>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

  • DAX:
    • Fresenius Medical (FME TH) +2.7%
      • Fresenius Medical Double-Upgraded, Confidence Raised: Jefferies
    • Zalando (ZAL TH) +1.8%
    • Adidas (ADS TH) +1.3%
    • Qiagen (QIA TH) +1.3%
    MDAX:
    • Kion (KGX TH) +2.9%
      • Kion Raised as Morgan Stanley Says Structural Case Still Intact
    • Lufthansa (LHA TH) +2.1%
    • Thyssenkrupp (TKA TH) +2%
    • TAG Immobilien (TEG TH) +1.9%
    • Jungheinrich (JUN3 TH) +1.8%
      • Kion Raised as Morgan Stanley Says Structural Case Still Intact
    • Aurubis (NDA TH) -0.6%
    SDAX:
    • MorphoSys (MOR TH) +4.7%
    • PNE AG (PNE3 TH) +3.2%
    • Eckert & Ziegler (EUZ TH) +3%
    • VERBIO Vereinigte (VBK TH) +2.8%
    • SAF-Holland SE (SFQ TH) +2.6%
    • Takkt (TTK TH) -1.6%
    • ADVA Optical (ADVV TH) -3%

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Hexagon (HXG TH) +4.4%
    • Hexagon Names Guglielmini CEO as Rollen Steps Down
  • Rio Tinto (RIO1 TH) +3.4%
    • Rio Tinto Wins US Appeals Court Decision For Arizona Copper Mine
  • Antofagasta (FG1 TH) +3.1%
    • Watch European Miners as Iron Ore and Copper Rebound on China
  • Fresenius Medical (FME TH) +3%
    • Fresenius Medical Double-Upgraded, Confidence Raised: Jefferies
  • Faurecia SE (FAU TH) +2.8%
    • Faurecia Raised to Buy at Jefferies With Stock Overhang Removed
  • Kion (KGX TH) +2.7%
    • Kion Raised as Morgan Stanley Says Structural Case Still Intact
  • Prosus (1TY TH) +2.5%
    • Prosus Will Sell Tencent Shares to Bankroll Buyback Program (1)
  • Voestalpine (VAS TH) +2.4%
  • Kone (KC4 TH) +1.9%
  • K+S (SDF TH) -0.7%
  • OMV (OMV TH) -0.9%
  • National Grid (NNGF TH) -1.4%
  • Bollore (BOP TH) -1.8%

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 27th of June 2022

>>> Up
* AutoZone Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT $2,296
* Coloplast Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 925 kroner
* Faurecia SE Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 28 euros
* Fresenius Medical Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 64 euros
* Fresenius Medical ADRs Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT $33.70
* Hermes Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 1,350 euros
* Kion Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 63 euros
* Moncler Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT 53 euros
* Pagegroup Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 510 pence

>>> Down
* 4d pharma ADRs Cut to Neutral at Ladenburg Thalmann
* Go-Ahead Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT 1,600 pence
* Merlin Properties Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
* Ocado Cut to Neutral at Credit Suisse; PT 960 pence
* Randstad Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 49 euros
* TeamViewer Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT 12 euros
* Thule Cut to Hold at Handelsbanken

>>> Initiation
* Big Technologies Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 320 pence
* Fresenius Medical Double-Upgraded, Confidence Raised: Jefferies
* LBG Media Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 180 pence
* Staffers Offer Value, But Be Selective, Morgan Stanley Says

>>> Call
* European Stocks Not Yet Pricing In Recession, MS Strategists Say
* Evercore’s Emanuel Sees Potential Tradable Rally Into Next FOMC
* Faurecia Raised to Buy at Jefferies With Stock Overhang Removed
* Kion Raised as Morgan Stanley Says Structural Case Still Intact
* Ocado Cut at Credit Suisse With Prior Views ‘Too Optimistic’

