>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Dwongrades - 28th of July 2017

>>> Up
* CGG Raised to Hold at Portzamparc, PT EU4.70
* Deutsche Wohnen Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan, PT EU42
* Diageo Raised to Outperform at Bernstein, PT $152.50
* Graubuendner Kantonalbank Raised to Outperform at ZKB
* Indivior Raised to Outperform at RBC, PT 470p
* RAI Way Raised to Outperform at MainFirst, PT EU5.30
* SSE Raised to Neutral at Citi

>>> Down
* Aena Cut to Hold at Ahorro Corporacion, PT EU166.10
* Amer Sports Cut to Reduce at Inderes, PT EU24
* AstraZeneca Cut to Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley
* Calida Holding Cut to Market Perform at ZKB
* Deutsche Bank Cut to Neutral at Macquarie
* Just Eat Cut to Equal-weight at Barclays, PT GBP7
* Liberbank Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux, PT EU0.70
* Medistim Cut to Hold at DNB Markets, PT NOK79
* Opap Cut to Hold at HSBC, PT EU11.00
* Siemens Gamesa Cut to Add at AlphaValue
* S&T Cut to Hold at M.M. Warburg

>>> Initiation
* Kion Cut to Sell at SRH AlsterResearch, PT EU65
* Rentokil Reinstated Overweight at Barclays
* Tubacex New Reduce at Intermoney Valores, PT EU3.10

>>> Call
>> Stock
*GLENCORE ADDED TO GOLDMAN’S CONVICTION LIST, PT UP TO 400P

>>> Asian Update

Asia Mid-Session Market Update: Asian Equities decline amid weakness in Samsung and ahead of US Q2 advance GDP data; Nasdaq Futures decline over 0.5% as Amazon falls post earnings

***Asia Summary***
- Asian equity markets have traded generally lower ahead of the later today release of US Q2 advance GDP data. Australia’s ASX 200 has underperformed and declined by over 1.4% amid weakness in mining shares and banks. Shares of Samsung Electronics have declined by over 3% amid its recent financial guidance
- In Japan, shares of Nissan (-3.5%), Tokyo Electron (-6%) and Daiwa Securities (-4%) are all declining following their respective earnings reports and outlooks. Toshiba has declined by over 8% after a US judge ruled that his court has the authority to consider Western Digital’s request to temporarily block the sale of the Japanese company’s chip unit. There has also been press speculation that numerous parties are said to be encouraging Toshiba to file for bankruptcy.
- The session was heavy in terms of Japanese data releases, which included the June Jobless rate, CPI and Retail Sales. Further, June overall household spending saw its biggest rise since Aug 2015.
- Nasdaq futures have declined by over 0.6%, as shares of Amazon fell over 2.5% after its earnings report. On the US health care front, the Senate released the text of their ‘Health-care Freedom Act’ and the US House conference is expected to hold a meeting on Friday at 9 AM EST.

***Key economic data***
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q2 PPI Q/Q: 0.5% V 0.5% PRIOR; Y/Y: 1.7% V 1.3% PRIOR
- (CN) China Q2 Registered Urban Jobless Rate: 3.95% v 4.05% y/y
- (JP) JAPAN JUN NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 0.4% V 0.4%E ; CPI EX FRESH FOOD (CORE) Y/Y: 0.4% v 0.4%e; CPI Ex Food, Energy (core-core) Y/Y: 0.0% v -0.1%e
- (JP) JAPAN JUL TOKYO CPI Y/Y: 0.1% V 0.1%E; CPI EX-FRESH FOOD Y/Y: 0.2% V 0.1%E
- (JP) JAPAN JUN OVERALL HOUSEHOLD SPENDING Y/Y: 2.3% V 0.5%E (largest rise since Aug 2015)
- (JP) JAPAN JUN RETAIL SALES M/M: 0.2% V 0.4%E;RETAIL TRADE Y/Y: 2.1% V 2.4%E
- (JP) JAPAN JUN JOBLESS RATE: 2.8% V 3.0%E; Job to applicant: 1.51 v 1.50e
- (JP) Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the July 19-20 policy meeting: Reiterates CPI likely to approach 2% around FY19; Repeated delays in price target could undermine BoJ's credibility
- (KR) SOUTH KOREA JUN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION M/M: -0.2% V 1.6%E; Y/Y: -0.3% V 1.1%E
- (KR) South Korea Aug Business Manufacturing Survey: 78 v 80 prior; Non-Manufacturing Survey: 77 v 76 prior
- (KR) South Korea June Cyclical Leading Index +0.3 pt m/m
- (SG) Singapore Q2 Unemployment Rate: 2.2% v 2.3%e
- (UK) JUL GFK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: -12 V -11E

