>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 15th of December 2017

>>> Up
* Alpiq Raised to Buy at Research Partners; Price Target 90 Francs
* BHP Upgraded to Hold at Global Mining Research Pty; PT 13 Pounds
* BHP Upgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan
* Cofinimmo Upgraded to Hold at ABN Amro Bank; PT 105 Euros
* Glencore Upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan
* Indra Upgraded to Equal-weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 12 Euros
* Innogy Upgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 35 Euros
* Lonmin Upgraded to Market Perform at BMO

>>> Down
* Acacia Mining Cut to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 1.70 Pounds
* BME Downgraded to Reduce at AlphaValue
* Boliden Downgraded to Underweight at JPMorgan; PT 225 Kronor
* MQ Downgraded to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 32 Kronor
* Norsk Hydro Downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan
* Novo Nordisk Downgraded to Sell at DZ Bank; PT 295 Kroner
* Randgold ADRs Downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan
* Rio Tinto Downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan
* Temenos Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 112 Francs

>>> Initiation
* Devro Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 2.65 Pounds
* Ferrovial Rated New Outperform at Credit Suisse; PT 21.50 Euros
* FLEX LNG Reinstated at SEB Equities With Buy; PT 18 Kroner
* Hilton Food Rated New Hold at Berenberg; PT 8.50 Pounds
* VW Reinstated at Jyske Bank With Sell; PT 168 Euros

>>> Call

>>> Asian Update

Asia Market Update: Asian equities generally track weakness in US session

-Financials trade generally weaker

Australia/New Zealand
-ASX 200 opened -0.2%; closed -0.2%; REIT index -1%, Financials -0.5%
Qantas -1%
-(AU) RBA Harper (Dove): Excess capacity in labor market likely bigger than thought; Rates meed to stay supportive of the economy; 5% likely not tipping point for wage growth
-(NZ) New Zealand Nov Business Manufacturing PMI: 57.7 v 57.3 prior
-(NZ) NZ Fin Min Robertson: Comfortable with general trend of Kiwi (NZ$)
-(NZ) New Zealand sells NZ$200M in April 2025 bonds, avg yield 2.5601%, implied bid to cover 3.86x

China/Hong Kong
-Hang Seng opened -0.6%, Shanghai Composite -0.2%
Hang Seng Energy Index -1.5%, Property/Construction -1.2%, Financials -1%, Information Technology -0.9%
Property company Sunac China -9% (capital raise)
Li & Fung +5% (announced $1.1B asset sale, special dividend)
-(CN) PBoC releases pledged financing business management rules; to accept more kinds of bonds for pledged financing; To accept local government bonds as collateral in certain cases; Says seeks to prevent payment and clearing risks.
-(CN) PBoC OMO: CNY150B in 7 and 28-day reverse repos v CNY50B injected in 7 and 28 day reverse repos prior; Net injected CNY150B v CNY190B drain prior (leaves yields unchanged vs prior session)
-(CN) PBoC sets yuan reference rate at 6.6113 v 6.6033 prior
-(CN) China MOF sells 30-year bonds: Avg yield 4.3555% v 4.35%e, bid to cover 2.09x
-(CN) China MOF sells 3-month bills: Avg yield 3.9275%
-(HK) Hong Kong may seek to limit the voting power of dual-class shares – HK Press

Korea
-Kospi opened +0.8%
Kumho Tire +30% (M&A speculation)
-Moody’s raises South Korea Banking System Outlook to Stable from Negative; raises South Korea 2017 GDP growth forecast to 3.0% (2.5% prior), 2018 to 2.8% (2.0% prior)
-South Korea Blockchain Association: To improve proof of identity for users of cryptocurrency trading on exchanges; new measures take effect on Jan 1, 2018
-Thursday’s late session weakness in the Kospi linked to program trading – Analyst
-South Korea Nov Trade Balance: $7.6B v $7.8Be
- (KR) US North Korea Envoy Yun: US is open to dialogue with North Korea; has not met with North Korea officials in Thailand
- (CN) PBoC Gov Zhou said to meet South Korea Vice Premier in relation to financial cooperation

Japan
-Nikkei 225 opened -0.3%; closed: -0.6%
Large financials again track declines in the US: Mitsubishi UFJ -1.4%, Sumitomo Mitsui -0.8%
Rakuten’s planned entry into mobile network operator business continues to weigh on telecoms: Rakuten -5.4%, KDDI -5.5%, Softbank -2.4%
Automakers track US declines: Toyota -1.4%; TOPIX Iron & Steel index -1.4% (US Steel ended -3.4%)
Nikkei heavy component Fast Retailing +1%
-Q4 Tankan Large Manufacturer sentiment hits 11-year high; Overall Tankan survey mixed
(JP) JAPAN Q4 TANKAN LARGE ALL INDUSTRY MFG INDEX: 25 V 24E (11-year high); LARGE MFG OUTLOOK 19 V 22E; LARGE ALL INDUSTRY CAPEX 7.4% V 7.5%E
-Japan auto union said to again seek ¥3K base wage increase – Japanese press
Japan Auto Manufacturers Group (JAMA): Japan auto industry suffers from labor shortage
-(JP) BoJ said to ‘tweak’ message as dissenter calls for more easing – US financial press; The BoJ is due to hold its Dec two-day policy meeting on Dec 20-21st (Wed and Thursday)
-Japan Chief Cabinet Sec Suga: To implement additional sanctions on North Korea; To freeze assets of 19 groups

