FT : Secretive Spac man Ian Osborne has built a $1.5bn venture capital firm

Secretive Spac man Ian Osborne has built a $1.5bn venture capital firm
The 38-year-old theatre lover mingles with stars but prefers to be back stage

When tech financier Ian Osborne invests in a company, executives must agree to an unusual clause: not to talk about it without his permission.

Such tactics have helped Osborne and his firm Hedosophia largely fly under the radar despite his involvement in high-profile investments and takeover bids over the past decade.

With early support from funds linked to media baron Michael Bloomberg, Hong Kong tycoon Li Ka-shing and the Burda family of Germany, the 38-year-old Osborne has quietly created a $1.5bn venture capital business.

According to people familiar with the matter, companies from Spotify, TransferWise and Raisin in Europe to Alibaba, Ant Financial and Airwallex in Asia have all received investment from Osborne.

One tech investor compares the urbane but reticent British investor to the well-connected PR fixer Matthew Freud: “He knows everyone.” Another, who carried out due diligence before working with Osborne, said: “He is the sort of guy who will turn up behind you on a flight to Rio. He is a real man of mystery.”

As one of the architects of the boom for special purpose acquisition companies (Spacs) — which raise cash in listed funds that then hunt for a company to take public — Osborne has helped turbocharge tech valuations.

Even as the US market cools on the phenomenon and regulatory scrutiny grows, Osborne is hoping to popularise such blank cheque vehicles in Europe with plans to raise as much as €460m with a Spac listing in Amsterdam.

Described by contacts as “obsessively secretive”, Osborne fiercely protects his privacy and allows publicity to be drawn to high-profile partners such as Chamath Palihapitiya, a venture capitalist.

Palihapitiya, a brash former Facebook executive, with a large social media following and a love of making provocative comments on TV, describes Osborne as “a very good yin to my yang”.

The moonshot machine
It is for the relaunch of Spacs in 2017 that Osborne is becoming best known — teaming up with Palihapitiya’s Social Capital to back the listings of companies such as Virgin Galactic, Clover Health and Opendoor.

Along the way, Osborne has amassed shares worth as much as $300m, according to a person familiar with the matter, boosted by the juicy “promote” share awards given to sponsors of the listings.

To friends and investors, he is a canny dealmaker and consummate networker, connecting rich family offices to founders needing funds to expand.

Others worry he has been at the vanguard of a wave of speculative cash, bestowing stratospheric valuations on unproven companies.

Virgin Galactic — which he helped take public in 2019 — opened the floodgates for moonshot companies with little by way of revenues to list through Spacs. More than 300 Spacs have raised $97bn this year, according to Refinitiv.

With the action now shifting to Europe, it marks a homecoming for Osborne, who splits his time between houses in London and Hong Kong, where he is a resident.

From Bloomberg to Zuckerberg
Born and raised in Richmond, London, the son of a lawyer and a doctor, Osborne studied at St Paul’s school, King’s College and London School for Economics, graduating in 2005 and going to work for as an adviser to Bloomberg, who became a connecting thread through Osborne’s career.

Kevin Sheekey, Bloomberg’s longstanding campaign manager and communications chief, said Osborne began working for the then New York mayor after co-hosting a dinner in London whose guests included actress Claudia Schiffer and media scion James Murdoch.

By 2007, thanks to Osborne’s connections, Bloomberg was addressing the Conservative party conference in Blackpool. “It sounds an easy thing to do but connecting people is a rare talent,” said Sheekey. “Dozens of people around the world that Mike and I have good relationships with were introduced by Ian. Global business leaders never meet without a go-between. There is no Yellow Pages for that.”

He describes a Zelig-like quality to Osborne: “His nature is not to promote himself.”

As international adviser to Bloomberg for the next four years, Osborne continued to unleash his networking skills, gaining access to people who would become his ticket to the world of tech finance.

“At first it was like, ‘what is this British 20-something doing in the midst of US politics?’ It didn’t make much sense,” said Daniel Ek, founder of Spotify, who met Osborne in this period.

