SkyNews : Payment app Revolut rides fintech wave with £300m valuation

SkyNews : Payment app Revolut rides fintech wave with £300m valuation
The UK-based payments app is close to announcing a new round of funding valuing it at around £300m, Sky News learns.

One of the UK's fastest growing financial technology companies is finalising a new round of funding that will value it at £300m.

Sky News has learnt that Revolut, a payments app which undercuts traditional rivals, is in the final stages of talks about a deal that will see it raising more than £50m.

The round will be led by Index Ventures, the technology company investor which originally acquired an interest in Revolut almost a year ago.

Sources said other existing investors including Ribbit Capital were also expected to participate in the latest fundraising, which could be announced as soon as next week.

It will be the latest in a string of multimillion pound investments in British fintech start-ups, which some commentators have hailed as a sign that the industry is able to withstand the looming impact of Brexit.

The Government has outlined its determination to mitigate the potential exodus of money provided by the European Investment Fund to UK venture investors by expanding the remit of the British Business Bank.

Revolut allows users to pay and transfer money into foreign currencies with no additional fees and at competitive exchange rates.

It has already attracted hundreds of thousands of customers attracted by the relative cost of using Revolut's service compared to many high street banks.

The company was founded by Nikolay Storonsky‎, who launched it about two years ago, making the latest fundraising a huge sign of its ambition at such an early stage of its existence.

>>> What to look at today - 29th of june 2017

Dow+0.68% S&+0.88% Nasdaq +1.43% Russell +1.55%
US Market closed higher helped by Tech & Financilas. Most other cyclical groups also finished solidly higher, including consumer discretionary (+1.0%), industrials (+0.9%), energy (+0.6%), and materials (+0.8%). WTI +1.1% @ 44.73. US After hours  PRGS +6%, KLIC +3%, SHLM / WOR +2%, PIR -11% following earnings/guidance... nearly every financial name is higher following CCAR results/capital plan updates. Asian Market trading higher, reflation theme has come into sharper focus with regional yields backing up again, coinciding with rallies in bank stocks and an underperformance of bond proxies. The yuan has been a regional focus with the offshore renminbi adding to gains versus the dollar. The currency is now up 1% from Tuesday's lows, with the PBoC suspected of having intervened Tuesday by encouraging state-owned banks to sell dollars.

Nikkei +0.39% Hang Seng +0.88% CSI +0.30% Shanghai +0.26%

Eur$ 1.1411 CNH 6.7847 CNY 6.7794 JPY 112.25 GBP 1.2693 CHF 0.9580 RUB 59.12 WTI$ 44.97 +0.51%

S&P +0.18% EuroStoxx +0.42% FTSE +0.55% Dax +0.56% SMI +0.40%

Macro :
- Swiss Govt to Oblige Co’s to Flag Open Jobs to Swiss First: T-A
- Banks Unleash Surprisingly Big Payouts After Fed’s Stress Tests


Keep an eye on :
- NDA GY : Aurubis Ebitda May Gain EU200M-600m by 2019/20, Schachler to BZ
- BAC US : Bank of America to Buy Back Up to $12b in Shares, Raise Dividend
- BAS GY : BASF Digitalization May Speed Up R&D by 20%, Raymond James Says
- BLT LN : BHP’s Nasser Says Activism Rising as Counter to Passive Funds
- CA FP : Carrefour to Introduce Brazilian Unit on Sao Paulo Exchange
- DHER GY : Delivery Hero Prices IPO at EU25.50, at Top End of Range
- DEC FP : JCDecaux Wins 10-Year Advertising Concession for Sao Paulo Metro
- HMB SS : H&M 2Q Pretax Profit Beats Est.
- JPM US : JPMorgan to Buy Back Up to $19.4b Shrs, Boost Div. to 56c/Shr
- LXS GY : Lanxess CEO Plans Further Acquisitions: Handelsblatt
- NAS NO : Norwegian Air to Recognize NOK2B Equity Boost After TRS Deal
- NESN VX : Nestle Ratings Cut to AA- from AA by Fitch; Outlook Stable
- POP SM : Santander Studies Compensation for Popular Holders: Expansion
- RIO LN : Rio Tinto Shareholders Approve Australian Coal Sale to Yancoal
- RIO LN : Rio Will Consider Shareholder Returns After Coal Assets Sale
- RR/ LN : Rolls-Royce Plans New Test Plant in U.K.: FT
- SIE GY : Siemens, Bombardier Said to Explore Two Rail Joint Ventures
- SOT FP : Somfy 5-for-1 Share Split to Be Effective at Market Opening
- SPLS US : Staples Agrees to Be Bought by Sycamore for $10.25 a Share
- SWMA SS : Swedish Match Price Hikes Likely Led to Lost Market Share: Citi
- TELIA SS : Cevian’s Gardell Said to Have Met With Telia Board Chairman: DI

