FT : Kinnevik shifts investments to high-growth start-ups

Kinnevik shifts investments to high-growth start-ups
Europe’s largest listed tech investor is returning $2bn Millicom stake to investors

Europe’s largest listed technology investor Kinnevik is offloading some of its stock market holdings to invest more in privately-held start-ups.

The Swedish group said on Tuesday that it would give its entire SKr19bn ($2bn) shareholding in emerging market telecoms group Millicom to Kinnevik shareholders, just hours after it sold a sixth of its stake in Europe’s leading online clothes retailer Zalando. 

Kinnevik said it would also stop paying ordinary dividends, preferring instead to channel money from its listed Swedish telecoms group Tele2 into what it terms “challenger” start-ups in healthcare, financial services, and food and fashion. 

Georgi Ganev, Kinnevik’s chief executive, said he understood the decision to stop paying regular dividends might upset some shareholders, but added that it helped clarify the group’s focus on backing “tomorrow’s winners”. 

He rejected a comparison to SoftBank’s Vision Fund, which has taken big bets on private companies such as Uber and WeWork, arguing that Kinnevik was different to SoftBank and to private venture capital firms.

“For our shareholders, we offer that unique exposure to unlisted growth companies but yet with liquidity and transparent corporate governance. We are the must-own public stock if you want to have access to these growth companies,” he said.

Kinnevik is starting its third big transformation of the past four decades. It revolutionised the Swedish telecoms industry in the 1980s by using the cash flow from its paper and pulp assets to build up Tele2 as a rival to the state monopoly.

In the 2000s, it sold out of paper and pulp altogether and invested in new, digital companies such as Zalando, Germany’s contentious Rocket Internet and Russia’s Avito. It now wants to use the cash flow from Tele2 to expand into more start-ups. 

Cristina Stenbeck, daughter of Tele2 founder Jan Stenbeck and granddaughter of Kinnevik founder Hugo Stenbeck, stepped down from Kinnevik’s board this year to spend more time seeking out investments and talking to start-up founders. The Swedish group has recently invested in VillageMD and Babylon, two healthcare start-ups. 

Mr Ganev said Kinnevik had no intention of selling further shares in Zalando, where it remains the largest shareholder after selling a €558m stake on Monday. He added that the group would pay out special dividends when it generated excess capital from its investments. Kinnevik’s shares fell 3 per cent on the news. 

Mr Ganev said: “We have an ambition to increase our exposure to unlisted assets . . . because we know it’s of value when we can find these companies that are not available to investors.”

>>> Novo - Ozempic offers superior reductions in HbA1c and Body Weight compared

Ozempic offers superior reductions in HbA1c and Body Weight compared to both Victoza® and Canagliflozin in people with Type 2 Diabetes

Announced today the results from two Ozempic® (once-weekly semaglutide 1.0 mg) head-to-head Phase 3 clinical trials, SUSTAIN 8 and SUSTAIN 10, which showed:
* Ozempic® was superior to treatment with the SGLT-2 inhibitor canagliflozin (300 mg) in reducing HbA1c and body weight in people with type 2 diabetes uncontrolled on metformin.
* Ozempic® was superior to Victoza® (liraglutide 1.2 mg) in reducing HbA1c and body weight in people with type 2 diabetes.

These data were presented at the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) Annual Meeting in Barcelona, and simultaneously published in The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology (SUSTAIN 8) and Diabetes and Metabolism (SUSTAIN 10).

"We are proud of the superior clinical profile of once-weekly Ozempic®, as demonstrated through all the SUSTAIN clinical trials, and encouraged by these new data which further reinforce the value of Ozempic® for people with type 2 diabetes," said Mads Krogsgaard Thomsen, executive vice president and chief science officer of Novo Nordisk.