Initially, Osborne offered “advice, connections with people”, according to Ek. “But his Rolodex was off the charts for someone so young. The connection between politics and business today seems like an obvious fit but at the time no one was making the link.”

Osborne began to advise, and later invest in, Palihapitiya’s Social Capital after meeting him with Mark Zuckerberg in 2008.

Palihapitiya described Osborne as “extremely, exceptionally discreet and unbelievably trustworthy. He’s unbelievably connected. He is our modern version of a homeless billionaire. Ian is constantly working, is constantly travelling, and he collects people.”

In 2009, he set up his own consultancy, Osborne and Partners, that took on clients including DST Global, the venture capital firm run by Yuri Milner, the Israeli-Russian billionaire.

By 2010, he was helping DST lead investments in Spotify and Alibaba — where he had forged relationships with founders Ek and Jack Ma, respectively. 

Through his time working with DST and afterwards, Osborne continued to run a PR and business development consultancy, advising the businesses of US tech billionaires from Travis Kalanick and Evan Spiegel to Zuckerberg. He remained close to Bloomberg, helping on an attempt to buy the Financial Times from Pearson in 2013.

That year, he was firmly established on the tech scene as one of the organisers of the hottest party in Davos — a “taxidermy” themed bash thrown with Napster co-founder Sean Parker and Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff.

He had also started to work informally for then UK prime minister David Cameron and chancellor George Osborne, to whom he remains close, helping open doors in the US. During the 2010 election campaign, he helped prepare Cameron for TV debates. Around the same time, he organised a trip to the US for Boris Johnson, then mayor of London.

Osborne became the “ultimate co-host” — according to one person familiar with the period — gathering people from politics, tech, finance and the arts. It was at a dinner hosted by Osborne in 2014, attended by actor Ed Norton and Arianna Huffington, that an Uber executive landed in trouble for suggesting that the company could dig up dirt on a critical journalist.

Taking ‘IPO 2.0’ to Europe
Osborne set up Hedosophia in 2012 — named after Greek gods of pleasure and wisdom — aiming to specialise in earlier stage tech firms. 

Early backers included family offices such as Germany’s Burda and funds related to Li, the Hong Kong tycoon, said a person close to the group, who added that it now has a more institutional investor base of university endowments, public pension funds and insurance companies from the US, Japan, Canada and Sweden.

It was at a dinner in Hong Kong in early 2017 with Palihapitiya that he pitched the idea for a new sort of Spac to give tech founders an easier public listing without the risk and regulatory baggage of a traditional IPO. 

Despite being partners in the sponsor company, the pair did not split earnings equally, said people with knowledge of the situation, with Palihapitiya taking the majority of profits but also putting in greater capital. Palihapitiya also coined the new term for the Spac — “IPO 2.0” — which was draped over the New York Stock Exchange at the launch in 2017.

Since then, hundreds of Spacs have followed this strategy, launched by former bank executives, athletes and politicians keen to enjoy the almost risk-free upside of the Spac sponsor model. But even those operating around Osborne wonder whether the market has now gone too far. “The bubble is definitely bursting now,” said one.

The Osborne/Palihapitiya Spac franchise has been hit as the market has turned — with Clover’s shares falling more than 50 per cent from their highs and shares in Virgin Galactic — which has yet to make a commercial flight — down more than 70 per cent from the peak.

Osborne is determined to get his European Spac right, according to those close to the plans, cutting the financial rewards for the sponsor and bringing together a heavyweight board.

This month, he will also return to an early passion in the theatre, producing one of the first musicals to open after the end of pandemic restrictions in the West End — Everybody’s Talking About Jamie.

He will need to get used to being centre stage — in Europe at least, he has no Palihapitiya to hide behind, and the scrutiny over Spacs in the US has started to raise questions for investors and sponsors alike over whether the market has gone too far, too fast.

