FT : Chinese leaders zero in on need for stimulus for economy Policymakers expec

Chinese leaders zero in on need for stimulus for economy
Policymakers expected to prioritise spurring high-tech rather than ‘big bang’ for consumption, analysts say

China’s top leaders are expected to decide on additional stimulus measures for the world’s second-largest economy this month after a sharp slowdown in second-quarter GDP.

The leaders are expected to focus on speeding up bond issuance at their next Politburo meeting to enable greater infrastructure spending in an economy in which exports are performing strongly but domestic demand is weak.

“Even a few months ago, my sense was that it was a pretty perilous time for the economy and with the additional loss of momentum, I think the time for action is certainly on their doorstep,” said Eswar Prasad, professor at Cornell University. “So we have to see what comes out of the Politburo meeting.”

China’s 2026 growth target of 4.5–5 per cent was already the lowest in decades and growth in the second quarter was even lower, official data showed this week, at 4.3 per cent.

While official media emphasised that first-half growth was 4.7 per cent, within the target range, the deterioration raises questions over the potential need for Beijing to act.

“For policymakers, the worry is that if the deceleration continues, then your target for the full year is at risk,” said Hui Shan, chief China economist at Goldman Sachs.


Official quarterly and monthly data underlined China’s “K-shaped” growth. Weak household confidence is undermining domestic demand, leading to greater pressure on government infrastructure spending and soaring exports — especially of chips and electronics hardware related to the AI boom — to drive growth.

Exports rose 27 per cent year on year in June. However, retail sales rose only 1 per cent and China’s long property slump has shown signs of deepening, with investment in the sector collapsing 18 per cent in the first half of the year.

“To stabilise consumption, you probably need to see the housing market stabilise,” said Adam Wolfe, emerging market economist at Absolute Strategy. While there were signs of this in China’s biggest cities, “in smaller cities, it’s going to take a long time”, he said.

“The equilibrium price is probably still well below where we are,” he added.


Senior Chinese policymakers have underlined the need to build up domestic demand and for consumption to drive more economic activity.

At a roundtable with business leaders and experts last Monday, China’s Premier Li Qiang called for increased “countercyclical adjustments”, a reference to economic stimulus. He also mentioned “stabilising” employment four times. 

This week the State Council, China’s cabinet which Li heads, approved its latest “five-year plan” for consumption, calling to sell more white goods and cars coupled with pledges to boost income and social security support.

In recent years, Beijing has used schemes such as trade-in programmes to let consumers upgrade household goods and vehicles at subsidised rates. But these have mainly frontloaded demand, leading to weaker retail figures this year, analysts said.

The new five-year plan implies a 3.7 per cent annualised increase in household consumption. The measures were “medium-term in nature” and skewed more to the supply side rather than lifting demand, Goldman Sachs said in a report.

Beijing still has options this year to steer the economy through the soft patch, analysts said.

Total government bond issuance at the end of June was 43 per cent of the Rmb11.9tn targeted for the full year, allowing room to accelerate in the third quarter. 

In addition, the government could tap another Rmb1.8tn of previously approved but unused bond issuance quota. Beijing this year also created a Rmb800bn “policy-based financial instrument” of state-bank credit that could be deployed for fiscal support. 

Goldman’s Hui said while these measures should be enough to nudge quarterly GDP growth back into the target range, further support was possible, such as special sovereign bonds that Beijing has issued in recent years.  

“If you get a negative shock such as from the trade war, or if the Iran war really escalates, or there is something that we don’t even see yet on the horizon . . . there’s no limit to how much they can do,” Hui said.

Analysts cautioned against expecting “big bang” support for consumption. Instead, policymakers have prioritised investment in advanced technology where China is competing with the US for global pre-eminence.

“We expect state resources to be allocated more towards frontier technologies — Al, semiconductors, quantum computing, and advanced manufacturing — rather than household wallets,” Morgan Stanley economists wrote in a report.

Cornell’s Prasad said concentration on technology and exports would “create a little bit of space” but would be of little help to deteriorating household income growth and employment prospects, especially among lower-income groups.

The “finely calibrated” headline growth figure for the second quarter sent “a message of some concern but not panic”, he added. “There is this set of indicators that in tandem with decent-looking GDP growth is probably giving them some sense of false comfort.”

(ZeroHedge) "Start Spreadin' The News": New York Losing Billions As Millionaires

"Start Spreadin' The News": New York Losing Billions As Millionaires Flee Big AppleAuthored by Jonathan Turley,

