>>> ECB has purchased €1.26T worth of bonds in public sector purchase program (P

ECB has purchased €1.26T worth of bonds in public sector purchase program (PSPP, QE) as of w/e Dec 26th v €1.24T prior week 
- Total ABS purchases (ABSPP) to date now €23.0B vs. €23.1B prior 
- ECB has now purchased total €204.1B vs. €204B prior under its covered bond purchase program 3 (CBPP3)
- ECB has now purchased total €51.2B vs. €50.6B prior under its corporate sector purchase program

>>> US Filings, Offerings and Pricings

Filings, Offerings and Pricings
Filings:
  • Amyris (AMRS) filed for offering of 10 mln shares of common stock on behalf of selling stockholders
  • Carolina Financial (CARO) filed for $100 mln mixed securities shelf offering
  • Chatham Lodging (CLDT) filed for mixed securities shelf offering; size not disclosed
  • Celsion (CLSN) filed for $15 mln offering of common stock and base warrants
  • Catalyst Pharma (CPRX) filed for $33.84 mln offering of common stock
  • Helios & Matheson (HMNY) filed for 3,926,293 share common stock offering by selling security holders
  • Lion Biotech (LBIO) filed for $100 mln mixed securities shelf offering
  • Milacron Holdings (MCRN) filed for $100 mln offering of common stock on behalf of selling stockholders
  • Planet Fitness (PLNT) filed for offering of Class A common stock on behalf of selling stockholders; size not disclosed
Offerings:
  • DryShips (DRYS) enters into a $200 mln purchase agreement with Kalani Investments; co agreed to issue up to $1.5 mln of its common stock as a commitment fee
  • Energy Fuels (UUUU) enters into controlled equity offering sales agreement to sell from time to time up to an aggregate of $20 mln of common shares

>>> US Gapping Down

In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance: n/a

Other news:
  • ELGX -16.6% (Endologix announces temporary hold on shipments of its AFX Endovascular AAA System to complete investigation of manufacturing issue with some sizes)
  • BAS -10% (successfully completes prepackaged restructuring and emerges from Chapter 11 with $125 million of new capital and debt level reduced by $775 million)
  • AVXS -5.2% (following IONS/BIIB spinal muscular atrophy drug approval news)
  • HMNY -4.5% (filed for 3,926,293 share common stock offering by selling security holders)
  • AMRS -4.5% (filed for offering of 10 mln shares of common stock on behalf of selling stockholders)
  • RBA -3.1% (light volume; reported auction update and was downgraded at Raymond James)
  • AMPH -2.3% (receives complete response letter for Primatene mist from the FDA)
  • DB -2.2% (following weakness in overseas trade)
Analyst comments:
  • GPRO -0.3% (cautious Piper commentary regarding holiday sales)

>>> US GApping Up

In reaction to strong earnings/guidance: JMEI +3.1%.

Select metals/mining stocks trading higher: AUY +3.1%, HL +2.5%, ABX +2.2%, GDX +1.9%, SLV +1.5%, GLD +0.8%, PVG +1.5%, PAAS +1.1% (acquires an additional 10 mln common shares of Maverix Metals through the exercise of 10 mln previously acquired common share purchase warrants).
A few Brazil ADRs/related names are trading higher: VALE +3.9%, GGB +3.8%, SID +2.3%, PBR +1.7%, ITUB +1.3%, BUD +1.2%

Other news:
  • IONS +6.5% and BIIB +2.3% (FDA approves Spinraza/nusinersen, the first drug approved to treat children and adults with spinal muscular atrophy -- marketed by Biogen)
  • REFR +6.1% (light volume - still checking)
  • NVCN +5.2% (continued strength after Friday's 17% move higher)
  • PLX +4.8% (receives confirmation of order for over $24 million of alfataliglicerase to treat Gaucher patients in Brazil)
  • CEMP +4% and TXMD +3.7% (still checking, CEMP closed 14% lower last week)
  • NKTR +2.9% (light volume - being attributed to Shire news),
  • MTL +2% (ticking higher - extended the maturity of the debt on its credit lines until 2022)
  • NVDA +1.6% (continued strength)
  • LMT +0.5% (Lockheed Martin tweeted Friday 'LM CEO just had a good conversation with President Elect Trump; she personally committed to drive down the cost of the F-35')
  • MU +1.2% following last week's 15% move higher; also Barron's profiles long term positive view on Micron)
  • AGN +0.5% (still checking for anything specific)
  • TSLA +0.3% (Tesla Motors and Panasonic will begin manufacturing solar cells and modules in Buffalo, NY)
  • HOLX +0.2% (receives FDA PMA approval for HIV-1 Quant Assay)
  • SRG +0.2% (modestly rebounding on light volume - announces proposed new unsecured credit facility)
Analyst comments: CY +0.3% (ticking higher; Improving U.S autos primed for a better 2017 - Mizuho)

