>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: Japan manufacturing PMI expands again while Trade remains in surplus; ATT confirms Time Warner deal

***Friday US markets on close: Dow -0.1%, S&P500 flat, Nasdaq -1.5%***
- At the close: VIX 13.34 (-0.4pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 0.83% (+1bp), 10-yr 1.74% (-1bp), 30-yr 2.49% (-1bp)
- Best Sector in S&P500: Consumer Discretionary (Services)
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Healthcare

***Weekend US Corporate Headlines***
- TWX: AT&T confirms to acquire Time Warner in a stock-and-cash transaction valued at $107.50/shr; total transaction value $108.7B
- T: Reports Q3 $0.74 v $0.74e, R$40.9B v $41.1Be; Raises dividend 2.1% to $0.49 (implied yield 5.2%); Full-year guidance on track to meet or exceed expectations
- TWX: Spokesperson for Hillary Clinton: Regulators need to closely scrutinize Time Warner - AT&T deal - press
- BEAV: Rockwell Collins to acquire B/E Aerospace for $8.3B; Total consideration of $62/shr comprised of $34.10/shr in cash and $27.90/shr in stock
- BEAV: Reports Q3 $0.83 v $0.80e, R$732.7M v $711Me
- COL: Reports Q4 $1.58 v $1.57e, R$1.45B v $1.48Be
- GNW: China Oceanwide to acquire Genworth Financial for $2.7B or $5.43/shr
- TD: TD Bank and Ameritrade said to be close to finalizing $4B deal for Scottrade - financial press

***Asia Session Notable Observations, Speakers and Press***
- Weekend full of M&A activity, with confirmed deal for Time Warner from AT&T, which is already attracting regulatory scrutiny from US regulators and both presidential candidates. Rockwell Collins also buying B/E Aerospace and China Oceanwide acquiring Genworth.
- Japan economic datapoints both better than expected - trade surplus of ¥498B was above consensus ¥366BE. Exports fell -6.9% (12th consecutive decline), but smaller than expected -10.8%. Imports were likewise down 16.3% but better than expected 17.0%. Eveports to Asia and US were off by just over 8% - smaller than in the prior month. Japan's prelim manuf PMI for this month grew again, with 2nd straight month of expansion and a 9-month high of 51.7. Among top components, new export orders increased at faster rate, input price decline was slower and employment increased faster. Lastly out of Japan, BOJ Semiannual Financial Stability Report indicated Japan financial system has been maintaining stability, but increasing number of regional banks unable to cover expenses with lending.
- Oil prices down slightly after Iraq Oil Min suggested Iraq should be exempt from OPEC production cuts because of its war with ISIS; Suggests Iraqi output in Sept was 4.7M bpd, may rise further from govt measures to welcome international oil field development. Recall last week, Iran also welcomed global energy names to help with post-sanction development of the sector.
- In the UK, PM May to meet with first ministers of Scotland, Wales and N Ireland on Monday as each side expects to request London's plans for Brexit. In Spain, opposition Socialist Party votes to stand aside and allow PM Rajoy to form a govt, ending 10-month political impasse after 2 inconclusive elections

***Asian Equity Markets (00:30ET)***
- Nikkei225 +0.3%, S&P/ASX -0.6%, Kospi +0.1%, Shanghai Composite +0.1%, Hang Seng -0.7%

***FX ranges/Commodities/Futures/Fixed Income (00:30ET):***
- EUR 1.0860-1.0885; JPY 103.82-103.99; AUD 0.7590-0.7615; NZD 0.7145-0.7170
- Dec gold -0.3% at $1,263/oz, Dec crude oil -0.5% at $50.60/brl, Dec copper +0.5% at $2.10/lb
- GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 16.6 tonnes to 953.6 tonnes; first decline since Oct 5th
- SLV: iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings rise to 11,395 tonnes from 11,294 tonnes prior; multi-year high
- Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.1%, Dax +0.1%, FTSE100 +0.1%
- USD/CNY: (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.7690 V 6.7558 PRIOR; lowest CNY setting since 2010
- (CN) PBOC to inject CNY70B in 7-day reverse repos, CNY60B in 14-day reverse repos and CNY40B in 28-day reverse repos
- (AU) Australia MoF (AOFM) sells A$300M in 5.75% 2022 Bonds; avg yield: 1.928%; bid-to-cover: 6.57x
- (KR) South Korea sells 20-yr govt bond, avg yield 1.69%

