Away Its Most Valuable Software

The bank’s new gambit: deploy its technology to win more business from clients

From the kitchen table in his Upper West Side brownstone, Michael Dubno recently scratched out from memory the blueprint for the modern Goldman Sachs Group Inc.
The sketches, dashed out on a yellow legal pad, more or less match what Mr. Dubno drew on a white board 25 years ago, in a dusty corner office on the fifth floor of Goldman’s old downtown headquarters: a schematic for a software database that would help the investment bank make billions of dollars in well-timed trades, and sidestep billions more in losses.

Called Securities DataBase, or SecDB, the system remains Goldman’s prime tool for measuring risk and analyzing the prices of securities, and it calculates 23 billion prices across 2.8 million positions daily. It has played a crucial role in many of the seminal moments of the firm’s recent history, including its controversial trading just ahead of the financial crisis.

Goldman had guarded it closely, resisting offers from rivals such as Deutsche Bank AG to license the database. One former partner recalls huddling with Gary Cohn, one of Goldman’s top executives, a decade ago to ponder what a licensing deal would be worth. Mr. Cohn told his colleagues he wouldn’t do it for $1 billion. For $5 billion? Maybe, he said, according to the former partner.

“It was such a competitive advantage,” Mr. Cohn, who was promoted to president in 2006, said recently.

There is perhaps no better sign of the changes that have engulfed Wall Street than this: Goldman has recently started giving clients the tools that made it a trading powerhouse, for free.

The firm’s motives aren’t altruistic; rather, many of the edges that once made Goldman’s traders feared and admired have been blunted. New rules have limited banks’ trading risks, and made it costly to hold large inventories of stocks and bonds on their books. And electronic trading has squeezed margins, dimming the clamor of trading floors across Wall Street.


“Regulation has dulled that advantage,” said Peter Carr, a former Morgan Stanley executive who teaches at New York University.

Traders and executives tap into SecDB to inform how to price securities, and how the value of those assets may change with a twist on the dial on any one of thousands of potential variables. That information can be used to analyze potential trades—and then to monitor the risks posed by those positions.

What made it the envy of Wall Street, though, was its ability to scale up to include new classes of securities, new trading desks, even whole businesses. And the data it harnessed was all in one place. Megamergers left rivals with a hodgepodge of different systems and different factions of employees loyal to each of them. Goldman avoided big acquisitions, evading issues that would slow its ability to track risks.

Thus, Goldman’s new gambit: Deploy its technology to win more business from clients. Many of those tools are being offered in the form of web-based applications that customers can customize and operate on their own.

“It’s the content, tools and analytics we’ve been working on for decades, and we’re putting it in the hands of clients,” said R. Martin Chavez, Goldman’s chief information officer.

Some investors and clients harbor doubts that Goldman can pivot so sharply.

“I’m not sure their core competency is being a tech company,” said Jason Brady, chief executive of Thornburg Investment Management, which manages $55 billion and trades with Goldman. “So it’s a shift, and I’m not sure I want that to be their role.”

The trick for Goldman will be to win over clients like Jeffrey Young, who co-heads an investing unit within Ramius LLC, a New York money manager.

A Goldman saleswoman introduced Mr. Young to a Marquee app during a choppy period in the markets, when he needed regular updates on the bespoke derivatives he had bought from Goldman.

“They’re trying to be more proactive—instead of just saying ‘we need to satisfy what the client wants,’ they’re saying ‘let’s make sure they’re as happy as possible,’” he said. “They’re more open with a lot of their intellectual property.”

Goldman is seeking its niche in a crowded field. BlackRock Inc. offers its own risk-management system, called Aladdin, and Bloomberg LP’s terminals remain a ubiquitous presence on trading floors.

Mr. Chavez is an alumnus of J. Aron, the commodities trading arm where many of Goldman’s leaders, including Chairman and Chief Executive Lloyd Blankfein and his top deputy, Mr. Cohn, got their start.

Inside Goldman, J. Aron was a backwater. While the firm’s stock traders were doted on by waiters with trays of cocktail shrimp, J. Aron’s offices featured ragged furniture and spittoons.

SecDB’s run within Goldman began when Marc Spilker, a currency-options trader, sought a pricing database with the flexibility to add new derivatives. He turned to Armen Avanessians, a former Bell Labs engineer Mr. Blankfein had hired and the man one Goldman alum referred to, somewhat affectionately, as the “Darth Vader” of the strategists, or strats—a team of engineers J. Aron had begun to assemble to work on computer models.

