>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • JETS +8.5%, JBLU +7.9%, AAL +7.3%, DAL +5.9%, UAL +5.8%, SAVE +4.8%, LUV +4.4%, JBHT +4.2%, ALK +3.1%, UNH +2.6%, CSIQ +1.4%, PG +0.7%
  • Gapping down:
    • CVA -16.3%, ANGI -7.6%, USO -5.8%, XLE -3.3%, CCL -3%, FLDM -2.9%, IWM -2.5%, ASML -2.1%, SPY -1.7%, GLAD -1.6%, DIA -1.5%, ILMN -1.3%, QQQ -1.2%, XLK -1%, SLV -0.8%, HWM -0.8%, GLD -0.7%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Dowgrades - 15th of April 2020 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Asos Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 3,500 pence
* Danone Raised to Outperform at Credit Suisse; PT 69 euros (+)
* Diageo Raised to Outperform at Bernstein (+)
* Dunelm Raised to Neutral at Citi
* BRITVIC RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS SECTOR PERFORM AT RBC, PT 830P
* Hammerson Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 115 pence
* Helgeland Sparebank Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* Julius Baer Raised to Buy at SocGen
* Land Sec. Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 745 pence
* Merlin Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 10 euros
* Orior Raised to Hold at Research Partners; PT 70 Swiss francs
* Reckitt Raised to Neutral at Credit Suisse; PT 5,900 pence (+)
* Sparebanken Vest Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* SpareBank 1 SR Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 78 kroner
* Suedzucker Raised to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 18 euros
* UBS Raised to Buy at SocGen
* Uniper Raised to Hold at SocGen; PT 23.30 euros

>>> Down
* AB Foods Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Accor Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 32 euros
* Antofagasta Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 870 pence
* Bouygues Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 34 euros
* Carlsberg Raised to Outperform at Bernstein (+)
* Danske Bank Cut to Neutral at Citi
* DNB Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Esker Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 98 euros (+)
* Jacquet Metal Service Cut to Reduce at Portzamparc (+)
* Kamux Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 7 euros
* Kaufman & Broad Cut to Reduce at Gilbert Dupont (+)
* Kion Cut to Hold at MainFirst; PT 45 euros
* Klepierre Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 18 euros
* Marks & Spencer Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Michelin PT Cut to 115 euros from 135 euros at Deutsche Bank
* Quilter Cut to Sell at Investec; PT 95 pence
* Remy Cointreau Cut to Market Perform at Bernstein (+)
* Rightmove Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 440 pence
* SEB Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Svenska Handelsbanken Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Swedbank Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Uniqa Cut to Hold at Commerzbank; PT 7.80 euros (+)

>>> Initiation
* Boliden Rated New Buy at Handelsbanken; PT 250 kronor
* H&M Reinstated Overweight at Barclays; PT 180 kronor
* Inditex Reinstated Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 26 euros
* Saint-Gobain Resumed Buy at Citi; PT 30.50 euros
* Schaltbau Rated New Buy at MainFirst; PT 31 euros
* Scatec Solar Rated New Sell at Fearnley; PT 120 kroner

>>> Call
* Adidas Estimates Cut at Citi; Scale of Debt May Cause Concern (+)
* ASML 1Q In Line With Expectations, Bookings Strong, Goldman Says
* Britvic Upgraded to Outperform at RBC on Healthy Balance Sheet
* Card Factory Reinstated Buy at Liberum; PT 100 pence (+)
* GVC, Accor Recording Significant Decline in Website Visits: Citi
* Jupiter 1Q Broadly in Line, Stock Looks Fairly Valued: Numis
* Online Platform Valuations Not Compelling Enough Yet, RBC Says
* ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery for U.K. Retail is Too Bullish, Citi Says
* Six Nordic Banks Get Cut on Short-Term Uncertainty, Citi Says (+)

SCMP : Coronavirus could attack immune system like HIV by targeting protective c

Coronavirus could attack immune system like HIV by targeting protective cells, warn scientists
* Researchers in China and the US find that the virus that causes Covid-19 can destroy the T cells that are supposed to protect the body from harmful invaders
* One doctor said concern is growing in medical circles that effect could be similar to HIV

The coronavirus that causes Covid-19 could kill the powerful immune cells that are supposed to kill the virus instead, scientists have warned.
The surprise discovery, made by a team of researchers from Shanghai and New York, coincided with frontline doctors’ observation that Covid-19 could attack the human immune system and cause damage similar to that found in HIV patients.
Lu Lu, from Fudan University in Shanghai, and Jang Shibo, from the New York Blood Centre, joined the living virus, which is officially known as Sars-CoV-2, to laboratory-grown T lymphocyte cell lines.
T lymphocytes, also known as T cells, play a central role in identifying and eliminating alien invaders in the body.
They do this by capturing a cell infected by a virus, boring a hole in its membrane and injecting toxic chemicals into the cell. These chemicals then kill both the virus and infected cell and tear them to pieces.

