After Hours Summary: BILL +20.4%, AMAT +1.9% higher on earnings; BBBY -41.5% falls sharply as Ryan Cohen completes sale of BBBY stake, co also hires law firm to help address debt load, according to Bloomberg; MSGE +7.4% higher as co to explore spin-offAfter Hours Gainers:
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: BILL +20.4% (also names new COO), AMAT +1.9%
Companies trading higher in after hours in reaction to news: MSGE +7.4% (board authorizes mgmt to explore spin-off), HD +1.2% (authorizes a new $15 bln share repurchase program; also elects CEO Ted Decker as Chair of the Board), TOL +0.8% (to create joint venture with PGIM Real Estate for San Diego development), KDP +0.8% (in talks to acquire VPX, owner of Bang Energy energy drink, according to Bloomberg), KRYS +0.7% (FDA accepts its BLA application for dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa), AGX +0.3% (founder/CEO retires; names new CEO)
After Hours Losers:
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to earnings/guidance: OSIS -9.4%, MAXN -4.8%, STNE -4.4%, GLOB -2.1%, ROST -1%
Companies trading lower in after hours in reaction to news: BBBY -41.5% (Ryan Cohen completes sale of BBBY stake; also hires law firm to help address debt load, according to Bloomberg Law), GME -10.7% (BBBY news dragging down meme stocks), AMC -4.2% (responds to Cineworld comments, AMC continues to be optimistic about increasing demand for Q4 and 2023), APRN -2.6% (BBBY news dragging down meme stocks), FUBO -2.5% (BBBY news dragging down meme stocks), HOOD -1.8% (reports July operating data), EXK -1.1% (founder passes away), BLTS -0.3% (terminates previously announced combination with MANSCAPED), ROKU -0.2% (announces three new TV brands in Mexico), SBUX -0.1% (COO will be departing, effective October 1), ALL -0.1% (names new CFO)
Closing Stock Market SummaryThere was some up and down price action today in a narrow trading range, leading to a mixed market that followed form with mixed earnings results and mixed economic data. Fresh buying interest in the final hour of trading sent the major indices to new session highs before losing steam and dipping into the close. There was a lack of conviction on either side of the tape and volume was on the lighter side today.
Mixed action saw the mega caps trading roughly in line with the broader market while small and mid cap stocks outperformed. The Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) closed up 0.1% versus a 0.3% gain in the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) and a 0.2% gain in the S&P 500. The Russell 2000 (+0.7%) and S&P Mid Cap 400 (+0.8%) closed ahead of the major indices.
Market breadth showed the lack of conviction for either side of the tape. Advancers led decliners by a 7-to-5 margin at the NYSE and an 11-to-10 margin at the Nasdaq.
Semiconductor related names had a strong showing thanks to Wolfspeed's (WOLF 112.94, +27.29, +31.9%) favorable quarterly results and guidance. The PHLX Semiconductor Index closed up 2.2%. The strength here helped propel the information technology sector (+0.5%) to second place on the day.
Cisco's (CSCO 49.37, +2.71, +5.8%) earnings-driven gains also boosted the information technology sector.
Bath & Body Works (BBWI 40.26, +0.07, +0.2%) and Tapestry (TPR 37.57, +0.46, +1.2%) offered some support to the consumer discretionary sector (-0.04%) after reporting quarterly results but Tesla's (TSLA 908.61, -3.38, -0.4%) modest loss weighed on sector performance. Kohl's (KSS 31.33, -2.62, -7.7%), though not a sector component, also weighed on performance as retail peers traded down in solidarity.
Rising oil prices sent the energy sector (+2.5%) to the top of the leaderboard. Notably, it was the only sector to move more than 1.0% in either direction. WTI crude oil futures rose 2.4% to $90.07/bbl.
Separately, several Fed officials made comments today, including Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari (2023 FOMC voter) saying he does not know if the Fed can bring inflation down without triggering a recession. Saint Louis Fed President Bullard (2022 FOMC voter) said he is leaning towards a 75 basis point rate hike in September and is not sure the worst of inflation has passed, according to The Wall Street Journal. Kansas City Fed President George (2022 FOMC voter) said there is still a significant difference between supply and demand in the economy, adding she is encouraged by the July inflation report, but it's not a time for a "victory lap."
Treasury yields settled lower in a choppy session. The 2-yr note yield fell five basis points to 3.22% while the 10-yr note yield fell one basis point to 2.88%.
Deere (DE) and Foot Locker (FL) report earnings ahead of Friday's open.
There is no U.S. economic data of note out tomorrow.
Reviewing today's economic data:
- Weekly initial jobless claims totaled 250,000 (consensus 266,000) after last week's revised total of 252,000 (from 262,000). Continuing claims totaled 1.437 million after last week's revised total of 1.430 million (from 1.428 million).
- The key takeaway from the report is twofold: first, the initial claims level is still a long way from recession levels; and secondly, this report covers the week in which the survey for the August employment report was conducted. The low level of initial jobless claims supports expectations for continued strength in nonfarm payrolls, which of course should support continued tightening moves by the Federal Reserve.
- The Philadelphia Fed Index improved to 6.2 in August (consensus -4.0) from -12.3 in July. The new orders index, though, remained stuck in negative territory at -5.1, which qualified as an improvement from the -24.8 reading seen in July.
- The key takeaway from the report was the recognition that firms expect overall declines six months from now, evidenced by a -10.6 reading in the future index versus -18.6 in July.
