>>> What to look at today - 16th of December 2020

Asian stocks advanced after their U.S. peers rose for the first time in five days, as Congress moved toward agreement on a spending package that would boost the economy. Treasuries were flat ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision.
Gains were modest but broad-based and a gauge of Asia-Pacific shares was set for another record close, with Australia outperforming. European futures pointed higher. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said he will keep lawmakers in Washington until a deal gets done. The 10-year Treasury yieldremained just above 0.90%, with speculation rife that the Fed will either offer guidance on or adjust its bond-buying program.
Elsewhere, the dollar steadied after Tuesday’s decline and oil slipped. U.S. equity futures were little changed.
US After Hours TLRY +21.6% and APHA +13.7% moving higher on Bloomberg report of possible deal; AOUT +9.2% up big on earnings

Nikkei +0.26% Hang Seng +0.78% CSI +0.28% Shanghai +0.08% Shenzen -0.14%

Eur$ 1.2160 CNH 6.5195 CNY 6.5402 JPY 103.53 GBP 1.3463 CHF 0.8854 RUB 73.4305 TRY 7.8030 WTI$47.47 -0.31%

S&P -0.03% Nasdaq +0.18% EuroStoxx +0.23% FTSE +0.34% Dax +0.31% SMI +0.49%

Macro :
- ECB Lifts Bank Dividend Ban With 15% Payout Cap on Profit
- Vanguard Makes History With the First $1 Trillion Equity Fund

Keep an eye on :
- ALO FP : Alstom Wins Over EU470M Contract for Toulouse Metro Line
- ARYN SW : Veraison Voting Rights in Aryzta Fall to 4.46% From 9.81%: SIX
- ATO FP : Atos to Buy Leading Cybersecurity Services Company Motiv
- BO DC : B&O Prelim 2Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- BIM FP : Biomerieux Rolls Out Test for SARS-CoV-2, Other Viruses
- EN FP : Bouygues to Work With Hoffmann As Plans to Cut Emissions: Echos
- CANTA SS : Cantargia Offering Prices 9.1m Shares at SEK62/Share
- ALCLS FP : Cellectis Withdraws Follow-on Offering Due to Market Conditions
- COFB BB : Cofinimmo Buys 26.6% Stake in Belgium’s Aldea Group for EU20m
- ACA IM : Credit Agricole Takes EU900M Impairment Charge For Italian Unit
- DB1 GY : Allfunds Is Said to Draw Takeover Interest from Deutsche Boerse
- GLPG NA : Gilead, Galapagos in New Commercialization Pact for Jyseleca
- GBLB BB : GBL Buys Majority Stake in Canyon From Founder, TSG Consumer
- ISP IM : Intesa CEO Messina Rules Out Further Acquisitions After UBI Deal
- ISS DC : ISS to Divest Units Representing DKK4 Bln in Revenue
- DEC FP : JCDecaux France Acquires Abri Services Media
- LXS GY : Lanxess Said to Join Race for $1 Billion Emerald Kalama Chemical
- NOKIA FH : Nokia Keeps Overall Guidance, Gives Details on Outlook for Units
- NRS NO : Norway Royal Salmon Liability Change Reporting Insufficient: FSA
- NOVN SW : Novartis Gets FDA Committee Recommendation for Use of Entresto
- PSM GY : ProSieben Ad Sales Have Been Rising, CEO Tells Sueddeutsche
- ROTH FP : Rothschild & Co Bank to Buy Banque Paris Bertrand; No Terms
- SEBA SS : SEB Names Torstendahl as Deputy CEO, Soderberg as Head of C&PC
- CASS IM : Societa Cattolica Says Banco BPM Position on JV ‘Groundless’
- DG FP : Vinci-Led Consortium Wins Contract for Paris Metro Viaduct
- VIV FP : Italy Opens Probe on Vivendi Stakes in Telecom Italia, Mediaset
- VOD LN : Satellite Firm AST Said to Be Going Public in Blank-Check Deal
- VOW GY : VW Plans to Create Management Board Position for IT, CEO Says
- VOW GY : VW CEO Pits World’s Largest Car Plant Against New Tesla Factory