***Key economic data:***
- (JP) JAPAN SEPT TRADE BALANCE: ¥498B V ¥366BE; ADJ TRADE BALANCE: ¥349B V ¥211BE
- (JP) JAPAN OCT PRELIM PMI MANUFACTURING: 51.7 V 50.4 PRIOR; 2nd straight month of expansion; 9-month high
- (TW) Taiwan Sept Unemployment Rate: 3.9% v 4.0%e

***Asia movers***
- Consumer discretionary: Coca-Cola Amatil CCL.AU -6.7% (Deutsche Bank cuts to Hold); Panasonic Corporation 6752.JP -0.6% (to broaden partnership with Tesla)
- Consumer staples: Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co 600887.CN +7.1% (acquisition); CJ CheilJedang Corp 097950.KR +1.1% (Goldman Sachs raised to Buy); Orion Corp/Republic of South Korea 001800.KR +1.2% (Goldman Sachs cuts to neutral)
- Financials: Bank of Ningbo Co 002142.CN +4.4% (Q3 result); Credit Corp CCP.AU -3.8% (Wilson Asset no longer a substantial Holder); GF Securities Co 000776.CN +4.0% (Q3 result)
- Industrials: China High-Speed Railway Technology Co 000008.CN +10.0% (plans to sell shares); China Resource Cement 1313.HK +6.3% (Q3 result); Mitsubishi Motors 7211.JP +0.3% (Goldman Sachs raised to Buy)
- Technology: Casetek Holdings 5264.TW -4.1%, Catcher Tech 2474.TW -2.0% (new iPhone casing); Chicony Electronics 2385.TW +2.4% (prospect for GoPro)
- Materials: Asia Cement China Holdings Corp 743.HK +3.7% (guidance); Perseus Mining PRU.AU +11.4% (production update)
- Energy: Yanzhou Coal Mining Co. 1171.HK +5.5% (Q3 result); Santos STO.AU % (raises to Neutral by JPMorgan); Tokyo Gas 9531.JP +0.2% (raises H1 guidance)
- Healthcare: Astellas Pharma Inc 4503.JP +2.4% (H1 result speculation)
- Telecom: China Unicom 762.HK -1.3% (quarterly result)

WSJ : The Fatal Mistake That Doomed Samsung’s Galaxy Note

On the verge of challenging Apple’s mobile phone dominance, the South Korean company made a rushed decision, based on incomplete evidence, that later forced it to kill the model.
.

After reports of Galaxy Note 7 smartphones catching fire spread in early September, Samsung Electronics Co. executives debated how to respond. Some were skeptical the incidents amounted to much, according to people familiar with the meetings, but others thought the company needed to act decisively.

A laboratory report said scans of some faulty devices showed a protrusion in Note 7 batteries supplied by Samsung SDI Co., a company affiliate, while phones with batteries from another supplier didn’t.


It wasn’t a definitive answer, and there was no explanation for the bulges. But with consumers complaining and telecom operators demanding answers, newly appointed mobile chief D.J. Koh felt the company knew enough to recall 2.5 million phones. His suggestion was backed by Samsung’s third-generation heir apparent, Lee Jae-yong, who has advocated for more openness at one of the world’s most opaque conglomerates.

That decision in early September—to push a sweeping recall based on what turned out to be incomplete evidence—is now coming back to haunt the company.

Two weeks after Samsung began handing out millions of new phones, with batteries from the other supplier, the company was forced to all but acknowledge that its initial diagnosis was incorrect, following a spate of new incidents, some involving supposedly safe replacement devices. With regulators raising fresh questions, Messrs. Lee and Koh decided to take the drastic step of killing the phone outright.

Samsung discontinued production of Galaxy Note 7 smartphones after incidents of the phones catching fire.
Samsung discontinued production of Galaxy Note 7 smartphones after incidents of the phones catching fire. PHOTO: ASSOCIATED PRESS
The Galaxy Note series helped make Samsung a smartphone leader, and the Note 7, its most advanced phone ever, had all the makings of a hit. For a moment, it looked like the Galaxy Note could win over users of Apple Inc.’s iPhone and cement Samsung as one of the world’s most dominant technology companies.

Instead, as a result of the flammable phones and the botched recall Samsung’s leaders are now struggling to salvage the company’s credibility. At risk is the expected February launch of its next flagship smartphone, likely to be called the Galaxy S8.


The U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission, which oversees product recalls in Samsung’s biggest smartphone market, is expected to investigate whether Samsung notified the agency soon enough of dangers posed by the device. Samsung’s decision to launch its own recall, bypassing the CPSC’s formal process for a time, may have prevented regulators from figuring out more about the root cause, some U.S. lawmakers suspect.