FT : Biden/infrastructure: a concrete investment opportunity

Biden/infrastructure: a concrete investment opportunity
US president’s plan is the next catalyst for growth in the building materials sector

Concrete and asphalt may lack glamour but building materials are proving a rock-solid investment. Vaccine rollouts and a pick-up in US economic recovery have made the notoriously cyclical sector attractive. President Joe Biden’s proposed $2tn infrastructure plan is the next catalyst for growth.

Shared hatred of potholes and traffic gridlock is one of the few things that a deeply divided US Congress can agree on. Biden has vowed to modernise 20,000 miles of roads, build bridges, ports and airports, and replace 100 per cent of the nation’s lead pipes. That bodes well for the likes of Vulcan Materials, Martin Marietta Materials and Mexico’s Cemex.

The S&P 500 Construction Materials Industry index has risen by almost a third so far in 2021 to a new high, outpacing the S&P 500’s 10 per cent gain. The question is whether major gains are over for now. For Vulcan, America’s biggest producer of construction aggregates, and rival Martin Marietta the answer is no.


Publicly funded construction already accounts for an average of 45 per cent of Vulcan’s aggregates shipments over the past five years, according to Fitch Ratings. At Martin Marietta, the figure is about 38 per cent. New infrastructure spending would provide both companies with more predictable cash flows to offset the boom and bust nature of private construction.

Cemex, the world’s largest cement maker, generates about 30 per cent of its sales and operating ebitda from the US. But its exposure to Latin America, which has suffered an outsize hit from the pandemic, is a drag on performance. Leverage is another concern. A net debt to ebitda ratio of 5.5 times is more than twice that for Vulcan and Martin Marietta.

Neither Vulcan nor Martin Marietta is cheap. Stocks trade on a multiple of 35 and 30 times this year’s earning estimates. But the figures look more reasonable if based on 2023 estimations.

This is a better gauge. Cash flow benefits are unlikely to accrue until late 2022 or 2023. Biden’s infrastructure spending will also be spread over eight years. Like the plan itself, these investments are long term.

FT : Solutions 30: suspended in animation

Solutions 30: suspended in animation
Yet more twists at the under fire Luxembourger outsourcer.

At the crack of dawn on Monday morning, FT Alphaville stared in disbelief at what had just crossed the French wires.

Solutions 30, a €1.1bn Luxembourger man-in-a-van telecoms and energy outsourcer listed in France, had asked Euronext Paris to suspend its shares “until further communication is released”. Four trading days later, the equity remains frozen at €10.38.

So what on earth is going on?

Well, as you might recall from our coverage in December and what’s happened since, the outsourcer, which counts European corporate heavyweights such as EDF, Orange and Unitymedia among its customers, has suffered a torrid six months.

On December 9, news of an anonymous short-seller report on the company hit the French press. Two days later, the shares were temporarily suspended after Muddy Waters — the American activist investor, which had been short the stock since May 2019 — joined the fray. The company responded in detail to the allegations, but it didn’t alleviate the market’s concerns. By Christmas, the share price had halved to under €10.

The bulk of the anonymous report, and Muddy Waters’ five follow-up open letters through December and January, focused on the company’s historical relationship with an Italian accountant named Angelo Zito who, according to local reports, spent time in prison in 2000 over his links to the Sicilian mafia. Solutions 30 acknowledged it had a relationship with Zito, but said that it had ceased all ties with him in 2016 once they found out about his past the December before.

Solutions 30, in an effort to clear its name, commissioned an independent audit by Deloitte and local accountant Didier Kling Expertise & Conseil in late January. Published on April Fools’ Day, it found the various accusations against Solutions 30 “unfounded and erroneous” and said they had not “identified any evidence to corroborate the allegations of money laundering, in connection with organised crime”. The shares rallied 30 per cent on the news, settling at €14, a third below the company’s 2020 high. 

A sixth and seventh letter from Muddy Waters the following week caused the stock to fall once more. This prompted the publication of a lengthy letter from chief executive Gianbeppi Fortis on April 12, in which he stated that Solutions 30 has “decided to no longer respond publicly to slanders that are totally unfounded” and invited shareholders to file legal complaints with the authorities against these “false and misleading publications”. The California-based activist replied with a YouTube video laying out its short thesis a fortnight later.


