FT : Apollo adds $100bn to war chest in second quarter

Apollo adds $100bn to war chest in second quarter
Prudential deal and launch of credit fund boost private equity group’s assets by almost a third

Apollo Global Management added nearly $100bn to its investment war chest in the second quarter, doubling its previous record as a rebound in financial markets unleashed large gains for Wall Street groups even as the American economy falters.

A big insurance deal with Prudential, together with the launch of a credit fund that will offer jumbo $1bn loans to corporate borrowers, contributed to an increase of nearly one-third in Apollo’s assets under management, taking the total to $414bn at the end of June.

Meanwhile, soaring markets helped wipe out about two-thirds of the $577m “clawback” bill that Apollo recorded at the end of March, it said on Thursday. This total reflects performance fees it has already received from investors, and would have to pay back if assets were liquidated at depressed valuations.

The recovery was especially pronounced at a $17.6bn buyout fund where analysts expect asset sales to be an important source of performance fees in the coming months. That vehicle, which was raised in 2013 and is about one-third of the way through selling off its investments, recorded a $2bn increase in value — enough to wipe out its entire clawback obligation.

“Despite a continued volatile market backdrop during the second quarter, Apollo once again delivered strong growth,” said Leon Black, the group’s billionaire founder.

Apollo’s $1bn profit for the three months ended June 30 marked a stunning reversal from the $2.3bn loss it recorded in the previous quarter, which ended days before Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell promised to use his powers “forcefully, proactively and aggressively” until the economy recovered from the coronavirus shock.

Since then, the US central bank has spelt out an extraordinary package of measures to support financial markets, expanding its purchases of corporate debt and adding riskier securities to the list of assets it is willing to buy.

Wall Street groups have been major beneficiaries, even as the US economy contracted the most in postwar history in the second quarter and unemployment claims surged to historic highs.

Apollo’s shares have more than doubled from their low-point in March, wiping out losses sustained in the early weeks of the pandemic, to trade 13 per cent higher than at the beginning of the year.

Carlyle Group, the Apollo rival where Mr Powell worked until 2005, also swung to profit in the second quarter. On Thursday it reported net income of $205m, compared with a loss of $709m for the previous period.

But while Apollo’s growing asset base inched closer to the $564bn tally of market leader Blackstone, Carlyle gave up ground.

The smaller firm, which has been slower than Apollo to seize new opportunities in credit and insurance, reported assets under management of $221bn, down 1 per cent since the beginning of the year.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to disappointing earnings/guidance
:

  • PI -11.1%, TSE -10.1%, EIGI -9.1%, LYG -8.3%, QEP -6.9%, WEX -6%, FMS -6%, ARGX -5.9%, NOW -5.4%, BAX -5.2%, NGD -4.8%, PPC -4.5%, ORAN -4.5%, AR -4.1%, CAKE -3.5%, CCI -3.3%, CDE -3.2%, TAL -3.2%, OIS -3%, MT -2.9%, RDS.A -2.8%, OII -2.7%, CS -2.7%, FICO -2.5%, HGV -2.3%, URI -2%, CNX -2%, YUMC -1.9%, GNW -1.9%, KL -1.9%, TDOC -1.8%, KGC -1.8%, LLY -1.7%, AOS -1.6%, CARR -1.3%, GNLN -1.3%, NOVA -1.2%, CERN -1.2%, NEM -1.1%, AEM -1%, TYL -0.9%, PHX -0.9%, DNKN -0.9%

Select ETFs showing early weakness:

  • XLF -1.6%, IWM -1.2%, IGV -1.2%, XLE -0.9%, SPY -0.8%, QQQ -0.8%, DIA -0.8%

Other news:

  • SPPI -18.6% (stock offering)
  • TENB -4.5% (launches 8 mln share offering by selling stockholders)
  • FLR -2.9% (receives full notice to proceed by GFI for project in Chile)
  • ZNTL -2.9% (prices offering of 4,125,000 shares of its common stock at $35.00 per share)
  • DXC -1.7% (provides update on Xchanging ransomware attack investigation)