Samsung still doesn’t have a conclusive answer for what’s causing some Note 7s to catch fire.

A Samsung spokeswoman said the company worked quickly with regulators and took immediate action when problems arose with the phone. “We recognized that we did not correctly identify the issue the first time and remain committed to finding the root cause,” she said. “Our top priority remains the safety of our customers and retrieving 100% of the Galaxy Note 7 devices in the market.”

Outside experts have pointed to a range of possible culprits, from the software that manages how the battery interacts with other smartphone components to the design of the entire circuit.

Engineers are also looking into the possibility that the battery case may have been too small to house a battery of that capacity, according to one Samsung mobile executive.

Big product recalls are never easy. Consumers, however, are often willing to forgive mistakes if they believe the company is looking out for them and moving swiftly to address problems.

“What Samsung should have done, very early on, was to share even its preliminary findings or thoughts” with U.S. regulators rather than pushing its own recall, said Stuart Statler, a former CPSC commissioner and independent product safety consultant in Mooresville, N.C.


Samsung executives have delayed the development of the Galaxy S8 device by two weeks as engineers work to get to the bottom of the Note 7’s overheating problem, according to a member of the Galaxy S8 development team.

Meanwhile, investors have shaved off roughly $20 billion in Samsung’s market value. The company has said the recall would cost it $5 billion or more, including lost sales.

Introduced in 2011, the Galaxy Note series has served as a point of pride for the South Korean company, which was long derided for following—and sued for allegedly copying—the iPhone.

The bigger-screen phone was in tune with consumer tastes. When iPhones were shrinking in size, the Galaxy Note anticipated the shift to bigger handsets, which earned it the nickname “phablet,” a mashup of phone and tablet.


By the time Samsung released its third iteration in September 2013, the Galaxy Note was a certified hit, selling 10 million units in two months. The next year, Apple released its first Galaxy Note-sized iPhone.

As word reached Samsung executives that only incremental changes were likely for Apple’s iPhone 7 this year, Mr. Koh and other top executives grew confident about their prospects for a head-to-head fall release of the next version. The company decided to skip the number 6 and jump straight to 7, a name change that would invite direct comparisons with Apple’s model.

Samsung’s engineers packed new features, including an iris scanner, water resistance, an improved stylus and about 16% more battery life than its previous Note device. Presales for the Note 7 started strong after Mr. Koh introduced the device at a lavish event at a theater in Midtown Manhattan on Aug. 2. Analysts boosted their projections for Samsung’s earnings, while investors pushed the stock to record highs.

As user reports of overheating began to trickle in days later, company executives were at first unruffled. Some suspected that many of the alleged incidents had been faked, and argued that even a small number of genuine cases shouldn’t overshadow the fact that millions of smartphones were working fine, according to people familiar with their thinking.

Gathering at Mr. Koh’s office at R5, the 27-story office tower overlooking Samsung’s sprawling Digital City campus south of Seoul, he and other mobile executives, including his predecessor, J.K. Shin, and longtime Samsung top lieutenant G.S. Choi, examined the X-ray and CT scan reports of the phone, which appeared to show heat damage to the internal structure of the battery, according to people familiar with the discussions.

Messrs. Lee and Koh believed they had all the evidence they needed to conclude the problem lay with Samsung SDI’s batteries, these people said. They argued it was more important for Samsung to do “the right thing” and act, in the words of one of the people familiar with the matter, rather than wait for more information. Doing so would have left customers in the dark longer and potentially allowed the crisis to get worse.

On Sept. 2, Mr. Koh entered a news conference room in downtown Seoul to address reporters. Without providing names, he said the company had identified a problem with one of its suppliers and it would shift production to another supplier it believed hadn’t caused the problems.

People familiar with the matter say that the supplier Samsung planned to rely on was Amperex Technology Ltd., a unit of Japanese electronic parts maker TDK Corp.

In Washington, Mr. Koh’s announcement came as a surprise to the Consumer Product Safety Commission. Typically, companies work jointly with the CPSC to study a problem and plan a recall together.

Samsung didn’t notify the CPSC of the problems until later that day, according to people familiar with the matter—about two weeks after the first reported Note 7 incident.

CPSC regulations require companies to report potential product hazards within 24 hours, though the commission allows companies that are “truly uncertain” about an issue to spend a “reasonable time” investigating the situation.

