>>> Mondelez CEO cites M&A focus, potential non-core assets 07 MAY 2019 Phila

Mondelez CEO cites M&A focus, potential non-core assets


  • Philadelphia Cream Cheese, Tang not central to strategy
  • Premium chocolate a focus area
  • Food personalization way of future

Mondelez International’s [NASDAQ:MDLZ] chief executive has outlined the snack company's focus for M&A and cited its Philadelphia Cream Cheese and Tang brands as non-core.
In an interview with this news service, Dirk Van de Put said Mondelez has three focus areas for M&A, but considers the well-known cream cheese brand and the iconic orange powdered drink as two assets that are not core to that strategy.
The assets are both good cash contributors, however, so the Deerfield, Illinois-based Mondelez is in no rush to divest them, he said.
Philadelphia Cream Cheese is housed in its Meals division, which also includes the Italian processed cheese brand Sottilette and Royalbrand gelatin, a product marketed in Argentina and Brazil. Mondelez markets the Philadelphia Cream Cheese brand in 18 countries across Europe and Asia-Pacific, but Kraft Heinz owns the US rights to the cream cheese, with the option to acquire the European rights, as reported.
Meanwhile, Tang, which is primarily sold in emerging markets, falls into its Beverages category. Chocolate, Biscuits and Gum & Candy make up the company’s three remaining product divisions.
Snacking, the CEO noted, makes up about 85% of Mondelez’s business, which generated USD 26bn in net revenues in 2018.
Mondelez will focus its acquisition efforts on three main categories: premium, especially chocolate; well-being; and digital business models, Van de Put said.
Examples of deals in the premium category would be its 2018 acquisition of Tate’s Bake Shop for USD 500m, and its minority investment last month in Hu Master Holdings, a vegan chocolate company. The latter was the second investment by SnackFutures, Mondelez’s venture hub.
According to the company, Mondelez hopes to expand its 10 existing well-being brands, aiming to grow them at twice the rate of its base portfolio. Asked if a company like Simple Mills--which makes snacks using almond flour and nutrient-dense ingredients--sounded interesting, he said it did.
On digital business models, he gave the example of customized nut mixes, and said there are companies that will format such a request for a customer. He also cited its SnackFutures arm as a source for innovation in this category.
During a panel discussion at the Milken Institute 2019 Global Conference in Los Angeles last week, the CEO said what he was most excited about in his industry was the potential for personalization of food. It is the "last frontier in getting what you want,” he said. “For us, personalization is going to be a huge thing going forward.”
The Philadelphia Cream Cheese brand has been marked as non-core before, according to 2016 reports, which said Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan had been retained to advise on a sale process for the cheese and groceries business.
A sector banker pointed out that the spin-off of Mondelez from Kraft was largely due to the differing distribution requirements and cost structures between refrigerated items and snacks. Mondelez’s products, with the exception of its cheese brands, do not require refrigeration and it is logical that cream cheese would be seen as non-core, the banker said.
In other reports, Mondelez’s gum brands, which include Dentyne and Trident, have been marked as non-core. In May 2018, gum accounted for 7% of sales, or USD 1.8bn of business at the time. In August that year, Mondelez sold off three of its smaller chewing gum brands.
The banker noted that gum is primarily an American product, and the market is saturated in the US.
In December 2018, Mondelez sold its Kraft-branded cheese business in the Middle East and Africa to Arla Foods of Denmark, for an undisclosed sum. In that announcement, Mondelez marked Chocolate, Biscuits and Gum & Candy as its core offerings.
While Philadelphia Cream Cheese is arguably the most recognizable brand in its category, it is more of a US product, noted the banker. While the brand is present in Europe, it is not as heavily consumed, he noted. The product likely has low growth with decent margins, and the banker guessed it might fetch a 10-12x EBITDA multiple in any potential sale.
As for Tang, it may be challenging to find a buyer as the product is unlikely to be growing even in emerging markets, which look to more premium products as consumers there gain in affluence, the banker noted.
Potential buyers for the cream cheese brand could include financial sponsors, the banker noted. In late 2017, KKR and Groupe Bruxelles Lambert paid more than USD 8.3bn for Unilever’s spread business, which included the margarine brands Flora, Country Crock and I Can’t Believe It’s Not Butter. An acquisition of Philadelphia Cream Cheese could be complementary, the banker said.
Among strategic buyers, Chinese players could show interest and France-based Lactalis has also been acquisitive. Saputo [TSE:SAP] in Canada has also been a buyer, but it is unclear if cream cheese would be synergistic with the more traditional cheese maker, the banker said.
In the gum category, the banker noted that the industry has discussed using chewing gum as a possible way to deliver nutrients, and it could be reinvented as a functional food.
Mondelez did not return requests for additional comment.