Other Asia
-(ID) Indonesia Nov Trade Balance: $130M v $844Me; Imports Y/Y: 19.6% v 13.0%e

North America
-US equities ended lower amid comments from Republican Senator Rubio: Dow -0.3%, S&P500 -0.4%, Nasdaq -0.3%, Russell 2000 -1.2%
S&P500 Materials Sector -1.1%, Health Care -1%
Oracle: -6.5% afterhours (guided Q3 earnings below ests)
Costco: +2.3% afterhours (Q1 results above ests)
CSX: Announces Medical Leave of CEO E. Hunter Harrison; Names COO James Foote as acting CEO
NPD: US Nov Total Video Game Sales $2.69B, +30% y/y
-(US) Senator Rubio said to vote no on tax bill unless working poor tax credit is expanded - Washington Post
-(US) Speaker of House Ryan (R-WI) considering retiring from Congress after 2018 – Politico

Europe
-(UK) UK PM May said expected to ‘back down’ on Brexit date plan – UK Press
-(UK) Germany Chancellor Merkel: EU leaders could move to Brexit Phase 2 on Friday
-(ES) Survey shows Catalan separatists have lost their lead ahead of new elections - Spain press
-(FR) Bank of France: Sees 2017 GDP +1.8% (v prior forecast 1.3%), sees 2018 GDP +1.7% (v prior forecast 1.5%)
-(EU) ECB's Vasiliauskas (Lithuania): Does not see need for additional QE in 2018; measures implemented are showing results
-(RU) EU's Tusk: The EU is united on the rollover of continuing economic sanctions on Russia

***Levels as of 01:00ET***
- Hang Seng -0.8%; Shanghai Composite -0.6%%; Kospi +0.5%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.1%, Dax +0.2%; FTSE100 flat
- EUR 1.1765-1.1791 ; JPY 112.12-112.41; AUD 0.7655-0.7675 ;NZD 0.6979-0.7023
- Dec Gold flat at $1,256/oz; Jan Crude Oil +0.3% at $57.20/brl; Dec Copper +0.2% at $3.079/lb

>>> US After Hours Summary: PIXY +109%, JBL +3%, COST +2%, ADBE +1.3%,



After Hours Summary: PIXY +109%, JBL +3%, COST +2%, ADBE +1.3%, ORCL -7% following earnings/guidance, DDR +9% on spin off plans

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: PIXY +109.1%, KANG +5%, FORD +4.1%, JBL +3.1%, COST +2.2%, ADBE +1.3%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: DCIX +29.8% (Morgan Stanley discloses 5.3% passive stake), DDR +9.3% (higher after announcing plan to spin off portfolio of 50 assets; will host call today at 5pm ET), GALE +6.3% (Galena Biopharma Dec 15 special meeting of stockholders adjourned until Dec 29 to allow sufficient time for stockholders to vote on Proposal 3 -the Reverse Stock Split Proposal), AVGR +5.9% (entered into agreement to waive compliance with the minimum revenue covenant for 2017 included in the company's term loan agreement with CRG), HES +5.5% (WSJ reporting that activist Elliot is seeking to remove the CEO or push for sale), DISCA +5% (Director John Malone disclosed the purchase of more than 330K shares valued at approx $6.6 mln), GLNG +4.9% (seeing after hours strength after Karen Finerman pitched on CNBC), SIEB +3.8% (continued strength), FORM +2% (upgraded to Strong Buy at Needham), RPAI +1.1% (authorized $250 mln increase to the size of its existing common stock repurchase program -- bringing total to $264 mln), WM +1% (to increase quarterly dividend rate to $0.465 per share from $0.425 per share and authorizes repurchase of $1.25 billion of common stock effective immediately), DVA +0.8% (DaVita Kidney Care issues statement about DaVita Rx settlement; amounts have been paid or previously accrued), TWO +0.7% (modestly higher after declaring quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share of common stock; expects $0.47 per share amount to be sustainable into 2018)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: ORCL -6.8%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: VSTM -15.3% (to offer $25 mln of common stock in underwritten public offering), APHB -8.7% (announces near-term strategic goals and initiatives; pursuing various approaches to fund Phase 2 clinical development and has engaged Ladenburg to review strategic alternatives; files for $10 mln mixed securities shelf offering), BDSI -4.8% (reacquires ONSOLIS from Collegium Pharmaceutical), GBT -3.2% (to sell $100.0 million in shares of common stock in underwritten public offering), NQ -1.9% (Linkmotion signed new partnership with Chery Automotive to develop technology platform for connected automobiles; also completes FL Mobile divestment and sale of Showself's live social video business -- adjusts financial results), TMUS -0.9% (continued weakness despite being upgraded to Outperform from 

>>> US Close Dow -0.31% S&P -0.41% Nasdaq -0.28% Russell -1.15%


Closing Market Summary: Wall Street Slips as Investors Continue to Chew On Tax Reform

U.S. equities slipped on Thursday as investors continued to monitor tax reform developments in Washington.