>>> What to look at today - 27th of June 2022

Stocks extended a climb Monday, bolstered by the technology sector, as investors evaluated whether inflation is close to cresting and the chances of skirting a recession amid monetary tightening. An Asian share index jumped over 1%, helped by Chinese tech firms as well as gains in Japan. US futures inched lower in the wake of a more than 3% Friday surge on Wall Street that cemented the best week for global stocks in a month. Treasuries were steady. Yields have retreated from June highs as growth worries take center stage, leaving the US 10-year rate at 3.13%. Whether that marks the end of the Treasury bear market is another live debate. The yen strengthened against the dollar, while a greenback gaugedipped. Oil traded around $107 a barrel, sapped again by concerns about demand. Traders are also monitoring a summit of the Group of Seven leaders, who plan to commit to indefinite support for Ukraine in its defense against Russia’s invasion. The G-7 in addition is weighing a price cap on Russian oil. Investors are parsing incoming data to work out if the highest inflation in a generation is close to topping out. In time, that could give policy makers latitude to ease up on sharp interest-rate hikes. A more troubling scenario is of lasting price pressures and tighter policy even as the global economy falters. Russia defaulted on its foreign-currency sovereign debt for the first time in a century, the culmination of ever-tougher Western sanctions that shut down payment routes. The US, UK, Japan and Canada also plan to announce a ban on new gold imports from Russia during the G-7 summit. Prices for the precious metal rose. In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and a range of other tokens weakened slightly but the largest virtual coin held above $21,000.

Nikkei +1,62% Hang Seng +2,31% CSI +1,24% Shanghai +0,89% Shenzen +1,07%

Eur$ 1,0554 CNH 6,6828 CNY 6,6869 JPY 134,84 GBP 1,2274 CHF 0,9575 RUB 54,4434 TRY 16,5874 WTI$ 107,68 Gold 1,835,32 BTC 21,125 -1,2% ETH 1,2127,15 -2%

S&P +0,06% Nasdaq +0,15% EuroStoxx +0,45% FTSE +0,57% Dax +0,66% SMI

Macro :
- Battery Sector Needs More Local Supply Chains, Nobel Winner Says
- S&P 500 May End Year at 3,700 After Sweeping Even Lower
- Ether Recovery Helps Crypto Retake $1 Trillion Market Cap Level
- Goldman Says Signs Are Here of Belt-Tightening Impact to Profits
- Goldman Sachs Looks to Raise $2B to Buy Celsius Network's Assets, CoinDesk Says
- G-7 Set to Ban New Russian Gold Imports in Pledge Backed by US
- Talks to Revive Iran Nuclear Deal to Restart Within Days

Keep an eye on :
- ATI FP : Plastic Omnium to Buy Actia Power Ops for EU52.5M Ent. Value
- AURA NO : Aurora Eiendom Offering of 6.45m Shares Prices at NOK93/Share
- BA US : Boeing Max Had Over 60 Mid-Air Issues After Clearance, ABC Says
- BA/ LN : BAE Wins $12b US Air Force Contract for Ballistic Missile Work
- BARC LN : Barclays at 0.45x TNAV vs. NatWest's $6 Billion Capital Return
- BORR NO : Borr Drilling Signs LOI to Sell Three Jack Up Rigs for $320m
- CNA LN : Centrica Pulls Out of Energy Provider Bulb’s Auction, FT Reports
- DDDD LN : 4D Pharma Says Not Able to Repay Loans of ~$13.86M to Oxford
- DIS US : Disney, Apple, Amazon Have Bids in on NFL Sunday Ticket: CNBC
- DIS US : Formula 1 Renews US Media Deal With ESPN for About $75M-$90M:SBJ
- DKSH SW : DKSH Acquires Refarmed Group to Expand Performance Materials
- EDF GY : EDF, Engie, Total CEOs Urge Energy Savings to Prepare for Winter
- ENGI FP : Engie Fined 80,000 Euros for Illegal Europe Power Market Trades
- RF FP : In exclusive talks to invest in Sevetys; No terms disclosed at this time - (Veterinary clinics)
- IPN FP : Ipsen to Buy Epizyme for $247M to Expand Cancer Treatments
- JD US : Tencent-Backer Prosus Unloads Nearly $4 Billion of JD.com Stock
- LHA GY : Lufthansa Sees No End to Disrupted Flights Until 2023, Welt Says
- MBG GY : Mercedes-Benz to Stop Making A-Class Around 2025: Handelsblatt
- NESTE FH : Neste Buys European Rights to Alterra Tech to Recycle Plastic
- NOVN SW : Novartis: Four-Year Data Show Lasting Benefit of Kesimpta
- POM FP : Plastic Omnium to Buy Actia Power Ops for EU52.5M Ent. Value
- PRX NA : Tencent-Backer Prosus Unloads Nearly $4 Billion of JD.com Stock
- PRX NA :Prosus Will Sell Tencent Shares to Bankroll Buyback Program
- RWE GY : RWE warns UK tax on electricity generators would risk £15bn investment in renewables - FT
- SPM IM : Saipem to Sell FPSO Cidade de Vitória for $73m
- SOU IM : Poste Italiane to Launch Tender Offer for Sourcesense
- THS US : Investindustrial Is Said in Talks for TreeHouse Meal-Prep Unit
- TPK LN : Travis Perkins, Howden Tested by UK RMI's Crumbling Foundations
- UPC US : Universe Pharma Falls 33%: Chinese U.S. Listings
- VTG US : GIP Said to Near 5 Billion-Euro Deal for German Rail Lessor VTG
- VLA FP : Valneva Cut to Hold at Stifel; PT 12 euros
- WPP LN : Ad Execs Return to Cannes Party With Recession Fears in Backdrop
- ZEN US : Jana Partners Pulls Zendesk Proxy Fight After $9.5 Billion Deal

