>>> US Research Calls I

Research Calls I
  • Upgrades:
    • Booking Holdings (BKNG) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Gordon Haskett; tgt $5440
    • Fluence Energy (FLNC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies, tgt $24
    • Palantir Technologies (PLTR) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Daiwa, tgt $180
    • Shopify (SHOP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at MoffettNathanson, tgt $150
    • Sirius XM (SIRI) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan, tgt $24
    • Snap (SNAP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Arete, tgt $7.30
    • Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James, tgt $285
    • Thomson Reuters (TRI) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital, tgt $126
    • Vistra Energy (VST) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies, tgt $203
  • Downgrades:
    • E.ON (EONGY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg
    • Estée Lauder (EL) downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC, tgt $106
    • Kyndryl Holdings (KD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
    • Linde (LIN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank, tgt $460
    • monday.com (MNDY) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Robert W. Baird, tgt $90
    • monday.com (MNDY) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital, tgt $80
    • Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Truist, tgt $188
    • Under Armour (UAA) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citigroup, tgt $6.20
    • Wingstop (WING) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James, tgt $325
    • Wingstop (WING) downgraded to Hold from Buy at TD Cowen, tgt $285
    • ZoomInfo Technologies (GTM) downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Citizens, tgt $6
  • Others:
    • Microbot Medical (MBOT) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley, tgt $5
    • MillerKnoll (MLKN) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • Orion Marine Group (ORN) initiated with a Buy at Roth Capital, tgt $17
    • Qualcomm (QCOM) resumed with an Underweight at Morgan Stanley, tgt $132
    • Remitly Global (RELY) initiated with a Buy at BofA Securities; tgt $18
    • Somnigroup (SGI) initiated with an Equal Weight at Stephens, tgt $89
    • Tyra Biosciences (TYRA) initiated with an Outperform at William Blair
    • Waters (WAT) resumed with a Buy at Citigroup, tgt $425
    • Waters (WAT) resumed with an Overweight at Barclays; tgt $400

>>> Early premarket gappers

Early premarket gappers
  • Gapping up:
    • ICHR +18.3%, CRDO +17.3%, SPOT +13.9%, CCO +8.2%, PHG +7.1%, YMT +6.7%, UTL +5.9%, RLGT +5.4%, TII +4.6%, CMCO +4.5%, SSD +4.5%, ACM +4.2%, AMKR +3.8%, PSNL +3.4%, SLP +3%, RNG +2.8%, TSM +2.8%, CCSI +2.7%, LUXE +2.7%, CRBG +2.6%, DD +2.5%, HGTY +2%, PSN +2%, AZN +2%, KT +2%, ASX +1.8%, CE +1.7%, AXTA +1.5%, TAK +1.4%, UDR +1.4%, HMC +1.4%, EVTL +1.2%, GSK +1%
  • Gapping down:
    • UPWK -25.3%, RGNX -12.6%, AMTM -11.3%, GTM -10.7%, GT -7.8%, ASB -7.6%, DC -7%, PAL -6.4%, WCC -6.2%, MEDP -4.8%, ON -4.7%, BP -4.1%, VNO -3.8%, LTM -2.9%, MTW -2.5%, CPA -1.9%, BCS -1.8%, NISN -1.7%, ELVR -1.6%, GBCI -1.2%

WSJ : Hermès Revealed as Buyer of Record $400 Million Beverly Hills Property

Hermès Revealed as Buyer of Record $400 Million Beverly Hills Property
Rodeo Drive site is about twice the size of Hermès’s current location a few doors down

  • Hermès snapped up two Rodeo Drive properties for a record $400 million, making it the largest retail real-estate acquisition in Beverly Hills.
  • The newly acquired 25,000 square-foot location currently houses Tom Ford, Moncler and Balenciaga, whose leases still have years remaining.
  • Luxury retailers are buying prime real estate globally, driving up Beverly Hills asking rents by nearly 50% since 2019 due to limited inventory.