Analyst comments:

  • CHEF -6% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Sandler)
  • LB -2.8% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup)
  • NEWR -1.8% (downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen)
  • CHRW -1.1% (downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel)
  • AWI -0.5% (downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • HOME +46.9% (guides JulQ revs well ahead of consensus), MOBL +18.7%, SANM +16.1%, APA +15.4% (also announes major oil discovery), DBD +12.4%, QCOM +12% (also announces settlement agreement with Huawei), CARS +11.2%, UPS +10.8%, MD +9.9%, SKY +9.8%, MGRC +9.7%, CMPR +9.7%, UCTT +9.6% (also announces expansion into Malaysia), HOLX +9.4%, HBI +9.3%, TPX +8.6%, CROX +8.4%, RIG +7.8%, MTSI +7.5%, CTSH +7% (also names new CFO), BLKB +6.8%, QRVO +6.6%, LKQ +5.7%, EVLO +5.7%, DWSN +5.6%, ACGL +5.3%, AX +5.1%, PBI +5.1%, MAS +4.7%, SAH +4.6%, SCI +4.5%, MKSI +4.5%, EGOV +4.4%, GPI +4.4%, BUD +4.3%, CNMD +4%, MIXT +3.9%, GNRC +3.8%, COOP +3.8%, ORBC +3.8%, ORLY +3.6%, NWHM +3.6%, CHDN +3.5%, ONEW +3.4%, RGEN +3.4%, PYPL +3.2%, FTI +3.2%, CMCSA +3.1%, NVCR +3%, BC +2.9%, NNA +2.9%, KNSA +2.5%, LNTH +2.5%, SIRI +2.4%, NLY +2.3%, IP +2.3%, AZN +2.2%, MEOH +2.1%, MANT +2.1%, TXT +2.1%, KHC +2.1%, PG +2%, PS +1.9%, SWK +1.9%, AGCO +1.7%, TW +1.6%, SFM +1.5%, AVTR +1.5%, MC +1.3%, COR +1.3%, ALXN +1.3%, MCO +1.3%, QURE +1.3%, FBHS +1.2%, WERN +1.1%, TFX +1.1%, ODFL +1.1%, SRI +1%, LTRN +1%, RFP +1%

Other news:

  • BLNK +27.9% (extends momentum following +33% move during Wed trading session)
  • APA +14.8% (APA and TOT announce major oil discovery at Kwaskwasi-1 offshore Suriname)
  • PRK +11.4% (to join S&P SmallCap 600)
  • LIVX +7.3% (announces linear OTT distribution agreement with XUMO)
  • CALX +4.4% (prices upsized public offering of 2.8 mln common shares, increased from 1.7 mln shares, at $20.00/share)
  • DGX +3% (receives FDA authorization for new diagnostics lab model to increase COVID-19 molecular diagnostics capacity)
  • SGMO +3% (to collaborate with Novartis (NVS) to develop genomic medicines for autism and other neurodevelopmental disorders)
  • JNJ +2.3% (reports single dose of its COVID-19 vaccine candidate demonstrates robust protection in pre-clinical studies)
  • PDFS +2% (partners with Advantest to build Cloud Powered by Exensio; Advantest becomes a significant stockholder in PDF Solutions in private placement)
  • LILA +1.7% (acquires Telefonica's (TEF) operations in Costa Rica)
  • RSG +1.3% (increases dividend)
  • TAK +1.2% (announces FDA granted Breakthrough Therapy Designation for its investigational drug pevonedistat for the treatment of patients with higher-risk myelodysplastic syndromes)

Analyst comments:

  • APRN +2.9% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord Genuity)
  • AEO +0.8% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citigroup)