>>> Europe : Brokers Ugrades & Downgrades - 16th of December 2020

>>> Up
* Atlas Copco Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 505 kronor
* BT Group Target Raised to 140p From 135p by Deutsche Bank
* Deutsche Telekom Target Raised to EUR22.50 From EUR22 by Deutsche Bank
* GEA Group Raised to Hold at SocGen; PT 30 euros
* IG Group PT Raised to 980 pence from 960 pence at Jefferies
* *Kloeckner & Co. Target Raised to EUR8.70 From EUR7.20 by Deutsche Bank
* LISP SW PT Raised to 8,200 Swiss francs at Morgan Stanley
* Phoenix Group Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley
* Rexel Raised to Buy at SocGen; PT 15 euros
* Vossloh PT Raised to 48 euros from 38 euros at Berenberg
* VW Raised to Buy at Stifel; PT 179 euros

>>> Down
* Airbus Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 90 euros
* Capital & Regional Cut to Sell at Berenberg; PT 10 pence
* Kone Cut to Sell at SocGen; PT 65 euros
* TUI Cut to Underperform at Bernstein; PT 225 pence

>>> Initiation
* Keywords Studios Rated New Overweight at Barclays
* SIG Combibloc Assumed Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* SBB Rated New Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 31 kronor
* VGP NV Rated New Sector Perform at RBC; PT 130 euros
* Tesla Rated New Sell at SPDB Intl HK; PT $480
* Volue Rated New Hold at Arctic Securities; PT 50 kroner

>>> Call
* Airbus Cut at Jefferies on Medium-Term Post Pandemic Outlook
* Phoenix Raised, Getting Set for Dividend Growth: Morgan Stanley
* WH Smith Gets Joint Street-High PT on Overlooked Value: Peel

>>> US Close Dow +1.13% S&P +1.29% Nasdaq +1.25% Russell +2.40%

Closing Stock Market Summary

The large-cap indices advanced more than 1.0% on Tuesday, predominately due to the influence of Apple (AAPL 127.88, +6.10, +5.0%) and renewed stimulus optimism. The Russell 2000 closed at a record high with a 2.4% gain, followed by the S&P 500 (+1.3%), Nasdaq Composite (+1.3%), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (+1.1%).

Early in the session, Apple was the main driver of things after the Nikkei reported that the company plans to increase iPhone production by 30% yr/yr in the first half of 2021. With a $2.17 trillion market capitalization, the stock's 5% appreciation was an undeniable force for the major indices. 

From a more macro-related perspective on today's action, the recovery narrative creeped back into the market on word of a stimulus meeting involving Congressional leadership at 4:00 p.m. ET. Hopes for a deal guided the cyclical and value stocks to leadership roles and nudged Treasury yields higher.

The energy (+1.9%), materials (+1.9%), and financials (+1.7%) sectors were among the biggest gainers in the S&P 500, which happened to snap a benign four-session losing streak today. The consumer staples sector (+0.2%) increased the least. 

Investors didn't get too carried away, though, considering the potential to be upset by the outcome of today's stimulus meeting while others preferred to wait for the conclusion of the FOMC policy meeting tomorrow.  

In the health care space, Eli Lilly (LLY 167.34, +9.43, +6.0%) stood out with an impressive 6% gain. The company issued upside guidance for FY20 and FY21, increased its quarterly dividend by 15%, and agreed to acquire Prevail Therapeutics (PRVL 22.75, +10.25, +82.0%) for $22.50 per share, or about $1 billion, in cash.

U.S. Treasuries finished on a lower note, particularly longer-dated maturities since shorter-dated maturities remained anchored by the Fed. The 2-yr yield increased one basis point to 0.12%, and the 10-yr yield increased three basis points to 0.92%. The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.3% to 90.45. WTI crude futures rose 1.3%, or $0.59, to $47.59/bbl.

