>>> US After Hours Summary: CLS +9%, CFLT +8.7%, and UHS +7.1% sharply higher on

After Hours Summary: CLS +9%, CFLT +8.7%, and UHS +7.1% sharply higher on earnings; OLN -11.3%, CTOS -9.6%, FFIV -6.8% lower on earnings

After Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: CLS +9%, CFLT +8.7%, UHS +7.1% (also increases share repurchase authorization by $1.5 bln), AGYS +6%, SBCF +5%, KRC +4.6%, CAR +3.8%, CR +3.4%, BRO +3.2%, NUE +2.5%, NXPI +2.1%, CINF +1.5%, ACGL +1.2%, BMRN +1.1%, LEG +1.1%, DORM +0.7%, WELL +0.1%, FTAI +0.1%, ABCB +0.1%,
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: DDD +11.5% (milestones in Saudi Arabian growth initiatives), ETHZ +10.9% (sells $40 mln ETH with proceeds intended for share repurchases), VRDN +4.7% (Fairmount Funds increases active stake), CHGG +3.1% (to remain standalone public company; also details restructuring plan), FFWM +3.1% (combining with FSUN in all-stock merger), NEE +2.3% (confirms agreements with Google), AWK +2.2% (subsidiary completes acquisition of Appalachian Utilities), MVBF +2% (new $10 mln stock repurchase program), KBH +1.4% (authorizes new $1 bln share repurchase program), KROS +1.1% (D.E. Shaw increases passive stake to 5.1%), HESM +0.8% (increases cash distribution), AIG +0.6% (EG to sell renewal rights for its Global Retail Commercial Insurance business to AIG), CTEV +0.2% (strategic investment in Klaim), BRBS +0.1% (declares special dividend), WRD +0.1% (files for ordinary share offering),

After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: OLN -11.3%, CTOS -9.6%, RMBS -8.6%, FFIV -6.8%, EG -6.4% (enters adverse development reinsurance agreement; also to sell renewal rights for its Global Retail Commercial Insurance business to AIG), AMKR -5.8%, NWBI -3.8%, ARE -3.3%, WM -2.6%, VSEC -2%, BRX -1.9%, NE -1.9%, SSD -1.9%, CDNS -1%, WHR -1%, WHR -1%, METC -0.9%, PFG -0.4%, PDM -0.4%, BBBY -0.3%, TWO -0.2%, NTST -0.1%,
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: FSUN -4.4% (combining with FFWM in all-stock merger), SLNH -3.4% (stock offering by selling shareholders), VSEC -2% (to acquire Aero 3; also common stock offering), GFS -1.1% (CFO to step down; also Q3 guidance), HLLY -0.7% (reduces debt), PRK -0.6% (signs merger agreement; FIZN will merge with and into Park), KMX -0.5% (to join S&P SmallCap 600, replaced by SOLS in S&P 500), EMN -0.5% (to join S&P SmallCap 600, replaced by Q in S&P 500), LUV -0.3% (agreement with Hahnair), PEB -0.1% (new $150 mln share repurchase program),

WSJ : The Secrets to Hermès’s Reign as One of the World’s Most Valuable Companie

The Secrets to Hermès’s Reign as One of the World’s Most Valuable Companies
It’s not all about the Birkins. Inside the 188-year-old house that has become the most durable brand in luxury—and the most radical.

INSIDE THE MOST exclusive house of luxury, a fashion designer is comparing her work to one of the most stressful jobs on the planet.

We’re sitting in the Hermès offices on the outskirts of Paris in the month before Fashion Week, and Nadège Vanhée, artistic director of the company’s women’s ready-to-wear métier, is explaining her approach to the glamorous job she’s held for more than a decade. I figure she might identify as an artist, or perhaps some word so outrageously French that it comes with an espresso and cigarette. But that’s not how Vanhée describes her role. She thinks of herself as an air-traffic controller.

In her serene office looking down on a courtyard garden, as she sips tea from an Hermès cup and saucer, she interrupts herself to acknowledge that putting clothes on the runway is not exactly the same as navigating chaos in the sky.

“It’s fashion,” Vanhée says. “It’s not making sure that planes are safe.”

But to do the job well requires focus, calm under pressure, attention to detail amid a crush of distractions and making decisions about what’s in front of her while looking over the horizon for what’s ahead. In that sense, her office might as well be a control tower.

I mention this comparison to Pierre-Alexis Dumas, artistic director of the whole company and a sixth-generation member of its ruling family. He’s in charge of the creative process across a house known for its craftsmanship, exquisite technique and savoir faire, the specialized knowledge that has been preserved for centuries—first applied to saddles and harnesses, now to women’s and men’s clothing, ties, scarves, belts, shoes, jewelry, furniture, perfume, makeup, watches, headphones, chess sets, stuffed animals and handbags so coveted they have become an economy unto themselves. At Hermès, there are 16 métiers, from leather goods and equestrian to home and beauty, and their leaders all report to Dumas.