Losses were modest for the most part, but small caps showed notable weakness, pushing the Russell 2000 lower by 1.1%. The S&P 500 declined by 0.4%, while the Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.3% apiece. The Dow's loss ended its streak of record closes at four in a row.

Equities began the day slightly higher, but were tripped up by rumors that House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-WI) is considering resigning following the 2018 mid-term elections. Mr. Ryan later said that he does not plan on retiring anytime soon, but equities failed to bounce back to their earlier levels. 

Selling persisted following news that Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL) will vote 'No' on tax reform unless the final bill further expands the child tax credit for lower-income households. The GOP can only afford to lose two votes in the Senate, and it's already assumed that Senator Bob Corker (R-TN) will vote against the piece of legislation.

The GOP aims to release the full details of the bill on Friday, and Congress is expected to vote on the measure sometime next week.

Ten of the eleven sectors finished Thursday in the red, with the health care (-1.1%), materials (-1.1%), and telecom services (-0.9%) groups being the weakest performers. Within the health care space, biotech names were especially weak, sending the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (IBB 105.17, -1.55) lower by 1.5%.

Meanwhile, steelmaker Nucor (NUE 59.54, -2.31) paced the material sector's retreat, losing 3.7%, after lowering its profit guidance for the fourth quarter.

On the upside, the consumer discretionary sector (+0.3%) advanced on Thursday. 21st Century Fox (FOXA 34.88, +2.13) led the charge, adding 6.5%, after Walt Disney (DIS 110.57, +2.96) agreed to purchase select assets from the company, including its film division and much of its TV operations, for $52.4 billion in stock. DIS shares climbed 2.8%.

In the bond market, U.S. Treasuries had a mixed outing, despite a stronger-than-expected Retail Sales Report for November (see data section below). The yield on the benchmark 10-yr Treasury note finished flat at 2.35%, while the 2-yr yield climbed one basis point to 1.80%. The 10-yr yield has lost three basis points so far this week.

Elsewhere, European equities finished Thursday broadly lower, with the Euro Stoxx 50 losing 0.5%, while Japan's Nikkei, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and China's Shanghai Composite shed 0.3% apiece. The U.S. dollar added 0.4% against the euro (1.1785) but lost 0.3% and 0.1%, respectively, against the yen (112.25) and the pound (1.3430).

The European Central Bank decided to leave its key policy rate unchanged, as expected, and reiterated that it will reduce its monthly asset purchases to EUR30 billion (from EUR60 billion) starting in January and continuing through September 2018, or beyond, if necessary.

In addition, the Bank of England voted unanimously to leave its key rate at 0.50% and its asset purchase program at GBP435 billion, as expected.

Reviewing Thursday's economic data, which included November Retail Sales, weekly Initial Claims, November Export/Import Prices, and October Business Inventories:

  • November retail sales increased 0.8% (consensus +0.3%). The prior month's increase was revised to 0.5% from 0.2%. Excluding autos, retail sales increased 1.0% in November while the consensus expected an increase of 0.6%. The prior month's increase was revised to 4% from 0.1%.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that there was healthy spending activity across discretionary categories, which is consistent with a consumer feeling good about their income prospects.
  • The latest weekly initial jobless claims count totaled 225,000, while the consensus expected a reading of 239,000. Today's tally was below the unrevised prior week count of 236,000. As for continuing claims, they declined to 1.886 million from the revised count of 1.913 million (from 1.908 million).
    • The latest week marks the 145th straight week initial claims have been below 300,000.
  • Import prices excluding oil were flat in November (0.0%) after increasing a revised 0.1% in October (from +0.2%). Export prices excluding agriculture increased 0.6% in November after decreasing a revised 0.1% in October (from -0.3%).
    • The monthly gain left import prices up 3.1% year-over-year, versus up 0.2% for the 12 months ending November 2016, and export prices up 3.1% year-over-year, versus down 0.2% for the 12 months ending November 2016.
  • Business Inventories decreased 0.1% in October, as expected. The September reading was left unrevised at 0.0%.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that sales growth is outpacing inventory growth, which is a step toward regaining some pricing power.

On Friday, investors will receive the Empire State Manufacturing Survey for December (consensus 18.0) at 8:30 ET and both Industrial Production (consensus +0.3%) and Capacity Utilization (consensus 77.2%) at 9:15 ET.

  • Nasdaq Composite +27.4% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +24.0% YTD
  • S&P 500 +18.5% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +11.1% YTD