>>> What to look at today - 10th of September 2018

Stocks in Asia were mixed at the start of the week as investors digested U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat to escalate the trade war with China. The dollar and Treasury yields held gains as a rise in U.S. wages bolstered the prospects for further interest-rate hikes.
Equities sank in China and Hong Kong’s benchmark index flirted with bear-market territory, while stocks edged higher in Japan and were little changed in Australia and South Korea. European futures pointed to modest gains as did their U.S. counterparts. Emerging-market shares declined. Oil rebounded from the biggest weekly loss in two months on speculation of a crude-supply shortage.


Macro :
- China Aug. Trade Surplus Against U.S. $31.05B (China Aug. exports to U.S. was $44.3851b and imports from U.S. was $13.3302b)
- Greece to Provide EU w. Plan to Avoid Pension Cuts: Tsipras
- Hedge Fund Balyasny Hires Chris Chesney as COO of Macro Business
- Le Maire: France to Propose Sunset Clause for Digital Tax
- Trump Says Days of U.S. Being Ripped Off By Other Nations Over
- Middle East Luxury Spending the Next Oil Rush for Premium Brands
- Liechtenstein Has no Plans to Join Euro, Prince Tells Luzerner
- Rise in Asset Correlations Signals Risk of Volatility, Citi Says

Keep an eye on :
- ABC LN : Abcam Full Year Revenue Meets Estimates
- ABF LN : Primark Sees Margin Rising and Stable Profitability Next Year
- AF FP : Air France KLM CEO To Get EU4.5M If Forced to Leave
- AF FP : Air France-KLM Total Group Aug. Passenger Traffic Rises 3.3%
- AZA IM : Italy Could Seek EasyJet or Delta Deal for Alitalia: Repubblica
- BABA US : *ALIBABA SHARES FALL 1.4% ON REPORT CHAIRMAN JACK MA TO RETIRE
- AAPL US : Trump Urges Apple to Make Products in U.S. Instead of China
- Aston Marti IPO : Aston Martin May Name Penny Hughes as Chair Before IPO: Sky News
- ATO FP : Atos Purchase of Syntel Wins U.S. CFIUS Clearance
- BBVA SM : BBVA Mexico Unit to Cut About 1,500 Jobs, EL Economista Reports
- CBS US : CBS Is Said to Be Close to Cutting Ties With Moonves: CNBC
- CLN SW : SABIC to Close Clariant 24.99% Stake Purchase in Coming Days
- CC1 GY : Consus Real Estate Rated New Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 12 Euros
- DBK GY : Deutsche Bank Plans No Big Relocations From U.K.: DPA (Sept. 8)
- DTE GY : German Minister Wants to Keep Deutsche Telekom Stake: FAS
- DEB LN : Debenhams hires KPMG to work on turnaround plan; Euler Hermes cuts credit coverage for suppliers
- DBHN GY : Deutsche Bahn in ‘Difficult Situation’: Paper Quotes CEO Letter
- ENI IM : Eni Says It Reached Zohr Field Production Target
- FCA IM : Brazil Jeep Output Stopped on Demand, Maintenance: Fiat Chrysler
- FNAC FP : FIB Is Said Ready to Take Control of La Grande Recre: Le Figaro
- FCT IM : Fincantieri-STX Success is a Priority: France’s Le Maire
- G IM : Galateri Says He’s Not Worried About Takeovers: Radiocor
- GSK LN : Glaxo’s Mepolizumab Needs More Clinical Data for FDA Approval
- INDV LN : Indivior Says Prepays $150m of Outstanding Term Loan
- INTC US : *INTEL SAYS PROPOSED U.S. TARIFFS WOULD `STIFLE' 5G GROWTH: RTRS
- LDO IM : Leonardo CEO: Helicopters Division Performing Very Well
- LUX IM : Luxottica to Improve Transparency of Australian Franchises: ACCC
- NESN SW : Nestle Considers Introducing Blue Bottle Coffee in Europe: FT
- PSON LN : Pearson College-Book Market Share Drop Could Worsen: Berenberg
- CFR SW : Richemont 5-Month Constant FX Sales Beat Estimates
- CFR SW : Richemont Names Jerome Lambert as CEO With Immediate Effect
- ROG SW : Roche Upgraded, U.S. Biosimilars May Be Delayed: New Street
- SBRY LN : Sainsbury’s CEO Says Probe Could Force Asda Merger Halt: FT
- SCR FP : Covea Can Afford to Pay ‘Considerably’ More For Scor: Jefferies
- GLE FP : Unicredit chairman rules out merger in short term
- STAN LN : Standard Chartered Upgraded to Buy at Investec
- SREN SW : Swiss Re Sees Broadly Stable Rates in 2019
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia shareholder Vivendi says Sparkle sale will have to be agreed with Italian government
- VOW3 GY : More Former VW Managers Claim Unfair Dismissal: Handelsblatt
- VOLVB SS : Volvo Cars CEO Says IPO Won’t Happen Immediately: FT
- WTW US : *WEIGHT WATCHERS GAINS 4.3% POST-MARKET ON S&P MIDCAP INCLUSION
- ZAL GY : Zalando Founders Don’t Plan to Sell Shares: BamS

