Nvidia New Crypto-Currency Cards May Hurt AMD: Susquehanna
Nvidia will release two new graphics cards specifically targeted at the crypto-currency market in 3Q, Susquehanna analyst Christopher Rolland writes in a note, citing supply chain checks in Asia.
- NVDA’s new cards appear to be competitive on price and may pose a threat to AMD’s dominance in the cryptocurrency mining market
- Says contacts in Asia did not mention upcoming mining-specific cards from AMD, though some media reports have suggested this
- Separately, Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh says NVDA is well positioned for 2H, as it is getting traction with the DGX-1 and Volta V100 platforms
- Also sees consensus estimates for NVDA’s gaming-related revenue as conservative
- Reiterates NVDA buy rating, raises PT to $170 from $145
Early premarket gappers
Gapping up:
- SPNC +26.2%, ALQA +14.3%, SVA +5.7%, CRNT +3.6%, AMCN +1.7%,DLTR +1.7%, GOOS +1.2%, KBH +0.8%, MOMO +0.6%, PKE +0.5%
Gapping down:
- AVAV -10.8%, GMRE -10.2%, DRYS -3.9%, RYI -3.3%, CAMP -2.1%,CLR -1.6%, CTRP -1.3%, WLL -1.1%, OAS -1%, AMAT -0.7%, RIG-0.6%, QCOM -0.6%, AAPL -0.5%, BLUE -0.5%
General Mills beats by $0.02, beats on revs; guides FY18 below consensus
- Reports Q4 (May) earnings of $0.73 per share, $0.02 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.71; revenues fell 3.1% year/year to $3.81 bln vs the $3.75 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
- Fourth-quarter net sales for General Mills' North America Retail segment totaled $2.39 billion, down 3 percent from the prior year, driven primarily by double-digit declines in the U.S. Yogurt operating unit, partially offset by growth in the U.S. Snacks unit.
- "While we took important steps in fiscal 2017 to globalize our business structure, accelerate our cost-savings efforts, expand our margins, and drive growth in adjusted diluted EPS, our results on the topline fell well short of our standards. Our entire organization is moving with urgency in fiscal 2018 to meaningfully improve our net sales trends while keeping a sharp eye on our efficiency."
- Co issues guidance for FY18:
- Sees organic net sales down 1-2%, vs. expectations for total revenue to increase around 1%.
- Sees constant-currency adjusted EPS up 1-2%, which would equate to $3.11-3.14; co also sees $0.01 currency headwind to EPS; Capital IQ consensus calls for full year EPS of $3.19.
- Constant-currency total segment operating profit is expected to be in a range between flat and up 1%.
- "We remain committed to our Consumer First strategy and our focus on driving growth and returns for our shareholders," Harmening said. "Our top priority in fiscal 2018 is to make significant strides toward returning our business to sustainable topline growth. Our plans call for investment in product news and innovation to accelerate growth for businesses where we have positive momentum, and to improve those that are underperforming. We'll also increase investment in capabilities like e-commerce and Strategic Revenue Management, which are critical to future growth. And we'll maintain our cost management discipline, with strong levels of savings from Holistic Margin Management and additional benefits from our other cost-reduction initiatives.
- "This cost management discipline has helped us significantly expand our operating margin over the past two years," Harmening continued. "We continue to see opportunities for further margin expansion, including an increase in adjusted operating profit margin in fiscal 2018, but we will moderate the pace of expansion as we invest to restore topline growth. Looking forward, we're focused on delivering a balance of sales growth and margin expansion, along with strong cash conversion and cash returns, to create top-tier returns for our shareholders."
UK active managers: taking a shelling
The FCA’s long-awaited report will fuel the passive investment trend
It is hard to find anything the UK’s Financial Conduct Authority likes about active asset managers in a long-awaited report that will fuel the passive investment trend. Price competition is weak, it says. Profit margins of about 36 per cent are too high. There is little relation between the charges of active funds and their performance. Active managers, protected by the human shield of the banking industry since the financial crisis, are finally getting it in the neck.
It will be an extended process, like the courtship of the creature that inspired the nickname of FCA boss Andrew “Sexy Tortoise” Bailey. Fund groups and their shareholders are relieved the report does not go further: the shares of Schroders and Jupiter were flat on the announcement. The regulator will, for example, consult further before requiring them to disclose a single, all-inclusive charge to investors.
But Mr Bailey will get there in the end, as will European regulators. Transparency is coming, dispelling easy money and shifty practices. “Box profits” are emblematic of these. Some asset managers swallow the bid-offer spread on dual-priced funds when they are able to match buy and sell orders internally, or “inside the box”. The FCA says it should stop.
Asymmetric performance fees are also in the sights of the FCA. Perhaps investment companies who get a bonus when funds beat benchmarks should pay a penalty when they undershoot? The suggestion will have made hedgies choke on their breakfasts at their discrete Mayfair clubs. The only crumb of schadenfreude for fund managers is in long-overdue criticism of powerful investment consultants.