Hermès is the mystery buyer behind the largest-ever retail real-estate acquisition in Beverly Hills, ending months of speculation over who now owns two adjoining properties on the city’s famed Rodeo Drive.

The French luxury-goods company shelled out a record $400 million for control of the buildings last summer. While the sale and the price were reported at the time, the identity of the buyer was never disclosed.

But people familiar with the matter said that Hermès acquired the storefronts currently occupied by Tom Ford, Moncler and Balenciaga.

It isn’t clear what Hermès plans to do with its purchase. It now controls the properties after buying an affiliate owned by the seller, Ireland-based ECA Capital Ltd. The roughly 25,000 square-foot location is at 338 North Rodeo Dr.

If Hermès decides to open a store at the property, it might have to wait a while. The current tenants’ leases still have years to run. But if it does so, it would have a store about twice the size of its current location a few doors down.

The purchase is the most expensive retail real-estate acquisition in Beverly Hills since at least the early 2000s, according to data tracked by real-estate firm CBRE that excludes land purchases.

Luxury retailers, flush with cash and eager to control their own real estate, have been snapping up prestigious addresses in major cities across the globe.

The parent companies of fashion houses including Gucci and Cartier have spent hundreds of millions of dollars buying their brands’ storefronts on streets including Fifth Avenue in New York, Avenue Montaigne in Paris and London’s New Bond Street.

Luxury giant LVMH has spent billions over several decades assembling an extensive portfolio worldwide. The owner of Louis Vuitton and Dior now controls a chunk of Rodeo Drive.

Hermès owns its store’s current location on Rodeo Drive, which it bought about 15 years ago. The luxury retailer rents many of its stores’ other locations, including its New York City flagship on Madison Avenue.

Many other retailers have been shrinking their U.S. footprints, looking to save on rent and because e-commerce has prompted some to display and stock smaller inventories in-store while selling other items online.

But luxury retailers have ample cash on their balance sheets to spend on real estate, even though luxury sales slowed in recent years. Many have expanded the sizes of their flagships.

“What you see now on Rodeo Drive is not only a commitment by the luxury brands that are able to buy their real estate, but you’re seeing the buildings get much bigger,” said Jay Luchs, a vice chairman at Newmark who brokered the 338 North Rodeo Dr. transaction.

A smaller percentage of luxury goods are sold online than other types of retail, prompting fashion houses to seek more space to showcase their handbags and watches. Many retailers are also adding restaurants, bars and cafes to their stores as they compete for customers.

Competition for retail real estate in Beverly Hills has heated up since the pandemic, in part because luxury giants have been purchasing properties and leaving less space available for everyone else. Asking rent prices have grown nearly 50% since 2019, according to CBRE, with one property leasing for a record-high annual rent of $1,380 a square foot at the end of last year.

Cain International, a London-based asset manager and developer, is trying to tap in to that demand with a 17.5-acre project under construction near Rodeo Drive. Known as One Beverly Hills, the $10 billion project is one of the most expensive under way in the U.S.

Outerwear retailer Canada Goose and jeweler Graff are among the tenants to have recently signed new deals in Beverly Hills. There is only one vacant storefront currently available for long-term lease on Rodeo Drive, said CBRE senior vice president Houman Mahboubi.

The squeeze for space is getting so intense that retailers whose leases aren’t expiring until 2029 or 2030 have already started negotiating renewals with their landlords, he said. These discussions typically happen six months to a year in advance.

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of February 2026 V2(+)

>>> Up
* Aixtron Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 27 euros
* Arkema Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 71 euros
* Aspo Raised to Buy at Evli Bank; PT 8.50 euros (+)
* Evonik Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 18 euros
* Huddled Group Issued 40.3M Shares at 1.75p Each Via Subscription
* Lanxess Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 23 euros
* Nykode Therapeutics Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 4.50 kroner
* Palantir Raised to Buy at Daiwa; PT $180
* Sobi Raised to Outperform at BNP Paribas; PT 475 kronor
* Sobi ADRs Raised to Outperform at BNP Paribas; PT $27
* Symrise Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 83 euros
* Thomson Reuters Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT C$170.82
* UniCredit Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 95.50 euros