Below is my column in the New York Post on the sharp decline in millionaires in New York, costing the state billions as many flee. The exodus has been building for years but may now be accelerating. As Mayor Mamdani holds another press conference promising to end the “violence of evictions,” businesses are reading the writing on the wall. Rather than work to make the state more attractive to wealthy residents and businesses, Democrats are seeking to diminish the appeal of two-tax states. They want to tap into a long-barred area of taxation: the wealth rather than just the income of citizens. By passing a national wealth tax, Democrats will reduce the benefit of fleeing high-tax states like California and New York.
“Start spreadin’ the news, I’m leavin’ today” — that’s how the famous song “New York, New York” captures the Big Apple’s draw.
Today, the line is becoming more ironic than iconic: Many people are indeed leaving … from New York, New York.
Worse yet, those “vagabond shoes” that “are longing to stray” are on the feet of the wealthiest New Yorkers.
And as they flee, according to a new study, they’re taking away billions in badly needed tax revenue.
As Mayor Zohran Mamdani and others pledge massive social programs and free services by taxing the wealthy, the wealthy are just melting away.
The reason is simple: if “you can make it there, you can make it anywhere.”
In today’s economy, it’s no longer necessary or even particularly beneficial to be in New York to make money in financial and other areas.
When any business meeting is a screen and a click away, you can go to a low-tax state like Florida or Texas and do as well as you can in the Big Apple.
Not surprisingly, many are choosing the money over the mystique and the madness.
This week the Citizens Budget Commission reported that New York’s share of millionaires fell from 12.7% in 2010 to 8.7% in 2022 — the largest drop of any state.
The exodus of wealthy citizens left New York short $10.7 billion in tax revenue.
By denouncing the remaining wealthy as effectively freeloaders who are “not paying their fair share,” Mamdani is only spurring them on.
It’s a demonstrably false claim that I discuss in my book Rage and the Republic — and part of a growing class-warfare theme the left is deliberately using to fuel political rage.
Yet it’s easy to form a mob — and far more difficult to control it.
That is particularly the case when your economic policies destroy your economy, and your ability to pay for all the free services that you’ve promised.
There’s a good-faith debate to be had over optimal tax levels, but the fact is that the top 10% of Americans pay more in taxes than the other 90% of the country. The top 1% pays roughly 40% of federal taxes.
As rational actors flee the state, Mamdani and New York Democrats are forced to cull the shrinking herd of high-end taxpayers who remain, layering on special fees like a pied-à-terre tax to be imposed on NYC’s luxury property owners.
And rather than change course to make New York a more attractive place to do business and live, national Democrats are moving to make other states no better — by nationalizing wealth taxes and by taxing fleeing citizens as if they still lived in the state.
Many are following Sen. Bernie Sanders’ and Rep. Ro Khanna’s call to impose a federal wealth tax they’ve dubbed the Billionaire Tax.
The idea is to stem the exodus from California and New York by giving the highest earners no place to go . . . except out of the country.
That’s the option many took when similar wealth taxes were attempted in countries like France, only to be rescinded after doing massive economic damage.
Fleecing the wealthy is a revenue loser.
New York is losing billions, and California has reportedly lost trillions due to top taxpayers’ departure.
Unwilling to adopt greater fiscal restraints and truly compete for businesses and residents, Democrats are looking for pockets of new areas to tax.
The wealth tax is a virtual bonanza of untapped revenue — if it can make it through the courts.
Our Constitution was amended in 1913 to allow for an income tax, not a wealth tax.
Once you pay taxes on what you earn, you’re supposed to be able to use your hard-earned money to buy whatever you wish, from bikes to boats.
Democrats now want to tax those possessions: “your Rembrandts, your stock portfolio, your diamonds and your yachts,” as Sen. Elizabeth Warren once dramatically warned.
And Khanna recently confirmed what some of us have been saying for years: The Billionaire Tax isn’t only for billionaires.
“The tax should not stop at billionaires,” he said in a pitch to his party’s rising socialist movement; “it must reach centimillionaires. The tax has to reach all fortunes $50 million and up.”
Khanna and others hope that, once taken nationally, a wealth tax would destroy the benefit of moving to low-tax states — and open up literally trillions in new potential revenue.
In the meantime, New York will continue to burn billions as it taps its dwindling number of millionaires.
As their wealthy neighbors depart, those remaining will have to make up for their loss.
Being among the last to leave New York will be a costly distinction.
They will indeed “wake up” — and find that they’re “king of the hill, top of the list” for wealth redistribution.
Jonathan Turley is a law professor and the New York Times bestselling author of “Rage and the Republic: The Unfinished Story of the American Revolution.”

(ZeroHedge) Iran's Reliance On China's Beidou Satellite System Is A Game-Changer

Iran's Reliance On China's Beidou Satellite System Is A Game-Changer In War With US

