FT : US accuses EU of seeking cheese ‘monopoly’ in Mercosur deal

US accuses EU of seeking cheese ‘monopoly’ in Mercosur deal
Bloc and four South American countries will sign trade agreement on Saturday after 25 years of talks

Donald Trump’s trade officials have accused Brussels of attempting to secure a “monopoly” for its meats and cheeses in South America as part of its blockbuster trade deal with Mercosur countries.

The EU and four South American countries will on Saturday sign a trade agreement, after negotiating for 25 years, which would cut almost all tariffs across a combined market of 700mn people.

But US officials have hit out at the deal for harming American farmers, barring them from selling produce that is tied to particular places in European countries, such as prosciutto di Parma, feta cheese and champagne.

“This is a blatant attempt to limit competition and export opportunities for non-EU suppliers to fairly trade in this large dairy and processed meat market,” said one US official familiar with the negotiations.

“The deal would basically give EU producers a monopoly for these products and would lock out producers from the US.”

The objections come as transatlantic trade tensions escalate between Washington and Brussels over the bloc’s slow pace in cutting tariffs and regulations following a limited trade deal agreed last year. 

The Trump administration’s concern for its agricultural exports follows a $12bn bailout to US farmers last year after the sector was battered by the US president’s trade war.

The official said the US had repeatedly raised its concerns with countries including Brazil and the EU, which would secure protection for more than 340 named foods, as part of trade negotiations.

A trade negotiator for a Mercosur nation said that “geographical indication” for certain products was a long-running gripe for the Americans, but insisted they had not been contacted about the issue recently.

The complaints about the deal between the EU and Mercosur come as Washington makes an aggressive push to secure geopolitical influence across the western hemisphere as part of its so-called Donroe Doctrine. 

In recent weeks Trump has launched a military operation to seize Venezuela’s leader Nicolás Maduro, and warned that Cuba, Colombia and Mexico could all be next in America’s crosshairs.

A majority of European member states backed the terms of the deal last week, despite widespread opposition from farmers, who claim that their counterparts in Mercosur operate with lower standards for animal treatment and pesticide use.

The deal represents a new push by the EU to secure lucrative trade agreements aimed at countering Trump’s aggressive protectionism and tariffs.

European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen made a veiled rebuke to Trump when EU member states approved it last week. 

“At a time when trade and dependencies are being weaponised and the dangerous, transactional nature of the reality we live in becomes increasingly stark, this historic trade deal is further proof that Europe charts its own course and stands as a reliable partner,” she said.

She also shrugged off any idea the EU should stay out of the western hemisphere, adding it was “testament to the endurance and strength of our relationship with Latin America, and one that will bring us closer together”. 

The Commission declined to comment. The US trade representative’s office declined to comment. Brazil’s trade ministry declined to comment.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of January 2026 V3(++)

>>> Up
* ASML PT Raised to 1,400 euros from 1,000 euros at Morgan Stanley
* Atlas Copco Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 220 kronor (+)
* Ayvens PT Raised to 14.50 euros from 13.20 euros at UBS (++)
* Basic-Fit PT Raised to 43 euros from 35 euros at ING (++)
* Biohit Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 3.70 euros
* Close Brothers Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 625 pence
* Estee Lauder PT Raised to $100 from $91 at Barclays (++)
* Garmin Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT $217
* Grab Holdings Raised to Buy at HSBC; PT $6.20 (++)
* Gym Group Raised to Outperform at RBC on Cheaper Memberships (+)
* Gym Group PLC Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 200 pence
* Exosens SAS PT Raised to 61 euros from 54 euros at Bernstein
* NCAB Group Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 59 kronor
* Polar Capital PT Raised to 750 pence at Panmure Liberum (+)
* Roche Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 365 Swiss francs
* Rocket Lab Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $105
* Stolt-Nielsen PT Raised to 495 kroner at DNB Carnegie (++)
* Tecan Raised to Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 156 Swiss francs (+)
* Valiant PT Raised to 530 Swiss francs at Bank Vontobel (+)
* Vitec Software Group Raised to Buy at SEB Equities
* Watches of Switzerland Raised to Buy at BofA (+)