Phew. Now you’re up to speed, here’s what FT Alphaville thinks might be going on with the stock suspension.

The immediate thought that springs to mind is Solutions 30’s full-year results. Just over a fortnight ago the company released its 2020 numbers which, on the face of it, looked rather good. Revenues grew 18 per cent year-on-year to €819m, with Ebitda margins touching 13 per cent, and the company recorded a net cash cushion of €59m. Not bad at all.

Yet, there was a wrinkle: the results were not audited. Solutions 30’s auditor? EY. The firm took the reins from Grant Thornton in 2019.

In the results press release, the company said the “complete consolidated financial statements, including the notes, will be made available as soon as possible”. Silence has followed.

That makes Solutions 30 the only company in the CAC 60 — France’s mid-cap index — not to report full year audited results, according to French financial daily Les Echos. So here we have a company under scrutiny for its accounting audited by a firm under scrutiny for its audits of corporate disasters like Wirecard, NMC Health and Luckin’ Coffee.

EY Luxembourg declined to comment, citing professional secrecy obligations.

The French investing forums however, have another suggestion: perhaps there is imminent news of a key investor on the shareholder registry, with the elongated suspension due to the details of the deal being ironed out. The idea sort of adds up, Gianbeppi Fortis floated it in his most recent letter, writing:

The duty of the company and its management is to examine all strategic options in the best corporate interests of the company and its stakeholders. All options are being contemplated, including the strengthening of the company’s shareholder base, which could go as far as a delisting.

Yet here is where the logic somewhat breaks down: if a negotiation was in progress — for either an anchor investor or a full takeover — why wouldn’t Solutions 30 just put out a press release stating it? Under the rules of the AMF, the French regulator, discussions regarding a potential takeover have to be disclosed by the bidder, unless the negotiations are kept confidential. However, if the share suspension is a public signal that there’s a negotiation, then that would negate any confidentiality.

And, on the idea of an incoming anchor investor, even if a private negotiation for fresh capital was in progress, how could the company justify a suspension of the stock on that news alone?

It doesn’t quite add up.

Whatever the reason, Solutions 30 is keeping mum. The company declined to comment for this article. It is worth pointing out, however, that there is no specific time limit on the listing being resumed, according to both European and French regulations. So the situation could drag on.

The longer the shares remain frozen, however, the deeper the suspicion might grow that the news is negative. Judging by the panicked discussions among investors online, the fear seems to be already setting in.

FT : Hedge funds look to tap into surge in corporate dealmaking

Hedge funds look to tap into surge in corporate dealmaking
Merger arbitrage performance bounces back after last year’s ‘arb-ageddon’ shook up strategy

Hedge funds that bet on corporate deals have rebounded from big losses during last spring’s coronavirus-driven market turmoil and are aiming to profit from a surge in M&A as economies reopen.

Merger arbitrage funds gained 7.7 per cent in the first four months of 2021, according to research firm HFR, having finished last year up 5.2 per cent. These types of funds typically buy shares in the target of an M&A deal and bet against the acquirer, making money as the deal closes.

The strong performance so far in 2021 marks a stark contrast to early last year, when merger arbitrage funds were left reeling in March in a so-called “arb-ageddon” in which many deals threatened to fall apart during the worst of the pandemic-driven market tumult. Funds lost an average of 9.6 per cent in March 2020 alone, according to HFR. As spreads — the gap between the deal price and the current share price — widened, many managers were forced to cut their positions, leading to further losses.

However, those who stuck with their bets have enjoyed a rebound over the past year, helped by a narrowing of spreads, a rally in cheap, beaten-down stocks in recent months and the exit of some traders from the sector following the tumult last spring.

The latest fund firm trying to tap into the renewed appetite for corporate dealmaking is London-based investment firm Trium Capital. It has hired fund manager Felix Lo and analyst Neo Tsangarides, who previously worked together at Izzy Englander’s Millennium Management, to launch the Trium Khartes Event Driven fund.