During the 12-day war in June 2025, Iranian missiles and drones struggled against sophisticated Israeli and American electronic warfare. GPS jamming and spoofing repeatedly disrupted their guidance systems, limiting their effectiveness during the intense 12-day conflict. Fast-forward to early 2026, and the battlefield dynamics had shifted dramatically. Iran’s precision strikes began threading through advanced air defenses, hitting high-value targets across the Gulf with surprising accuracy.
Intelligence analysts pointed to one key factor: Iran had ditched GPS for China’s Beidou satellite navigation system.
The US unwittingly provided the spark that ignited China’s quest for the Beidou. The story begins in 1993 when a single Chinese container ship, the Yinhe, sailing to Iran, the vessel was accused by the CIA of carrying chemicals for weapons production.
Middle Eastern ports, under pressure from the US, refused entry and the ship was stranded in the Indian Ocean. The US not only pressured allies but reportedly disabled the ship's GPS access, forcing it to drop anchor for weeks. Inspections in Saudi Arabia eventually cleared the vessel, but China received no apology or compensation.
This humiliation—losing navigation mid-ocean due to reliance on a foreign-controlled system—became a pivotal lesson for Beijing. It accelerated development of an independent satellite navigation network: Beidou(BDS) .
  • BDS-1 (2000s) provided initial regional coverage.
  • BDS-2 expanded capabilities.
  • BDS-3 (completed around 2020) transformed it into a global powerhouse with dozens of satellites, far more ground stations (especially in the Global South), and superior accuracy in many regions compared to GPS.
Today, Beidou outperforms GPS in coverage and precision across roughly 165 countries, offering a resilient alternative that cannot be unilaterally jammed or spoofed by Western powers.
After the 2025 conflict exposed vulnerabilities in GPS-dependent systems, Iran moved decisively. By late 2025 or early 2026, it integrated Beidou into its missile and drone arsenals. Reports from March 2026 already highlighted dramatic improvements: Iranian munitions evaded electronic countermeasures that had worked months earlier.
Key advantages of Beidou for Iran include:
  • Resistance to jamming/spoofing — Advanced frequency-hopping and anti-interference tech.
  • Higher accuracy — Circular error probable under 5 meters in key regions, enabling precise strikes with fewer munitions.
  • Real-time command — Secure messaging allows mid-flight adjustments over long distances.
This upgrade has contributed significantly to Iran’s ability to penetrate US defenses in the Gulf countries and dramatically improved Iran’s ability to strike critical targets, which has undermined confidence in US security guarantees in the Gulf.

The US decision to use GPS as a weapon in 1993 has backfired spectacularly—proof that humiliating China inspired a technological leap that now gives China and its allies a strategic advantage over the US.

FT : Telecom Italia backs Poste Italiane takeover bid Cash and paper offer would

Telecom Italia backs Poste Italiane takeover bid
Cash and paper offer would give state-controlled postal service full control of telecoms group

The board of Telecom Italia has accepted a cash and stock bid from Poste Italiane that would give the state-controlled postal service full control of the telecoms group. 

Telecom Italia said on Saturday that it deemed the offer of €1.67 in cash and 0.218 newly issued Poste ordinary shares for each Telecom Italia ordinary share tendered to be fair.

The bid, which was originally valued around €10.8bn, could now be worth around €13bn based on Poste Italiane’s closing share price of €27.84 on Friday.

The offer is the latest in a wave of deals across European telecoms groups, as companies have looked to gain scale to attract further investment. In June, a consortium of three French mobile operators announced a deal to acquire SFR for €20.35bn, while UK operators Vodafone and Three combined last year. 

The lack of a premium on Telecom Italia’s share price in the original bid surprised some analysts, who said Poste might be forced to increase its offer to win acceptance.

In April, Poste Italiane boss Matteo Del Fante defended the offer in an interview with the FT, saying the company, which already owns about 20 per cent stake in Telecom Italia, would be a good owner of TIM. 

“Since we acquired the TIM stake the company outperformed . . . we are confident we deserve the same trust now that we have launched the takeover offer,” he said. 

Italy’s state fund Cassa Depositi e Prestiti and the Treasury own a combined 65 per cent stake in Poste Italiane, which has expanded into logistics, cloud computing services and banking to boost its revenues and profits in recent years. 

Telecom Italia, once a state monopoly, was privatised in 1997. Until recently, it struggled with a heavy debt load. But in 2024, it sold its Italian fixed-line network infrastructure to private equity firm KKR in a €22bn deal, allowing it to cut its borrowings. 

It is the third-largest mobile operator in Italy by number of customers, after Vodafone and WindTre. It is also the third largest in Brazil.

WSJ : See How Trump’s Truth Social Posts Move Stocks Milliseconds matter on Wall

See How Trump’s Truth Social Posts Move Stocks
Milliseconds matter on Wall Street, and Truth Social wants to charge traders to get faster access to the president’s posts


Truth Social wants to charge investors for instant access to President Trump’s often market-moving posts. In a world where high-frequency traders capitalize on fractions of seconds, such a service would give an edge to those willing to pay Trump’s media company.

Trump Media & Technology DJT 0.31%increase; up pointing triangle has been pitching trading firms on the service, which would send them posts from top accounts in real time. Trump has the largest following on Truth Social, with 12.9 million followers.

Information in the president’s feed is considered confidential until those posts become publicly available. “That is information he doesn’t have the right to use for trading himself, or for tipping other people off and charging them a fee,” said Richard Painter, who was a top White House ethics lawyer in the George W. Bush administration.

Spokespeople for Trump Media and the White House didn’t respond to questions about the new service. The president’s investment accounts are handled by third-party financial institutions, White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly has said, adding, “There are no conflicts of interest.”

Here are some examples of how Trump’s postings have moved individual stocks during his second term:

US Steel — 3:25 p.m.
What Trump Posted:
The Context:

Trump announced a “planned partnership” between US Steel and Japan’s Nippon Steel, reviving a stalled transaction he previously opposed. The president detailed that Nippon’s $14 billion investment would keep the steel business in America and add at least 70,000 jobs.


American Eagle — 10:25 a.m.
What Trump Posted:
The Context:

Trump swooped in to defend American Eagle’s controversial denim campaign featuring actress Sydney Sweeney last summer. As criticism erupted over the tagline, “Sydney Sweeney Has Great Jeans,” for drawing a pun in reference to the actress’s blond hair and blue eyes, the president boosted the brand.