>>> Greece Fin min Tsakalotos: Govt remains fully committed to agreed upon fisca

Greece Fin min Tsakalotos: Govt remains fully committed to agreed upon fiscal path for 2016-18 period - letter to ESM 
- To remain faithful for fiscal pat based on primary surplus targets of 0.5%, 1.75% and 3.5% of GDP in 2016, 2017 and 2018 respectively
- Will activate contingency fiscal mechanism, put in place in context of 1st review, in case outturn data validated by Eurostat shows that those agreed targets not met

FT : Britain’s traditional brewers squeezed by rise of craft beer

Britain’s traditional brewers squeezed by rise of craft beer
Mid-sized brands lack tax breaks of microbreweries or efficiencies of big operations

The rise of “craft beer” and microbreweries is forcing Britain’s traditional brewers to change decades of tradition as they compete for space at the bar.

Brewers such as Shepherd Neame, Black Sheep and Camerons, many family-owned, say they are an increasingly “squeezed middle” between multinational drinks companies and trendy, but state-subsidised, microbreweries.

The number of microbreweries has risen dramatically since 2002, when Gordon Brown halved beer duty for companies that make less than 5,000 hectolitres (3,055 barrels or 880,000 imperial pints) a year. The duty rises on a sliding scale to full tax at 60,000 hectolitres.

In 1970, the UK had 140 breweries. There are now about 1,700 of them, according to accountancy group UHY Hacker Young.

Mr Brown intervened after a spate of brewery closures from Stones of Sheffield and the Brakspear brewery in Henley-on-Thames to Vaux in Sunderland.

For small brewers, the tax break can shave about a fifth off their costs and as craft beer sales have grown, the rise in competition has hit midsized brewers hard.

“We don’t have the duty benefit of the small guys or the efficiencies of the bigger ones,” said Ian Parkinson, director of Moorhouse’s Brewery in Burnley.

“Microbreweries have a 25-30 per cent price advantage. It is an unfair playing field. I am unaware of any other market where the government intervenes so directly like this.”

In response, Thwaites, founded in 1807, licensed its popular Wainwright and Lancashire bomber brands to one of the big pub and beer companies — Marston’s — in 2015. It now only brews niche ales for its pub, hotel and spa estate.

Shepherd Neame has branched out into hotels and food, while retaining brewing volume by supplying unbranded bottles to discount supermarkets.

Moorhouse’s, founded in 1865, once had a niche making Black Cat, a mild beer. In recent years it has invested £4.2m in a new brewery, added beers such as White Witch and trebled its capacity to 85,000 hectolitres (15m pints) a year. It now pays about 95 per cent of full duty.

Last year, it turned over £5.2m and made a £300,000 loss but the expansion has given it significantly more capacity, even as it pays more tax. “Forty-five per cent of our revenue goes straight to the exchequer,” said Mr Parkinson.

To compete, it has produced a beer called Stray Dog with the band New Order, following the success that another brewer, Robinson, had with Trooper beer and Iron Maiden. Camerons brewery has meanwhile launched Motörhead Road Crew beer, in collaboration with members of the band.

“There are advantages to being our size. A microbrewer could not do that. I think there are some big opportunities, especially in exports,” said Mr Parkinson.

Mr Parkinson has also led a marketing push and done deals with pub chains such as JD Wetherspoon.

There are also signs that some microbreweries are struggling. Ben Norman, director of Twickenham Fine Ales, London’s oldest microbrewery after 12 years in operation, said some rivals were giving up.

“The problem is that it’s very easy to set up a brewery and make beer — the start-up costs are low. But consistently making quality beer and selling it is tough.

“In the early days, local pubs want to support you, so you get a burst of sales, you buy more kit and brew more beer. But then, a mile down the road, someone more local than you begins brewing.

“And as you get bigger, duty goes up and your cost base rapidly rises.” He said he knew a number of brewers who were purposefully sitting just below the duty threshold.

Mr Norman added that with customers constantly wanting to try new ales, it was difficult to win customer loyalty. “We get a lot of customers saying: I’ve tried you now, I want to try someone else.”

Camerons: the last north-east brewer standing
At the Head of Steam pubs, “it’s about theatre”, said John Foots, finance director of Camerons brewery, which owns the brand. “It’s about the full experience.”
When Camerons was founded in 1865, its priority was slaking the thirst of Hartlepool’s working men.
Today, local shipbuilding has vanished and steelmaking is a shadow of its past self but Camerons is still prominently located in the town’s centre.
The ninth biggest single brewery by volume in the UK and the only survivor of north-east England’s clutch of historic brewers has now launched Motörhead Road Crew beer, in collaboration with members of the band of the same name.
This new brew ties in with an export strategy that Camerons will pursue in the new year. Consignments of the beer have already been sent overseas, from Sweden to Slovenia. China, India and the US are among the export markets that Camerons is eyeing.
After a stable first century, Camerons had a succession of owners, culminating in acquisition in 2002 by David Soley, a north-east businessman. He is now chairman; his son Chris is chief executive. The Soleys own about 76 per cent and Heineken the rest.
Heineken, Carlsberg and Diageo buy the majority of its near-one million hectolitres a year output of ales and lagers from Hartlepool; Camerons’ own products, including Strongarm, Tontine, A-Hop-Alypse Now and Road Crew comprise the rest. As well as brewing, Camerons’ 75 pubs are core to the business.
Customers today, Mr Foots says, are “more choosy” than they were. With this in mind, Camerons says it is training “beer sommeliers” for its pubs. Its Head of Steam pubs offer a huge range of beers and other drinks — the one in Newcastle city centre was this month selling six cask beers, 14 keg beers and 150 bottled beers. A customer drinking Wizards Sleeve cider praised the friendly atmosphere. “And there’s so much choice; something for everyone.”