To the surprise of the scientists, the T cell became a prey to the coronavirus in their experiment. They found a unique structure in the virus’ spike protein that apparently triggered the fusion of a viral envelope and cell membrane when they came into contact.
The virus’s genes then entered the T cell and took it hostage, disabling its function of protecting humans.

The researchers did the same experiment with severe acute respiratory syndrome, or Sars, another coronavirus, and found that the Sars virus did not have the ability to infect T cells.

The reason, they suspected, was the lack of a membrane fusion function. Sars, which killed hundreds in a 2003 outbreak, can only infect cells carrying a specific receptor protein known as ACE2, and this protein has an extremely low presence in T cells.
Further investigations into the coronavirus infection on primary T cells would evoke “new ideas about pathogenic mechanisms and therapeutic interventions”, the researchers said in a paper published in the peer-reviewed journal Cellular & Molecular Immunology this week.

A doctor who works in a public hospital treating Covid-19 patients in Beijing said the discovery added another piece of evidence to a growing concern in medical circles that the coronavirus could sometimes behave like some of the most notorious viruses that directly attack the human immune system.
“More and more people compare it to HIV,” said the doctor who requested not to be named due to the sensitivity of the issue.
In February, Chen Yongwen and his colleagues at the PLA’s Institute of Immunology released a clinical report warning that the number of T cells could drop significantly in Covid-19 patients, especially when they were elderly or required treatment in intensive care units. The lower the T cell count, the higher the risk of death.

This observation was later confirmed by autopsy examinations on more than 20 patients, whose immune systems were almost completely destroyed, according to mainland media reports.

This observation was later confirmed by autopsy examinations on more than 20 patients, whose immune systems were almost completely destroyed, according to mainland media reports.

But there was one major difference between Sars-CoV-2 and HIV, according to the new study.
HIV can replicate in the T cells and turn them into factories to generate more copies to infect other cells.
But Lu and Jiang did not observe any growth of the coronavirus after it entered the T-cells, suggesting that the virus and T-cells might end up dying together.
The study gives rise to some new questions. For instance, the coronavirus can exist for weeks on some patients without causing any symptoms. How it interacted with the T cells in these patients remained unclear.
Some critically ill patients also experienced cytokine storms, where the immune system overreacts and attacks healthy cells.
But why and how the coronavirus triggers that effect remains poorly understood.

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • GlaxoSmithKline (GS7 TH) +2.9%
  • AMS (DQW1 TH) +2.4%
  • Wirecard (WDI TH) +2.1
  • Carnival (POH1 TH) +2.1%
  • BP (BPE5 TH) +2%
  • Aviva (GU8 TH) +1.9%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) +1.8
  • Hochtief (HOT TH) +1.3%
  • Mowi (PND TH) +1.3%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +1.3%
  • LVMH (MOH TH) -0.6%
  • Nokia (NOA3 TH) -0.6%
  • Delivery Hero (DHER TH) -0.7%
  • Genmab (GE9 TH) -0.9%
  • Total (TOTB TH) -1.1%
  • H&M (HMSB TH) -1.3%
  • Brenntag (BNR TH) -1.4%
  • Glencore (8GC TH) -2%

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Wirecard (WDI TH) +2%
  • MTU Aero (MTX TH) +1.5%
  • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +0.9%
  • HeidelbergCement (HEI TH) +0.7%
  • Deutsche Bank (DBK TH) +0.7%
  • E.On (EOAN TH) -0.1%
  • Siemens (SIE TH) -0.1%
  • BMW (BMW TH) -0.2%
    • German Carmaker States Call for Cash Premiums to Spur Sales: FAZ
  • Daimler (DAI TH) -0.3%
    • Daimler Downgraded to BBB+ by Fitch
  • Bayer (BAYN TH) -0.5%
MDAX:
  • Aareal Bank (ARL TH) +2.3%
  • Fraport (FRA TH) +2.1%
    • Fraport March Frankfurt Airport Passengers -62%
  • K+S (SDF TH) +1.9%
  • Hochtief (HOT TH) +1.9%
  • ProSieben (PSM TH) +1.7%
  • Grenke (GLJ TH) Flat
  • Evotec SE (EVT TH) -0.3%
  • Telefonica Deutschland (O2D TH) -0.7%
  • TeamViewer (1UD TH) -0.8%
  • Brenntag (BNR TH) -1.2%
SDAX:
  • LPKF (LPK TH) +4.1%
  • Ceconomy (MEO TH) +3.4%
  • Jenoptik (JEN TH) +3.1%
  • Corestate (CCAP TH) +2.2%
  • Suedzucker (SZU TH) +1.9%
    • Suedzucker Raised to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 18 euros
  • Schaeffler (SHA TH) -0.2%
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) -0.3%
  • SMA Solar (S92 TH) -0.3%
  • Draegerwerk (DRW3 TH) -0.5%
  • Encavis (CAP TH) -3.3%