Intel — 12:29 a.m.
What Trump Posted:
The Context: The president announced an agreement between Apple and Intel to boost the once golden chipmaker’s domestic production. The Apple-Intel partnership marked the third Trump-backed deal to support Intel as it fell behind in the AI chip race, including the government taking a 10% stake in Intel.


RTX — 4:02 p.m.
What Trump Posted:
The Context: Trump singled out Raytheon, a unit of RTX, while broadly mounting attacks on defense contractors with delayed and bloated contracts or high executive salaries. He wrote that the Pentagon could end business with Raytheon for being “the least responsive to the needs of the Department of War” in its level of investment and production speed.

WSJ : U.S. Emergency Oil Reserve Hits Lowest Levels Since 1983: Why It Matters W

U.S. Emergency Oil Reserve Hits Lowest Levels Since 1983: Why It Matters
WSJ’s David Uberti explains how the Strategic Petroleum Reserve works to help blunt the impact of oil shocks such as the Iran War

In underground salt caverns in Texas and Louisiana, the U.S. government stores hundreds of millions of barrels worth of oil in case of energy shocks. Those reserves are now at their lowest levels in decades.

In May, President Trump said the U.S. would release up to 172 million barrels worth of that oil to help tamp down prices during one of the world’s worst energy disruptions. The war with Iran hinges in large part on control of the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of the world’s oil transited before the conflict.

Watch the video above to learn more about how we got here and the debate over what’s next for the U.S.’s strategic oil reserves.

WSJ : The CIA Operative Who Spied on the U.A.E.—and Played a Role in Its AI Win

The CIA Operative Who Spied on the U.A.E.—and Played a Role in Its AI Win
While conducting espionage against powerful sheikh’s tech company, Jonny Gannon helped Gulf country quash Washington suspicions about China ties

Jonny Gannon had one final mission.

The longtime CIA operative had exfiltrated the families of spies from the most repressive of Middle Eastern regimes and tattooed the word “ARGONAUT,” an homage to seafaring heroes from Greek mythology, across his right forearm. By 2023 he had a Washington desk job with a rank equivalent to an Army two-star general.

That’s when the director tapped him to return to the field.

His assignment: Find out whether the “spy sheikh” could be trusted with some of America’s most cutting-edge technology.

Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the national security adviser of the United Arab Emirates, was planning to build one of the world’s biggest artificial-intelligence hubs—and he had the financial firepower to do it. With a war chest estimated at $1.4 trillion, Tahnoon was seeking approval for the country’s AI champion, G42, to import state-of-the-art Nvidia chips.

But high-level officials in Washington worried Beijing was making intelligence inroads into the U.A.E. The U.S. had learned from intercepted communications that China was aiming to use its relationship with G42 to steal American technology and AI algorithms, according to people familiar with the matter. G42’s chief executive, Peng Xiao, had renounced his American citizenship, a prerequisite for acceptance into the inner circle of the Emirati government.

Gannon arrived in the U.A.E. capital Abu Dhabi on a commercial flight, sliding into a fake U.S. Embassy job that obscured his true position, CIA station chief.

Less than a year later, Gannon returned to Washington, this time on the Emirati royal family’s private Boeing 787. He was accompanying Sheikh Tahnoon, the brother of the U.A.E.’s ruler.

In classic spycraft, CIA officers steal information in the shadows from a foreign country to inform Washington policymakers. At the dawn of the AI era, Gannon was instead tasked by the highest levels of the Central Intelligence Agency with courting a foreign commercial player poised to be at the center of a new global scramble for power. He ended up both spying on G42 and also helping the U.A.E. clean up the troubling issues he discovered, according to accounts of his activities provided to The Wall Street Journal.

By the time of the June 2024 flight, Gannon had relayed advice to Tahnoon for more than six months on what it would take for the company to get in Washington’s good graces. Tahnoon was now on his way to make the case in person.

It worked—up to a point. Instead of cutting off the Emiratis, the Biden administration created a way for them to obtain the chips they needed, even if the path was strewn with bureaucratic hurdles.

In essence, the U.A.E.’s campaign—including wooing U.S. officials over tea, dates, and the occasional trip on a yacht or a private jet—reshaped a critical Washington debate from whether to allow the small desert country to become an AI power at all, to just how quickly to speed it along.

Donald Trump stepped on the gas. Days before his inauguration, Tahnoon and co-investors committed to a $500 million investment into Trump’s crypto company, World Liberty Financial.

The Trump administration soon decided to broaden the U.A.E.’s access to the most advanced AI chips, including allotting a portion specifically to G42. Last week, the administration went further, announcing it was temporarily lifting caps on G42’s access to U.S. chips, a major win for the country and for Tahnoon.

A person familiar with the matter said the World Liberty investment wasn’t discussed with Trump and that Tahnoon is a “significant investor” in crypto businesses. The White House has denied conflicts of interest, and World Liberty has said the investment had nothing to do with the administration.

Gannon’s role in the Biden-era transformation, revealed here for the first time, roiled the U.S. national security community, which wielded his insights as they battled over whether to help the U.A.E. become a new global AI contender.

