FT : The fossil-fuel Ferrari is running out of road

The fossil-fuel Ferrari is running out of road
Electric sports cars accelerate fast, even if they lack the throaty roar of the traditional luxury coupe

If Joe Biden becomes US president, he will no longer be able to drive himself around fast in his classic sports car, a Chevrolet Corvette Stingray convertible that his father gave him as a wedding present in 1967. “I shouldn’t say this, but I like speed,” Mr Biden once confessed to Jay Leno, the comedian and car nut.

He is not the only one, judging by Ferrari’s third-quarter results this week. Sales of the Italian company’s luxury sports cars, which start at about $250,000, have rebounded to pre-pandemic levels. For the world’s richest drivers, nothing sates the desire for a Ferrari’s startling pace and throaty roar.

A sports car is not the most practical purchase — it holds little shopping and the capacity to hit 100 miles per hour in seconds is useless (or worse) on most roads. Instead, it “gives us more prestige, buys us respect with others, gives us a feeling of success”, Ernest Dichter, the psychologist, wrote in his 1960 book The Strategy of Desire.

But the days of the fossil-fuel Ferrari are numbered. If you want to experience true acceleration, go electric, as I once found when being driven across London in a Tesla by its founder, Elon Musk. A stretch of open road appeared, he eagerly put his foot down and the car felt as if it was taking off.

Electric engines are simpler and have high torque (the power to turn the wheels). In 2022, Mr Musk plans to bring out a new Tesla Roadster, its original sports car, that would accelerate from 0 to 60mph in under two seconds. “Driving a gasoline sports car is going to feel like driving a steam engine with a side of quiche,” he pledged in 2017.

The new breed of electric “hypercars” being developed by Lotus, Rimac Automobili and Pininfarina — which designed many classic Ferraris — will speed up explosively. “You will not even be able to blink, it’s going to knock your stomach out backwards. It’s going to be madness!” said Nico Rosberg, the former Formula One champion.

A rollercoaster ride may be cheaper than the $2m that the Rimac C2 will cost for a similar thrill, but you cannot flaunt the former. Ferrari wants to lure more women, but most luxury sports cars are bought by middle-aged men. As Dichter wrote, the car “has considerable significance as a phallic symbol”.

You get more than acceleration with a Ferrari, of course. There is the heritage of the marque founded by Enzo Ferrari, which has raced in Formula One since 1950, and the craft of vehicles built in its factory in Maranello, near Modena. There is also the Ferrari sound, which no electric car can match.

Not having hot, pollution-laden fumes streaming out of exhaust pipes is better for the environment, but it means electric cars are very quiet — quieter even than the boast in David Ogilvy’s famous 1958 ad: “At 60mph, the loudest sound you can hear in this new Rolls-Royce comes from the electric clock.”

For a driver craving the harsh rumble of a sports coupe accelerating, that is quite a drawback: the joy of speed is not accompanied by a suitable soundtrack. Silence can also be dangerous, especially in cities, and regulators want carmakers to add sounds to electric cars to alert unwary pedestrians.

Sports car makers devote an extraordinary amount of time and attention to getting noise correct. They tweak a model’s engine and punch holes in exhaust pipes to get exactly the right resonance. Mr Biden’s Corvette has what Chevrolet calls the model’s characteristic “pop, burble, crackle”.

That is one reason why Ferrari is taking its time — although 60 per cent of its vehicles are due to be hybrids by 2022, it only plans to launch a pure electric car after that. Louis Camilleri, chief executive, said this week that it had “already done a lot of work” on how an electric Ferrari would sound.

Mr Camilleri does not see a need to rush: “I really don’t see Ferrari ever being at 100 per cent [electric] and certainly not in my lifetime will it reach even 50 per cent.” That is not convincing, given that he is a fit 65-year-old. Apart from Tesla, Porsche already offers an all-electric Taycan sports car and Mercedes is working on its own.