The firm expects to raise $200m for the fund at launch, based on investor commitments, including a double-digit million dollar seed investment by Trium. Trium’s Credere fund, which focuses on a strategy involving betting on the relationship between convertible bonds and stocks, is up 2 per cent this year, having gained 12% in 2020. 

“We feel we’re at the beginning of a really fertile period for merger [arbitrage],” said Donald Pepper, co-head of Trium and a former Goldman Sachs banker. “Animal spirits are coming back to corporate boardrooms, deal sizes are increasing and there’s not as much money chasing merger arbitrage.”

The first quarter of 2021 marked the best start to a year for mergers & acquisition activity since at least 1980.

Deals such as Aon’s purchase of Willis Towers Watson, the bidding war for Australia’s Crown Resorts and the battle for railroad company Kansas City Southern are among those providing a wealth of potential opportunities for traders in this space.

Lyxor Asset Management recently said that hedge funds trading corporate events “remain one of the most attractive [strategies] in the hedge fund space”. Aberdeen Standard is also bullish, noting that “there is a ripe backdrop for corporate activity in 2021 that should provide managers with ample investment opportunities”.

Lo previously worked at Sandell Asset Management — where he ran $1.4bn — hedge fund LMR, and more recently at Millennium, where his team managed $500m in assets.

Among the funds making money this year are Jamie Sherman’s Kite Lake Event Driven fund, which is up 7.5 per cent, Paul Glazer’s $1.4bn Glazer Enhanced, up 8.6 per cent, Michel Massoud’s Melqart, which has gained 14.8 per cent, and $840m-in-assets Berry Street Capital, which has made 6 per cent.

FT : Musk says Tesla no longer plans to accept payment in bitcoin

Musk says Tesla no longer plans to accept payment in bitcoin
Cryptocurrency’s price falls after chief executive goes from evangelist to critic, citing environmental impact

Elon Musk reversed his backing of bitcoin on Wednesday as he announced that Tesla was suspending plans to accept payment for its cars in the cryptocurrency.

He put the change of heart down to environmental concerns about the mechanism used to validate bitcoin transactions, pointing to a wider rethink of the digital currency that could throw into question its growing appeal among other companies.

Bitcoin was down 9 per cent to $49,769 on Thursday. It had fallen as low as $46,045 following the announcement, the lowest level on an intraday basis since March 1. 

Musk has faced sharp rebukes over Tesla’s support for bitcoin, including from ESG investors who prioritise environmental, social and governance issues. The Tesla chief executive’s enthusiasm for the energy-hungry currency ran counter to the climate change concerns that he has always said led to his involvement in electric cars. 

The bitcoin price jumped 15 per cent in a single day in February after Tesla revealed it had put $1.5bn of its corporate cash into the digital currency and planned to one day accept it in payment for its cars. The news was widely seen as an important validation of bitcoin in the corporate world and sparked a debate among corporate treasurers about using the currency.

In a brief statement released on Twitter on Wednesday, Musk said: “We are concerned about [the] rapidly increasing use of fossil fuels for bitcoin mining and transactions, especially coal, which has the worst emissions of any fuel.”

Bitcoin uses a “proof of work” mechanism, relying on so-called miners who employ large-scale clusters of computers to crunch puzzles using a consensus algorithm.

Musk’s statement concluded by saying Tesla was “looking at other cryptocurrencies that use <1% of bitcoin’s energy/transaction” — a comment that could provide a shot in the arm to digital currencies that use other less power-hungry ways to validate transactions.

Ether, the second most valuable cryptocurrency, has said it was moving to an alternative method known as “proof of stake”, which does not depend on the same energy-hungry method.

Musk also appeared to swear Tesla off active trading in bitcoin to boost its future profits. The company’s investors were surprised last month to discover that it had sold part of its cryptocurrency holdings within weeks for a $101m profit. Along with sales of environmental credits, the currency trading profit more than made up for a loss in Tesla’s core carmaking business in the first quarter of the year.

“We will not be selling any bitcoin,” the Tesla boss said in his statement, though he did not shed any further light on how long the carmaker would hold the cryptocurrency or whether it planned to put any more of its spare cash into bitcoin.