His eyes light up when he learns that one of the company’s stars relates to clearing air traffic.

“My father used to say that if you want to pronounce Hermès correctly, think of a traffic jam in the air,” he says. “Air mess.”

These days, Hermès has soared to a rarefied place in the luxury stratosphere. The business founded in 1837 is a global empire built on leather, silk and cashmere that has become one of the most valuable companies in the world.

Hermès achieved this success by operating unlike the rest of the industry. As conglomerates LVMH and Kering swallow up European brands, Hermès is the rare family-run company that has remained independent. Its signature product is a handbag methodically saddle-stitched by a single person from start to finish. In the age of artificial intelligence, the Dumas family is still betting on artisanship. This strategy of growing through scarcity, not scale, is nothing less than rebellious.


Back in her office, Vanhée reveals that she has been working on something radical herself.

In addition to the ruthless pressure of putting collections on the runway season after season, she is now preparing to relaunch a line of haute couture, which Hermès hasn’t produced since the 1960s. The exalted segment of made-to-order fashion is famously difficult to crack. It comes with specific rules, like mandating at least 20 full-time technical employees. And by getting back into extravagantly customized gowns, which might cost as much as a car, Hermès will be competing with houses like Chanel and Dior in the couture market.

Vanhée says she’s up for the challenge. She points out that some ready-to-wear garments in her recent collections have already introduced couture-like embellishments. While her first collection isn’t coming anytime soon, she gives me a sneak preview of her thought process. She already knows that her couture will reflect the identity of the house, which means there will be plenty of leather and she intends for it to be worn. “It’s not going to be museum pieces,” she promises.

By constantly reinventing itself, Hermès has proven remarkably durable. Over the years, the company has survived wars, recessions, pandemics, cars replacing horses and even a battle with a man known as the wolf in cashmere. When LVMH’s billionaire chairman Bernard Arnault disclosed owning a huge stake in Hermès in 2010, which Hermès viewed as a hostile takeover attempt, his company dwarfed its rival. It still did even after their war ended with a truce in 2014. But this year, Hermès’s market capitalization surpassed LVMH’s for the first time, and it was the most valuable company in luxury—a single brand suddenly worth more than a fortress portfolio of 75 brands.

“It was like an eclipse,” Dumas says. “I could not believe it with my eyes.”

Just like an actual eclipse, it didn’t last very long. But the metric Dumas says he cares about most is not strictly financial. The questions that keep him up at night are the philosophical ones.

“Is what we’re producing desirable?” he says. “Is it meaningful?”

Of course, the more desirable a luxury brand is, the more product it sells. But as it sells more products, any luxury brand risks becoming less desirable. To explain how a 188-year-old company has navigated this paradox—how Hermès has remained so defiantly Hermès—Dumas cites another one. “You have to change all the time,” he says, “to remain the same.”

HEN NAD`EGE VANH´EE got the offer to design for Hermès in 2014, she immediately thought of The Godfather and knew she could not refuse. Vanhée, 47, who grew up in northern France, had studied fashion design in Belgium and kept a low profile as she worked for Maison Martin Margiela, for Céline under Phoebe Philo and then at Mary-Kate and Ashley Olsen’s label, The Row. She wasn’t looking for another job and wasn’t expecting to be courted by a house of luxury, much less the house of luxury: “I never said: One day, Hermès.”

Then, one day, Hermès called. Hermès! She had always revered the brand, even if she was not the most obvious candidate for the job. Yes, she had an Hermès scarf that she’d inherited from her mother and a bracelet her father had given her when she turned 18. But she hadn’t actually bought anything from Hermès before she was hired to work there.

Until that moment, she had felt like an outsider for most of her life. As a child, she was ostracized because of her striking red hair and told she couldn’t wear red clothing. (Today she collects red dresses.) But when she met with Axel Dumas, the chief executive of Hermès and Pierre-Alexis’s cousin, she realized she would be right at home. “He likes the outsider,” she says.

When she started as the creative force behind women’s ready-to-wear, she felt it was vital to understand the psychology of Hermès. She dug through equestrian catalogs in the archives. She soaked up the wisdom of highly trained artisans in the company’s ateliers. In a leather workshop where they work their magic on her garments, there’s a wall of handwritten thank-you notes from Vanhée that accompany the bouquets she sends them after every show. Her investigation into all things Hermès led her to a crucial insight. “Leather is the consciousness of the house,” she says, “and silk is the subconsciousness.”