FT : BMW profit falls 74 per cent as €1.4bn set aside for possible EU fine Earni

BMW profit falls 74 per cent as €1.4bn set aside for possible EU fine
Earnings ‘on course’ as first-quarter net income doubles analysts’ forecasts

Operating profits at BMW plunged 78 per cent in the first quarter after the German carmaker was compelled to set aside €1.4bn to cover a possible fine from EU antitrust authorities.

The Munich-based luxury carmaker said the provision cut its operating profit margin by about 7 percentage points. Operating profit was €589m, versus €2.7bn a year ago.

The company’s earnings were otherwise “on course”, said chief executive Harald Krueger.

Revenue in the quarter fell 1 per cent to €22.4bn, a nudge ahead of the €22.3bn expected by analysts. Net income was down 74 per cent to €588m, yet this was more than double the €233m anticipated by analysts. Vehicle deliveries were up 0.1 per cent from a year ago to a record 605,333 units.

“We remain firmly on course and expect business to benefit from tailwinds, especially in the second half of the year, as numerous new models become available,” Mr Krueger said. “At the same time, we are experiencing the impact of high levels of expenditure in numerous areas affecting the entire automotive sector.”

Automotive margins in the three months were negative at minus 1.6 per cent, versus 9.7 per cent a year ago. The group also warned that 2019 margins would be between 4.5 and 6.5 per cent — not the 6-8 per cent margin assumed — because of the provision. Previously BMW had projected missing the 6-8 per cent target by 1 to 1.5 percentage points. Long term it still targets automotive margins in a range of 8-10 per cent.

Last month BMW issued a profit warning after acknowledging it was likely to be fined more than €1bn by EU antitrust authorities, whose “preliminary view” after a two-year probe was that BMW and four other German carmakers had colluded to delay the introduction of clean emissions technology.

BMW said on Tuesday it would contest the allegations, which it views “as an attempt to equate the permissible co-ordination of industry positions regarding the regulatory framework with unlawful cartel agreements”.

Before setting aside that provision, BMW had warned that 2019 profits would be “well below” 2018 levels. In March it announced a €12bn cost-savings plan to offset the need for higher technology costs as it electrifies its fleet and grapples with self-driving innovations.

Despite these challenges BMW’s market share is increasing, albeit in a market seeing a downturn in car sales, bottlenecks resulting from new emissions standards in Europe and rising costs of raw materials and technology investments.

BMW said its research and development budget rose 8.4 per cent from a year ago to €1.4bn.

Following President Trump’s threats of new tariffs on Chinese-made goods, Citi analysts reiterated on Monday that BMW and Daimler, the two biggest exporters of US-made cars to China, were “most exposed” to US-China trade tensions. If Beijing once again raised tariffs on US-made cars from 15 to 40 per cent, it would represent a €500-€600m annual profit headwind for each carmaker, Citi said.

>>> What to look at today - 7th of May 2019

Asian stocks traded mixed Tuesday as investors assessed the re-escalating trade war. The Australian dollar climbed after the central bank did not cut rates as some analysts had expected.
Korean and Japanese shares slid as both markets came back online after holidays, while stocks in China and Hong Kong fluctuated. The drop in Tokyo was modest given Japan was shut for six trading days, perhaps helped by a relatively muted climb in the yen amid the renewal of trade-war tensions. Treasury yields steadied and the yuan dipped. Australian shares pared gains after the Reserve Bank of Australia flagged economic risks to the downside though left rates unchanged.
Earlier, Treasuries had risen after President Donald Trump’s top trade negotiator said Washington plans to proceed with a tariff hike on Chinese goods on Friday. Indications that China will still send a delegation to Washington this week had helped temper declines on Wall Street, with the S&P 500 Index closing off of its lows of the session Monday. Japanese government bonds gained.
US After Hours SEDG +18%, AIG +6.5%, KLAC -3% among notable earnings/guidance movers

Nikkei -1.53% Hnag Seng -0.02% CSI +0.15% Shanghai -0.17% Shenzen +0.57%

Eur$ 1.1213 CNH 6.7930 CNY 6.7761 JPY 110.61 GBP 1.3121 CHF 1.0164 RUB 65.2797 TRY 6.14 WTI$ 62.31 +0.10%

S&P -0.56% EuroStoxx -0.50% Dax -0.34% FTSE -0.44% SMI -0.10%

Macro :
- U.S. Says It Will Raise Tariffs After China Reneges on Vows (4)
- *GUNDLACH:BUY INTEREST RATE VOL ON LONG MATURITY U.S TREASURIES