>>> Down
* 3M Co Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $182
* Bossard PT Cut to 150 Swiss francs from 162 Swiss francs at UBS (++)
* Brunello Cucinelli Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Colonial SFL Socimi Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 6.40 euros
* Deutsche Beteiligungs Cut to Hold at Bankhaus Metzler (+)
* Eastman Chemical Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT $70
* EasyJet Cut to Hold at Goodbody; PT 525 pence (+)
* Heidelberg Materials Cut to Neutral at On Field; PT 235 euros (+)
* Hilton Grand Vacations Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* HP Inc. Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT $18
* INWIT PT Cut to 8 euros from 10.10 euros at Jefferies (+)
* Iridium Communications Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* J M Smucker Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $105
* Kloeckner Cut to Sell at M.M. Warburg; PT 11 euros (+)
* Kloeckner Cut to Hold at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 11 euros (++)
* Kloeckner Cut to Sell at DZ Bank (++)
* Kraft Heinz Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $24
* Logitech Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 78.65 Swiss francs
* Maersk Cut to Sell at Arctic Securities; PT 11,900 kroner
* Mandatum Cut to Sell at Nordea
* Marriott Vacations Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $52
* MGM Resorts Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $33
* Mowi Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 230 kroner
* NOBA Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 130 kronor
* Norma Cut to Hold at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 15 euros (+)
* Novo PT Raised to 400 kroner from 340 kroner at BofA (++)
* Outokumpu Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 5 euros
* Petrobras ADRs Cut to Neutral at Banco BTG Pactual; PT $15
* Richemont Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Sanofi Cut to Neutral at UBS (+)
* Savills Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 1,200 pence
* SBO AG Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 37.20 euros
* Strategy PT Cut to $403 from $484 at Mizuho Securities (++)
* Vestas Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 180 kroner
* Volvo Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Zegna Group Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)

>>> Initiation
* ARM Holdings ADRs Reinstated Outperform at Haitong Intl (+)
* Cirsa Enterprises Rated New Outperform at BNP Paribas
* Endur ASA Rated New Buy at DNB Carnegie; PT 100 kroner (++)
* Frontline PLC Reinstated Buy at DNB Carnegie; PT 320 kroner (++)
* Helvetia Baloise Holding Reinstated Outperform at Mediobanca SpA
* InterContinental Hotels Rated New Outperform at CICC
* Intercos Rated New Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 15 euros
* Mildef Group Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 190 kronor
* Munich Re Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 600 euros (+)
* Pathos Communications Rated New Buy at Cavendish; PT 42 pence (+)

>>> Call
* ASML Price Target Raised 40% at Morgan Stanley on Capex Growth (+)
* CTP, Merlin Among Oddo BHF Real Estate Picks, 10 Rating Changes
* HP Cut to Sell at CFRA on Memory Costs and ‘Anemic’ Growth
* LSEG Is Preferred Exchange at Jefferies Ahead of Earnings Season (++)
* Morgan Stanley Sees Overheating in China Stocks Sentiment
* NCAB Jumps as Pareto Upgrades to Buy on Strong Growth (++)
* Pearson Extends Fall on US Contract Loss; Barclays Cuts Target (++)
* RBC Upgrades Close Brothers Over Potential to Trim Costs Further (+)
* Sanofi Cut to Neutral From Buy at UBS on Pipeline Concern (1) (+)
* Stolt-Nielsen Gains as DNB Carnegie Sets New Street-High Target (++)
* Outokumpu Earnings Upgrades Unlikely Near-Term, Jefferies Cuts
* Vitec Gains as SEB Upgrades, Says Share Slide Excessive (1)

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of January 2026 V2(+)

