WSJ : Airbus in Advanced Talks to Acquire Bombardier Stake in A220 Program

Airbus in Advanced Talks to Acquire Bombardier Stake in A220 Program
A deal for Bombardier’s 34% stake could be reached as early as next week


Airbus EADSY -0.62% SE is in advanced talks to acquire Bombardier Inc.’s BDRBF 0.93% remaining stake in the two companies’ joint A220 commercial jetliner program, according to people familiar with the matter.
A deal for Bombardier’s 34% stake could be reached as early as next week, ahead of both companies’ earnings reports, the people said. The Quebec government, which holds a 16% stake in the program, is likely to retain that holding, according to one of these people.
Financial terms of the planned stake sale couldn’t be learned. While in an advanced stage, talks could still fall apart, or the contours of the potential deal could change significantly.

FT : Ericsson should court US takeover, says major investor

Ericsson should court US takeover, says major investor
Cevian urges Swedish telecoms group to engage with idea of Washington taking ‘controlling stake

One of Ericsson’s biggest shareholders has urged the Swedish telecoms equipment maker’s board to take seriously a proposal that the US take a controlling stake in both it and rival Nokia, as the former prime ministers of Sweden and Finland called the idea a wake-up call for Europe.

US attorney-general William Barr said on Thursday that the US and its allies should actively consider proposals for “American ownership of a controlling stake” in Ericsson and Nokia to combat the growing strength of China’s Huawei, sending shares in both Nordic companies up more than 4 per cent on Friday. 

Christer Gardell, co-founder of Europe’s largest activist investor Cevian Capital, which is Ericsson’s largest shareholder by capital but not by votes, told the Financial Times: “This is real. I think the US would do whatever it takes — and costs — to get their hands on Ericsson.” 

He added: “For the board of Ericsson, it is almost impossible not to engage in these discussions. [It would be] very risky not to.” 

Cevian owns about 9 per cent of Ericsson’s capital. Mr Gardell argued that “Swedes and Europeans have so far not understood what 5G is all about”. He claimed that Ericsson was in a better position than Nokia to do a deal with the US, “most likely” with a company such as Cisco or Qualcomm.

Sweden’s and Finland’s business ministers both refused to comment as did Ericsson. Nokia said: “We always welcome investor interest in Nokia,” but declined to comment further. 

The US has become increasingly concerned about the market power of Huawei but has been unable to convince many of its allies — most recently the UK — to break completely with the Chinese telecoms equipment maker. As a result, some in Washington want to see more radical action.

Two former prime ministers of Sweden and Finland told the FT that Europe needed to wake up to the strategic importance of Ericsson and Nokia for the continent as it struggles to fight back against the broader technological supremacy of the US and China. 

“As the Barr speech indicates, Ericsson and Nokia are the frontline in the geotechnical battle shaping the future,” ex-Swedish prime minister Carl Bildt told the FT. 

He argued that Brussels should take the companies more seriously. “One could promote Ericsson and Nokia at least verbally with the same fervour that Beijing promotes and defends Huawei. And then be firm in demanding a level playing field by exposing how the state financial might of China distorts competition in this sector,” he added. 

Alex Stubb, a former Finnish prime minister and foreign minister, said in a separate interview: “These companies are becoming strategically important. If and when geopolitics is about economic competitiveness and data competitiveness as much as security, companies like Nokia and Ericsson need to be taken much more seriously by the EU.” 

Finland’s national investment fund Solidium is the biggest shareholder in Nokia with a 3.9 per cent stake, which it bought in 2018 in the “nationally very important company”, whereas the Swedish state has no shareholding in Ericsson, whose biggest shareholder by votes is the Wallenberg family investment vehicle, Investor.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • MYGN -28% (also CEO resigns), MTW -16.7%, UI -15.6%, LMAT -14.8%, TTWO -9.6%, MOBL -9%, GOOS -8%, TSE -5.9%, FLT -5.5%, VRSN -4.5%, COLM -4.5%, POST -4.3%, NTUS -3.9%, BRKS -3.8%, AVTR -3.8%, TDC -3.5%, SGEN -3.4%, DLX -3.3%, VCRA -3.1%, HBI -2.8%, ZEN -2.7%, WYNN -2.4%