Samsung also took the little-noticed decision to pursue what’s known as fast-track resolution with the CPSC. The program allows a company to shorten the agency’s sometimes-lengthy investigation of a product problem, while avoiding a formal finding by the CPSC of a defect—a maneuver that can insulate manufacturers from product-liability litigation.

The CPSC warns that some companies might not want a fast-track resolution in situations where “complex technical issues…require more time to resolve.”

At first, Samsung’s recall solution seemed to work. Consumers were turning in their phones and asking for new Note 7 phones in about 90% of the cases, Samsung said. The company’s executives basked in praise, particularly from the South Korean press that Samsung executives read obsessively, who credited Samsung with acting swiftly.

The CPSC, though, appeared unhappy with some of the company’s maneuvers. A week after Mr. Koh’s recall announcement, on Sept. 9, the agency took the unusual step of warning consumers not to use the phones while it did more research, and said it would work to determine whether Samsung’s plan to issue replacement phones was “an acceptable remedy.”

A few days later, Samsung and the CPSC finally agreed to a formal joint recall.

Meanwhile, complaints about overheating replacement phones, and of isolated cases of battery failures, began emerging. A Samsung spokesman said initially there was no safety concern.

In China, where the company used only Amperex-supplied batteries in its Note 7s, the company dismissed reported smartphone fires as fabrications, arguing it was impossible for those batteries to have caused problems.

As it became clear the reported problems were multiplying, employees describe a kind of gallows humor setting in. One mobile division executive described the Galaxy Note 7 as a “radioactive” topic, with staffers afraid of even discussing it in the company canteen.

A local television news crew camped outside the offices at 6 a.m. to film a report about how many lights were on at the company, to illustrate the depth of the company’s crisis.

Then came the evacuation of a Southwest Airlines Co. flight in early October because of a smoking Samsung smartphone.

Top executives from major telecoms operators, including Verizon Communications Inc.’s Lowell McAdam, urged Mr. Lee to quickly kill the Galaxy Note 7 smartphone, according to people familiar with the matter. The executives told Mr. Lee the smartphone was becoming increasingly unsalable.

On Oct. 11, Mr. Lee called Mr. Koh and ordered him to discontinue the smartphone. Later that day, Mr. Koh wrote a letter to the company’s mobile division, a copy of which was reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, calling the crisis “one of the toughest challenges we have ever faced.”

While the decision to abort the Note 7 has halted the damage for now, analysts have raised questions about the future of the Galaxy Note series, arguing that the brand has become too tarnished by the crisis and that the company should retire it altogether.

At least two U.S. senators, Bill Nelson of Florida and Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut, have asked for more details about Samsung communication with the CPSC and its handling of the phone crisis. Mr. Blumenthal noted in a letter to Samsung released publicly that so far in the current fiasco, Samsung has reported 96 incidents of batteries overheating in the U.S., including 13 burns and 47 cases of property damage.

Last week, at the urging of CPSC Chairman Elliot Kaye, the agency approved a proposal for a wide-ranging inquiry into lithium ion and related batteries in coming months.

“There are few things in life I’m reasonably confident of predicting; one of those is….we’re going to have yet another issue of lithium ion batteries catching fire” from a range of devices, said CPSC commissioner Robert Adler. “This is just a massive problem.”

>>> Nordea: merger with ABN Amro still possible; perhaps next year - report (tra

Nordea: merger with ABN Amro still possible; perhaps next year - report (translated)
Nordea, the Swedish bank, remains interested in a merger with Dutch bank ABN Amro, Dutch public broadcaster NOSreported, citing remarks by Nordea Chairman Björn Wahlroos to the Finnish public broadcaster.
Nordea's overtures last month to state-owned ABN Amro were declined by the Dutch government, the report noted.
Wahlroos said he had been in touch with the Dutch government, and was told that discussions can continue after general elections in the Netherlands, planned for March 2017, the item added, citing the interview with the Finnish broadcaster.
Wahlroos further remarked ABN Amro and Nordea would be a great match. If a deal is done, he suggested the company's joint headquarters would be located in the Netherlands, the item added.