Business Of Fashion : Inside the Shakeup at Marc Jacobs

Inside the Shakeup at Marc Jacobs
Designer Marc Jacobs, CEO Eric Marechalle and LVMH Fashion Group boss Sidney Toledano speak exclusively to BoF about what it took to get the brand back on track.

KEY INSIGHTS
  • CEO Eric Marechalle has restructured Marc Jacobs, cutting staff and shrinking its runway collection, while developing a mid-priced mainline and adding youth-driven Heaven.
  • With sales back on track, the company will open 20 stores over the next 18 months.
  • The business aims to hit $1 billion in annual fashion and accessories sales in the next 3-5 years.

NEW YORK — That 59-year-old Marc Jacobs has become an influencer, speaking directly to his 1.7 million Instagram followers about everything from relationships to plastic surgery, is perhaps no surprise. Many of his peers — including Isaac Mizrahi and Todd Oldham — have also attracted fervent online fans, especially those nostalgic for the 1990s, when fashion designers were idolised like rock stars.
But Jacobs is different.
His followers aren’t just scouring vintage stores and resale sites for rare pieces from his Spring/Summer 1998 collection, or pristine versions of his Stella handbag, first beloved in the mid-aughts. They’re buying new Marc Jacobs as well. Baby tees from Heaven, the youth-driven sub-line designed by art director and digital star Ava Nirui. And tote bags from the main collection.
He’s still staging closely-watched runway shows, too. On Monday, the designer will present his latest at the New York Public Library in Midtown Manhattan, where he remains a hometown hero with the glossy magazine scrum.

In fact, the Marc Jacobs label is on the up. While owner LVMH doesn’t break out revenues for its brands, a source close to the business said that sales are up by double-digit percentage points from pre-pandemic levels. Over the next 18 months, the company will open 20 stores.
It’s a long way from 2017, when the future of Marc Jacobs was in question.
Marc Jacobs CEO Eric Marechalle. (Courtesy)
The turnaround is the product of a restructuring engineered by chief executive Eric Marechalle, who arrived five years ago from another LVMH-owned brand, Kenzo. Marechalle cut costs, scaling back the brand’s runway collection. He found a way to translate Jacobs’ madcap vision, which the fashion world loves, into something more accessibly priced that still comes off as original and novel, rather than watered down. He’s also managed to layer in new elements, like Heaven.
Add a laser-focused accessories programme, which includes the top-selling “Tote” and “Snapshot” styles, and the company is on track to generate $1 billion in annual sales in the next three to five years. (That’s not including its robust — and still growing — fragrance business with Coty.)
The brand wasn’t always as healthy.
“We were in a situation five years ago that had to change,” Marechalle said during an interview in the company’s Spring Street office building in New York’s Soho neighbourhood.
We were in a situation five years ago that had to change.
For many years, the success of Marc Jacobs the brand was less important to LVMH than retaining Jacobs at Louis Vuitton. (The company often invests in the namesake labels of its top designers as deal sweeteners.) Starting in 1997, Jacobs helped transform Vuitton from an old-world luggage label into a global fashion juggernaut, not only through his well-regarded runway shows but also headline-making accessories collaborations with the likes of artists Takashi Murakami and Richard Prince. (In 2000, Louis Vuitton was valued at $6.9 billion, according to Interbrand’s annual ranking of the “best” brands in the world. By 2014, the year Jacobs exited the brand, it was valued at $22.5 billion.)
The fact that handbags and shoes from the designer’s namesake Marc Jacobs label, as well as its contemporary Marc x Marc Jacobs line, became a major sales driver in the 2000s was icing on the cake. (At its peak, Marc x Marc Jacobs generated around $400 million a year in revenue, according to analyst estimates.)