His supporters, often officials who helped America wage the global war on terror and remembered the help Abu Dhabi had offered in fighting Islamic State, saw Gannon’s outreach as a necessary step to reward a critical security ally, and help keep American tech giants in one of the world’s largest AI projects. The U.A.E. was a geopolitical swing state worth bringing further into the American orbit, they argued.

On the other side were national security officials more focused on China, who feared America could be offshoring its most powerful new source of dominance to an adversary. The detractors were nervous that Gannon was obscuring clearcut evidence that both G42 and the U.A.E. shouldn’t be trusted. They believed he had “gone native,” and was helping set the stage for America to surrender its advantage in the defining geopolitical contest of the century.

In dozens of hours of interviews with the Journal, more than 30 current and former diplomatic, national security, White House and intelligence officials painted a picture of an emerging diplomatic gray zone that blended spycraft, diplomacy and commercial lobbying over the future of a new technology arms race. Some former administration officials said the debate over G42 fueled more rancor among Biden policymakers than almost any other issue.

In a statement, G42 said it had improved its compliance and security measures, and that it had gained access to U.S. technology through Washington’s formal regulatory process.

The Chinese embassy in Washington said the U.S. hyped and fabricated claims that China’s tech achievements are made through theft to undermine cooperation between Chinese companies and their international partners.

Surveillance state
G42’s chief executive complicated the picture. Born in China, Peng Xiao went to college in Hawaii in the 1990s. He became chief technology officer for MicroStrategy, a Northern Virginia business-intelligence company.

In 2015, Xiao came to the U.A.E., where he ran the AI division of cybersecurity firm DarkMatter. To the outside world, DarkMatter aspired to become a Middle East tech giant. In reality, it was created to help the Gulf state spy on geopolitical rivals, activists and journalists, with the help of former U.S. National Security Agency hackers, U.S. prosecutors later found. Xiao’s unit tried to blanket the country with surveillance, using AI to analyze the video, communications and location tracking it scooped up to predict civil unrest before it took root, according to former employees of the company.

As several of the U.S. contractors worked on Xiao’s project, they realized they were actually spying on Americans, former employees said. The tip-off: Some of the voices they intercepted had southern accents. They reported the effort to the FBI.

At the time, Xiao’s unit was also developing deep ties with China. Many of Xiao’s staff members were from the country and the executive opened affiliated offices there, the former employees said. Xiao publicly signed a deal with Huawei to develop AI tools that would help authorities monitor cities.

The company went defunct after a 2019 FBI investigation that led to some of the American employees admitting they had violated export laws by hacking into Apple’s iPhone cloud servers in the United States. Xiao and his staff spun off his unit into what became G42.

With billions of dollars in support from Tahnoon, G42 grew into a 22,000-person company aiming to become the largest AI firm in the world.

As the global Covid-19 pandemic raged, Xiao inked a deal with Chinese genomics company BGI to create one of the largest testing labs in the world. A Chinese official proclaimed a “historic and special era” of Beijing’s cooperation with the U.A.E.

Back in Washington, at a 2023 meeting of senior deputies across the executive branch, one five-minute agenda item set things in motion.

OpenAI had just released ChatGPT, triggering a new global race in artificial intelligence. American companies including Nvidia had a stranglehold on the most advanced chips that the U.A.E. needed to supercharge its AI capabilities.

Worried about G42’s growing China ties, officials discussed putting the company on a blacklist controlled by the Commerce Department that blocked access to American technology.

Commerce’s undersecretary for security, Alan Estevez, started the bureaucratic process for the blacklist, but got a call redirecting the path.

His boss, Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, had discussed the plan with others, who had decided they needed to slow down given that G42 was a state-backed company and the administration needed Emirati assistance on other issues.

Estevez travelled to Abu Dhabi in the spring of 2023, meeting with Tahnoon’s chief of staff at his villa, and visiting G42’s headquarters. He saw Chinese gear on site, but came away impressed with the seemingly world-class level of the company’s operations. Estevez later raved about Xiao’s sophistication, telling others it was like talking to Dario Amodei, the co-founder of groundbreaking AI company Anthropic.

He visited Tahnoon’s seaside palace at dusk, strolling its verdant gardens alongside the sheikh, whose eye condition causes him to wear sunglasses all the time. Tahnoon, known as a committed futurist, was training an entourage of his own AI agents to manage his personal affairs.

“You have a choice,” Estevez told the sheikh, laying out the option of either working with the American tech giants, or their Chinese counterparts, but not co-mingling the two at the highest level of the technology. “I get it,” Tahnoon replied, signaling for tea and dates to break the Ramadan fast. Over a dinner that included multiple salad courses and lobster tail, the men discussed recent books they read. Among them: “Chip War,” the 2022 account of the geopolitical battle to control microchip technology.

In June, Tahnoon came to Washington, and Estevez met him again, this time at a McLean, Va. mansion Tahnoon owned, on a cliff overlooking the Potomac river. Estevez presented Tahnoon, who was in jeans and flip-flops, with a list of the U.S. government’s demands. It included an outside auditor that would vet G42’s compliance.

“I can do all of these things,” Tahnoon said.

The next day, Tahnoon visited the Commerce Department to meet with Raimondo and described his motivation. His Bedouin ancestors earned great wealth pearl diving—until foreign farmed pearls tanked the market and left the local economy in shambles. This time, the Emiratis wanted to build an economy that would outlast its oil wealth, and AI was its future bet, he said.