>>> Down
* 1&1 Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 27.60 euros
* AB InBev Cut to Hold at ING; PT 66.20 euros
* Biotalys Cut to Accumulate at KBC Securities; PT 5.10 euros (+)
* Coloplast Cut to Hold at Equita; PT 500 kroner (+)
* Clariant Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 8 Swiss francs
* E.On Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT 18.10 euros (+)
* E.On ADRs Cut to Hold at Berenberg; PT $21.40 (+)
* Estee Lauder Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT $106
* Faron Pharma Cut to Reduce at Inderes
* Givaudan Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 2,900 Swiss francs
* Ilkka Oyj Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 4 euros
* IONOS Group SE Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 28 euros
* Jungfraubahn Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 320 Swiss francs
* Merck KGaA: Downgrade to Hold at Deutsche Bank
* Nordex Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 37 euros
* S&U Cut to Add at Peel Hunt; PT 2,460 pence (+)
* Safestore Cut to Reduce at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Shurgard Cut to Hold at Kepler Cheuvreux (+)
* Umicore Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 21 euros

>>> Initiation
* ACS: Structural growth at peak multiples - Initiate with HOLD at Deutsche Bank, PT 86.70
* AUTO1 Rated New Sell at Dr. Kalliwoda Equity Research
* Byggmastare Anders Rated New Accumulate at Inderes; PT 66 kronor (+)
* Cicor Tech Rated New Buy at Berenberg; PT 180 Swiss francs (+)
* Drax Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT 947 pence
* Eco Animal Health Rated New Buy at Cavendish; PT 150 pence (+)
* Mitchells & Butlers Assumed Buy at Deutsche Bank; PT 325 pence (+)
* Technip Energies Reinstated Neutral at UBS; PT 35 euros
* Titania Holding Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 15 kronor

>>> Call
* Bechtle Shares Extend Drop as DZ Bank Lowers PT on 2026 Outlook
* Nordex Cut to Neutral From Buy at Citi as ‘Bar High After Rally’ (+)
* Thule Stock Should Rise as Beat Looks Supportive, Says Jefferies(+)
* UniCredit Upgraded at Morgan Stanley Amid Target Increases (+)

>>> NSURIFY / AI DISRUPTION — WHO'S NEXT?

INSURIFY / AI DISRUPTION — WHO'S NEXT?

Insurance brokers got hammered Monday (S&P 500 Insurance -3.9%, WTW -12%, AJG -9.9%, AON -9.3%) after Insurify launched an AI-powered ChatGPT insurance comparison app. This follows the SaaS massacre (IGV -30% from highs, Salesforce -26% YTD, ServiceNow -28% YTD, RELX -17% in one week).

The pattern is clear: AI is collapsing information asymmetry and disintermediating high-margin middlemen. The question is who's next.

NEXT SECTORS AT RISK — NAMES TO WATCH:

1/ RECRUITMENT & STAFFING — AI screening, matching, CV parsing
• Robert Half (RHI) — already under pressure, SELL-rated
• Hays (HAS LN)
• PageGroup (PAGE LN)
• Robert Walters (RWA LN)
• Randstad (RAND NA)
• Adecco (ADEN SW)
• ManpowerGroup (MAN)

2/ LEGAL SERVICES & INFO — Claude Cowork already hitting this
• LegalZoom (LZ) — down 20% in recent rout
• Thomson Reuters (TRI) — down 16%
• RELX (REL LN) — down 17% in worst week since 2020
• CS Disco (LAW)
• Wolters Kluwer (WKL NA)

3/ TAX & ACCOUNTING SOFTWARE — AI can do tax prep
• Intuit (INTU) — already -34% YTD
• H&R Block (HRB)
• Sage Group (SGE LN)

4/ COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE BROKERAGE
• CBRE Group (CBRE)
• Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL)
• Savills (SVS LN)
• Cushman & Wakefield (CWK)

5/ MARKET RESEARCH & DATA — commoditized analysis
• Gartner (IT)
• Forrester (FORR)
• IHS Markit/S&P Global (SPGI) — data business exposed
• Dun & Bradstreet (DNB)