>>> What to look at today - 15th of April 2020

Asian stocks fluctuated on light volumes Wednesday, and U.S. and European futures slipped, as investors scoured earnings reports for evidence of the impact of the coronavirus outbreak. The yen ticked higher.
Shares in Tokyo reversed earlier losses to edge higher, though volume was about 25% lower than average. Chinese and Hong Kong stocks were little changed, while Australian equities fell as a record slump in consumer confidence reminded investors of the impact of the pandemic on spending. The yuan dipped after China’s central bank eased policy further. Earnings from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. are up next, after Johnson & Johnson, JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. provided a mixed picture on Tuesday. Treasury yields and the dollar were steady.
US After Hours Airlines jumping on Treasury deal -- JBLU +12.6%, AAL +10.3%, HA +9%, DAL +8.3%

Nikkei -0.19% Hang Seng -0.32% CSI -0.35% Shanghai -0.20% Shenzen +0.09%

Eur$ 1.0974 CNH 7.0561 CNY 7.0529 JPY 107.03 GBP 1.2602 CHF 0.9610 RUB 72..8805 TRY 6.5219 WTI$ 20.43 +1.54%

S&P -0.60% Nasdaq -0.51% EuroStoxx -0.31% FTSE -0.23% Dax -0.03% SMI +0.13%

Macro :
- China Adds Liquidity, Trims Rates Ahead of Poor GDP Data
- Record Emerging Market Outflow Should Alarm Beijing: China Today
- Harvard Researchers Say Some Distancing May Be Needed Into 2022
- Trump Admin., Airlines Reach Agreement in Principle on Aid: DJ
- Worst-Case Fears of 20%-Plus U.S. Jobless Rate Are Now Realistic
- Buy Global Banks Ahead of Next Bull Run, Societe Generale Says
- Fed’s Bullard Says Economists Wrong to Doubt ‘V’ Rebound in U.S.

Keep an eye on :
- ADS GY : Adidas to Suspend Dividends After EU3b Loan from KfW and Banks
- AIRBNB IPO : Airbnb Set to Raise $1 Billion in Debt From Apollo, Owl Rock (1)
- AF FP : France to Give Support for Air France-KLM Within Days: Le Maire
- AKE FP : Billionaire Sawiris Boosts Stake in French Chemical Maker Arkema
- ASC BB : Ascencio Sees No Significant Change in Property Values March 31
- ASML NA : ASML Says 2Q Can Be ‘Really Good’ With Sales +50% Q/q
- CLASB SS : Clas Ohlson March Sales -17%
- CSGN SW : Credit Suisse Shareholders Should Reject Pay Report: Glass Lewis
- DLG GY : Adesto Says Sale to Dialog Will Go Ahead As Waiting Period Ends
- FRA GY : Fraport March Frankfurt Airport Passengers -62%
- GSK LN : J&J Hits 7-Week High; Sanofi, Glaxo Vaccine: N.A. Health Wrap
- GLEN LN : Zambia Moves to Revoke Glencore License Over Shaft Closures
- PIG FP : Haulotte Suspends 2020 Guidance on Coronavirus Crisis
- ITX SM : Inditex in Talks for up to EU2b of Credit Lines: Cinco Dias
- KLED SS : Kungsleden to Suspend Dividend
- KOA NO : Kongsberg Automotive ‘Medium Case’ 2020 Rev. Outlook EU877.9m
- MLM IM : MolMed Suspends Some Autologous Car-T Investments
- NMC LN : NMC Health Lenders Form Group to Lead Talks on $6.6 Billion Debt
- NHY NO : Hydro Reopening Some European Recyclers; 2,700 Workers Laid Off
- SBANK NO : Sbanken to Recommend Div Not Be Distributed at This Point
- SIX2 GY : Sixt Sees Operating Revenue, Pretax Profit ‘Normalizing’ in 2021
- STLN SW : Schmolz + Bickenbach Names Boening as CFO
- STAN LN : Standard Chartered Tells Staff Not to Use Zoom: Reuters
- SPCE/U US : Virgin Galactic Soars on Intact Growth Story: Morgan Stanley
- TOM2 NA : TomTom 1Q Cash And Cash Equivalents EU209.0 Mln, -2.3% Q/q
- UNA NA : CNBC: 'Coronavirus is not good news for Unilever' — CEO says 'pantry loading' is largely a US phenomenon https
- VOW3 GY : German Carmaker States Call for Cash Premiums to Spur Sales: FAZ
- FHZN SW : Zurich Airport March Passengers 890,134, -63% Y/y