One thing that surprised her during this education was the house’s very serious commitment to not taking itself too seriously. From skiing penguins on men’s silk ties to the meticulously curated vibe of its retail stores, the brand is less pretentious than playful—even whimsical. (A few years ago, for example, the window display at the company’s flagship store in Paris featured a tasteful pile of horse poop.) That whimsy suited Vanhée, who carries an E.T. charm on her key chain and flaunts a chihuahua sticker from her 6-year-old daughter on the back of her phone.

The more she learned about Hermès, the more she understood that the house’s priorities were the same in every métier, including hers. The nature of fashion might seem antithetical to a brand that stands for timelessness. But her clothing isn’t meant to go out of style by next season. It’s designed to last forever. A collection must be ready to wear now—and decades from now. It needs to honor the company’s heritage without being nostalgic for its history.

“Nostalgia is connected with this idea that it was better before—a certain kind of sadness, a feeling of inadequacy with today,” Vanhée says. “Heritage is about embracing the present.”

To embrace the present, she toys with the company’s past, taking its equestrian roots and twisting them as she recasts silhouettes, repurposes leather and silk and reimagines jackets, vests and Hermès archetypes for women today.

On the day we meet at the company’s design studios in the Parisian suburb of Pantin, where even the trash bins are mottled with horse iconography, Vanhée is dressed in all black. The only Hermès she’s wearing happens to be the first Hermès she bought, a pair of boots designed by Pierre Hardy, creative director for jewelry, shoes and beauty objects, who has been with the company since 1990. Along the way, he learned that creative autonomy inside Hermès comes from the sturdy foundation of a house secure in its identity. “We’re dancing on a platform that is in stone,” he says.

The pirouette into couture will be Vanhée’s latest chance to revive the company’s past—a concept as quintessentially Hermès as its orange box. That morning, she breezes into her studio, past her moodboards and bookshelf with neatly organized binders of fabric, on her way to a meeting with Priscila Alexandre Spring. As the creative director of leather goods, Alexandre Spring is responsible for tweaking iconic handbags like the Birkin and Kelly while coming up with ideas that one day might join them in the canon.

Before the two women get to work, they compare notes on balancing old and new.

“We are very classic with the novelties,” Alexandre Spring says. “We try to be less classic with the classics.”

IERRE-ALEXIS DUMAS works out of an unmarked building on a quiet street in Paris just around the corner from the Hermès flagship store. On a tour of his impeccably decorated office filled with company artifacts, he shows me a baseball signed by Jony Ive, Apple’s former design guru, who worked closely with Hermès on straps for the Apple Watch. Then he opens a cabinet, grabs a hidden box of leather treasures and pulls out a wallet, the first object he made for himself while learning the company’s vaunted saddle-stitch as a child. These days, he signs off on every product that Hermès sells, personally inspecting thousands of designs each year to make sure they meet the company’s exacting standards. “I have to,” he says. “This is the family name.”

That family name has never been more valuable. The peculiar economics of scarcity has created a wildly profitable business. There is so much demand for handmade bags like the Birkin and they are in such limited supply that Hermès clients sometimes wait years before they are invited by a sales associate for the privilege of buying one.

Even so, during our conversation, Dumas reaches for an oddly shaped leather object—the Hermès equivalent of a stress ball. “I’ll tell you what is stressful, but it’s good stress,” he says. “It’s thinking about Hermès.”

Nobody has thought more about Hermès than Dumas, 59, who traces the history of women’s clothing at the company back to its founder. When Thierry Hermès opened his first workshop, his harnesses were known for two things. “They were extremely discreet,” Dumas says, “and they revealed the natural beauty of the horse.” In the early days, Hermès dressed clients with four legs. But those principles apply to Vanhée’s clothing, which is meant to be understated, flattering and emboldening.

The famous origin story of women’s ready-to-wear at the company involves a female customer declaring that her horse was better-dressed than she was. Et voilà—Hermès began dressing humans, too. Dumas tells me another version that stars his great-grandfather, Émile Hermès, whose four children (all daughters) inspired a women’s line in the 1920s. Either way, the first official women’s ready-to-wear collection wasn’t presented until the 1960s. In the 1970s, Pierre-Alexis’s father took over from his grandfather and set about diversifying the family business. And in the 1990s and 2000s, the fashion division got a makeover when a series of subversive creative directors, like Martin Margiela and Jean Paul Gaultier, rebranded Hermès “from horsey to hip,” as one fashion critic put it.

But as the line evolved, the company went looking for someone who could make horsey hip—that is, an Hermès designer, rather than a designer for Hermès.

At other houses, creative directors transcend their brands. But at Hermès, the house is bigger than any of its inhabitants. “It’s through our work that we elevate ourselves,” Dumas says. “Joining Hermès is deciding to serve something greater than yourself, accepting that, and then very joyfully sharing that success.”