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & DOwngrades - 29th of June 2017

>>> Up
*Atlantia Raised to Buy at Santander, PT EU28.60
*Barrick Gold Raised to Hold at Berenberg
*Elis Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley, PT EU23.10
*HSBC Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley, PT 850p
*Johnson Matthey Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
*Metro Raised to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux, PT EU33.60

>>> Down
*Deutsche Telekom Cut to Sector Perform at RBC, PT EU19
*Flow Traders Cut to Hold at ING
*Le Noble Age Cut to Neutral at Natixis
*Mediclinic Cut to Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley, PT 775p

>>> Initiation
*Beiersdorf New Hold at Investec, PT EU100
*Euronext New Hold at HSBC, PT EU48
*Eve Sleep New Buy at Peel Hunt, PT 135p
*GVC New Buy at Peel Hunt, PT 1,000p
*Hexagon Reinstated Neutral at Goldman, PT SEK435
*Koninklijke Volkerwessels New Buy at Bank Degroof Petercam
*LSE Resumed Hold at HSBC, PT 3,600p
*Munters Group New Neutral at Goldman, PT SEK76.50
*Munters Group New Hold at Jefferies, PT SEK80
*Munters Group New Neutral at Swedbank, PT SEK80
*Robit Resumed Buy at SEB Equities, PT EU13
*Taptica international New Buy at Berenberg, PT 420p
*Vopak New Buy at HSBC, PT EU49.50

>>> Goldman Sachs Refreshes European M&A Basket, Adds 16 New Names

Goldman Sachs Refreshes European M&A Basket, Adds 16 New Names

Goldman Sachs refreshes basket of potential European M&A candidates adding 16 new names where its analysts see at least 15% likelihood of acquisition and removes 13 to reflect analyst views, coverage and deal activity.
* Additions: Simcorp, Hexagon, Cellnex Telecom, SCA, EDP Renovaveis, Uniper SE, Galapagos, Essity AB, Unilever, Luxottica, Hammerson, Akzo Nobel, IMI, Rotork, Munters Group, Emerald Expositions Events
* Post the latest rebalance, the basket remains heavily exposed to U.K.-listed stocks
* GS European M&A basket has outperformed the SXXP by 9% since inception in June 2015
Current composition of basket is 108 stocks vs 105 listed in last rebalance

>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: Japan retail sales fall for the first time in 5 months; New Zealand Business Confidence improves


***US Session Highlights***
- (US) MAY ADVANCE GOODS TRADE BALANCE: -$65.9BE V -$66.0BE
- (US) MAY PRELIMINARY WHOLESALE INVENTORIES M/M: 0.3%E V 0.2%E
- Pres Trump tweets: "The #AmazonWashingtonPost, sometimes referred to as the guardian of Amazon not paying internet taxes (which they should) is FAKE NEWS!"
- (US) MAY PENDING HOME SALES M/M: -0.8% V +1.0%E; Y/Y: 0.5% V 0.5%E
- (JP) BOJ Gov Kuroda: firms remain cautious on spending - comments in Portugal
- (US) DOE CRUDE: +0.1M V -2.5ME; GASOLINE: -0.9M V -0.5ME; DISTILLATE: -0.2M V +0.5ME; total US production fell 1%
- Fed did not object to the capital plans of all 34 bank holding companies participating in the Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR). Capital One is the only bank that will need to resubmit within six months, although its plan was not entirely rejected.