>>> Up
* ASML PT Raised to 1,400 euros from 1,000 euros at Morgan Stanley
* Atlas Copco Raised to Buy at Nordea; PT 220 kronor (+)
* Biohit Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 3.70 euros
* Close Brothers Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 625 pence
* Garmin Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT $217
* Gym Group Raised to Outperform at RBC on Cheaper Memberships (+)
* Gym Group PLC Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 200 pence
* Exosens SAS PT Raised to 61 euros from 54 euros at Bernstein
* NCAB Group Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 59 kronor
* Polar Capital PT Raised to 750 pence at Panmure Liberum (+)
* Roche Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 365 Swiss francs
* Rocket Lab Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $105
* Tecan Raised to Market Perform at Bernstein; PT 156 Swiss francs (+)
* Valiant PT Raised to 530 Swiss francs at Bank Vontobel (+)
* Vitec Software Group Raised to Buy at SEB Equities
* Watches of Switzerland Raised to Buy at BofA (+)

>>> Down
* 3M Co Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $182
* Brunello Cucinelli Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Colonial SFL Socimi Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 6.40 euros
* Deutsche Beteiligungs Cut to Hold at Bankhaus Metzler (+)
* Eastman Chemical Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT $70
* EasyJet Cut to Hold at Goodbody; PT 525 pence (+)
* Heidelberg Materials Cut to Neutral at On Field; PT 235 euros (+)
* Hilton Grand Vacations Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* HP Inc. Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT $18
* INWIT PT Cut to 8 euros from 10.10 euros at Jefferies (+)
* Iridium Communications Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* J M Smucker Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $105
* Kloeckner Cut to Sell at M.M. Warburg; PT 11 euros (+)
* Kraft Heinz Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $24
* Logitech Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 78.65 Swiss francs
* Maersk Cut to Sell at Arctic Securities; PT 11,900 kroner
* Mandatum Cut to Sell at Nordea
* Marriott Vacations Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $52
* MGM Resorts Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $33
* Mowi Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 230 kroner
* NOBA Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 130 kronor
* Norma Cut to Hold at Bankhaus Metzler; PT 15 euros (+)
* Outokumpu Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 5 euros
* Petrobras ADRs Cut to Neutral at Banco BTG Pactual; PT $15
* Richemont Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)
* Sanofi Cut to Neutral at UBS (+)
* Savills Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 1,200 pence
* SBO AG Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 37.20 euros
* Vestas Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 180 kroner
* Volvo Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Zegna Group Cut to Neutral at BofA (+)

>>> Initiation
* ARM Holdings ADRs Reinstated Outperform at Haitong Intl (+)
* Cirsa Enterprises Rated New Outperform at BNP Paribas
* Helvetia Baloise Holding Reinstated Outperform at Mediobanca SpA
* InterContinental Hotels Rated New Outperform at CICC
* Intercos Rated New Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 15 euros
* Mildef Group Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 190 kronor
* Munich Re Rated New Buy at Kepler Cheuvreux; PT 600 euros (+)
* Pathos Communications Rated New Buy at Cavendish; PT 42 pence (+)

>>> Call
* ASML Price Target Raised 40% at Morgan Stanley on Capex Growth (+)
* CTP, Merlin Among Oddo BHF Real Estate Picks, 10 Rating Changes
* HP Cut to Sell at CFRA on Memory Costs and ‘Anemic’ Growth
* Morgan Stanley Sees Overheating in China Stocks Sentiment
* RBC Upgrades Close Brothers Over Potential to Trim Costs Further (+)
* Sanofi Cut to Neutral From Buy at UBS on Pipeline Concern (1) (+)
* Outokumpu Earnings Upgrades Unlikely Near-Term, Jefferies Cuts