***Speakers and Press***
China
- (CN) China fx regulator SAFE: Will safeguard and increase value of forex reserves
- (CN) China banks said to be increasing rates on mortgages - Economic Information Daily
- (CN) China National Energy Administration: Will not encourage solar power projects that require high subsidies and will discourage low-tech projects

Japan
- (JP) Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: Japan to impose additional sanctions on North Korea
- (JP) Japan Defense Min Inada: Confirms resignation
- (JP) Japan Foreign Minister Kishida expected to also take on role of Defense Minster - Japanese Media
Other
- (NZ) RBNZ said its review found that the central bank’s mandate is realistic about what monetary policy can achieve
- (US) US Senate Majority Leader McConnell: 'Skinny Repeal' healthcare plan would end individual mandate, provide flexibility to states; Says time to send Healthcare bill to President Trump.
- (US) DoubleLine's Gundlach purchased 5-month put options on the S&P 500 a couple of days ago - financial press

***Asian Equity Indices/Futures (00:30ET)***
- Nikkei -0.7%, Hang Seng -0.6%, Shanghai Composite flat, ASX200 -1.5%, Kospi -1.4%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 -0.4%; Nasdaq -0.6% , Dax -0.5% , FTSE100 -0.5%

***FX ranges/Commodities/Fixed Income (00:30ET)***
- EUR 1.1671-1.1694; JPY 110.79-111.71; AUD 7953-7980; NZD 0.7475-0.7508
-EUR/CHF: Rises over 0.6% to highest since Jan 2015
- Aug Gold -0.1% at 1,258/oz; Aug Crude Oil -0.2% at $48.94/brl; Sept Copper -0.4% at $2.86/lb
- (AU) Australia sells A$700M of May 2028 bonds, avg yield 2.7266% v 2.7747% prior, bid to cover 3.84x v 2.82x prior
- (AU) Australia to sell A$900M of 2.75% Nov 2028 bonds on Aug 2 and A$500M in 1.75% Nov 2020 bonds on Aug 4th
- (CN) PBOC SETS YUAN REFERENCE RATE AT: 6.7373 V 6.7307 PRIOR
- (CN) China PBOC OMO injects CNY140B in 7-day and 14-day reverse repos v CNY60B prior in 7-day

***Equities notable movers***
Japan
- Daiwa Securities, 8601.JP Q1 profits declined; -4%
- Nissan, 7201.JP Q1 profits below ests; -3.5%

***US markets on close: Dow +0.4%, S&P500 -0.1%, Nasdaq -0.6%, Russell -0.6% ***
- Best Sector in S&P500: Energy +1%
- Worst Sector in S&P500: Health Care -0.7%
- At the close: VIX 10.11 (+0.51pts); Treasuries: 2-yr 1.37% (+2bps), 10-yr 2.33% (+4bps), 30-yr 2.94% (+5bps)

***US Market Summary***
-The broad stock market and tech sector lost some high ground today, with transport and technology weighing on S&P and Nasdaq. The Dow outperformed again, setting another all-time high, with some help from the rally in Verizon +7.7%. The blue chip index touched a record high at 21,798. Focus turns to tomorrow, with more earnings reports and key GDP data in the morning.

***US Afterhours Movers***
-SAM Reports Q2 $2.35 v $1.29e, Rev $247.9M v $229Me; Narrows higher FY17 $5.00-6.20 v $4.86e (prior FY17 $4.20-6.20); +13.4% afterhours
-FSLR Reports Q2 $0.64 v -$0.05e, Rev $623M v $536Me; Raises FY17 Gross Margin 17-18% (prior 12.5-14.5%); +9.6% afterhours
-BIDU Reports Q2 $2.36 adj v $1.42e, Rev $3.08B v $2.78Be; Guides Q3 Rev $3.41-3.50B v $3.17Be; +7.5% afterhours
-LOGM Reports Q2 $1.01 v $0.93e, Rev $267M v $265Me; Guides Q3 $1.10-1.12 v $1.01e, R$271-273M v $268Me, Adjusted EBITDA $100-102M y/y ; +3.4% afterhours
-SBUX Reports Q3 $0.55 v $0.55e, Rev $5.66B v $5.74Be; +0.9% afterhours
-MAT Reports Q2 -$0.14 v -$0.08e, Rev $947.5M v $1.00Be; -2.8% afterhours
-AMZN Reports Q2 $0.40 v $1.40e, Rev $38.0B v $37.2Be; Guides Q3 Rev $39.5-41.8B v $40.0Be ; -2.8% afterhours
-FLEX Reports Q1 $0.24 v $0.26e, Rev $6.01B v $5.90Be; Guides Q2 $0.24-0.28 v $0.28e, R$5.9-6.3B v $6.19Be ; -7.8% afterhours
-ELLI Reports Q2 $0.52 v $0.52e, Rev $104.1M v $110Me; -24.6% afterhours