Reviewing Wednesday's economic data:

  • Industrial production increased 0.4% m/m in November (consensus 0.3%) following a downwardly revised 0.9% increase (from 1.1%) in October. The capacity utilization rate jumped to 73.3% (consensus 73.0%) from an upwardly revised 73.0% (from 72.8%) in October.
    • The key takeaway from the report was the robust growth seen in the production of motor vehicles and parts, which increased 5.3% and helped account for 0.4 percentage points of the 0.8% increase in manufacturing output.
  • Import prices increased 0.1% in November; and prices excluding oil decreased 0.3%. Export prices increased 0.6% in November; and prices excluding agriculture increased 0.3%.

Looking ahead to Thursday, investors will receive Retail Sales for November, the preliminary IHS Markit Manufacturing and Services PMIs for December, the NAHB Housing Market Index for December, Business Inventories for October, the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index, and the FOMC Rate Decision.

  • Nasdaq Composite +40.4% YTD
  • Russell 2000 +17.5% YTD
  • S&P 500 +14.4% YTD
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average +5.8% YTD

>>> After Hours Summary: TLRY +21.6% and APHA +13.7% moving higher on Bloomberg

After Hours Summary: TLRY +21.6% and APHA +13.7% moving higher on Bloomberg report of possible deal; AOUT +9.2% up big on earnings

After Hours Gainers:

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: AOUT +9.2%

Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: SIOX +45.4% (positive clinical data), TLRY +21.6% (TLRY and APHA in advanced talks to combine, according to Bloomberg), APHA +13.7% (TLRY and APHA in advanced talks to combine, according to Bloomberg), TWTR +0.9% (to discontinue Periscope broadcasting mobile app), KNOP +0.7% (to acquire Tove Knutsen), OLLI +0.5% (increases share buyback authorization by $100 mln), AZO +0.5% (authorizes $1.5 bln stock repurchase), CBOE +0.3% (announces licensing agreement with CoinRoutes), BEN +0.2% (increases dividend), RNG +0.1% (launches free smart video meetings), GDDY +0.1% (to acquire Poynt for $320 mln), NFG +0.1% (new COO)

After Hours Losers:

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: NDSN -2.4%

Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: MRAM -29.3% (CEO to resign, reduces higher end of Q4 rev guidance range), IQ -10.8% (commences convertible notes offering and 40 mln ADSs; also files for mixed securities shelf offering), NFE -8.1% (stock offering), GLSI -7.6% (stock offering), PEN -7.3% (voluntarily recalls all configurations of JET 7 Reperfusion Catheter with Xtra Flex technology), SHSP -7.1% (stock offering), DISH -5% ($2 bln convertible notes offering), CTK -2.3% (files for $100 mln mixed securities shelf offering), CWH -2.1% (CWH and RIDE announce collaboration on service locations and electric motorhome development), UIHC -1.9% (announces estimated Q4 catastrophe losses), RIDE -1.8% (CWH and RIDE announce collaboration on service locations and electric motorhome development), MTD -0.1% (new CEO)

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • EZPW -1.4%

M&A news:

  • CATM -1.2% (to be acquired for $35.00 per share by funds affiliated with Apollo Global Management (APO) and Hudson Executive Capital (halted)) 

Other news:

  • MIRM -16.3% (prices 3.75 mln shares of common stock at $20.00 per share)
  • MESO -5.3% (reported top-line results for Phase 3 trial of rexlemestrocel-L in advanced chronic heart failure)
  • EAF -5.2% (upsizes offering by 1.5 mln shares and prices offering 8.5 mln shares of common stock; details undisclosed)
  • OCUL -3% (announced $75.0 mln public offering of common stock)
  • GLSI -2.8% (announces option agreement for pre-clinical coronavirus vaccine candid)
  • ZIOP -1.3% (CFO announced intention to depart, effective December 31)
  • MTN -1.1% (announced convertible notes offering)

Analyst comments:

  • IIVI -3.2% (downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley)
  • IPHA -1.8% (downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at SVB Leerink)
  • URI -1.2% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • BVN -1.1% (downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up