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of September 2

>>> Up
* Aurubis Upgraded to Neutral at Goldman; PT 61 Euros
* Bakkavor Upgraded to Buy at HSBC; PT 2 Pounds
* Credit Suisse Upgraded to Equal-weight at Barclays; PT 16 Francs
* Iberdrola Raised to Outperform at Bernstein; PT 7.40 Euros
* Lonmin Upgraded to Hold at Liberum
* Morrison Upgraded to Buy at HSBC; PT 3 Pounds
* Norsk Hydro Upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 54 Kroner
* Novartis Upgraded to Buy at BofAML; PT Set to 100 Francs
* PORR Upgraded to Buy at Erste Group; PT 33.70 Euros
* Rio Tinto Upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 49 Pence
* Roche Upgraded to Buy at New Street Research
* Sanofi Upgraded to Buy at BofAML

>>> Down
* Cerved Group Downgraded to Hold at HSBC; PT 10.70 Euros
* Danske Bank Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 191 Kroner
* Genmab Downgraded to Underperform at BofAML
* Glencore Downgraded to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 4 Pence
* Ipsen Downgraded to Underperform at BofAML
* Roche Downgraded to Neutral at BofAML
* Scor Downgraded to Hold at Jefferies; Price Target 38 Euros

>>> Initiation


>>> Call
* *EUROPEAN TELECOMS RAISED TO OVERWEIGHT AT DEUTSCHE BANK

>>> Sainsbury CEO concedes Asda merger could be scuppered by regulators; expects

Sainsbury CEO concedes Asda merger could be scuppered by regulators; expects GBP 500m-plus synergies
10 SEP 2018
J Sainsbury’s [LON:SBRY] proposed merger deal with competitor supermarket chain Asda could be thwarted by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) in certain “extreme scenarios”, according to Sainsbury Chief Executive Mike Coupe, FT.com reported. However, he added he is confident the merger has a “pretty good” likelihood of being approved.
Regulators could demand measures which make the transaction hard to complete, the item reported. Coupe said it is a question of profitability rather than the number of shops, noting that either side can walk away from the deal if ebitda falls below a certain level.
Coupe said Sainsbury has informed the CMA it expects gross buying synergies arising from the merger to be significantly more than GBP 500m (USD 646m). Analysts largely expect the figure to be between GBP 1bn and GBP 1.5bn, the report said. Coupe added that the expects the net cost savings from the deal ultimately to be substantially higher than GBP 500m too, the item reported.
While shop closures are not expected, store divestments are a certainty, Coupe said. He declined to say how many shops might be disposed of or to name potential buyers.

>>> Asian Update

TradeTheNews.com Asia Market Update: Asian equities trade mixed as Trump raises tariff threat on China

General Trend:
-Hang Seng nears ‘bear market’ territory
- Apple's suppliers decline during trading session
-On Friday (Sept 7th), US President Trump said there are another $267B in China tariffs that could be launched on short notice, in addition to the latest $200B of tariffs.
-Alibaba reveals succession plan for Executive Chairman Ma
-China says to fine tune monetary policy in a ‘pre-emptive’ way based on the economic and external situations
-China Aug CPI rises more than expected
- China Soybean Futures have largest daily rise in over 2 years
-Japan Q2 GDP revised higher on Capex


***Headlines/Economic Data***
Australia/New Zealand
-ASX 200 opened flat
- ASX 200 Telecom index -0.8%, Financials -0.2%, Consumer Discretionary -0.1%; Energy +0.9%, Utilities +0.5%
-NAB [NAB.AU]: CEO: Bank is keeping its variable home loan rate on hold; notes the need to rebuild customer trust
-(AU) According to Newspoll, PM Morrison is favored over opposition leader Bill Shorten; The ruling coalition trails the Labor Party by a 44% to 56% margin - Australian Press
- (AU) Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Gov Bullock: Widespread financial stress among households is not imminent; reiterates sees potential vulnerabilities from high household debt
-(AU) Australia Government: Recent rain in New South Wales (NSW) not enough to lift drought
-(AU) Australia sells A$600M v A$600M indicated in Nov 2022 bonds, avg yield 2.1168%, bid to cover 4.7x
-(NZ) New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER): Economists lower forecast for GDP growth - Quarterly Consensus Survey of Economists
-(NZ) New Zealand Q2 Manufacturing Activity Q/Q: 1.8% v 0.6% prior; Manufacturing Activity Volume Q/Q: -1.2% v +1.4% prior (largest drop in 5-years)

China/Hong Kong
-Shanghai Composite opened -0.2%, Hang Seng -0.2%
- Hang Seng Materials index -2.1%, Services -1.9%, Industrial Goods -1.6%, Consumer Goods -1.5%, Property/Construction -1.3%, Financials -1.2%, Info Tech -0.7%, Utilities -0.5%, Energy -0.2%
-Alibaba: Current CEO Daniel Zhang to succeed Jack Ma as Executive Chairman, effective Sept 10 2019
-(US) President Trump: there are another $267B in China tariffs that could be launched on short notice, in addition to the latest $200B of tariffs, which could be imposed soon (from Sept 7th)
-(CN) China: State Council Committee on Financial Stability met on Sept 7th: To fend off 'Black Swan' events; to fine-tune monetary policy in 'pre-emptive' way
-(CN) CHINA AUG TRADE BALANCE: $27.9B V $31.0BE; Trade Surplus with the US $31.1B (record high) v $28.1B m/m (released on Sept 8th)
-(CN) China Ministry of Finance said the government will soon grant higher tax rebates to exporters – Press
-(CN) CHINA AUG CPI Y/Y: 2.3% V 2.1%E (highest since Feb)
-(CN) CHINA AUG PPI Y/Y: 4.1% V 4.0%E
-(CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation: Skips OMO (14th straight skip)
-(CN) China PBoC set yuan reference rate: 6.8389 v 6.8212 prior