FT : Oil and gas discoveries fuel Senegalese fears

Oil and gas discoveries fuel Senegalese fears
Ordinary people doubt they will benefit from the expected windfall

Graffiti on a wall near the picturesque seaside promenade in Dakar, Senegal’s capital, makes clear what some locals think of their country’s recently discovered oil and gas reserves: more likely to be a curse than a blessing.

Macky=Aliou=Timis, reads a scrawl connecting President Macky Sall, his younger brother Aliou and the latter’s business partner Frank Timis, a controversial Romania-born businessman with an imploded mining company and heroin-related convictions to his name. Degage Gaz Petrole, it adds, which roughly translates as let go of the gas and oil.

With Texas-based Kosmos Energy sitting on 50tn cubic feet of gas reserves and UK-listed Cairn Energy boasting of projected reserves of 473m barrels of oil, Senegal is set to become Africa’s newest energy producer. But many ordinary Senegalese doubt the expected windfall will improve their lives.

“As always in Africa,” says Mansour Boiro, an accountant in his 40s with a small business in a Dakar suburb. “Whenever we have wealth, the government does not share it with the poor.”

Mr Boiro says he is thinking of Nigeria, Angola, the Democratic Republic of Congo and Mozambique. Across the continent, the nations with significant amounts of hydrocarbon and mineral resources are more often than not linked with corruption and poverty, not wealth.

In Senegal, Aliou Sall, the president’s brother, led Mr Timis’s Senegal subsidiary when Dakar awarded it two offshore permits in 2012. Two years later, the company sold them to Kosmos. Aliou Sall no longer works for Mr Timis’s Senegal subsidiary, though he has taken a new job for another Timis-controlled company.

The Y’en a Marre youth movement has joined small political parties in calling for more transparency in awarding contracts and more guarantees from the government that the Senegalese, and not just the state and international companies, will benefit. The government has said it will set up institutions to ensure greater transparency and is committed to ensuring that all Senegalese benefit.

Senegal has a lot to lose. With an economy underpinned by agriculture and forecast to grow at 6 per cent this year, the fact that it has never exported commodities in significant quantities has spared it from the slowdown gripping much of the rest of Africa in the wake of the commodities price crash more than two years ago.

“An economy dependent on oil is out of control because it is governed by geopolitical force and prices,” according to oil minister Thierno Sall, no relation to the president. Senegal intends “to learn from other oil-producing countries” and to act as the “guardian of these resources for the population”, he told an energy conference recently.

“Senegal is in a better position than many other African countries in terms of governance,” says Paolo Zacchia, chief economist for the World Bank in Senegal, citing rankings such as the 2016 Mo Ibrahim Foundation governance index.

Unique in west Africa, it has not witnessed a civil war or a coup since independence. In 2012, then president Abdoulaye Wade handed over power to Macky Sall, bolstering Senegal’s reputation in a turbulent region.

With a break-even price of $35 a barrel for its initial Senegal project, Cairn wants to push ahead to production while oil prices, and industry costs, are still low. It says it aims to get the first oil flowing in 2021, meaning revenues could reach government coffers in less than five years.

By contrast, analysts say commercialising Kosmos’s gas discovery may be prohibitively expensive and could also be complicated by legal and political challenges, because one of the main fields is split by Senegal’s border with Mauritania. It may also require a pipeline to be built through the Sahara to Europe.

There is still a lot to do. Few critical decisions, such as what percentage if any of revenues will be deposited in a fund for future generations, have been taken. The government has to overhaul its 1998 petroleum code and decide bidding procedures for future blocks. It is deciding how and where to educate young Senegalese in petroleum studies so they can eventually take well-paid jobs in the industry.

“I see a difference in pace between the operations on the ground [by the companies] and the discussions at the government level,” said Massaer Cisse, senior manager at Deloitte Senegal, one of the consultancies advising the government.

Some in the industry privately voiced concern about the government’s readiness to handle oil and gas revenues. “I don’t think they know what is about to hit them, and they don’t yet have the capacity to handle it,” said a senior executive from one of the companies in the consortium that will be extracting the oil.