Regulators will push Ferrari to accelerate: there is a long list of countries and cities now planning to prohibit combustion engine vehicles from 2030 onwards. The company eventually plans to go carbon neutral, although Mr Camilleri insists that a Ferrari that mostly sits in a garage and is only driven 3,000km a year is cleaner than a constantly used small car.

But the main problem for the petrol sports car is that it is being overtaken. A driver will never gain the same auditory pleasure from an electric coupe, but they go fast. Technology’s winged chariot is hurrying near to Ferrari.

FT : Surge in European house prices stokes concerns over market resilience

Surge in European house prices stokes concerns over market resilience
Financiers worry that fallout from pandemic will catch up with soaring valuations

The housing market acts as the canary in a coal mine — prices tend to fall as a wider economic downturn looms. But this year, with a deep global recession caused by the coronavirus pandemic, property valuations have kept on rising in many countries.

House price growth has accelerated to an annual pace of almost 4 per cent among the OECD club of rich countries this year, with even faster rises in Europe and the US.

Some financiers, however, wonder if it is only a question of time before the economic fallout from the pandemic catches up with Europe’s soaring housing market, especially after many countries reimposed lockdowns to combat a fresh wave of infections.

“The pandemic is not good news or helpful in any way for the housing market,” said Matthias Holzhey, a UBS economist and co-author of its annual global real estate bubble index, which compares house prices in 25 of the world’s biggest cities.

“It is clear that the economic recovery is still not happening, wealth is down, and rents are falling in most cities, so your alternative to buying a house is getting cheaper,” said Mr Holzhey. “The fundamentals just do not point to an ongoing housing boom.”


Yet all the signs are that this is exactly what is happening. While the world suffered its deepest postwar recession between the first and second quarters, house prices in the richest countries not only kept rising but accelerated, according to OECD figures. Data is more patchy for the third quarter, but it mostly points to further increases.

Underpinning the resilience of housing markets are the vast stimulus packages from governments and central banks that have supported struggling companies, allowed many workers to keep earning and — crucially — kept borrowing costs near record lows.

In the US, falling mortgage rates and higher state benefits combined to shield the housing market from the pandemic as prices rose by an annual rate of almost 5 per cent in the second quarter.

There were even sharper price rises in much of Europe, notably Germany, the Netherlands, Portugal and Poland. Prices in Russia have soared 15 per cent, fuelled by state subsidies. 


As housing costs keep climbing, the pandemic is prompting some people to abandon expensive city locations in search of more space. In the UK, prices of detached houses rose at double the rate of apartments between March and September, according to Halifax. 

In France, Grégoire Kiss, a 42-year-old IT manager, and his wife Blandine recently left the rented Paris apartment where they lived with their two children to buy a farmhouse on the Normandy coast. “For us the trigger came when we exited lockdown,” said Mr Kiss. “One of the positive effects of this crisis has been employers making working from home easier.”

Such newly mobile workers leaving Paris may have contributed to a rare monthly drop in house prices in the city, which fell 0.5 per cent in September, though they are still up more than 2 per cent this year, having risen over a third in five years, according to research by Meilleurs Agents.

“We noticed the rush in the early days of the lockdown, as 20 per cent of Parisians went to work remotely in the countryside,” said Pierre Madec, economist at the OFCE think-tank in Paris. “That begs the question: are we ready to lose 20 per cent of Paris’s population?”

Soaring property prices are also causing concern in Germany, where the central bank said in a recent report that apartments in the country’s biggest cities were 30 per cent overvalued compared with the long-term ratio of prices to rents — although it added that this reflected rising land prices rather than any “destabilising, speculative demand motives”.

The volume of land sold each year in larger cities has fallen by a third since 2012 while prices have more than doubled, according to the German construction industry association. The number of new apartments built in the country last year rose 2 per cent to 293,000 — but that remained below the 400,000 a year needed to meet demand.