***US markets on close: Dow +0.7%, S&P500 +0.9%, Nasdaq +1.4%***
- Best Sector in S&P500: Financials
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Utilities
- Biggest gainers: SPLS +8.4%; ARNC +5.8%; TRIP +4.5%
- Biggest losers: AAP -4.3%; ORLY -2.2%; FE -2.1%
- At the close: VIX 10.0 (-1.0pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 1.35% (-2bps), 10-yr 2.22% (+2bps), 30-yr 2.77% (+3bps)

***US movers afterhours***
- GEMP Announces top-line data from COBALT-1 Phase 2b clinical trial in HoFH patients ; +10.0% afterhours
- PRGS Reports Q2 $0.42 v $0.37e, Rev $93.4M v $90.9Me; Guides Q3 $0.41-0.43 v $0.44e, Rev $93-96M v $97.6Me; +5.6% afterhours
- COF Fed requires resubmission of its CCAR plan; Only US bank to require such; to maintain dividend at $0.40/shr (indicated yield 1.93%); to buy back $1.85B (4.5% of market cap); -1.3% afterhours
- PIR Reports Q1 -$0.04 v -$0.05e, Rev $409.5M v $421Me; Guides Q2 -$0.08 to -$0.04 v -$0.03e, SSS flat to 2%, net sales growth flat y/y ; -10.8% afterhours

***Politics***
- (BR) Brazil President Temer said to name Raquel Dodge as new top prosecutor; Temer’s residence subsequently attacked (Temer not inside) - US financial press
- (US) Brendan Carr expected to be nominated to a position at the FCC by President Trump as soon as today - recode

***Key economic data***
- (JP) JAPAN MAY RETAIL SALES M/M: -1.6% (first decline in 5 months) V -1.0%E; RETAIL TRADE Y/Y: 2.0% V 2.6%E
- (JP) Japan May Loans & Discounts Corp y/y: 3.9% v 3.7% prior
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAY HIA NEW HOME SALES M/M: 1.1% (2nd straight increase and 6-month high) V 0.8% PRIOR
- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR-MAY SKILLED VACANCIES Q/Q: 1.5% V 2.1% PRIOR
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND JUNE ANZ BUSINESS CONFIDENCE: 24.8 (8-month high) V 14.9 PRIOR; ACTIVITY OUTLOOK 42.8 (3-year high) V 38.3 PRIOR
- (KR) South Korea May Department Store Sales Y/Y: -1.9% v +0.5% prior; Discount Store Sales Y/Y: 1.6% v +2.3% prior

***Speakers and Press***
China
- (CN) Former China State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) Official Guan Tao: China economy to stabilize in H2; Ease in capital outflow to result in a rise in FX reserves - press
- (CN) China Vice Fin Min Zhu: Major economies should return to rate normalization
- (CN) According to a large China insurance company, China regulators have signaled to insurers that they will relax restrictions on overseas investments in 2018
- (CN) Moody's: China property sales are stronger in the lower tier cities

Japan
- (JP) Japan 2016 tax Rev said to be lower y/y for the first time in 7 years - Kyodo

Korea
- (KR) South Korea Pres Moon: Govt planning comprehensive job policy; Growth cannot become reality until peninsula has peace

***Asian Equity Indices/Futures (00:30ET)***
- Nikkei +0.5%, Hang Seng +0.9%, Shanghai Composite +0.3%, ASX200 +1.1%, Kospi +0.6%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.2%; Nasdaq +0.1%, Dax +0.1%, FTSE100 +0.1%