The statement appeared to mark a retreat from the use of bitcoin in Tesla’s treasury operations. Company officials recently described its sales of the currency as proof of its liquidity, making it a suitable asset for treasurers to hold — a consideration that would be undermined if Tesla no longer intended to use it as a source of liquidity.

The reversal on bitcoin could also cast a cloud over dogecoin, the cryptocurrency that has seen some of the biggest gains this year thanks in large part to Musk’s vociferous backing. As with bitcoin, dogecoin employs a proof of work mechanism.

>>> US Gapping down

Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • ARRY -28.2% (also enters into supply agreement with Nucor), GO -12.8%, CURI -12.6% (also acquires One Day University), SLQT -8.6%, LMND -6.9%, LITE -6.3%, VZIO -5.1%, HBM -5%, QS -4.8%, WWW -4.8%, TSEM -4.5%, SGFY -2.6%, WIX -0.7%

Other news:

  • IMNM -5.6% (stock offering)
  • AXNX -1.6% (stock offering),
  • SPCE -1.4% (to delay its 10-Q)
  • HYLN -0.8% (provides Q1 business update)
  • PRAX -0.7% (stock offering)

Analyst comments:

  • BEDU -5.3% (downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley)
  • AMRN -4.3% (downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman)
  • NVAX -2.9% (downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan)
  • DG -1.7% (downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts)

>>> US Gapping up

Gapping up
In reaction to earnings/guidance
:

  • UPST +22.1%, FUBO +21.1%, SD +10.4%, BIGC +5.4%, WEN +5.3%, U +5%, CHK +5% (also initiates dividend), DEO +3.8%, NEWT +3.7% (also increases dividend), CNR +3.6%, NARI +3%, SNDX +2.4%, HLI +2.1%, TM +2.1%, OPEN +2%, DT +1.9%, OLO +1.8%, JAMF +1.4% (also to acquire Wandera for $400 mln), EA +1.4%

Other news:

  • EYES +24.4% (announces two-year results of its orion study)
  • WISA +13.6% (certified Onkyo sound sphere audio system launches in Japan)
  • CVI +11.5% (announces special dividend)
  • SIEN +9.2% (to sell miraDry business to 1315 Capital)
  • BNR +5.3% (to be added to MSCI China Index, effective after the U.S. market close on May 27)
  • ABST +3.9% (to acquire NetMotion for $340 mln in cash)
  • TDUP +3.5% (to power resale for Very Bradley through Resale-as-a-Service),
  • INVZ +3.4% (selected by a leading Tier-1 automotive supplier as the LiDAR provider for its multi-year autonomous shuttle program)
  • PROG +3.2% (announces preliminary results, subject to final audited study reports by its contract research organization, from two key studies for the Company's Targeted Therapeutics program)
  • CENH +3.1% (to combine with Arqit Limited, a leader in quantum encryption technology)
  • SLM +2.4% (ValueAct (Bradley E. Singer) lowers active stake to 7.2% (prior ~10%))
  • CAE +2.2% (to accelerate the design and development of Jaunt Air Mobility's eVTOL aircraft by leveraging the latest simulation technologies)
  • DFNS +2% (IronNet named manufacturer on ITES-SW2 contract),
  • IFRX +2% (announces top-line results from Phase II IXPLORE study)
  • ANAT +1.9% (issues response to recent media reports)
  • FULC +1.2% (announces that the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has granted Fast Track designation to losmapimod for the potential treatment of facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy)
  • SRRK +1.1% (announces publication of Phase 1 trial data evaluating apitemograb)
  • CLLS +1.1% (announces partnership with SNY for alemtuzumab)
  • ADS +1% (to spin off its LoyaltyOne segment, comprising its Canadian AIR MILES Reward Program and BrandLoyalty business)

Analyst comments:

  • RXT +2.4% (upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James)
  • HBI +1.9% (upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Wells Fargo)
  • NLOK +1.5% (upgraded to Buy from Underperform at BofA Securities)