Japan
-Nikkei 225 opened -0.2%
- TOPIX Marine Transportation index +0.7%, Info & Communications +0.7%, Securities +0.3%, Electric Appliances +0.4%; Retail Trade -0.3%
- Megabanks outperform
-(JP) JAPAN Q2 FINAL GDP Q/Q: 0.7% V 0.7%E; ANNUALIZED Q/Q: 3.0% V 2.6%E (fastest growth since 2016); Business Spending Q/Q: 3.1% v 2.8%e (fastest rise since Q1 2015)
-(JP) JAPAN JUL TRADE BALANCE BOP BASIS: -¥1.0B V -¥47.7BE
-(JP) Japan PM Abe: This will be my last LDP leadership election; Reiterates trade fights don't benefit any country

Korea
-Kospi opened -0.2%
-(KR) Bank of Korea (BoK) said to consider cutting its 2018 GDP growth forecast (currently 2.9%) - Local Press
-(KR) North Korea holds military parade with no speech from Kim Jong Un and no display of ICBMs - Korean press
- (KR) South Korea sells KRW1.3T v KRW1.3T indicated in 10-year bonds: avg yield 2.265%

Other
-(ID) Indonesia Aug Foreign Reserves: $117.9B v $118.3B prior (7th straight decline, released on Sept 7th)
-(ID) Indonesia Central Bank: Reiterates commitment to remain in markets; to continue duel interventions
-(ID) Indonesia Fin Min Indrawati: Sees economic uncertainties to remain at least until 2019, sees higher downside risks in 2019
-(IN) Amid the currency weakness, India 10 year yield trades above 8.11% (highest since Nov 2014)
-(IN) India said to lack sufficient room to reduce borrowings in FY19/20 - financial press
-(PH) Philippines Central Bank (BSP) said to be considering a possible extraordinary policy meeting later in Sept to address inflation and declining peso (PHP) currency - Japanese Press
-(PH) Philippines said to be seen as less likely to reach 7-8% GDP growth forecast for 2018 - Local Press

North America
-Apple [AAPL]: Proposed tariff list said to cover a wide range of Apple products – press
-(CN) According to KLA-Tencor the US semiconductor industry plans to warn the Trump Administration that restrictions on exports of chip and equipment to China could hurt jobs in the US - Japanese Press
-CBS [CBS]: Confirms Moonves to depart as Chairman and CEO, effective immediately; CFO Ianniello to be named as acting CEO; Confirms it and National Amusements agreed to dismiss pending litigation, National Amusements agrees not to propose CBS-Viacom merger for at least 2 years
-(US) Fed Rosengren (moderate, non-voter): Would not be surprised if Fed estimates of neutral rate and therefore rate path shift higher; Sept rate hike 'highly probable'
-(US) Federal Reserve said to consider a new tool to avert crises - US financial press
-(US) US Energy Sec Perry to meet with officials from Saudi Arabia including Energy Minster Al-Falih on Monday in Washington - financial press

Europe
-(EU) EU said to be prepared to tell EU Chief Brexit Negotiator Barnier to 'zero in' on Brexit deal, preparing new instructions to help close the Brexit deal - FT
-(SE) Sweden PM: Election result is still uncertain: to continue as PM until parliament vote, to await the final election outcome before making decisions
-(SE) Following the recent election results, Sweden’s Centre right Moderates and Liberals parties have called on PM Lofven to step down.
-(IT) Italy Fin Min Tria said domestic bond yield spread to decline as government starts to act - financial press


***Levels as of 01:30ET***
- Nikkei 225, +0.2%, ASX 200 -0.1%, Hang Seng -1.1%; Shanghai Composite -0.7%; Kospi +0.2%
- Equity Futures: S&P500 +0.1%; Nasdaq100 +0.2%, Dax +0.1%; FTSE100 flat
- EUR 1.1565-1.1539 ; JPY 111.10-110.85 ; AUD 0.7120-0.7100 ;NZD 0.6537-0.6512
- Aug Gold -0.1% at $1,201/oz; Sept Crude Oil +0.6% at $68.14/brl; Dec Copper -0.3% at $2.612/lb

NYT : Amazon’s Antitrust Antagonist Has a Breakthrough Idea

Amazon’s Antitrust Antagonist Has a Breakthrough Idea
With a single scholarly article, Lina Khan, 29, has reframed decades of monopoly law.

The dead books are on the top floor of Southern Methodist University’s law library.