***FX ranges/Commodities/Fixed Income (00:30ET)***
- EUR 1.1375-1.1420; JPY 112.15-112.40; AUD 0.7580-0.7615; NZD 0.7260-0.7285
- Aug Gold +0.3% at 1,253/oz; Aug Crude Oil +0.4% at $44.95/brl; Sept Copper +0.7% at $2.69/lb
- iShares Silver Trust ETF daily holdings fall to 10,551 tonnes from 10,571 tonnes prior; first decline since June 20th
- (CN) PBoC: To skip today's open market operation (OMO); 5th consecutive skip
- (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN MID POINT AT 6.7940 V 6.8053 PRIOR (2-week high)

***Asia equities notable movers***
Australia
- Prime Media (PRT) +5.8%; Raises FY17 guidance
- Wesfarmers Ltd (WES) +0.4%; Said to be considering an industrial acquisition - Australian press
- Vocus Group (VOC) -0.3%; KKR said to be losing interest in a takeover of Vocus - Australian

Japan
- Honda (7267) +0.3%; Toyota (7203) +0.2%; Nissan (7201) +1.5%; May vehicle production
- Obic Co (4684) +1.6%; may report Q1 op profit ¥7B, +15% y/y; Rev ¥15B, +10% y/y - Nikkei

Hong Kong
- Tiangong International Company (826) +6.1%; Guides H1
- Sparkle Roll Group (970) +3.4%; Reports FY17
- Kingmaker Footwear Holdings (1170) +3.3%; Reports FY17
- Ngai Shun Holdings (1246) -4.4%; Reports FY17

>>> US After Hours Summary: PRGS +6%, KLIC +3%, SHLM / WOR +2%, PIR -1

After Hours Summary: PRGS +6%, KLIC +3%, SHLM / WOR +2%, PIR -11% following earnings/guidance... nearly every financial name is higher following CCAR results/capital plan updates

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: PRGS +6.1% (also acquires Kinvay a privately-held company based in Boston and leader in Backend as a Service (BaaS) technology, for $49 mln in cash), KLIC +3.4%, SHLM +1.9%, WOR +1.8%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: SPEX +15.2% (continued momentum), NXTD +11.4% (continued strength; also its Fit Pay will be providing payment capabilities for Token), MBUU +7.6% (to acquire Cobalt Boats for aggregate purchase price of $130 mln; expected to be accretive to Malibu's EPS; will host a conference call June 29 at 8:30 am ET), GEMP +5.9% (announces top-line data on the LDL-C primary endpoint from the completed open label Phase 2b COBALT-1 trial; Gemcabene achieves primary endpoint), SRPT +2.5% (appoints Douglas Ingram as president and CEO), VRX +1.9% (Salix announced FDA accepted the New Drug Application for NER1006 (PLENVU); expects FDA decision in first-quarter 2018), SPLS +1.5% (Staples confirms definitive agreement to be acquired by Sycamore Partners for $10.25 per share in cash, or ~$6.9 bln), LULU +1.4% (Director/co-Chair Glenn Murphy disclosed purchase of 100K shares worth more than $5.5 mln), NTNX +0.9% (extending this afternoon's move higher; confirms .NEXT Conference updates)