Keep an eye on :
- ABI BB : *AB INBEV 1Q ADJ. EBITDA GROWTH 8.2%; EST. 8.6%
- ABI BB : AB InBev Confirms Plan for Hong Kong IPO Asia Pacific Unit (1)
- ACA LN : Acacia Valuation Overly Bearish, 50% Upside Possible: Peel Hunt
- ADEN SW : Adecco First Quarter Revenue Meets Estimates
- AIR FP : Airline Built on Airbus Jets Prepares for Another `Large' Order
- ALO FP : Alstom FY Adj. Ebit EU570m, Est. EU578.7m
- AKE FP : Arkema 1Q Rev., Ebitda Meet Estimates; Keeps Forecast
- ATS AV : AT&S Raises Dividend, Sees High Uncertainty Over Phones, Autos
- ARJOB SS : Arjo First Quarter Adjusted Ebitda 1.3% Below Estimates
- SPR GY : Axel Springer First Quarter Revenue Meets Estimates
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca’s Calquence Phase 3 Meets Primary Endpoint
- BETSB SS : Betsson First Quarter Revenue Matches Estimates
- BMW GY : *BMW 1Q EBIT FALLS 78% TO EU589M FROM EU2.71B A YEAR EARLIER
- BMW GY : BMW Sets EU1.4b Antitrust Provision, 1Q EBIT Falls 78% Y/y (1)
- BNP FP : BNP Paribas Board Names Christian Noyer as Non-Voting Director
- BRAV SS : Bravida First Quarter Operating Profit Meets Estimates
- CLNX SM : Cellnex to Pay About EU2.7 Billion in Cash for 3 Tower Deals
- DBK GY : UBS Adds Deutsche Bank’s Mattus for Wealth Unit Investing Advice
- DTE GY : T-Mobile, Sprint Pushing Merger Discuss In-Home Broadband at FCC
- DIS US : ‘Avengers: Endgame’ Passes $2 Billion Mark in Second Weekend
- DIA SM : Regulator Approves Modification of LetterOne Offer for DIA
- DSM NA : DSM Raises FY Adj. Ebitda Guidance After 1Q Adj. Ebitda Beat (1)
- ZIL2 GY : ElringKlinger Confirms Outlook Despite Global Headwinds (1)
- ELE SM : Endesa First Quarter Net Income 2.1% Below Estimates
- ENC SM : Ence First Quarter Net Income Misses Lowest Estimate
- EL FP : EssilorLuxottica First Quarter Revenue Meets Estimates
- ENX FP : Euronext Extends Acceptance Period of Offer on Oslo Bors
- ECP FP : Europacorp Shares Suspended in Paris Pending Statement
- EUCAR FP : Hertz 1Q a ‘Relatively Low-Quality Beat,’ Morgan Stanley Says
- EKT SM : Euskaltel First Quarter Adjusted Ebitda 1.7% Below Estimates
- EVK GY : Evonik Raises FY Adj. Ebitda, Sales Outlook
- FBK IM : FinecoBank First Quarter Revenue Beats Highest Estimate
- FBK IM : UniCredit Considers Sale of 10%-15% Stake in Finecobank: Sole
- GEST SM : Gestamp First Quarter Net Income Misses Lowest Estimate
- GEST SM : Gestamp Expects Improved Profitability in Second Half of 2019
- GTT FP : GTT Gets Hyundai Heavy Industries LNG Carrier Tank Design Order
- HFG GY : HelloFresh First Quarter Revenue 4.8% Above Estimates
- HMEF SS : Hemfosa Fastigheter First Quarter Rental Income SEK688 Mln
- HNR1 GY : Hannover Re 1Q Net Income, Ebit Beat Estimates (1)
- HEN3 GY : Henkel 1Q Adj. Ebit Falls 5.6%; Forecast Confirmed
- NK FP : Imerys 1Q Cur. Net Slips 2.6%; Co. Sees FY Hit from U.S. Plant
- IFX GY : Infineon 2Q Adj. EPS Beats Estimates; FY Guidance Maintained (1)
- ILD FP : Iliad First Quarter Revenue EU1.29 Bln
- DEC FP : JCDecaux Wins 10-Year Ad Contract for Abu Dhabi Intl Airport
- KVAER NO : Kvaerner Sees Full Year Gross Rev. Above NOK8 Bln
- KENDR NA : Kendrion First Quarter Ebitda EU12.7 Mln
- MMB FP : Lagardere First Quarter Revenue EU1.71 Bln
- LHA GY : Lufthansa Appoints Eurowings Head Dirks for 3 More Years
- MOWI NO : Mowi First Quarter Net Income Beats Highest Estimate
- NENTA SS : NENT First Quarter Sales SEK3.73 Bln
- NETC DC : Netcompany Says Danske Bank Holds Less Than 10%
- ORP FP : Orpea Sees Full Year Revenue At Least EU3.7 Bln
- ORK NO : Orkla First Quarter Adjusted Ebit Beats Highest Estimate
- OERL SW : Oerlikon 1Q Sales CHF624m, Misses Co.-Comp. Estimate of CHF630m
- PNDORA DC : Pandora First Quarter Revenue 1.2% Below Estimates
- PFV GY : Pfeiffer Vacuum First Quarter Ebit Margin 11.8%
- PSPN SW : PSP Swiss First Quarter Net Income CHF79.7 Mln
- PNL NA : PostNL 1Q Underlying Cash Operating Income Matches Estimates (2)
- QSC GY : QSC in Pact to Sell Plusnet to EnBW Telekommunikation
- RAA GY : Rational 1Q Sales Beat Highest Estimate; Confirms Outlook (1)
- REE SM : Spanish Power Demand Fell 2% in April From a Year Earlier
- ROG SW : Roche’s Firefish Trial Achieves Key Motor Milestones
- RLD SW : Swiss Private Bank Rothschild Looking for M&A But Isn’t for Sale
- RLD SW : Edmond de Rothschild Hires Michel Longhini to Head Private Bank
- SGRE SM : Siemens Gamesa Second Quarter Sales Meet Estimates
- SHOT SS : Scandic First Quarter Adjusted Ebitda Misses Estimates
- SLIGR NA : Sligro to Buy Food Wholesaler De Kweker’s Parent Company Wheere
- GLE FP : SocGen Lifer Cartier to Lead Fixed-Income Amid Restructuring
- SOLB BB : Solvay to Reshuffle Executive Committee Structure and Duties
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Says Vodafone Partnership Talks Proceeding
- TIT IM : Telecom Italia Says CFO Peluso to Be Replaced by Banker Ronca
- TEL NO : Telenor Says PHP, Finda Approve Sale of Stakes in DNA
- TETY SS : Tethys Oil First Quarter Ebitda Misses Estimates
- TOM NO : Tomra First Quarter Ebita NOK207 Mln Vs. NOK142 Mln Y/Y
- UBSG SW : UBS Adds Deutsche Bank’s Mattus for Wealth Unit Investing Advice
- UCG IM : UniCredit Considers Sale of 10%-15% Stake in Finecobank: Sole
- VAR1 GY : Varta Raises 2019 Forecast
- VCT FP : Vicat First Quarter Like-for-like Sales +0.3%
- VNA GY : Vonovia Sees FY FFO About 5% Higher From Prior Year
- WAC GY : Domino's Pizza Group 1Q Like-for-like U.K. Sales +3.1%
- WEW GY : Westwing Cuts Year Revenue View on Lower GMV Trading