6/ FINANCIAL INTERMEDIARIES — comparison & broking
• Mortgage brokers, wealth platforms
• Watch: LPL Financial (LPLA), Raymond James (RJF)

THE FRAMEWORK:
Short = high-margin intermediaries with undifferentiated offerings, sitting on information asymmetry, doing pattern-matching work
Long = complex/relationship-heavy players where AI is a tool not a replacement (cybersecurity, bespoke advisory, illiquid markets)

Goldman's research team draws the parallel to newspapers — share prices didn't stabilize until earnings estimates bottomed. We may be early innings.

>>> What to look at today - 10th of February 2026

Asian stocks extended their rally to a fresh record as a rebound in US technology shares gathered pace, easing pressure on markets after worries over outsized spending on artificial intelligence. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 1.1%, with tech shares such as SoftBank Group Corp. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Ltd. among the gainers. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index extended its election-fueled rally, advancing 2.5% to an all-time high. The rally faces an early test, with US and European equity-index futures edging lower after the S&P 500 closed near a record on Monday. Elsewhere, the yuan surged to its strongest level since May 2023 after China was said to have asked banks to limit their holdings of US Treasuries. The dollar extended its losses to a third day. Gold fell after two days of gains, as investors took profits in a choppy market that’s still trying to find a floor following a historic rout. The gains in equities signaled easing concerns around the AI trade that came to a head in the past two weeks, lashing software companies and casting a pall over high-spending tech companies. While that plays out, traders are now bracing for key US economic data that may shape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate path. If the upcoming US economic data is supportive, even without imminent rate cuts, Asian equities are well positioned to extend gains, Horchani said. Investor focus has increasingly turned to the scale of corporate spending on artificial intelligence. Alphabet Inc. is the latest case, with plans to raise $20 billion through a US dollar bond offering. As other companies known as hyperscalers boost spending too, capital expenditures for the four biggest US tech companies are forecast to reach about $650 billion in 2026, driving a financing boom and a potentially disruptive technology that could completely reshape the global economy. Amid the upbeat mood, MSCI’s gauge for Asian technology shares was poised for a record close on Tuesday. In China, the currency’s strength came as any shift away from US sovereign debt reinforces a broader global trend of diversification away from the dollar. Such a move might accelerate the repatriation of capital into Chinese assets, providing a fundamental tailwind for the yuan. Elsewhere, the yen fluctuated on Tuesday, still trading around 156 following Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s historic election triumph during the weekend. Bitcoin slid below $70,000. The focus this week is on a packed run of US economic data, including the two most consequential readings: employment and inflation. The jobs report — due Wednesday — is expected to show payrolls rose 68,000 in January. The unemployment rate is seen steady at 4.4%. The data will also include historical revisions that are anticipated to show a sizable downward adjustment to payrolls in the year through March 2025.  In Friday’s consumer price index, economists will look for more evidence that inflation is on a downward trend. Before that, figures on Tuesday are projected to show solid retail sales.  Those releases could shape expectations for the Fed’s next move on interest rates. Traders are broadly expecting policymakers to leave rates on hold when they meet next month as they did in January when they voted to keep them at 3.5% to 3.75%. Treasury yields fell on Monday after National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said lower US jobs numbers can be expected in the months ahead as population growth slows. US After Hours ICHR +18.1%, CRDO +15.5%, RLGT +9.5%, CMCO +5% higher on earnings/guidance; UPWK -23.5%, PAL -16.6%, AMTM -11.7%, GT -10.8% lower on earnings.