Financial names trading higher following CCAR results/capital plan update: FITB +3.1% (Fed approves capital plan to raise dividend to $0.16/share from $0.14/share and increase buyback), STI +2.6% (Fed has no objections to planned capital actions including 54% increase in the quarterly common stock dividend and authorization to repurchase $1.32 bln of outstanding common stock), DFS +2.6% (plans to increase quarterly dividend to $0.35 per share and to repurchase up to $2.23 bln of common stock), PNC +2.5% (plans approved to increase the quarterly cash dividend and share repurchase programs of up to $2.7 bln), RF +2.5% (proposed capital actions include increasing dividend, $1.47 bln stock repurchase program), C +2.4% (increases dividend to $0.32 per share from $0.16; $15.6 bln share repurchase totaling $18.6 bln in returns), BK +2.2% (ticking higher; Board approved the repurchase of up to $2.6 bln of common stock and plans to increase dividend 26%), HBAN +2% (proposed capital actions include a 38% increase of the quarterly dividend and the repurchase of up to $308 mln of common stock), CFG +1.9% (ticking higher; receives positive CCAR result, with continued increasing return of capital to shareholders highlighted by a nearly 30% increase in our dividend next quarter and sizable share repurchases), DB +1.8%, JPM +1.7% (to increase dividend to $0.56/share from $0.50/share and authorizes $19.4 bln share repurchase), WFC +1.6% (expects to increase the third quarter 2017 common stock dividend to $0.39 per share from $0.38 per share), BAC +1.5% (Bank of America confirms Federal Reserve did not object to Bank of America's capital plan to increase quarterly common stock dividend by 60 percent to $0.12 per share beginning in Q3 and authorized the repurchase of $12 bln in common stock), ZION +1.5% (increasing the common dividend to $0.24 per share and up to $465 mln of common stock redemption), MS +1.5% (announces $5 bln buyback and increases dividend), KEY +1.2% (announces CCAR capital plan which includes two common stock dividend increases and new share repurchase authorization), AXP +1.2% (Federal Reserve did not object to its adjusted capital plan to increase quarterly dividend by 9% and buy back up to $4.4 bln of common shares through Q2 2018), GS +1.2%, CMA +1% (light volume; capital plan includes equity repurchases of up to $605 mln), USB +1% (announces $2.6 bln stock buyback and plans to increases dividend)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: PIR -10.8%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: INPX -18.8% (launches underwritten public offering), BLCM -6.5% (files for $150 mln mixed securities shelf offering; files for 5,032,313 share common stock offering by the selling stockholders), AKBA -5.2% (proposes public offering of common stock), DOC -4.2% (commences public offering of 20 mln common shares of beneficial interest; increases Acquisition guidance to $1.2-1.4 bln from $0.8-1.0 bln; Announces acquisition of 18 medical office facilities for $735 mln), HTGM -3.3% (launched its new HTG EdgeSeq PATH Assay for sale in the U.S. and Europe), CRZO -2.6% (to acquire Delaware Basin properties for $648 mln in cash; expects second quarter production to exceed the high-end of its previously-provided guidance range; also commenced public offering of 15.6 mln shares of its common stock and announces offering of $250 mln of Senior Notes Due 2025), WHLR -2.3% (thinly traded; closes sale of an outparcel located at Rivergate Shopping Center and Carolina Place; reports May AFFO of $0.15/share)

Financial names trading lower following CCAR results/capital plan update: COF -1.3% (expects to maintain quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share; authorized the repurchase of up to $1.85 bln of shares)

>>> US Close Dow+0.68% S&+0.88% Nasdaq +1.43% Russell +1.55%

Closing Market Summary: Stocks Bounce Back from Tuesday's Tumble

Wall Street registered a solid win on Wednesday as the top-weighted financials (+1.6%) and technology (+1.3%) sectors carried the S&P 500 (+0.9%) back to its flat line for the week. The Nasdaq (+1.4%) outperformed the benchmark index while the Dow (+0.7%) lagged, but all three major averages settled near the top of the day's trading range. The small-cap Russell 2000 added 1.5%.

The heavily-weighted financial sector (+1.6%) led Wednesday's session from start to finish, extending its week-to-date gain to 2.7%, which was undoubtedly a positive for investor sentiment considering the group's important role in driving economic activity. However, the bounce-back performance of the top-weighted information technology sector (+1.3%), which suffered back-to-back losses on Monday and Tuesday, was just as important in fueling the stock market's advance.

Tech stocks were lagging in pre-market action, but then showed signs of life after the European Central Bank said that the market misjudged yesterday's remarks from ECB President Mario Draghi, which were originally deemed as hawkish. The tech-heavy Nasdaq tested its 50-day simple moving average (6,234) in the opening minutes and then quickly moved higher, most likely on the back of some short-covering activity, after the key technical level held.