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 7th of May 2019

>>> Up
* Acacia Mining Upgraded to Buy at Peel Hunt
* Air France-KLM Upgraded to Neutral at MainFirst; PT 8.50 Euros
* Hochtief Upgraded to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 142 Euros
* Koenig & Bauer Upgraded to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 50 Euros
* Mapfre Upgraded to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 3.30 Euros
* Novo Nordisk Upgraded to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 333 Kroner
* Persimmon Upgraded to Buy at Citi
* Piovan Upgraded to Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 7.80 Euros
* Sabadell Upgraded to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* SBM Offshore Upgraded to Overweight at Barclays; PT 25 Euros
* SocGen Upgraded to Neutral at Mediobanca SpA; PT 31.20 Euros
* Tele2 Upgraded to Buy at HSBC; PT 142 Kronor
* Tubacex Upgraded to Buy at Ahorro Corporacion; PT 3.80 Euros

>>> Down
* Centrica Downgraded to Reduce at HSBC; PT 90 Pence
* Deutsche Post Downgraded to Hold at Berenberg; PT 34 Euros
* Essentra Downgraded to Hold at Stifel; PT 4.20 Pounds
* GARO AB Downgraded to Hold at Carnegie; PT 255 Kronor
* Gecina Downgraded to Equal-weight at Barclays; PT 145 Euros
* Hammerson Downgraded to Reduce at AlphaValue
* Nordea Downgraded to Reduce at AlphaValue
* Roche Downgraded to Reduce at Oddo BHF; PT 263 Francs
* Scout24 Downgraded to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 49 Euros
* SocGen Downgraded to Hold at DZ Bank; Price Target 30 Euros
* Stroeer Cut to Neutral at MainFirst; Price Target 63 Euros
* UCB Downgraded to Reduce at Oddo BHF; PT 68 Euros
* Umicore Downgraded to Hold at Berenberg

>>> Initiation
* Bellevue Group Rated New Neutral at MainFirst; PT 22.50 Francs

>>> Call