>>> USEarly premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • HOME +43.4%, SANM +15.2%, MOBL +12%, UCTT +11.4%, UPS +11.2%, APA +11.1%, QCOM +11.1%, BLNK +10.7%, PRK +10.3%, MD +9.9%, MGRC +9.7%, HOLX +9.4%, CMPR +8.7%, MTSI +7.7%, MKSI +7.3%, QRVO +7.1%, SKY +7%, BLKB +6.8%, KDP +6.4%, BC +6.4%, CTSH +6.3%, ACGL +5.3%, AX +5.1%, ABEV +4.8%, ORLY +4.6%, SCI +4.5%, EGOV +4.4%, FTI +4.2%, NLY +4%, PS +3.7%, NWHM +3.6%, CPG +3.6%, GNRC +3.4%, ONEW +3.4%, PYPL +2.9%, NVCR +2.7%, LLY +2.6%, PTC +2.5%, TPX +2.5%, RIG +2.4%, CCC +2.4%, ADM +2.1%, MEOH +2.1%, MANT +2.1%, TXT +2.1%, BLUE +2%, CHDN +2%, SFM +1.7%, DNKN +1.6%, LRCX +1.5%, AVTR +1.5%, NOC +1.5%, RSG +1.3%, EQIX +1.3%, MC +1.3%, COR +1.3%, FBHS +1.2%, WERN +1.1%, TFX +1.1%, SRI +1%, AGI +1%
  • Gapping down:
    • SPPI -21.6%, QEP -11.1%, PI -9%, TSE -8.9%, TROX -7.6%, NGD -6%, ARGX -5.1%, NOW -4.9%, TAL -4.8%, ORAN -4.6%, TENB -4.3%, CDE -4.3%, AR -4.1%, WEX -3.6%, MT -3.2%, OIS -3%, OII -2.7%, RDS.A -2.7%, NEM -1.7%, CCI -1.6%, MGM -1.5%, URI -1.5%, KGC -1.5%, CAKE -1.4%, YUMC -1.4%, NOVA -1.2%, TDOC -1.1%, FICO -1%, TYL -0.9%, PHX -0.9%, PPC -0.8%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 30th of Julyu 2020 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Faes Farma Raised to Market Perform at BBVA; PT 3.89 euros
* Freenet Raised to Buy at Berenberg; PT 18 euros
* Hastings Raised to Hold at Panmure Gordon; PT 195 pence
* Hikma PT Raised to 2,860 pence from 2,380 pence at Peel Hunt
* Meyer Burger Raised to Buy at Research Partners (+)
* Next Raised to Hold at SocGen; PT 6,084 pence
* Suez SA Raised to Overweight at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
* TF1 Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 6.60 euros
* Zehnder Raised to Buy at Octavian; PT 50 Swiss francs (+)

>>> Down
* Bureau Veritas Cut to Neutral at Exane; PT 19 euros
* CGG Cut to Hold at Portzamparc (+)
* EDP Renovaveis Cut to Hold at Grupo Santander; PT 14 euros (+)
* Elementis Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 65 pence (+)
* Masmovil Cut to Hold at Grupo Santander; PT 22.50 euros (+)
* Rio Tinto Cut to Hold at Investec; PT 4,830 pence (+)
* Schneider Electric Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* Takkt Cut to Hold at LBBW; PT 10.50 euros
* Tullow Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 40 pence
* Uniqa Cut to Hold at Erste Group; PT 6.25 euros (+)

>>> Initiation
* BPER Banca Rated New Buy at Grupo Santander; PT 4 euros (+)
* DIA Rated New Neutral at JB Capital Markets; PT 15 euro cents

>>> Call
* AB InBev’s 2Q Volume Decline Look Like ‘A Triumph,’ RBC Says (+)
* Airbus Balancing Positions It Well for 2022-23: Jefferies (+)
* ArcelorMittal Showed Strong 2Q Ebitda Beat, Goldman Sachs Says (+)
* Air Liquide 2Q Results ‘Resilient, Impressive,’ Redburn Says
* BBVA’s Strong Capital Rebound Should Be Reassuring: Jefferies (+)
* Clariant 2Q ‘Better than Feared,’ Catalysts Unit Beat: Baader (+)
* Credit Suisse’s Good Results Should Support Shares: Goldman (+)
* Danone’s 2Q ‘Okay,’ But Waters Decline ‘Seems Drastic,’ RBC Says (+)
* Deutsche Boerse Result In-Line, Little Change to Consensus: Citi
* Freenet Shares ‘Too Cheap,’ Berenberg Sees Earnings Momentum
* Nestle Sales Momentum Continues in 2Q, Outlook In Line: Vontobel (+)
* Orange Results a ‘Small Miss,’ But Revenue ‘Resilient’: Goldman (+)
* Renault 1H Earnings In Line, Cash Burn Better Than Feared: GS (+)
* Schneider Electric Stands Out, But Little Upside: Morgan Stanley
* Telefonica Results Broadly In Line, Spain Better: Berenberg (+)
* Wacker Chemie 2Q Beats But Margin Decline a Concern: Berenberg (+)