>>> US After Hours Summary: SAM +14%, FSLR +11% (boosting solar names), G


After Hours Summary: SAM +14%, FSLR +11% (boosting solar names), GIMO +9%, BIDU +5%, CY and EXPE +3% higher and ELLI -22%, NUVA -14%, SBUX -6%, AMZN -3% lower following earnings/guidance

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: TVTY +16.9% (ticking higher), SAM +14%, FSLR +11.1%, GIMO +8.7%, ALDW +8.6%, LOGM +7.3%, UCTT +6.8% (also President and CEO Jim Scholhamer to take leave of absence starting July 31 for approximately 2 months to address a treatable medical condition), BIDU +4.7%, COLM +4%, ALGN +3.6%, PFPT +3.5%, CY +3.1%, EXPE +3% (Expedia and Traveloka Holding a leading Southeast Asian online travel company, announced today that Expedia made a $350 million primary minority investment in Traveloka), TACO +3%, CERN +2.8%, CLD +2.6%, SNMX +2.6%, DAIO +2.6%, IMPV +2.5%, COHU +2.1%, KTOS +1.5%, MITK +1.5%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: AGRX +12% (FDA has accepted for review the Company's NDA resubmission for Twirla AG200-15, an investigational low-dose combined hormonal contraceptive patch), CYCC +5.3% (Eastern Capital discloses 29.7% active stake), COL +2.3% (ahead of earnings tomorrow), WOW +2% (ticking higher on reports that Verizon is in talks to acquire WideOpenWest's Chicago fiber network), S +0.6% (Sprint in talks with Comcast / Charter for partnership / investment, according to Bloomberg)

Solar names higher following FSLR results (TAN etf +1.8%): CSIQ +4%, RGSE +2.2%, SPWR +2%, JKS +1.8%, VSLR +0.9%, JASO +0.6%

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ELLI -22.2%, NUVA -14.1% (also CFO Quentin Blackford is resigning to pursue another opportunity outside the spine industry effective August 25; President and COO Jason Hannon is stepping down from his position to pursue other interests), MOBL -10.8%, FLS -10.6% (also identified in Q2 accounting errors which were primarily limited to two of its non-U.S. sites), KNL -7.8% (ticking lower), PDFS -7.3%, FLEX -6.4%, BOJA -6.4%, ABAX -5.7% (light volume), SBUX -5.7%, WIX -5.6%, EGHT -4.7%, GHL -4%, BJRI -3.7%, EA -3.6%, AMZN -3.1%, WDC -2.7%, CRAY -2.6%,  PTX -2.1%, BOFI -1.6% (also enters into an agreement with H&R Block to be the exclusive provider of interest-free Refund Advance loans to their customers during the 2018 tax season), AUY -1.6%, MULE -1.5%, XPER -1.5%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: ATNM -15.3% (to offer common shares and warrants), WWE -4.1% (indicated lower - attributed to block trade pricing), VZ -0.5% (Reuters reporting that Verizon is in talks to acquire WideOpenWest's Chicago fiber network)

>>> Intel beats by $0.04, beats on revs

16:15 | INTC | (34.97 +0.22)
Intel beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS and revenue above consensus; raises FY17 EPS and rev above consensus
Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.72 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.04 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.68; revenues rose 9.1% year/year to $14.76 bln vs the $14.39 bln Capital IQ Consensus.
Client Computing +12% to $8.2 bln
Data Center +9% to $4.4 bln
IoT +26% to $720 mln
Non-Vol Memory +58% to $874 mln
Programmable -5% to $440 mln
Co issues upside guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.75-0.85, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $0.74 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees Q3 revs of $15.2-16.2 bln vs. $15.33 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
Co issues upside guidance for FY17 based on strong first-half results and higher expectations for the PC business, raises EPS $0.15 to $2.85-3.15, excluding non-recurring items, vs. $2.86 Capital IQ Consensus; raises FY17 revs $1.3 bln to $60.8-61.8 bln vs. $60.22 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
"Q2 was an outstanding quarter with revenue and profits growing double digits over last year," said Brian Krzanich, Intel CEO. "We also launched new Intel Core, Xeon and memory products that reset the bar for performance leadership, and we're gaining customer momentum in areas like AI and autonomous driving. With industry-leading products and strong first-half results, we're on a clear path to another record year."

