Asia Market Update: China and Hong Kong follow Fed and hike rates; Aussie employment change jumps more than expected
***Headlines/Economic Data***
General Trend: Asian equities trade mixed following tightening measures out of the US Fed and PBoC
-Chip-related companies trade generally higher: Taiwan Semi +1%, Samsung Electronics +1.5%
-A$ and Australian bond yields rise on better than expected employment data
-Heavy data session for China
-European rate decisions coming up
-China and HK Airline names higher on oil prices
Japan
-Nikkei 225 opened -0.3%, closes -0.3%
Mega banks track earlier weakness in US financials: Mitsubishi UFJ -2%, Mizuho Financial -1.7%, Sumitomo Mitsui -1.5%
Telecom names decline as Rakuten confirms plans to enter mobile network business; Rakuten -3%, KDDI -1.8%, Docomo -1%, Softbank -2.8%
-JAPAN DEC PRELIM PMI MANUFACTURING: 54.2 V 53.6 PRIOR
-Japan govt may project ¥1T tax revenue boost in FY18 - Nikkei
-Japan MoF sells ¥1.0T v ¥1.0T indicated in 0.6% in 20-yr JGBs; avg yield 0.573%; bid to cover 4.56x
-(JP) Nikkei poll of business leaders shows that majority of respondents said they will or are likely to spend more on personnel in FY18
-Japan Govt will revise up its FY18 real GDP growth forecast to 1.8% (prior 1.4%) due to recovery in external demand along with capital spending and private consumption; FY17 estimate of 1.5% is also likely to be upgraded; Expected that figures will be approved at next week's Cabinet meeting.
-Looking ahead: BoJ Tankan survey due for release on Friday.
Korea
-Kospi opened +0.2%, later extended gains
-Samsung Electronics +1.5%
-LG Electronics +5% (amid positive broker commentary)
-Banks add onto Wednesday’s gains: Woori Bank +2.5%, Shinhan Financial +1.8%
-Bank of Korea Gov Lee: No significant market impact from Fed rate hike
-South Korea Vice Fin Min Hyoung-Kwon: Korea market anxiety over FOMC rate hike isn’t big; Great uncertainty regarding pace of US tightening; Korea to prepare for US tightening with preemptive steps
-(KR) South Korea will supply 1M registered private rent houses over the next 5-yrs - Korean press
-(CN) China MOFCOM: China to strengthen economic and trade cooperation with South Korea
-Looking ahead: South Korea Nov Trade Balance due for release on Friday
China/Hong Kong
-Hang Seng opened +0.4%, Shanghai flat
-Hang Seng Property Index +1%; China Nov home sales hit 5-month high
-Hang Seng Materials Index +1.2%, Financials Index -0.3%
-Hang Seng Consumer Goods Index +0.8%: CHINA NOV RETAIL SALES Y/Y: 10.2% V 10.3%E; YTD Y/Y: 10.3% V 10.3%E
-PBoC raised rates connected to open market operations (OMO) and medium-term lending facility (MLF) after US Fed rate hike
-(CN) PBoC commented on its rate moves: Said OMO rate hike reflects market supply and demand; Normal reaction to Fed rate increase; OMO rate hike to ease market distortion; Interest rate adjustment was less than market expectations
-(CN) China former PBOC economist: monetary policy should move toward tight bias; OMO rate hike warns speculator - Xinhua
-(HK) Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) raises base rate by 25bps to 1.75%, inline with US Fed move: ***Insight: Because the HK$ is pegged to the USD Hong Kong generally follows the Fed's moves.
-(CN) China State Council: China will step up supervision over state assets and SOEs with differentiated regulatory policies for state firms and more emphasis on overseas projects
-(CN) China Banking Regulatory Commission (CBRC) Fan Wenzhong: Will steadily advance liberalization of the banking industry following the latest government move to widen foreign access to the financial sector
-(HK) Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) Chan: This is an abnormally low rate environment for mortgages; Home price can’t be divorced from purchasing power
-(CN) China MOFCOM: Hopes US tax cuts 'worries' won't materialize
- USD/CNY (CN) PBoC sets yuan reference rate at 6.6033 v 6.6251 prior (highest fix since Nov 23rd)
- (CN) PBOC Open Market Operations (OMO): injects CNY50B v CNY130B prior in 7 and 28-day reverse repos v skips prior; Net drains CNY190B v injects CNY60B prior; raises yield on 7-day reserve repo to 2.5% from 2.45%; 28-day yield to 2.8% from 2.75%
-(CN) PBOC LENDS CNY288B V CNY188B PRIOR IN MEDIUM-TERM LENDING FACILITY (MLF); OFFERS 1-YEAR LOANS AT 3.25% V 3.20% PRIOR
-(CN) CHINA NOV INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: 6.1% V 6.1%E ; YTD Y/Y: 6.6% V 6.6%E
-(CN) CHINA NOV YTD URBAN FIXED ASSETS Y/Y: 7.2% V 7.2%E; NBS said fixed-asset investment slowing and steadying
-(CN) China Nov Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) CNY124.9B, +90.7% y/y; YTD CNY803.6B, +9.8% y/y
-(CN) Jan-Nov Outbound Direct Investment (ODI) $107.8B, -33.5% y/y
-(CN) China MOFCOM: Notes 'irrational' ODI was been effectively curbed; no new ODI in property, sports and entertainment.