>>> What to look at this Week- End - 22nd & 23rd of October

Weekly Performance
Dow +0.04%S&P +0.38% Nasdaq +0.83% Russell +0.47% Nikkei +1.95% Hang Seng +1.49% CSI +0.66% Shanghai +0.89% Brazil +3.79% Euroyoxx +1.73% CAC +1.46% Dax +1.23% Ibex +3.79% MIB +3.47% FTSE +0.10% SMI -0.68% WTI +0.20%
With Q3 earnings releases ratcheting up and a plethora of M&A stories hitting the tape, investors poured over a steady flow of corporate news throughout the week. Banks and financial companies continued to report generally strong quarterly results, highlighted by Bank of America and American Express. Generally, managements struck a cautiously-optimistic tone on their conference calls pointing to a December rate hike as a likely catalyst. Major industrial names were much more subdued in their commentary as sluggish global growth and a resurgent US dollar remain impediments. General Electric and Illinois Tool Works saw share price declines as investors were underwhelmed with their guidance. Early season technology reports painted a divergent picture for several industry bellwethers. Netflix, PayPal, and Microsoft surged on growth prospects for the cloud and digital media consumption, while old line names like IBM and Intel continued to see their share prices lag behind. Finally, by Friday talk of major industry consolidation was rampant as reports circulated that AT&T was closing in on a deal to acquire Time Warner. The news came amidst a flurry of M&A announcements and speculation across a variety of industries including consumer staples, retail, pharmaceuticals, and of course technology.

Macro :
- London Can’t Be EU Finance Center Post-Brexit, Euronext CEO Says
- France, Japan May Split Nuclear-Reactor Research Cost: Mainichi
- SocGen Picks This VIX Trade to Hedge Heavy Dec. Macro Calendar
- S&P 500 Skew Unwind Shows Complacency Over Clinton Win: Analysis

Keep an eye on :
- ARL GY : Aareal Bank Seeks to Expand U.S. Business: Euro am Sonntag
- ABI BB : Altria Announces Increased Ownership of Anheuser-Busch InBev
- ABN NA : Nordea Chairman Says ABN Merger Would Have Led to a ‘Great Bank’
- AF FP : Air France to Present Plan, Detail Cuts Next Month: Figaro
- AF FP : KLM Cabin Crew to Strike 10 Minutes Ahead of Flights on Oct. 24
- CS FP : Axa in Talks to Sell Insurance Broker Bluefin to Marsh: Sky News
- BEAV US : Rockwell Collins to Buy B/E Aerospace for $62/shr Stock, Cash
- BMPS IM : Soros, Paulson May Weigh Paschi Investment: Sole
- BMPS IM : Unipol may take stake in BMPS - Italian Press
- BMPS IM : Paschi Plan May Call for 10-11% ROE by 2019: Messaggero
- BMPS IM : Kuwait Soverign Fund May Weigh Investment in Paschi: Corriere
- BN FP : Turnaround at Danone Could Boost Stock 25%, shift toward profitable, sustained growth and its acquisition of WhiteWave Foods could drive double-digit profit gains through 2019. Barron's
- ENGI FP : Engie Says no Decision Made Yet on Australia Charcoal Plant
- FCCN LN : French Connection Advised by Moelis on Approaches: Telegraph
- IFX GY : Infineon Not Planning Large Acquisitions, CFO Tells Boersen Z.
- MC FP : LVMH CEO Says Russia Is Important Country for His Company
- MAERSKB DC : Iran in Talks With Maersk to Develop South Pars Oil: Zamaninia
- MRL SM : Merlin Aims to Issue Bonds for Metrovacesa Debt: Economista
- NOVN VX : Novartis Postpones Roche Shr Sale Until It Finds M&A Target: SZ
- ROG VX : Roche Gets FDA Approval for Fully Automated Blood-Screening Test
- ROG VX : Novartis Postpones Roche Shr Sale Until It Finds M&A Target: SZ
- SAMPO FH : Sampo Will Likely Sell Insurance Portfolio to Danske: Wahlroos
- SUBC NO : Subsea 7 Drops Plan to Sell Seaway Heavy Lifting Shrs: Telegraaf
- TIT IM : Reuters - Egyptian investor, bondholders mull bid for Brazil's Oi -sources
- UNI IM : Unipol may take stake in BMPS - ITalian Press
- VOW3 GY : VW Owners Depart From Ferdinand Piech Management Style: Spiegel