Other news:

  • ZGNX -29.1% (announces results from Phase 3 Trial of FINTEPLA for L-G Syndrome)
  • ACB -16.2% (CEO steps down, preannounces soft Q2 results)
  • ADMA -10% (upsizes and prices offering of 23.5 mln shares of common stock at $3.50 per share)
  • RAPT -10% (prices its underwritten public offering of 2,500,000 shares of common stock at a public offering price of $30.00/share)
  • EBAY -6.7% (ICE will no longer explore opportunities with eBay )
  • CRBP -6.4% (stock offering)
  • VFC -1.7% (says coronavirus will impact its financial results in the Asia Pacific region in the near term, VF's growth opportunity in China and across the Asia Pacific region is significant and the fundamentals of our business are strong)
  • CS -1.5% (has unanimously accepted the resignation of Tidjane Thiam and appointed Thomas Gottstein as the new CEO of CS)
  • HEXO -1.5% (changed its auditor from MNP LLP to PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP effective January 31, 2020)
  • MLCO -1.2% (to focus on core operations as a result of global health emergency and impact of restrictions on visitor travel to Macau; will not pursue its planned investment in Australia for the second tranche of shares in Crown Resorts Limited)

Analyst comments:

  • I -9.1% (downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan)
  • MRVL -3.9% (downgraded to Underperform from Outperform at Cowen)
  • GRUB -2.6% (downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at DA Davidson)
  • BDX -0.6% (downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James)
  • F -0.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to strong earnings/guidance
:

  • PINS +18%, EGAN +17.1%, SYNA +14.9%, SKX +12.1%, VIVO +10.3%, TWOU +8%, BILL +7.5%, CCS +6.8%, UBER +6.5%, NLOK +6.1%, SOHU +5.8%, DXC +5.1%, NOV +4.8%, SIMO +4.2%, CCJ +4%, MSI +3.7%, VSAT +3.4%, MSG +3.3%, VRTU +3.2%, ASX +3.2%, CSL +2.5%, ABBV +2.5%, LGND +2.4%, OFC +2.4%, ROAD +1.8%, ATVI +1.7%, LGF.A +1.1%, TMUS +1%

Other news:

  • OCN +29.6% (lifting on Q4 update and share repurchase program)
  • COLL +11.3% (to acquire US rights to Nucynta from ASRT for $375 mln; reiterates FY20 guidance)
  • ICE +3.9% (will no longer explore opportunities with eBay)
  • ADRO +3% (earns milestone payment from MRK)
  • VIAC +2.4% (Bloomberg report says several cos have asked about buying CNET)
  • FG +1.6% (FGL Holdings to be acquired by Fidelity National Financial (FNF) for $12.50 per share)
  • LGF.A +1.1% (signs output deal with Starz for split theatrical streaming window in the UK)

Analyst comments:

  • DPZ +1.9% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)
  • ABC +1.1% (upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Robert W. Baird)
  • CSX +0.6% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
 

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 7th of February 2020 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Assa Abloy Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 210 kronor
* Atlantia Raised to Buy at Citi; PT 25.80 euros
* Cewe Stiftung PT Raised to 119 euros at M.M. Warburg (+)
* Covestro Raised to Buy at Citi
* Hastings Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* Huntsworth Raised to Top Pick at RBC; PT 130 pence
* Konecranes Oyj Raised to Hold at ABG; PT 31 euros
* Mitchells & Butlers Raised to Buy at Berenberg
* Subsea 7 Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse; PT 122 kroner (+)
* Tele2 Raised to Buy at Handelsbanken; PT 172 kronor
* Vodafone Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 176 pence