-Chinese officials comment on taxes amid proposed US tax reforms
-(CN) China National Bureau of Stats (NBS): Companies in China see heavy tax burden, there is room for China to further cut taxes and fees; Sees 'necessity' to further tackle tax burdens.
-(CN) China MOFCOM: Hopes US tax cuts 'worries' won't materialize; no new ODI in property, sports and entertainment; Hopes US can fulfill promise to create stable environment for investors from other countries including China; hopes US will not set obstacles for investors during assessment of deals; Encourages domestic companies to import natural gas
-China Conglomerate HNA Group: Strength in share price and US dollar denominated bond prices comes amid speculation regarding financing talks
Australia/New Zealand
-ASX 200 opened +0.1%, closes -0.1%; Energy Index +0.7%, Materials +0.6%; REIT Index -0.7% (outperformed on prior session, higher interest rates)
-Refiner Caltex Australia +3%: Australia competition regulator to oppose Woolworth’s sale of service stations to BP (A$1.79B transaction)
-Department Store Myer Holdings -8% (cautious H1 guidance)
-Aussie extends gains to 1-month high amid employment data and Nov Chinese data
-Aussie 3-year bond yield rises over 5bps following employment data
(AU) AUSTRALIA NOV EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: 61.6K V +19.0KE; UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 5.4% (near 5-year low) V 5.4%E; Participation Rate: 65.5% v 65.1%e (matches highest reading since Sept 2011)
-(AU) Australia Dec Consumer Inflation Expectation: 3.7% v 3.7% prior(
(NZ) New Zealand Treasury half-year economic and fiscal update: keeps 2017/18 bond program unchanged at NZ$7.0B; Cut 2017/18 and 2018/19 GDP growth forecasts; raised 2018 CPI forecast; Sees smaller budget surpluses in coming years
- WOW.AU ACCC to oppose BP's purchase of Woolworth service stations; -0.6%
- MYR.AU Guides H1 adj Net materially lower y/y; profit and sales deteriorated in recent weeks; -7.6%
Other Asia
-(MY) World Bank raises Malaysia 2017 GDP growth forecast to 5.8% from 5.2%; sees 2018 GDP growth at 5.2%
-Looking Ahead: India Nov Wholesale Price Index (WPI) due for release later today
North America
-US equities ended mostly higher: Dow +0.3%, S&P 500 -0.1%, Nasdaq +0.2%, Russell 2000 +0.6%
-S&P 500 Consumer Staples Sector +0.6%; Financials -1.2%
-FED: (US) FOMC RAISED TARGET RATE RANGE 25BPS TO 1.25-1.50% (AS EXPECTED); Vote 7-2 (Evans and Kashkari dissent); Confirms average Fed official looking for 3 hikes in 2018
-(US) FOMC UPDATED ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR DEC MEETING (V. SEPT); Cuts midpoint of 2017 Core PCE inflation forecast to1.5% (prior 1.5-1.6%), Cuts 2018 Core PCE forecast to 1.7-1.9% (prior 1.8-2.0%)
-(US) Fed Chair Yellen: seen pickup in economic growth and business investment, as well as improvement in economies abroad - post FOMC decision comments; Fed did discuss tax policy, most of colleagues did put fiscal stimulus into projections
-Tax Reform: (US) House and Senate leaders said to have reached an agreement in principle on tax reform bill – press
-(US) Sen Finance Chair Hatch (R-UT): confirmed GOP has reached deal on tax legislation; confident there are sufficient votes to passed agreed-upon deal
-M&A: 21st Century Fox: Reportedly Disney deal to value Fox at just over $40/shr, paying up to $29/shr for Fox assets – press
-Energy: (US) DOE CRUDE: -5.1M V -3ME
-Looking Ahead: US President Trump to update on deregulation efforts on Thursday, US Nov Retail Sales due
Europe
-(UK) UK govt loses vote on EU withdrawal bill amendment by 309-305; House of Commons votes to give lawmakers final say on Brexit deal – press; Marks the first time PM May has lost a vote in the Commons on her Brexit plans
-(DE) German DIHK Chambers of Commerce: Brexit may raise Germany EU cots by €8B/year – US financial press
-(UK) Nov RICS House Price Balance: 0% v 0%e
-M&A: Gemalto: Atos confirms its proposed all-cash public offer at a price of €46.0 per Gemalto share (Follows the offer being rejected)
-Shell: Reportedly to sell Agentina downstream assets to Raizen for $1B - press
-Norske Skog [NSG.NO]: Appointed Evercore Partners to act as its financial adviser in connection with a sale of Norske Skog AS and its subsidiaries by way of a competitive sale process which will commence imminently
-Looking ahead: European rate decisions due later today from SNB, ECB and BoE, along with EZ Prelim DEC PMI data, UK Nov Retail Sales and IEA Monthly report
***Levels as of 01:00ET***
- Nikkei225 -0.3%, Hang Seng -0.5%; Shanghai Composite -0.5%; ASX200 -0.2%, Kospi +0.7%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 0.0%; Nasdaq100 0.0%, Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 -0.0%
- EUR 1.1843-1.1822; JPY 112.79-112.53; AUD 0.7675-0.7628;NZD 0.7024-0.6997
- Feb Gold +0.9% at $1,260/oz; Jan Crude Oil +0.2% at $56.70/brl; Mar Copper -0.5% at $3.04/lb