“Antitrust Dilemma.” “The Antitrust Impulse.” “Antitrust in an Expanding Economy.” Shelf after shelf of volumes ignored for decades. There are a dozen fat tomes with transcripts of the congressional hearings on monopoly power in 1949, when the world was in ruins and the Soviets on the march. Lawmakers believed economic concentration would make America more vulnerable.

At the end of the antitrust stacks is a table near the window. “This is my command post,” said Lina Khan.

It’s nothing, really. A few books are piled up haphazardly next to a bottle with water and another with tea. Ms. Khan was in Dallas quite a bit over the last year, refining an argument about monopoly power that takes aim at one of the most admired, secretive and feared companies of our era: Amazon.

The retailer overwhelmingly dominates online commerce, employs more than half a million people and powers much of the internet itself through its cloud computing division. On Tuesday, it briefly became the second company to be worth a trillion dollars.

If competitors tremble at Amazon’s ambitions, consumers are mostly delighted by its speedy delivery and low prices. They stream its Oscar-winning movies and clamor for the company to build a second headquarters in their hometowns. Few of Amazon’s customers, it is safe to say, spend much time thinking they need to be protected from it.

But then, until recently, no one worried about Facebook, Google or Twitter either. Now politicians, the media, academics and regulators are kicking around ideas that would, metaphorically or literally, cut them down to size. Members of Congress grilled social media executives on Wednesday in yet another round of hearings on Capitol Hill. Not since the Department of Justice took on Microsoft in the mid-1990s has Big Tech been scrutinized like this.

Amazon has more revenue than Facebook, Google and Twitter put together, but it has largely escaped sustained examination. That is beginning to change, and one significant reason is Ms. Khan.

In early 2017, when she was an unknown law student, Ms. Khan published “Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox” in the Yale Law Journal. Her argument went against a consensus in antitrust circles that dates back to the 1970s — the moment when regulation was redefined to focus on consumer welfare, which is to say price. Since Amazon is renowned for its cut-rate deals, it would seem safe from federal intervention.

Ms. Khan disagreed. Over 93 heavily footnoted pages, she presented the case that the company should not get a pass on anticompetitive behavior just because it makes customers happy. Once-robust monopoly laws have been marginalized, Ms. Khan wrote, and consequently Amazon is amassing structural power that lets it exert increasing control over many parts of the economy.

Amazon has so much data on so many customers, it is so willing to forgo profits, it is so aggressive and has so many advantages from its shipping and warehouse infrastructure that it exerts an influence much broader than its market share. It resembles the all-powerful railroads of the Progressive Era, Ms. Khan wrote: “The thousands of retailers and independent businesses that must ride Amazon’s rails to reach market are increasingly dependent on their biggest competitor.”

The paper got 146,255 hits, a runaway best-seller in the world of legal treatises. That popularity has rocked the antitrust establishment, and is making an unlikely celebrity of Ms. Khan in the corridors of Washington.

She has her own critics now: Several leading scholars have found fault with Ms. Khan’s proposals to revive and expand antitrust, and some have tried to dismiss her paper with the mocking label “Hipster Antitrust.” Unwilling or perhaps unable to accept that a woman wrote a breakthrough legal text, they keep talking about bearded dudes.

Ms. Khan was born in London to Pakistani parents who emigrated to the United States when she was 11. She is now 29, an Amazon critic whose Amazon account is largely inactive, newly married to a Texas doctor who uses his Amazon Prime account all the time. Ms. Khan was supposed to move this summer to Los Angeles, where she had a clerkship with Stephen Reinhardt, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals judge and liberal icon, but he suddenly died in March. Instead, Ms. Khan is set to start a fellowship at Columbia this fall, and is considering other projects as well. There is no shortage of parties that want her advice on how to reckon with Big Tech.

“As consumers, as users, we love these tech companies,” she said. “But as citizens, as workers, and as entrepreneurs, we recognize that their power is troubling. We need a new framework, a new vocabulary for how to assess and address their dominance.”

At the S.M.U. library in Dallas, Ms. Khan was finding that vocabulary. These dead books, many from an era that predated the price-based era of monopoly law, were an influence and an inspiration. She was planning to expand her essay into a book, she said in an interview here in June.

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Then her life shifted, and she abruptly went from an outsider proposing reform to an insider formulating policy. Rohit Chopra, a new Democratic commissioner at the Federal Trade Commission, pulled her in as a temporary adviser in July, at a time when urgent questions about privacy, data, competition and antitrust were suddenly in the air. The F.T.C. is holding a series of hearings this fall, the first of their type since 1995, on whether a changing economy requires changing enforcement attitudes.

The hearings will begin on Sept. 13 at Georgetown University Law Center. Two panels will debate whether antitrust should keep its narrow focus or, as Ms. Khan urges, expand its range.

“Ideas and assumptions that it was heretical to question are now openly being contested,” she said. “We’re finally beginning to examine how antitrust laws, which were rooted in deep suspicion of concentrated private power, now often promote it.”

Genuinely original voices are rare in Washington policy circles, and Mr. Chopra is pleased to have Ms. Khan in his camp. “It’s rare to come across a legal prodigy like Lina Khan,” he said. “Nothing about her career is typical. You don’t see many law students publish groundbreaking legal research, or research that had such a deep impact so quickly.”