Vanhée’s métier is successful in more ways than one. It opens a door for shoppers to enter the universe of Hermès, which makes it essential strategically. It’s also important financially. The ready-to-wear and accessories division accounted for 22% of the company’s sales when she started and accounts for 29% today, making it one of the fastest-growing parts of the business. But to Dumas, what really matters is that Vanhée’s work resonates creatively. “She absorbed what Hermès is about,” he says. “She picked up the dream of Émile Hermès and brought it much further.”

While creative directors bounce around, the ones anointed by Hermès tend to stick around. When Véronique Nichanian recently stepped down as the company’s head of menswear, it was after a reign of 37 years. Vanhée might have that sort of longevity.

At this point, she has done the job longer than any of the men who came before her. “It’s really something that I hope I can do for a long time without boring anyone,” Vanhée says. She also has the confidence to do it in her own way. As fashion designers overshare on Instagram to cultivate their personal brands, she looks at social media but never posts. “It’s not my job,” Vanhée says. As it turns out, a tastemaker does not have to be an influencer. She has the luxury of expressing herself through her work for Hermès.

“I profit from the great sympathy of Hermès,” she says. “You say Hermès, and some people will say, Can I get 20% off? And all the others say, Oh, my God—Hermès.”

THIS HAS NOT BEEN a particularly luxurious year for the luxury industry, which has been dealing with the uncertainty of tariffs, softening global demand and the constant threat of forgeries and cheap knockoffs—which for Hermès includes the Wirkin, a Birkin dupe from Walmart. Meanwhile, a dizzying game of musical chairs left more than a dozen houses scrambling to hire new creative directors this season.

The turbulence hasn’t shaken Hermès. This palace of opulence continues to seduce new generations of shoppers while Very Important Clients keep splurging on crocodile Birkins. Last year, Hermès reported a record $15.8 billion in sales, and the company’s market cap typically floats between $250 billion and $300 billion. That means Hermès brings in less annual revenue than Mercedes-Benz, Target, Adidas, Ford, Delta Airlines or Michelin individually, but it’s worth more than all of those companies put together.

As we discuss the company’s resilience, Dumas brings the conversation back to his touchstones.

“What does it mean to be desirable today?” he says. “The true meaning of desire is not instant gratification. The true meaning of desire is to find something that gives meaning to your life.”

Dumas believes the quest for meaning will be the guiding force of the modern age. When consumers buy something, he says, they want to know where it’s made, how it’s made, who made it—the human craft behind the product. “That’s what Nadège does. That’s what all the people who work at Hermès have understood,” he says. “They’re working on helping us be in touch with ourselves.”

All of which explains why he looks offended when I ask if he’s using AI. I might as well have asked if he spent August at the office.

“No,” he says. “Why?”

Does he think a machine could saddle-stitch a handbag like the ones made by Hermès artisans?

“Never.”

Why?

“It’s all about the human touch. Yes, you can program a machine. But what the machine doesn’t have is feelings. It doesn’t have consciousness. It’s not aware of what it’s doing. It’s just doing what it’s supposed to do.”

But if a machine could do everything humans can, would he use it?

He doesn’t need an Hermès stress ball to think about this question. For all the changes in his family’s business, the answer has always been the same.

“You’re talking to someone working for a company with over 7,000 craftsmen,” Dumas says. “No. I would not do it. Over my dead body.”

FT : Belgium at risk of turning into a ‘narco state’, judge warns

Belgium at risk of turning into a ‘narco state’, judge warns
‘Extensive mafia structures have taken hold’ in country, says judge who spent 4 months in a safe house

Belgium is at risk of turning into a “narco-state” as organised crime has infiltrated ports, the police and even the judiciary, according to a judge who spent four months in a safe house.

“What’s happening today in our jurisdiction and beyond is no longer a classic crime issue. We’re facing an organised threat that undermines our institutions,” the investigating judge at a court in Antwerp wrote in an open letter published on the court’s website on Monday. 

“Extensive mafia structures have taken hold, becoming a parallel force that challenges not only the police, but also the judiciary,” wrote the judge, who chose to remain anonymous due to threats to their life.

Antwerp is one of the flashpoints of drug trafficking into Belgium and wider Europe, as its port is the second largest of the continent and a key entry point for cocaine.

An investigation based on decrypted messages between drug smugglers and other criminals revealed “a parallel economy” in the port of Antwerp as well as large-scale money laundering operations, they wrote.

“The consequences are serious: are we evolving into a narco-state? . . . According to our drug commissioner, this evolution has begun. My colleagues and I share this sentiment,” wrote the judge.

“A narco-state is characterised by an illegal economy, corruption and violence” — all three of which were already present in Belgium, they said.