>>> Cray beats by $0.34, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs in-line

Cray beats by $0.34, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs in-line; guides FY17 revs in-line
Reports Q2 (Jun) loss of $0.20 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.34 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of ($0.54); revenues fell 13.1% year/year to $87.1 mln vs the $60.18 mln Capital IQ Consensus.
Co issues in-line guidance for Q3, sees Q3 revs of Approx $60 mln vs. $78.05 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
Co issues in-line guidance for FY17, sees FY17 revs of Approx $400 mln vs. $427.42 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins for the year are expected to be in the low- to mid-30% range.
Non-GAAP operating expenses for 2017, including an estimate for what the impact of the Seagate transaction would be, are expected to be in the range of $190 million.
For 2017, GAAP operating expenses are anticipated to be about $24 million higher than non-GAAP operating expenses, driven by stock-based compensation, restructuring, and costs related to the Seagate transaction.

>>> Cypress Semi beats by $0.05, beats on revs

Cypress Semi beats by $0.05, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS above consensus, revs above consensus
Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.21 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.05 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $0.16; revenues rose 11.6% year/year to $593.8 mln vs the $546.82 mln Capital IQ Consensus.
Co issues upside guidance for Q3, sees EPS of $0.21-0.25 vs. $0.21 Capital IQ Consensus Estimate; sees Q3 revs of $585-615 mln vs. $576.12 mln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.
"We remain laser-focused on driving revenue and earnings growth by investing in high-growth end-markets, expanding gross margins and broadening our customer base."

>>> Baidu.com beats by $0.23, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs above consensus

17:03 | BIDU | (2501.00 -0.17)
Baidu.com beats by $0.23, beats on revs; guides Q3 revs above consensus
Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $1.67 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.23 better than the Capital IQ Consensus of $1.44; rev +14% to $3.08 bln vs. $3.04 bln consensus.
Online marketing revenues for the second quarter of 2017 were RMB17.883 billion ($2.638 billion), representing a 5.6% increase from the corresponding period in 2016. Baidu had about 470,000 active online marketing customers in the second quarter of 2017, representing a 20.9% decrease from the corresponding period in 2016. Revenue per online marketing customer for the second quarter of 2017 was approximately RMB37,500 ($5,532), a 32.0% increase from the corresponding period in 2016. Traffic acquisition costs as a component of cost of revenues was RMB2.478 billion ($365 million), representing 11.9% of total revenues, compared to 15.9% in the corresponding period in 2016 and 12.9% in the first quarter of 2017. Mobile rev +72%.
Co issues upside guidance for Q3, sees Q3 revs of $3.412-3.503 bln vs. $3.37 bln Capital IQ Consensus Estimate.

>>> Altice reported Q2 results - revenue growth +2.7% y/y

Altice reported Q2 results - revenue growth +2.7% y/y
Altice Group Adjusted EBITDA grew +6.9% YoY (+5.4% on a CC basis) in Q2 driven by the strong growth of Altice USA +22.2% YoY on a CC basis under IFRS (Optimum Adjusted EBITDA +29.1% YoY, Suddenlink +9.6% YoY).
Still on track to become the leading fiber operator in Portugal reaching 3.5 million homes passed at the end of Q2 (+248k QoQ), targeting nationwide coverage by 2020.

>>> US Close Dow+0.38% S&P -0.10% Nasdaq -0.63% Russell -0.60%

Closing Market Summary: Stocks Finished Mixed on Thursday

Equities got off to a good start on Thursday, but most gains were unwound during an afternoon sell off in which technology stocks suffered the heaviest losses. The Nasdaq (-0.6%) and the Russell 2000 (-0.6%) finished behind the benchmark S&P 500 (-0.1%). Meanwhile, the Dow (+0.4%) advanced to a new record high, largely thanks to the outperformance of four companies--Verizon (VZ 47.81, 3.41), Boeing (BA 241.00, +7.55), Merck (MRK 63.69, +1.89), and Walt Disney (DIS 110.00, +3.06). A late-afternoon uptick left the indices in the middle of their trading ranges.