Then: Rockefeller. Now: Bezos.
Ida Tarbell, the journalist whose investigation of Standard Oil helped bring about its breakup, wrote this about John D. Rockefeller in 1905:

“It takes time to crush men who are pursuing legitimate trade. But one of Mr. Rockefeller’s most impressive characteristics is patience. … He was like a general who, besieging a city surrounded by fortified hills, views from a balloon the whole great field, and sees how, this point taken, that must fall; this hill reached, that fort is commanded. And nothing was too small: the corner grocery in Browntown, the humble refining still on Oil Creek, the shortest private pipeline. Nothing, for little things grow.”

When Ms. Khan read that, she thought: Jeff Bezos.

Her Yale Law Journal paper argued that monopoly regulators who focus on consumer prices are thinking too short-term. In Ms. Khan’s view, a company like Amazon — one that sells things, competes against others selling things, and owns the platform where the deals are done — has an inherent advantage that undermines fair competition.

“The long-term interests of consumers include product quality, variety and innovation — factors best promoted through both a robust competitive process and open markets,” she wrote.

The issue Ms. Khan’s article really brought to the fore is this: Do we trust Amazon, or any large company, to create our future? In think tanks and universities, the battle has been joined.

“It’s one thing to say that antitrust enforcement has gotten far too weak,” said Daniel Crane, a University of Michigan scholar who doesn’t agree with Ms. Khan but credits her with opening up a much-needed debate. “It’s a bridge much further to say we should go back to the populist goal of leveling playing fields and checking ‘bigness.’ ”

As Mr. Crane writes in a forthcoming law review article: “Antitrust law stands at its most fluid and negotiable moment in a generation.”

The resistance is fierce and prominent. Herbert Hovenkamp, an antitrust expert at the University of Pennsylvania Law School, wrote that if companies like Amazon are targeted simply because their low prices hurt competitors, we might “quickly drive the economy back into the Stone Age, imposing hysterical costs on everyone.”

Timothy Muris, a former chairman of the F.T.C., and Jonathan Nuechterlein, a former F.T.C. general counsel, published a paper in June that was a response to Ms. Khan and the antitrust reform movement. Called “Antitrust in the Internet Era,” it was about the A.&P. grocery chain.

A.&P. essentially invented the modern supermarket in the 1920s. With its low prices, wide range of products and penchant for disruption, the chain became the leading retailer of its era. It owned 70 factories and eliminated middlemen, which allowed it to keep costs down. Yet, Mr. Muris and Mr. Nuechterlein wrote, “A.&P.’s very popularity triggered a backlash.” The government pursued A.&P. on antitrust grounds during the 1940s, egged on by competitors that could not compete. After decades of decline, A.&P. shut its doors for good in 2015.

The analogies with Amazon are explicit. Don’t let the government pursue Amazon the way it pursued A.&P., Mr. Muris and Mr. Nuechterlein warned.

“Amazon has added hundreds of billions of dollars of value to the U.S. economy,” they wrote. “It is a brilliant innovator” whose “breakthroughs have in turn helped launch new waves of innovation across retail and technology sectors, to the great benefit of consumers.”

Amazon itself could not have made the argument any better. Which isn’t surprising, because in a footnote on the first page, the authors noted: “We approached Amazon Inc. for funding to tell the story” of A.&P., “and we gratefully acknowledge its support.” They added at the end of footnote 85: “The authors have advised Amazon on a variety of antitrust issues.”

Amazon declined to say how much its support came to in dollars. It also declined to comment on Ms. Khan or her paper directly, but issued a statement.

“We operate in a diverse range of businesses, from retail and entertainment to consumer electronics and technology services, and we have intense and well-established competition in each of these areas,” the company said. “Retail is our largest business today and we represent less than 1 percent of global retail.”

‘We’re at the Very Beginning of Solutions to This’
The first time Ms. Khan held power to account involved a Starbucks in suburban New York that was banning students from sitting down. Ms. Khan decided to write an article about the policy; Starbucks wouldn’t answer her questions, but she managed to interview the employees. The New York Times picked up on the tempest, leaning on her reporting. Ms. Khan was 15, a correspondent for her high school newspaper.

Her father was a management consultant; her mother an executive in information services. Ms. Khan went to Williams College, where she wrote a thesis on the political philosopher Hannah Arendt. She was the editor of the student paper but worked hard at everything.

“We were routinely emailing each other on separate floors of the library as it was closing at 2 a.m.,” said Amanda Korman, a classmate.

Like many a wonkish youth, Ms. Khan headed to Washington after graduating in 2010, applying for a position at the left-leaning New America Foundation. Barry Lynn, who headed the organization’s Open Markets antimonopoly initiative, seized on her application. “It’s so much easier to teach public policy to people who already know how to write than teach writing to public policy experts,” said Mr. Lynn, a former journalist.

Ms. Khan wrote about industry consolidation and monopolistic practices for Washington publications that specialize in policy, went to Yale Law School, published her Amazon paper and then came back to Washington last year, just as interest was starting to swell in her work.

In the summer of 2017, Open Markets was ejected from New America amid messy accusations that it displeased Google, a prominent funder, after the company was rebuked by European regulators for anticompetitive behavior. The think tank is now independent.