(TechCrunch) AT&T’s new streaming service, DirecTV Now, just got a lot more inte

AT&T’s new streaming service, DirecTV Now, just got a lot more interesting

AT&T’s soon-to-launch live streaming service, DirecTV Now, just got a lot more interesting following AT&T’s acquisition of Time Warner. Announced earlier this year, DirectTV Now was already an anticipated new arrival on the cord-cutting scene, thanks to its plans to stream more than 100 live channels over the Internet without having to agree to traditional pay TV contract. More of a rival to Dish’s Sling TV or Hulu’s forthcoming live TV offering, than something like Netflix, the acquisition will give AT&T access to Time Warner’s formidable media properties for its video service at the best possible terms.
That could translate into better packages and pricing for DirecTV Now subscribers. That is, more of the quality pay TV channels could be offered under one low price point, instead of breaking up the available channels into “skinny bundles” – something AT&T and DirecTV haven’t been keen on, saying that these smaller packages aren’t scalable.
Instead, when AT&T in March announced its plans to launch its own streaming service, DirecTV Now, it said the idea would be to offer all the content you’d typically find in a regular pay TV bundle, but un-tether it from the set-top box. The company had described it as “pay TV as an app.”
With Time Warner’s content coming in-house, AT&T has gained access to wealth of TV and movie properties, including HBO, CNN, TBS, TNT, Cartoon Network, and the Warner Bros. film studio, home to the Harry Potter and DC Comics franchises. Through Turner, its has the rights to the NBA, March Madness and MLB. That will help with its channel lineup and selection.
And with HBO under its wing, AT&T can take advantage of the technical learnings HBO has acquired by running its own, successful over-the-top streaming service, HBO NOW.
As any Sling TV subscriber can tell you, there’s still plenty of room to compete in this area by offering a streaming TV service focused on cable-like programming, but with fewer glitches and a better user experience. Sling TV still has an awful interface, despite its upgrades, and has struggled in the past under peak usage, as with the season premiere of “Game of Thrones,” for example. HBO, meanwhile, has seemed to better figure out how to handle massive loads of viewers.

Then there’s the fact that, as a carrier, AT&T has will offer better deals to DirecTV subscribers who are also AT&T customers. The company already said that the data require to stream it on mobile, would be incorporated into the content cost.
This could help AT&T better compete with T-Mobile, which has been marketing its “Binge On” services as a way to stream music and video from over 100 top services without counting towards your data plan.
For AT&T, the deal, of course, means the carrier has a way to make money from mobile video, which is also what it’s betting on as the future of TV. More people today aren’t just cutting the cord, they’re forgoing a pay TV subscription altogether, opting for over-the-top subscription services like Netflix, or even just free video content like YouTube. That has put AT&T, like other mobile operators, into the position of being a ‘dumb pipe’ – something all are loath to do. With a mobile-optimized streaming TV service, sold as an add-on to its cellular service, that changes.
But while there are advantages to the deal from AT&T’s perspective, consolidation like this could be bad for competition. AT&T will own some of the best video content around, and could then deny it to rivals, raise the licensing costs or use it as a bargaining chip in rights negotiations. These concerns, however, are likely to be the focus of regulators, who could require certain concessions for deal approval – like not withholding HBO from rival streaming services, for example – or not discriminating against competitors’ content on its service – something Comcast had to agree to with its own NBCUniversal deal.

(TechCrunch) Driverless cars will be widespread by 2020

Driverless cars will be widespread by 2020

Rahul Sonnad is CEO of Tesloop, a Los Angeles-based transportation start-up offering zero-emission ride-sharing in Southern California through its fleet of Tesla vehicles.
But while Sonnad, like most of us, is very involved as a citizen in the 2016 election, he’s less engaged as an entrepreneur. Whether Clinton or Trump is elected won’t make much of an immediate difference to transportation policy, he suspects.
That said, however, he is very impressed with Obama’s transportation policy, particularly the recently announced guidelines on autonomous cars. He’s also a big supporter of California’s electronic car incentives which, he sees, as having a much bigger impact than most Federal government initiatives.
By the 2020 election, however, Sonnad believes that driverless cars will have become ubiquitous. The impact will be “completely transformative”, he said.

And while it’s hard to imagine the kind of issues that will dominate the 2020 election, Sonnad suggests that the autonomous car might well have become a more relevant political issue by then.
If Sonnad is correct, we should also expect the ubiquity of driverless cars to have an impact on the increasingly angry debate around technological unemployment, especially given the broader impact of AI on traditional industrial jobs.
As always, many thanks to CALinnovates for their support in the production of this interview.

Re/Code.net :The ghost of AOL will haunt the Time Warner-AT&T deal

The ghost of AOL will haunt the Time Warner-AT&T deal
The 2000 merger with AOL made Time Warner CEO Jeff Bewkes nauseated, so what’s different now?

In the end, I guess you could finally say Steve Case was right.
Case led AOL to great power in the 1990s, and he then presided over what has become known as one of the worst mergers of all time, when he combined his high-flying internet giant with Time Warner, back at the turn of the century.
It was a truly epic move, all predicated on the very big idea that distribution and content had to marry in the digital age and that whoever did that successfully would rule the next era of media and more.
It was also an epic failure, brought down by a toxic combination of timing and execution.