The task fell to Mr. Dubno, a college dropout and former videogame developer who had come to Goldman to work for famed economist Fischer Black. Two other engineers, Glenn Gribble and Kevin Lundeen, soon followed. Mr. Avanessians hired Mr. Chavez in 1993 to extend SecDB to J. Aron’s commodities desk.

Even by J. Aron’s standards, Messrs. Dubno, Gribble and Lundeen stood out. They destroyed nearly all of their office’s ceiling tiles tossing a volleyball around the room, and blasted rock music. When their next-door neighbor complained, the firm fitted the office with soundproofing insulation, Mr. Dubno said.

The SecDB system received an early test in 1998, when hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management nearly collapsed. Goldman used the database to help analyze its exposure, an episode that helped raise SecDB’s profile within the firm, according to people familiar with the matter.

Over time, SecDB spread to other parts of J. Aron and, ultimately, the entire firm. As Mr. Blankfein rose up the ranks, he insisted that SecDB and the strategists join him.

By the time the housing market boomed, SecDB had reached Goldman’s firmwide risk and finance departments. “Thank goodness we did that when we did,” recalled Robert Berry, who heads Goldman’s market-risk team.

As the prices on securities tied to subprime mortgages began to decline in late 2006, Mr. Berry and other executives plotted out how the firm’s positions performed against its models. They could soon tell something wasn’t right.

Goldman made some profitable bets against the housing market and, in some instances, began reducing exposure to other counterparties, even as many of their peers and clients remained bullish (later, the firm’s moves were roundly criticized as evidence it put its own interests above its customers’).

Goldman marked down the value of its mortgage bonds, a step that led to a bitter fight over collateral with insurer American International Group Inc., Mr. Cohn said. The dispute helped trigger AIG’s massive bailout by the U.S. government.

Mr. Chavez left Goldman in the late 1990s, eventually founding a Silicon Valley startup he sold in 2004. While running that company, Mr. Chavez filed an application for a patent on a system some Goldman partners found similar to SecDB. They were incensed that Mr. Chavez had failed to credit Goldman, and brought it to Mr. Cohn’s attention, people familiar with the matter said.

Goldman sent Mr. Chavez “a nasty letter,” one person said. Mr. Cohn, though, declined to authorize a lawsuit. When Mr. Chavez sold his startup, Mr. Cohn persuaded him to rejoin Goldman.

Goldman elevated Mr. Chavez to CIO in 2013. The flagship in his strategy is Marquee, a series of applications that allows clients to tap into SecDB and other systems.

One app called Simon offers a platform for independent brokers to customize and buy structured notes. Another, Athena, allows Goldman’s corporate clients to execute their stock-buyback programs.

The firm’s engineers are also building a data warehouse that will store all of the information produced internally in one location, a so-called “data lake” that is Goldman’s answer to the “customer analytics” movements that have revolutionized industries ranging from advertising to retailing.

“Goldman still has a strategy, and the next wave of competitive challenges,” said Mr. Dubno, who left the firm in 2005. “And Marty has made a few moves on the chessboard.”

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
Gapping up: AAOI +20.5%, GVP +11.7%, XTLB +9.4%, PGNX +8.8%, CMG +5.8%, WDC +5.5%, MBUU +4.2%, HQY +4.1%, VRX +2.4%, MYL +2.1%, CS +1.6%,TWTR +1.4%, OAS +1.3%, RDS.A +1.1%, NOK +1%, COP +1%, SCWX +1%, TOT +0.7%

Gapping down: SIGM -12%, HDS -9.5%, SMLP -7.7%, CASY -7.4%, CTLT -7.2%, SFM -6.8%, PLAY -6.5%, HMY -3.9%, AMD -3.7%, OLLI -2.3%, BHP -2.3%, BBL-2.2%, MUX -2.2%, KR -2.1%, LYG -1.9%, RIO -1.8%, SHPG -1.6%, CPE -1.5%, RBS -1.5%, MT -1.4%, BCS -1.4%, SNN -1.3%, CLCD -0.9%, NAV -0.9%, CCL-0.8%, GOLD -0.8%, DB -0.8%, EXEL -0.7%, HSBC -0.7%