These trials form part of the extensive SUSTAIN programme, a global clinical development programme that comprises more than 10 Phase 3 trials involving more than 10,065 adults with type 2 diabetes. To date, outcomes of SUSTAIN 1-7 and 9 have been published demonstrating Ozempic® is a best-in-class, efficacious and well-tolerated treatment option for people with type 2 diabetes.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • GLW -9.3% (guidance), BBCP -9%

Other news:

  • FNKO -8.4% (announces 4.0 mln share secondary offering by selling stockholders)
  • OPRA -8.2% (announces follow-on public offering of 7.0 mln American Depositary Shares)
  • XLRN -6.8% (announces that top-line results from Phase 2 trial of ACE-083 in patients with FSHD did not achieve functional secondary endpoints)
  • DRQ -6.2% (announces termination of contract award for Ca Rong Do project; remains confident in prior FY19 guidance)
  • SHOP -4.8% (prices 1.9 mln of Class A subordinate voting shares at $317.50 per share)
  • SEAS -1.9% (CEO resigns, effective immediately; current CFO to become interim CEO)
  • KHC -1.6% (indicated lower after 3G Capital sells 9.3% of its stake)

Analyst comments:

  • AAWW -2.4% (downgraded to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna)
  • MDCO -1.2% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup)
  • HD -1.1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim)
  • RTN -1% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Bernstein)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • KLAC +0.7% (reaffirms guidance; also raises div and adds to buy back)

Select metals/mining stocks trading higher:

  • SBGL +5.3%, AU +2.3%, GFI +1.5%, NEM +0.8%, GOLD +0.6%

Select oil/gas related names showing strength:

  • TOT +1.7%, RDS.A +1%, BP +0.5%, COP +0.5%, PXD +0.5%

Other news:

  • BUD +1.3% (aims to relaunch Hong Kong IPO)
  • NVS +1.1% (positive 16-week PREVENT results advance potential new indication for patients with axial spondyloarthritis; study met 16-week primary endpoint) . 

Analyst comments:

  • SPLK +3.2% (upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • ZNGA +1.9% (named a Best Idea at Stephens, replacing Electronic Arts)
  • SNAP +1.7% (upgraded to Neutral from Negative at Susquehanna)
  • TJX +0.8% (upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

Gapping up:

  • SBGL +4.2%, NVO +2.6%, IHG +2.5%, AU +1.9%, TOT +1.8%, AZN +1.8%, GFU +1.3%, BUD +1.1%, RDS.A +1.0%, NVS +0.9%

Gapping down:

  • BBCP -9%, GLW -9%, FNKO -8.1%, XLRN -6.8%, DRQ -6.2%, SHOP -4.5%, SEAS -1.9%, ALDR -0.8%, APOG -0.6%

Can Roller Coasters and a Bunny Garden Lure Shoppers Back to the Mall?

EAST RUTHERFORD, United States — Since the advent of e-commerce, fashion brands have tried just about everything to get people back into their shops, from in-store yoga classes and photo booths to elaborate visual displays designed for Instagram. It hasn’t worked: over 8,000 stores have closed this year, according to Coresight Research.

WSJ : International Panel Set to Criticize FAA’s Approval Process for Boeing 737

International Panel Set to Criticize FAA’s Approval Process for Boeing 737 MAX Jets
Panel’s recommendations could set the stage for major changes to longstanding jet-certification rules

A panel of international air-safety regulators is finishing a report expected to criticize the initial U.S. approval process for Boeing Co. BA -0.24% ’s 737 MAX jets, according to people briefed on the conclusions, while urging a wide-ranging reassessment of how complex automated systems should be certified on future airliners.

As part of roughly a dozen findings, these government and industry officials said, the task force is poised to call out the Federal Aviation Administration for what it describes as a lack of clarity and transparency in the way the FAA delegated authority to the plane maker to assess the safety of certain flight-control features. The upshot, according to some of these people, is that essential design changes didn’t receive adequate FAA attention.

The report, these officials said, also is expected to fault the agency for what it describes as inadequate data sharing with foreign authorities during its original certification of the MAX two years ago, along with relying on mistaken industrywide assumptions about how average pilots would react to certain flight-control emergencies. FAA officials have said they are devising new pilot-reaction guidelines after two fatal crashes.

Expected to be released in the next few weeks, the document would be the first official outside review of MAX certification since the fleet was grounded world-wide in March after the crashes. The planes nosedived after repeated misfires of an automated flight-control system, called MCAS, which pushed down the noses of both aircraft despite efforts by their pilots to pull the planes out of their steep dives.

The multiagency panel, created by the FAA in April and called the Joint Authorities Technical Review, is headed by Christopher Hart, former chairman of the U.S. National Transportation Safety Board. Tasked with examining procedures used to approve MAX flight-control systems, the participants also were asked for high-level recommendations to address systemic deficiencies. Members include air-safety regulators from Canada, China, Indonesia, the United Arab Emirates, the European Union, Brazil and the U.S.