Estevez returned to Abu Dhabi to check on G42’s progress, and came away convinced the company was on the right track. Later, he went back to Tahnoon’s palace, where the pair watched the Tour de France bike race together, on a television as big as the wall.

Overcoming skepticism
Other national-security officials tried to pump the brakes.

One was an intelligence staffer on Biden’s national security council, Maher Bitar. Spurred by the federal investigations into Xiao’s earlier company, Bitar had helped lead a White House push against spyware makers and the use of American hackers-for-hire. A Palestinian-American with a quiet intensity that some colleagues viewed as didactic, Bitar argued that any new U.A.E. deals could end up backfiring in the ways offshoring manufacturing had initially been viewed as a boon to the American economy only to have devastating results.

On the other side of the argument were people like Brett McGurk, a White House Middle East adviser who had for years quietly worked with Emirati security services to fight terrorism and rein in Iran. Seen by colleagues as a soft-spoken yet brutally pragmatic operator, McGurk argued that whatever quibbles Washington might have with the U.A.E., cutting its access to American technology would only shove the Gulf State into China’s arms.

To get to the ground truth behind these arguments, the CIA turned to Gannon.

Within the agency, the U.A.E. station had come to be seen as a sleepy posting. In recent years, intelligence reports from the tiny country had petered out. Now with the G42 issue looming, the agency’s director, William Burns, needed a top field officer who could manage the conflicting goals of running aggressive spying operations and repairing relationships with the leaders of an important ally. Senior officials saw Gannon as uniquely suited for the role: a natural empath with an unusual ability to connect with people, and who had experience running hard-edged operations against America’s most critical targets.

Burns helped burnish Gannon’s credentials, personally telling the prince that the operative was the American in the room as Israel negotiated with Hamas to release its hostages in the aftermath of the Oct. 7 attack. Gannon did the rest, bonding with Tahnoon over their shared love of the grappling martial art Brazilian Jiu-jitsu. (Tahnoon was a blackbelt while Gannon ranked just one level above beginner.)

Intelligence reports of G42’s China connections kept flowing to Gannon, according to people familiar with the matter. Several company staffers, the CIA learned, were in touch with Chinese-state owned companies.

Gannon met with Xiao and delivered a message. Washington was very concerned about G42 but the station chief could be an open-minded conduit. The two grew close, sharing a taste for expensive liquor and Greek philosophy, as Gannon helped the CEO understand U.S. concerns. Xiao told him Washington could have access to G42’s data centers and staff, and could ask any questions it wanted to verify that the company was cutting its China ties, people familiar with the matter said.

With his bosses’ backing, Gannon took it one step further, the people said: When spying operations revealed evidence that appeared to contradict Xiao’s commitment, the CIA officer gave quiet hints about the issues to Xiao or U.A.E. officials such as Tahnoon.

The CIA would soon find the issues had disappeared. The company put together a slide deck that said it had removed $150 million worth of Huawei equipment from its systems.

Gannon flew back to Washington to brief scores of senior officials including Raimondo and McGurk on his findings—an unusual role for a station chief.

Some U.S. officials remained unconvinced. Over the years, they had gotten fed up with the U.A.E. for what they viewed as duplicitous behavior. It felt like gaslighting, for example, when the Emiratis denied to Washington that Beijing appeared to be building a secret military facility near Abu Dhabi, despite information the site included a basketball court with flags of the Chinese military and the Communist Party printed on the floor.

Now they worried that Tahnoon was again playing a fast one. They pressed Gannon about continuing contact between G42 and Chinese state companies, drawing on skeptical CIA analysts who shared their view. The contacts didn’t show Xiao was betraying his commitments, Gannon replied, arguing the employees in question were lower-level staff, who may have operated without Xiao’s knowledge. He had seen no proof that Xiao was a Chinese agent, as some suspected.

Within the national security council, the camp that wanted the U.A.E. to eventually get access to U.S. chips generally didn’t trust the CIA analysts, according to people familiar with the matter. They would phone Gannon and ask for his personal take on the assessments. They would also direct him with specific requests for what to bring to Tahnoon.

The dispute came to a head when Tahnoon visited Washington in June 2024, with Gannon in tow. Americans from both camps, along with Gannon, gathered at Tahnoon’s McLean mansion, and took their seats in his living room couches. Xiao gave a presentation on Chinese AI technology, being developed by DeepSeek, that he said would pose an imminent threat to American dominance in the field without G42’s help, according to people with direct knowledge.

Xiao’s reveal drove the Americans to openly lambast each other, as one official dismissed Xiao’s assessments, only to be contradicted by colleagues. The Emiratis looked on as the Washington crowd bickered.

Seven months later, when the tool was released, its advances sparked a freakout in Silicon Valley, causing tech stocks to plummet.

‘All the chips they wanted’
A week before Biden left office, his team put in place the framework for the Emiratis to access chips. U.A.E. officials criticized it as overly restrictive, but it opened the door for what was to come.

For champions in the Biden administration of G42 getting access to U.S. chips, the push helped the U.A.E. to side with Washington by ridding itself of Chinese tech. One senior official who helped craft the rule said: “I would have given them all the chips they wanted.”