Most other cyclical groups also finished solidly higher, including consumer discretionary (+1.0%), industrials (+0.9%), energy (+0.6%), and materials (+0.8%). The consumer discretionary space benefited from broad strength, but homebuilders showed particular resolve after KB Home (KBH 24.06, +1.24) beat both top and bottom line estimates and issued upbeat guidance. The iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (ITB 34.05, +0.56) added 1.7%.

Transports helped underpin the industrial sector, sending the Dow Jones Transportation Average higher by 1.4%. Industrial heavyweight Caterpillar (CAT 106.45, +2.52) also pitched in, adding 2.4%.

For the energy sector, the bullish bias stemmed from the crude oil futures market, which advanced for the fifth session in a row after the Department of Energy reported that U.S. crude inventories increased by 0.1 million barrels (consensus -2.6 million barrels) and gasoline stockpiles decreased by 0.9 million barrels for the week ended June 23. WTI crude recovered the last leg of last week's swoon, climbing 1.1% to $44.73/bbl.

Meanwhile, on the countercyclical side, the influential health care sector (+0.5%) struggled to keep pace with the broader market as some of its top components by market cap, including Johnson & Johnson (JNJ 133.82, -1.19) and Pfizer (PFE 33.75, -0.02), weighed. However, most components finished in the green. Biotech stocks bounced back from their two-day swoon, sending the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 316.88, +5.99) higher by 1.9%.

Like health care, the consumer staples (+0.4%) and telecom services (+0.4%) groups underperformed, but still finished in the green. Meanwhile, the real estate group finished just a tick below its unchanged mark while the utilities space settled lower by 1.0%.

Outside of the equity market, the U.S. Dollar Index (95.72, -0.46) slipped for the second day in a row, losing 0.5%, as the euro (1.1383) added 0.4% on the greenback. The British pound (1.2929) did even better, adding 0.9% against the U.S. dollar, after Bank of England Governor Mark Carney noted that the time for removing some stimulus may be close at hand.

U.S. Treasuries settled mixed in a curve-steepening trade, which helped underpin the financial sector. The 10-yr yield climbed one basis point to 2.22% while the 2-yr yield slipped two basis points to 1.36%. For the week, the 2yr-10yr spread has increased by five basis points to 86 basis points.

Reviewing today's economic data, which included May Pending Home Sales, the Advance Report for International Trade in Goods for May, and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index:

  • Pending Home Sales for May declined 0.8% (consensus +0.5%). Today's reading follows a revised 1.7% decrease in April (from -1.3%).
  • The Advance Report for International Trade in Goods for May showed a deficit of $65.9 billion, down from a revised deficit of $67.1 billion for April (from -$67.6 billion).
  • The weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index declined 6.2% to follow last week's 0.6% increase.

On Thursday, investors will receive Initial Claims (consensus 241,000) and the third estimate of first quarter GDP (consensus 1.2%). Both reports will be released at 8:30 ET.

  • Nasdaq Composite +15.8% YTD
  • S&P 500 +9.0% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +8.6% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +5.0% YTD

Nestle plan hailed as only the start of Schneider's shake-up


Reuters
* Buyback should lift earnings by 6 pct over 3 yrs -UBS
* Investors and analysts expect further boost from M&A
* Nestle has not changed its view on L'Oreal stake -source