The judge, one of 17 investigating judges in Antwerp who can authorise wiretaps and other evidence-gathering methods for the prosecution, said that “bribery is permeating our institutions from the ground up”, with probes leading to arrests of port employees, customs officials, police officers and people working for the judiciary.

Moving a container in the port could earn as much as €100,000, they wrote, and moving a bag €50,000 or more.

Violence had become part of the organised crime’s business model, “ranging from murder, torture, and kidnapping to threats and attacks, sometimes targeting innocent civilians, to maintain their power and eliminate rivals”, the judge said.

They also referenced the killing of an 11-year-old girl in 2023, the niece of two notorious drug traffickers who died during a shooting.

The judge urged the government to take measures to allow the judiciary to continue working safely, including allowing judges to work anonymously, insurance for damages to magistrates and their families, and blocking the use of mobile phones in prisons.

“Despite all the efforts of the police and the judiciary, we are no longer able to protect our citizens and ourselves,” the judge wrote. “If the judiciary begins to malfunction, it is a dangerous attack on our democracy.”

Belgian justice minister Annelies Verlinden was sympathetic to the judge’s complaints. “The signals we are receiving regarding threats against magistrates and prison staff are serious and worrying. These people are on the front lines of our rule of law every day. The fact that they are the target of criminal networks, even from inside prisons, is unacceptable,” she said in a statement.

Verlinden said she was working on a strategy to reinforce security inside the judiciary. “It is also for this reason that I have asked for more human and financial resources to invest in the judiciary,” she added.

FT : Nigel Farage calls for parliament-led inquiry into UK grooming gangs

Nigel Farage calls for parliament-led inquiry into UK grooming gangs
Reform leader lambasts Labour government for delays to investigation

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage has called for a parliamentary-led inquiry into grooming gangs, one week after the national inquiry into child sex abuse across England and Wales descended into bitter infighting.

Farage, speaking beside sexual abuse victim Ellie-Ann Reynolds at a press conference in Whitehall, criticised the Labour government for delays to the investigation and for a lack of impartiality in its handling of the probe.

The Reform leader said a parliamentary-led committee could complete the inquiry “incredibly quickly” and in the “full glare of the media”.

The probe, announced by Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer in June, was thrown into turmoil last week when four survivors and two frontrunners to chair it dropped out. Disagreements within the victims’ panel led to calls from opposition MPs to sack safeguarding minister Jess Phillips.

The probe is looking into whether state agencies failed to do more to protect largely white girls from the grooming gangs — disproportionately comprising men of Asian or Pakistani heritage — for fear of being accused of racism.

Farage added that parliamentary committees had “extraordinary powers”, including the “power to summon anybody”, referring to when the Treasury select committee summoned former executives, including Sir Fred Goodwin of Royal Bank of Scotland, after the banking collapse in 2009.

“This inquiry is dead in the water. It started five months ago. But what has happened? Nothing. They can’t even agree who the chair is going to be,” he said.

Unlike a national public inquiry, which is a formal legal process run by an independent chair with powers to demand evidence, a parliamentary inquiry is led by MPs and aims to hold people to account through public questioning rather than legal proceedings.

The leader of the rightwing populist party said such an investigation “could be done by Christmas”.

The current panel, consisting of roughly 30 survivors of sexual abuse, is divided on the type of sexual exploitation and abuse that should be included within the inquiry’s scope. Some claim the probe has been “watered down”.

Four victims, including Reynolds, has complained the scope of the inquiry has widened to also include other types of sexual abuse.

Speaking on Monday, Reynolds — one of the victims to publicly resign from the investigations’ survivor liaison panel last week — said there were many people who agree with us “that still haven’t come out and said it”.

She described the public inquiry as “a mess from the start”, adding that in her view, the panel did not “want to vocalise the ethnicity” of the men who committed the crimes against them.

“It was rigged from the start,” she added.

In the same press conference, Farage defended the Reform MP Sarah Pochin after she suggested there were too many black and Asian people in adverts. 

On Monday Starmer branded the comments as racist, telling broadcasters: “Nigel Farage has got some questions to answer, because either he doesn’t consider it racist, which in my view is shocking in itself, or he does think it’s racist and he’s shown absolutely no leadership.”

Farage, however, defended Pochin, the MP for Runcorn and Helsby. He said the words she used were “ugly” and could be read as “very, very unpleasant”, but that he understood the context in which she had made the comments. 

Pochin apologised on Saturday, saying her comments were “poorly phrased”. However, she maintained that “British TV adverts have gone DEI-mad and are now under-representative of British society as a whole”.