“Polls show huge concerns about concentrated power, corporate power, but if people are asked, ‘Do we have a monopoly problem?’ they answer, ‘I don’t know,’ ” said Mr. Lynn. “They don’t have the language for it.”

Amazon’s $14 billion purchase of Whole Foods in the summer of 2017 — a startling move into physical retail — was almost a watershed, but not quite. Rep. David Cicilline of Rhode Island, the ranking Democrat on the Subcommittee on Regulatory Reform, Commercial and Antitrust Law, called for hearings but did not get them.

“The whole country has been struggling to understand why the economy is not operating in the right way,” Mr. Cicilline said. “Wages have remained stagnant. Workers have less and less power. All we’re trying to do is create a level playing field, and that’s harder when you have megacompanies that make it virtually impossible for small competitors.” He added, “We’re at the very beginning of solutions to this.”

Somewhere in the midst of all this, Ms. Khan found the time to marry Shah Ali, a doctor now doing a cardiology fellowship in Dallas, which explains why she was camping out at the S.M.U. law library. The honeymoon was in Hawaii. Dr. Ali took Jane Austen’s “Persuasion,” because he hadn’t reread it in a while. Ms. Khan brought a book on corporations and American democracy.

‘The New Brandeisians’ Lacks a Certain Something
The battle for intellectual supremacy takes place less these days in learned journals and more on social media, where tongues are sharp and branding is all. This is not Ms. Khan’s strong suit. She is always polite, even on Twitter. One consequence is that she didn’t give much thought about what to call the movement to reboot antitrust. Neither did anyone else.

That presented an opening for the reformers’ critics, who have tried with a limited degree of success to popularize the term “Hipster Antitrust.” Konstantin Medvedovsky, an antitrust lawyer in New York, came up with the label last summer in a tweet that was responding to a tweet that was responding to a tweet by Ms. Khan.

“Antitrust Hipsterism,” he wrote. “Everything old is cool again.”

Mr. Medvedovsky, who calls Ms. Khan’s article “the face of this movement,” said the term was designed to be “playful rather than pejorative.”

Admirers of Ms. Khan and her fellow reformers have sometimes called them the New Brandeis School or the New Brandeisians, after Louis Brandeis, the Progressive Era foe of big business. As brands go, these are somewhat less catchy than “Hipster Antitrust.”

The April issue of the journal Antitrust Chronicle, edited by Mr. Medvedovsky, features a drawing of a bearded man on the cover right above the words “Hipster Antitrust.” In the middle of an article by Philip Marsden, a professor of competition law and economics at the College of Europe in Bruges, there’s a photograph of a bearded man taking a selfie next to the chapter heading “Battle of the Beards.” It is perhaps relevant that only one of the 12 authors or experts in the issue is female.

The Hipster issue was sponsored by Facebook, another sign that Big Tech is striving to shape the monopoly-law debate. The company declined to comment.

Things are moving fast, so there is a lot to write papers about.

Mr. Chopra, with Ms. Khan’s assistance, pushed the argument further on Sept. 6 with a 14-page official comment that suggested the F.T.C. bring back a tool buried in its toolbox: the ability to make rules.

Contemporary antitrust regulation, the commissioner wrote, is conducted in the courts, which makes it numbingly slow and dependent on high-paid expert witnesses. He called for the agency to use its authority to issue rules that would “advance clarity and certainty” about what is, and what is not, an unfair method of competition.

These rules would not be “some inflexible prescription” but standards, guidelines, pointers or presumptions, he wrote. Since everyone affected by a proposed rule would have the opportunity to weigh in on it, the process would be more democratic.

There is more than an echo here of Ms. Khan’s notion that the past can help rescue the future.

“These are new technologies and new business models,” Ms. Khan said. “The remedy is new thinking that is informed by traditional principles.”

Antitrust Foot Soldiers
Big Tech’s great strength is that it is everywhere. Hardly anyone can live without it. But that omnipresence can be a weakness too. Just ask Facebook. It was the only global social media network, an enviable position — until it wasn’t. Ideas for regulating Facebook that were once unimaginable are now on the table.

Ms. Khan was not the first to criticize Amazon, and she said the company was not really her target anyway. “Amazon is not the problem — the state of the law is the problem, and Amazon depicts that in an elegant way,” she said.

From Amazon’s point of view, however, it is a problem indeed that Ms. Khan concludes in the Yale paper that regulating parts of the company like a utility “could make sense.” She also said it “could make sense” to treat Amazon’s e-commerce operation like a bridge, highway, port, power grid or telephone network — all of which are required to allow access to their infrastructure on a nondiscriminatory basis.

Ms. Khan put those ideas out there, which is how Rachel Tsuna found them.

Last fall, the Barnard College senior was casting about for a subject for her senior thesis. “What is really interesting to you?” her adviser asked. Ms. Tsuna, now 22, had worked for a chewing gum start-up — yes, there are such things — that sold through Amazon, and knew firsthand the retailer’s tight grip. “Amazon is scary!” she exclaimed.

This impulsive declaration suggested a topic: Did the F.T.C. have the grounds to move against Amazon? Ms. Tsuna made little progress until she came across Ms. Khan’s paper.