Eyebrows were raised in Munich by last month’s €8m sale of a 300 sq m apartment, which set a new record for the city. The share prices of German property developers Deutsche Wohnen and Vonovia both recently hit new 12-year highs.

With Germans agreeing 10-year mortgages at rates as low as 0.6 per cent and some banks offering to lend 100 per cent of the purchase price, it is easy to understand what is fuelling the market. 

“We don’t expect the German housing market to come down any time soon,” said Jochen Möbert, a real estate analyst at Deutsche Bank. “Yes, there are risks ahead. But we are seeing an influx of capital as investment funds reallocate money from financial markets to the housing market.”


One worrying sign for Europe’s housing market is that banks are starting to rein in their mortgage lending, fretting about “risk perceptions related to the general economic outlook”, according to the European Central Bank’s latest quarterly survey of lenders.

Pernille Henneberg, economist at Citigroup, said in a recent report that a “lack of appetite for lending or tighter credit standards, due to worries about borrowers’ creditworthiness, may challenge the degree to which the monetary easing affects the real economy”.

Similar concerns are regularly expressed by Andrea Enria, ECB head of supervision, who this week repeated his warning that the pandemic could leave eurozone lenders with an extra €1.4tn of bad loans — well above the levels of the region’s 2012 debt crisis.

If this worst-case scenario happens, analysts predict it could trigger a sudden tightening of the ultra-loose mortgage market, dragging down house prices. “The eurozone is the biggest risk area,” said Mr Holzhey at UBS, adding that he was telling clients “it is time to sell out of property”.

NY Post : Vladimir Putin plans to step down next year amid health concerns, repo

Vladimir Putin plans to step down next year amid health concerns, report claims - https://bit.ly/32iCd5i

Vladimir Putin is planning to step down next year as speculation swirls in Russia that the longtime president may have Parkinson’s disease, a report said Thursday.

Moscow political scientist Valery Solovei told The Sun that the Russian strongman’s 37-year-old girlfriend, Alina Kabaeva, and his two daughters are pushing him to leave office.

“There is a family, it has a great influence on him. He intends to make public his handover plans in January,” Solovei told the news outlet.

Solovei also suggested Putin may be suffering from Parkinson’s as the president has been seen recently exhibiting symptoms of the disease.

Putin recently appeared to be in agony while appearing to constantly shift his legs, according to footage reviewed by an observer, The Sun reported.

Reviewed footage also appeared to show his fingers twitching as he held a cup that possibly contained medicine, the report said.

Speculation of Putin’s possible departure comes as Russian lawmakers are considering legislation proposed by the president that would grant ex-presidents lifetime immunity from criminal prosecution.

>>> Asia Market Update

Asia Market Update: Asia trades mixed; US equity FUTs decline after recent gains, election results remain unclear; Toyota confirms guidance hike; US jobs data due later today

General Trend:
- Japanese automakers trade generally higher amid earnings releases; TOPIX Iron/Steel index rises ahead of earnings from Nippon Steel; Financials also trade generally higher; Figures from Mitsui Fudosan weigh on the Real Estate index
-Toyota raised outlook (as speculated); Honda and Isuzu are due to report results later today; Nintendo pared gain amid raised outlook
- Consumer and Industrial firms are among the decliners in Shanghai; Kweichow Moutai drops over 1%
- Hang Seng TECH index declines, Alibaba declines after revenue miss; Financial and Property indices rise
- Resource and Consumer firms are among the gainers in Australia
- Macquarie Group rises over 2% following earnings report; Tabcorp rises over 15% on M&A speculation; CSR drops over 3% amid ex-dividend
- Aussie Trade Min addressed press speculation related to China possibly imposing some type of trade ban
- China is due to release its Oct trade balance data on Nov 7th (Saturday) [after Friday’s US market close]