M&A news:

  • PRVL +83.6% (Lilly (LLY) to acquire Prevail Therapeutics for $22.50 per share in cash); LLY +2.4%
  • THBR +9.4% (Thunder Bridge Acquisition II, Ltd: indie Semiconductor enters definitive merger agreement with Thunder Bridge Acquisition II, Ltd)

Other news:

  • OCX +58.5% (enters licensing agreement with Burning Rock (BNR) to test for early stage lung-cancer patients in China)
  • AVXL +40.3% (announces its Phase 2 trial of ANAVEX2-73 in adult female patients with Rett syndrome met primary and secondary endpoints)
  • IMRN +15.6% (Immuron SARS-CoV-2 research agreement with Monash University)
  • VTVT +14.8% (entered into a licensing agreement with Anteris Bio for worldwide rights to vTv's novel clinical-stage Nrf2 activator compound, HPP971)
  • PQG +9.4% (completed sale of Performance Materials business for $650 mln; declared $1.80/share special cash dividend)
  • ATNX +7.2% (Athenex: Almirall announces FDA approval of Klisyri, a new innovative topical treatment for actinic keratosis)
  • RIDE +5.8% (CWH CEO tweets that CWH and RIDE will make special announcement at joint press conference tomorrow)
  • TGTX +5.1% (prices 6.23 mln shares of common stock at $43.50 per share)
  • ALLO +4.8% (Allogene and Overland Pharmaceuticals form joint venture in Greater China to develop and commercialize AlloCAR T cell therapies)
  • BIDU +3.9% (mulling making its own electric cars according to Reuters)
  • CWH +3.6% (CWH CEO tweets that CWH and RIDE will make special announcement at joint press conference tomorrow)
  • ESPR +3.5% (appoints Sheldon Koenig as COO effective today)
  • IVAC +3.1% (received $5 mln EVA digital night-vision sensor contract),
  • VSTM +2.6% (announced the initiation of a Phase 2 registration-directed clinical trial of VS-6766; to seek FDA accelerated approval, pending trial outcome)
  • ZNGA +2.4% (prices $762 mln of 0% convertible senior notes due 2026 in a private placement; estimates net proceeds from the offering will be ~$746.3 mln)
  • MDT +2.3% (procedure shows significant, swift pain relief and sustained improvement for cancer patients)
  • ARVN +2.2% (continued strength; announced $250.0 mln common stock offering)
  • RC +2.2% (raised dividend)
  • CNC +2.1% (announced it has signed a definitive agreement to acquire PANTHERx)
  • IIPR +2% (raised dividend)

Analyst comments:

  • MT +5% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Societe Generale)
  • CNHI +3.6% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
  • FLS +3.3% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel)
  • ZNGA +3.1% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo)
  • EMR +2.6% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
  • SID +2.4% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman)
  • LITE +2.4% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • MDT +2.4% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • AGCO +2.2% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • BMY +2.2% (added to Conviction Buy List at Goldman)
  • DE +1.9% (initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer)
  • MPW +1.6% (upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank)
  • REVG +1.6% (upgraded to Equal-Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley)
  • OXY +1.5% (upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo)
  • IONS +1.4% (upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen)
  • AY +1.2% (upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Global Securities)
  • XOM +1.1% (upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Wells Fargo)

>>> US Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers

  • Gapping up:
    • OCX +99.1%, PRVL +86.4%, IMRN +15%, PQG +9.4%, RIDE +5.8%, ALLO +4.6%, CWH +3.6%, IVAC +3.1%, TGTX +2.8%, CLNE +2.6%, ZNGA +2.5%, LLY +2.3%, ARVN +2.2%, RC +2.2%, CS +2.1%, IIPR +2%, JKS +1.3%, BSX +1.1%, AZN +0.9%, JPM +0.8%, WPP +0.7%, GLSI +0.5%
  • Gapping down:
    • MIRM -14%, MESO -5.3%, EAF -5.2%, OCUL -3%, ZIOP -1.3%, MTN -1.1%