FT : UK offshore wind budget puts 2030 clean energy target at risk, say analysts

UK offshore wind budget puts 2030 clean energy target at risk, say analysts
Ministers earmark £1.08bn for offshore wind subsidy contracts to be awarded in this year’s auction round

The UK’s budget to support offshore wind farms could jeopardise its target of decarbonising the power sector by 2030 but is likely to help control rising energy bills, industry analysts have said.

Ministers on Monday announced a budget of £1.08bn annually for offshore wind subsidy contracts awarded in this year’s auction round, which is critical to filling the country’s pipeline of renewable projects for the next few years.

Pranav Menon, senior research associate at Aurora Energy Research, said the allocation would be enough to procure slightly less than 5 gigawatts of capacity if offshore wind developers bid into the auction at a similar level to last year.

However, it probably would not be enough to meet Labour’s flagship goal, which would require extensive investment into new wind and solar farms, and electricity cables.

The budget had “definitely come as a bit of a surprise, given that it almost certainly puts the government’s CP2030 target out of reach,” he noted.

It comes as Ed Miliband, energy secretary, is under pressure to keep energy bills down in line with his election campaign pledge, as UK households struggle with high costs.   

Last week, the Tony Blair Institute urged the government to prioritise cutting bills ahead of the clean power target, warning that “abundant electricity” was now a “prerequisite for economic leadership”.

“This could be the first signal that the government is prepared to water down its CP2030 target, recognising the growing pressure from households and businesses to keep bills down,” Menon added, referring to the budget announcement.

Each year, the government auctions “contracts-for-difference”, which guarantee developers planning new offshore wind farms a fixed price for the electricity they generate once up and running. The system is seen as a key tool for ministers to provide an incentive for low-carbon investment.

The guarantee is funded by a levy on consumer bills. If the wholesale price is higher than the fixed price, developers have to pay back the difference. 

Developers bid to win the contracts by trying to offer a lower fixed price than competitors. However, the industry’s costs have surged over the past few years, meaning there is a limit to how low they can go. 

The annual budget is an estimate of what could be spent each year on subsidising the wind farms once they are up and running. The actual amount is linked to electricity prices and other factors.

This year’s annual budget is about 40 per cent lower in real terms compared with last year. However, ministers have also extended the terms of the contracts, so they now run for 20 years instead of 15. 

The extension is intended to give generators more certainty over prices, lowering their risk and financing costs.

Trade group RenewableUK said it would only procure about a quarter of the capacity eligible for the contracts this year, and urged the government to increase the budget. Ministers can increase the budget depending on what bids they receive, so this could yet happen.

“An ambitious pipeline of renewable energy projects is crucial for triggering large-scale private investment in offshore wind supply chains,” said Ana Musat, the group’s executive director of policy.

Alon Carmel, at PA Consulting, added: “If [developers] bid at a similar price level to last year, the amount of offshore wind secured under this budget could be between 4-5GW, lower than the amount required for clean power 2030. 

“If prices clear lower, the target could still be on track. But there is every reason to think the industry’s costs are still high.”

Michael Shanks, energy minister, said: “Our competitive new auction process will allow us to buy the right amount of clean power at the right price on behalf of the British people, so we can take back control of our energy.”