Nikkei +2.28% Hang Seng +0.37% CSI +0.09% Shanghai +0.11% Shenzen +0.08%

Eur$ 1.1907 CNH 6.9081 CNY 6.9113 JPY 155.29 GBP 1.3682 CHF 0.7670 RUB 77.1750 TRY 43.6085 WTI$ 64.22 -0.22% Gold 5,026 -0.63% BTC 69,710 -0.92% ETH 2,068 -2.49%

S&P -0.11% Nasdaq -0.22% EuroStoxx -0.13% FTSE +0.02% Dax -0.10% SMI -0.10%

Macro :
- EU approves €3bn German cleantech aid scheme
- Goldman Expects Wave of South Africa Deals Fueled by Commodities
- Trump’s EPA to Scrap Landmark Emissions Policy in Major Rollback
- Pentagon Warns Major Defense Contractors It Is Reviewing Their Performance -- WSJ
- Quant Manager Qube Grows China Fund 10-Fold to Above $2 Billion

Keep an eye on :
- BABA US : Alibaba Pushes Into Robotics AI With Open-Source ‘RynnBrain’
- AMZN US : Amazon Discusses AI Content Marketplace With Publishers - The Information
- AMS SW : AMS-Osram 1Q Revenue Forecast Misses Estimates
- AAL LN : De Beers likely to be sold to consortium, Anglo chief says - Full Article here
- Anthropic IPO : Anthropic CEO Meeting Senate Banking GOP on Tuesday: Punchbowl
- AML LN : Aston Martin F1 Team Owner Plays Down Hype Before New Season
- AZN LN : AstraZeneca 4Q Core EPS Misses Estimates
- ATEA NO : Atea 4Q Ebitda Misses Estimates
- BARCLN : Barclays 4Q Investment Bank Revenue Beats Estimates
- BAR BB : Barco FY Ebitda Margin Matches Estimates
- BAS GY : EU must reform ‘obsolete’ emissions trading system, warns BASF boss
- BP/ LN : BP 4Q Adjusted Ebit Meets Estimates
- CARLB DC : Carlsberg CFO Sells Shares for DKK1.89 Million
- CO FP : Casino Group to Not Appeal Criminal Sentence
- COHR US : Bain Capital Said to Seek $2.3 Billion in Coherent Block Trade, $237.50-$240 EACH
- CCO US : Mubadala, TWG to Buy Clear Channel at $6.2b Enterprise Value
- CTD AU : Hedge funds finally cash in on their bets against Corporate Travel
- CRDO US : Credo Technology Prelim 3Q Revenue Beats Estimates
- DNLM LN : Dunelm 1H Pretax Profit Meets Estimates
- DWS GY : DWS Taps Deutsche Bank’s Resovac for European Credit Origination
- EOAN GY : Germany Mulls Ending Renewables’ Priority to Target Grid Backlog
- FARN LN : Faron Pharmaceuticals to Raise EUR40 Million via Rights Offering
- YFID SM : Brookfield in Talks to Buy Real Estate Player Fidere: Expansion
- GILD US : Gilead’s New HIV Prevention Drug a Focus for 2026: Preview
- GOOGL US : Alphabet lines up 100-year sterling bond sale - FT
- GUBRA DC : Gubra Starts Venture Division With Zoe Johnson as Unit Head
- IFX GY : Infineon Joins AI Funding Push With Rare Euro Debt Deal
- INW IM : takeover rumor - Betaville
- KER FP : Kering 4Q Gucci Revenue on a Comparable Basis Beats Estimates
- MC FP : LVMH Names New Beauty Boss, Appoints Founder's Son to Executive Committee - WWD full article
- 7261 JP : Mazda Cuts FY Net Sales Forecast, Misses Estimates
- MB IM : Mediobanca 2Q Revenue Meets Estimates
- META US : Instagram is internally testing a new Snapchat rival app
- ML FP : Goodyear 4Q Adjusted EPS Misses Estimates --> -11% in after hours
- MUSTI FH : Musti Group 4Q Net Sales EU140.0M
- NKE US : Nike Braces Converse Staff for Cuts as Sales Head to 15-Year Low
- NOVOB DC : Novo Says It’s Suing Hims to Halt Obesity Drug Copycats
- Odido IPO : Odido Postpones Amsterdam IPO on Investor Reaction, Reuters Says
- ON US : ON Semi Falls as Outlook Delays Hopes For Recovery
- PLTR US : Michael Burry Says Working on Something Regarding Palantir
- PHIA NA : Philips Sees 2026 Adj Ebita Margin 12.5% to 13%, Est. 12.4% (1)
- PHIA NA : Philips Proposes to Re-Appoint Roy Jakobs as CEO
- RECSI NO : REC Silicon to Propose Fully Underwritten NOK973m Rights Issue
- RGNX US : FDA Denies Regenxbio Gene Therapy in Latest Rare Disease Setback
- SALM NO : Salmar 4Q Operating Revenue Misses Estimates
- SIE GY : Siemens CEO: “We are creating the industrial counterpart to ChatGPT” - Manager Magazin
- ENR GY : Germany Stops Siemens Energy Export to Rosatom’s Hungary Project
- STAN LN : StanChart CFO De Giorgi Unexpectedly Resigns to Join Apollo (2)
- SVS LN : CPPIB, Lendlease In talks to Sell London Units to Greystar: FT
- TLX GY : Talanx Prelim 2025 Net Rises 25% to EU2.48b; Confirms 2026 View
- TMV GY : TeamViewer Sees 2026 Adjusted Ebitda Margin About 43%
- TSLA US : Tesla IT Executive Leaves Months After Being Named to Sales Role
- THuLE SS : Thule 4Q Ebit Beats Estimates
- TUI1 GY : TUI 1Q Underlying Ebit Meets Estimates
- UBSG Sw : UBS CEO Ermotti Warns Geopolitical Issues May Hurt Deal Activity
- UPS US : Teamsters Union Sues UPS to Block Buyout Plan for Drivers
- VAR NO : Var Energi Reports 4Q Total Income of $2.24 Billion, Var Energi Sees 2026 Production 390,000 to 410,000 BOE/D
- WHA NA : Wereldhave 2026 EPS Forecast Beats Estimates
- WIHL SS : Wihlborgs FY Rental Income Meets Estimates