“I finally felt like I was pursuing something valid,” Ms. Tsuna said. “Lina Khan gave me the confidence I needed.” The thesis, which is quite fair to Amazon, got an A minus.

That’s the way movements begin. Little things grow.

“This is a moment in time that invites a movement,” said Ms. Khan. “It’s bigger than antitrust, bigger than Big Tech. It’s about whether the laws serve democratic ends.”

It was late at night in late July, and she was eating a burrata concoction at a popular restaurant near the Washington apartment she uses when not in Texas with her husband. After the death of Judge Reinhardt, her options opened up. She had the Columbia fellowship. Maybe she would also write the book. Or go back to the F.T.C. full time. Or somehow do it all.

“Amazon is a monopoly, and I worry that it monopolizes Lina,” said her husband, Dr. Ali. “I learn about what she is doing from looking at her Twitter feed.”

“I throw myself into things,” Ms. Khan agreed. “My life is spread out now.”

With some cajoling, she revealed her Amazon account. There were just three purchases in 18 months. An altimeter for her father, who has taken up hiking, is the only one she will agree to have mentioned, although the other two are incredibly benign. One attribute Ms. Khan shares with Amazon is a strong desire to control the flow of information.

Somewhat to her surprise, she is becoming a public figure. Before beginning her stint at the F.T.C., she said the news of her working there might be no more than a sentence or two at news sites that cover policy intensively. Instead it was a full-fledged story. The Information, a tech news site, declared: “Amazon Antitrust Push Slowly Gains Ground.” Politico just named her one of the Politico 50, its annual list of the people driving the ideas driving politics.

Balancing the attention and the achievement, the expectations and the demands, is difficult, perhaps impossible.

“I don’t think of my work in grandiose terms. I feel an urgency but I’m also wary of hubris,” Ms. Khan said. “Nobody has been expecting this to succeed. I’m awed by the challenge.”

Strategic : New Alliance Emerges in Eastern Mediterranean to Reshape Regional Se

Strategic Culture : New Alliance Emerges in Eastern Mediterranean to Reshape Regional Security Landscape - Link : http://bit.ly/2QhOpM7

The military-political landscape in Europe and the Mediterranean is changing. NATO is not as unified as it once was, and Turkey’s membership has become more of a formality than a real thing. A pro-US group consisting of Great Britain, Poland, and the Baltic States has emerged as part of a North Atlantic Alliance that is divided by differences and the open rift over the 2% financial contribution, a decree that is largely ignored, along with the other divisions that are weakening the bloc. Other groups are arising that also have common security interests. A new pact, an Arab NATO allied with the United States, will soon materialize in the Middle East. Changes are coming, but they are hard to predict as everything is currently in a state of flux.

“The United States is interested in increasing its use of military bases and ports in Greece,” said General Joseph Dunford, the Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff (CJCS), on Sept. 4 during his visit to Athens. “If you look at geography, and you look at current operations in Libya, and you look at current operations in Syria, you look at potential other operations in the eastern Mediterranean, the geography of Greece and the opportunities here are pretty significant,” he added. According to the Military Times, “[N]o specific bases have been identified, but that Supreme Allied Commander Europe Army Gen. Curtis Scaparrotti is evaluating several options for increased US flight training, port calls to do forward-based ship repairs and additional multilateral exercises.” US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross came to Greece right after the CJCS’s visit to take part in the annual Thessaloniki International Trade Fair.

Washington’s relations with Ankara continue to deteriorate. The idea of expelling Turkey from NATO is being discussed in the most prestigious American media outlets. The view that Ankara is more of an adversary than an ally is commonly held among American pundits. General Dunford pointedly did not include Turkey on his itinerary, as top US military officials would normally do in order to maintain balance in their relationship with Athens and Ankara. This is a clear message to Turkey.

It was reported in May that the US military had started to operate MQ-9 aerial vehicles out of Greece’s Larissa military base. That same month, the USS Harry S. Truman aircraft carrier was one of the American ships making a port call. Greece’s Souda Bay naval base is being used to support US operations in Syria. US Ambassador to Greece Geoffrey Pyatt has often cited the strategic significance of the ports of Alexandroupolis and Thessaloniki.

Washington is interested in helping the Greek military conduct more effective operations in the Aegean and the Mediterranean. Greece is a crucial element in dealing with the challenges of the Eastern Med, the Maghreb, the Balkans, and the Black Sea region.

There can be no doubt that Ankara’s dispute with Cyprus and Israel over drilling rights in the Mediterranean was also on the agenda of the talks during Gen. Dunford’s visit, although no comments were made to the media in regard to this issue. Greece wants to transform Alexandroupoli into a hub for the gas being exported from Israel and Cyprus to Europe. The pipeline’s approximate length is between 1,300 to 2,000 kilometers, and it will begin in Israel and cross through the territories of Cyprus, Crete and Greece to eventually end in Italy. The hub will also have a rail link to Bulgaria. A floating LNG reception, storage, and regasification unit will be part of this project, to make it possible to bring in US LNG supplies.