During its first 15-or-so years under the LVMH umbrella, the Marc Jacobs team experimented with retail and product concepts — who can forget the corner store on Bleecker Street that sold branded lipstick pens? Its runway, too, became a talking point: the most anticipated show of the New York season. But as Jacobs — who was living part-time in Paris (for Vuitton) and part-time in New York — faced a series of personal setbacks and Marc Jacobs co-founder Robert Duffy receded from the picture, the label blew through CEOs at a rapid clip.
It wasn’t until Jacobs’ tenure at Vuitton ended that the group began seriously contemplating the future potential of the Marc Jacobs business, which was cruising along but no longer at the height of cool. There was even talk of an IPO.
“Marc Jacobs wasn’t even a $10 million company when we invested in it. Now it’s making a billion euros a year in revenue,” LVMH CEO and Chairman Bernard Arnault said at the company’s annual investor day in 2014. “Marc Jacobs is the most emblematic designer in the United States. [An IPO could mean] that over the next five to 10 years one company could equal a third of the value of the group. You can see the kind of promise all of this holds.”
That year, LVMH brought in Sebastian Suhl, a seasoned executive with successes at Prada, Valentino and Givenchy under his belt, to manage the company’s next phase.
The first thing he did was close Marc x Marc Jacobs, the contemporary cash cow, with the intention of folding the lower-priced collection into the main line. “Collapsing” collections was in vogue at the time. Versace, Dolce & Gabbana and Burberry all made similar moves, with the intention of streamlining operations and sending a unified brand message to consumers.
Suhl’s plan was never to get rid of more affordable pieces, but instead give everything the same point of view, one that had more personality than something that could easily be found at Zara. The change, however, confused wholesale buyers, and many reduced their orders of the collection, which included lots of different products at different price points.
By 2017, the business was suffering, most evident to insiders in the runway shows at New York’s Park Avenue Armory, which were stripped bare of any set decoration to conserve budget. The closure of several Marc Jacobs stores — including its most famous, a converted garage on Mercer Street, and a string of five outposts on a little chunk of Bleecker Street in the West Village — made it even more clear that the company was in trouble.
“I’m more concerned about Marc Jacobs than the U.S. president,” Arnault said on a January 2017 earnings call, one week after Donald Trump was sworn into office.

Suhl was out, replaced by Marechalle, who was credited with transforming Kenzo into a youth-driven, contemporary-priced label designed by Opening Ceremony’s Humberto Leon and Carol Lim.
But Marechalle’s early moves backfired. In early 2018, he hired John Targon, a designer best known for co-founding knitwear label Baja East, to create a new, lower-priced collection. Targon lasted all of three months. (Olympia Le Tan, the French accessories designer who popularised embroidered book clutches, was quietly inserted into the mix and stayed a while longer, only to be laid off at the beginning of the pandemic.)
LVMH could have simply closed the brand, or even sold it off, as it did with the underperforming Donna Karan International. But Marc Jacobs was still widely known and widely beloved by fashion obsessives. Closing or disposing of it could be a reputational risk. What’s more, its fragrances were still bestsellers, generating hundreds of millions of dollars a year in sales. And its positioning was still a better fit for LVMH than Donna Karan.
Marechalle’s plan, in some ways, was in line with the label’s history. Going back to the 1980s, when he sold a “junior” collection at Macy’s, Jacobs has almost always offered some sort of accessibly priced product, whether that was a full collection or cleverly branded tchotchkes.
However, LVMH’s track record with US-based apparel brands is not great. In the late 1990s, it invested in Michael Kors, Donna Karan International and Marc Jacobs, selling off Kors long before it peaked and Donna Karan in 2016 after several failed attempts at revitalisation. But with the retooled Marc Jacobs, the group seems to think it’s finally figured the market out.
“In America, we expect brands to be more democratic,” Marechalle said. “A broader audience can buy it.”
Sidney Toledano, CEO of the LVMH fashion group, which includes Marc Jacobs, further explained the strategy. He mentioned Ralph Lauren, which makes high-end clothes, but generates a good portion of its revenue from $95 polo shirts.
“It’s hard to be a luxury [fashion] brand in the United States, unless you are, frankly, imported,” Toledano said, noting that ready-to-wear businesses take decades to build in luxury, and having close access to expert ateliers, but also manufacturing, makes it more manageable in Europe. In the US, where high-end manufacturing is all but dead, “it’s hard to develop.”
The more democratic approach comes at a time when the market needs it, said retail consultant Robert Burke. Today, contemporary-priced brands like Ganni and Tibi are thriving: the difference between the old way and the new is that they are billing themselves as designer-driven rather than trend-driven. And demand for new brands is high.
“There’s a big void right now in affordable, interesting fashion,” Burke said. “This path [for Marc Jacobs] makes a lot of sense to me.”
But how did Marechalle pull it off? His first goal was to better link Jacobs’ still-admired runway collections with what was sold in stores.
“When Marc’s doing a show, his pieces are extraordinary, but it’s not very accessible,” he said. “What we’ve improved a lot is our capacity to develop this commercially viable product that is really in Marc’s vision.”
Runway Marc Jacobs, Autumn 2021 collection. Marc Jacobs Runway Marc Jacobs, Autumn 2021 collection. Marc Jacobs
The main collection, priced as accessible luxury — or contemporary — was rebranded The Marc Jacobs, filled with products directly riffing on Jacobs’ runway takes. While there were already budget cuts underway, when the pandemic hit in 2020 the company laid off 60 people — including designers and other corporate employees — and shrunk things further. The runway collection was reduced to two seasons, sold exclusively through Bergdorf Goodman.
This could be construed as a major dressing down for Jacobs, whose public identity was, especially at the time, mostly defined by his shows. But both he and Marechalle position it differently: by withdrawing pressure to make the runway commercially viable en masse, Jacobs has no creative restraints.
“That’s classic in terms of the way most designer businesses work,” Jacobs told BoF. “My process hasn’t changed: I basically think about fashion all the time. Now that we focus on smaller [output], it gives me complete freedom to tell a story and say something. We have less resources, yes, but it’s very high-end, without any limitations, and that’s what’s most important.”
The new mainline may have been tweaked to better serve Jacobs’ fanbase, but was there a way to attract a new generation of consumers? A third collection — Heaven — was developed by Nirui, a Brooklyn-based creative who had become known for her one-off, “bootleg” items — a Barbie dressed in a “Prada” polo neck, a pair of Nike Air Max made from bullet-proof nylon — as well as an interest in Jacobs’ early designs. Nirui drives the aesthetic, using her own circle of image makers and collaborators, like the illustrator Ancco or video director Hideyuki Tanaka, rather than Jacobs’ go-to’s.