>>> Europe : Brokers Upgrades & Downgrades - 10th of February 2026

>>> Up
* Aixtron Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 27 euros
* Arkema Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 71 euros
* Evonik Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 18 euros
* Lanxess Raised to Neutral at Goldman; PT 23 euros
* Nykode Therapeutics Raised to Buy at ABG; PT 4.50 kroner
* Palantir Raised to Buy at Daiwa; PT $180
* Sobi Raised to Outperform at BNP Paribas; PT 475 kronor
* Sobi ADRs Raised to Outperform at BNP Paribas; PT $27
* Symrise Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 83 euros
* Thomson Reuters Raised to Outperform at RBC; PT C$170.82
* UniCredit Raised to Overweight at Morgan Stanley; PT 95.50 euros

>>> Down
* 1&1 Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 27.60 euros
* AB InBev Cut to Hold at ING; PT 66.20 euros
* Clariant Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 8 Swiss francs
* Estee Lauder Cut to Hold at HSBC; PT $106
* Faron Pharma Cut to Reduce at Inderes
* Givaudan Cut to Sell at Goldman; PT 2,900 Swiss francs
* Ilkka Oyj Cut to Reduce at Inderes; PT 4 euros
* IONOS Group SE Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 28 euros
* Jungfraubahn Cut to Add at Baader Helvea; PT 320 Swiss francs
* Merck KGaA: Downgrade to Hold at Deutsche Bank
* Nordex Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 37 euros
* Umicore Cut to Neutral at Goldman; PT 21 euros

>>> Initiation
* ACS: Structural growth at peak multiples - Initiate with HOLD at Deutsche Bank, PT 86.70
* AUTO1 Rated New Sell at Dr. Kalliwoda Equity Research
* Drax Rated New Neutral at Goldman; PT 947 pence
* Technip Energies Reinstated Neutral at UBS; PT 35 euros
* Titania Holding Rated New Buy at Arctic Securities; PT 15 kronor