The planned route of the EastMed pipeline, a project supported by the EU, will bypass Turkey, despite the increased cost. Ankara will hardly sit idly by and watch this turn of events. Turkey claims that part of the exclusive economic zone of Cyprus is under Turkish jurisdiction. According to Turkey’s President Erdogan, the “Eastern Mediterranean faces a security threat should Cyprus continue its unilateral operations of offshore oil and gas exploration in the region.” The countries involved in the project may need US protection and help in order for this to come to fruition.

For the US, strengthening its relations with Greece means expanding support for the emerging Greece-Israel-Cyprus Eastern Mediterranean Alliance (EMA) that has been driven by the discovery of hydrocarbons in Israeli and Cypriot waters and by opposition to Turkey. As Ambassador Pyatt put it, “Americans are back in a really big way.”

A year ago the US opened its first permanent military base in Israel run by the US military's European Command (EUCOM). Officially, the primary mission of the air-defense facility located inside the Israeli Air Force's Mashabim air base, west of the towns of Dimona and Yerucham, is to detect and warn of a possible ballistic missile attack from Iran. This is part of a broader process as a new military alliance with its own infrastructure emerges.

In 2015, Greece and Israel signed a military cooperation agreement. Bilateral and trilateral military drills, such as Nobel Dina, a multinational joint air and sea exercise conducted under the partnership of Greece, Israel, and the United States, have become routine. In March 2014, Israel opened a new military attaché office in Greece to signify this ever-closer relationship.

Israel has a strong defense and military relationship with Cyprus. The three nations are pledging deeper military ties, in keeping with the declaration they issued at the first-ever trilateral defense summit last year. Both Greece and Cyprus are EU members and Israel needs allies within the bloc. Greece opposed the EU’s decision to label products from Israel’s settlements. In May, the leaders of the three allied Eastern Mediterranean nations paid a joint visit to Washington.

Albania, Greece’s neighbor, has recently offered to establish a US military base on its soil. Albania's defense minister, Olta Xhacka, made the proposal in April during her visit to Washington.

Of all the members of the emerging alliance, only Israel is not a NATO member, but it’s an enhanced partner and a member of the Mediterranean Dialogue. What we actually have is a new alliance within the alliance, which was unofficially established to counter Turkey, a full-fledged NATO member. Under the circumstances, it would only be natural for Ankara to distance itself from NATO to move toward Russia, Iran, China, the SCO, and, perhaps, the Eurasian Union.

The alliance of the US and the three Eastern Mediterranean states has emerged as a political and military “petite entente,” a force to be reckoned with at a time when NATO is facing serious challenges to its unity and the EU’s future is in question.

The two large entities that bring together nations sharing the same “values,” or the desire to counter China or Russia, are giving way to smaller groups of countries pursuing shared regional interests, thus undermining the very concept of what is known as the United West.

>>> Takeda founding family member says Shire takeover would be ‘disastrous’

Takeda founding family member says Shire takeover would be ‘disastrous’
09 SEP 2018
Takeda Pharmaceutical [TYO:4502] family founding member Kazu Takeda has said the Japanese company’s proposed takeover of Irish counterpart Shire [LON:SHP] would have “disastrous” consequences, The Sunday Times reported. Kazu Takeda, who with a group of other small shareholders is trying to prevent the Shire deal from going ahead, said the proposed deal could distance the Japanese company from its “Takeda-ism” philosophy, according to the report.

Takeda-ism assets that contributing to people’s happiness drives profit, the item explained.

Kazu Takeda’s shareholder group have adopted the name Thinking about Takeda’s Bright Future (TTBF), according to the newspaper. The group represents 130 family members and former Takeda employees, the report added.

Few analysts believe TTBF will be able to enlist sufficient support to block a shareholder vote on the Shire deal, according to the newspaper.

TBBF put forward a proposal for Takeda’s AGM in Osaka in June, which would have forced the company to seek the approval of shareholders in advance of any acquisition worth more than USD 9bn (GBP 6.96bn). However, slightly less than 10% of shareholder votes backed the proposal, the report said.

TTBF thinks Takeda’s offer of GBP 49 per share for Shire is too generous, the item said, noting that the USD 62bn (GBP 47.98bn) offer represents a premium of 64% to Shire’s share price prior to speculation on 23 March of a Takeda bid.

Shire’s share price has gained 30.4% since then, but Takeda shares are 22.5% down, the report continued.

Shire’s share price closed 47.0p down at 4284.5p in London on Friday, 7 September, giving the company a market capitalisation of GBP 39.18bn.


>>> Unicredit chairman rules out merger in short term

Unicredit chairman rules out merger in short term (translated)
09 SEP 2018
Italian bank Unicredit [BIT:UCG] will not merge in the short term, Italian-language daily La Stampa reported.

The report cited Unicredit chairman Fabrizio Saccomanni who said that the lender would draw up a new strategic plan at the end of 2019 in which its future options would be evaluated. The report cited Saccomanni as noting that possible mergers and acquisitions would be examined then.

The article said that the present strategic plan focuses on organic growth, cost reduction and digitisation.

The item noted that Saccomani's comments poured cold water on the latest market speculation that the group might merge with its French peer Societe Generale [BIT:GLE] (SG).

The item also cited Bruno Le Maire, the French economy minister, as saying that at present there was nothing occuring in terms of French-Italian banking mergers.

Unicredit has a market cap of EUR 28.99bn and SG EUR 28.84bn.