Which is to say that the body of Time Warner — made up of the mandarins of media whose power was waning, although they did not know it at the time — rejected the deal almost immediately and made sure it would never succeed. Even as the fast-and-loose slicksters of AOL did everything possible to seem as lightweight as they still were at the time.
You could write books on what went wrong — and I did — which begs the question of what Time Warner now thinks will go right in the deal it just struck with telecom giant AT&T to be taken out for $85 billion.
As expected, the media has gone wild, dragged along breathlessly as they are for any holy-god deal, nearly forgetting that some of its current principals were the very same people that had been the biggest critics of the match-up of Time Warner and AOL.

On Monday, those very same execs will be the ones telling the world that this time it’s different, that this time is the right time, that this time the union of a phone company and the maker of “Game of Thrones” is just what this era of convergence requires.
Convergence — yes, that word. It was in the very first line of the deal press release, describing a “new company with complementary strengths to lead the next wave of innovation in converging media and communications industry.”
But I will never never forget the mock retching sounds that both Time Warner CEO Jeff Bewkes and HBO head Richard Plepler made when I uttered it in an interview with them, way back when AOL was being foisted on them with the very same written-by-a-banker premise.

At the time, the pair were lesser beings at Time Warner — Bewkes ran HBO and Plepler ran PR for HBO. Unlike most other Time Warner execs who said nothing publicly about the merger with AOL, both Bewkes and Plepler were adamantly and vocally opposed to it.
In interview after interview I did with them — especially as the combination started turning south, which it did pretty quickly — the pair could not be any more in lock-step about how the digital distribution skills of AOL would do nothing for Time Warner.
It’s not that the two did not understand what was coming — they could see the internet marching into the heart of their business, and decimating everything in its path. But they were adamant that the creation of great content would always prevail, that it was still king and that the questionable stock valuation of AOL was a fake that had allowed it to sully the pristine beauty of Time Warner.
This week, I dug up many old quotes from Bewkes I had gotten at the time in which he talked about all this and more — most of Plepler’s thoughts on the AOL invaders were too expletive-laden to use then and now — and one really struck a chord of the time.
“The question is, are people really going to watch what we make on a computer screen or not,” said Bewkes. “I think an awful lot rides on whether that happens or not.”
Well, it happened and more, although I don't fault Bewkes at all for not seeing any of it. Back in 2000, Google was not much of search company, Amazon pretty much only sold books, Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg was in high school and the Apple iPod was not coming out for a year.
And the most critical event, the introduction of the iPhone in 2007, which kicked off the mobile future that ultimately gets us to AT&T + Time Warner, was not even a thought in the head of Steve Jobs.
Yes, mobile, mobile, mobile, which is why you got this quote out of Bewkes today:
“Combining with AT&T dramatically accelerates our ability to deliver our great brands and premium content to consumers on a multiplatform basis and to capitalize on the tremendous opportunities created by the growing demand for video content.”
It’s one of those digital bromides that would have made Bewkes of yore vomit, of course. Which is why back then, he and others rejected a number of ideas that perhaps would have made things different had they been pushed through at the time.
Among them: Not integrating AOL’s access business with its cable access efforts called RoadRunner; not pushing the boundaries of digital advertising, such as putting movie ads from Warner Bros. films on AOL and other digital properties; not experimenting aggressively in streaming online, both in video and music, due to vexing copyright issues.
And, crucially, indulging in the urge to discount everything the AOLers pushed.
To my mind, that attitude is really what scotched that AOL-Time Warner deal: The wholesale scoffing at these questionable messengers — to be clear, some of them were pretty questionable — without listening to message itself. Which was that change was coming, so you better get busy moving fast and breaking things.
I am guessing this kind of doubt will seep again this merger, as the penny drops with the media types at Time Warner that they are now working for a phone company.
As everyone sorts out whether AT&T can really help Time Warner move into the already-here digital future and truly add to its offerings, one of the biggest dangers of a deal such as this is that those at Time Warner see it as a final defeat of a war that began a long time ago.
But resistance to digital was futile back then as it is now. Which is why I pinged Steve Case for his thoughts on this deal this weekend, which might be the ultimate irony for the longtime entrepreneur.
And here’s what he wrote in its entirety:
“While back in 2000, some didn’t believe in the internet and/or didn’t believe in convergence, of course those concepts now seem obvious. So it’s not surprising to me that we are again seeing attempts to marry communications and content. I just hope the merged company will have the kind of culture that will enable it to drive synergies and create value.”
“As I explained in ‘The Third Wave’, and as we discussed on your podcast, the idea of the AOL/Time Warner merger made sense, both strategically and, at least for AOL, financially. What was flawed was the execution. But, as Thomas Edison said more than a century ago, vision without execution is hallucination. And execution is all about the right people focused on the right priorities, working together in the right way.”
“Maybe I should send a copy of my book to the boards and senior teams at both companies?”
Maybe, Steve. Maybe. That is, if anyone reads books these day — but that’s another story.