>>> What to look at today - 16th of January 2026

Asia’s tech-led rally pushed equities to new highs after strong earnings from a chip bellwether eased worries about overheating in the artificial intelligence sector and encouraged investors to add bets. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 0.5% on Friday to a record and was set for a fourth weekly gain. A regional gauge of technology shares and South Korea’s benchmark index — a poster-child for the AI theme — also hit all-time highs as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. rose about 3% to its highest ever after blowout results. The optimism looks set to continue as futures for Nasdaq 100 Index rose 0.4%. Elsewhere, the yen gained 0.2% against the dollar after Japan’s finance minister said she’s concerned about the currency’s weakness. Oil held its biggest decline since June, while gold and silver edged lower. Stocks pushed higher as confidence in the durability of the tech rally, a key bull-market driver, strengthened following concerns over stretched valuations and heavy investment. Equities have rebounded from April lows as Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts and optimism around AI-supported earnings lifted sentiment. As Asian shares keep rising, a key relationship they have with currencies is flashing a signal for global funds to rethink their investment strategy in the region. The 30-day correlation between the MSCI Asia Pacific Index and the Bloomberg Asia Dollar Index — which typically move in lockstep — has dipped below zero for the first time since September 2024. In other corners of the market, Treasuries were little changed in Asia after falling in US trading when jobless claims unexpectedly dropped to the lowest since November.  The 10-year’s yield is headed for a fifth straight week of minimal change, rivaling its longest stretch of inertia in the past two decades. The trend — a function primarily of expected stability in US monetary policy — is stoking anxiety among bond-market investors because previous instances of constricted yield ranges have been followed by selloffs.  Traders will also be watching the rising tensions in the Middle East after Fox News reported that at least one US aircraft carrier is moving to the region. US military planners are preparing a range of options depending on the actions of the Iranian government in the next few days, Fox reported. Separately, the US and Taiwan agreed to a long-sought trade pact that would lower tariffs on goods from the self-governed island to 15% and see Taiwanese semiconductor companies increase financing for American operations by $500 billion. In Asia, focus is also on Japan, where central bank officials are closely watching the yen’s potential influence on inflation.  Most Bank of Japan watchers judge that Governor Kazuo Ueda and his colleagues have been slow in ratcheting up interest rates, and expect the next move still to be several months away in their base case scenarios. Traders are also parsing capital flows in and out of Japan Friday as the yen inches toward the 160-per-dollar mark.  Official intervention to strengthen the currency is a topic of discussion among market participants as the yen trades near a one-and-a-half-year low. The yen was a touch stronger at 158.40 against the dollar on Friday. US After Hours JBHT -3.9% lower on earnings; WS +3.2% higher on news it will acquire Kloeckner & Co; UMAC +0.4% ticks higher on drone components order.

Nikkei -0.27% Hang Seng -0.55% CSI -0.38% Shanghai -0.27% Shenzen -0.00%

Eur$ 1.1612 CNH 6.9651 CNY 6.9664 JPY 158.16 GBP 1.3390 CHF 0.8024 RUB 77.8082 TRY 43.2758 WTI$ 59.09 -0.20% Gold 4,598 -0.35% BTC 95,352 -0.30% ETH 3,296 -0.26%

S&P +0.29% Nasdaq +0.42% EuroStoxx -0.36% FTSE -0.11% Dax -0.38% SMI -0.04%

Macro :
- Switzerland Is Asking Itself: Is 10 Million People Too Many?
- Investor Michael Burry Says Payments Shares in ‘Too Hard’ Pile
- Balyasny Asia Revenue Jumps 82% to Record During Expansion Drive
- Morgan Stanley Sees Overheating in China Stocks Sentiment
- Japan, Italy to Agree on Space Development Cooperation: Nikkei
- Talent Acquisitions Can Face FTC Scrutiny Under Merger Laws
- Ex-Pimco Executive Scores Milestone With Catastrophe Bond ETF
- Tariff Could Be 100% if Taiwan Doesn’t Build in US, Lutnick Says
- Philly Fed’s Paulson Says Rate Cuts Can Wait, Shows Support for Powell - WSJ
- German Minister Says New EV Subsidies a Boost for Ailing Sector