It was inevitable the FCA would focus on charges, which are predictable, over performance, which is not. Its report is part of a regulatory trend whose consequence will be a further shift of client assets into low-cost index funds. These now control more than 20 per cent of about £7tn of assets managed by UK-based businesses.
Index funds are certainly cheap. But the idea that they immunise the investor from human error is fallacious. They merely replace the share screen of a lone optimist with one devised by an index committee. Passive investment makes “late stage momentum investors” of us all, as fund maverick Daniel Godfrey puts it. It is not a better system, merely one that worries regulators and disengaged investors less.
Gemalto (AMS:GTO) News Within 72 Hours?
Gemalto: things are apparently progressing well – even though the share price is looking rather flat. An update should be forthcoming shortly, with the possible scenarios in focus over the next 72 hours, if a deal is not done by then.
Traders seek source of Hong Kong’s ‘Enigma’ market crash
Tangle of cross-shareholdings and fuzzy balance sheets linked to small-cap sell-off
Amid the hundreds of Hong Kong companies screened every year by independent investor David Webb, the 50 he chose to dub the “Enigma” network could seem insignificant. But when almost half that list plunged this week without warning or known cause, the group he mapped in May suddenly took on new importance.
The crash erased $6bn in market capitalisation on Tuesday, left the stock prices of 13 companies down more than 50 per cent with the worst off 94 per cent lower. On Wednesday the bloodbath continued, pulling Hong Kong’s junior Growth Enterprise Market to a record low.
It was, however, only the latest in a series of wild market moves in the city over the past two years that are forcing regulators to act. On Tuesday, the Securities and Futures Commission did not deny that it was investigating some of the companies involved.
The network laid out by Mr Webb is a noodle soup of tangled cross-holdings that vary from less than 1 per cent to more than 50 per cent. The companies involved range from an umbrella maker and building contractors to several brokers and the would-be owner of English football club Hull City FC.
Mr Webb, a one-time investment banker and a long-time thorn in the side of Hong Kong’s market officials, drew the network after he noticed a series of fuzzy balance sheet disclosures of “financial assets” with no detail. After he pushed the Hong Kong Exchange last year to enforce its disclosure rules, the cross-holdings emerged through earnings updates and annual reports.
And his network probably does not cover all the connections: “I couldn’t fit them all in,” he admitted.
But even Mr Webb does not know what exactly caused the crash.
“Maybe we never will,” he said. “But the bigger thing here is that this situation has been allowed to build up by the Hong Kong Exchange and the SFC.”
Over the past two years, several issues have emerged through a series of dramatic price swings and events — all of which are evident to some extent in this week's crash.
One is the lack of disclosure for share-backed lending, a popular form of borrowing in Hong Kong where stock is pledged for cash loans. A popular theory to explain Tuesday’s crash is that a lender dumped a portfolio of pledged shares after a borrower could not meet a margin call.
Another is Hong Kong’s struggle to stamp out the creation of “shell” companies, which often soar on the expectation they will become vehicles for a mainland group to reverse into and avoid the scrutiny of a full listing. Some of Tuesday’s crashes would fall into this category, such as China Jicheng, the umbrella maker that ended down 94 per cent. It rose more than 20-fold in the seven months after listing.
At the heart of it all, however, is what an increasing number of investors, analysts and regulators — privately at least — are calling manipulation.
The smaller end of the Hong Kong market is characterised by companies with thin turnover and highly concentrated shareholdings. The SFC went as far on Tuesday as to admit the conditions were conducive to misconduct.
Activities under that range from share buybacks seemingly designed to ramp up a share price — an allegation levelled at Evergrande, the Chinese developer that began to buy its shares the same day it promised to cut leverage — to the sort of hard-to-find connections between separate groups as mapped by Mr Webb.
The importance of those links was exemplified on Wednesday by Amco United, a medical device maker and one of the biggest decliners, which warned it would report a “substantial” half-year loss due to its share trading activities.
Said one fund manager: “That Churchill line about a riddle wrapped up in an enigma — that’s the Hong Kong market, and David Webb has probably only scratched the surface if you look at today’s falls.”
All but 10 of the 50 Enigma stocks ended lower again on Wednesday, with the worst off, Hao Wen Holdings, losing 53 per cent.
Mr Webb, formerly an independent director of the for-profit HKEX, is however unsparing of both groups and has called repeatedly for the SFC to take over the exchange’s regulatory powers.
“The SFC has been lackadaisical in its overall supervision of listed companies in that it has failed to exercise its full powers,” he said. “The HKEX has allowed companies to say they’re in the business of investment and trading but not disclose what is in there.”
Regulators are beginning to act. The Hong Kong Exchange has put forward plans to raise the bar for its Growth Enterprise Market, the junior board equivalent to London’s AIM. The SFC and the HKEX, meanwhile, are jointly consulting on streamlining the city’s convoluted listings process.
Regardless of any long-term changes from this week’s drama, short-term opportunists were already moving in on Wednesday. Said one bargain-hunter: “Some of those companies own hard assets. Even if you think the businesses they say they run are a zero, there might still be value in there.”
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