Headlines/Economic Data
Australia/New Zealand
-ASX 200 opened flat
- (AU) Australia Trade Min Birmingham: Trade bans from China only Rumors, no one should jump to conclusions for now; Disappointing that China Authorities refuse to engage with Australia on Ministry level [responds to press speculation]
**Reminder: (AU) China said to verbally order traders to stop imports of 7 different commodity imports from Australia; effective Fri, Nov 6th; Goods including barley, sugar, wine will be barred from Nov. 6 (financial press from Nov 3rd)
- (AU) Australia APRA issues letter to banks: Announces A$35B reduction in committed liquidity facility between the RBA and local banks
- *(AU) RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) STATEMENT ON MONETARY POLICY (SOMP): Reiterates prepared to expand bond buying if needed
- (AU) Australia Oct AiG Performance of Services Index: 51.4 v 36.2 prior
- (AU) Australia sells A$2.0B v A$2.0B indicated in 1.00% Dec 2030 bonds, avg yield 0.7482% v 0.7672% prior, bid to cover 5.1x v 6.4x prior
- (NZ) New Zealand Q4 Inflation Expectation Survey: 2-year Outlook: 1.6% v 1.4% prior
- (NZ) Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ): Will seek to purchase NZ$870M v NZ$870M prior in government bonds next week
- (NZ) New Zealand PM Ardern: Parliament will open on Nov 25th; Must be mindful of Majority of NZ citizens who opposed Cannabis reform

China/Hong Kong
-Hang Seng opened +0.2%, Shanghai Composite +0.2%
- (CN) China PBoC Vice Gov Liu Guoqiang: Current interest rate levels are appropriate; Need to consider policy adjustments as China policy recovers; Reiterates monetary policy will be more flexible and appropriate
- (CN) China PBOC sets Yuan reference rate: 6.6290 v 6.6895 prior (Strongest fix since July 11th 2018)
- Alibaba [9988.HK]: Reports Q2 $2.65 v $2.06e, Rev $22.8B v $23.0Be [from Nov 5th]
- (CN) China said to consider a 5% annual GDP growth target for the next five years - financial press [in line with speculation from Sept 23rd]
- (HK) Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA): Will maintain peg against US dollar for monetary stability; PBoC will issue CNY25B in bills in Hong Kong on Nov 12th; Ample liquidity in banking system
- The China International Import Expo (CIIE) is being held in Shanghai (Nov 5-10th)
- (CN) China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): Expects Service Imports to reach $2.5T over the next 5-years
- (CN) China said to temporarily halt entry into country by Russian nationals holding visas
- (CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO):skip reverse repos v Injects CNY30B in 7-day reverse repos prior; Net drain CNY100B v Net drain CNY110B prior
-(CN) China PBoC Open Market Operation (OMO) Net drain CNY590B for the week v Net inject CNY190B w/w

Japan
-Nikkei225 opened -0.1%
- (JP) Japan PM Suga: Wants to refrain from comments on FX Rates; Stable FX Rate is important; Will respond appropriately on markets with close coordinations with overseas authorities
- (JP) Japan Senior LDP Politician Seko: 3rd Extra budget ~¥30T would be reasonable
- (JP) Japan Fin Min Aso: Need to comprehensively consider Japan income tax; BOJ ETF Purchases are part of Monetary policy
- (JP) Japan Hokkaido Prefecture said to close restaurants in Sapporo and to raise coronavirus alert as soon as Saturday (Nov 7th) due to spike in cases
- (JP) Japan Sept Household Spending Y/Y: -10.2% v -10.6%e
- (JP) Japan Sept Labor Cash Earnings Y/Y: -0.9% v -1.1%e; Real Cash Earnings Y/Y: -1.1% v -1.4%e (7th Consecutive decline)

Korea
-Kospi opened +0.3%
- (KR) South Korea said to institute new virus restrictions due to spiking daily case totals; the new measures will have 5 tiers and take effect on Saturday (Nov 7th) - South Korea press