Keep an eye on :
- ABVX FP : D. E. Shaw Boosts Short Position in Abivax to 1.42%
- AKRBP NO : Aker BP 4Q Avg Production Meets Estimates
- AA US : Citic Resources to Sell Stake in Alcoa for $247m, Resume Trading
- BA US : Boeing Reaches New Labor Deal With 1,600-Member Union in Wichita
- BWLPG NO : BW LPG Says BW Product Services Saw 4Q Gross Profit of ~$27m
- 1211 HK : BYD Shares Rally on Report of Battery Supply Talks With Ford
- CCL/B CN : Gimv Sells Majority Stake in Alt Technologies to CCL Industries
- CC US : Chemours to Sell Former Titanium Dioxide Site for $360m
- CVX US : Chevron Reaches Final Investment Decision on Leviathan Expansion
- ENI IM : Mozambique Says ENI Launches Hull for Coral Norte FLNG Project
- EXO NA : Ferrari New Pact Allows Piero Ferrari to Sell 5% Stake: Sole
- RACE IM : Ferrari New Pact Allows Piero Ferrari to Sell 5% Stake: Sole
- F US : Ford in Talks to Use BYD Batteries for Overseas Factories
- GIMB BB : Gimv Sells Majority Stake in Alt Technologies to CCL Industries
- GOOGL US : The BBC to Start Making Bespoke Shows for YouTube: FT
- HSBA LN : HSBC Starts Strategic Review of Insurance Business in Singapore
- IBE SM : Vineyard Wind Sues to Challenge Trump’s Halt of Project
- INRN SW : Interroll COO Demirel Exits, Engenhardt Joins As CTO
- KCO GY : Worthington Steel to Acquire Klöckner for €11/Share in Cash --> +25%
- KCO GY : Klöckner & Co Intends to Divest Becker Group
- Madison Air : Industrial Firm Madison Air Said to Seek $2 Billion-Plus in IPO
- ONCO SS : Oncopeptides Prelim 4Q Net Sales SEK18.6M
- 2330 TT : TSMC Shares Jump, Peers Rise After Strong Outlook: Street Wrap
- VOW GY : German Minister Says New EV Subsidies a Boost for Ailing Sector
- WMT US : Walmart International CEO Kathryn McLay to Step Down

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 16th of January 2026

>>> Up
* ASML PT Raised to 1,400 euros from 1,000 euros at Morgan Stanley
* Biohit Raised to Accumulate at Inderes; PT 3.70 euros
* Close Brothers Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 625 pence
* Garmin Raised to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT $217
* Gym Group PLC Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT 200 pence
* Exosens SAS PT Raised to 61 euros from 54 euros at Bernstein
* NCAB Group Raised to Buy at Pareto Securities; PT 59 kronor
* Roche Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 365 Swiss francs
* Rocket Lab Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $105
* Vitec Software Group Raised to Buy at SEB Equities

>>> Down
* 3M Co Cut to Neutral at JPMorgan; PT $182
* Colonial SFL Socimi Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 6.40 euros
* Eastman Chemical Cut to Sector Perform at RBC; PT $70
* Hilton Grand Vacations Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* HP Inc. Cut to Underweight at Barclays; PT $18
* Iridium Communications Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley
* J M Smucker Cut to Equal-Weight at Morgan Stanley; PT $105
* Kraft Heinz Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $24
* Logitech Cut to Equal-Weight at Barclays; PT 78.65 Swiss francs
* Maersk Cut to Sell at Arctic Securities; PT 11,900 kroner
* Mandatum Cut to Sell at Nordea
* Marriott Vacations Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $52
* MGM Resorts Cut to Underweight at Morgan Stanley; PT $33
* Mowi Cut to Hold at Pareto Securities; PT 230 kroner
* NOBA Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 130 kronor
* Outokumpu Cut to Hold at Jefferies; PT 5 euros
* Petrobras ADRs Cut to Neutral at Banco BTG Pactual; PT $15
* Savills Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 1,200 pence
* SBO AG Cut to Accumulate at Erste Group; PT 37.20 euros
* Vestas Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 180 kroner

>>> Initiation
* Cirsa Enterprises Rated New Outperform at BNP Paribas
* Helvetia Baloise Holding Reinstated Outperform at Mediobanca SpA
* InterContinental Hotels Rated New Outperform at CICC
* Intercos Rated New Outperform at Mediobanca SpA; PT 15 euros
* Mildef Group Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 190 kronor

>>> Call
* Assa Abloy Can Beat Organic Growth Goal, JPMorgan is Overweight
* CTP, Merlin Among Oddo BHF Real Estate Picks, 10 Rating Changes
* HP Cut to Sell at CFRA on Memory Costs and ‘Anemic’ Growth
* Morgan Stanley Sees Overheating in China Stocks Sentiment
* Outokumpu Earnings Upgrades Unlikely Near-Term, Jefferies Cuts