>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
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    • Doximity (DOCS) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities, tgt $82
    • EastGroup Properties (EGP) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at BNP Paribas Exane, tgt $207
    • Fate Therapeutics (FATE) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush, tgt $7
    • Five Below (FIVE) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, tgt $186
    • General Dynamics (GD) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Vertical Research, tgt $400
    • Glaukos (GKOS) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo, tgt $120
    • Honeywell (HON) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $253
    • Life Time Group (LTH) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $39
    • Microsoft (MSFT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Guggenheim, tgt $586
    • Mister Car Wash (MCW) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens, tgt $6.25
    • Nicolet Bankshares (NIC) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette, tgt $160
    • Replimune (REPL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at H.C. Wainwright, tgt $12
    • Terex (TEX) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James, tgt $70
    • Thor Industries (THO) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Raymond James
    • Victoria's Secret (VSCO) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman, tgt $32
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    • First BanCorp (FBP) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Keefe Bruyette, tgt $24
    • Harley-Davidson (HOG) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $25
    • MRC Global (MRC) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital, tgt $16
    • Roper Technologies (ROP) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital, tgt $539
    • TXNM Energy (TXNM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, tgt $61.25
    • Wolverine World Wide (WWW) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Williams Trading, tgt $27
  • Others
    • Amer Sports (AS) initiated with a Buy at Truist, tgt $42
    • AngloGold Ashanti (AU) initiated with a Buy at Citigroup, tgt $90
    • Array Digital Infrastructure (AD) initiated with an Outperform at RBC Capital, tgt $62
    • AstraZeneca (AZN) assumed with a Buy at Jefferies
    • AvePoint (AVPT) initiated with a Neutral at Robert W. Baird, tgt $17
    • Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $75
    • Civista Bancshares (CIVB) assumed with a Buy at DA Davidson, tgt $26
    • Commvault (CVLT) initiated with an Outperform at Robert W. Baird, tgt $215
    • DoorDash (DASH) reinstated with a Buy at Goldman, tgt $315
    • Dime Community (DCOM) assumed with a Buy at DA Davidson, tgt $36
    • Fermi (FRMI) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald, tgt $27
    • Fermi (FRMI) initiated with a Buy at Rothschild & Co Redburn, tgt $31
    • Fermi (FRMI) initiated with a Buy at Stifel, tgt $29
    • Fermi (FRMI) initiated with a Buy at UBS, tgt $30
    • Fermi (FRMI) initiated with an Outperform at Mizuho, tgt $27
    • Interactive Brokers (IBKR) initiated with an Outperform at CICC, tgt $78
    • Keysight Technologies (KEYS) assumed with Hold from Buy at Jefferies, tgt $180
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank, tgt $29
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI, tgt $35
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James, tgt $30
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with a Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $32
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with an Underperform at BofA Securities, tgt $21
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with an Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $26
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with a Neutral at JPMorgan, tgt $25
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with an Underperform at Mizuho, tgt $23
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with a Market Perform at BMO Capital, tgt $25
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with a Buy at Goldman, tgt $30
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with a Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette, tgt $26
    • Neptune Insurance (NP) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Sandler, tgt $33
    • Netskope (NTSK) initiated with an Outperform at Robert W. Baird, tgt $27
    • Novo Nordisk (NVO) assumed with an Underperform at Jefferies
    • OceanFirst Financial (OCFC) assumed with a Buy at DA Davidson, tgt $19
    • Oruka Therapeutics (ORKA) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim, tgt $60
    • Rapt Therapeutics (RAPT) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim, tgt $70
    • SailPoint (SAIL) initiated with an Outperform at Robert W. Baird, tgt $26
    • Sky Harbour (SKYH) initiated with a Buy at BTIG Research, tgt $13
    • Robinhood Markets (HOOD) initiated with an Outperform at CICC, tgt $155

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • CRI -7.4%, RVTY -2.7%
Other news:
  • GNTA -34% (prices offering of 4,285,715 ADSs at $3.50 per ADS)
  • PRE -16.5% (proposes offering of Class A Ordinary Shares and common warrants)
  • WWR -4.9% (progresses permitting process for mine development at the Coosa Deposit)
  • CAN -4.2% (files for $270 mln ADS offering)
  • BORR -2% (announces contract terminations)
  • AWK -1.3% (American Water Works and Essential Utilities (WTRG) to combine in an all-stock, tax-free merger with a pro forma market capitalization of approximately $40 billion and combined enterprise value of approximately $63 billion)
  • PLYM -1.2% (enters into definitive merger agreement under which entities affiliated with Makarora Management and Ares Alternative Credit funds will acquire the company for $22.00 per share in cash)
  • NVS -1.1% (Avidity Biosciences to be acquired by Novartis (NVS) for $72.00 per share)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:
  • DQ +9.5%, ARLP +5%, KDP +4.9%, BOH +2.7%, CORZ +2.3%, DEA +2.3%, SNOW +1.6% (guidance), PKX +1.5%
Other news:
  • ZBIO +56.5% (results from the Phase 2 MoonStone trial of obexelimab)
  • RNA +43.6% (Avidity Biosciences to be acquired by Novartis (NVS) for $72.00 per share)
  • BBIO +9.7% (topline results from FORTIFY, the Company's Phase 3 pivotal study of BBP-418)
  • FRMI +6.4% (announces historic nuclear deals securing lead position to initiate AP1000s)
  • ABTC +6.2% (has acquired approximately 1,414 Bitcoin)
  • FATE +6.1% (presents new clinical data at ACR Convergence 2025 Demonstrating Immune Remodeling and Durable Responses in Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Treated with FT819 Off-the-Shelf CAR T-Cell Therapy)
  • KYTX +5.8% (highlights potential of KYV-101 in Rheumatoid Arthritis with Phase 1 data from investigator-initiated trial presented at ACR Convergence 2025)
  • AUTL +5.2% (presents clinical data updates at the American College of Rheumatology Convergence 2025)
  • ATAI +4.7% (discloses amendment to share purchase agreement)
  • PPTA +4.6% (enters $255 million strategic equity investment from Agnico Eagle (AEM) and JPMorganChase)
  • ORBS +4.4% (entered into an amended and restated Sales Agreement on Oct 27)
  • CGEM +4.3% (shares additional Preclinical B Cell depletion data for CLN-978 at ACR Convergence 2025)
  • ARVN +4.2% (Presents Preclinical Data for ARV-806)
  • FFAI +4% (weekly investor update)
  • WTRG +3.3% (American Water Works and Essential Utilities (WTRG) to combine in an all-stock, tax-free merger with a pro forma market capitalization of approximately $40 billion and combined enterprise value of approximately $63 billion)
  • KYMR +3.3% (presentation of new preclinical data for KT-579)
  • ELAN +3.2% (FDA issues emergency use authorization for Elanco's Credelio; announced label expansions for two of its leading canine prescription parasiticides)
  • CABA +2.8% (clinical data and development updates for Rese-cel at ACR Convergence 2025)
  • NMRA +2.7% (preclinical data for NMRA-215)
  • CADE +2.7% (Cadence Bank confirms it will be acquired by Huntington Bancshares)
  • EVO +2.4% (announces progress in preclinical neuroscience partnership with Bristol Myers Squibb)
  • GOGO +2.3% (COO to depart)
  • GRND +2.3% (confirms receipt of take-private proposal from large shareholders)
  • SEIC +1.6% (increases stock share repurchase program by $650 million)
  • GH +1.6% (to share data supporting critical role of blood-based testing in improving cancer screening adherence at ACG 2025)
  • PHAT +1.2% (publication of data from Phase 3 pHalcon-NERD-301 Study Showing VOQUEZNA improved nocturnal GERD symptoms in patients with non-erosive reflux disease)
  • GSK +1.2% (acquires exclusive rights from Syndivia)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • RNA +44%, NMRA +19.4%, FATE +10.3%, ABTC +8.5%, ARVN +7.4%, FRMI +6.4%, KYTX +6.2%, CSTL +6.1%, FFAI +4.7%, CGEM +4.3%, KDP +3.6%, ATAI +2.4%, GRND +2.3%, ATON +2.3%, SNOW +2.2%, CORZ +1.9%, GH +1.8%, PKX +1.5%, LII +1.3%, GSK +1.2%, ELAN +1.1%, INCY +1%, PBR +0.9%, WTRG +0.9%
  • Gapping down:
    • GNTA -30.6%, CRI -15.6%, PRE -10.9%, WWR -7.3%, RVTY -3.9%, CAN -3.7%, BORR -3.7%, STAA -2.7%, PLYM -1.4%, NVS -1.2%, VANI -1.2%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 27th of October 2025 V3(++)