FT : Hedgie with a ‘higher purpose’ set to run world’s biggest sovereign fund

Hedgie with a ‘higher purpose’ set to run world’s biggest sovereign fund
Nicolai Tangen will pay millions in wealth tax to swap London for Oslo to manage Norway’s oil wealth

Most people expect a hefty pay rise when they become chief executive. Nicolai Tangen will have to pay his employer to take the job.

Mr Tangen, a successful hedge fund manager in London, will move back to his native Norway in September to become chief executive of its $930bn oil fund, the world’s largest sovereign wealth fund. In doing so he estimates he will have to pay as much as NKr70m ($6.8m) in wealth tax to the Norwegian government, significantly more than his expected salary of about NKr7m.

“This isn’t only my dream job, this is my childhood dream,” he said last month, revealing how he had dabbled in equity markets since he was a child, investing money he earned selling newspapers and flowers as well as recycling bottles after football matches.

Timothy Warrington, chief executive of Norwegian fund manager Skagen Funds, said the lack of financial reward showed the “real commitment” Mr Tangen was making. “It’s admirable, it shows he’s a patriot. He will be there for the right reasons.”


Mr Tangen’s surprise appointment — he was not on the official list of applicants released by Norway’s central bank — has divided opinion in the Scandinavian country. Investment professionals are delighted, hailing him as one of Norway’s most gifted and intellectually curious fund managers. But some politicians are suspicious of putting an independent-minded hedge fund manager — whose funds at AKO Capital are registered in a tax haven — in charge of their sovereign wealth fund.

“The role is extremely political. You need to have the trust of both politicians and the public,” said Kari Elisabeth Kaski, an MP from the Socialist Left party who sits on the parliamentary finance committee that ultimately controls the fund. “The sovereign wealth fund is something we can all support and how we’re investing and saving the money is important. You can’t gamble with that.”

Mr Tangen, 54, will become the fund’s third chief executive at a crucial time. It has just recorded the worst quarterly performance in its 24-year history with a return of minus 14.6 per cent in the first three months of the year. Some economists worry that a recent increase in the fund’s exposure to equities from 60 per cent to 70 per cent, combined with heightened use of the fund by Norway’s government to boost its spending on coronavirus measures, could lead to a bigger fall in its assets than expected.

When his appointment was announced last month Mr Tangen, who has an estimated fortune of about NKr7bn, talked about his outside interests from cooking — “you’re never better than your last pancake” — to his love of art, which spurred a masters in history of art from London’s Courtauld Institute. He has been keen to leave his comfort zone, recently completing another masters in social psychology from the London School of Economics.

But if Mr Tangen wanted a demonstration of the difference between the hedge fund world and life as a public servant, it came in off-the-cuff remarks backing a 100 per cent inheritance tax so all children started life at the same level.


That sparked a minor backlash, with some politicians telling Mr Tangen to keep such views to himself. Three days later he apologised, saying his comments reflected how he wanted his children to live and were not meant to be “political”.

“It is good to step on a couple of banana skins early,” said Mr Warrington, adding that it took time to adjust to “very exposed roles”.

The oil fund is also a different beast when it comes to investment. Many economists see it as little more than a giant index fund that passively tracks the values of stock and bond markets globally. 

It is huge in scale. On average, it owns almost 1.5 per cent of every listed company on Earth. But its most important decisions — including what to invest in and how much to place in each asset class — are taken by the government and parliament, which give a strict mandate to Norges Bank Investment Management, the arm of the central bank that manages the fund and that Mr Tangen will head.

Mr Tangen told the Financial Times that most of what the fund did was nevertheless “active”, and that through some “fine-tuning” it should be able to achieve excess returns.

People close to some of the oil fund’s managers said they were worried Mr Tangen had not fully appreciated how the fund worked, with little flexibility in deviating from benchmark indices set by Norway’s finance ministry. “He is obviously super smart but he seems to have the impression that he’ll have more degrees of freedom,” one of the people said.