>>> Atlante urged by ECB to speed up Veneto Banca/BPV merger

Atlante urged by ECB to speed up Veneto Banca/BPV merger – report (translated)

Atlante, the Italian bank rescue fund, has been urged by the European Central Bank (ECB) to speed up the merger of Veneto Banca and Banca Popolare di Vicenza (BPV), Italian language daily Il Messaggero reported. The unsourced report said that the request was made at a meeting in Frankfurt on 18 October to Alessandro Penati, the chairman of Quaestio, the company that manages Atlante.
The request could be discussed on 28 October by the management of Veneto Banca and BPV, the report said.

The report noted that Atlante controls over 90% of both Italian lenders.

WSJ : Rockwell Collins to Buy B/E Aerospace for $6.4 Billion--2nd Update

Rockwell Collins to Buy B/E Aerospace for $6.4 Billion--2nd Update

Rockwell Collins Inc. said Sunday that it had agreed to pay $6.4 billion to buy B/E Aerospace Inc. in a deal that would unite two of the global aerospace industry's biggest suppliers.
The proposed deal values B/E Aerospace at $62 a share in cash and stock, a 22.5% premium to Friday's closing share price. The agreement continues a slew of deals in the aerospace industry as suppliers adjust to pressures from Airbus Group SE and Boeing Co. to cut costs as they work through a backlog of more than 10,000 jets valued at over $1.5 trillion.
The Wall Street Journal reported Saturday that the companies were in advanced talks.

Rockwell Collins has long been viewed by analysts as a potential takeover target, and bulking up would provide Chief Executive Kelly Ortberg with a bigger vehicle to drive deals with airlines and plane makers.
For Rockwell, based in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, the deal would add to a portfolio focused on cockpit and cabin systems and other electronics for passenger, business and military jets. The company could provide a broader offering of passenger cabin products alongside its range of entertainment systems with in-flight connectivity becoming increasingly important to airlines.
B/E Aerospace, based in Wellington, Fla., is one of the world's largest makers of aircraft seats and other interior fittings such as galleys. It already has an installed base of $12 billion, providing opportunities to sell upgraded equipment to airlines, as well as a backlog of almost $9 billion.
Rockwell plans to create an interiors division headed by B/E Aerospace CEO Werner Lieberherr. The company also said it plans to retain its investment-grade credit rating.
Airlines and leasing companies typically order seats and other fittings direct from the manufacturer and B/E Aerospace has benefited from production problems at French rival Zodiac Aerospace SA that have helped the U.S. company win market share over the past year.
The proposed deal also comes as investors in the aerospace sector have become concerned that the prolonged rise in aircraft production will start to slow because of cooling economic conditions.
A number of aerospace and defense companies and assets have changed hands recently. Last year, Lockheed Martin Corp. bought the Sikorsky helicopter unit from United Technologies Corp. for $9 billion. Earlier this month, CIT Group Inc. agreed to sell its commercial-airline leasing business to Chinese conglomerate HNA Group for about $4 billion.
Earlier this year, Honeywell International Inc. aborted its $90 billion bid for United Technologies. The two companies had big overlap in their business units, especially in aerospace, and a transaction would have faces steep regulatory hurdles.
B/E Aerospace shares closed Friday at $50.61, valuing the company at $5.1 billion after a nearly 20% rise this year. Rockwell is more than twice the size, with a $10.9 billion market value.

Citigroup and Goldman Sachs served as financial advisers to B/E Aerospace and Shearman and Sterling LLP served as legal counsel. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. and Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom advised Rockwell Collins on the deal.
Both companies also reported their quarterly results in connection with the deal announcement. Rockwell said its earnings increased 13%, while its sales rose 4.4% driven by improvement in the government systems division. Its sales projection for the recently started business year was short of Wall Street estimates.
As for B/E Aerospace, earnings surged 82% from a year-earlier period that was hit by restructuring charges. Revenue, meanwhile, grew 7.8%, buoyed by the commercial aircraft segment. The company also raised its guidance for the year.