>>> Up
* Bachem Raised to Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 75 Swiss francs
* DoorDash Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT $315
* General Dynamics Raised to Buy at Vertical Research; PT $400
* Hexpol Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 102 kronor
* Hiab Raised to Buy at SEB Equities; PT 52 euros
* Hiab Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 50 euros
* Honeywell Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT $253
* Incap Raised to Buy at Inderes; PT 11 euros
* Indra Raised to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 46 euros (+)
* Microsoft Raised to Buy at Guggenheim; PT $586
* PhotoCure Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 68 kroner
* Prisma Properties Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities
* Schneider Electric Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley

>>> Down
* B3 Consulting Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 50 kronor
* Berkshire Hathaway Cut to Underperform at KBW; PT $700,000
* Centrica Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 185 pence
* EDP SA Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 4.70 euros
* EDP SA Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 4.10 euros
* EDP Renovaveis Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 13.80 euros
* EDP Renovaveis Cut to Hold at Deutsche Bank; PT 12 euros
* Evli Cut to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 24 euros
* Groupe Guillin Cut to Hold at Portzamparc; PT 30 euros (+)
* Hexagon Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 132 kronor
* Marimekko Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 13.50 euros
* Nordex Cut to Neutral at Grupo Santander; PT 25.40 euros
* Oerlikon PT cut from 3.80 to 3.10 CHT at Research Path (++)
* Sika Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 195 Swiss francs
* Sika PT cut from 251 to 235 CHF at RBC
* Vaisala Cut to Hold From Buy by Berenberg, Target Cut to EUR50 From EUR55 by Berenberg

>>> Initiation
* Anglogold Rated New Buy at Citi; PT $90
* R&S Group Holding Rated New Outperform at Oddo BHF
* Robinhood Rated New Outperform at CICC; PT $155
* Sika Reinstated Underperform at BofA; PT 165 Swiss francs (+)
* Soiltech Rated New Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 100 kroner
* Trustpilot Rated New Outperform at RBC; PT 290 pence

>>> Call
* SAP Kept at Buy as Berenberg Notes Strong Q3, AI Risks/Benefits
* Solid Inflows to US Equity Funds: Deutsche Bank Strategists (+)
* Morgan Stanley’s Wilson Sees Earning Revisions Widening in 2026 (+)
* Neptune Insurance Rated New Underperform at Mizuho Securities (++)
* Schneider Electric Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley (+)