In May 2025, two years after G42 was nearly put on the U.S. blacklist, the world’s tech luminaries including OpenAI’s Sam Altman and Nvidia’s Jensen Huang gathered in Abu Dhabi to sign on to help G42 build one of the the world’s largest AI hubs, dubbed Stargate UAE.

“We’re transforming a bold vision into reality,” Altman said.

The fruits of Tahnoon’s push are visible in the form of a massive construction site on a sandy patch of land miles from central Abu Dhabi, where thousands of laborers are working day and night. They are building the nerve center of Abu Dhabi’s AI efforts, set to be packed with the latest U.S. chips.

Gannon, who left the CIA last year, has maintained his relationships in the U.A.E, travelling there frequently to make introductions between American executives and Emirati security officials. He has helped national security contractors win consulting contracts with Emirati security services and court another prospective client: G42.

McGurk, too, has turned into something of a rainmaker for business deals in the U.A.E. He’s an adviser to Cisco, whose chief executive publicly thanked McGurk for his help in landing a deal on G42’s massive Stargate project. At a conference hosted by the tech company in February, McGurk said the debate around Emirati access to U.S. tech was an intense one during the Biden years.

“What worries me in Washington sometimes is that there is a zero-sum dimension to this conversation in some quarters,” he said.

FT : Singapore weighs hedge fund tax cuts to rival Hong Kong City-state frets o

Singapore weighs hedge fund tax cuts to rival Hong Kong
City-state frets over portfolio managers relocating to Chinese territory

Singapore’s markets regulator has held discussions with investment companies about cutting taxes for fund managers, setting up a battle with regional rival Hong Kong to attract talent.

Investment professionals in Singapore are worried that Hong Kong’s plan for sweeping tax changes could lead high-paid portfolio managers to relocate to the Chinese territory.

That has led to talks in recent months between the Monetary Authority of Singapore and investment industry professionals about what can be done to maintain Singapore’s competitive edge, according to four people familiar with the discussions.

While the conversations have covered a broad set of measures, including lowering the cost of business for investment groups, fund executives have told the regulator that unless Singapore’s already competitive tax rates are cut even lower, portfolio managers are likely to push for relocations to Hong Kong.

“A number of Singapore firms are saying that they need to set up Hong Kong offices or create arrangements where certain members can work in Hong Kong,” said a person involved in the talks. “MAS is hearing that and the discussions have intensified.”

A shift from Singapore to Hong Kong would mark a reversal of a years-long trend following the Covid-19 pandemic. Tens of thousands of white-collar expats bolted from Hong Kong to the city-state over political unrest and a perceived heavy-handed response to the pandemic.

As part of its efforts to convince finance professionals to return, Hong Kong is close to implementing a sweeping set of changes to its tax rules on carried interest and performance fees.

Under the measures, profits from a wide range of investments would be eligible for tax treatment as carried interest at a zero per cent rate.

The change would mean individual managers of hedge funds, private equity, venture capital, private credit and even family offices could structure themselves to reduce their already low Hong Kong tax bills. 

Since the FT reported on Hong Kong’s plans in March, MAS’s Financial Markets Development Department — which works to ensure the city-state is a competitive financial centre — has held discussions with investment groups focused on maintaining Singapore’s edge, the people said.

A move to copy Hong Kong’s carried interest move could face resistance among other government departments and prove politically unpopular during a period when the cost of living is rising, according to two people familiar with the talks. MAS may instead try to reduce costs on investment groups to allow them to pass on the savings to portfolio managers in place of tax cuts.

“Rather than putting money in the hands of individuals, they might find ways to make it more economical for firms to do business so they can pay their people better,” said a person involved in the discussions.

One measure under discussion is to reduce the tax rate of a special incentive scheme, where investment groups pay 10 per cent compared with Singapore’s standard corporate rate of 17 per cent.

“MAS is reviewing measures to sharpen the competitiveness of Singapore as a trusted and dynamic financial centre to financial institutions and talent,” the regulator told the FT.

“It’s going to get harder for Singapore” because of Hong Kong’s tax changes, said Darren Bowdern, head of Asia-Pacific asset management tax at KPMG. “But the advantage they have is that a lot of funds had already moved their investment structures there, and they aren’t just going to get up and move back.”

FT : Luxury groups face inventory squeeze under EU destruction ban Ban particul

Luxury groups face inventory squeeze under EU destruction ban
Ban particularly sensitive for industry that keeps products desirable by maintaining their scarcity

Large fashion groups including LVMH, Prada, Chanel and Inditex will be banned from destroying unsold clothes and footwear in the EU from this week, forcing the industry to overhaul the way it handles excess stock and customer returns.

The blanket ban is particularly sensitive for luxury fashion groups because it removes one of the industry’s least visible tools for keeping their products desirable by maintaining their scarcity value.

The new rule will force brands to choose between carrying higher inventory costs, expanding tightly controlled discount channels or producing fewer goods in the first place.

A court case this week revealed that Chanel routinely destroyed thousands of unsold products in Hong Kong as part of its inventory-management strategy.

Chanel told the FT the numbers cited in court did not reflect its current global practices, adding that products that could not be sold were now handled through L’Atelier des Matières, a recycling business it founded in 2019 to recover materials and return them to circular supply chains.