Mr Tangen’s focus will also be on the organisation of NBIM and the motivation of its 540 workers. At AKO he has worked with the British Olympic sailing team and sports psychologists on issues such as mental resilience, and has spoken to former Bank of England governor Mark Carney as well as the dean of the Wharton School of business — where he sits on the board — about how to approach his new job.

Mr Tangen said AKO had a structured system where reasons were recorded “for everything we do” so they could be analysed afterwards. “It’s using business analytics and data analytics on all aspects of the decision-making process. And then it has to do with building teams and getting the motivation in place,” he said, adding that working for the fund was “a higher purpose” than a job at a normal bank.

Norway’s government is still figuring out what kind of investor its oil fund should be. It initially stuck to publicly listed securities but in recent years has added unlisted property and will soon start investing in infrastructure assets. NBIM itself gives advice to the government on whether to expand into other asset classes such as private equity.

Mr Tangen has a military background, having trained in Norway’s intelligence services in the 1980s where he learnt Russian and interrogation techniques. AKO employees are similarly trained in “conversation management”.

He entered finance in the 1990s, becoming head of the Nordic region for Cazenove and then a partner at hedge fund Egerton Capital. In 2005 he set up AKO, which now manages more than $16bn of assets with both long-short and long-only funds.


Its flagship European fund has returned 10.1 per cent a year since launching in 2005, against 3.4 per cent for the market, and in the first quarter of this year it eked out a positive return of 0.9 per cent versus minus 21.8 per cent for the broader market, according to Mr Tangen.

Ms Kaski, the MP, said she was not worried about the inheritance tax spat but was concerned about AKO’s funds being based in the Cayman Islands. “It’s not illegal to be in the Cayman Islands but it’s immoral, and it’s a problem for the global economy. It’s something that he needs to step away from,” she said, adding that the oil fund needed to be leading the fight against tax havens. Mr Tangen said such structures were common among UK hedge funds.

Irrespective of his background, outsiders spy a big opportunity for him to shake things up after 12 years of leadership from his predecessor at the fund, Yngve Slyngstad.

“My sense is that in AKO they are used to challenging existing practices,” said Mr Warrington. “Bringing that energy to the team in Norges Bank will be good for them. With one chief executive for the last decade, the change of view will be invigorating.”

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Dowgrades - 15th of April 2020

>>> Up
* Asos Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 3,500 pence
* Dunelm Raised to Neutral at Citi
* BRITVIC RAISED TO OUTPERFORM VS SECTOR PERFORM AT RBC, PT 830P
* Hammerson Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 115 pence
* Helgeland Sparebank Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* Julius Baer Raised to Buy at SocGen
* Land Sec. Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 745 pence
* Merlin Raised to Overweight at Barclays; PT 10 euros
* Orior Raised to Hold at Research Partners; PT 70 Swiss francs
* Sparebanken Vest Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities
* SpareBank 1 SR Raised to Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 78 kroner
* Suedzucker Raised to Buy at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 18 euros
* UBS Raised to Buy at SocGen
* Uniper Raised to Hold at SocGen; PT 23.30 euros

>>> Down
* AB Foods Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Accor Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT 32 euros
* Antofagasta Cut to Hold at Liberum; PT 870 pence
* Bouygues Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 34 euros
* Danske Bank Cut to Neutral at Citi
* DNB Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Kamux Cut to Hold at SEB Equities; PT 7 euros
* Kion Cut to Hold at MainFirst; PT 45 euros
* Klepierre Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT 18 euros
* Marks & Spencer Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Michelin PT Cut to 115 euros from 135 euros at Deutsche Bank
* Quilter Cut to Sell at Investec; PT 95 pence
* Rightmove Cut to Underperform at RBC; PT 440 pence
* SEB Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Svenska Handelsbanken Cut to Neutral at Citi
* Swedbank Cut to Neutral at Citi

>>> Initiation
* Boliden Rated New Buy at Handelsbanken; PT 250 kronor
* H&M Reinstated Overweight at Barclays; PT 180 kronor
* Inditex Reinstated Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 26 euros
* Saint-Gobain Resumed Buy at Citi; PT 30.50 euros
* Schaltbau Rated New Buy at MainFirst; PT 31 euros
* Scatec Solar Rated New Sell at Fearnley; PT 120 kroner

>>> Call
* Britvic Upgraded to Outperform at RBC on Healthy Balance Sheet
* GVC, Accor Recording Significant Decline in Website Visits: Citi
* Online Platform Valuations Not Compelling Enough Yet, RBC Says
* ‘V-Shaped’ Recovery for U.K. Retail is Too Bullish, Citi Says