- Existing home sales decreased 5.9% month-over-month in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.81 million ( consensus 4.85 million) versus a downwardly revised 5.11 million (from 5.12 million) in June. That is the sixth straight month that existing home sales have fallen. Total sales in July were down 20.2% from a year ago.
- The key takeaway from the report is that higher mortgage rates are taking a bite out of existing home sales, having compounded affordability pressures that persist with still-high (although moderating) prices.
- Weekly EIA Natural Gas Inventories showed a build of 18 bcf versus a build of 44 bcf last week.
Dow Jones Industrial Average: -6.4% YTD
S&P 400: -7.8% YTD
S&P 500: -10.1% YTD
Russell 2000: -10.9% YTD
Nasdaq Composite: -17.1% YTD
Research Calls I
- Upgrades:
- Calumet Specialty Products (CLMT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman; tgt raised to $23
- Celestica (CLS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus; tgt $14
- Essential Utilities (WTRG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at HSBC Securities; tgt raised to $57
- First Bancorp (FBNC) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler; tgt lowered to $47
- First Solar (FSLR) upgraded to Equal-Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt raised to $136
- MGIC Investment (MTG) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $18
- Radian Group (RDN) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at BofA Securities; tgt raised to $24
- Downgrades:
- 10x Genomics (TXG) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman; tgt lowered to $35
- Amcor (AMCR) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Jefferies
- Analog Devices (ADI) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Needham
- Array Tech (ARRY) downgraded to Underweight from Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $15
- Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Wedbush; tgt $5
- Brinker (EAT) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc Capital Markets
- Clarus Corporation (CLAR) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Outperform at Raymond James
- DCP Midstream (DCP) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital Mkts; tgt lowered to $38
- Elanco Animal Health (ELAN) downgraded to Equal-Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley; tgt lowered to $22
- Enact Holdings (ACT) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $25
- Franklin BSP Realty Trust (FBRT) downgraded to Mkt Perform from Mkt Outperform at JMP Securities
- Hawaiian Electric (HE) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA Securities; tgt $43
- Jack Henry (JKHY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson; tgt $210
- Krispy Kreme, Inc. (DNUT) downgraded to In-line from Outperform at Evercore ISI; tgt lowered to $15
- Par Pacific (PARR) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman; tgt raised to $20
- PerkinElmer (PKI) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel; tgt lowered to $170
- Principal Fincl (PFG) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse; tgt raised to $86
- Stronghold Digital Mining (SDIG) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen; tgt lowered to $2.25
- United Rentals (URI) downgraded to Underperform from Mkt Perform at Bernstein; tgt lowered to $269
- Verizon (VZ) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at MoffettNathanson; tgt $41
- World Wrestling (WWE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Northcoast
- Wolverine (WWW) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus
- Others:
- Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $182
- American Woodmark (AMWD) initiated with a Sell at Deutsche Bank; tgt $45
- Armstrong World Industries (AWI) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $125
- AZEK (AZEK) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $29
- Beacon Roofing Supply (BECN) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $90
- Builders FirstSource (BLDR) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $93
- Carvana (CVNA) initiated with a Hold at Argus
- Casey's General (CASY) initiated with an Outperform at Wolfe Research; tgt $228
- Core & Main (CNM) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $40
- Cummins (CMI) resumed with a Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt lowered to $245
- Enhabit Inc. (EHAB) initiated with a Neutral at Citigroup; tgt $17
- ESAB Corp. (ESAB) initiated with an Overweight at JP Morgan; tgt $55
- Fate Therapeutics (FATE) resumed with an Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt $90
- Fortune Brands Home & Security (FBHS) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $100
- Freshpet (FRPT) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Sandler; tgt $69
- Hasbro (HAS) resumed with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $96
- Installed Building Products (IBP) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $108
- Iovance Biotherapeutics (IOVA) resumed with an Equal Weight at Wells Fargo; tgt $14
- Ivanhoe Electric (IE) initiated with a Neutral at JP Morgan; tgt $12
- JELD-WEN (JELD) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $15
- Karuna Therapeutics (KRTX) removed from Best Ideas List at Wedbush
- Masco (MAS) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $61
- Masonite International (DOOR) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $135
- Mohawk (MHK) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $122
- Mueller Water (MWA) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $12
- NuScale Power (SMR) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim; tgt $18
- OneConnect Financial (OCFT) resumed with a Hold at HSBC Securities
- Owens Corning (OC) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $103
- PGT Inc. (PGTI) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $38
- Pool (POOL) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $431
- SiteOne Landscape Supply (SITE) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $189
- Sutro Biopharma (STRO) resumed with an Overweight at Wells Fargo; tgt $15
- TopBuild (BLD) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $236
- Trex (TREX) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $87
- Wabtec (WAB) initiated with an Outperform at Raymond James; tgt $103
- Watsco (WSO) initiated with a Hold at Deutsche Bank; tgt $311
- Watts Water Tech. (WTS) initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank; tgt $192
Gapping down
In reaction to earnings/guidance:
- KSS -8.7%, SQM -4%, AMCR -3.4%, SPTN -2.9%, MLCO -2.7%, EL -1.8%, TPR -0.8%
News:
- EAR -16% (supports new regulation on OTC hearing aids; believes its hearing aids are within the FDA's requirements)
- AXDX -13.7% (commences public offering)
- BBBY -11.1% (RC Ventures files to sell BBBY stake)
- HUT -5.7% (establishes at-the-market equity program)
- RGTI -2.5% (stock offering by selling shareholder)
- GME -2% (meme stocks lower on BBBY RC Ventures news)
- PHG -1.3% (to convene Extraordinary General Meeting of Shareholders to appoint Roy Jakobs as new President and CEO)