The origin and makeup of the task force likely will give heft to its specific findings and recommendations for overhauling current practices and, in some cases, re-evaluating and updating decades-old safety rules and technical standards. Boeing and regulators are seeking to restore public confidence in the planes and end the grounding that has roiled the industry and disrupted global airline schedules.

“We welcome the scrutiny of these experts,” an FAA spokesman said Sunday in reference to the JATR and a number of other outside reviews examining MAX certification. The agency “will carefully review all the findings and recommendations,” he added.

A Boeing spokesman said the company looks forward to the finished report and “is determined to keep improving on safety in partnership with the global aerospace industry,” adding that the plane maker continues to cooperate with regulators to return the planes to service.

Details of the nearly finished report haven’t been reported before. Final changes could modify some conclusions, according to some of the officials, but the overall thrust and recommendations for a sweeping reassessment aren’t likely to shift.

Initially, the panel was assembled by the FAA as part of a strategy to promote international consensus. But as Boeing’s work to devise software fixes for MCAS and related systems dragged on—and disagreements between the FAA and some of its foreign counterparts burst into public view—the report has morphed. Now, it appears to have turned into more of a damage-control effort partly intended to sketch out longer-range changes in certification standards and procedures, industry officials said.

The JATR document won’t analyze the accidents or proposed fixes to MCAS or changes to MAX flight-control computers. The FAA has stressed that the advisory group doesn’t have veto power over modifications to MCAS.

But the report could influence changes to traditional engineering principles determining the safety of new aircraft models. Certification of software controlling increasingly interconnected and automated onboard systems “is a whole new ballgame requiring new approaches,” according to a senior industry safety expert who has discussed the report with regulators on both sides of the Atlantic.

Government approval of such systems requires not only vetting the reliability of essential software, but ensuring that average pilots can react promptly and appropriately to handle emergencies stemming from mechanical or computer malfunctions.

The panel, according to one of the officials, is expected to call for greater data-sharing and transparency among different governments, especially in certifying the safety of aircraft such as the MAX, whose basic designs are derived from earlier models.
In addition, the official said, the draft report recommends reviewing and updating FAA guidance and day-to-day certification procedures to ensure early and significant FAA involvement in new onboard systems, particularly with respect to pilot response times during emergencies that stem from human-computer interactions.

Some of the draft recommendations already have been factored into Boeing’s pending fixes to the grounded MAX fleet, the official said.

The anticipated focus on potentially sweeping certification changes comes amid growing signs that shorter-term plans by Boeing and the FAA to choreograph a nearly simultaneous return of MAX jets in many parts of the world are fraying.

Technical differences have spawned broader political and diplomatic clashes. The FAA has spent months trying to ensure that MAX jets, once they are cleared to carry passengers again, will be phased in at roughly the same time across North America, Europe and other regions. Instead, various foreign authorities are setting their own testing protocols and timelines.

European regulators recently told their FAA counterparts they likely won’t be ready to formally lift the grounding by early November, which remains the FAA’s informal target.

The U.A.E. indicated over the weekend that it planned to follow its own, longer timetable. China and India, two fast-growing aviation markets, also are expected to take longer than the U.S.

Canadian regulators, for their part, are signaling to the FAA they are likely to require simulator training for pilots before putting the MAX fleet registered in that country back in the air, according to one of the people briefed on the issue. That will require more time than the process the FAA is expected to mandate for U.S. aviators. A spokeswoman for Transport Canada had no comment.

The rift between the FAA and its foreign counterparts highlights the erosion of the U.S. agency’s stature. For decades, the FAA has set the benchmark for aviation safety. It led the way with voluntary reporting of safety lapses, ways to analyze such data and concepts to tailor pilot training to real-world incidents and accidents.

But now, countries that relied on the FAA’s help to emulate such advances are balking at accepting U.S. verifications regarding the MAX.

Patrick Ky, head of the European Union Aviation Safety Agency, told the European Parliament earlier this month, “It’s very likely that international authorities will want a second opinion” on any FAA decision to lift the grounding.

Even after EASA gives the green light, agency officials are expected to push for significant additional safety enhancements to the fleet. Most prominently, EASA has proposed to eventually add to the MAX a third fully functional angle-of-attack sensor—which effectively measures how far the plane’s nose is pointed up or down—underscoring the controversy expected to swirl around the plane for the foreseeable future.