Between 4 per cent and 9 per cent of textile products offered for sale in Europe — equivalent to an estimated 264,000 to 594,000 tonnes a year — are destroyed before use, according to the European Environment Agency.

Official company data is not available and there is no public breakdown showing how much of that waste comes from luxury groups compared with fast-fashion brands.

The ban was approved in 2024 as part of efforts to curb overproduction, reduce waste and keep valuable materials in circulation for longer.

From July 19, large companies will be prohibited from incinerating or sending to landfill unsold clothes, accessories and footwear, including products returned by customers. 

The rules encourage donation, repair and reuse as more environmentally sustainable alternatives, with destruction to be permitted only under certain circumstances such as where goods pose health or safety risks, are counterfeit or irreparably damaged.

While donation and reuse could create new resale and upcycling channels for mass-market fashion, experts say the rules will pose greater challenges for luxury groups, which rely on tightly controlled distribution and scarcity to protect brand value.

Putting more unsold products into outlets, donation networks or secondary markets risks increasing discounting or feeding grey-market sales while repair, storage and material recovery could add to costs, they say.

As much as 40 per cent of luxury goods were sold at a discount in 2025, according to figures released by Bain and Italian industry association Altagamma as weaker demand and excess inventory increased brands’ reliance on outlets and markdowns. 

There are also questions over whether brands could circumvent the ban should unsold goods they sell to overseas distributors end up being destroyed outside the EU, insiders say.

“The new rules will lead companies to pay even closer attention to planning and inventory management,” said Luca Solca at Bernstein.

“That said, no one can work miracles: apparel brands in particular will inevitably be left with some end-of-season stock. This is unavoidable . . . so I also expect companies to make a greater effort to manage off-price sales in a way that preserves quality.”

He argued this would create an opportunity for companies such as UK-based luxury outlet operator Value Retail, creator of The Bicester Collection of shopping villages in Europe, China and New York.

The rules could also accelerate the adoption of artificial intelligence to monitor inventories in real time, forecast demand and better co-ordinate stock across stores and warehouses, according to industry executives and analysts.

Giulia Iuticone, a Milan-based partner at executive search firm Heidrick & Struggles, said the rules would “redefine how companies make decisions . . . if unsold stock can no longer serve as a safety valve, the quality of planning becomes a competitive advantage.”

FT : Defence giants to maintain grip on weapons market despite drone boom Repor

Defence giants to maintain grip on weapons market despite drone boom
Report finds industry’s ‘primes’ will still account for 80% of global sales well into the next decade

Defence giants will continue to dominate industry revenues into the next decade, according to a new report that plays down the threat from technology start-ups.

A study by consultancy BCG and Vertical Research Partners found that despite faster growth in cheaper mass-produced systems such as drones, complex weapons built by established contractors will still account for more than 80 per cent of the market in 2033. 

Diana Dimitrova, leader of BCG’s UK aerospace and defence practice, said that while “both defence tech companies and established contractors will grow . . . the majority of spending will remain with traditional players delivering major platforms and complex systems”.

Researchers chose a select set of programmes for complex capabilities and analysed how many could be replaced by or substituted for “affordable mass” alternatives by 2033.

Expensive systems comprised about $65bn of spending in the US, the EU and the UK last year, compared with about $5bn for affordable mass systems and just $55mn for single-use systems, according to the report.

While the market for larger systems is forecast to grow to an annual spend of $79bn by 2033, that for smaller defence systems will still only reach $17.5bn as the newer categories are growing from smaller bases.

In Europe, where governments have embarked on a rearmament drive in the face of Russian aggression, BCG separately forecasts that the market for defence equipment will more than double from about €150bn in 2024 to €380bn by 2035. Defence tech players are expected to secure €50bn-€80bn of this. The forecast assumes Europe achieves its target of spending 3.5 per cent of GDP on defence.

The findings come ahead of next week’s Farnborough Airshow, where defence start-ups will compete with established “primes” to show off their latest offerings.

Security risks have pushed defence to the top of the agenda at the biennial show. Organisers said defence companies, including defence tech and AI-focused players, would represent about half of the 1,600 exhibitors this year.  

Some industry leaders have warned that the advance of more nimble tech-focused companies focused on autonomous systems will disrupt the established hierarchy of the world’s defence industry, where primes have long dominated.

In Europe, investors have poured billions of dollars into newcomers such as Helsing and Quantum Systems, boosting valuations and stoking concerns of a defence bubble. 

Military budgets, however, are still skewed towards large platforms such as jets and tanks. Byron Callan, analyst at Capital Alpha Partners, said that although new systems such as drones were a “new and significant factor shaping defence . . . we don’t see them fully displacing manned platforms, particularly in ground warfare”.

The BCG analysis found that profits from more complex systems were more sustainable given the need for maintenance and spare parts over their operational lifetime. Complex weapons typically derive about half of their lifetime profit from maintenance, spare parts and upgrades over their operational lifetime. 

Established contractors are also more protected from a drop in spending during peacetime given long-term relationships with governments, according to the findings.

However, Dimitrova warned that prime contractors still needed to adapt and consider “where to compete and where to place their capital”. 

“Do they continue to invest in a stable and profitable business of developing exquisite programmes, or do they think about getting greater exposure to higher-growth segments — can they simply buy the most successful start-ups?”