>>> Down
* Akka Tech Cut to Hold at Portzamparc; PT 69.30 euros (+)
* Avast Cut to Accumulate at Patria Finance; PT 478 pence
* A2A Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 1.70 euros
* DNB Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken; PT 182 kroner
* Hurricane Energy Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 22 pence
* ING Cut to Hold at DZ Bank; PT 10.50 euros (+)
* Kinnevik Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 235 kronor
* Nemetschek Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 63 euros
* Orsted Cut to Hold at Commerzbank; PT 740 kroner
* Palfinger Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 29.80 euros (+)
* ROCKWOOL International A/S Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken
* Royal Mail Cut to Underperform at Bernstein; PT 135 pence
* SES GDRs Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 14 euros
* Signify Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 28 euros
* Spar Nord Cut to Sell at Handelsbanken; PT 65 kroner
* Spar Nord Cut to Sell at ABG; PT 62 kroner

>>> Initiation
* Airbus Rated New Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 170 euros (+)
* Bawag Rated New Buy at HSBC; PT 60 euros

>>> Call
* Atlantia Up to Buy At Citi, Citing Fundamental Valuation Upside
* Bellway’s Strong 1H Supports Expectations For a Good 2020: Citi (+)
* Covestro Double-Upgraded, Own Before the Bad News Ends: Citi (+)
* DNB 2020 Outlook Weakens, Downgraded at Handelsbanken (+)
* HSBC Added to Goldman Conviction List With 50% Stock Upside Seen (+)
* Norsk Hydro’s Results Are Mixed on Weak Demand, Citi Says (+)
* Royal Mail Volume Fade Sparks Bernstein Rating, Jefferies PT Cut (+)
* SpareBank 1 Nord Norge Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 76 kroner
* Vodafone Upgraded as Jefferies Sees Two Paths to Higher Returns

FT : Burberry says coronavirus impact ‘worse than HK protests’

Burberry says coronavirus impact ‘worse than HK protests’
About a third of China stores shut and footfall down 80% at remainder

Luxury fashion group Burberry said that sales impact of the coronavirus outbreak in China is more significant than the civil unrest that halved sales in Hong Kong during its last fiscal quarter. 

The company, which derives about two-fifths of its revenue from Chinese consumers, said 24 out of its 64 stores in mainland China were closed and the remainder were operating on reduced hours. 

Footfall was down by up to 80 per cent at the stores which remain open as consumers stayed in their homes, with a similar impact felt in Hong Kong. The former British colony has imposed a 14-day quarantine period on arrivals from the mainland, though that fell short of local demands for the border to be closed entirely. 

“It is more serious in Hong Kong than the protests,” said chief financial officer Julie Brown, referring to the street protests that caused sales there to halve from 8 per cent of the group total in the three months to end-December. “This has had even more significant impact on our Hong Kong business.” 

None of the group’s employees in China have been diagnosed with the illness, and Ms Brown said the company was “very supportive” of the Chinese government’s efforts to contain the spread of the virus. 

She added it was too early to assess the financial impact and that Burberry would issue an additional trading statement in mid-April. 

“We have got around two weeks of information and we have another eight-and-a-half weeks to go until year-end,” she said. “It depends on the longevity of the outbreak and what happens next”.

Consensus estimates compiled before the outbreak started showed analysts had been expecting sales of £2.82bn, a like-for-like increase of around 4 per cent, and underlying operating profit of £449m. 

Both Burberry and French rival LVMH were fairly sanguine about the impact of the virus during January, when its effects initially looked to be confined to the city of Wuhan. 

LVMH chief executive Bernard Arnault said in late January it was far too early to gauge its impact, adding that it “won’t be too bad if it lasts two months but if it lasts two years that would be another story.”

However, as the scale of the outbreak has become apparent, companies have begun to adjust their forecasting. Tapestry, the parent company of Kate Spade and Coach, on Thursday said its Chinese business was being “significantly impacted” by the spread of the virus and warned that full-year earnings would be lower than forecast. 

Ms Brown said that Burberry had seen “very good spending patterns” from Chinese already holidaying abroad, but expects that once they return home there would be far fewer outbound tourists to take their place. 

She added that the company was reviewing costs “line by line” in response to the reduced sales levels, but stressed that the customer response to its latest designs had been strong.

Burberry’s key trading period is its third quarter, which includes both Christmas and the “golden week” celebrations in China, but the final three months of the year are also commercially significant due to the Lunar New Year festival.