North America
- (US) Arizona Sec of State: Approx 285K ballots to count – MSNBC [comments made at 21:33]
- (US) Pennsylvania Attorney General: Ballot count is continuing, should have results "soon"; Few thousand ballots were mailed in late [comments made at 20:12]
- (US) President Trump: A lot of votes arrived late; If you count the 'legal' votes, I easily win; Could be down a little bit in Georgia; I am on track to win Arizona
- General Motors [GM]: China Chief Julian Blissett: to consider exporting additional China-Made models; China sales strong, forecasts strong sales through end of 2020 - financial press

Levels as of 00:20 ET
- Nikkei 225, +1.2%, ASX 200 +0.8% , Hang Seng -0.2%; Shanghai Composite -0.7% ; Kospi -0.1%
- Equity S&P500 Futures: -0.6%; Nasdaq100 -1.1%, Dax -0.7%; FTSE100 -0.4%
- EUR 1.1846-1.1795 ; JPY 103.75-103.36 ; AUD 0.7290-0.7248 ;NZD 0.6789-0.6752
- Gold -0.3% at $1,940/oz; Crude Oil -2.7% at $37.72/brl; Copper -0.2% at $3.1063/lb

>>> After Hours Summary: TTD +12.5%, ZG +10.4%, SQ +5%, YELP +4.9%, ROKU +3%, TT

After Hours Summary: Very busy earnings night -- TTD +12.5%, ZG +10.4%, SQ +5%, YELP +4.9%, ROKU +3%, TTWO +2.8% on upside; AYX -9.3%, STMP -7.7%, EA -7.3%, UBER -1.8% on downside