“It’s really Ava’s baby,” Jacobs said. “What’s interesting to her about our past and our history … feels fresh and new. In a way, it’s like Marc x Marc, but I don’t really have much interaction. Ava really has a very specific community of creative people who are outside of this company.”
Today, Heaven is a fast-growing piece of the business, but it is its popularity among young people that makes it so valuable to the overall brand. Pieces regularly sell out and can be found on online secondhand retailers like Depop, often for far more than they were originally priced. (A $185 cropped, broken-stripe cardigan — sold out — is currently listed on the marketplace for $500.)
Searches for “Marc Jacobs Heaven” have increased by 67 percent in the last year, according to Agustina Panzoni, the platform’s trends and category manager, with searches for the label’s “teddy” logo tee — worn by Olivia Rodrigo and Bella Hadid — up 35 percent over the past six months.
Panzoni noted that Heaven also dovetails the emerging “weird girl” aesthetic on TikTok — all reminiscent of Jacobs 1990s, early-2000s heyday, when his own look, and the looks he was creating as a designer, were deeply reflective of the skate and underground youth culture of the time.
Longtime Marc Jacobs muse Winona Ryder in a 2022 campaign featuring one of the brand's newest handbags. (Harley Weir )
Cultural relevance is critical, but so is a successful accessories business. For the first time in several years, Marc Jacobs is making popular bags, with accessories its fastest-growing product category.
The Snapshot, a cross-body camera bag, was for many years the label’s best-selling product, followed closely by a simple $250 tote, with “The Tote: Marc Jacobs” printed in its signature font, an unforgettable spin on Engravers Gothic. Now, the Tote — rendered with Jacobs’ signature humour and lightness — has eclipsed the Snapshot as the top seller. These are not the thousand-dollar-plus bags Jacobs used to sell, but again, the focus is on reaching many rather than a privileged few. And with something like the Snapshot, the silhouette feels unique to Marc Jacobs, an almost impossible task to pull off in handbag design, where nearly everything is referential.
Beauty, probably the most stable element of the business over the past decade, is also evolving. In the past, a brand like Jacobs’ could have subsisted on fragrance sales alone, and it remains a pivotal part of the business. Marc Jacobs fragrances generated more than $39 million in the first four months of 2022 in the US, up from $36 million during the same period in 2021, according to NPD data shared by a source who requested anonymity because the information was confidential. It’s the ninth-best-selling fragrance brand in the US, based on that data.
But a much-hyped makeup and cosmetics collection, launched by Kendo, LVMH’s beauty incubator, in 2013, was put on hold in 2021. Marechalle said that it will relaunch, although he wants to approach it in an “innovative” way that makes sense with how he has rebuilt the rest of the business.
Now, Marechalle is expanding on the structure he has put in place. Colour cosmetics will at some point return, the retail network is set to expand and more runway collection retail partners will likely be added beyond the US. Given that the US and Europe — its first and second-biggest markets — are on track, the company is focused on expanding its business in Asia.
For Jacobs, who loves to post the hashtag #gratefulnothateful, it’s a best-case scenario. He gets to keep designing, without many of the pressures that come today with creative director roles. While he said he can “rise creatively to a request from merchandising,” he isn’t a merchandiser himself, and Marechalle doesn’t expect him to be.
“Over the years, we’ve had a lot of CEOs and most of them have done nothing to really grow this business or help this company,” Jacobs said. “I really love Eric, and I’m not just saying that. He allows me the freedom that I so want to do what I do.”