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Rolls-Royce (RRU TH) +2.1%
  • Fresnillo (FNL TH) +1.7%
  • Assa Abloy (ALZC TH) +1.6%
    • Assa Abloy Can Beat Organic Growth Goal, JPMorgan is Overweight
  • Swissquote (1SQ TH) +1.6%
    • Swissquote Prelim FY Pretax Profit About CHF420M, Est. CHF367.8M
  • Exor (EYX TH) +1.5%
    • Ferrari New Pact Allows Piero Ferrari to Sell 5% Stake: Sole
  • Alstom (AOMD TH) +1.3%
  • BNP Paribas (BNP TH) -1%
    • NOTE: BNP €2.1 Billion Markets Revenue, Cost Growth Key: 4Q Preview
  • Talanx (TLX TH) -1%
  • Bilfinger (GBF TH) -1%
  • Credit Agricole (XCA TH) -1.2%
  • Vestas (VWSB TH) -1.6%
    • Vestas Cut to Hold at ABG; PT 180 kroner

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

MDAX:
  • LEG Immobilien (LEG TH) -1.1%
    • LEG Immobilien Cut to Neutral at Oddo BHF; PT 69 euros
SDAX:
  • Kloeckner (KCO TH) +25%
    • Worthington Steel to Acquire Klöckner for €11/Share in Cash
  • Salzgitter (SZG TH) +1.3%
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) -1%
  • Deutz (DEZ TH) -1.2%
  • SUSS MicroTec (SMHN TH) -1.2%
  • Alzchem Group AG (ACT TH) -1.9%

NYT : A Crypto Revolt Against a Crypto Bill

A Crypto Revolt Against a Crypto Bill
Legislation to establish a regulatory framework for digital tokens has been thrown into turmoil — by one of its biggest champions.

Crypto setback
Bitcoin investors are accustomed to market volatility. But what about regulatory uncertainty?

In a surprise move, Senator Tim Scott, Republican of South Carolina and chair of the Senate Banking Committee, postponed a vote scheduled for Thursday on a draft bill that would establish a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies.

Among the opponents of the bill: Coinbase, the big and politically influential crypto exchange. “After reviewing the Senate Banking draft text over the last 48hrs, Coinbase unfortunately can’t support the bill as written,” Brian Armstrong, the company’s C.E.O., wrote on X, drawing both support and criticism.

A recap: The legislation, known as the Clarity Act, would determine regulatory authority over crypto between the S.E.C. to the less-aggressive Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Crypto executives, who have become major political donors, have pushed for significantly lighter oversight.

The measure once had bipartisan support. But Senate Democrats have pushed for ethics rules limiting U.S. officials from “issuing, endorsing or profiting” from crypto — an attempt to restrict the Trump family’s growing financial ties to the industry.

Then Armstrong raised his objections. The Coinbase C.E.O. argues that the current version would:

  • erode the C.F.T.C.’s authority, “making it subservient to the SEC”
  • give the government “unlimited access” to investors’ financial records
  • “draft amendments that would kill rewards on stablecoins”

The future of stablecoins, a fast-growing segment of digital finance, has become a major sticking point. Issuers of those tokens, including Circle, want a legal framework that will let them pay interest on those assets, as banks do with many deposit accounts, to attract more customers.

That would also be a big deal for Coinbase, which offers some customers who hold Circle’s USDC token the chance to earn 3.5 percent in “rewards.”

Banks have stepped up their lobbying efforts in recent days as well. They’ve pushed back on blessing stablecoin rewards programs, which Armstrong suggested was an effort by traditional lenders to “ban their competition.”

What’s next? Bitcoin was trading around $96,800 this morning, but it has declined from the two-month high it reached on Wednesday.

It’s unclear what the next steps are for the Clarity Act. But Senator Cynthia Lummis, Republican of Wyoming and an avowedly pro-crypto member of the banking committee, bemoaned the bill’s forestalling in a statement. She added that the recent “response from some in the industry proves they just are not ready” for legislation to help the sector.