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: GPRO +17.1%, GLUU +14.4%, TTD +12.5%, INSG +10.4%, ZG +10.4%, CNDT +10%, NET +9.4%, IAC +9% (also IAC's Vimeo announces $150 mln equity investment from Thrive Capital and GIC), HUBS +7.7%, LGF.A +7.7%, ALRM +7.2%, ENDP +6.6%, TMUS +6.6%, GKOS +6.2%, IRWD +6%, LASR +5.8%, PCTY +5.8%, AAXN +5.2%, DLX +5.1%, APPN +5%, EVBG +5%, SQ +5%, YELP +4.9%, TSE +4.6%, AVLR +4.2% (also acquires the operational assets of Business Licenses), CARG +4.1%, HLF +4.1% (also names new CFO; declares distribution of warrants; also Icahn entered into Letter Agreement with respect to support agreement), COLL +4%, MITK +3.7%, SPCE +3.7%, EDIT +3%, ROKU +3%, NWSA +2.9%, NTRA +2.8%, TTWO +2.8%, NKTR +2.7%, PFSI +2.2%, DXC +2.1%, OTEX +2%, AINV +1.9%, ICFI +1.8%, IRTC +1.8%, SYNA +1.8%, AMCR +1.7%, COLD +1.6%, RGA +1.6%, RUN +1.6%, ALTR +1.4%, BGS +1.1%, OEC +1%, VIAV +1%, DDD +0.9%, BIGC +0.8%, CABO +0.6%, RBA +0.6%, FLO +0.5%, NVTA +0.5%, FATE +0.4%, AGO +0.3%, CUBE +0.2%, DRH +0.2%, HHC +0.2%, MMI +0.2%, MXL +0.1%, NFG +0.1%, NSA +0.1%, PBA +0.1%, RMAX +0.1%, SHO +0.1%, STAG +0.1%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: FTCH +10.8% (FTCH enters into partnership with BABA and Richemont), ANTM +7.9% (files mixed securities shelf offering), HALO +6.3% (to be added to S&P MidCap 400), MTG +5.4% (to be added to S&P MidCap 400), MD +5.3% (to be added to S&P SmallCap 600), TFFP +4.5% (files for $100 mln mixed securities shelf offering; also files for 4.0 mln share offering by selling shareholder; also TFFP and Felix Biotech enter into a LOI to enter into a collaboration/license agreement), XRX +3.4% (Carl Icahn boosts active stake and discloses purchase of more than 1 mln shares), AFMD +3% (AFMD and Artiva Bio enter into collaboration agreement), UVV +2.2% (approves $100 mln stock repurchase program), RUN +1.6% (to expand Brightbox offering to all active markets; also stock offering), TMO +1.6% (authorizes $2.5 bln stock repurchase program), GEO +1.2% (to be added to S&P SmallCap 600), GD +0.6% (awarded $9.5 bln Navy contract), BABA +0.2% (FTCH enters into partnership with BABA and Richemont), ASR +0.1% (provides passenger data for October)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: GBT -28.4%, NEWR -11.7%, AYX -9.3%, PS -9.2%, NVRO -8.3%, STMP -7.7%, EA -7.3%, CDAY -7.2%, PBYI -7.2%, TNDM -7.2%, PTON -7%, TDC -6.7%, FLS -6%, WSC -6%, PLNT -5.8%, LMNX -5.5%, NLOK -5.5%, AZPN -5.4% (also provides update on 10-K and 10-Q filing), BILL -5.3%, CZR -5%, DBX -4.9%, ANGI -4.8%, EBS -4.6%, BHF -3.6%, BMRN -3.6%, LYV -3.3%, SRPT -2.9%, AMN -2.8%, PK -2.8%, WYNN -2.8%, RRGB -2.7%, EPAY -2.5%, IOVA -2.3%, PETQ -2.2%, XPO -2.2%, ADT -2.1%, INFN -2.1%, LTHM -2%, BKNG -1.9%, EXEL -1.9%, VSAT -1.9% (also names new CEO), UBER -1.8%, CYRX -1.7%, FGEN -1.6%, RSG -1.6%, ACLS -1.5%, VLDR -1.4%, PRDO -1.3%, SWX -1.3%, GH -1.2%, MCHP -1.2% (also names new CEO and increases dividend), RDFN -1.2%, PRAA -1.1%, TRIP -1%, AIG -0.8% (also to separate the Life and Retirement business from AIG to establish two independent cos), GRPN -0.7%, CLR -0.6%, SWCH -0.6%, SAIL -0.5%, CHUY -0.3%, MAIN -0.3%, MNST -0.3%, MTD -0.3%, PRA -0.3%, ATRC -0.2%, KWR -0.2%, LSI -0.2%, PGNY -0.2%, ATGE -0.1%, CWK -0.1%, FRT -0.1%, TDS -0.1%, USM -0.1%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: ASMB -36.2% (says Phase 2 study of vebicorvir has not achieved meaningful sustained virologic response rates), PBYI -7.2% (announces interim results from Phase II SUMMIT trial), SRPT -2.9% (to commence dosing of next study for SRP-9001), CVBF -2.4% (announces stock repurchase plan), TWLO -1.9% (stock offering), BLDR -1.6% (acquires Kansas City Building Supply), TTCF -1.4% (stock offering), UFPI -1.2% (affiliate announces equity investment in Italy), FBC -1.1% (stock offering), UNIT -1% (announces dismissal of litigation), LRCX -0.4% (approves $5 bln share repurchase authorization), DCPH -0.3% (announces distribution agreement for QINLOCK in Australia, NZ, and SE Asia), CNS -0.1% (declares special cash dividend of $1.00/sh)