The top-weighted technology sector (-0.8%) exhibited relative strength in the morning session as Facebook (FB 170.44, +4.83) surged to a new record high in reaction to its better than expected earnings and revenues. However, tech stocks began to sell off sharply in the early afternoon, sending the technology group, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq, deep into negative territory.

Facebook managed to settle with a solid gain of 2.9%, but fellow mega-cap names like Apple (AAPL 150.56, -2.90), Microsoft (MSFT 73.16, -0.89), and Alphabet (GOOGL 952.51, -12.80) were hit hard, dropping between 1.2% and 1.9%. Chipmakers also faced heavy selling pressure, sending the PHLX Semiconductor Index lower by 1.6%.

Amazon (AMZN 1046.00, -6.80) held a big gain of around 2.9% before the afternoon sell off, but slipped into the red alongside the broader market as investors divested some of their shares ahead of the company's earnings report, which crossed the wires following Thursday's closing bell. AMZN settled Thursday's session with a loss of 0.7%.

In total, six of the eleven sectors settled in the red with losses ranging from 0.1% to 0.8%. Outside of technology, health care was the worst-performing sector, dropping 0.7% amid broad weakness. The heavily-weighted financial space (-0.5%) also underperformed, as did the industrial group (-0.5%), which was led lower by transport names. 

The Dow Jones Transportation Average plunged 3.1% on Thursday as just about every one of its 30 components settled with notable losses. Southwest Airlines (LUV 56.57, -2.95) and UPS (UPS 107.79, -4.50) were among the weakest components, dropping 5.0% and 4.0%, respectively, despite both companies reporting better than expected earnings.

However, on the upside, the lightly-weighted telecom services group rallied for the second day in a row, adding 5.2% to increase its two-day advance to 8.3%. Verizon (VZ 47.81, +3.41) led the charge, surging 7.7%, after reporting better than expected revenues. The wireless giant added 614,000 monthly subscribers in Q2--soundly beating consensus estimates that called for around 70,000 additions--thanks in part to the company's new unlimited data plan, which it launched back in February.

Elsewhere on the earnings front, Procter & Gamble (PG 90.68, +1.38) jumped 1.6% after reporting better than expected earnings and issuing upbeat guidance. The company's solid performance helped the consumer staples space (+0.9%) finish solidly ahead of the broader market, alongside the consumer discretionary (+0.7%) and energy (+1.0%) groups. The utilities space (+0.2%) also settled in the green.

In Washington, the GOP announced that its long-awaited tax reform plan will not include a border-adjustment tax. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT 41.37, +0.56) moved sharply higher following the announcement, ending the day with a gain of 1.4%, as retailers depend heavily on the free flow of goods from overseas, where much of their products are manufactured. 

U.S. Treasuries moved lower in a curve-steepening trade following a stronger than expected reading for June Durable Orders (6.5% actual vs 2.9% consensus). The benchmark 10-yr yield climbed two basis points to 2.31%.

Also of note, crude oil rose 2.4% to $49.05/bbl, the U.S. Dollar Index (93.76, +0.47) added 0.5%, gold rallied 0.8% to $1,259.90/ozt, and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX 10.24, +0.64) climbed 6.7%.

Reviewing Thursday's economic data, which included June Durable Orders, the weekly Initial Claims Report, and June International Trade in Goods:

  • June durable goods orders rose 6.5%, which is above the 2.9% increase expected by the consensus. The prior month's reading was revised to -0.1% (from -1.1%). Excluding transportation, durable orders increased 0.2% (consensus 0.5%) to follow the prior month's revised uptick of 0.6% (from 0.1%).
    • The key takeaway from the report is that orders for nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft -- a proxy for business investment -- were down 0.1%. Shipments of those same goods, though, were up 0.2% on the heels of a 0.4% increase in May, which will be a positive input for Q2 GDP forecasts.
  • The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 244,000 while the consensus expected a reading of 240,000. Today's tally was above the revised prior week count of 234,000 (from 233,000). As for continuing claims, they declined to 1.964 million from the unrevised count of 1.977 million.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that it's more of the same on the initial claims front, which portends good news most likely for nonfarm payroll increases.
  • The Advance report for International Trade in Goods for June showed a deficit of $63.9 billion, down from a revised deficit of $66.3 billion for May (from -$65.9 billion).

On Friday, investors will receive the advance estimate for second-quarter GDP (consensus 2.8%) and the final reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July (consensus 93.1). The two reports will cross the wires at 8:30 ET and 10:00 ET, respectively. 

  • Nasdaq Composite +18.6% YTD
  • S&P 500 +10.6% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +10.3% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +5.6% YTD