Business Of Fashion : Fashion’s Sustainable Materials Strategy Needs a Glow-Up

Fashion’s Sustainable Materials Strategy Needs a Glow-Up
Big brands are buying more recycled polyester, better cotton and responsible leather than ever, but more radical action is needed to really transform supply chains, a new report from Textile Exchange finds

KEY INSIGHTS
  • Brands have increased their use of materials with a lower environmental impact to make up half of all fibres sourced, according to a new report by non-profit Textile Exchange.
  • A return to post-pandemic growth will test early signs of positive trends, like the decline in greenhouse-gas emissions associated with material production.
  • Shifts in investment towards more radical strategies like textile-to-textile recycling, degrowth and circular business models are still needed.

The fashion industry is upping its use of lower-impact raw materials but still not making enough progress where it counts, according to an annual report by non-profit Textile Exchange.

Material Change Index Insights report, published Monday, assesses the uptake of preferred raw materials — defined as those certified under a sustainability standard or initiative — and responsible sourcing practices across 292 brands and retailers representing an estimated $680 billion in turnover.

The report’s findings point to some positive changes: preferred materials accounted for half of all fibres used by brands in 2020 for the first time, up from 44 percent in 2019 and 36 percent in 2018. And greenhouse gas emissions associated with material production decreased 5 percent to 11.2 million tonnes of CO2 equivalent in 2020, after remaining flat for the previous two years at 11.8 million tonnes.

But this progress is at least in part due to disruptions caused by the pandemic, the report found. Slower growth tamped down emissions and the shift towards preferred materials “may well be a blip” as well, said Textile Exchange director of corporate benchmarking Liesl Truscott. Companies’ responses to the pandemic were highly polarising, with half choosing to double down on sourcing better materials and the other half cutting back, she added. “It will take a few years to see if it actually continues to be a trend,” Truscott said.

Even this tentative progress is limited. While recycled polyester now accounts for 32 percent of all polyester used by the 292 brands assessed in the report, nearly all of it comes from non-textile sources like plastic packaging from other industries. Just 6.5 percent of all recycled fibres came from textile waste in 2020, the report found. And while brands are growing their share of preferred virgin natural materials like cotton and wool, the data on the environmental impact of these efforts remains fuzzy.

The conclusions align with those of The BoF Sustainability Index 2022, which found brands’ progress towards a less extractive material mix largely rested on shifting to preferred fibres, with limited evidence of action that would support more meaningful transformation.

“We need to be thinking about not just transitioning to preferred materials, but really looking at consumption,” said Truscott. That means the industry must tackle the tricky challenge of degrowth. Fashion needs to move to a “model of decoupling profit, prosperity and success [from] continued growth of the use of — particularly virgin — materials,” she said.

For now, brands are rapidly growing their engagement with circular business models, but from a low base. Textile Exchange’s analysis found 35 companies reported total investment of $25 million in 2020 in the space, mostly aimed at innovation and capacity-building for circular technology, like recycling, resale and repair services. But staying the course and committing money for the long term is needed in order to have real impact, said Truscott.

“We’re still seeing the same struggle, I think, with pricing and investment, and matching that ambition with deep commitment and fundamental business model changes on the ground,” she said. “It still feels a bit experimental.”