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

  • DAX:
    • Deutsche Boerse (DB1 TH) -0.8%
      • Deutsche Boerse Second Quarter Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
    • Wirecard (WDI TH) -1%
      • Merkel’s Office Faces More Scrutiny in Hunt for Wirecard Answers
    • Fresenius SE (FRE TH) -2.6%
      • Fresenius 2Q Adj. Ebit 4.7% Above Est., Issues New FY Guidance
    • HeidelbergCement (HEI TH) -3.9%
      • HeidelbergCement Says Business Outlook for 2H Remains Uncertain
    MDAX:
    • Freenet (FNTN TH) +2.2%
      • Freenet Shares ‘Too Cheap,’ Berenberg Sees Earnings Momentum
    • Fraport (FRA TH) +1.4%
    • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +1%
    • Metro AG (B4B TH) -1.1%
    • Zalando (ZAL TH) -2.8%
      • Zalando to Sell EU1b Convertible Notes in 5Y, 7Y Tranches
    • Kion (KGX TH) -6.6%
      • Kion Sees Significant Fall in 2020 Revenue, Adj. Ebit, FCF, ROCE
    SDAX:
    • Hamborner REIT (HAB TH) +3.7%
      • Hamborner REIT First Half FFO EU27.0 Mln, +1.5% Y/y
    • Shop Apotheke (SAE TH) +2%
    • Corestate (CCAP TH) +1.8%
    • ADVA Optical (ADV TH) +1.8%
    • LPKF (LPK TH) +1.3%
    • Krones (KRN TH) +0.2%
      • Krones Second Quarter Ebitda Misses Lowest Estimate
    • Tele Columbus (TC1 TH) -1.3%

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • AB InBev (1NBA TH) +2.5%
    • AB InBev Sells More Beer Than Expected Despite Covid Lockdowns
  • Freenet (FNTN TH) +1.8%
    • Freenet Shares ‘Too Cheap,’ Berenberg Sees Earnings Momentum
  • AMS (DQW1 TH) +1.3%
  • Vodafone (VODI TH) +1.2%
  • Shell (R6C TH) +0.7%
    • Shell, Total Post Surprise Profits on Oil Trading Gains: TOPLive
  • VW (VOW3 TH) -0.8%
    • VW Cuts Dividend After $940 Million Loss in First Six Months
  • Deutsche Boerse (DB1 TH) -1.1%
    • Deutsche Boerse Second Quarter Adjusted Ebitda Meets Estimates
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -1.7%
  • Grenke (GLJ TH) -1.8%
    • Grenke First Half New Business In The Leasing Segment -22.9%
  • Fresenius SE (FRE TH) -2%
    • Fresenius 2Q Adj. Ebit 4.7% Above Est., Issues New FY Guidance
  • Siemens Gamesa (GTQ1 TH) -2.5%
    • Siemens Gamesa 3Q Underlying Ebit Loss Wider Than Est.
  • Zalando (ZAL TH) -3.1%
    • Zalando Converts​​​​​​​ Tranche A Conversion Premium 42.5%: Terms
  • Alfa Laval (AA9 TH) -3.3%
  • HeidelbergCement (HEI TH) -3.7%
    • HeidelbergCement Says Business Outlook for 2H Remains Uncertain
  • Kion (KGX TH) -6.4%
    • Kion Sees Significant Fall in 2020 Revenue, Adj. Ebit, FCF, ROCE