>>> Call
* Bechtle Shares Extend Drop as DZ Bank Lowers PT on 2026 Outlook

>>> Stoxx 600 Pre-Market Indications

  • Philips (PHI1 TH) +5.1%
    • Philips CEO Says Strong Demand Tempers Tariffs; Sets New Goals
  • Evonik (EVK TH) +3.7%
    • Evonik Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 18 euros
  • Symrise (SY1 TH) +2.6%
    • Symrise Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 83 euros
  • Pandora (3P7 TH) +1.6%
  • Fresnillo (FNL TH) +1.1%
  • EDP Renovaveis (EDW TH) -1.1%
  • E.On (EOAN TH) -1.1%
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -2.6%
    • TUI 1Q Underlying Ebit Meets Estimates
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) -3.7%
    • Nordex Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 37 euros
  • Standard Chartered (STD TH) -3.7%
    • StanChart CFO De Giorgi Unexpectedly Resigns to Join Apollo (2)

>>> HYPERSCALERS BECOME UTILITIES: THE $140B POWER M&A WAVE

HYPERSCALERS BECOME UTILITIES: THE $140B POWER M&A WAVE
US power & utilities M&A: $28B (2024) → $141.9B (2025). A 5x jump in one year. Almost entirely driven by data centre demand. This is not slowing down.

THE EVOLUTION:
Phase 1 — PPAs (2023-24): Long-term contracts. MSFT-Constellation 20yr/$16B to restart Three Mile Island. AMZN-Talen 1.9GW through 2042.
Phase 2 — Acquisitions (2025): Google acquires Intersect Power for $4.75B (Dec ’25). Multiple GW of generation + data centre development. First hyperscaler to OWN power generation. PwC: “I do think you’ll start to see more of that in 2026.”
Phase 3 — Nuclear (2025-26): META signs 6.6GW nuclear deals (Vistra, TerraPower, Oklo, Constellation) — one of the largest corporate nuclear buyers in US history. AMZN invests $20B+ in Susquehanna nuclear campus + backs X-energy for 5GW SMRs. GOOGL backs Kairos Power for 500MW SMRs.
Phase 4 — Full integration (2026+): Hyperscalers stop buying power. They become power companies. Power is the binding constraint — you can buy all the Nvidia GPUs you want, but if you can’t plug them in, they’re paperweights.

THE NUMBERS:
• US data centre electricity demand: 19GW (2023) → 35GW (2030E). +84%.
• PJM capacity auction: $29/MW-day → $333/MW-day in two years. Almost all data centre load.
• Constellation acquires Calpine for $29B. NRG buys LS Power for $12.5B. All data centre thesis.
• Big Tech contracted 10GW+ new US nuclear capacity in the past year alone.

THIS REINFORCES OUR INFRASTRUCTURE THESIS: The hyperscalers are becoming utilities. They’re acquiring power generation, signing 20-year nuclear PPAs, and integrating backward into energy. The infra layer around them — Constellation, Vistra, Talen, NextEra, plus the equipment suppliers (Vertiv, Eaton, Siemens Energy) and data centre REITs (EQIX, DLR) — benefits from both the CapEx wave AND the energy M&A wave. Two tailwinds, not one.

>>> TradeGate Pre-Market Indications

DAX:
  • Symrise (SY1 TH) +2.6%
  • E.On (EOAN TH) -1.2%
MDAX:
  • Aixtron (AIXA TH) +3.1%
    • Aixtron Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT 27 euros
  • Evonik (EVK TH) +3%
    • Evonik Raised to Buy at Goldman; PT 18 euros
  • RENK Group (R3NK TH) +1.2%
  • IONOS Group SE (IOS TH) -2.1%
    • IONOS Group SE Cut to Neutral at UBS; PT 28 euros
  • TUI (TUI1 TH) -2.1%
    • TUI 1Q Underlying Ebit Meets Estimates
  • Nordex (NDX1 TH) -2.9%
    • Nordex Cut to Neutral at Citi; PT 37 euros
  • TeamViewer (TMV TH) -7.4%
    • TeamViewer Sees 2026 Adjusted Ebitda Margin About 43%
SDAX:
  • Heidelberger Druck (HDD TH) +1.3%
  • Hamborner REIT (HABA TH) +1.2%