ZURICH/LONDON, June 28 (Reuters) - Nestle's plan to shore up its capital structure, announced only days after being thrust into the spotlight by activist shareholder Third Point, was received by investors as a precursor to bigger changes under the company's new leadership.
Shares in the world's largest foodmaker rose as much as 2 percent on Wednesday, close to the record high touched on Monday after the New York-based hedge fund disclosed a $3.5 billion stake and urged Nestle to buy back shares, set a target for margin growth and shed non-core assets including its stake in L'Oreal.
Investors did not have to wait long for a response, with Nestle announcing late on Tuesday that it would launch a 20 billion Swiss franc ($20.8 billion) share buyback programme while leaving room for near-term acquisitions.
Nestle also said it would continue adjusting its portfolio and assess opportunities to boost profit margins, stopping short of setting a firm target. It added that the measures were the result of a review instigated at the start of the year after Mark Schneider took over as chief executive.
The moves were welcomed by stakeholders large and small.
"This is a new era for Nestle and I'm extremely positive on the prospects for internal and external growth," said Carine Menache, who runs a Monaco investment firm that owns Nestle shares. She and UBS analysts said the buyback should lift earnings by 6 percent, while increased merger and acquisition (M&A) activity could provide a further boost.
"Nestle may have a poor track record for M&A, but the new CEO, Schneider, is now in charge and he has a great track record," she added.
Reaching a 19 percent operating margin, the midpoint of Third Point's recommendation, would lift earnings by another 8 percent, according to UBS, which said Nestle shares now offered the greatest opportunity for growth of all the European packaged goods companies it covers, bolstering its "buy" rating.
Of Nestle's plan, which they described as "responsive but not reactionary" to Third Point, UBS said: "We think this sends a strong message to the markets - expect more to come."
SECTOR CONVULSIONS
The global packaged food sector is convulsing as its main players struggle with slowing growth, changing consumer habits and the growing influence of global investment firm 3G Capital. 3G's Kraft Heinz launched a surprise $143 billion takeover bid for Unilever in February, sparking a deep review and new agenda at the target company.
Many of the demands laid out in Third Point's letter echo the steps Unilever took in the wake of the Kraft bid.
Investors said the biggest omission from Nestle's response was any reference to its 25 billion euro ($28.4 billion) stake in L'Oreal, which dates back to 1974, when the French heiress Liliane Bettencourt sold a large part of her holding to Nestle.
That omission and lack of a margin target means the announcement may not completely satisfy Third Point, which is controlled by billionaire investor Daniel Loeb. Third Point has declined to comment on the announcement at this stage and Nestle is expected to say more at its investor day in September.
"It's only a start," said Mirabaud Asset Management's Nicolas Burki. "It will not be enough."
Nestle has long touted the L'Oreal stake as value-creating, and a source familiar with the company's thinking said there was no change to that view.
The big question, however is what Nestle would do with the cash, besides buybacks, if it sold down the L'Oreal stake.
The company did say its capital spending would be focused on higher-growth categories of coffee, pet food, baby food and water. It added consumer health to the list of priorities, potentially making it a competitor to the likes of Johnson & Johnson and GlaxoSmithKline.
However, EFG Asset Management's Urs Beck cashed out of his Nestle position on Monday's price spike and is sceptical that it can find acquisitions big enough to move the needle for a company with $93 billion in sales.
"The ship is just too big to be steered into different waters through portfolio management," he said.
VICTORY ON BOTH SIDES
Nestle is Europe's most valuable company, with a market value of $263 billion last week, before Loeb's position was made public, adding $10 billion in one day.
The positive reaction most likely reflects the bullishness of long-term investors rather than event-driven hedge funds looking for quick turnarounds, says Michael Wegener at Case Equity Partners in Hong Kong.
Wegener said he doubts that many arbitrageurs have moved into Nestle's stock yet, since the Loeb stake remains too soft a catalyst at this stage.
But one London-based manager of an event-driven hedge fund with no involvement with Nestle described the situation as a victory for both sides.
"I suspect (Third Point's) presence actually helps Schneider with his change agenda," said the manager, who asked not to be named. "I suspect the buyback is not enough, but Third Point is unlikely to feel the need to get shouty."
Swiss activist shareholder Rudolf Bohli said that Loeb, known for campaigns against Yahoo, Sony Corp and the Dow-DuPont merger, is on the right track.
"Loeb has set the right tone and his agenda is correct," said Bohli, who recently exited GAM Holding with a profit after failing to replace the financial company's chief executive. ($1 = 0.9591 Swiss francs) ($1 = 0.8799 euros)