>>> Square beats by $0.18, beats on revs

Square beats by $0.18, beats on revs
  • Reports Q3 (Sep) earnings of $0.34 per share, excluding non-recurring items, $0.18 better than the S&P Capital IQ Consensus of $0.16; revenues rose 139.6% year/year to $3.03 bln vs the $2.08 bln S&P Capital IQ Consensus.
    • Transaction-based revenue was $925 million in the third quarter of 2020, up 13% year over year, and transaction-based gross profit was $403 million, up 35% year over year.
    • Transaction-based gross profit as a percentage of GPV was 1.27% in the third quarter of 2020, which was up 22 basis points year over year and down 2 basis points quarter over quarter.
    • Subscription and services-based revenue was $448 million in the third quarter of 2020, up 60% year over year, and subscription and services-based gross profit was $381 million, up 76% year over year.
  • In October, Seller delivered positive revenue and gross profit growth year over year. Seller GPV was up 8% year over year, which improved modestly compared to year-over-year results in the third quarter.
  • Cash App ecosystem Gross profit growth in October moderated compared to the third quarter, driven by a decrease in transaction volume per active customer. We believe this was partly a result of the end of government stimulus programs and unemployment benefits at the end of July, as stored funds in Cash App have decreased since July. We recognize Cash App growth may not sustain at the same levels during the remainder of the fourth quarter.

>>> US Close Dow +1.95% S&P +1.95% Nasdaq +2.59% Russell +2.78%

Closing Stock Market Summary

The S&P 500 gained 2.0% on Thursday in a continuation of the market's rebound rally this election week. The Nasdaq Composite (+2.6%) and Russell 2000 (+2.8%) outpaced the benchmark index by a comfortable margin while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (+2.0%) finished in-line. 

The gains were more broad-based this time around, with value stocks rising alongside growth stocks after a strong open. Each of the 11 S&P 500 sectors started in positive territory, but only the energy sector (-0.04%) finished lower.

The information technology sector rose 3.1%, boosted by its semiconductor components following Qualcomm's (QCOM 145.41, +16.44, +12.8%) strong earnings report and upbeat guidance. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index climbed 4.4%. The materials sector (+4.1%) was the best-performing sector, though. 

Presumably, the market remained pleased by the prospect of a divided Congress, meaning it would be difficult to pass new legislation like higher taxes. Regarding the presidential election, there was still no projected winner, but former Vice President Biden led President Trump 253-214 in the delegate count, according to The New York Times

In addition, the bullish price action likely exacerbated a fear of missing out on further gains, particularly among investors who sold the market last week. Today's advance increased the S&P 500's weekly gain to 7.4% after falling 5.6% last week. 

Separately, there were no surprises in the FOMC policy statement or Fed Chair Powell's press conference. The fed funds rate was left unchanged as widely expected. Mr. Powell said the current pace of asset purchases remained appropriate for the current situation but added that the voting committee discussed options if more accommodation is needed. 

Treasury yields were subdued all session following yesterday's rally in longer-dated tenors, which was another supporting factor for growth stocks. The 2-yr yield was unchanged at 0.15%, and the 10-yr yield increased one basis point to 0.78%.

The U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.9% to 92.58, which aided gold futures ($1946.90, +51.9, +2.7%) but not crude futures ($38.75, -0.41, -1.1%). 

Reviewing Thursday's economic data, which featured the weekly Initial and Continuing Claims report:

  • Initial jobless claims decreased by 7,000 for the week ending October 31 to 751,000 (consensus 735,000). Continuing claims for the week ending October 24 decreased by 538,000 to 7.285 million.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that initial jobless claims continue to run at very high levels that connote ongoing, and difficult, challenges for the labor market's recovery path.
  • Productivity in the third quarter increased at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.9% ( consensus 4.0%) on top of an upwardly revised 10.6% increase (from 10.1%) in the second quarter. Unit labor costs decreased 8.9% (consensus -9.6%) following a downwardly revised 8.5% increase (from 9.0%) in the second quarter.
    • The key takeaway from the report is that it reflects the strong rebound in the third quarter, as the economy rebounded from the depths of the pandemic-related shutdown.

Looking ahead, investors will receive the Employment Situation Report for October, Consumer Credit for September, and Wholesale Inventories for September on Friday.

  • Nasdaq Composite +32.5% YTD
  • S&P 500 +8.7% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average -0.5% YTD
  • Russell 2000 -0.5% YTD